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An Institute for CONSENSUS BUILDING www.sri-consulting.org 800.224-7608 Determining the Feasibility for… Farmland Conservation in Fresno County Final Report June 2011 Prepared expressly for... ITEM V A

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An Institute for CONSENSUS BUILDINGwww.sri-consulting.org

800.224-7608

Determining the Feasibility for…

Farmland Conservationin Fresno County

Final Report

June 2011

Prepared expressly for...

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page i

Table of Contents

1.0 Executive Summary ………….………………………………….….……….. 1

2.0 Farmland Conservation Model Tested ……………………….………….. 3

3.0 A Funding Measure for Farmland Conservation would Fail ……….... 3

4.0 Farmland Conservation should NOT be abandoned ………….…….... 5

5.0 In the long term, owners of prime farmlands will benefit from NOT selling or allowing these properties to be paved over ……….... 5

6.0 Summary Conclusion …………………………….…….……….….……….. 6

Addendum A List of those Interviewed in Phase 1 …….………...….…. 7

Addendum B: Figures and Charts …………………………………...….…. 9

Figure 1 How satisfied are you with the Quality of Life as a resident of Fresno County?

Figure 2 Local Issues of Concern (Core Values)

Figure 3 What percentage of JOBS in Fresno County (are) Directly or Indirectly related to the Agriculture Industry?

Figure 4 Preferences: Farmland Conservation vs. Private Property Rights

Figure 5A Attitudes regarding Farmland Conservation… Farmland Conservation Reduces the Value of these Properties

Figure 5B Attitudes regarding Farmland Conservation… Farmland should be Protected at ALL COSTS

Figure 5C Attitudes regarding Farmland Conservation… To Protect Property Values there MUST be NO Restrictions

Figure 5D Attitudes regarding Farmland Conservation… Farmland Conservation Requires Property Owners to be Made Whole

Figure 6A Aware of ‘Smart Growth’

Figure 6B Approve or Disapprove of ‘Smart Growth’

Figure 7A Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… There is Too Much Urban Sprawl

Figure 7B Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… ‘Smart Growth’ Eliminates Unnecessary Loss of Prime Farmland

Figure 7C Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… ‘Smart Growth’ is the Most Important Tactic for Preserving Farmland

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page ii

Figure 7D Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… Current Development Rates will Remove 70% of Prime Farmland by 2050

Figure 7E Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… ‘Smart Growth’ is Needed to Slow Growth Inside Spheres of Influence

Figure 7F Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… At the Present Rate, Rural Residential Development will Consume 55,000 More Acres of Prime Farmland

Figure 8A Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… Prime Farmland INSIDE Existing Spheres of Influence Must be Protected

Figure 8B Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… Due to Advancements in Technology, Farmland Conservation is Less Critical

Figure 8C Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… It is Imperative that NO MORE Prime Farmland is Lost to Development

Figure 8D Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… By 2040, Fresno County will Lose 20% of its Irrigated Farmland & $700 Million

Figure 8E Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’… Jobs and Housing MUST be Consistent with County’s Agriculture-based Economy

Figure 9 Support for Agricultural Easements

Figure 10A Support Buffer Zones to Protect Prime Farmlands

Figure 10B Approve Buffer Zones Used for: Trails, Parks, Community Gardens, or Open Space

Figure 11 Support/Oppose: BOND

Figure 12 Support/Oppose: Landscape Maintenance Assessment to Maintain Buffer Zone

Figure 13 Exercise is Part of Most Residents’ Lifestyle

Figure 14 Having Access to Parks, Trails & Open Space is Important

Figure 15 Developing & Maintaining Parks and Trails is Desirable

Figure 16A Most Voters are NOT AWARE of San Joaquin Valley Blue Print

Figure 16B Feelings are Mixed regading the San Joaquin Valley Blue Print

Figure 17 There is Significant Support for Model of Farmland Conservation Tested

Figure 18A-B Demographics

Addendum C: Questionnaire with Percentages ……………………..……. 43

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 1

Section 1.0

Executive Summary

The present document  is  the  final  step  in  fulfilling a directive  that  stems  from 

Measure C, a successful $1.7 billion funding mechanism placed on the November 2006 

Fresno County ballot that secured 78% voter support.   The directive was to determine 

whether  or not Farmland Conservation  in Fresno County  is,  indeed,  feasible  (from 

BOTH the practical and political perspectives) at the present point in time;  the present 

effort  was  NOT  intended,  nor  designed,  to  ADVOCATE  either  “for”  or  “against” 

Farmland Conservation. 

The  present  report  is  a  culmination  of  a  comprehensive,  two‐phase  research 

effortthat took place over a period of more than two years.   

Phase  1  was  an  EXPLORATORY  effort  in  the  form  of  an  Opinion

LeadershipStudy,  wherein  SRI  interviewed:    (i)  INFLUENTIALS  throughout  the 

County’s Agriculture  Industry(including Agri‐bus  and  family  farmers),(ii)  ELECTED 

OFFICIALS and PROFESSIONAL STAFF representing the various government agencies 

throughout  the  County,  (iii)  OPINION  LEADERS  in  Fresno  County’s  commercial 

segment,  and  (iv)  other  individuals who  see  themselves  and  the  organizations  they 

represent as being STAKEHOLDERS in the future of Fresno County.1 

What grew out of this exploratory effort was a MODEL of Farmland Conservation 

based  upon  the  collective  wisdom  and  opinions  of  INFLUENTIALS  who  were 

interviewed during Phase 1. 

Phase  2  was  a  CONFIRMATORY  effort  designed  to  “test”  the  Model  of 

Farmland Conservation that grew out of Phase 1;  thisphase was centered on a scientific 

survey  of  registered  voters  throughout  Fresno County…the  very  same  subset  of  the 

community  who  overwhelmingly  authorized  the  continuation  of  the  $1.7  billion 

funding mechanism that was authorized through Measure C.2 

Each element of the model that grew out of Phase 1 was tested;   moreover, this 

scientific  survey  was  designed  to  determine  whether  or  not  the  Fresno  County 

1Refer to Addendum ‘A’ for a listing of people who were interviewed during Phase 1 of the present effort.

2The telephone survey was comprised of N=500 completed interviews of registered voters throughout Fresno County. At 95% confidence level, a sample of this magnitude yields asampling error of 3.5 to 4.4%. The survey followed The Scientific Method, to the letter.

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 2

electorate would  be willing  to  support  a  funding mechanism,  if  placed  on  the  local 

ballot,  that  would  be  necessary  in  order  to  implementthe  model  of  Farmland 

Conservation in Fresno County that grew out of the present effort. 

It should be stressed at  the outset of  the present discussion  that  this effort was 

driven by four (4) underlying assumptions: 

First and foremost, PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTSmust be protected and strictly adhered to;  yet, any approach to Farmland Conservation MUST also respect and lend itself to the GREATER GOOD. 

Any approach to Farmland Conservation MUST take full advantage of the work that has been done, to date;  in particular, thework that was brought forward in:   A Landscape of Choice:  Strategies for Improving Patterns of Community Growth, prepared by The Growth Alternatives Alliance (released in April 1998).  

It MUST incorporatekey elements brought forward in a publication entitled:  Model Farmland Conservation Program for Fresno County,commissioned by the California Partnership for the San Joaquin Valley and produced by the American Farmland Trust (released in December 2008). 

Finally, whatever model is embraced MUST be consistent with the San Joaquin Valley Blue Print. 

The  upshot  of  the  present  effort  to  determine  whether  or  not  Farmland 

Conservation is feasible today, or in the foreseeable future is this: 

1. BOTH “Influentials” throughout Fresno County AND the County “electorate” 

support the notion of Farmland Conservation;  indeed,BOTH subsets of the 

community‐at‐large embrace the Farmland Conservation MODEL that grew out of the 

exploratory phase of the present effort.  However… 

2. There is NOT sufficient voter supportfor a funding measure that would be needed in 

order to implement the Farmland Conservation MODEL that grew out of this effort.  

Thus… 

3. Farmland Conservation in Fresno County is NOT FEASIBLE at the present point in time.   

This does NOT mean, however, that Farmland Conservation will NEVER be feasible in Fresno County;  nothing could be further from reality.  After the national, regional, and local economies have recovered (which is inevitable) …it’s highly likely that Farmland Conservation in Fresno County (and throughout the Central Valley) could, indeed, become feasible;  in fact, in all likelihood, it will become viable…even necessary. 

Section 2.0

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 3

Farmland Conservation Model Tested

The model that was tested has the following four (4) elements. 

1. The model for Farmland Conservation is embedded in a concept known as: Smart Growth, which is one of the principles inherent to the San Joaquin Valley Blue Print. Smart Growth is a movement away from conventional housing developments, comprised of relatively low density, detached single-family housing… to designing higher-density, multi-use subdivisions, located near mass transit centers.

2. BUFFER ZONES would be created along those portions of a City’s approved sphere of influence, or urban limit line, that abuts prime farmland. These buffer zones would be a relatively narrow strip of land on which NO residential, commercial, or industrial development would be permitted; however local government would be permitted to develop regional trails and parks inside these strips of land; also, the buffer zones could be used for community gardens, or simply be dedicated to open space.

3. Local voters would be asked to authorize a modest tax to be used to PURCHASE the development rights on thin strips of land that would function as Buffer Zones; or, to purchase the strips of land outright (at fair market value) and deed the land to the respective city which would take ownership of these Buffer Zones. These monies could also be used to develop regional trails and parks, or other uses that benefit local residents (such as community gardens or dedicate the strips of land to permanent open space). In order to be authorized, this tax would require 2/3rds voter support and would only be assessed to property owners who reside in or adjacent to the community which will take ownership of the Buffer Zones.

4. Local property owners would be asked to authorize a Landscape Maintenance District that would generate the funding needed to properly maintain these buffer zones and keep them safe for use by local residents. This funding mechanism would only require simple majority support from property owners whose property will directly benefit from these regional trails, parks, community gardens, and/or open space.

 

Section 3.0

A Funding Measure for Farmland Conservation would Fail

As  the Model unfolded, virtually everyone  interviewed  in Phase 1 of  the present 

effort  (whether  or  not  they  embraced  the  Model  being  tested)  asked  one  particular 

question:How  will  the  implementation  of  Farmland  Conservation  be  funded?More 

specifically, where will  the money  come  from  to  purchase  the  development  rights  on 

these strips of land or to purchase these Buffer Zones (at fair market value) outright? 

To  date,  the  only  funding mechanisms  for  Farmland Conservation  are:    (i)  the 

Williamson Act and  (ii) easements of various  forms;   clearly,  these revenue streams are 

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 4

not nearly sufficient to address the fiscal needs inherent to Farmland Conservation.  And, 

they never will be…even after the economy has recovered. 

Thus,  other  funding  streams  need  to  be  identified  or  created  in  order  to move 

forward with Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, and beyond. 

It was this element alone that ultimately led researchers to the conclusion that  Farmland Conservation in Fresno County is not, at the present time, a viable option. 

Fresno County voters were asked whether or not prime 

farmland  in  the  Central  Valley  should  be  protected  against 

urban  development,  even  if  this  means  that  some  people’s  

Private Property Rightswould  be  compromised.   As  seen  in 

the  graphic  at  left  (also  refer  to  Figure  5B  in Addendum B), 

there is overwhelming support (71%) for this point of view…in 

fact, nearly forty percent (38%) strongly agree with the notion 

that the County’s farmlands should 

be  protected  at  all  cost.  Beyond 

that, when respondents were told that one sixth of Fresno’s 

PRIME  farmlands  are  located  inside  or  adjacent  to  the 

spheres of  influence of  the 15 cities  located  in Fresno County 

and,  as  such,  should  be  protected  from  urbanization  as 

much as possible…as seen in the graphic at right (also refer 

to Figure 8A  in Addendum B), nearly eighty percent  (78%) 

embraced this notion. 

Yet, as seen  in  the graphic at  left  (also refer  to 

Figure 11, Addendum B),  little more  than half  (52%) 

of  Fresno  County  voters  would  support  a  bond 

measure, should one be placed on  the  local ballot,  to 

provide  the  funding necessary  to either purchase  the 

development  rights  through Agriculture  Easements, 

or to purchase strips of land (at fair market value) and 

deed the land to Cities to function as Buffer Zones to 

protectfarmlands  from being paved over.   While  this 

is,  indeed, majority  support,  2/3rds  voter  support  is 

needed  for  such  a  funding measure  to  pass.    Thus, 

such a funding measure would FAIL. 

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 5

Section 4.0

Farmland Conservation should NOT be abandoned

While Farmland Conservation in the Central Valley, in particular Fresno County, 

is NOT FEASIBLE today…it should NOT be abandoned, altogether.  At some point, the 

matter should be revisited. 

In  fact,  this  conclusion  was  empirically 

supported  in  the  scientific  survey of Fresno County 

voters.   As seen  in  the graphic at right, only 10% of 

the  respondents  said  that  the model  tested  in  this 

research  effort  should be ABANDONED, altogether 

(also  refer  to Figure 17, Addendum B);   18%, while 

NOT embracing the specific model being tested, said 

that  the  search  for  a  better  way  to  preserve  and 

protect prime farmlands in the Central Valley should 

continue. 

At the end of the day, more than two‐thirds (68%) of Fresno County voters liked 

what they heard and said showed support for some form of Farmland Conservation in 

the Central Valley, especially in Fresno County. 

Section 5.0

In the long term, owners of prime farmlands will benefit from NOT selling or allowing these properties to be paved over

One of the key findings from Phase 1 of the present effort is that, in the long term, 

owners  of  prime  farmlands  throughout  the Central Valley  (and  especially  in  Fresno 

County) would be wise NOT to allow this property to be paved over. Why?  Because, at 

the  end of  the day,  the value of prime agriculture  land  in  the Central Valley will be 

beyond anyone’s imagination. 

The Central Valley is one of the worldʹs most productive agricultural regions. On 

less  than  1  percent  of  the  total  farmland  in  the  United  States,  the  Central  Valley 

produces 8 percent of the nation’s agricultural output by value.  About one‐sixth of the 

irrigated  land  in  the U.S.  is  in the Central Valley. The top five counties  in agricultural 

sales  in the U.S. are  in the Central Valley;   Fresno County  is number one, followed by 

Tulare County, Kern County, Merced County, and Monterey County.  Perhaps what the 

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 6

region is most noted for is the HIGH QUALITY of its produce;  indeed, this is the key 

to the future.

Today, agriculturalists in the Central Valley are competing with China and other 

geographic regions in the world market.  Due to a host of factors, these regions are able 

to produce fruits, vegetables, and many other agriculture products at a far less cost than 

can be done in the United States;  however, the QUALITY of their yield is far less than 

what  is produced here  in the Central Valley.   Thus, while  in the relatively short term, 

these  regions can be  (and are) extremely competitive with  the Central Valley….in  the 

long term, not so much.  China is the prime example. 

As  China  continues  to  expand  its  agricultural  output,  something  else  is 

happening;    it  is  creating a huge MIDDLE CLASS.   People  in  the middle  class want 

high quality produce  (fruits, vegetables,  et  al.);   yet,  these  competing  regions  simply 

cannot MATCH the quality that the Central Valley agriculture is known for.  Therefore, 

at  the  end  of  the  day,  the  unique  characteristics  of  the  prime  farmlands  here  in  the 

Central Valley, and especially Fresno County, will result  in these farmlands becoming 

invaluable.  To pave these prime farmlands over would be foolhardy and irresponsible.  

At  least,  this  is  what  was  stated  by  various  prominent  agriculturalists  who  were 

interviewed in Phase 1 of the present effort.   

Section 6.0

Summary Conclusion

This report concludes with three (3) Addenda. 

Addendum ‘A’contains a listing of those individuals interviewed in Phase 1 of the 

present effort, the Exploratory Phase. 

Addendum ‘B’contains a comprehensive set of charts, graphs, and tables wherein 

the empirical findings from Phase 2 of this effort, the Confirmatory Phase. 

Addendum ‘C’ contains a copy of the Research Instrument (questionnaire) 

showing percentages for each question in the scientific survey. 

Should  you wish  additional  input  from  SRI  regarding  the  of  the  findings 

presented  herein,  we  remain  telephone  close  and  we  monitor  our  e‐mail  quite 

closely. 

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 7

Addendum ‘A’ List of Those Interviewed in Phase 1 

Last name First Name Organization Ballantyne  Rick  Executive Director, LAFCo 

Bedwell  Barry  President, Calif. Grape & Tree Fruit League 

Bergthold  Keith  Deputy Director, Planning & Development, City of Fresno 

Batancourt  Paul  Prominent Agriculturalist 

Blakely  Bob  California Citrus Mutual 

Canha  Manuel  President, NISEI Farm League 

Carlson  Blake  Kingsburg 

Dibuduo  Nat  President/CEO, Allied Grape Growers 

Diener  John  Prominent West Side Grower 

Fortune  Larry  Principal, Fortune Associates and on LAFCo 

Gorman  Lynn  Fresno County, Deputy Director of Planning and Public Works 

Goto  Glen  CEO, Raisin Bargaining Association 

Hafner  Carol  Fresno County Agriculture Commissioner 

Hallowell  Coke  Madera Ag Industry 

Harris  Jeff  Former BIA Ex. Director, presently with Wilson Homes 

Harris  John  Chairman/CEO, Harris Enterprises (Harris Ranch) 

Jacobson  Ryan  Executive Director, Fresno County Farm Bureau 

Kilpatrick  Greg  Farmland Conservation Strategies, heavily involved inLandscape of Choice 

King  Holly  Agri‐Business Consultant, formerly with Great Valley Center 

Koehlher  Dave  Executive Director, San Joaquin Parkway Trust 

Kreibel  Barry  CEO, Sun Maid 

Larson  Phil  Fresno County Supervisor, District 1 

Meyers  Marvin  Farmer in Firebaugh 

Miller  Sayre  Prominent Agriculturalist in Clovis, McFarlane Farms 

Monk  Dan  University of California, Co‐op 

Nankiviell  Deb  Executive Director, Fresno Business Council 

Nelson  Joel  President, California Citrus Mutual, Exeter 

Newby  Ken  Retired Executive, Deloitte&Touche, member of Fresno Business Council 

Pasrnargean  Leland  Fowler Packing 

Pauley  Don  Kingsburg, City Manager 

Perea  Henry R.  Fresno County Supervisor, District 3 

Prandini  Mike  President/CEO, Central Valley BIA (Building Industry Association) 

Prieto, Jr.  Jerry  Former Fresno County Agriculture Commissioner, Chaired Landscape of Choice 

Ricchuiti  Pat  General Manager, PR Farms 

Roberts  Jeff  Building Industry, Granville Homes 

Robinson  Gary  Prominent farmer in Coalinga;  President of Kings County Farm Bureau 

Rodriguez  Trini  Fresno COG 

Rogers  Rocky  City Manager, Reedley 

Savala  Mary  League of Women Voters 

Smitcamp  Bill  President and CEO, Wawona Foods 

Southerlin  Jeanette  Fresno County Director, University of California, Co‐op 

Stevenson  Shawn  Harlan Ranch, heavily involved with Landscape of Choice 

Thompson  Ed  California Director & Senior Associate, American Farmland Trust 

Valadez  Chris  California Grape & Free Fruit League 

Woolf  Stuart  Major grower on West Side 

Wright  John  Former Planning Director, City of Clovis 

Yates  A.J.  Farmer and former Deputy Secretary of Agriculture for State of California 

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 8

Referred but not interviewed for a variety of reasons Arambula  Juan  State Assembly 

Ayers  Lee   

Carlson  Blake  Kingsburg 

Efird Russell   

Errotabere  Dan   

Hallowell  Coke  Madera Ag Industry 

Kasparian  Alan  Grape Grower in West Fresno 

Perea  Henry T.  Fresno City Council (now Assemblyman) 

Prosperi  Dennis  Madera County 

Sebasto  Alfreda   

Walter  Riley  Attorney 

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 9

Addendum ‘B’

Figure 1Farmland Conservation

June 2011

How satisfied are you with the…Quality of Life

as a Resident of Fresno County?

Extremely Very Slightly Unsure Slightly Very ExtremelySatisfied Ref Dissatisfied

7

4230

2

115 3

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

19%Dissatisfied

79%Satisfied

Question 1.0: Overall, how satisfied are you with the QUALITY OF LIFE as a resident of Fresno County?

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 10

Figure 2Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Figure 2Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Local Issues of Concern(Core Values)

Question 2 series: I will read a list of local issue Please tell me, in order of priority, which three of these local issues are of most concern to you today.

4

10

14

12

12

17

24

4

6

7

6

11

11

15

15

12

14

1

3

3

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

Percent

1st + 2nd issue of concern

38

27

Q2.2 Lack of Jobs

Q2.1 Crime

Q2.3 Need to Protect Farmlands

Q2.10 More Sources of Water

Q2.5 Quality of Education

Q2.8 Unhealthy Air Quality

Q2.6 Local Taxes & Fees

Q2.7 Urban Sprawl

Q2.4 Better Street Maintenance

Q2.9 Public Transit Services

29

21

25

10

27

10

9

51

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 11

Figure 3Farmland Conservation

June 2011

What Percentage of JOBS in Fresno County…Directly or Indirectly Related to the Agriculture Industry?

Question 3.0: To the best of your knowledge, what percentage of the jobs in Fresno County are either directly or indirectly related to the Agriculture Industry?

Approx Approx About Approx Significantly No Idea

7% 15% 1/3 1/2 more than1/2

3 6

33

2428

60

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent Reality

Approx. 15%

85%More than 15%

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 12

Figure 4Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Preference: Farmland Conservation

vs.Private Property Rights?

Question 4.0: For the past two decades, there has been a movement in the Central Valley, especially in Fresno County, toward BALANCING Farmland Conservationwith Urban Growth and Development throughout the region. Do you believe that the very unique farmlands in Fresno County should be PRESERVED AT ALL COSTS; even if this means that the Private Property Rights of some property owners, including property owners with large holdings, will be compromised from time to time? Or…Do you believe that Private Property Rights are fundamental to the American way of life; that property owners have an inherent right to do with their property whatever they see fit, and what benefits them and their families, which includes developing or selling their land to a developer who may build homes or construct commercial and even industrial centers?

39%Protect Private Property Rights

55%Preserve Unique

Farmlands

6%Unsure/

Refused

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 13

Figure 5AFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Attitudes Regarding Farmland Conservation…

Farmland Conservation Reducesthe Value of these Properties

Question 6.1: Public policies aimed at Farmland Conservation, while being well-intended…restrict the use of these properties, thus reducethe value of farmlands in Fresno County in no small way.

Strongly Somewhat Unsure Somewhat StronglyAgree Agree Refused Disagree Disagree

13

38

15 21 13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

51%Agree

34%Disagree

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 14

Figure 5BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Attitudes Regarding Farmland Conservation…

Farmland should be Protected at ALL Costs

Question 6.2: Farmland in the Central Valley, and especially in Fresno County, should be protected against urban development, even if this means that some people’s Private Property Rights will be compromised.

Strongly Somewhat Unsure Somewhat StronglyAgree Agree Refused Disagree Disagree

38 33

5 1014

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

71%Agree

25%Disagree

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 15

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 16

Figure 5CFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Attitudes Regarding Farmland Conservation…

To Protect Property Values there MUST be NO Restrictions

Question 6.3: Property value is determined by its owners having the ability to “sell” their property at any point in time and for virtually any use (especially for housing and/or commercial development); in order be positioned to do this, it is imperative that its USE is NOT RESTRICTED.

Strongly Somewhat Unsure Somewhat StronglyAgree Agree Refused Disagree Disagree

1730

923 21

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

47%Agree

46%Disagree

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 17

Figure 5D

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Attitudes Regarding Farmland Conservation…

Farmland Conservation RequiresProperty Owners to be Made Whole

Question 6.4: In order to succeed, any land use plan for preserving farmlands in Fresno County MUST enable landowners, when they sell, to recover equity from their property without developing it.

Strongly Somewhat Unsure Somewhat StronglyAgree Agree Refused Disagree Disagree

2940

1210 9

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

69%Agree

19%Disagree

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 18

Figure 6A

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Aware of ‘Smart Growth’

Question 7.1: Before today’s interview, were you aware of ‘Smart Growth’; if so, how aware were you?

Extremely Somewhat Not At All Unsure/Aware Aware Aware Ref

15

3648

10

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

51%Aware

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 19

Figure 6BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Approve or Disapprove of‘Smart Growth’

Question 7.2: Whether or not you were aware of the trend toward Smart Growth before

today’s interview, based upon the description I just gave you, is Smart Growth

a trend that you approve or disapprove of?

3%Unsure/Refused

13%SomewhatDisapprove

36% Somewhat

Approve

71%Approve 26%

Disapprove

13%Strongly

Disapprove

35% StronglyApprove

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 20

Figure 7AFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

There is Too Much Urban Sprawl

Question 8.1 There is TOO MUCH URBAN SPRAWL in Fresno County. Higher density housing is needed to control urban sprawl in the region.

29 32

6 17 16

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

61%Support

33%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 21

Figure 7BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

‘Smart Growth’ Eliminates Unnecessary Loss of Prime Farmland

Question 8.2 Much of the prime farmland in Fresno County that is being lost to urbanization is unnecessary; by embracing ‘Smart Growth’, this unnecessary loss of prime farmland is virtually eliminated.

31 34

6 1415

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

65%Support

29%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 22

Figure 7C

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

‘Smart Growth’ is the Most Important Tactic for Preserving Farmland

Question 8.3 Given that most of the growing cities in Fresno County are located in the midst of the County’s most strategic and prime farmland, increasing the efficiency of housing and commercial development through ‘Smart Growth’ is the most important thing that can be done to conserve the county’s irreplaceable farmland.

2838

8 1214

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

66%Support

26%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 23

Figure 7DFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

Current Development Rates will Remove 70% of Prime Farmland by 2050

Question 8.4 If no change in current development patterns occurs, another 97,600 acres of land will be urbanized in Fresno County by 2050, roughly doubling the current urbanized area in the County. Far more important, approximately 70% of this land that will be converted to housing and commercial development (or about 105 square miles) will involve prime or strategic farmland; thereby, REMOVING these important farmlands from agricultural production.

31 27

6 1422

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

58%Support

36%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 24

Figure 7E

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

‘Smart Growth’ is Needed to Slow Growth Inside Spheres of Influence

Question 8.6 Some of the County’s prime farmland is located inside the existing “spheres of influence” of the cities throughout the County; therefore, for all practical purposes, these farmlands are earmarked for being converted to future urban development, thus lost to the agriculture industry, permanently. Clearly, it is essential to adopt Smart Growth in order to slow down the actual loss of these prime farmlands located INSIDE the existing Spheres of Influence as these communities continue to grow and expand.

34 32

6 15 13

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

66%Support

28%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 25

Figure 7F

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

At the Present Rate, Rural Residential Development will Consume 55,000

More Acres of Prime Farmland

Question 8.7 Rural residential development presently consumes roughly one quarter of all the developed land in the Fresno County; if this development pattern continues at its present pace, another 55,000 acres of prime farmland could be removed from agriculture.

3226

7 1421

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

58%Support

36%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 26

Figure 8AFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

Prime Farmland INSIDE Existing Spheres of Influence Must be Protected

Question 9.1 One sixth of Fresno’s prime farmlands is located inside or adjacent to the spheres of influence of the 15 cities located in Fresno County; these lands have to be protected from urbanization as much as possible.

49

29

7 9 60

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

78%Support

14%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 27

Figure 8BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

Due to Advancements in Technology Farmland Conservation is Less Critical

Question 9.2 Due to advances in automation and farming technologiescombined with difficulties having to do with recruiting farm workers, more and more agriculture production is being sent to Mexico, Africa, and especially to China. As a result, the need to preserve productive farmlands in Fresno County is becoming FAR LESS IMPORTANT, over time.

49

217

815

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

70%Support

23%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 28

Figure 8CFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

It is Imperative that NO MORE Prime Farmland is Lost to Development

Question 9.3 Since 1990, nearly 70% of all the land developed in Fresno County was prime or unique farmland, or farmland of statewide importance. These farmlands have been lost to agriculture, forever; it is imperative that no more prime ag land in Fresno County is lost to residential or commercial development.

48

30

6 9 70

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

78%Support

16%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 29

Figure 8D

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

By 2040, Fresno County will Lose 20% of its Irrigated Farmland & $700 Million

Question 9.4 By the year 2040, if nothing changes, Fresno County will lose approximately 20% of its irrigated farmland and experience annual losses of about $700 million of the revenues presently being generated through Fresno County’s Agriculture Industry. This trend MUST be stopped; Farmland Conservation is more important now, than it has ever been.

55

27

3 8 70

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

82%Support

15%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 30

Figure 8E

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Arguments For/Against ‘Smart Growth’…

Jobs and Housing MUST be Consistentwith County’s Agriculture-based Economy

Question 9.5 We need to provide jobs and housing in a manner that protects the natural resources that are vital to our agriculture-based economy. Therefore, Farmland Conservation is essential in Fresno County.

4936

4 56

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

85%Support

11%Oppose

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 31

Figure 9

Farmland ConservationJune 2011

Support forAgricultural Easements

Question 10.1: Without knowing more than you know now, does an Agricultural Easement seem to be a fair and equitablemechanism for making Farmland Conservation in Fresno County possible?

62%YES

33%NO

Question 10.2: Do you think Agricultural Easements merit being considered seriously by local government agencies in order to implement Farmland Conservation in Fresno County.

5%

49%Definitely

Yes

36%Not Viable Mechanism

2%Ref

Need to Know More

Refused

13%

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 32

Figure 10AFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Support Buffer Zonesto Protect Prime Farmlands

Question 11.1: Without knowing more about these buffer zones than you know now, is

this something that you would approve of for protecting PRIME farmland from urban

development?

1%Unsure/Refused

11%

52% Probably

YES

81%Yes

7%29%

Definitely YES

DefinitelyNOT

ProbablyNOT

18%NO

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 33

Figure 10BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Approve Buffer Zones Used for:

Trails, Parks, Community Gardens, or Open Space

Question 11.2: While urban development would be PROHIBITED in these bufferzones, local government would be permitted to develop regional trails andparks inside these strips of land; also, the buffer zones could be used forcommunity gardens, or simply be dedicated to open space. This could be oneway to provide regional parks and trails throughout Fresno County. Is this anidea that you would approve of?

1%Unsure/Refused44%

Probably YES

75%Yes

31% Definitely

YES

12%Definitely

NOT

12%Probably

NOT

24%NO

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 34

Figure 11Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Support/Oppose:Bond

to Purchase Easements, Buy Property to Deed to Cities

Question 12.1: If a BOND Measure were to be placed on the local ballot to provide the funds necessary to either purchase the Development Rights through Agriculture Easements, or to purchase these strips of land outright and deed them to the City — assuming the BUFFER ZONES would be used to provide regional trails or parks in your community, or used for community gardens or dedicated to open space, would you vote YES or NO for such a Measure?

Depends on Amount/Unsure/Refused

33% Probably

YES

52%Yes

42%NO

19% Definitely

YES

25%Definitely

NO

17%Probably

NO

6%

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 35

Figure 12Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Question 13.1: If Buffer Zones were created to separate prime farmlands from urban areas where residential and commercial development will be allowed to take place, and these buffer zones were dedicated to regional trails, community parks, and opens space…would you vote YES or NO to authorize the creation of a Landscape Maintenance District to provide the necessary funding for proper maintenance of a buffer zone in your community.

Support/Oppose:Landscape Maintenance Assessment

to Maintain Buffer Zones

Depends on Amount/Unsure/Refused

38% Probably

YES

60%Yes

38%NO

22% Definitely

YES

22%Definitely

NO

16%Probably

NO

2%

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 36

Figure 13Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Exercise is Part of Most Residents’ Lifestyle

Question 14.0: Today, people — especially Californians — are becoming more and more aware of the benefits to their quality of life of making exercise and similar activities part of their regular routine. Do you make exercise part of your regular routine…either in your home, outside your home, in an exercise studio, or in the outdoors?

77%YES 23%

NO

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 37

Figure 14Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Having Access toParks, Trails & Open Space

is Important

Question 15.0 Regional parks, trails, and open space can bring a variety of benefits to one’s lifestyle; for example, they can bring physical, social, spiritual, and mental benefits to those who use them for such activities as hiking, biking, or simply escaping the pressures of daily life. How important is having access to parks, trails, and open space in or near the community in which you reside?

Much More Somewhat No effect/ Somewhat Much MoreSupport More Support Ref More Oppose Oppose

38 38

1 12 11

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

76%Important

23%Not Important

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 38

Figure 15Farmland Conservation

June 2011

Developing & MaintainingParks and Trails is Desirable

Question 16.0 If there were a way for local government (meaning the City in which you reside or in the unincorporated section of Fresno County in which you reside) to develop and maintain additional community parks and trails …what priority should be placed on moving in this direction?

Top Medium Low Not at allPriority Priority Priority a Priority

10

51

24

15

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Perc

ent

61%Important

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 39

Question 17.1: Before today’s interview, were you aware of the existence of the San Joaquin Valley Blue Print; if so, how aware were you.

70%Not

Aware26%

SomewhatAware

4%Extremely

Aware

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 40

Figure 16BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Feelings are Mixed Regarding theSan Joaquin Valley Blue Print

Question 17.2: Whether or not you were aware of San Joaquin Valley Blue Print before today’s interview, based upon the fact that it has been embraced by eight regional planning agencies throughout the Valley, combined with the fact that this planning process is driven by Smart Growth Principles…is this an approach to land use planning that you think is important with respect to the future of the Central Valley, in particular, Fresno County; or, is it just another government-sponsored program that is basically a waste of time and money; or, do you have no feelings either way?

28%Waste ofTime &Money

38%Important

to Valley’s Future

34%No Feelings/

Refused

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 41

Figure 17Farmland Conservation

June 2011

There is Significant Support for Model of Farmland Conservation Tested

Question 18.0: I will SUMMARIZE the model of Farmland Conservation for Fresno County that is presently being envisioned; then ask if you think this is a direction that local officials should take…or, would you advise local officials to find a better way to preserve farmlands throughout the County…or, would you advise local officials to abandon, altogether, the notion of Farmland Conservation in Fresno County?

Unsure/Refused

23% Definitely

Embrace Model Envisioned

45% Somewhat

Embrace Model Envisioned

18%Do NOT

Support Approach, Find Better Way

10%

4%

Do NOTSupport,

Abandon

68%Supportfor Model Tested

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 42

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 43

Demographicsof Survey Respondents

Figure 18AFarmland Conservation

June 2011

Length of Residency0 to 5 years 6%6 to 10 9%11 to 25 36%Over 25 years 48%Refused 1%

Age18 to 25 9%26 to 35 9%36 to 50 19%51 to 65 33%Over 65 years 30%Refused 0%

Household IncomeUnder $25,000 18%$25,001 to $50,000 25%$50,001 to $75,000 20%$75,001 to $100,000 15%Over $100,000 13%Refused 9%

EducationLess than High School 4%High School 16%Some College 33%College Graduate 28%Graduate School 18%Refused 1%

EthnicityCaucasian 66%Hispanic 21%African American/Black 2%Hmong 1%Native American 2%Asian 2%Other 4%Refused 2%

GenderMale 45%Female 55%

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 44

Demographicsof Survey Respondents

Figure 18BFarmland Conservation

June 2011

# of Children Under 18None 76%One 10%Two 9%Three or more 5%Refused 0%

IdeologyLiberal 19%Moderate 27%Conservative 51%Refused 3%

Home OwnershipOwn 75%Rent 23%Refused 2%

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 45

Addendum ‘C’

Council of County Fresno Governments

Farmland Conservation N=500

QUESTIONNAIRE

Hello. My name is _____________________ and I am with the Survey Research Institute. We are conducting a survey of Fresno County residents on behalf of the Fresno Council of Governments, also known as Fresno COG. COG officials would like to learn more about residents’ perceptions and concerns regarding a concept that has become known as Farmland Conservation, which involves BALANCING the Conservation of farmland in the Central Valley, especially in Fresno County, with Urban Growth and Development throughout the region.

Would you mind sharing a few minutes of your time and respond to our brief questionnaire?

NOTE TO INTERVIEWER: If respondent asks, "How long will the survey take?" Answer: “About 15 minutes"

1.0 Overall, how satisfied are you with the QUALITYOF LIFE as a resident of Fresno County?Would you say you are…

Extremely Very Only slightly Neutral/ Slightly Very Extremely Satisfied Satisfied Satisfied Unsure Dissatisfied Dissatisfied Dissatisfied

7% 42% 30% 2% 11% 5% 3%

2.0 I will now READ a list of local issues. I will then read the list a second time; please tell me, in order of priority, which three of these local issues are of most concern to you today? (1=top priority, 2=2nd priority, 3=3rd priority).

1st 2nd 3rd Total

17% 12% 12% 41% 2.1 Crime in your community

24% 14% 14% 52% 2.2 Local & regional economy, including lack of jobs

12% 15% 17% 44% 2.3 The need to protect farmlands throughout the Central Valley, and especially in Fresno County, from being taken out of agriculture production

3% 6% 5% 14% 2.4 Need for better street maintenance, such as repairing pot holes

14% 11% 13% 38% 2.5 Quality of education being provided to local youth

4% 6% 7% 17% 2.6 Local taxes and fees

3% 7% 6% 16% 2.7 Too much growthand urban sprawl

10% 11% 10% 31% 2.8 Poor &unhealthy air quality in Fresno County

1% 4% 4% 9% 2.9 Limited or inconvenient public transit services in Fresno County

12% 15% 12% 39% 2.10 Need for more sources of water in the Central Valley

3.0 To the best of your knowledge, what percentage of the jobs in Fresno County are either directly or indirectly related to the Agriculture Industry? Would you say…

Approx. Approx. About. Approx. Significantly more No idea Refused 7% 15% One third One half than half [DO NOT read]

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 46

3% 6% 33% 24% 28% 6% 0%

Benchmark Support for Farmland Conservation in Fresno County

4.0 For the past two decades, there has been a movement in the Central Valley, especially in Fresno County, toward BALANCINGFarmland Conservation with Urban Growth and Development throughout the region.

On the one hand, Fresno County is one of the most productive agricultural regions in the nation; in fact, it is one of only five Mediterranean growing regions of the world. Therefore, should significant portions of this farmland be paved over, these rich agriculture lands will be lost forever to urbanization.

On the other hand, the Central Valley is believed to be one of the areas of the country that will experience the most explosive population growth over the next several decades; thus, much of the Fresno County’s existing agricultural land will be urbanized…including prime farmlands.

Given what you know about the role that agriculture plays in the economic and social fabric of Fresno County, today…

55% Do you believe that the very unique farmlands in Fresno County should be PRESERVED AT ALL COSTS; even if this means that the Private Property Rights of some property owners, including property owners with large holdings, will be compromised from time to time? Or…

39% Do you believe that Private Property Rights are fundamental to the American way of life; that property owners have an inherent right to do with their property whatever they see fit, and what benefits them and their families, which includes developing or selling their land to a developer who may build homes or construct commercial and even industrial centers?

6% Unsure, don’t know/Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

6.0 Two major studies have been produced in the last 15 years wherein the Agriculture Industry and the business community collaborated to create a VISION for bringing together farmland conservation with urban sprawl.The first report, A Landscape of Choice, was embraced by virtually every public agency in Fresno County as well as a host of special interest groups and organizations in the private sector. The theme that underlies this study was that farmlands in Fresno County should, indeed, be preserved and protected. However, this study did NOT include an implementation plan or strategy.

The second study, Model Farmland Conservation for Fresno County, was intended to bring forward a plan for implementing Farmland Conservation in Fresno County. As it turned out, however, there was NOT a consensus among the stakeholders regarding how best to implement Farmland Conservation.

The primary barrier to implementation has to do with protecting PRIVATE PROPERTY RIGHTS. Thus, the remainder of the present survey is designed to test specific elements of an Implementation Plan for Farmland Conservation in Fresno County. In order to succeed, any plan that comes forward MUST be embraced by registered voters and property owners throughout the County; therefore, your input is invaluable.

Core attitudes regarding Farmland Conservation in Fresno County

I will read several statements having to DO WITH Farmland Conservation in Fresno County; then ask whether you agree or disagree with each statement. When responding, please use the following scale:

5 = Strongly Agree 4 = Somewhat Agree 3 = Don't really agree or disagree 3 = Somewhat Disagree 1 = Strongly Disagree

6.1 Public policies aimed at Farmland Conservation, while being well-intended…restrict the use of these properties, thus reducethe value of farmlands in Fresno County in no small way. Do you agree or disagree with this point of view; and, would that be strongly or somewhat Agree or Disagree?

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

Strategy Research Institute, An Institute for Consensus Building Page 47

Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly Agree Agree Unsure Disagree Disagree

13% 38% 15% 21% 13%

6.2 The Central Valley is one of American’s national treasures; as noted a moment ago, it is one of only five regions of its kind in the world. The Central Valley is world renowned for growing and producing high quality, healthy, and wholesome food, fiber, and commodities for consumption throughout the United States, indeed, the world. Furthermore, the agriculture industryin the Valley is highly productive; with less than one percent of U.S. farmland, the Central Valley supplies 8 percent of U.S. agricultural output. Therefore, farmland in the Central Valley, and especially in Fresno County, should be protected against urban development, even if this means that some people’s Private Property Rights will be compromised. Do you agree or disagree with this point of view; and, would that be strongly or somewhat Agree or Disagree?

Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly Agree Agree Unsure Disagree Disagree

38% 33% 5% 10% 14%

6.3 Property value is determined by its owners having the ability to “sell” their property at any point in time and for virtually any use (especially for housing and/or commercial development); in order be positioned to do this, it is imperative that its USE is NOT RESTRICTED. Do you agree or disagree with this point of view; and, would that be strongly or somewhat Agree or Disagree with this opinion?

Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly Agree Agree Unsure Disagree Disagree

17% 30% 9% 23% 21% 6.4 In order to succeed, any land use plan for preserving farmlands in Fresno County MUST enable landowners, when they sell, to recover equity from their property without developing it.

Do you StronglyAgree,SomewhatAgree, SomewhatDisagree, or StronglyDisagree with this statement?

Strongly Somewhat Neutral Somewhat Strongly Agree Agree Unsure Disagree Disagree

29% 40% 12% 10% 9%

Public Opinion in Fresno County re: Smart Growth

7.0 I would now like to ask you opinion about a growing concept called ‘Smart Growth’.

In order to avoid urbansprawl,Smart Growth concentrates growth in compact, walkable, bicycle-friendly urban centers. Further, in order to encourage people to stay out of their cars, Smart Growth subdivisions are typically located adjacent to, or near, a mass transit center. Smart Growthdevelopments, wherever possible, include neighborhood schools and mixed-use development; for example, multi-story units with residential housing upstairs and commercial development or an office complex downstairs. Smart Growth offers a range of housing choices.

7.1 Before today’s interview, were you aware of ‘Smart Growth’; if so, how aware were you. Would that be…?

15% Extremely Aware

36% Somewhat Aware

48% Not at all Aware, this is the first I’ve heard the term.

1% Unsure/don’t know/Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

7.2 Advocates of Smart Growth hold that the primary BENEFITS of this approach to urban development are: (i) reduced consumption and conversion of agricultural and natural land to urban uses, (ii) lower housing costs as a result of higher density housing, (iii) improved delivery of public

ITEM V A

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services and emergency responses, (iv) improved regional transit systems such as light rail, (v) revitalization of urban centers that have become run down, and (vi) enhanced economic development through a greater ability to attract new businesses due to a concentrated workforce.

Whether or not you were aware of the trend toward Smart Growth before today’s interview, based upon the description I just gave you, is Smart Growth a trend that you approve or disapprove of; and would that be…

35% Strongly approve 36% Somewhat approve 13% Somewhat disapprove 13% Strongly disapprove 3% Unsure/don’t know/Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

Test ARGUMENTS For and Against Smart Growth

8.0 I will now read several statements about why it IS or IS NOT necessary to support Smart Growth in Fresno County. After I read each statement, please tell me — if you heard the statement from a credible source — would you be more likely to support or more likely to oppose Smart Growth for future housing, commercial, and industrial development in Fresno County. More specifically, please tell me if the statement would make you much more likelyto support, somewhat more likely to support, somewhat more likelyto oppose, much more likely to oppose the Smart Growth in Fresno County; or, would it have no effect on your opinion. Here’s the first statement:

8.1 There is TOO MUCH URBAN SPRAWL in Fresno County. Higher density housing is needed to control urban sprawl in the region. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth

29% 32% 5% 17% 16% 1%

8.2 Much of the prime farmland in Fresno County that is being lost to urbanization is unnecessary; by embracing Smart Growth, this unnecessary loss of prime farmland is virtually eliminated. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth

31% 34% 5% 14% 15% 1%

8.3 Given that most of the growing cities in Fresno County are located in the midst of the County’s most strategic and prime farmland, increasing the efficiency of housing and commercial development through Smart Growth is the most important thing that can be done to conserve the county’s irreplaceable farmland. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth

28% 38% 7% 12% 14% 1%

8.4 If no change in current development patterns occurs, another 97,600 acres of land will be urbanized in Fresno County by 2050, roughly doubling the current urbanized area in the County. Far more important, approximately 70% of this land that will be converted to housing and commercial development (or about 105 square miles) will involve prime or strategic farmland; thereby, REMOVING these important farmlands from agricultural production. Would this argument make you…

ITEM V A

Farmland Conservation in Fresno County, Final Report June 2011

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MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth

31% 27% 5% 14% 22% 1%

8.6 Some of the County’s prime farmland is located inside the existing “spheres of influence” of the cities throughout the County; therefore, for all practical purposes, these farmlands are earmarked for being converted to future urban development, thus lost to the agriculture industry, permanently. Clearly, it is essential to adopt Smart Growth in order to slow down the actual loss of these prime farmlands located INSIDE the existing Spheres of Influence as these communities continue to grow and expand. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth

34% 32% 5% 15% 13% 1%

8.7 Rural residential development presently consumes roughly one quarter of all the developed land in the Fresno County; if this development pattern continues at its present pace, another 55,000 acres of prime farmland could be removed from agriculture. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth Smart Growth

32% 26% 6% 14% 21% 1%

Test ARGUMENTS For and Against Farmland Conservation

9.0 I will now read several statements about why it IS or IS NOT necessary to protect existing farmlands in Fresno County, especially prime farmlands that are most likely to remain economically viable for high-value commercial agriculture in the long term. After I read each statement, please tell me — if you heard the statement from a credible source — would you be more likely to support or more likely to oppose Farmland Conservation; in other words, protect prime farmlands against urban development, even if this means that some people’s Private Property Rights will be compromised. More specifically, please tell me if the statement would make you much more likelyto support, somewhat more likely to support, somewhat more likelyto oppose, much more likely to oppose Farmland Conservation; or, would it have no effect on your opinion. Here’s the first statement:

9.1 One sixth of Fresno’s prime farmlands is located inside or adjacent to the spheres of influence of the 15 cities located in Fresno County; these lands have to be protected from urbanization as much as possible. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation

49% 29% 7% 9% 6% 0%

9.2 Due to advances in automation and farming technologies combined with difficulties having to do with recruiting farm workers, more and more agriculture production is being sent to Mexico, Africa, and especially to China. As a result, the need to preserve productive farmlands in Fresno County is becoming FAR LESS IMPORTANT, over time. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation

49% 21% 6% 8% 15% 1%

9.3 Since 1990, nearly 70% of all the land developed in Fresno County was prime or unique farmland, or farmland of statewide importance. These farmlands have been lost to agriculture, forever; it is imperative that no more prime ag land in Fresno County is lost to residential or commercial development.Would this argument make you…

ITEM V A

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MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation

48% 30% 5% 9% 7% 1%

9.4 By the year 2040, if nothing changes, Fresno County will lose approximately 20% of its irrigated farmland and experience annual losses of about $700 million of the revenues presently being generated through Fresno County’s Agriculture Industry. This trend MUST be stopped; Farmland Conservation is more important now, then it has ever been. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation

55% 27% 3% 8% 7% 0%

9.5 We need to provide jobs and housing in a manner that protects the natural resources that are vital to our agriculture-based economy. Therefore, Farmland Conservation is essential in Fresno County. Would this argument make you…

MUCH more likely SOMEWHAT more likely No effect on SOMEWHAT more likely MUCH more likely Unsure/DK to support to support my opinion to oppose to oppose Refused Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation Farmland Conservation

49% 36% 4% 5% 6% 0%

Support for Agricultural Easements

10.0 One way to protect farmlands in Fresno County from urban development is to rezone the property and classify it as PERMANENT farmland, thus removing the property owner’s ability to develop the property or sell the farmland to homebuilders or commercial developers. The consequence of doing this, of course, is that the value of the property is significantly reduced. Therefore, few (if any) property owners would be inclined to do this…UNLESS there was a mechanism in place that allows them to recover the equity that they would have received had they sold the property to a developer. There is, indeed, such a mechanism; it is called an Agricultural Easement.

An easement is when an individual or other entity (such as government agency) purchases the right to use land belonging to someone else for a specific purpose. The price of the easement would be based upon FAIR MARKET VALUE, assuming the farmland could be sold to a developer or home builder. This could be for a specific period of time or into perpetuity; of course, the price would reflect the time limit.

10.1 Without knowing more than you know now, does an Agricultural Easement seem to be a fair and equitable mechanism for making Farmland Conservation in Fresno County possible?

62% YES 33% NO 5% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

10.2 Do you think Agricultural Easements merit being considered seriously by local government agencies in order to implement Farmland Conservation in Fresno County. And, would that be…?

49% Definitely YES 13% Perhaps, but I would need to know more (DO NOT READ this option) 36% NO; this is NOT a viable mechanism for implementing Farmland

Conservation 2% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

Support for Buffer Zones

11.0 Another way to protect prime farmlands from urban development is to create BUFFER ZONES along those portions of a City’s approved sphere of influence, or urban limit line, that abuts prime farmland. These buffer zones would be a relatively narrow strip of land on which NO residential, commercial, or industrial

ITEM V A

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development would be permitted. The concept behind BUFFER ZONES is that urban development would take place INSIDE the buffer zone; the land outside these buffer zones would be used primarily for agriculture.

11.1 Without knowing more about these buffer zones than you know now, is this something that you would approve of for protecting PRIME farmland from urban development; and, would that be…

29% Definitely YES 52% Probably YES, but you would need to know more about these buffer zones 11% PROBABLY NOT 7% Definitely NOT 1% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

11.2 While urban development would be PROHIBITED in these buffer zones, local government would be permitted to develop regional trails and parks inside these strips of land; also, the buffer zones could be used for community gardens, or simply be dedicated to open space. This could be one way to provide regional parks and trails throughout Fresno County. Is this an idea that you would approve of; and would that be…

31% Definitely YES 44% Probably YES 12% PROBABLY NOT 12% Definitely NOT 1% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

Support for Bond to Purchase Easements or Buy Property and Deed it to the City

12.0 One drawback to creating BUFFER ZONES to separate prime farmland from property that is inside a City’s sphere of influence, thus, slated for urban development, is that the City would either have to purchase the development rights on the strips of land through Agriculture Easements, or purchase the property, outright. In either case, the landowner would have to be compensated based upon fair market value (thus, respecting the sellers’ Private Property Rights). In other words, the purchase price would be based upon the assumption that the property could, in fact, be sold to home builders or commercial developers. Cities do NOT presently have a funding source to do this. So, my question is this...

12.1 If a BOND Measure were to be placed on the local ballot to provide the funds necessary to either purchase the Development Rights through Agriculture Easements, or to purchase these strips of land outright and deed them to the City — assuming the BUFFER ZONES would be used to provide regional trails or parks in your community, or used for community gardens or dedicated to open space, would you vote YES or NO for such a Measure? And, would that be…

19% Definitely YES

33% Probably YES

2% Depends upon the amount of the tax (DO NOT READ this option)

17% Probably NO

25% Definitely NO

4% Unsure/DK/Refused (DO NOT READ this response).

Support for LLAD to Maintain Buffer Zones

13.0 Another reality is that if regional trails and parks are developed inside these buffer zones, each City would be responsible for proper maintenance of these recreation facilities. Typically, the on-going maintenance of community parks, trails, and open space is funded by creating a Landscape Maintenance District. Thus, if authorized by property owners in the community who benefit from these

ITEM V A

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trails and parks, each property owned would be assessed, annually. Such funding mechanisms require simple majority support of property owners who BENEFIT from the public parks, trails, what-have-you. So, my question is this...

13.1 If Buffer Zones were created to separate prime farmlands from urban areas where residential and commercial development will be allowed to take place, and these buffer zones were dedicated to regional trails, community parks, and opens space…would you vote YES or NO to authorize the creation of a Landscape Maintenance District to provide the necessary funding for proper maintenance of a buffer zone in your community. And, would that be…

22% Definitely YES

38% Probably YES

1% Depends upon the amount of the tax (DO NOT READ this option)

16% Probably NO

22% Definitely NO

1% Unsure/DK/Refused (DO NOT READ this response). 5 = Definitely YES

Importance of Community Parks, Trails & Open Space to Lifestyle and Quality of Life

14.0 Today, people — especially Californians — are becoming more and more aware of the benefits to their quality of life of making exercise and similar activities part of their regular routine. Do you make exercise part of your regular routine…either in your home, outside your home, in an exercise studio, or in the outdoors?

77% YES

23% NO

0% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

15.0 Regional parks, trails, and open space can bring a variety of benefits to one’s lifestyle; for example, they can bring physical, social, spiritual, and mental benefits to those who use them for such activities as hiking, biking, or simply escaping the pressures of daily life. How important is having access to parks, trails, and open space in or near the community in which you reside? Is it…

Extremely Somewhat Unsure Not very Not at all Refused Important Important (Do NOT Read) Important Important (Do NOT Read) 38% 38% 1% 12% 11% 0%

16.0 If there were a way for local government (meaning the City in which you reside or in the unincorporated section of Fresno County in which you reside) to develop and maintain additional community parks and trails …what priority should be placed on moving in this direction?

10% Absolute, top priority; develop community parks and trails as soon as possible;

51% A medium priority, added if and when the budget allows? Or, should they be considered a…

24% Low priority, not really needed at this time; or…

15% Not at all a priority

0% Don't know/unsure/Refused [DO NOT read]

The Blue Print Process

17.0 I would like to ask your opinion about the San Joaquin ValleyBlue Print. The Blue Print is a land use planning process that is intended to serve as a framework for guiding those local jurisdictions throughout the Central Valley that have land use authority through 2050. It has been embraced by eight regional planning agencies throughout the Valley. The San Joaquin Valley Blue Print is based upon Smart Growth Principles.

17.1 Before today’s interview, were you aware of the existence of the San Joaquin Valley Blue Print; if so, how aware were you. Would that be…?

4% Extremely Aware

ITEM V A

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26% Somewhat Aware

70% Not at all Aware, this is the first I’ve heard the term. 0% Unsure/don’t know/Refused(DO NOT READ this option)

17.2 Whether or not you were aware of San Joaquin Valley Blue Print before today’s interview, based upon the fact that it has been embraced by eight regional planning agencies throughout the Valley, combined with the fact that this planning process is driven by Smart Growth Principles…is this an approach to land use planning that you think is important with respect to the future of the Central Valley, in particular, Fresno County; or, is it just another government-sponsored program that is basically a waste of time and money; or, do you have no feelings either way?

38% Important to the future of the Central Valley 28% A waste of time and money 32% No feelings either way 2% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

Overall Support for Model being Tested

18.0 I will SUMMARIZE the model of Farmland Conservation for Fresno County that is presently being envisioned; then ask if you think this is a direction that local officials should take…or, would you advise local officials to find a better way to preserve farmlands throughout the County…or, would you advise local officials to abandon, altogether, the notion of Farmland Conservation in Fresno County?

The model being envisioned has the following elements.

5. One of the underlying principles of the Farmland Conservation Model is Smart Growth. This is a movement away from conventional housing developments, comprised of relatively low density, detached single-family housing…to designing higher-density, multi-use subdivisions, located near mass transit centers.

6. BUFFER ZONES would be created along those portions of a City’s approved sphere of influence, or urban limit line, that abuts prime farmland. These buffer zones would be relatively narrow strips of land on which NO residential, commercial, or industrial development would be permitted; however local government would be permitted to develop regional trails, parks, community gardens inside these strips of land; or simply be dedicated to open space.

7. Local voters would be asked to authorize a modest tax to be used to PURCHASE the development rights on these narrow strips of land that would function as Buffer Zones; or, to purchase the strips of land outright (at fair market value) and deed the land to the respective City, which would take ownership of these Buffer Zones. These monies could also be used to develop regional trails and parks, or other uses that benefit local residents. In order to be authorized, this tax would require 2/3rds voter support and would only be assessed to property owners who reside in or adjacent to the community which will take ownership of the Buffer Zones.

8. Local property owners would be asked to authorize a Landscape Maintenance District that would generate the funding needed to properly maintain these buffer zones and keep them safe for use by local residents. This funding mechanism would require simple majority support from property owners whose families will directly benefit from these regional trails, parks, community gardens, and/or open space.

My question is this. Do you...

23% Definitely embrace this model for Farmland Conservation in Fresno County and throughout the Central Valley; thus, you would encourage local officials to move forward, immediately.

45% Somewhat embrace the model being envisioned; but, more work is needed. The model for Farmland Conservation in Fresno County being envisioned should be revisited and adjustments made; however, the effort should definitely continue.

18% Do NOT support this approach; local officials should find a better way to preserve farmlands throughout Fresno County.

ITEM V A

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10% Do NOT support this approach; in fact, the notion of Farmland Conservation in Fresno County and the entire Central Valley should be abandoned, altogether.

4% Unsure/DK/Refused (DO NOT READ this response).

Demographic Profile

Finally, I have a few final questions about you. 19.0 How long have you lived in Fresno County?

6% 0 to 5 years 9% 6 to 10 years 36% 11 to 35 years 48% Over 35 years 1% D/K/Refused (DO NOT READ this response)

20.0 How many children do you have living at home under the age of 18?

76% None 10% One 9% Two 5% Three or More 0% Refused (DO NOT READ this response)

21.0 Into what age range do you fall?

9% 18 to 25 9% 26 to 35 19% 36 to 50 33% 51 to 65 30% Over 65 0% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

22.0 Do you own or rent your home?

75% Own 23% Rent 2% Refused (DO NOT READ this response) 23.0 How many years of school have you completed?

4% Less than High School 16% High School graduate (or Trade School) 33% Some college 28% College graduate 18% Graduate school, Professional school 1% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

24.0 Using the traditional political labels would you describe yourself as liberal, moderate,orconservative?

19% Liberal 27% Moderate 51% Conservative 3% Refused (DO NOT READ this response)

ITEM V A

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25.0 Into what range does your annual household income fall?

18% under $25,000 25% between $25,000 and $50,000 20% between $50,000 and $75,000 15% between $75,000 and $100,000 13% Over $100,00 9% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

26.0 What is your ethnic background?

66% White or Caucasian 21% Hispanic/Latino 2% African American or Black 1% Hmong 2% Native American/Alaskan Native 0% Native Hawaiian & other Pacific Islander 2% Asian 4% Other 2% Refused (DO NOT READ this option)

Thank the intervieweefor participating in the survey and politely say "Good-bye." DO NOT READ THE FOLLOWING QUESTION; SIMPLY RECORD THE CORRESPONDING INFORMATION FOR

Q28.0 BEFORE MOVING ON TO NEXT INTERVIEW.

27.0 Gender of respondent?

45% Male 55% Female

May 2011

ITEM V A