exalted probabilities
TRANSCRIPT
7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 1/10
Exact # of Successes, Tens are Double
.
. Botch
. 1 Dice 10.00% 50.00% 30.00% 10.00%
. 2 Dice 11.00% 25.00% 36.00% 21.00% 6.00% 1.00%
. 3 Dice .10% 12.50% 32.!0% 2".00% 13.50% !.50% 0.0% 0.10%
. ! Dice 6."1% 6.25% 25.2% 2.0% 1.!!% .!5% 3.2!% 0."%
. 5 Dice !.65% 3.12% 1.!!% 25.2% 22.6% 1!.31% 6."2% 2.3%
. 6 Dice 3.10% 1.56% 1!.00% 22.16% 23.33% 1".% 10.5% !.%
. " Dice 2.02% 0."% .0% 1".6% 22.0!% 20.00% 1!.0% ".0%
. Dice 1.2% 0.3% 6."2% 1!.00% 1.60% 20.!1% 16.66% 10."%
. Dice 0.1% 0.20% !.53% 10.5% 16.63% 1.53% 1.0% 13.62%
. 10 Dice 0.51% 0.10% 3.02% ".1% 13.60% 1"."6% 1.3"% 15.55%
. 11 Dice 0.31% 0.05% 2.00% 5.65% 10.1% 15.52% 1"."1% 16.61%
. 12 Dice 0.1% 0.02% 1.31% !.03% .3% 13.12% 16.36% 16.3%
. 13 Dice 0.12% 0.01% 0.5% 2.3% 6.3"% 10."% 1!.5% 16.32%
. 1! Dice 0.0"% $ 0.01% 0.55% 1."% !."5% .6"% 12.63% 15.25%
. 15 Dice 0.0!% $ 0.01% 0.35% 1.35% 3.50% 6.2% 10.65% 13.0%
. 16 Dice 0.03% $ 0.01% 0.23% 0.2% 2.5!% 5.2% ."% 12.16%
. 1" Dice 0.02% $ 0.001% 0.1!% 0.62% 1.2% !.02% ".11% 10.!6%
. 1 Dice $ 0.01% $ 0.001% 0.0% 0.!2% 1.2% 3.02% 5.65% .1%
. 1 Dice $ 0.01% $ 0.001% 0.06% 0.2% 0.1% 2.2!% !.!3% ".2%
. 20 Dice $ 0.01% 0.0!% 0.1% 0.6!% 1.65% 3.!2% 5.2%
.
. t &east # of Successes, Tens are Double
. Botch
. 1 Dice 10.00% 50.00% !0.00% 10.00%
. 2 Dice 11.00% 25.00% 6!.00% 2.00% ".00% 1.00%
. 3 Dice .10% 12.50% ".!0% !6.00% 1.00% 5.50% 1.00% 0.10%
. ! Dice 6."1% 6.25% ".0!% 61.12% 33.0!% 13.60% !.15% 0.1%
. 5 Dice !.65% 3.12% 2.22% "2."% !6.6% 2!.1% ."% 3.15%
. 6 Dice 3.10% 1.56% 5.33% 1.3!% 5.1% 35.5% 1"."% ".2"%
0
Successe
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1
Successe
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Successe
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3
Successe
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!
Successe
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5
Successe
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6
Successe
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$
0.0001%
0Successe
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1Successe
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2Successe
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3Successe
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!Successe
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5Successe
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6Successe
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7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 2/10
. " Dice 2.02% 0."% ".20% ".!0% 6.!!% !".!0% 2".3% 13.31%
. Dice 1.2% 0.3% .32% 1.60% "".61% 5.01% 3".60% 20.!%
. Dice 0.1% 0.20% .% !.!6% 3.% 6".25% !"."2% 2.65%
. 10 Dice 0.51% 0.10% .!0% 6.3"% .56% "!.6% 5".1% 3.3%
. 11 Dice 0.31% 0.05% .6!% ".6!% 1.% 1.1% 65.66% !".5%
. 12 Dice 0.1% 0.02% ."% .!% !.!5% 6.0"% "2.5% 56.5%
. 13 Dice 0.12% 0.01% ."% .02% 6.1% .2% ".03% 6!.!!%
. 1! Dice 0.0"% $ 0.01% .2% .3"% ".!1% 2.65% 3.% "1.36%
. 15 Dice 0.0!% $ 0.01% .5% .60% .25% !."5% ".3% "".2%
. 16 Dice 0.03% $ 0.01% ."% ."5% .2% 6.2% 1.01% 2.22%
. 1" Dice 0.02% $ 0.001% .% .!% .22% ".3% 3.3"% 6.26%
. 1 Dice $ 0.01% $ 0.001% .% .0% .!% .1% 5.16% .51%
. 1 Dice $ 0.01% $ 0.001% .% .!% .66% ."!% 6.50% 2.0"%
. 20 Dice $ 0.01% 100.00% .6% .""% .1!% ".!% !.0"%
.
$
0.0001%
7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 3/10
0.12% 0.01%
0.63% 0.12% 0.02% $ 0.01%
1.""% 0.50% 0.11% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
3.5% 1.32% 0.3% 0.0% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
5.3% 2.66% 0.% 0.30% 0.0% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
.51% !.!"% 1.% 0."!% 0.2!% 0.06% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
11.00% 6.60% 3.3% 1.!% 0.56% 0.1% 0.05% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
13.10% .1% 5.11% 2.5"% 1.12% 0.!3% 0.1!% 0.0!% 0.01% $ 0.01%
1!.62% 10.% ".02% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.33% 0.11% 0.03% $ 0.01%
15.!6% 12.60% .!% 5.5"% 3.06% 1.!% 0.65% 0.25% 0.0% 0.03%
15.63% 13.3% 10.6% ".2% !.!0% 2.3"% 1.1!% 0.!% 0.1% 0.0"%
15.21% 1!.51% 12.12% .6% 5.% 3.!"% 1.!% 0."% 0.3% 0.15%
1!.3!% 1!.65% 13.15% 10.!6% ".!!% !."5% 2."3% 1.!2% 0.6"% 0.2%
13.13% 1!.31% 13."2% 11.6% .1% 6.12% 3.1% 2.15% 1.10% 0.52%
11."3% 13.5"% 13.!% 12.56% 10.23% ".52% 5.01% 3.0!% 1.6% 0.6%
10.2!% 12.5!% 13.5!% 13.0!% 11.2% .3% 6.2% !.0% 2.!3% 1.32%
."% 11.33% 12.1% 13.1!% 12.0!% .% ".55% 5.22% 3.31% 1.3%
0.13% 0.01%
0.""% 0.1!% 0.02% $ 0.01%
2.3% 0.63% 0.13% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
"
Successe
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Successe
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Successe
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10
Successe
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Successe
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Successe
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Successe
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1!
Successe
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15
Successe
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16
Successe
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$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
"Successe
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Successe
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Successe
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10Successe
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11Successe
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12Successe
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13Successe
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1!Successe
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15Successe
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16Successe
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7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 4/10
5.!0% 1.2% 0.50% 0.11% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
."% !.0!% 1.3% 0.!0% 0.10% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
16.03% ".51% 3.0!% 1.06% 0.32% 0.0% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
23.2% 12.2% 5.6% 2.30% 0.1% 0.25% 0.0"% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
31.3!% 1.2!% .!2% !.31% 1."5% 0.62% 0.20% 0.05% 0.01% $ 0.01%
3."5% 25.1!% 1!.26% ".2!% 3.2% 1.33% 0.!% 0.15% 0.0!% 0.01%
!.12% 32.6"% 20.0"% 11.13% 5.5"% 2.51% 1.01% 0.3"% 0.12% 0.03%
56.11% !0.!% 26.66% 15."% .6% !.2% 1.2% 0."% 0.2% 0.0%
63.!"% !.26% 33."5% 21.63% 12.6"% 6."% 3.31% 1.!"% 0.5% 0.22%
"0.06% 55."2% !1.0"% 2".3% 1".!6% 10.03% 5.2% 2.55% 1.13% 0.!6%
"5.0% 62.6"% !.3"% 3!.65% 22.6% 1!.05% ".2% !.12% 1."% 0."%
0."0% 6."% 55.!0% !1.5"% 2.01% 1."% 11.2"% 6.25% 3.21% 1.52%
!."% "!.5!% 62.00% !.!6% 35.!2% 2!.13% 15.30% .01% !.3% 2.50%
.1!% ".3"% 6.0!% 55.13% !1.% 2.5% 1.6% 12.!1% ".1% 3.%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 5/10
$ 0.001%
$ 0.01% $ 0.001%
$ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.05% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.11% 0.0!% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
0.22% 0.0% 0.03% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
0.!0% 0.1"% 0.0"% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
0.66% 0.31% 0.13% 0.05% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
1.0!% 0.52% 0.2!% 0.10% 0.0!% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
1"
Successe
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1
Successe
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1
Successe
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20
Successe
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21
Successe
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22
Successe
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23
Successe
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2!
Successe
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25
Successe
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26
Successe
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$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
1"Successe
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1Successe
s
1Successe
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20Successe
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21Successe
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22Successe
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23Successe
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2!Successe
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25Successe
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26Successe
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7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 6/10
$ 0.001%
$ 0.01% $ 0.001%
$ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.03% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.0"% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.1"% 0.06% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.35% 0.13% 0.0!% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001%
0.6"% 0.2"% 0.10% 0.03% 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
1.1% 0.52% 0.21% 0.0% 0.03% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
1.5% 0.1% 0.!0% 0.16% 0.06% 0.02% $ 0.01% $ 0.01% $ 0.001% $ 0.001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$0.0001%
$0.0001%
$0.0001%
$0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%$
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 7/10
2"
Successe
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2
Successe
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2
Successe
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30
Successe
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31
Successe
s
32
Successe
s
33
Successe
s
3!
Successe
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35
Successe
s
36
Successe
s
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
2"Successe
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2Successe
s
2Successe
s
30Successe
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31Successe
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32Successe
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33Successe
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3!Successe
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35Successe
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36Successe
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7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 8/10
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%$
0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
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0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 9/10
3"
Successe
s
3
Successe
s
3
Successe
s
!0
Successe
s
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
3"Successe
s
3Successe
s
3Successe
s
!0Successe
s
7/23/2019 Exalted Probabilities
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/exalted-probabilities 10/10
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%
$
0.0001%