european berry situation before crop...
TRANSCRIPT
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European Berrysituation before
crop 2018
XI Berry Seminar ; May 2018 Chile
Marek Pawlonka - Poland
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PRESENTATION IS MADE BY MR MAREK PAWLONKA - VF
CONCEPT ▪ With co-operation :
▪ Ph.D. Bozena Nosecka - Institute of
Agricultultar and Food Economics National
Ressearch Institute
▪ Ph.D. Dariusz Paszko - University of
Life Sciences Lublin
▪ Ph.D. Pawel Krawiec - University of Life
Sciences Lublin
z Plan of presentation1 Year 2017 and prognose for 2018 - general
overwiev
2 BLUEBERRY - wild and cultivate
3 Raspberry
4 Strawberry - will be very soon
5 Sauer cherries
6 New opportunity / trends
7 Sumarry
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Season 2017 and 2018
2017
▪ Frost demage in all
Europe
▪ Extremally poor crop for
most of the fruits
▪ New players on European
Berry production
2018
▪ Easy winter ; very good
spring
▪ Excellent flowering time
▪ Excellent prognose for all
kind of fruits
▪ And ???????
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Polish fruit production (ktons)
Fruits 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Fruits Total : 2743,5 3414,6 3843,2 4128,3 4188,9 4099,8 4637,7 3210,0Apples 1877,9 2493,1 2877,3 3085,0 3195,3 3168,0 3604,2 2500,0
Pears 46,5 62,8 64,7 75,7 73,7 69,6 81,5 60,0
Plums 83,8 91,8 102,5 102,4 106,1 94,9 109,5 60,0
Sauer cherries 147,2 175,0 175,4 188,2 176,5 179,4 194,8 70,0
Sweet cherries 40,1 38,0 41,1 47,6 48,1 48,1 53,8 20,0
Strawberry 153,4 166,2 150,2 192,6 202,5 204,9 197,0 177,0
Raspberry 92,9 118,0 127,1 121,0 125,9 79,9 129,1 100,0
Currant - Total196,7 169,6 194,5 198,5 162,6 159,9 166,8 130,0
Black currant 146,0 124,6 144,5 154,9 124,1 120,0 125,0 100,0
Red currant 50,7 45,0 50,0 43,6 38,5 39,1 41,1 30,0
Goosberry 14,2 14,6 16,3 15,0 12,4 12,1 12,5 10,0
Aronia 53,0 48,2 51,2 57,9 43,4 38,2 49,2 43,0
Cultivate
blueberry9,2 8,6 11,3 12,7 12,5 14,1 14,7 14,0
Another4,1 2,4 2,6 4,0 4,0 3,8 4,9 3,0
Źródło: Wyniki produkcji roślinnej – publikacje GUS.
5
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FROST DEMAGE SPRING 2017
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EXCELLENT FLOWERING FOR SAUER CHERRIES TREES
Start from 16 April - 2 weeks earlier then normal
Berry processing industry in Poland
2
4
10
37
8
1
5
617
1213
1430
16
19
21
23
22
40
36
31
25
41
44
29
24
15
42
16
20
26
35
9
1
2
3
4
56
7
89
10
11
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
1
2
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
2
3032
31
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
5152 53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
6667
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
7576
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91 92
Cold stores
Concentrates
factory
93
32
93
zakłady produkcji
koncentratów z
owoców kolorowych
duże mroźnie
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
licz
ba
zak
ład
ów
Number of factories
PRODUCTION OF FROZEN FRUITS IN POLAND : 2014 - 2017
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Źródło: GUS9
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RED BERRIES JUICE CONCENTRATE PRODUCTION - 2017 / 2018
NO BERRY CONCENTRATES QUANTITY (MT)
-season 2017/2018
MAX .
PRODUCTION
HISTORICALLY
1 STRAWBERRY J. C. 6 000 6 000
2 RASPBERRY J.C. 4 000 4 000
3 BLACK CURRANT J.C. 8 500 17 000
4 RED CURRANT J. C. 1 000 2 700
5 SAUER CHERRIES J.C. 3 000 17 000
6 ARONIA J. C. 7 000 17 000
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Cultivate blueberry in Poland
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Storage capacity for blueberry
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EUROPEAN BLUEBERRY PRODUCTION
1. SPAIN OVER 28 000 TONS
2. MAROCCO 12 600 TONS
3. POLAND 14 000 TONS
4. GERMANY 8 800 TONS
5. FRANCE 8 200 TONS
6. NEDERLANDS 5 600 TONS
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VARIETY OF BLUEBERRY IN POLAND FROM END OF JUNE TO AUGUST
❖ BLUECROP
❖ DUKE
❖ PATRIOT
❖ BONUS
❖ CHANDLER
❖ SPARTAN
❖ DRAPER
❖ AURORA
❖ NELSON
❖ DARROW
❖ ELIOT
❖ LIBERTY
❖ CALYPSO
❖ TORO
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BLUEBERRY DESTINATION
▪ CULTIVATE
BLUEBERRY :
▪ MOST OF PRODUCTION -
FRESH MARKET ;
▪ VERY LIMITED QUANTITY
FOR INDUSTRY ( IQF )
▪ ANY QUATITY FOR JUICE
▪ WILD BLUEBERRY
▪ MAINLY FOR IQF
▪ FOR PUREE
▪ FOR FARMACUTICAL
PURPOSE
▪ FOR LOCAL MARKET
( EISCREAM ; BAKCERY )
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WILD BLUEBERRY - 2017 versus prognose 2018
❖ VERY POOR CROP FOR WILD BLUEBERRY 2017 ( ANY = 0
WILD BLUEBERRY FROM POLAND )
❖ LIMITED QUANTITY IN UKRAINE = HIGH PRICE LEVEL –
OVER 3 EURO/KG = IMPORT LOW BUSHIES BLUEBERRY
FROM CANADA
❖ CURREMT SITUATION : GOOD PROGNOSE FOR CROP ;
PRICE MUST TO BE IN COMPETITIVE LEVEL TO
CANADIAN LOW BUSHIES BLUEBERRY
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TRENDS IN BLUEBERRY PRODUCTION
❖ IINCREASING OF PRODUCTION
❖ FRESCH MARKET AS MAIN TARGET ( MAINLY EXPORT
BUT MORE AND MORE FOR POLISH FRESH MARKET )
❖ COOPERATION WITH SUPERMARKET CHAIN = EASY
EXPORT
❖ SMALL PRODUCERS SALE FOR LOCAL FRESCH MARKET
❖ PRODUCTION UNDER COVER
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TRADITIONAL SUMMER VARIETES
Malling
Seedling‘’Willamette
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Laszka
Przehyba
Sokolica
Glen Ample
SUMMER VARIETES NEW
Radziejowa
NEW POLISH
AUTUMN VARIETES 2015-2017
FARMERS PRICE FOR RASPBERRY
YEAR 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
PRICE Pln/
kg
3,25 3,6 2,3 2,7 4,3 4,75 7,7 5,2 4,4
PRICE Euro
/kg
0,77 0,96 0,55 0,64 1,02 1,13 1,83 1,24 1,05
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Y E A R : 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
RENTABILITY
OF
RASPBERRY
PRODUCTION
(%)
126 142 112 124 95 100 145 146 165 130 108
RENTABILITY OF POLISH RASPBERRY PRODUCTION (%)
POLISH RASPBERRY PRODUCTION IN FIGURES :
YEAR 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
AREA
(kha)
29,6 27,1 28,4 28 28 28 29,3 30
CROP
( kTons)
92,9 118 127,1 120 126 80 129,1 100
YIELD
(Ton/ha)
3,14 4,35 4,35 4,28 4,5 2,86 4,61 3,57
Destinations of using raspberries in Poland
NO : DESTINATION OF USE % OF CROP
1 I Q F 47 - 52 %
2 JUICE AND CONCENTRATES 18 - 27 %
3 JAM ;CONFITURES ; ANOTHERS 4 - 5 %
4 EXPORT AS FRESH AND PRE-
COOLED
13 -18 %
5 CONSUMPTION AS FRESH 8 -13 %
Direction of export of polish IQF raspberries (kT)
NO YEAR /COUNTRY 2013 2014 2015
1 GERMANY 20,4 18,2 20,7
2 BELGIQUE 10,3 9,0 8,1
3 SCANDINAVIEN 6,5 8,2 7,3
4 GREAT BRITAN 3,7 3,8 3,4
5 FRANCE 3,7 4,4 3,7
6 NEDHERLANDS 5,2 5,8 4,3
7 RUSSIA 4,3 2,3 0
8 BELARUS 0,9 1,1 2,3
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NEW RASPBERRY PRODUCERS IN EUROPE
❖ UKRAINE 32 000 TONS and grow
❖ SPAIN ONLY FOR FRESH MARKET
❖ BULGARIA 12 000 TONS ( ORGANIC ; FRESH MARKET ;
INDUSTRY )
❖ BOSNIA 3 000 ha ; 20 000 MT ;
❖ KOSOVO 1 700 ha ; 7 500 MT ;
PERSPECTIVE 2018 - GOOD CROP =
OVERPRODUCTION
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RASPBERRY PLANTATION IN KOSOVO
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NEW RASPBERRY PLANTATION IN KOSOVO
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NEW COLD STORY IN KOSOVO
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SITUATION OF RASPBERRY BEFORE SEASON 2018
▪ STOCK OF IQF RASPBERRY IN EUROPE
▪ WAETHER CONDITION : EASY WINTER VERSUS VERY
DRY APRIL / MAY
▪ PRICE PRESSING = LOOSING OF QUALITY !!!! …and
QUANTITY
▪ PROBLEM WITH PEOPLE FOR THE CROP
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WHY RASPBERRY PRODUCTION DEVELOP SO FAST ???
1. SUPPORT AFTER BALCANS WAR FOR BOSNIA AND
KOSOVO = OPEN MARKET
2. SUPPORT FOR 1 HA = 400 EURO ; FOR NEW PLANTS 0,20
EURO/PLANT
3. RASPBERRY IS THE CHEAPEST „INDUSTRY” SMALL AND
MEDIUM SIZE PRODUCERS SALE HIS JOB
4. ANY BUSINESS PREPARATION = ”TO PRODUCE – THEN WE
SALE SOMEWHERE „
5. QUALITY ??? PEST CONTROL ??? STATE CONTROL ???
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POLISH STRAWBERRY PRODUCTION
YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
STRAWBERRY
PRODUCTION
( KTONS )
166 150 192 203 205 197 177
COMMENTS NORMAL
LEVEL
LACK
OF
GOODS
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Strawberry – start already in days !!!
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We expected very good strawberry crop ; waether until now – excellent – problem can
be with people for harvest
z How world policy influence for business
▪ Problem with Russia – WAR ON UKRAINE
= embargo for European Agriculture products
▪ European producers looking for new markets
▪ Prices for lot of products go down ( mainly for
products traditionaly exported to Russia - eg.
Sauer cherries ; Black currant ; Broccoli ;
Couliflower
▪ Export to Russia via Belarus
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POLISH SAUER CHERRIES PRODUCTION IN FIGURES
YEAR 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
SAUER
CHERRIES
175 175 188 177 179 195 72 ?????
COMMENTS NORMAL NORMAL 20,2 KTONS
EXPORT TO
RUSSIA
NORMAL
BUT NOT
EXPORT
TO
RUSSIA
AS IN 2015 EXTRE
MALLY
LOW
CROP
”BOMBER
CROP”???
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SAUER CHERRIES – AS IMPORTANT FRUIT FOR POLAND
▪ VERY POOR CROP IN 2017
▪ PROPABLY „BOMBER CROP „ IN 2018
▪ LIMITED „BLACK” EXPORT TO RUSSIA
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SAUER CHERRIES –AS IMPORTANT FRUIT FOR POLAND
§ VERY POOR CROP IN 2017
§ PROPABLY „BOMBER CROP „ IN 2018
§ LIMITED „BLACK” EXPORT TO RUSSIA
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NEW TREND IN POLISH BERRY PRODUCTION
❖ HASKAP ( Lonicera caerulea var.
Kamtschatica)
❖ SEA BUCKTHORN
❖RED CURRANT
❖ SWEET CHERRIES ( new varietes ; come-
back )
❖ROSA CANINA
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NUTRITIONAL VALUES OF FRUITS
▪ SEA BUCKTHORN - as SUPERFRUIT - very high level of all
kind of vitamins
▪ HASKAP - extremaly high antioxidants level ; phenol acid ;
▪ ROSA CANINA - Vitamin C ;
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HASKAP BPLANTATION with coveragainst birds
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HASKAP FRUITS
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SUMMARY :
1. CROP PROGNOSE IS PROMISING , BUT WE SHALL RESPECT
WAETHER – GENERALY SMALL RAINFALL
2. CROP CAN BE EARLY ; SHORT AND MOST OF PRODUCTS IN
THE SAME TIME
3. MOST OF PRODUCT WILL BE SALES AFTER POOR CROP IN
2017
4. THE BIGGEST PROBLEM ARE PEOPLE FOR THE HARVEST -
IT’S MIND THAT EVEN IF CROP IS GOOD - FRUIT WILL BE
NOT HARVESTED ( STRAWBERRY;RASPBERRY )
