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whÿïlrejkag Wmfoia

1' .;hq;= ld,h - lshùu iy ie,iqï lsÍu - ñ' 20 - ,sùu - me' 03

2' 1^wd& fldgi # nyqjrK m%Yak 10 ls - ish¿u m%Yakj,g ms

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1 fldgi

m%Yak úiaiu wksjd¾hhs' 1 fldgi i|yd uq¿ ,l=Kq 50 ls' fldgi i|yd ks¾foaYs; ld,h úkdä 90 hs'

m%Yak wxl 01

1 ^w& Tn úiska b;du;au WÑ; ms

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1'4 weia;fïka;=.; ,dNh re' ñ,shk 50" re' ñ,shk 90 iy re' ñ,shk 95 la ,eîfï iïNdú;dj ms

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1'8 my; i|yka tajdhska" jdisodhl iDcq øjH Ndú; úp,kh meyeÈ,s fkdlrk úl,amh jkafka #

w' m%ñ;fha msßú;rhg jvd by, ;;a;ajfha øjH Ndú;h'

wd' øjH wmf;ahEï wkqmd;h wvqùula'

we' iemhqïlref.a ;;a;aj mÍlaIK jeäùula

wE whjeh f,aLK.; mßudjg jvd wvq ksuehqula ,nd.ekSu'

^,l=Kq 02&

1'9 bkafjdhsis 100 l ir< iiïNdù ksheÈhla re' 600 l uOHkh jákdlula iy re' 100 l iïu; wm.ukhla fmkajkq ,eîh' 95] l by< úYajdikSh uÜg fï iuia; uOHkh tu ksid wdikak f,i #

w' re' 500

wd' re' 580

we' re' 620

wE re' 700 ^,l=Kq 02&

1'10 m¾fhaIK wdh;khla Wiia fm< YsIHhska 100 l iiïNdù ksheÈhla yuqjQ w;r"

.%dyl wdh;kh bÈßm;a lrk wfkla ish¿u iudk mdGud,dj,ska" jD;a;Sh mdGud,d j,g 20] ksheÈ wkqmd;hla ukdm nj fidhd.kakd ,§' .%dyl wdh;kh uÕska msßkuk mdGud,d j,ska ish¿u Wiia fm< YsIHhka i|yd 95] (Z- 2)

úYajdikSh wka;rfha wkqmd;h (Confidence interval for the proportion) #

w' 12] isg 28]

wd' 16] isg 24]

we' 18] isg 22]

wE 19] isg 21] ^,l=Kq 02&

1 ^wd& ls%hdldÍ ls%hdmo (Action Verbs) flfrys wjOdkh fhduqlrñka ish¿u m%Yakj,g flá ms

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1'12 B

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1'17 iud.ula tys ld¾;=uh úl=Kqï mßud m%jk;djh mqfrdal:kh lsrSug m%;smdhk (Regression) iólrKh Ndú;d lrk w;r" th iD;=uh (Seasonal) o¾Ylhla uÕska

.,mkq ,nhs' iólrKh kï # TV = 4000 + 80 N fuys TV hkq m%jk;d mßudj iy N hkq ld¾;= wxlhhs'

1" 2" 3 iy 4 hk ld¾;= ioyd iD;=uh o¾Ylfha w.h ms

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2 fldgi

m%Yak y;frka ;=klg ms

8

m%Yak wxl 03

fmrieß 3 lska iukaú; ksIamdok ls%hdj,shl fojk fmrießhg wod, o;a; my; ±lafõ'

øjH fhojqï fmrieß - 1 ka tallh re' 194 ne.ska tall 5000

tl;=l< øjH re' 217"500 iDcq jegqma re' 400"000 fmdoqld¾h msßjeh re' 308"100

fmrieß wjika jQjdg miqj wm;hka y|qkd.kakd w;r" ckjdß udih ;=, tall 800 la bj;,k ,§' udih ;=, fhdojk ,o tallj,ska 10] l idudkH wm;h f,i i,lk ,§' hï m¿ÿ tallhl iqkanqka w.h re' 50 ls'

wdrïNl fkdksñ fmrieß tall 600 la my; mßÈ ksñ ;;a;ajhla úh'

øjH fmrieß 1 ka 100] re' 75"000 tl;=l< øjH 60] re' 25"000 Y%uh 30] re' 50"000 fmdoqld¾h msßjeh 30] re' 14"400 tl;=j re' 164"400

wjidk fkdksñ fmrieß tall 1000 la my; ±lafjk ksñ ;;a;ajhla úh'

øjH fmrieß 1 ka 100] tl;=l< øjH 75] Y%uh 40] fmdoqld¾h msßjeh 20]

iud.u nr;enQ idudkH ñ, l%uh Ndú;d lrhs'

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m%Yak wxl 04 4'1 ksIamdok iud.ula úiska Ndú;dlrk ‘ X ’ øjHhg iïnkaO f;dr;=re my; ±lafõ'

i;shlg Wmßu mßfNdackh tall 9"000 i;shlg wju mßfNdackh tall 3"000 h,s- weKjqï m%udKh tall 36"000 ld, mudj (Lead Time) i;s 4 - 6

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m%Yak wxl 05 my; i|yka úia;r" we,amd keu;s ;ks NdKavhla ksIamdokh lrk iud.fï ckjdß udih i|yd i;H ksuejqï msßjeh iy úp,khkag wod,jhs' wdrïNl yd wjidk fkdksñ f;d. ke;s w;r m%ñ; wdka;sl msßjeh l%uh wdh;kh ;=, ls%hd;aul fõ'

we,amd i;H ksIamdokh tall 9000 udih i|yd jehjQ i;H msßjeh # re Z000

ñ,§.;a iy mßfNdackh l< iDcq o%jH ^ls'.%E' 1000& 300 iDcq Y%uh meh 5000 la i|yd 390 úp,H ksIamdok fmdÿld¾h msßjeh 122 úp,Hhka # re Z000

iDcq øjH ñ, 30 jdis iDcq øjH Ndú; 33 wjdis iDcq Y%u wkqmd; 10 jdis iDcq Y%u ld¾hlaIu;d 32 jdis úp,H ksIamdok fmdÿld¾h msßjeh úhoï 22 wjdis úp,H ksIamdok fmdÿld¾h msßjeh ld¾hlaIu 8 jdis

úp,H ksIamdok fmdÿld¾h msßjeh Ndú;dlrk meh .Kk iu. fjkiafjhs'

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3 fldgi

wksjd¾h m%Yakh' 3 fldgig uq¿ ,l=Kq 20 ls' fuu fldgi i|yd ks¾foaYs; ld,h úkdä 36 lss'

m%Yak wxl 06

nexl=jla tys ksjdi Kh ls%hdlsÍfï lghq;= wema,sflaIka fm%dafiiska i¾úiia ,sñgâ ^APSL& iud.ug Ndr§ we;' APSL th fmrieß lrk Kh uqo,ska 0'5] l .dia;=jla wh lrhs'

2015 j¾Ifha§ tla Kh uqo,l idudkH jákdlu re' 2"000"000 f,i weia;fïka;= lr we;' APSL u.ska 2015 ioyd whjeh f,aLkh ms

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