faith in european project reviving

Faith in European Project Reviving Most Say Rise of Eurosceptic Parties Is a Good Thing

June 2, 2015 2 www.pewresearch.org

Methodology

• Surveys conducted across six EU countries from April 7, 2015 to May

13, 2015 totaling 6,028 respondents

• Based on nationally representative telephone interviews in France,

Germany, Spain & the United Kingdom and face-to-face interviews in

Italy & Poland conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey

Research Associates International

• The margin of sampling error for the complete set of weighted data is

±3.4% - ±4.1%

17

12

21

28

60

52 53

61

41

32

40

46

0

70

2012 2013 2014 2015

Favorable views of EU

Economy is good

%

Economy has been

strengthened by

economic integration


View of EU Tied to Sentiment about the Economy

Note: Median for 6 European Union countries.


Strong Support for Eurosceptic Parties Across EU

54%

34

10

Good thing

Bad thing

Don't know/Refused

*Asked about UK Independence Party in UK, National Front in France, Alternative for Germany in Germany, Five Star Movement in Italy, Podemos in Spain

and Congress of the New Right in Poland.

Note: Median for 6 European Union countries.

Do you think that the rise of non-traditional political parties such as (country specific party) is

a good thing because these parties raise important issues that are ignored by the traditional

parties OR a bad thing because these parties are too extreme?

SENTIMENT ABOUT THE ECONOMY

June 2, 2015 5 www.pewresearch.org www.pewresearch.org


Economic Mood Recovering, Still Not Back to Pre-Crisis Levels Current economic situation is very/somewhat good

2007 2013 2014 2015 07-15

Change 14-15

Change % % % %

Germany 63 75 85 75 +12 -10

France 30 9 12 14 -16 +2

Poland 36 27 29 38 +2 +9

Italy 25 3 3 12 -13 +9

UK 69 15 43 52 -17 +9

Spain 65 4 8 18 -47 +10

MEDIAN 50 12 21 28


No One Expects the Economy to Improve Over the Next Year

42%

30

20

18

15

12

38%

46

54

62

36

44

20%

23

25

16

38

42

France

Italy

Germany

Poland

UK

Spain

Worsen Remain the same Improve

Over the next 12 months, do you expect the economic situation to …


Everyone Expects the Next Generation to be Worse Off

Children will be __ financially than their parents

85%

68

66

61

58

53

14%

25

15

31

34

34

France

UK

Italy

Spain

Germany

Poland

Better off Worse off

Note: Data for volunteer response “same” not shown.

VIEWS OF THE EUROPEAN PROJECT



Sentiment toward the EU Rebounding in Italy and Spain

2012 2013 2014 2015

14-15

Change

% % % %

Italy 59 58 46 64 +18

Spain 60 46 50 63 +13

France 60 41 54 55 +1

Poland 69 68 72 72 0

UK 45 43 52 51 -1

Germany 68 60 66 58 -8

MEDIAN 60 52 53 61

Very/somewhat favorable views of EU


2012 2013 2014 2015

14-15

Change

% % % %

Italy 22 11 9 11 +2

Spain 46 37 38 43 +5

France 36 22 26 31 +5

Poland 48 41 53 53 0

UK 30 26 41 49 +8

Germany 59 54 63 59 -4

MEDIAN 41 32 40 46

As Are Some Views of European Economic Integration

Economic integration strengthened economy


Fall

2009 2013 2014 2015

14-15

Change % % % %

Italy 29 15 14 12 -2

France 52 30 27 48 +21

Spain 59 34 37 30 -7

Poland 66 49 56 62 +6

Germany 61 59 67 61 -6

UK 43 30 44 59 +15

MEDIAN 56 32 41 54

Young French & British: Faith in European Project Picking Up

18-29 year olds saying economic integration strengthened economy


Majorities Who Use the Euro Want to Keep It

Our country should …

26%

28

25

37

72%

72

71

56

Germany

France

Spain

Italy

Keep euro Return to currency*

*Asked about mark in Germany, franc in France, peseta in Spain and lira in Italy.


British Increasingly Want to Remain Part of the EU

If a vote were held today on membership in the EU, would vote to …

46 50

55

46 41

36

0

70

2013 2014 2015

Remain in EU

Leave EU

%

VIEWS OF MINORITIES



Europeans Have a Favorable Opinion of Jews, Muslims, But

Mixed Views of Roma Views of …

78%

61

47

13%

33

43

Jews

Muslims

Roma*

Favorable Unfavorable

*In UK, asked as “Gypsies or Roma.”

Note: Median of 6 European Union countries.


Anti-Roma, Anti-Muslim Sentiments Common in Several Nations

Roma* Muslims Jews

% % %

Italy 86 61 21

France 60 24 7

Poland 48 56 28

UK 37 19 7

Spain 35 42 17

Germany 34 24 9

MEDIAN 43 33 13

Very/somewhat unfavorable opinion of …

*In UK, asked as “Gypsies or Roma.”

ATTITUDES TOWARD EUROSCEPTIC PARTIES


70%

66

58

50

36

36

25%

24

28

41

39

63

Spain

UK

Italy

Germany

Poland

France

Good thing Bad thing

Podemos

UK Independence Party

Five Star Movement

Alternative for Germany

New Right

National Front


Most View Eurosceptic Parties as Good Thing for the Country

The rise of nation-specific non-traditional political parties is a …


Men More Likely than Women to View Non-Traditional

Parties as Good in Most Countries

Spain Podemos

UK UK Independence

Party Italy

Five Star

Germany Alternative for

Germany France

National Front Poland New Right

% % % % % %

TOTAL 70 66 58 50 36 36

Men 74 71 59 59 43 43

Women 66 62 58 42 31 31

18-29 71 52 65 51 38 52

30-49 73 68 65 57 40 40

50+ 68 72 51 46 33 27

Left 82 56 73 45 20 50

Moderate 75 71 63 51 33 37

Right 56 74 53 56 49 43

Podemos

Spanish

Socialist

Workers’ Party

(PSOE) Ciudadanos

People’s

Party

(PP)

% % % %

Current economic situation is bad 95 87 82 55

Children will be worse off financially than their parents 69 58 64 47

Economy will improve over next 12 months 34 39 54 57

Keep the euro 57 73 77 73

Favorable view of the EU 42 68 70 76

Economic integration strengthened economy of Europe 30 43 55 55


Spain: Podemos Backers Particularly Grim

Among those who feel closest to ___, those who say …

faith in european project reviving

News & Politics

italy poland

eu countries

favorable views of eu

verysomewhat good

traditional parties

view of eu

eu rebounding

economic mood