fairmode current activities wg2-sg3 urban emissions and projections kjeller, 14th september 2010

FAIRMODE

Current activities WG2-SG3

Urban Emissions and Projections

Kjeller, 14th September 2010

Rafael Borge and Julio Lumbreras

FAIRMODE WG2-SG3. Urban Emissions and Projections. Kjeller, 14th Sep 2010

• SG3 objectives

- To identify and minimize errors and uncertainties involved in emissions and scenarios used in air quality models

- To provide guidelines or suggestions that may help to reach the model quality objectives (MQO)

- To discuss specific issues related to scenario development

- Make use of relevant information from existing procedures, projects and working groups, i.e. TFEIP-EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory book


A. Analysis of standards and methodologies

B. Estimation of uncertainties in emission inventories

C. Estimation of uncertainties in emission scenarios

D. Estimation of uncertainties in emissions and emission projections preparation for

modelling

E. Particular requirements of

emission scenarios

F. Suggestion of standards / guidelines for the AQD

Directive 2008/50/EC

(AQD)

General approach


• Outcome of the 2nd FAIRMODE plenary meeting:

- Urban emission compilation is a key issue at European level

- Emission Inventories and Scenarios Urban Emissions and Projections

- Both guidance and relevant exchange fora are needed

- Links to TFEIP/EIONET, GEIA, JRC-EDGAR and other SG

- Funding issues

- SG3 deliverable for 2010: Background document on the emission needs at local scale

• First draft available at FAIRMODE website (SG3_background_document_sep10_draft.pdf)


1. Introduction and scope

A

D

Legend

rectangulo_CMAQ_EU

latlong

cntry00

SMOKE_BIO

CMAQ_EU-2000_NO2

media_an_1

0,018710 - 0,259690

0,259691 - 0,592080

0,592081 - 1,047920

1,047921 - 1,605160

1,605161 - 2,229690

2,229691 - 2,957400

2,957401 - 3,845830

3,845831 - 4,926730

4,926731 - 6,303810

6,303811 - 7,978930

7,978931 - 10,026130

10,026131 - 12,482320

12,482321 - 15,712820

15,712821 - 20,542460

20,542461 - 28,291170

28,291171 - 45,268880

100010020030040050050Kilometers

?

- Role of AQM in the

AQ Directive

- Need and importance of different type of emission/projections

- Focus on the urban scale


2. Background

- Emission Inventory requirements for AQ modelling:

- Accuracy

- Spatial allocation

- Temporal allocation

- Chemical speciation

- Review of recent/ongoing activities

- Substantial knowledge / guidance (GHG mainly)

- Lack of general references / methods


3. Key issues for urban emission inventories (emission repressentativity)

-Emission inventories

- Methodology, transparency

- Harmonization and checks

- Completeness

- Approach to key sectors

- Adequate for AQM/application requirements

- Spatial and temporal resolution

- Uncertainty

- Documentation


- Scenarios and emission projections

-Consistency with the emission inventory

-Scenarios

-P&M consistency and uncertainty

-Documentation

NO emissions. Baseline Vs Policy


Check-lists Benchmarks

Emission-related model quality objectives (MQO)

Best practices

• Next steps:

- Formalization of the analysis / suggestions made during the first year of the subgroup

- Incorporation of the subgroup outputs in the review process of the AQD (horizon 2013)?


• Agenda for parallel session

1.-SG3 introductions and aims of the meeting

2.- Feedback on recent meetings:

a) FAIRMODE session at HARMO-13

b) NIAM meeting Laxemburg/IIASA

c) PEP meeting Larnaca

3.- Update on expert contributions

4.- Discussion on draft guidelines for urban inventories and projections

5.- Define work plan

6.- Any other business


Thank you for your attention!

[email protected]@etsii.upm.es

fairmode current activities wg2-sg3 urban emissions and projections kjeller, 14th september 2010

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