faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

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Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey Key findings from a survey of 1,000 voters conducted November 2, 2010

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Page 1: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National

Survey

Key findings from a survey of 1,000 voters conducted November 2, 2010

Page 2: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 2

Public Opinion Strategies is pleased to present the key findings of a national telephone survey. The survey was completed November 2, 2010 among 1,000 voters and has a margin of error of +3.1%.

Glen Bolger was the principal researcher on this project, and Jim Hobart was the project director. Taylor Mitchell and Bryan Kitz provided analytical support.

Page 3: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Generic Ballot

Page 4: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 4

Base GOP

(24%)

Soft GOP

(21%)

Ind

(13%)

White Dem

(27%)

African American

(10%)

98%92%

65%

7% 7%1%

5%

27%

91% 91%

Republican Candidate Democratic Candidate

+87% -84% -84%+97% +38%

Generic Ballot by Party

Independents broke for the GOP.

Page 5: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 5

Christian Conservative Movement (32%)

Tea Party Movement

(27%)

White/Evangelical Christian

(29%)

Other Whites (48%)

Rest (18%)

78%

92%

78%

51%

19%20%

6%

21%

45%

72%

Republican Candidate Democratic Candidate

+86% +6%+58% +57%

Generic Ballot by Religion/Tea Party

Christian conservatives and Tea Party supporters overwhelmingly backed Republican candidates.

-53%

Page 6: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 6

Right to Life (35%)

Pro-Choice (35%)

No Difference (27%)

77%

28%

57%

20%

68%

40%

Republican Candidate Democratic Candidate

+57%

Generic Ballot by Abortion

A majority of Right to Life voters as well as those for whom abortion isn’t a voting issue backed the GOP candidate.

-40% +17%

Page 7: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 7

Married (66%)

Not Married (33%)

Married

Men (36%)

Married Women

(30%)

Children (33%)

No Children (66%)

Moms

(16%)

Dads

(17%)

58%

45%

62%

53%57%

52% 50%

65%

38%

53%

34%

44%39%

45% 47%

32%

Republican Candidate Democratic Candidate

Generic Ballot by Marital and Parental Status

Married voters, those with children, and Dads strongly supported Republican candidates.

+20% -8% +28% +9% +33%+18% +7% +3%

Page 8: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Message Testing

Page 9: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 9

A majority of voters (63%) say their vote was a message to support or oppose President Obama. This is the highest

percentage we have seen in a mid-term election.

ClintonNov 1994

ClintonNov 1998

BushNov 2002

BushNov 2006

ObamaNov 2010

17%20%

29%

19%23%21%

17% 16%

36%40%

Supporting President Opposing President

“Thinking some more about your vote for U.S. Congress, would you say your vote for U.S. Congress in this year’s election was a vote to send…a message SUPPORTING President Obama and his policies and

programs, a message OPPOSING President Obama and his policies and programs...or... not a message either way about President Obama or his policies and programs?”

Page 10: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 10

Christian Conservative Tea PartyOpposing Obama: 65% 81%Supporting Obama: 13% 4%Not a Message about Obama: 21% 15%

“Thinking some more about your vote for U.S. Congress today, would you say your vote for U.S. Congress in this year’s election was a vote to send...”

A majority of Christian conservatives and Tea Partiers, say their vote was a message opposing Obama.

A message SUPPORTING President Obama and his policies and programs23%

40% A message OPPOSING President Obama and his policies and programs

Not a message either way about President Obama or his policies and programs36%

Page 11: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 11

“Thinking about members of Congress and other political leaders, would you say…”

A majority of voters say members of Congress and political leaders are ignoring our religious heritage.

Members of Congress and other political leaders are too close to religious leaders

…or…

27%

57%Members of Congress and other political leaders are ignoring our religious heritage

Page 12: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 12

Overall GOP

(100%)

Base GOP

(53%)

Soft GOP

(47%)

16% 16% 16%

40%36%

44%

32%34%

29%

Cutting Taxes Reducing Spending Restoring Moral Values

“What would you say is more important to getting America back on the right track, cutting taxes, reducing spending, or restoring moral values?”

Reducing spending and restoring moral values are equally important to base GOPers.

Page 13: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

Faith and Freedom Coalition National Survey ~ November 2, 2010 13

Christian Conservative (49%)

Tea Party

(48%)

14%17%

27%

34%

44%

33%

Cutting Taxes Reducing Spending Restoring Moral Values

“What would you say is more important to getting America back on the right track, cutting taxes, reducing spending, or restoring moral values?”

Christian conservatives say we need to restore moral values to get America back on track. Tea Partiers are split between

reducing spending and restoring moral values.

Page 14: Faith and freedom_coalition_national_survey_-_november_2,_2010

214 North Fayette Street ▪ Alexandria, VA 22314phone (703) 836-7655 ▪ fax (703) 836-8117

www. pos.org

For more information about this presentation or about Public Opinion Strategies, please give us a call.