famous false predictions about radical innovation
DESCRIPTION
TRANSCRIPT
To Forecast Radical Innovation
don’t listen to “Experts”
Bill Miller, PhDPresident, Strategic Radical Innovation LLC
June 20, 2013
Communications of the ACMMarch 2001 – Volume 44, Number 3
Special Issue “The Next 1,000 Years”
Paper: “The Future is Ours”, by Leon Kappelman
Page 46
Source of the Following Famous Quotations
Germs?
Surgery?
Radio?
Nuclear Energy?
Man on the Moon?
The Telephone?
Computers?
Television?
Computers will alwaysbe built with Tubes!
The Apple Mac IntoshPersonal Computer
Personal Computers in Homes?
Maximum Memory Size in PC’s
The End of Paper Documents
The Internet
Note: Metcalfe invented the Ethernet and Local Area Networks
The Impact of Y2K
Technology such as residential solar, hydroponics, self-publishing, MOOC’s, open source, and 3D printing has enabled consumers to increasingly become autonomous producers of energy, food, information, education, software and physical goods that can be produced at home and sold over the Internet and distributed worldwide without centralized factories
The result will be population migration OUT of cities
The Population will continue to migrate into Cities?