facility planning boe advisory committee - bluevalleyk12.org€¦ · facility planning boe advisory...

Facility Planning BOE Advisory Committee

Tuesday, October 29, 2019

5:30 p.m.

High Plains Room

Agenda

1. Roadmap for the Evening

2. Group Discussion on Enrollment Projections

3. Detailed Look at Several Buildings

Next Meeting

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

at 5:30 p.m.

High Plains Room

Elementary

School* Pro

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9/20

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SPED notes4

%

Utilization

of Current

Capacity

%

Utilitzation

w/ Mobiles

Blue River 25 23 22 18 4 0 2 24 INT-R 96% 96%

Cedar Hills5

26 24 4 28 23 5 0 2 30 INT-R 117% 100%

Cottonwood Point 21 21 19 15 4 0 0 19 ESOL / ED 90% 90%

Harmony5

26 26 24 21 3 0 0 24 LIFT (C11 a NIS) 92% 92%

Heartland 23 22 19 16 3 0 1 20 INT-R 86% 86%

Indian Valley 22 20 18 15 3 0 2 20 LIFT (2) 90% 90%

Lakewood5

26 26 2 27 23 4 0 0 27 LIFT 104% 96%

Leawood 21 21 24 19 5 0 0 24 INT-R 114% 114%

Liberty View5

26 26 2 20 17 3 0 0 20 ED 77% 71%

Mission Trail 26 24 19 15 4 0 2 21 LIFT/OT 79% 79%

Morse5

20 19 2 18 15 3 0 1 19 INT-R 95% 86%

Oak Hill 24 22 19 16 3 2 0 21 INT-R / EC (2) 86% 86%

Overland Trail5

29 28 2 25 20 5 0 1 26 1 Extra IRR 89% 83%

Prairie Star5

26 22 18 15 3 0 4 22 ED, INT-R, 2 extra IRR 82% 82%

Stanley 24 19 16 13 3 4 1 21 LIFT / EC (4) 84% 84%

Stilwell 22 19 12 10 2 0 3 15 ED, 2 Extra IRR 63% 63%

Sunrise Point 25 23 18 15 3 0 2 20 ESOL, NAV / 1 Extra IRR 78% 78%

Sunset Ridge 26 25 19 16 3 0 1 20 LIFT 76% 76%

Timber Creek 30 30 2 27 22 5 0 0 27 90% 84%

Valley Park 30 28 2 29 23 6 0 2 31 1 INT-R / 1 - ESOL 104% 97%

Wolf Springs 30 22 21 17 4 6 2 29 NAV / EC (6) 95% 95%

Totals 528 490 16 442 364 78 12 26 480

Middle School Pro

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9-20

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SP

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SPED notes4

%

Utilization

of Current

Capacity

%

Utilitzation

w/ Mobiles

Aubry Bend 840 780 750 2 1 INT-R 96% 96%

Blue Valley 810 720 612 3 1 ED, 1 LIFT, 1 INT-R 85% 85%

Harmony 750 720 553 1 1 INT-R 77% 77%

Lakewood 810 750 594 2 1 LIFT, 1 INT-R 79% 79%

Leawood 630 600 513 1 1 INT-R 86% 86%

Overland Trail 720 630 593 3 1 ESOL, 1 ED, 1 INT-R 94% 94%

Oxford 690 570 570 4 1 ESOL, 1 Nav, 1 LIFT, 1 INT-R 100% 100%

Pleasant Ridge 810 750 599 2 2 INT-R 80% 80%

Prairie Star 750 660 466 3 1 ESOL, 2 INT-R 71% 71%

Totals 6,810 6,180 0 5,250 21

High School Pro

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9-20

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SPED notes4

%

Utilization

of Current

Capacity

%

Utilitzation

w/ Mobiles

BVHS5

1,394 1,394 10 1,600 0 115% 96%

BVNHS5

1,731 1,675 2 1,501 2 1 ESOL, 1 Nav 90% 87%

BVNW 1,751 1,723 1,633 1 1 ESOL 95% 95%

BVSW 1,715 1,687 1,097 1 1 Navigators 65% 65%

BVW 1,744 1,716 1,582 1 1 ESOL 92% 92%

Totals 8,335 8,195 12 7,413 0 5

School Utilization Analysis for 2019-20 (updated 9/20/19)

4 SPED programs currently located at these schools reduce the total number of regular instructional classrooms and thus the current capacity figure.

5 Mobile classroom spaces are NOT included in the Current Capacity figure. Each mobile classroom space is figured as 25 seats for MS and HS, 1 section for ES. All current mobile buildings have 2

classrooms.

* Utilization of pod spaces are not figured into Current Capacity , however the utilization of pod spaces will increase Current Capacity when necessary.

1 The Program Capacity is a capacity measure that accounts for the current educational program and its ability to be reasonably accommodated in an existing facility. Please note that in most of the

elementary school buildings, the actual number of students the building could hold is greater than the stated Program Capacity because of the possible use of pod spaces as classrooms. However,

using pod spaces for classrooms is not seen as a long-term solution and should not be considered in the official capacity of a building.2 The Current Capacity is a capacity measure reflective of the program capacity MINUS any special district programs (i.e. EC, BD/LD, LIFT, SMH, etc.) that may exist in the building from year to year.

Special programs are generally district programs and not building specific.3 Based on projected student enrollment for 9/20/19 (Official State Count Day). Figure does not include preschool students and itinerant students.

Current Capacity < 75% Current Capacity ≥75% and ≤110% Current Capacity >110%

School Current Count 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 Projection

Capacity (19/20) Type Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Type 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25

1. Blue River Low 460 440 425 422 41823 Head Count

1 428 469 467 Mid 477 471 466 471 472High 495 501 507 520 526

2. Cedar Hills Low 618 592 587 564 55724 Head Count

1 641 633 649 Mid 631 616 618 602 5994 mobile classrooms High 644 640 650 639 641

3. Cottonwood Point Low 407 406 416 416 41221 Head Count

1 358 366 401 Mid 415 421 437 443 442High 423 436 459 469 472

4. Harmony Low 496 460 451 440 42426 Head Count

1 525 536 542 Mid 510 484 484 479 467High 523 509 516 518 510

5. Heartland Low 404 405 394 398 38622 Head Count

1 387 418 401 Mid 412 420 415 424 415High 421 436 436 450 444

6. Indian Valley Low 361 343 339 335 34220 Head Count

1 384 358 363 Mid 375 367 373 376 386High 388 392 407 416 430

7. Lakewood Low 579 556 536 523 50926 Head Count


8. Leawood Low 558 539 534 518 52721 Head Count

1 508 515 544 Mid 579 578 587 582 601Planned mobile classroom High 600 616 641 646 675

9. Liberty View Low 427 412 417 427 43626 Head Count


10. Mission Trail Low 408 410 402 394 39624 Head Count

1 448 415 410 Mid 416 424 424 425 436High 423 439 446 456 475

11. Morse Low 385 355 337 345 33719 Head Count


12. Oak Hill Low 427 408 395 396 37422 Head Count

1 400 415 415 Mid 440 432 427 437 416High 454 457 460 477 458

13. Overland Trail Low 544 505 468 452 46128 Head Count


14. Prairie Star Low 363 351 362 369 36722 Head Count

1 386 376 370 Mid 374 371 390 402 402High 385 392 419 436 438

15. Stanley Low 314 305 300 291 28019 Head Count

1 324 320 312 Mid 326 327 330 327 318High 337 349 360 362 356

16. Stilwell Low 245 253 267 281 31619 Head Count

1 231 221 228 Mid 259 283 319 354 405High 273 314 370 427 494

17. Sunrise Point Low 373 374 371 375 37923 Head Count

1 400 394 392 Mid 387 401 406 417 425High 401 427 441 459 471

18. Sunset Ridge Low 383 355 343 342 33425 Head Count

1 464 448 407 Mid 394 375 370 375 370High 406 395 398 408 406

19. Timber Creek Low 604 592 574 561 56630 Head Count


20. Valley Park Low 595 618 621 641 63328 Head Count


21. Wolf Springs Low 459 504 554 590 61622 Head Count

1 268 346 419 Mid 478 546 621 688 741High 497 588 688 787 866

Source: Enrollment Projections and Historical Data, BVSD Facilities and Operations Department

1 Official Headcount for that school year

District-based programs not included in projections > 110% Current Capacity

Year Where # of Sections are Within Current Building Capacity

< 75% Current Capacity

Blue Valley Elementary Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25Projection Year

All buildings, regardless of shading color, are subject to potential boundary changes when necessary to balance

enrollment across the district.

10/25/2019

School Current 2019/20 Projection

Capacity (19/20) Sections Type 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/251. Blue River Low 20 19 18 19 18

23 20 Mid 21 22 20 20 21

High 23 24 24 24 242. Cedar Hills Low 27 26 25 25 25

24 28 Mid 28 27 27 26 264 mobile classrooms High 29 28 28 27 28

3. Cottonwood Point Low 18 18 18 18 18

21 17 Mid 18 19 19 19 19

High 20 20 21 20 214. Harmony Low 21 20 19 20 19

26 24 Mid 23 23 23 22 21

High 24 23 23 23 245. Heartland Low 18 18 18 18 18

22 19 Mid 19 18 18 18 18

High 19 18 18 19 186. Indian Valley Low 18 17 16 16 16

20 18 Mid 18 18 18 18 18

High 18 18 18 18 187. Lakewood Low 25 24 23 23 22


8. Leawood Low 24 23 23 23 23

21 22 Mid 25 24 23 24 25Planned mobile classroom High 26 28 29 29 30

9. Liberty View Low 18 19 19 19 20


10. Mission Trail Low 17 18 18 18 19

24 20 Mid 19 18 19 19 19

High 19 19 19 20 2111. Morse Low 18 16 16 17 16


12. Oak Hill Low 19 18 17 17 17

22 19 Mid 20 19 20 19 18

High 20 20 21 20 2013. Overland Trail Low 24 22 22 19 21


14. Prairie Star Low 16 16 17 18 18

22 18 Mid 17 17 18 18 18

High 17 17 18 18 1815. Stanley Low 14 15 14 14 13

19 17 Mid 15 16 17 17 16

High 15 17 17 17 1816. Stilwell Low 12 12 13 14 15

19 12 Mid 12 14 15 17 19

High 13 15 17 19 2417. Sunrise Point Low 18 18 18 18 18

23 18 Mid 18 18 18 18 18

High 18 18 19 21 2118. Sunset Ridge Low 18 17 16 17 16

25 21 Mid 18 18 18 18 18

High 19 18 18 18 1819. Timber Creek Low 26 27 25 26 25


20. Valley Park Low 26 27 26 27 27


21. Wolf Springs Low 21 22 24 26 27

22 14 Mid 21 24 27 29 33

High 22 25 29 33 36

> 110% Current Capacity

Year Where # of Sections are Within Current Building Capacity


Blue Valley Elementary Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25: SectionsProjection Year

Note: All buildings, regardless of shading color are subject to potential

boundary changes when necessary to balance enrollment across the

district.

10/25/2019

School Current 2019/20 Projection

Capacity (19/20) Sections Type 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/251. Blue River Low 87.0% 82.6% 78.3% 82.6% 78.3%

23 20 Mid 91.3% 95.7% 87.0% 87.0% 91.3%

High 100.0% 104.3% 104.3% 104.3% 104.3%2. Cedar Hills Low 112.5% 108.3% 104.2% 104.2% 104.2%

24 28 Mid 116.7% 112.5% 112.5% 108.3% 108.3%4 mobile classrooms High 120.8% 116.7% 116.7% 112.5% 116.7%

3. Cottonwood Point Low 85.7% 85.7% 85.7% 85.7% 85.7%

21 17 Mid 85.7% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5% 90.5%

High 95.2% 95.2% 100.0% 95.2% 100.0%4. Harmony Low 80.8% 76.9% 73.1% 76.9% 73.1%

26 24 Mid 88.5% 88.5% 88.5% 84.6% 80.8%

High 92.3% 88.5% 88.5% 88.5% 92.3%5. Heartland Low 81.8% 81.8% 81.8% 81.8% 81.8%

22 19 Mid 86.4% 81.8% 81.8% 81.8% 81.8%

High 86.4% 81.8% 81.8% 86.4% 81.8%6. Indian Valley Low 90.0% 85.0% 80.0% 80.0% 80.0%

20 18 Mid 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%

High 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%7. Lakewood Low 96.2% 92.3% 88.5% 88.5% 84.6%


8. Leawood Low 114.3% 109.5% 109.5% 109.5% 109.5%

21 22 Mid 119.0% 114.3% 109.5% 114.3% 119.0%

High 123.8% 133.3% 138.1% 138.1% 142.9%9. Liberty View Low 69.2% 73.1% 73.1% 73.1% 76.9%


10. Mission Trail Low 70.8% 75.0% 75.0% 75.0% 79.2%

24 20 Mid 79.2% 75.0% 79.2% 79.2% 79.2%

High 79.2% 79.2% 79.2% 83.3% 87.5%11. Morse Low 94.7% 84.2% 84.2% 89.5% 84.2%


12. Oak Hill Low 86.4% 81.8% 77.3% 77.3% 77.3%

22 19 Mid 90.9% 86.4% 90.9% 86.4% 81.8%

High 90.9% 90.9% 95.5% 90.9% 90.9%13. Overland Trail Low 85.7% 78.6% 78.6% 67.9% 75.0%


14. Prairie Star Low 72.7% 72.7% 77.3% 81.8% 81.8%

22 18 Mid 77.3% 77.3% 81.8% 81.8% 81.8%

High 77.3% 77.3% 81.8% 81.8% 81.8%15. Stanley Low 73.7% 78.9% 73.7% 73.7% 68.4%

19 17 Mid 78.9% 84.2% 89.5% 89.5% 84.2%

High 78.9% 89.5% 89.5% 89.5% 94.7%16. Stilwell Low 63.2% 63.2% 68.4% 73.7% 78.9%

19 12 Mid 63.2% 73.7% 78.9% 89.5% 100.0%

High 68.4% 78.9% 89.5% 100.0% 126.3%17. Sunrise Point Low 78.3% 78.3% 78.3% 78.3% 78.3%

23 18 Mid 78.3% 78.3% 78.3% 78.3% 78.3%

High 78.3% 78.3% 82.6% 91.3% 91.3%18. Sunset Ridge Low 72.0% 68.0% 64.0% 68.0% 64.0%

25 21 Mid 72.0% 72.0% 72.0% 72.0% 72.0%

High 76.0% 72.0% 72.0% 72.0% 72.0%19. Timber Creek Low 86.7% 90.0% 83.3% 86.7% 83.3%

30 29 Mid 86.7% 90.0% 90.0% 86.7% 86.7%

High 90.0% 93.3% 93.3% 93.3% 93.3%20. Valley Park Low 92.9% 96.4% 92.9% 96.4% 96.4%

28 23 Mid 100.0% 103.6% 110.7% 110.7% 114.3%

High 103.6% 117.9% 121.4% 128.6% 128.6%21. Wolf Springs Low 95.5% 100.0% 109.1% 118.2% 122.7%

22 14 Mid 95.5% 109.1% 122.7% 131.8% 150.0%

High 100.0% 113.6% 131.8% 150.0% 163.6%

> 110% Current Capacity

Year where # of sections are within Current Building Capacity


Blue Valley Elementary Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25: % CapacityProjection Year

Note: All buildings, regardless of shading color are subject to

potential boundary changes when necessary to balance enrollment

across the district.

10/25/2019



1. Aubry Bend Low 741 740 742 711 683Head Count

1 772 752 750 Mid 763 789 821 823 827

High 785 837 900 935 971

2. Blue Valley Low 560 561 518 530 522

Head Count 1 576 568 612 Mid 580 604 586 629 656

High 600 646 653 729 790

3. Harmony Low 550 528 505 456 447Head Count

1 560 552 553 Mid 564 556 546 506 509

High 578 583 586 556 570

4. Lakewood Low 558 542 509 470 448Head Count

1 638 579 594 Mid 577 578 559 532 521

High 596 615 609 593 593

5. Leawood Low 463 442 445 466 458Head Count

1 464 497 513 Mid 487 478 493 535 543

High 511 513 541 604 629

6. Overland Trail Low 576 512 503 465 440Head Count

1 571 583 593 Mid 603 568 596 594 602

High 630 625 689 722 765

7. Oxford Low 554 556 554 552 550Head Count

1 598 587 570 Mid 571 592 610 626 641

High 589 629 667 700 732

8. Pleasant Ridge Low 604 568 551 537 512Head Count

1 612 630 599 Mid 618 595 591 589 575

High 632 623 631 641 637

9. Prairie Star Low 431 419 398 386 375Head Count

1 538 490 466 Mid 445 447 438 435 435

High 458 475 478 484 495

Source: Enrollment Projections and Historical Data, BVSD Facilities and Operations Department1 Official Headcount for that school year > 110% Current Capacity





1. Aubry Bend Head Count 1 Low 95.0% 94.9% 95.2% 91.2% 87.5%

772 752 750 Mid 97.8% 101.1% 105.3% 105.5% 106.0%

High 100.7% 107.4% 115.4% 119.9% 124.5%

2. Blue Valley Head Count 1 Low 77.7% 77.9% 72.0% 73.6% 72.5%

720 576 568 612 Mid 80.5% 83.8% 81.3% 87.4% 91.1%

High 83.3% 89.7% 90.7% 101.3% 109.7%

3. Harmony Head Count 1 Low 76.5% 73.4% 70.1% 63.4% 62.1%

720 560 552 553 Mid 78.4% 77.2% 75.8% 70.3% 70.7%

High 80.3% 81.0% 81.4% 77.2% 79.2%

4. Lakewood Head Count 1 Low 74.4% 72.3% 67.9% 62.7% 59.8%

750 638 579 594 Mid 76.9% 77.1% 74.6% 70.9% 69.4%

High 79.4% 82.0% 81.2% 79.1% 79.1%

5. Leawood Head Count 1 Low 77.2% 73.7% 74.1% 77.7% 76.3%

600 464 497 513 Mid 81.2% 79.6% 82.1% 89.2% 90.5%

High 85.1% 85.6% 90.1% 100.6% 104.8%

6. Overland Trail Head Count 1 Low 91.4% 81.3% 79.9% 73.9% 69.9%

630 571 583 593 Mid 95.7% 90.2% 94.6% 94.2% 95.6%

High 100.0% 99.2% 109.3% 114.6% 121.4%

7. Oxford Head Count 1 Low 97.2% 97.5% 97.1% 96.9% 96.5%

598 587 570 Mid 100.2% 103.9% 107.0% 109.8% 112.4%

High 103.3% 110.4% 116.9% 122.8% 128.4%

8. Pleasant Ridge Head Count 1 Low 80.5% 75.7% 73.5% 71.6% 68.3%

612 630 599 Mid 82.4% 79.3% 78.8% 78.6% 76.6%

High 84.2% 83.0% 84.1% 85.5% 85.0%

9. Prairie Star Head Count 1 Low 65.3% 63.5% 60.3% 58.5% 56.9%

660 538 490 466 Mid 67.4% 67.7% 66.3% 65.9% 65.9%

High 69.4% 71.9% 72.4% 73.3% 75.0%




Blue Valley Middle Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25

Blue Valley Middle Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25

Projection Year

Projection Year

720

780

Note: All buildings, regardless of shading color are subject to potential boundary changes when

necessary to balance enrollment across the district

750

720

750

600

630

570

750

660

Note: All buildings, regardless of shading color are subject to potential boundary changes when necessary to

balance enrollment across the district.

780

570

10/25/2019

School Current 2018/19 2019/20 Projection

Capacity (19/20) Enrollment Enrollment Type 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25

1. Blue Valley Low 1,601 1,514 1,435 1,358 1,298

1,598 1,638 1,600 Mid 1,652 1,615 1,586 1,558 1,546

10 mobile classrooms High 1,703 1,717 1,737 1,758 1,795

2. North Low 1,428 1,424 1,355 1,319 1,255

1,716 1,525 1,501 Mid 1,480 1,531 1,516 1,536 1,536


3. Northwest Low 1,537 1,494 1,413 1,372 1,365

1,723 1,633 1,633 Mid 1,580 1,559 1,518 1,498 1,494

High 1,624 1,624 1,624 1,624 1,624

4. Southwest Low 1,028 1,007 990 961 962

1,687 1,120 1,097 Mid 1,064 1,079 1,100 1,112 1,174

High 1,100 1,152 1,209 1,264 1,386

5. West Low 1,551 1,552 1,458 1,449 1,395

1,716 1,620 1,582 Mid 1,589 1,630 1,573 1,609 1,594

High 1,627 1,707 1,688 1,768 1,794


Year Where Building is Within Current Capacity




1. Blue Valley Low 100.2% 94.7% 89.8% 85.0% 81.2%

1,598 1,638 1,600 Mid 103.4% 101.1% 99.2% 97.5% 96.8%

High 106.6% 107.4% 108.7% 110.0% 112.3%

2. North Low 83.2% 83.0% 79.0% 76.9% 73.1%

1,716 1,525 1,501 Mid 86.2% 89.2% 88.3% 89.5% 89.5%

High 89.2% 95.4% 97.7% 102.1% 106.0%

3. Northwest Low 89.2% 86.7% 82.0% 79.6% 79.2%

1,723 1,633 1,633 Mid 91.7% 90.5% 88.1% 86.9% 86.7%

High 94.2% 94.2% 94.2% 94.2% 94.2%

4. Southwest Low 61.0% 59.7% 58.7% 57.0% 57.0%

1,687 1,120 1,097 Mid 63.1% 64.0% 65.2% 65.9% 69.6%

High 65.2% 68.3% 71.7% 74.9% 82.2%

5. West Low 90.4% 90.4% 85.0% 84.5% 81.3%

1,716 1,620 1,582 Mid 92.6% 95.0% 91.7% 93.7% 92.9%

High 94.8% 99.5% 98.4% 103.0% 104.5%


> 110% Current Capacity1 Official Headcount for that school year Year where # of sections are within Current Building Capacity

Current capacity does not include the capacity of mobile classrooms.< 75% Current Capacity

Note: All buildings, regardless of shading color are subject to

potential boundary changes when necessary to balance

enrollment across the district

Projection Year

Projection Year

Blue Valley High Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25

Blue Valley High Schools 5-Year Enrollment Projections: 2020/21 to 2024/25

Note: All buildings, regardless of shading color are subject to potential boundary

changes when necessary to balance enrollment across the district.

Current capacity does not include the capacity of mobile classrooms.

10/25/2019

Level Current 2018/19 2019/20 Projection


Elementary Low 9,411 9,183 9,094 9,078 9,072

9,432 9,588 Mid 9,737 9,778 9,913 10,088 10,202

High 10,064 10,374 10,733 11,097 11,333

Middle Low 5,037 4,869 4,726 4,575 4,436

6,180 5,238 5,250 Mid 5,208 5,208 5,239 5,269 5,309

High 5,378 5,546 5,753 5,964 6,181

High Low 7,146 6,990 6,651 6,460 6,275

8,440 7,536 7,413 Mid 7,365 7,414 7,293 7,313 7,346

High 7,584 7,837 7,934 8,166 8,417

Total Low 21,594 21,042 20,471 20,113 19,782

22,183 22,251 Mid 22,310 22,400 22,446 22,670 22,857

High 23,026 23,757 24,420 25,227 25,931


Level Current 2018/19 2019/20 Projection


Elementary Low -177 -228 -89 -16 -7

9,432 9,588 Mid 149 41 135 174 115

High 476 310 359 364 236

Middle Low -213 -168 -143 -151 -139

6,180 5,238 5,250 Mid -42 0 32 30 39

High 128 168 207 210 217

High Low -267 -156 -339 -191 -185

8,440 7,536 7,413 Mid -48 49 -121 20 33

High 171 254 97 232 251

Total Low -657 -552 -571 -358 -331

22,183 22,251 Mid 59 90 46 224 187

High 775 731 663 807 705


23

Blue Valley School District Projected Growth - 20120/21 to 2024/25

Blue Valley School District 5-Year Enrollment Projections - 2020/21 to 2024/25

Projection Year

Projection Year

2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25

High 22,251 23,026 23,757 24,420 25,227 25,931

Mid 22,251 22,310 22,400 22,446 22,670 22,857

Low 22,251 21,594 21,042 20,471 20,113 19,782

22,251

23,026

23,757

24,420

25,227

25,931

22,251

22,310 22,400 22,446 22,670 22,857

21,594 21,042

20,471 20,113

19,782 19,000

20,000

21,000

22,000

23,000

24,000

25,000

26,000

27,000

Stu

den

ts

School Year

Blue Valley School District: 5-Year Projected Enrollment

10/25/2019

Facility Planning Committee October 29, 2019 P a g e | 1

FACILITY PLANNING COMMITTEE

SCHOOLS FOR DISCUSSION October 29, 2019

ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS

Cedar Hills Elementary:

The Committee has been discussing Cedar Hills for a few years, with the expectation that their

enrollment will subside as their new neighborhoods move past the initial wave of students and

settle into their true enrollment. The projections suggest that this will begin to happen within

the 5-year projection period. This school has been closed to incoming transfers for a few years,

which has helped keep their numbers down and will continue to promote the draw-down of

their enrollment total.

Leawood Elementary:

Leawood Elementary began a growth spurt in 2015, with a kindergarten class that was 24

students larger than the previous year. Since that time incoming classes, on average, have

exceeded the sizes of those almost throughout the school’s history. The projections draw on

recent history and account for robust kindergarten numbers and turnover of Leawood

neighborhoods. The red dot in the corner of the 2020 projection is a note that points out the

School Current 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 Projection

Capacity (19/20) Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Type 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25

2. Cedar Hills Low 618 592 587 564 55724 641 633 649 Mid 631 616 618 602 599

4 mobile classrooms High 644 640 650 639 641

Projection Year



8. Leawood Low 558 539 534 518 52721 508 515 544 Mid 579 578 587 582 601

Planned mobile classroom High 600 616 641 646 675

Projection Year


fact that this year’s 5th grade class is the smallest of their six grade levels. As it exits there’s a

bump up in the schools population, followed by a period of relative stability as the new normal

of large kindergarten classes is realized across all grade levels. Additional mobile classrooms are

planned for the school, and it was closed to incoming transfers earlier this school year.

Valley Park Elementary:

Valley Park has experienced growth in the last couple of years due to several factors. They have

added programs, been more popular to incoming transfers, and have had some uncharacteristic

turnover from a couple of their neighborhoods. Valley Park was also closed to incoming

transfers earlier this school year.

Wolf Springs Elementary:

Wolf Springs is expected to continue growing, driven primarily by the amount of new

development occurring in their attendance area.



20. Valley Park Low 595 618 621 641 63328 520 587 633 Mid 638 689 710 746 747

2 mobile classrooms High 681 759 799 851 861

Projection Year



21. Wolf Springs Low 459 504 554 590 61622 268 346 419 Mid 478 546 621 688 741

High 497 588 688 787 866

Projection Year


MIDDLE SCHOOLS

Aubry Bend Middle School:

Aubry Bend is expected to continue growing, driven primarily by new development occurring in

their attendance area. Both Aubry Bend and BVSW have been prone to coming in lower than

projected. As you can see here, there are fewer students at Aubry Bend in 2019/20 than there

were two years ago, even though new home construction continues. Aubry Bend has been

closed to transfers for several years.

Oxford Middle School:

Oxford is also closed to incoming transfers as of this school year. Their expected growth comes

from a small amount of new development (Glen Eagles), some large incoming classes from

Harmony Elementary, and an increasing popularity among transfer students. The closure to

transfers will alleviate this effect year-by-year.

Prairie Star Middle School:

Prairie Star is somewhat underutilized for its capacity. Neighborhoods in their area have been

graying, but the projections suggest this may be bottoming out during the 5-year period. New



1. Aubry Bend Low 741 740 742 711 683Head Count 1 772 752 750 Mid 763 789 821 823 827

High 785 837 900 935 971

Projection Year

780



7. Oxford Low 554 556 554 552 550Head Count 1 598 587 570 Mid 571 592 610 626 641

High 589 629 667 700 732

Projection Year

570



9. Prairie Star Low 431 419 398 386 375Head Count 1 538 490 466 Mid 445 447 438 435 435

High 458 475 478 484 495

Projection Year

660


development in Mission Ranch and The Hills of Leawood may help while established

neighborhoods move toward a re-greening period.

HIGH SCHOOLS

Blue Valley High:

Blue Valley High has been closely-monitored to ensure that the boundary adjustment between

Blue Valley Middle and Aubry Bend Middle did not result in an unsustainable influx of students.

The change has proven to be manageable, even as BVH has remained quite full. This school year

the school was closed to incoming transfers to help ensure that numbers remain within

acceptable limits.

Blue Valley Southwest:

Blue Valley Southwest has opened in 2010 with 841 students and an expectation of a great deal

of new housing that would quickly bring enrollment totals up. While new housing continues to

be built within the BVSW footprint, the number of high school students produced by that

housing has been consistently lower than expectations.



1. Blue Valley Low 1,601 1,514 1,435 1,358 1,298

1,598 1,638 1,600 Mid 1,652 1,615 1,586 1,558 1,546


Projection Year



4. Southwest Low 1,028 1,007 990 961 962

1,687 1,120 1,097 Mid 1,064 1,079 1,100 1,112 1,174

High 1,100 1,152 1,209 1,264 1,386

Projection Year

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