european market indicators winter 2012/2013
DESCRIPTION
european market indicatorsTRANSCRIPT
European rental cyclesOffices
Logistics
Shopping centres
The Knight Frank wave depicts the current position of selected European centres with respect to their local prime rental cycle. As demand swells relative to supply and rents rise, centres move towards the crest of the wave. As demand ebbs and rental levels weaken, centres start to move down the wave towards the trough. Some markets will ride the wave more quickly than others. Similarly, some markets will tread water for periods of time or move only gently through the wave.
Moscow
Zurich
Barcelona, Bucharest, Dublin, Lisbon, Madrid
Dublin, Lisbon
Barcelona, Madrid, Paris, Zurich
Amsterdam, Bucharest, Budapest, Copenhagen, Edinburgh
Amsterdam, Brussels, Copenhagen
Barcelona, Madrid, Milan
Paris, Zurich
Budapest, Dublin, Edinburgh, Lisbon
Frankfurt, Helsinki, Kiev, London (City), London (West End), Stockholm, Warsaw
Geneva, Moscow
Bucharest, Prague, Vienna
Munich, Oslo
Brussels, London, Paris
Helsinki, Munich, Oslo, Prague
Frankfurt, Kiev
Geneva, Stockholm Warsaw
London, Milan
Vienna
Brussels, Helsinki, Munich, Oslo, Prague
Stockholm
Frankfurt, KievGeneva, Moscow, Warsaw
Amsterdam, Budapest, Copenhagen, Edinburgh, Milan, Vienna
research
Winter 2012/13
europeanMarket Indicators
www.KnightFrank.comKnight Frank LLP is a limited liability partnership registered in England with registered number OC305934. Our registered office is 55 Baker Street, London, W1U 8AN, where you may look at a list of members’ names.
European Research Matthew Colbourne
Associate, International Research
+44 (0)20 7861 1238
European Investment Team Andrew Sim
Partner, Head of European Investment
+44 (0)20 7861 1193
European Valuations Team Nick Powlesland Partner, Head of European Valuations
+44 (0)20 7861 1283
Market monitor – Winter 2012/13
Offices Logistics Shopping centres Retail warehousingCity Prime rents Prime yields Prime rents Prime yields Prime rents Prime yields Prime rents Prime yields (€/sq m/yr) (%) (€/sq m/yr) (%) (€/sq m/yr) (%) (€/sq m/yr) (%)Amsterdam 340 4 6.25 4 85 4 7.25 4 1,000 4 5.50 4 135 4 6.75 4Barcelona 186 6 6.25 5 54 6 8.50 5 564 4 7.00 5 162 6 7.00 4Brussels 285 4 6.25 4 45 4 7.50 4 1,400 5 5.25 6 170 4 6.25 4Bucharest 216 4 8.50 4 45 6 11.00 4 600 6 9.00 4 96 4 10.00 4Budapest 240 4 7.25 4 54 4 9.00 4 960 4 7.00 4 90 4 8.00 5Copenhagen 241 4 5.00 4 67 4 7.50 4 644 4 5.75 4 150 4 6.75 4Dublin 323 4 7.00 4 65 4 9.50 4 3,000* 4 8.00 4 75 6 8.25 4Edinburgh 357 4 6.50 4 93 4 7.75 4 2,250* 4 6.25 4 397 4 6.50 5Frankfurt 432 4 5.00 4 75 4 6.75 4 1,500 4 4.75 4 120 4 6.50 4Geneva 820 4 4.25 4 150 4 6.00 4 1,100 4 4.75 4 250 4 5.50 4Helsinki 366 4 5.50 4 108 4 7.25 4 1,200 4 5.25 4 145 4 6.75 4Kiev 324 4 12.50 4 56 4 11.00 4 833 4 12.00 4 N/A N/A Lisbon 216 4 8.00 5 60 4 8.75 4 780 4 8.00 4 96 4 8.50 5London 1,258 (WE) 4 / 728 (C) 44.00(WE) 4/ 5.25(C) 4 159 4 6.25 4 5,890* 4 5.25 4 530 4 5.25 5Madrid 312 6 6.00 5 57 6 8.50 5 540 4 7.00 5 156 6 7.00 4Milan 510 6 5.75 5 55 4 8.25 5 750 4 6.50 5 150 4 7.50 5Moscow 920 4 8.50 4 107 5 11.00 4 2,922 5 9.50 4 N/A N/A Munich 372 4 4.50 4 78 4 6.75 4 1,860 4 4.75 4 144 4 6.50 4Oslo 530 4 5.25 4 136 4 6.50 4 1,000 4 5.50 4 150 4 6.25 4Paris 820 4 4.50 4 53 4 7.25 4 1,600 4 5.00 5 120 4 5.75 5Prague 246 4 6.50 4 51 4 8.25 5 840 4 6.25 4 120 4 7.75 5Stockholm 520 4 4.50 4 119 4 6.50 4 800 4 5.00 4 220 4 5.75 4Vienna 294 4 5.25 4 72 4 7.25 4 1,080 4 5.75 4 156 4 6.50 4Warsaw 305 4 6.25 4 66 4 7.75 4 1,020 4 6.00 6 96 4 7.25 4Zurich 650 4 4.00 4 140 4 6.00 4 1,200 4 4.75 4 250 4 5.50 4
Indicative prime yields, as quoted locally, based upon a hypothetical Grade A unit. Office rents are for prime city area Grade A space, 2,000 sq m. Shopping Centre rents are based on prime covered shopping malls, quoted on best position, 100 sq m units. Retail Warehouse rents are for units of 1-5,000 sq m located in purpose built parks. Typical Retail Warehouse schemes vary between countries. Logistics rents are for prime industrial space of units over 5,000 sq m. The data above is provided for general reference purposes only. Local market conditions will vary. *Zoned/weighted figure. Arrows provide a broad indication of recent movements and the short-term outlook for prime rents and yields. London office data is quoted for the West End (WE) and City (C) submarkets.
Winter 2012/13europeanMarket Indicators
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Figure 1
European weighted average prime office rent€ per sq m per annum
Figure 2
European weighted average prime office yield%
Source: Knight Frank Source: Knight Frank
Figures 1 & 2 show averages of prime office rents and yields in the cities covered by this report, with markets weighted according to size and market maturity.
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