evaluating brazil’s bolsa família program:
DESCRIPTION
Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:. Do Local Governments Matter?. Pui Shen Yoong International Politics & Economics Honors Thesis April 20, 2012. Presentation Outline. Context: Brazil & the Bolsa Família Program Research Question Methodology Quantitative Findings - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
![Page 1: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:
Do Local Governments Matter?
Pui Shen YoongInternational Politics & Economics Honors Thesis
April 20, 2012
![Page 2: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
Presentation Outline
Context: Brazil & the Bolsa Família Program
Research Question
Methodology
Quantitative Findings
Qualitative Findings
Conclusion
![Page 3: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
Brazil – A Country of Contrasts
Mean per capita income (PPP US$ of 2005)
Source: World Bank.
![Page 4: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
The Bolsa Família Program
• Conditional cash transfer program
• Cash in exchange for schooling/nutrition ‘conditionalities’:• Pregnant women : pre-natal care• Children aged 0 – 6 : vaccination, monitoring• Children aged 6 – 15 : minimum attendance 85 %• Teenagers aged 16 – 17 : minimum attendance 75 %
• Families who earn <140 reais per capita (80 USD) a month
• Allowances from 32 to 306 reais (20 – 180 USD) a month
![Page 5: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
Decentralized Management
![Page 6: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
Research Question
“How does local government capacity affect the program’s ability to improve beneficiaries’ health & education across municipalities?”
![Page 7: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
Methodology: Regression Analysis
INDEPENDENT VARIABLE
Administrative Capacity
% of beneficiaries monitored for compliance with health/education requirements
DEPENDENT VARIABLE
Effect on health/education
-- % of beneficiaries complying with health/education requirements
853 municipalities in Minas Gerais stateMunicipal fixed-effects model (i=municipality, t=year)
![Page 8: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
Methodology: Case Studies
Araçuaí
Capelinha
Human Development Index by Municipality, Minas Gerais, 2000
Contagem
Belo Horizonte
![Page 9: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
Quantitative Results
• Monitoring rates have significant and positive effect on compliance rates, both for health & education.
• Population size, degree of urbanization, program coverage rates, log of tax revenue – no significant effect. Neither do supply-side factors (health teams, social assistance centers)
• But why/how do monitoring rates affect compliance rates?
![Page 10: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
Qualitative Results
Cross-sector collaboration – health, education, social assistance departments
Administrative Structure
Financial capacity does not explain differences in compliance rates
![Page 11: Evaluating Brazil’s Bolsa Família Program:](https://reader036.vdocument.in/reader036/viewer/2022062410/5681584e550346895dc5a6c8/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
Conclusion
Local government capacity matters!
Investment in building monitoring capacity (MDS & municipalities)
Incentives for horizontal collaboration among local-level agents