Challenges in Dealing with Challenges in Dealing with Terrorism and Organized Terrorism and Organized

Crime in SomaliaCrime in Somalia

A Look at the European Security A Look at the European Security Strategy 2005-2010Strategy 2005-2010

November 23rd, 2010National Intelligence Conference

Congreso Nacional de InteligenciaUniversidad Carlos III de Madrid, Spain

‘‘New Dimension of Organized Crime’

Strait of Mallaca

1. European Contribution1. European Contribution

2. Current Somali Situation2. Current Somali Situation

3. EU Policy Weaknesses3. EU Policy Weaknesses

4. Discussion on Maximizing 4. Discussion on Maximizing EU’s Investment in SomaliaEU’s Investment in Somalia

1.1. EU Contribution to SomaliaEU Contribution to Somalia

Humanitarian AidHumanitarian Aid

Food AidFood Aid

HealthcareHealthcare

Treatment for war woundsTreatment for war wounds

Improved access to waterImproved access to water

Water delivery during drought periodWater delivery during drought period

Cooked mealsCooked meals

EU Contribution:EU Contribution:Military AidMilitary Aid

AMISOM peacekeeping mission in Somalia AMISOM peacekeeping mission in Somalia African Union – 7000 soldiersAfrican Union – 7000 soldiers

EU Somalia Training Mission EU Somalia Training Mission EUTM SomaliaEUTM Somalia Train Somali & Ugandan troops Train Somali & Ugandan troops EU military officers & training: 14 EU countries EU military officers & training: 14 EU countries

( ( € 6.2mil: 150 trainers => 76 Somali government soldiers )€ 6.2mil: 150 trainers => 76 Somali government soldiers )

EC Delegation in Kenya & United NationsEC Delegation in Kenya & United Nations Terrorism, small arms, light weapons, demobilization and Terrorism, small arms, light weapons, demobilization and

disarmamentdisarmament

Operation ATALANTA – EU NAVFOROperation ATALANTA – EU NAVFOR

EU’s 1st Maritime ESDP Mission !!!EU’s 1st Maritime ESDP Mission !!!Provides close escort protection by EU Provides close escort protection by EU Naval Force warships to World Food Naval Force warships to World Food Program shipments of food Program shipments of food To deter and disrupt piracy To deter and disrupt piracy To protect vulnerable shipping To protect vulnerable shipping Monitor fishing activities off the coast of Monitor fishing activities off the coast of SomaliaSomalia

*10 December 2010 marks 2*10 December 2010 marks 2ndnd year anniversary of EU year anniversary of EU NAVFOR Somalia – Operation ATALANTANAVFOR Somalia – Operation ATALANTA

2. Current Somali Situation2. Current Somali SituationTransitional Federal Government (TGF)Transitional Federal Government (TGF) Most corrupt in the worldMost corrupt in the world Prime minister resignation (October 2010)Prime minister resignation (October 2010) 5 yr mandate (exp 2009): 5 yr mandate (exp 2009):

2yr extension (exp 2011)2yr extension (exp 2011) Increase in the displacement of peopleIncrease in the displacement of people Pirate attacks increasedPirate attacks increased World Food Program – No guaranteeWorld Food Program – No guarantee Al Shabaab & insurgents: Child soldiersAl Shabaab & insurgents: Child soldiers

Satellite images of the Afgooye corridor west of Mogadishdu show an increased population density. October 2010: 410,000 displaced people

2007 2010

Population: 7.7 million

4%

3. EU Policy Weaknesses3. EU Policy Weaknesses

Superficial Solution = Superficial ResultsSuperficial Solution = Superficial Results Nation building comes at a high price $$$Nation building comes at a high price $$$ EU’s personal economic woesEU’s personal economic woes Somalia ranks low on ‘priority list’Somalia ranks low on ‘priority list’

Unreasonable expectations Unreasonable expectations 20 warships to secure 10 times the size of Germany20 warships to secure 10 times the size of Germany

Prosecution Façade: Pirate capturing Prosecution Façade: Pirate capturing obsessionobsession Disregard to ethnic disputesDisregard to ethnic disputes

“Hay que hablar mal de lo malo”

4. Discussion on 4. Discussion on Maximizing EU’s Investment in Somalia Maximizing EU’s Investment in Somalia

As TFG comes to an end in 2011 its time toAs TFG comes to an end in 2011 its time to RethinkRethink Reevaluate EU Somali PolicyReevaluate EU Somali Policy

€ 200 mil investedMan powerMilitary strengthFinancial Aid

ConfirmCheckVerifyFollow up European Tax Payer Money

EU Needs To…EU Needs To…

Reevaluate its geostrategic Reevaluate its geostrategic priorities and political ambitions in priorities and political ambitions in SomaliaSomaliaAssess how the EU can more Assess how the EU can more effectively make use of the effectively make use of the European tax payer’s EurosEuropean tax payer’s EurosForge stronger political alliances Forge stronger political alliances via the cooperation with other world via the cooperation with other world powers in a joint strategypowers in a joint strategy

““Que salga algo nuevo de Que salga algo nuevo de este congreso”este congreso”

Dr. Félix Sanz Foldán

Director del Centro Nacional de Inteligencia

““The fact is that there will never be The fact is that there will never be enough warships to blanket cover enough warships to blanket cover this huge area….” this huge area….”

Merchant Navy Liaison Officer Simon ChurchMerchant Navy Liaison Officer Simon Church

EU NAVFOR 2010EU NAVFOR 2010