farmland and climate change: factors and lessons from ......•many mitigation/adaptation measures...
TRANSCRIPT
ELO Biodiversity Conference
Brussels 9 December 2015
Farmland and climate change: factors and
lessons from farmed landscapes
Europe’s environmental challenges Marginal agricultural areas
Challenges: maintain on-field
biodiversity, stimulate favourable
practices, increase profitability
without intensifying
Prime agriculture areas
Challenges: reduce pressures
on air, soil and natural habitats
Main irrigated areas
Challenge: reduce water stress
Tarnava Mare, a lowland area of high biodiversity, 85.000ha farmed by 5.000 families in small-scale
farming communities
Resistance to flooding Resilience to effects of
climate change Low energy agriculture
Short supply chains
Pollination C-sequestration
Agro-biodiversity
Biodiversity
Clean air, clean water
Food quality Food security
Multifunctionality
A romantic view of these ideal
landscapes is not enough.
We need a science-based and
market-based approach
The problem
In EU-27: the agricultural sector was reported to account for 9.6% of the total
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2008
The vast majority of these emissions were reported to arise from:
• Carbon loss from soils. Many global soils have lost 50% of original C.
Cause: loss of soil organic carbon on arable land, and intensified grazing on
pastures.
• Soils: N2O emissions from fertilisers: 49% of agricultural GHG emissions
• Enteric fermentation: Methane emissions: 10% of agricultural GHG
emissions
(Eurostat, 2010)
The potential • Soils hold nine times the amount of carbon that is stored in all
vegetation (including forestry). UK National Ecosystem
Assessment
• How to repair soil C?
– Keep it covered
– Increase (bio)diversity
– Composting
– Good grazing practices
• High C soils offer benefits
– water retention, productivity
Paris
• French government proposes increase soil C by 0.4% / year
• If achieved, would store 75% of global C emissions
Some progress
The contributions of the habitats of farmland to regulating services have often
been negative, but are improving.
Levels of carbon in Arable soils fell between 1998 and 2007, while stocks under
Improved Grassland remained steady.
So
•C (in form of CO2) continues to be lost
•inputs used more carefully – non-CO2 greenhouse gas (N2O, methane)
emissions from UK agriculture have fallen by 19% since 1990.
However, numbers of honey bee colonies in England have declined by 54%
since 1985.
UK National Ecosystem Assessment
Sources: FAO (2007), Garnett (2007) and Grayson (2008)
A. Freibauer et al. / Geoderma 122 (2004) 1–23 (EU policies
and measures to reduce greenhouse gas emission: Towards a
European Climate Change Programme (ECCP)’’, COM (2000)
88, Working Group Sinks, Subgroup Soils
Agriculture as a Carbon emitter
• Ploughing releases large amounts
of CO2
• Additional C footprint from fuel,
artificial fertilizers and pesticides.
Agriculture as a carbon sink
• Agriculture sequesters CO2 in soils
and in plants.
• Grasslands especially important:
store 34% of the global stock of
carbon in terrestrial ecosystems,
whilst forests store 39%. Yearly C fluxes per hectare in EU-15
Farming systems and CO2
Grasslands and Carbon sequestration
Grasslands Forests Arable Underground
stock 140 t/ha 140 t/ha
30 t/ha (ploughed)
40 t/ha (low tillage)
Annual trend +1 t/h/year +6 t/h/year -1 t/ha
• soil carbon is the 'premium sink’: most woodland is felled releasing large
amounts of CO2
• Unlike England, which is a net source of carbon dioxide, Wales is considered
to be a net sink, because of land management, with large amounts of carbon
locked up in its soils
UK National Ecosystem Assessment
Semi-natural Grasslands
Multiple services requiring low energy inputs.
Compared to Temporary Grassland and Arable, Semi-natural Grasslands:
• store greater densities of carbon
• produce less nitrous oxide
• produce less methane due to their lower stocking densities
• Better water regulation (and flood prevention)
• less pollution because of the low fertiliser input
• provide better nutrient cycling
But of course, lower overall animal production.
UK National Ecosystem Assessment
Pasture-based dairying: comparing 2 million litres / year farms
Conventional/intensive
•230 cows (8500l./year/cow)
•700 tonnes of purchased cake/year
•Profit after rent 1 pence/litre = zero
Pasture-based
•400 cows (5000l./year/cow)
•200 tonnes of purchased cake per year
•Profit after rent €0.13/litre = €260,000
Reasons
•Cattle out 10 months of the year: healthy
•Longevity – 6 lactations as opposed to 3.5
•Feed costs reduced to 20%
•Reduced feed costs, fuel costs, vet costs
The Methane question!
≈33% of Methane emissions are
estimated to come from cattle and
sheep
Should intensive production methods
– where cattle are fed largely on
cereals, producing less methane –
be preferred over more traditional
grass-fed livestock farming
Research at 10 UK National Trust
farms shows that while the GHG
emissions of grass-fed and
conventional farms are comparable,
the carbon sequestration contribution
of less intensive grassland systems
reduced net emissions by up to 94%,
even resulting in a carbon 'net
gain' in upland areas.
In addition, these systems are much
less reliant on artificial inputs, have
lower impact on water and soil quality
and biodiversity.
Some science-based conclusions • Agricultural soils in EU could sequester high percentage of European
anthropogenic emissions
A. Freibauer et al. / Geoderma 122 (2004): Carbon sequestration in the agricultural soils of Europe
(EU policies and measures to reduce greenhouse gas emission: Towards a European Climate Change
Programme (ECCP)’’, COM (2000) 88, Working Group Sinks, Subgroup Soils
Identified as most promising measures
• Conversion of arable to grassland is
most effective C mitigation option
• Arable management: promotion of increased
C from ‘organic’ adjustments, organic farming,
conservation tillage.
• Increased level of organic material – carbon – in soil has other benefits
e.g. increased water holding capacity, improved soil structure / nutrient
supply.
• Peat soils: maintain water table (no turbines on moorlands!)
Some final ideas
Landscape complexity and permanent grassland are significant for
mitigation and adaptation. How to maintain them?
We need market mechanisms.
•Support small-scale / family farms ownership? Can be a partial answer
•Incentives for small and large landowners: both CAP payments and
markets (3 aspects of greening of Pillar 1)
•Many mitigation/adaptation measures make economic sense too.
– Lower inputs = higher profits.
– Diversified cropping spreads the risk – portfolio effect
– Landscape complexity and Permanent grassland – “Nature
branding” market advantage
– Market models exist – pasture-based dairy farming and National
Trust beef studies in UK
Thank you for your
attention
Fundatia ADEPT Transilvania
www.fundatia-adept.org