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Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm Randy Caruso, OECD [email protected] Based on the discussion paper “Exploring Climate Finance Effectiveness” by Jane Ellis, Randy Caruso, Stephanie Ockenden Exploring Climate Finance Effectiveness CCXG Global Forum 18 September 2013

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Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm

Randy Caruso, OECD

[email protected]

Based on the discussion paper “Exploring Climate Finance Effectiveness” by Jane Ellis, Randy Caruso, Stephanie Ockenden

Exploring Climate Finance Effectiveness

CCXG Global Forum 18 September 2013

2 Climate Change Expert Group

Focusing on results

3 Climate Change Expert Group

Presentation outline

Walk through three observations related to the following questions on results frameworks:

1. What types of indicators are being used?

2. What is the scope of these indicators?

3. What are the core issues in implementing results frameworks?

Questions for discussion

4 Climate Change Expert Group

1. What types of indicators are being used?

5 Climate Change Expert Group

1. What types of indicators are being used?

While all institutions place a focus on results, chosen indicators are not always linked to impacts – often focusing instead on outputs or outcomes.

6 Climate Change Expert Group

Results frameworks Time since intervention

Scale

Project

Portfolio / Programme

National

Global

Output Outcome Impact Input

$100 m to fund feed-in

tariff

7 Climate Change Expert Group

Results frameworks Time since intervention

Scale

Project

Portfolio / Programme

National

Global

Output Outcome Impact Input

$100 m to fund feed-in

tariff

8 Climate Change Expert Group

Results frameworks Time since intervention

Scale

Project

Portfolio / Programme

National

Global

Output Outcome Impact

1 000 wind turbines installed

Input

$100 m to fund feed-in

tariff

9 Climate Change Expert Group

Results frameworks Time since intervention

Scale

Project

Portfolio / Programme

National

Global

Output Outcome Impact

1 000 wind turbines installed

new fossil-fuel fired

generation avoided

Input

$100 m to fund feed-in

tariff

10 Climate Change Expert Group

Results frameworks Time since intervention

Scale

Project

Portfolio / Programme

National

Global

Output Outcome Impact

1 000 wind turbines installed

new fossil-fuel fired

generation avoided

x tonnes of CO2eq/yr avoided

Input

$100 m to fund feed-in

tariff

11 Climate Change Expert Group

2. What is the scope of these indicators?

12 Climate Change Expert Group

2. What is the scope of these indicators?

Results frameworks are often multi-dimensional, with indicators extending beyond climate-specific areas into broader development areas

Breadth of results frameworks

Mitigation

• Policies introduced

• GHG emissions abated/avoided

• EE savings • tCO2

sequestered • RE installed

(ratio)

Adaptation

• Policies • Energy

efficiency • Renewable

energy • GHG

emissions • tCO2

sequestered

Mitigation-specific indicators

• Policies • Vulnerability

of population • Vulnerability

of assets • Outreach or

CB activities • Vulnerability

assessments

Resilience-specific indicators Broader development indicators

• Finance mobilised

• Access to energy

• Access to transportation

• Livelihoods • Land use and

forests

• Biodiversity • Local env.

quality • Water • Food security • Health • Sanitation • Tech transfer

14 Climate Change Expert Group

3. What are the core issues in implementing results frameworks?

15 Climate Change Expert Group

3. What are the core issues in implementing results frameworks?

Methodological issues complicate

efforts to track results and assess effectiveness;

16 Climate Change Expert Group

3. What are the core issues in implementing results frameworks?

Methodological issues complicate

efforts to track results and assess effectiveness; un-coordinated and differentiated responses compound these

17 Climate Change Expert Group

Core issues

Setting baselines and choosing targets e.g. baseline choice has been shown to influence GHG foot-

printing tools by a factor of 3 for renewable energy and 10 for energy efficiency projects (Clapp et. al., 2009).

Assessing transformational change e.g. how to determine causality or account for exogenous factors?

Context-specificity of results e.g. how to balance tradeoffs between comparability/aggregation

and context-specificity?

18 Climate Change Expert Group

Core issues - cont

Cost effectiveness and value for money e.g. is cost effectiveness a reliable metric across objectives and

contexts?; whose “values” apply?

Tracking underlying financial flows e.g. how to ensure the flow back of results for complex financing

instruments, e.g. investment fund-of-funds?

Learning and knowledge management e.g., how to characterise and share experience within and across

institutions?

19 Climate Change Expert Group

Discussion questions

What information is needed to assess the effectiveness of mitigation activities?

How to balance tracking GHG benefits; broader economic, environmental and social co-benefits; and cost-effectiveness concerns?