fabrice grinda at leweb 2013: the case for optimism
DESCRIPTION
Slides of my keynote on the next 10 years: the case for optimism at LeWeb 2013 in ParisTRANSCRIPT
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The Case for Optimism
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com2
We are bombarded with depressing news
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
It feels like we are headed for a dire future
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Dictatorships are on the wane
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
82% decrease in global poverty in only 40 years
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
650M people came out of poverty in China in 30 years
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Shenzen in the 1980’s and 2013
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1980’s
2013
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Increasing oil reserves despite record consumption
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Fundamental changes in our way of life
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Office work in the 1970’s… and in 2013
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Over the long run recessions barely register
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The Great
Depression
Oil Shocks
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Our lives have been transformed for the better
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Life expectancy 2X Childhood mortality /10Per capita income 3X
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
We have redefined “poverty”
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Americans in poverty have:
• 99% have electricity, water, toilet & refrigerator
• 95% have a television
• 88% have a mobile phone
• 70% have a car and air conditioning
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
The world is more peaceful than ever before
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Africa is rising
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Source:: GSMA AFRICA MOBILE OBSERVATORY 2011
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Estonia is setting an example for other countries to follow
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• 24% of people voted online in 2011
• 93% fill personal tax returns online
• Companies can be setup online
• Online school reports including homework, grades, etc.
• Online medical records
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
3D Printing is revolutionizing manufacturing
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3D Printing has already
revolutionized prototyping…is being increasingly
used to make final parts…
and may revolutionize medicine
with the printing of organs
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Healthcare is finally becoming computerized
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Watson is better at diagnosing certain
cancers than traditional doctors
Star Trek-like medical tricorders
should enter the market within 5 years
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Robots are invading factories and our lives
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Drones will reduce by over
90% the average shipping
time we experience today
The Da Vinci Robot is more
precise than the best surgeon
for non-invasive surgeries.
Atlas Robot is designed to
save lives in disaster zones
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
The Internet of Things will improve our daily lives
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Egg-minder tells us when
eggs are going bad
Nest learns our habits and adjusts
our home’s temperature accordingly
and gets smarter every time we use it
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Education is also finally entering the technology age
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From traditional classrooms… to computerized classrooms… and “global” classrooms
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Transportation will be significantly improved
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Average Driver: 1.8 accidents every 300,000 miles Self driving car: 0 accidents every 300,000 miles
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Communications are headed for a revolution
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Movie reconstruction from brain activity First example of human brain-to-brain communication
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Energy is abundant, the issue is accessibility
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Aluminum was more expensive than gold in the 1800’s
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Solar energy is increasingly becoming cost competitive
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
Innovations are happening in water purification…
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Fabrice Grinda www.fabricegrinda.com
… and farming
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Fabrice Grinda
@fabricegrinda