fasb long-duration targeted improvements (ldti) 2018 1114 weds - seac fasb... · —dac written off...
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FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI)
Robert Hanes, FSA, MAAAMichael Hayes, FSA, MAAA
2018 SEAC Fall MeetingNovember 14, 2018
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Agenda• Initiatives & Timeline• Overview
• Traditional & Limited-Payment Contracts• Participating Contracts• Deferred Acquisition Costs (DAC)• Deferred Profit Liability (DPL)• Market Risk Benefits (MRB)• Disclosures
• Impact Example• Transition Examples• Implementation & Perspectives• Sample Implementation Plan
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FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI):
Initiatives & Timeline
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4© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
FASB Initiative
Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts (ASU 2018–12)
Focused efforts on targeted improvements to both accounting and disclosures
Change to current U.S. GAAP model for recognition, measurement, presentation and disclosure
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Timeline2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
Topics redeliberated by the FASB:— Nonparticipating traditional and limited-payment insurance contracts – August 2, 2017— Participating insurance contracts – October 4, 2017— Measurement of market risk benefits – October 4, 2017— Amortization of deferred acquisition costs – October 4, 2017— Presentation and disclosures – November 1, 2017— Discount rate reset upon initial adoption and effective date – June 6, 2018
Feedback from comment letters discussed in February 2017
Proposed ASU issued in September 2016
Redeliberations in 2017 and 2018
Public roundtable meeting held in April 2017
ASU 2018-12 issued on August 15, 2018
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2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
Timeline (continued)Effective date Public business entities All other entities
Annual periods – Fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2020 December 15, 2021
Interim periods – In fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2020 December 15, 2022
Early adoption allowed? Yes
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FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI):
Overview
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Overview – Changes to Liability for Future Policy Benefits
Reserving model—Retained the net premium reserving—model—Provision for risk of adverse deviation removed
from determination of the liability—Premium deficiency testing eliminated but net
premium ratio cannot exceed 100%
Disclosures—Disaggregated rollforwards—Information about significant inputs,
judgments, assumptions and methods
Income statement impact—Cash flow assumption changes reflected in P&L
—Discount rate assumption changes reflectedin OCI
Best estimate assumptions—Cash flow assumptions reviewed at least annually,
and when changed, updated on a catch-up—basis—Discount rate assumptions updated each
reporting period on an immediate basisTraditional and
Limited-Payment
Long-Duration Contracts
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Traditional and Limited-Payment Contracts – Key ChangesCash flow assumptions
Unlocking of assumptions is meant to provide more relevant estimates of future policy benefit reservesKey changes:—Reviewed at least annually at the same time every year, but more frequently if suggested by experience —If assumptions change, updates made on a catch-up basis through net income—Update for actual experience on an annual basis, unless assumptions are updated—Expense assumptions updated consistently with other cash flow assumptions, but can elect on an entity-wide basis
to not update (lock-in)—Groups used to calculate reserves do not cross issue years, may be annual or quarterly groups
Reflected in the net premium %
Unlocking of the discount rate better reflects the market environment of the liabilitiesKey changes:—Unlocked and updated at each reporting date on an immediate basis in other comprehensive income—Determine discount rate using an upper-medium grade (low-credit risk), fixed income instrument yield
(generally an A rating)
Discount rate
Not reflected in the net premium %
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Net Premium Reserving Model
Discount rate unlocked
Reserve(t) PV (Benefits + Expenses) PV (Net Premium % x Gross Premiums)
All cash flow assumptions* unlocked
Discount rate not unlocked
Net premium % PV (Benefits + Expenses) PV (Gross Premiums)
— Expense assumptions should be updated consistently with the standard’s new methodology used for other cash flow assumptions, unless an entity-wide election is made to not update the expense assumption
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Traditional and Limited-Payment Contracts – Discount Rate
—Determine discount rate using an upper-medium grade (low-credit risk), fixed income instrument yield (generally an A rating)
—Insurance entities are required to:- Maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs;- Use reliable information that reflects duration characteristics of the liability for future policy benefits; and- Use the original discount rate as the interest accretion rate
Current practice is that the discount rate can vary depending on the type of insurance contract. Discount rates can be currently based on: expected investment yield, policy crediting rate, or dividend interest rate.
Impact: With the discount rates on investments and reserves are no longer connected, the asset liability management discount rate may not be consistent with the discount rate used in the reserve calculation
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Traditional and Limited-Payment Contracts – TransitionTransition
—Apply to contracts in force using existing carrying amounts at the transition date, adjusted to remove related amounts in accumulated OCI (modified retrospective basis)- Transition date defined as the beginning of the earliest period presented- Discount rate assumption used to calculate the liability immediately before transition used to:
—calculate the ratio of net premiums to gross premiums at transition and —interest accretion in future periods
- Remeasure the liability on the balance sheet using the current upper-medium grade (low-credit risk), fixed-income instrument yield to determine the adjustment to opening AOCI at the transition date
—Net premium ratio capped at 100%—Option to apply the guidance retrospectively, with a cumulative adjustment to opening retained earnings
- Required to use same contract issue year level on an entity-wide basis for that issue year and all subsequent issue years- Required to use actual historical experience information
—Cumulative catch-up applied to opening balance of retained earnings if net premiums > gross premiums or if retrospective approach elected
Impact: Availability of historical information may limit the use of retrospective application for all issue years
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Participating Contracts
—No change to measurement of the future policy benefit liability for participating contracts —No change to measurement of the future policy benefit liability for participating contracts —Simplified DAC amortization model applies to participating contracts—Accrued terminal dividends accrued are recognized as expense at a constant rate based on the present value
of the base used for the amortization of DAC
Under current U.S. GAAP, the future policy benefits liability for participating insurance contracts is measured using a separate accounting model that is different from the model used for nonparticipating insurance contracts.
Impact: The simplified DAC amortization model will still be used for participating insurance contracts
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Deferred Acquisition Costs (DAC)Under current U.S. GAAP, DAC is amortized in proportion to premiums, gross profits or gross margins
DAC amortization method replaced with a principle in which:—DAC amortized on a constant level basis over the expected term of the contract(s)
- Individual contracts: Amortized on a straight-line basis- Grouped contracts: Amortized on a constant-level basis that approximates straight-line amortization on an individual contract basis
—Amortization should not be a function of revenue or profit emergence—Contracts should be grouped consistent with the grouping used to calculate the reserve—DAC written off for unexpected contract terminations
Concepts eliminated under the proposed standard:
—Accruing interest on the unamortized balance of DAC—Adjusting DAC for the effect of investment performance or changes in expected future liability cash flows (shadow adjustments) —Impairment analysis on DAC
Impact: Simplifies the amortization of DAC
Other considerations—Deferred sales inducements amortized using same methodology and assumptions as DAC—Types of acquisition costs eligible for deferral are not affected—Balances amortized consistent with DAC will need to be assessed to determine whether amortizing these balances consistent with DAC remains
appropriate (e.g., value of business acquired (VOBA), present value of future profits (PVFP) and costs of reinsurance)—VOBA or PVFP still subject to impairment testing
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Deferred Acquisition Costs (DAC) (continued)
Transition
—Apply to existing carrying amounts at the transition date, adjusted to remove related amounts in accumulated OCI (prospectivebasis)
—Option to apply the guidance retrospectively, with a cumulative adjustment to opening retained earnings—Required to elect DAC transition method and issue-year level consistent with the liability for future policy benefits
Impact: Availability of historical information may limit the use of retrospective application for all issue years
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Deferred Profit Liability (DPL)Under current U.S. GAAP, DPL should be deferred and recognized over the period that services are provided and in constant relationship with insurance inforce or benefit payments
DPL under Long-Duration Targeted Improvements:—Assumptions used in measuring any gross premium deferred shall be consistent with those used in estimating the liability for
future benefits—Assumptions shall be updated contemporaneously with the updating of assumptions for the corresponding liability for future
policy benefits (reviewed for need to update at least annually at the same time every year)—Cash flow assumptions used to calculate the DPL at contract issuance shall be updated in subsequent periods using actual
historical experience and updated future assumptions—Each reporting period the DPL is recalculated as of the contract issue date using the updated historicals with amortization
redetermined in relation to the discounted (actual & re-projected) amount of the insurance in force or actual & reprojected benefit payments (if accounting for annuity products)
- Income recognition remains a constant relationship with insurance inforce or expected future benefit payments- The method of amortization remains unchanged while the DPL is recalculated each period
—The discounting performed using and upper-medium grade (low-credit-risk) fixed-income instrument yield, updated each reporting period
—The revised DPL shall be compared with the carrying amount of the DPL as of the beginning of the current reporting period to determine the change in estimate adjustment to be recognized in net income for the current reporting period
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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Deferred Profit Liability (DPL)Concepts eliminated under the proposed standard:— Assumptions are no longer locked in and DPL is recalculated as a result of assumption updates
Other considerations
— For assumption updates, the DPL will be recomputed from contract inception and compared to the beginning of period DPL to determine the gain/loss
— Assumption updates will affect the future liabilities which will impact DPL
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Market Risk BenefitsJohn Adduci, FSA, MAAA
November 14, 2018
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Market Risk Benefits - Overview 19
A new accounting classification for certain benefits offered within deposit contracts with other than nominal market risk, especially guaranteed minimum benefits on annuities
Recognition and measurement is at fair value
Changes in the liability due to the change in an entity’s own credit risk are reflected in other comprehensive income
Transition is retrospective for all market risk benefits
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
FASB believes that the benefits of targeted improvements for market risk benefits are greater than the costs and complexities 20
One measurement model
Maximize use of observable market inputs
Greater visibility to extent capital market risk is hedged
1Benefits Initial Costs
Reconfigure system and process
Staff education
Initial costs to implement the calculations retrospectively
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Market risk benefits are inserted into the accounting classification at the top of the hierarchy 21
Meets the definition of market risk benefitApply ASC 944 for MRB, fair valuePortion of change in liability due to own credit risk goes through OCI
Benefit is not a market risk benefit but is an embedded derivative Apply ASC 815, fair valueChange in liability goes through net income
Benefit is not a market risk benefit and is not an embedded derivativeDetermine if ASC 944 for Death and Other Insurance Benefits is applicable a.k.a. (SOP03-1)Change in liability goes through net income
Market Risk Benefits
Embedded Derivative
Other Accounting Methods
1
2
3
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
The scope for MRB has been refined and key words in the final standard are protection/shortfall and nominal 22
What is a Market Risk Benefit?A contract or contract feature that both provides protection to the contract holder from other-than-nominal capital market risk and exposes the insurance entity to other-than-nominal capital market risk should be recognized as a market risk benefit.
Sept2016
Evolution of Scope
Nov2017
June
June2018
Limited to contracts with separate accounts
General account deposit contracts scoped in
Refined language for MRB proposed
Final Standard
Aug2018
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Interpretation of the definition for market risk benefits could lead to uncertainty among the industry until the dust settles 23
Market Risk Benefits
Embedded Derivative
Other Accounting Methods
VA GMWB/L
VA GMDB
ULSGVariable Life
EIUL Indexed Feature
FIA GMWB/L
FIA GMDB
FIA Indexed Feature
VUL GMDB
Minimum Crediting Rates
Annuitization Guarantees
Higher Certainty Less Certainty
Stable Value Features
Variable Annuity
VA GMAB
VA GMIB
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Concepts and methods to measure insurance liabilities at fair value exist under current GAAP framework today 24
Familiar Concepts• Income Approach
• Risk Neutral Valuation / Budget Method
• Market Participant Assumptions
• Zero gain/loss at issue
Familiar Methodology
• Attributed Fee methodology
• Host Contract methodology
• Fair Value Option? (old “FAS159”)
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Transition will require significant work for all types of contracts impacted 25
The transition requirements for market risk benefits are retrospective, meaning…
For contracts NOT already following a fair value framework…• Perform cashflow projections as of contract inception, allowing “hindsight”, to obtain necessary
retrospective information • At the transition date, adjust retained earnings for the difference in carrying value and transition value
under new guidance (and AOCI, see below)• Consider whether the contract contains other benefits already measured at fair value• Plus… items below
For contracts already following a fair value framework… • Establish method to quantify the cumulative change in instrument specific credit risk for AOCI• Change in presentation format and process for increased reporting and disclosure requirements
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Key Market Risk Benefit Considerations 26
Interpretation – What is your company’s interpretation of market risk benefit?
Systems – Do you have desired scenario generators and system modeling capabilities?
Calculation – What fair value methodology will you use?
Compound Market Risk Benefit – How do you value more than one MRB together?
Unit of account – At what level of granularity is the calculation done?
Assumptions – Do you need to develop new assumption sets for market risk benefits?
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
GMXB that are fair valued today generally use a prospective reserve method, GMXB under SOP03-1 use a retrospective method 27
At Issue – Original Assumptions
(1)Year
(2)Rider
Charges
(3)Excess Claims
(4)Retrospective
Reserve (SOP03-1)
(5)Prospective Reserve
(MRB FV)
(6)Change in Reserve
(7)Income
1 50 20 20 20 20 10
2 50 30 30 30 10 10
3 50 40 30 30 0 10
4 50 50 20 20 -10 10
5 50 60 0 0 -20 10
250 200 80% 80% 50
Attributed Fee % (locked in at issue) = 80% = PV Excess Claims / PV Rider Charges Reserve(t) = PV of future excess claims – AF% * PV of future rider charges
Benefit Ratio for SOP03-1 (always recalculated as of issue) = PV Excess Claims / PV Rider Charges = 80% Reserve(t) = Benefit Ratio*Cumulative Rider Charges – Cumulative Excess Claims
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
Updates to future assumptions impact the pattern of reserve for both reserve regimes 28
Updated assumptions in Year 2+, reserves recast as of issue date
(1)Year
(2)Rider
Charges
(3)Excess Claims
(4)Retrospective
Reserve (SOP03-1)
(5)Change in Reserve
(Retrospective SOP03-1)
(6)Prospective Reserve
(MRB FV)
(7)Change in Reserve (Prospective MRB
FV)
1 50 20 27.2 27.2 56 56
2 50 36 38.4 11.2 60 4
3 50 48 37.6 -0.8 52 -8
4 50 60 24.8 -12.8 32 -20
5 50 72 0 -24.8 0 -32
250 236 94% 80%
Year 1 actual experience is equal to expected
Increase to claims projection due to assumption change
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
For benefits transitioning from a retrospective approach to prospective approach, the reserve story changes 29
Unlocking Analysis
(1)Year
(2)Rider
Charges
(3)Excess Claims
(4) Retrospective
Reserve (SOP03-1)
(5)∆
Retrospective Reserve
(6)Prospective
Reserve (MRB FV)
(7)∆
Prospective Reserve
(8)Income
(Retrospective)
(9)Income
(Prospective)
1 50 20 20 20 20 20 10 10
2 50 36 38.4 18.4 60 40 -4.4 -26
3 50 48 37.6 -0.8 52 -8 2.8 10
4 50 60 24.8 -12.8 32 -20 2.8 10
5 50 72 0 -24.8 0 -32 2.8 10
250 236 14 14
The impact to income of updating assumptions is not spread over the
remainder of the contract with a prospective approach
Total claims are 36 higher than the original projection, total profits are 36
lower
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FAQs – Market Risk BenefitsGAAP Targeted Improvements
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
• Determination and selection of rates for MRBs• Application of the MRB discount rates, e.g. do we take the year-end rate for a
cohort, average of quarterly rates, etc.• Selection of amortization basis for FAS 97 blocks: DAC, SIA, UREV. Account Value?
Premium Inforce? Policy Count? • Impact of MRBs, changes in SOP 03-1 on DAC and other balances at transition, if
any• MRB combination – calculation, presentation or both?• Identification of MRBs in FAS 60 blocks, if any (consider annuitization benefits,
e.g. tying annuitization rates to SPIA rates, delayed ROP)
Market Risk Benefits – FAQs 31
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PolySystems Proprietary and Confidential Information
• Slide 6 – classification• Methods for FV calculation for FIA, VA, VIA –
• Attributable fees or something else?• Full stochastic or certainty-equivalent?
• How do the attributable fees get calculated, e.g. for VA/VIA GMDB?• Pivot Date – does every block have to have the same pivot date?• Cohort Definition – was annual cohort reference removed? Can cohorts be
combined across issue years?• MRBs including attributed fee % at cohort or policy level?
Market Risk Benefits – FAQs 32
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2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
DisclosuresAdditional disaggregated disclosures for the liability for future policy benefits and DAC include rollforwards of opening and closing balances and information about significant inputs, judgments, assumptions and methods used in the measurement of the liabilities for future policy benefits and DAC. —Provides a principle for determining how to disaggregate the new disclosures to provide meaningful information without including
a large amount of insignificant detail or aggregating items with significantly different characteristics—Provides examples of disaggregation characteristics
(e.g., type of coverage, etc.)—Consider how information about the liability for future policy benefits
or DAC has been disaggregated for other purposes when determining which categories would be the most relevant and useful
—Cannot aggregate amounts from different reportable segments
Impact: The standard significantly expands the disclosure requirements for long-duration contracts in the annual and interim financial statements
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Disclosures
New Disclosure Requirements under ASU 2018-12—Entity must provide disaggregated roll-forwards of beginning to ending balances for the following accounts:
- Liability for Future Policy Benefits- Policy Holder Account Balances- Market Risk Benefits- Separate Account Liabilities- Deferred Acquisition Costs
—Qualitative and Quantitative information about transition adjustments related to- Opening balance of retained earnings- Accumulated other comprehensive income- Net premiums exceeding gross premiums- The establishment of a premium deficiency as required in Subtopic 944-60
2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
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— In this example, the required disaggregation is shown as term life vs. whole life.
— The disaggregated roll-forward, when aggregated, must be reconciled to the statement of financial position
Example Disclosure for Liability for Future Policy Benefits2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
Term Life Whole Life Term Life Whole LifeBalance, beginning of year $ VVV $ VVV $ XXX $ XXXBeginning balance at original discount rate WWW WWW XXX XXX
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptions XXX XXX XXX XXXEffect of actual variances from expected experience XXX XXX XXX XXX
Adjusted beginning of year balance XXX XXX XXX XXXPV of Expected Issuances XXX XXX XXX XXXNet Premiums Interest Accrual XXX XXX XXX XXX
Net Premiums Collected (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)Derecognition (lapses) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Ending balance at original discount rate YYY YYY WWW WWWEffect of changes in discount rate assumptions XXX XXX XXX XXX
Balance, end of year $ ZZZ $ ZZZ $ VVV $ VVV
Term Life Whole Life Term Life Whole LifeBalance, beginning of year $ VVV $ VVV $ XXX $ XXXBeginning balance at original discount rate WWW WWW XXX XXX
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptions XXX XXX XXX XXXEffect of actual variances from expected experience XXX XXX XXX XXX
Adjusted beginning of year balance XXX XXX XXX XXXPV of Expected Issuances XXX XXX XXX XXXFuture Policy Interest Accrual XXX XXX XXX XXX
Benefits Benefit payments (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)Derecognition (lapses) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Ending balance at original discount rate YYY YYY WWW WWWEffect of changes in discount rate assumptions XXX XXX XXX XXX
Balance, end of year $ ZZZ $ ZZZ $ VVV $ VVV
Net liability for future policy benefits $ CCC $ DDD $ AAA $ BBBLess: Reinsurance recoverable XXX XXX XXX XXX
Net liability for future policy benefits, after reinsurance recoverable $ XXX $ XXX $ XXX $ XXX
December 31,20X2 20X1
December 31,20X2 20X1
Sheet1
December 31,
20X220X1
Term LifeWhole LifeTerm LifeWhole Life
Balance, beginning of year$ VVV$ VVV$ XXX$ XXX
Beginning balance at original discount rateWWWWWWXXXXXX
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Effect of actual variances from expected experienceXXXXXXXXXXXX
Adjusted beginning of year balanceXXXXXXXXXXXX
PV of ExpectedIssuancesXXXXXXXXXXXX
Net PremiumsInterest AccrualXXXXXXXXXXXX
Net Premiums Collected(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Derecognition (lapses)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Ending balance at original discount rateYYYYYYWWWWWW
Effect of changes in discount rate assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Balance, end of year$ ZZZ$ ZZZ$ VVV$ VVV
December 31,
20X220X1
Term LifeWhole LifeTerm LifeWhole Life
Balance, beginning of year$ VVV$ VVV$ XXX$ XXX
Beginning balance at original discount rateWWWWWWXXXXXX
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Effect of actual variances from expected experienceXXXXXXXXXXXX
Adjusted beginning of year balanceXXXXXXXXXXXX
PV of ExpectedIssuancesXXXXXXXXXXXX
Future PolicyInterest AccrualXXXXXXXXXXXX
BenefitsBenefit payments(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Derecognition (lapses)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Ending balance at original discount rateYYYYYYWWWWWW
Effect of changes in discount rate assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Balance, end of year$ ZZZ$ ZZZ$ VVV$ VVV
Net liability for future policy benefits$ CCC$ DDD$ AAA$ BBB
Less: Reinsurance recoverableXXXXXXXXXXXX
Net liability for future policy benefits, after reinsurance recoverable$ XXX$ XXX$ XXX$ XXX
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2018 SEAC Fall Meeting – FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements
Example Disclosure for DAC
— In this example, the required disaggregation is shown as whole life vs. universal life vs. variable universal life
— The disaggregated roll-forward, when aggregated, must be reconciled to the statement of financial position
Whole LifeUniveral
Life
Variable Universal
Life TotalBalance, beginning of year $ YYY $ YYY $ YYY $ YYY
Capitalizations XXX XXX XXX XXXAmortization expense (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)Experience adjustment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Balance, end of year $ ZZZ $ ZZZ $ ZZZ $ ZZZ
Whole LifeUniveral
Life
Variable Universal
Life TotalBalance, beginning of year $ WWW $ WWW $ WWW $ WWW
Capitalizations XXX XXX XXX XXXAmortization expense (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)Experience adjustment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Balance, end of year $ YYY $ YYY $ YYY $ YYY
As of December 31, 20X2
As of December 31, 20X1
Sheet1
December 31,
20X220X1
Term LifeWhole LifeTerm LifeWhole Life
Balance, beginning of year$ VVV$ VVV$ XXX$ XXX
Beginning balance at original discount rateWWWWWWXXXXXX
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Effect of actual variances from expected experienceXXXXXXXXXXXX
Adjusted beginning of year balanceXXXXXXXXXXXX
PV of ExpectedIssuancesXXXXXXXXXXXX
Net PremiumsInterest AccrualXXXXXXXXXXXX
Net Premiums Collected(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Derecognition (lapses)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Ending balance at original discount rateYYYYYYWWWWWW
Effect of changes in discount rate assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Balance, end of year$ ZZZ$ ZZZ$ VVV$ VVV
December 31,
20X220X1
Term LifeWhole LifeTerm LifeWhole Life
Balance, beginning of year$ VVV$ VVV$ XXX$ XXX
Beginning balance at original discount rateWWWWWWXXXXXX
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Effect of actual variances from expected experienceXXXXXXXXXXXX
Adjusted beginning of year balanceXXXXXXXXXXXX
PV of ExpectedIssuancesXXXXXXXXXXXX
Future PolicyInterest AccrualXXXXXXXXXXXX
BenefitsBenefit payments(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Derecognition (lapses)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Ending balance at original discount rateYYYYYYWWWWWW
Effect of changes in discount rate assumptionsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Balance, end of year$ ZZZ$ ZZZ$ VVV$ VVV
Net liability for future policy benefits$ CCC$ DDD$ AAA$ BBB
Less: Reinsurance recoverableXXXXXXXXXXXX
Net liability for future policy benefits, after reinsurance recoverable$ XXX$ XXX$ XXX$ XXX
Sheet3
As of December 31, 20X2
Whole LifeUniveral LifeVariable Universal LifeTotal
Balance, beginning of year$ YYY$ YYY$ YYY$ YYY
CapitalizationsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Amortization expense(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Experience adjustment(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Balance, end of year$ ZZZ$ ZZZ$ ZZZ$ ZZZ
As of December 31, 20X1
Whole LifeUniveral LifeVariable Universal LifeTotal
Balance, beginning of year$ WWW$ WWW$ WWW$ WWW
CapitalizationsXXXXXXXXXXXX
Amortization expense(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Experience adjustment(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)(XXX)
Balance, end of year$ YYY$ YYY$ YYY$ YYY
-
FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI):
Impact Example
-
38© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Product SpecificationsInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
20-Year Level Term Product
— Male, age 45, non-smoker— Face amount of $1,000,000— No cash value— Base case:
- Investment earnings rate = upper-medium grade fixed yield = 5.0%; investment income allocated based on net GAAP liability (GAAP reserve – DAC)
- Flat lapse rate of 5% during the level term period, with full termination at the end of the level term period- Current GAAP PADs of 3% on mortality and 20 basis points deducted from investment earnings rate
— Net Income Sensitivity Cases:- Mortality doubled at years 5 and 15- Lapses increased to 20% at years 5 and 15- Future mortality assumption increased by 10% at years 5 and 15- Future lapse assumption increased to 10% at years 5 and 15- Upper-medium grade fixed yield at 3.0% while investment earnings rate at 5.0%
-
39© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Base Case: LiabilitiesInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: Insurance liabilities are lower throughout the projection period due to the inclusion of PAD in current GAAP
0100020003000400050006000700080009000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Liab
ility
bala
nce
Duration
Insurance liabilities
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
40© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Base Case: DACInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: DAC is lower throughout the projection period because amortization has been tied to policy count and no interest is accrued
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
DAC
bal
ance
Duration
DAC
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
41© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Base Case: Net IncomeInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: 1. Targeted changes accelerate net income due to lack of PAD, which pushes income into later years under current GAAP2. Since DAC does not accrue interest, earnings do not emerge as a level % of premium if investment income is calculated based on the net GAAP liability
0100200300400500600700800900
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Net
inco
me
Duration
Net income
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
42© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Net Income Sensitivity Case: Mortality Experience Doubled @ Year 5
Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: For historical experience variances, the catch-up method for unlocking net premium may serve to absorb some of the current period impact by spreading it over future years
(400)
(200)
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Net
inco
me
Duration
Net income
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
43© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Net Income Sensitivity Case: Lapse Experience Increased to 20% @ Year 5
Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: A similar variance-absorbing effect can be seen for lapse variances, which increase profitability for this term product due to relatively low assumed acquisition expenses
0200400600800
10001200140016001800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Net
inco
me
Duration
Net income
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
44© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Net Income Sensitivity Case: Mortality Assumption Increased 10% @ Year 5
Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: Assumption changes result in an immediate impact to current period earnings under targeted changes due to an increase in the net premium ratio
(200)(100)
0100200300400500600700800900
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Net
inco
me
Duration
Net income
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
45© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Net Income Sensitivity Case: Lapse assumption increased 10% @ Year 5
Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: Similar to mortality, lapse assumption changes result in an immediate impact to current period earnings under targeted changes due to a decrease in the net premium ratio
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Net
inco
me
Duration
Net income
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
46© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Net Income Sensitivity Case: Upper-Medium Grade Fixed Yield @ 3.0%
Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Impact: A mismatch between the investment earnings rate and the rate used to discount the GAAP liabilities impacts the pattern of net income – here the steeper reserve increases in early years are offset by higher investment income and releases in mid-years, followed by current GAAP overtaking due to release of PAD
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Net
inco
me
Duration
Net income
Targeted changes Current GAAP
-
FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI):
Transition Examples
-
48© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Modified Retrospective vs. Retrospective Reserve Results
• Retrospective Example • i = 4.0%• Benefits and Premiums paid EOY• NP % = NPV(B&E)/NPV(GP) at 4.0%
Year B&E GP NP Reserve1 8,300 81,340 59,937 51,637 2 8,600 76,710 56,526 101,628 3 10,220 72,380 53,335 148,808 4 11,530 68,330 50,351 193,581 5 13,500 64,530 47,550 235,375 6 14,240 60,950 44,912 275,462 7 17,020 57,570 42,422 311,882 8 19,620 54,370 40,064 344,801 9 22,070 51,320 37,816 374,340
10 425,000 48,430 35,687 - Total (1-10) 550,100 635,930 468,599 PV 387,114 525,348 387,114 NP% 73.69%
PV (B&E) 394,299 PV (B&E) 407,310 PV (NP) 342,662 PV (NP) 258,501 Reserve 51,637 Reserve 148,808
Original
End of Yr 3End of Yr 1
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
49© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Transition Example 1: Update cash flow and discount rate assumptions EOY 3Claims increase = 10% and discount rate drops to 2.0%
Key: Updated NP % < 100%
Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%) Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%)1 8,300 81,340 65,544 57,244 1 8,300 81,340 44,912 51,637 2 8,600 76,710 61,813 112,746 2 8,600 76,710 42,422 101,628 3 10,220 72,380 58,324 165,360 3 10,220 72,380 40,064 148,808 4 12,683 68,330 55,060 214,351 4 12,683 68,330 58,284 200,362 5 14,850 64,530 51,998 260,073 5 14,850 64,530 55,043 248,569 6 15,664 60,950 49,113 303,926 6 15,664 60,950 51,989 294,836 7 18,722 57,570 46,390 343,750 7 18,722 57,570 49,106 337,014 8 21,582 54,370 43,811 379,730 8 21,582 54,370 46,376 375,289 9 24,277 51,320 41,354 411,995 9 24,277 51,320 43,775 409,798
10 467,500 48,430 39,025 - 10 467,500 48,430 41,310 - Total (1-10) 602,398 635,930 512,431 Total (4-10) 575,278 405,500 345,883 PV 423,324 525,348 423,324 PV 448,041 350,809 299,232 NP% 80.58% NP% 85.30%
End of Yr 3 (@ 4%) (@ 2%) Chg End of Yr 3 (@ 4%) (@ 2%) ChgPV (B&E) 448,041 506,856 58,815 PV (B&E) 448,041 506,856 58,815 PV (NP) 282,681 303,473 20,791 PV (NP) 299,232 321,241 22,009 Reserve 165,360 203,384 38,024 Reflected in OCI Reserve 148,808 185,615 36,807 Reflected in OCI
Orig 148,808 Orig 148,808 Updated 165,360 Updated 148,808 Cumulative 16,551 Reflected in income Cumulative - Reflected in income
End of Yr 3 (Retrospective): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - No Pivot End of Yr 3 (Prospective): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - Pivot
Liability Adj End of Yr 3 Liability Adj End of Yr 3
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
50© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Observations:● Retrospective scenario increases because the NP % is reset from issue to reflect higher lifetime claims.● Modified Retrospective scenario reserve is not increased because the NP % is calculated to produce no reserve
impact at implementation; i.e., pivot occurs. Reserve changes will be higher going forward.Note: Presented results before the discount rate adjustment; i.e., @ 4%. Amounts rounded to nearest 100.
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
51© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Transition Example 2: Update cash flow and discount rate assumptions EOY 3Claims increase = 40% and discount rate drops to 2.0%
Key: Updated NP % > 100%
Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%) Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%)1 8,300 81,340 82,363 74,063 1 8,300 81,340 44,912 51,637 2 8,600 76,710 77,675 146,100 2 8,600 76,710 42,422 101,628 3 10,220 72,380 73,290 215,014 3 10,220 72,380 40,064 148,808 4 16,142 68,330 69,189 276,661 4 16,142 68,330 82,085 220,703 5 18,900 64,530 65,341 334,169 5 18,900 64,530 77,520 288,151 6 19,936 60,950 61,716 389,316 6 19,936 60,950 73,219 352,960 7 23,828 57,570 58,294 439,355 7 23,828 57,570 69,159 412,409 8 27,468 54,370 55,054 484,515 8 27,468 54,370 65,314 466,752 9 30,898 51,320 51,965 524,963 9 30,898 51,320 61,651 516,174
10 595,000 48,430 49,039 - 10 595,000 48,430 58,179 - Total (1-10) 759,292 635,930 643,926 Total (4-10) 732,172 405,500 487,126 PV 531,953 525,348 531,953 PV 570,234 350,809 421,425 NP% (unlocked) 101.26% NP% (unlocked) 120.13%
End of Yr 3 (@ 4%) (@ 2%) Chg End of Yr 3 (@ 4%) (@ 2%) ChgPV (B&E) 570,234 645,090 74,856 PV (B&E) 570,234 645,090 74,856 PV (NP) 355,220 381,347 26,127 PV (NP) 421,425 452,422 30,996 Reserve 215,014 263,743 48,729 Reflected in OCI Reserve 148,808 192,668 43,860 Reflected in OCI
Orig 148,808 Orig 148,808 Updated 215,014 Updated 148,808 Cumulative 66,206 Reflected in income Cumulative - Reflected in income
Liability Adj End of Yr 3 Liability Adj End of Yr 3
End of Yr 3 (Retrospective): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - No Pivot End of Yr 3 (Prospective): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - Pivot
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
52© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Observations:● Retrospective scenario increases because the NP % is reset from issue to reflect higher lifetime claims.● Modified Retro scenario does not increase because the NP % is calculated to produce no reserve impact at
implementation; i.e., pivot occurs. Reserve changes will be higher going forward.Note: Presented results before the discount rate adjustment; i.e., @ 4%. Amounts rounded to nearest 100.
Original 7. NP > 100% (Retro - unlocked) 8. NP > 100% (Prosp - unlocked)Changes Implemented - 66,200 -Original 148,800 148,800 148,800
148,800 148,800 148,800
-
66,200
-
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Res
erve
Bal
ance
s
NP % > 100%: Changes at Transition - Duration 3
Original Changes Implemented
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
53© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Transition Example 3: Update cash flow and discount rate assumptions EOY 3Claims increase = 40% and discount rate drops to 2.0%
Key: Updated NP % Capped @ 100%
Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%) Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%)1 8,300 81,340 81,340 79,910 1 8,300 81,340 44,912 51,637 2 8,600 76,710 76,710 151,216 2 8,600 76,710 42,422 101,628 3 10,220 72,380 72,380 219,425 3 10,220 72,380 40,064 219,425 4 16,142 68,330 68,330 280,390 4 16,142 68,330 68,330 280,390 5 18,900 64,530 64,530 337,235 5 18,900 64,530 64,530 337,235 6 19,936 60,950 60,950 391,739 6 19,936 60,950 60,950 391,739 7 23,828 57,570 57,570 441,150 7 23,828 57,570 57,570 441,150 8 27,468 54,370 54,370 485,698 8 27,468 54,370 54,370 485,698 9 30,898 51,320 51,320 525,548 9 30,898 51,320 51,320 525,548
10 595,000 48,430 48,430 - 10 595,000 48,430 48,430 - Total 759,292 635,930 635,930 Total 732,172 405,500 405,500 PV 531,953 525,348 525,348 PV 570,234 350,809 350,809 NP% (Capped) 100.00% NP% (Capped) 100.00%
End of Yr 3 (@ 4%) (@ 2%) Chg End of Yr 3 (@ 4%) (@ 2%) ChgPV (B&E) 570,234 645,090 74,856 PV (B&E) 570,234 645,090 74,856 PV (NP) 350,809 376,611 25,802 PV (NP) 350,809 376,611 25,802 Reserve 219,425 268,478 49,054 Reflected in OCI Reserve 219,425 268,478 49,054 Reflected in OCI
Orig 148,808 Orig 148,808 Updated 219,425 Updated 219,425 Cumulative 70,616 Reflected in income Cumulative 70,616 Reflected in income
Liability Adj End of Yr 3 Liability Adj End of Yr 3
End of Yr 3 (Retrospective): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - No Pivot End of Yr 3 (Prospective): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - No Pivot
NO
Piv
ot a
t Tr
ansi
tion
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
54© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Observations:
● Retrospective scenario increases because the NP % is reset from issue to reflect higher lifetime claims and is capped @ 100%..
● Modified Retro scenario does increase because the NP % is capped @ 100%; therefore, no pivot occurs. Results are the same as for the Retrospective scenario.Note: Presented results before the discount rate adjustment; i.e., @ 4%. Amounts rounded to nearest 100.
Original 11. NP 100% Cap (Retro - unlocked) 12. NP 100% Cap (Prosp - unlocked)Changes Implemented - 70,600 70,600Original 148,800 148,800 148,800
148,800 148,800 148,800
-
70,600 70,600
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Res
erve
Bal
ance
s
NP % Capped @ 100%: Changes at Transition - Duration 3
Original Changes Implemented
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
55© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Observations:● For each scenario, the total benefits paid are the same; the patterns differ because of the different NP %s.
● Higher Y/Y increases for the “< 100%” prospective scenarios durations 4-10; i.e., no free lunch.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 103. NP < 100% (Retro - unlocked) 5,600 5,500 5,500 4,200 3,900 3,700 3,500 3,000 2,800 (37,700)4. NP < 100% (Prosp - unlocked) - - - 6,800 6,400 6,100 5,800 5,400 5,000 (35,500)7. NP > 100% (Retro - unlocked) 22,500 22,000 21,700 16,900 15,700 15,000 13,700 12,200 11,000 (150,700)8. NP > 100% (Prosp - unlocked) - - - 27,100 25,700 24,700 23,000 21,500 19,900 (141,900)11. NP 100% Cap (Retro - unlocked) 28,300 21,300 21,000 16,200 15,000 14,400 13,100 11,600 10,300 (151,200)12. NP 100% Cap (Prosp - unlocked) - - 70,600 16,200 15,000 14,400 13,100 11,600 10,300 (151,200)
(200,000)
(150,000)
(100,000)
(50,000)
-
50,000
100,000
Bala
nce
Cha
nges
Policy Duration
Reserve Balance Changes vs. Original after Transition
3. NP < 100% (Retro - unlocked) 4. NP < 100% (Prosp - unlocked) 7. NP > 100% (Retro - unlocked)
8. NP > 100% (Prosp - unlocked) 11. NP 100% Cap (Retro - unlocked) 12. NP 100% Cap (Prosp - unlocked)
$16,600
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
56© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Day 2 Example 1: Update cash flow and discount rate assumptions EOY 5Claims increase = 5% and discount rate increases to 3.0%
Keys: Updated NP % < 100% AND Retrospective Method
Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%) Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%)1 8,300 81,340 68,449 60,149 1 8,300 81,340 44,912 51,637 2 8,600 76,710 64,552 118,507 2 8,600 76,710 42,422 101,628 3 10,220 72,380 60,909 173,936 3 10,220 72,380 40,064 148,808 4 12,683 68,330 57,501 225,711 4 12,683 68,330 62,395 204,472 5 14,850 64,530 54,303 274,192 5 14,850 64,530 58,925 256,726 6 16,447 60,950 51,290 320,003 6 16,447 60,950 55,656 306,204 7 19,658 57,570 48,446 361,591 7 19,658 57,570 52,570 351,364 8 22,661 54,370 45,753 399,147 8 22,661 54,370 49,648 392,405 9 25,491 51,320 43,186 432,808 9 25,491 51,320 46,862 429,473
10 490,875 48,430 40,754 - 10 490,875 48,430 44,223 - Total (1-10) 629,785 635,930 535,143 Total (4-10) 602,665 405,500 370,279 PV (@ 4%) 442,087 525,348 442,087 PV (@ 4%) 469,146 350,809 320,338 NP% (unlocked) 84.15% NP% (unlocked) 91.31%
End of Yr 5 (@ 4%) (@ 3%) Chg End of Yr 5 (@ 4%) (@ 3%) ChgPV (B&E) 479,388 501,317 21,929 PV (B&E) 479,388 501,317 21,929 PV (NP) 205,196 210,858 5,662 PV (NP) 222,662 228,806 6,143 Reserve 274,192 290,460 16,267 Reflected in OCI Reserve 256,726 272,512 15,785 Reflected in OCI
Orig 260,073 Orig 248,569 Updated 274,192 Updated 256,726 Cumulative 14,119 Reflected in income Cumulative 8,158 Reflected in income
End of Yr 5 (Pro/Retro - Day 2): Update assumptions - Capped NP% - No Pivot
Liability Adj End of Yr 5
End of Yr 5 (Retro/Retro - Day 2): Update assumptions - Capped NP%
Liability Adj End of Yr 5
NO Pivot Day 2!
Pivo
t at
Tran
sitio
nN
o Pi
vot
Day
2
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
57© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Observations:● Differences based on calculated results at transition.● The reserve increases at EOY 5 for both scenarios because the cash flow assumptions are updated since the
transition date, not the date of the 2nd update; i.e., no pivoting occurs.● Higher Y/Y reserve changes for the Modified Retro transition because the NP is higher (91.31% vs. 84.15%)Note: Presented results before the discount rate adjustment; i.e., @ 4%. Amounts rounded to nearest 100.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1013. Retro Transition 2,900 2,900 2,700 2,800 2,800 2,000 1,700 1,600 1,400 (20,800)14. Prospective Transition - - - 4,100 4,000 3,300 3,000 2,700 2,600 (19,700)
(25,000)
(20,000)
(15,000)
(10,000)
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
Bala
nce
Cha
nges
Policy Duration
Reserve Balance Changes after Transition for NP < 100%
13. Retro Transition 14. Prospective Transition
$8,100
$14,100
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
58© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%) Year B&E GP NP Reserve (@ 4.0%)1 8,300 81,340 81,340 228,922 1 8,300 81,340 44,912 51,637 2 8,600 76,710 76,710 306,189 2 8,600 76,710 42,422 101,628 3 10,220 72,380 72,380 380,596 3 10,220 72,380 40,064 219,425 4 16,142 68,330 68,330 448,008 4 16,142 68,330 68,330 448,008 5 18,900 64,530 64,530 511,558 5 18,900 64,530 64,530 511,558 6 25,917 60,950 60,950 567,054 6 25,917 60,950 60,950 567,054 7 30,976 57,570 57,570 616,330 7 30,976 57,570 57,570 616,330 8 35,708 54,370 54,370 659,644 8 35,708 54,370 54,370 659,644 9 40,167 51,320 51,320 697,183 9 40,167 51,320 51,320 697,183
10 773,500 48,430 48,430 - 10 773,500 48,430 48,430 - Total (1-10) 968,431 635,930 635,930 Total (4-10) 941,311 405,500 405,500 PV (@ 4%) 675,234 525,348 525,348 PV (@ 4%) 731,405 350,809 350,809 NP% (unlocked) 100.00% NP% (unlocked) 100.00%
End of Yr 5 (@ 4%) (@ 3%) Chg End of Yr 5 (@ 4%) (@ 3%) ChgPV (B&E) 755,400 789,955 34,555 PV (B&E) 755,400 789,955 34,555 PV (NP) 243,842 250,570 6,728 PV (NP) 243,842 250,570 6,728 Reserve 511,558 539,385 27,827 Reflected in OCI Reserve 511,558 539,385 27,827 Reflected in OCI
Orig 337,235 Orig 337,235 Updated 511,558 Updated 511,558 Cumulative 174,323 Reflected in income Cumulative 174,323 Reflected in income
End of Yr 5 (Retro/Retro - Day 2): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% End of Yr 5 (Pro/Retro - Day 2): Update assumptions - unlocked NP% - No Pivot
Liability Adj End of Yr 5 Liability Adj End of Yr 5
Day 2 Example 2: Update cash flow and discount rate assumptions EOY 5
Claims increase = 30% and discount rate increases to 3.0%Keys: Updated NP % Capped @ 100% AND Retrospective Method
NO
Piv
ot a
t Tr
ansi
tion
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
59© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
Observations:● Differences based on calculated results at transition.● The reserve increases at EOY 5 for both scenarios because the cash flow assumptions are updated since the
transition date, not the date of the 2nd update; i.e., no pivoting occurs for the Prospective method.● Y/Y reserve changes the same for each method because the NPs are the same (100%).Note: Presented results before the discount rate adjustment; i.e., @ 4%. Amounts rounded to nearest 100.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1015. Retro Transition 149,000 6,000 6,200 6,400 6,800 1,000 (300) (1,200) (2,200) (171,700)16. Prospective Transition - - - 167,600 6,800 1,000 (300) (1,200) (2,200) (171,700)
(200,000)
(150,000)
(100,000)
(50,000)
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
Bala
nce
Cha
nges
Policy Duration
Reserve Balance Changes after Transition for NP Capped @ 100%
15. Retro Transition 16. Prospective Transition
$174,40
$174,400
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
-
60© 2018 KPMG LLP, a Delaware limited liability partnership and the U.S. member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. NDPPS 817897
LTC Example – Reserve Comparisons
Reserve projection for a single policy:• 25% Morbidity Change at 19th policy duration.
Note: All policy durations from issue impacted• Scenarios (Net Prem % as of unlocking date)
1. Unchanged (53.4%)2. Modified Retrospective - Net prem % locked (53.4%)3. Modified Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked (975.3%)4. Modified Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked/capped @100% (100.0%)5. Retrospective - Net prem % locked (53.4%)6. Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked (120.0%)7. Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked/capped @100% (100%)
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
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1. Unchanged (53.4%)2. Modified Retrospective - Net prem % locked (53.4%) 3. Modified Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked (975.3%)4. Modified Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked/capped @100% (100.0%)5. Retrospective - Net prem % locked (53.4%)6. Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked (120.0%)7. Retrospective - Net prem % unlocked/capped @100% (100%)
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
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Key Takeaway: Each method will have the same incurred claims; the I/S impact timing will differ based on the NP%.
Reserve Calculations – At & Post Transition
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FASB Long-Duration Targeted Improvements (LDTI):
Implementation & Perspectives
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In this section we will focus on practical implications around data, assumptions, modeling and reporting for traditional products and outline immediate next steps companies can take to better prepare for the upcoming changes. Processes for UL type products will not change as dramatically.
Summary of how changes will impact companiesInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
With the issuance of these targeted improvements, a number of processes for traditional (FAS 60) products will need to be updated and possibly redesignedThe changes extend beyond actuarial:— Where they do not already exist, best-estimate cash flow projection models will need to be developed for all FAS 60
products, including LTC and DI— The need to incorporate historical information could be more easily accomplished through a grouped reserve calculation,
rather than individual policy reserve calculations (e.g., GAAP factors)— Revamping the DAC process will require decisions related to data, amortization approach, and possibly contract grouping— Historical data, at the appropriate level of granularity, will need to be retained as it will be incorporated in determination of
net premium— Premium deficiency testing, loss recognition testing, and shadow DAC processes will no longer be required as part of the
reporting process— New approach to DAC calculation (constant-level basis) will need to be developed— New qualitative and quantitative disclosure requirements will involve updating the interim and annual financial statements
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Data ImplicationsInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
— Inventory data sources for policy information, expense and supplementary data
— Conduct current state assessment around data availability, accuracy and completeness. Consider whether current data solution provides a store which is historic, granular or flexible enough
— Identify desired future state around data elements, and data flow processes- New elements would include historical actuals and cohort indicators- New data process will also require a new control framework- Consider integration to/from the end to end process of data extraction
from source systems, actuarial calculations and postings in the ledgers— Conduct gap analysis around data requirements for targeted changes and
identify critical gaps— Identify business owners of systems and data, and define the requirements
around system and data governance
Activities Involved Parties
Scope & Plan — Valuation and financial reporting— Data and IT— Administration systems teams— Claims teams— Experience analysis team— Modeling team— Internal audit— Senior management
As the company goes through regulatory changes there is a big opportunity for IT and Finance functions to simplify and automate financial consolidation processes to derive greater process, headcount and IT maintenance efficiencies
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Data Implications (continued)Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Activities Involved Parties
— Design a plan and roadmap to implement data changes— It is beneficial to design a data flow prototype to demonstrate desired future
state data processes on a smaller subset of data— Implement changes to data structures and processes— Conduct testing on data elements, user acceptance testing and parallel
testing on the new processes
Implement — Valuation and financial reporting— Data and IT— Administration systems teams— Claims teams— Experience analysis team— Modeling team— Internal audit— Senior management
— Embed newly designed data processes into production process— Ensure relevant transformations take place and data can be seamlessly fed
into actuarial models— Design and implement a control framework around new data flows— Document changes in data processes
Embed
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Assumption ImplicationsInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Activities Involved Parties
— Identify all assumption types and formats required for U.S. GAAP calculations for each of your company’s products
— For each of the assumptions above, identify reasonable frequency for assumption updates— Consider designing a structured assumption repository that would automate and streamline
assumption update processes as these would need to be updated yearly on a catch-up basis— Develop an approach to updating market observable discount rate assumptions for your
specific products each reporting period
Scope & Plan — Valuation and financial reporting
— Data and IT
— Investment/asset team
— Experience Analysis team
— Assumption management
— Modeling team
— Internal audit
— Senior management— Design/leverage existing tools to perform experience study calculations
- These would need to be more robust and automated due to the increased demand on company-own experience and increased frequency of assumption updates
— Implement updates to the assumption methodology as required by the new guidance- Best-estimate assumptions without PADs
— Implement approach for updating market observable discount rate assumptions— Integrate increased assumption update activity into production calendar
Implement
— Automate assumption development and storage procedures to the extent possible— Ensure assumptions are developed and used in the models in a consistent and reasonable
manner— Design and implement a control framework around new assumptions related processes— Assumption inputs need to be clear to users and can be clearly traced back to the basis
documents— Document changes in the assumption processes
Embed
Close collaboration of actuarialteams with the Data Management and Experience Analysis teams will be required as company-own experience will need to be used for experience studies and frequent assumption updates
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Modeling ImplicationsInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Activities Involved Parties
— Inventory all actuarial valuation models and DAC calculators— Understand current state of model processes and methodologies— Identify desired future state of model processes and methodologies
- New approach to assumption mapping- Cohort level calculations may be desired- Select driver to achieve constant level DAC amortization basis- Changes in modeling approach will be applied retrospectively
— Assess pros/cons and data needs of various transition options
Scope & Plan — Valuation and financial reporting
— Data and IT
— Assumption management
— Modeling team
— Internal audit
— Senior management
— Design a plan and roadmap to implement model changes- If current modeling system cannot handle targeted improvements requirements may need
to consider system conversion— Ensure that modelling decisions or assumptions are not buried in data processes— Update existing/build new models implementing required functionality — Conduct model testing, user acceptance testing and parallel testing on the new models and
processes
Implement
— Embed new/updated models into production processes— Automate modeling processes and update model-adjacent technology to integrate with the
modeling process— Design and implement a control framework around the new/updated models— Conduct dry-runs— Document model updates and testing of updates
Embed
Since some of the changes in modeling are to be applied retroactively from 2021, some insurers plan to implement the required changes in their models prior to the deadline to allow them carry out parallel runs and generating U.S. GAAP balances using the new rules
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Reporting and Disclosure ImplicationsInsurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Activities Involved Parties
— Identify existing sources and/or identify the needs to develop additional sources for the enhanced disclosure elements- Future policy benefit reserves and DAC- Rollforwards of opening and closing balances- Information about significant inputs and judgement- Assumption information
— Carry out analysis of the new results so as to get a proper understanding of the drivers behind and behavior of the new reports
— Consider any impact on internal management reporting or KPIs, which has wider implications on remuneration etc.
— Any move to cohort level calculations from seriatim will drive change to processes in order to analyze at this level
— Design new analysis reports around the disclosure requirements, notably:- analysis of change;- reconciliation across metrics;- forecasting
Scope & Plan — Valuation and financial reporting
— Data and IT
— Investment/asset team
— Assumption management
— Modeling team
— Senior management
Business Intelligence (BI) platforms (e.g., QlikView, Tableau,Microsoft Power BI) have been identified as viable tools to create dynamic reporting and disclosure dashboards including the calculations of straight-line amortized DAC, assumption summaries and other disclosures— Develop a reporting package consolidating all the newly required disclosures and analysis
reports— Calibrate existing sources to output the required information— Develop a roadmap and action plan to develop sources for missing information— Execute action plan to develop sources for missing information— Consider consolidating disclosure requirements into a single data repository with historic
disclosures filed accordingly
Implement
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Reporting and Disclosure Implications (continued)Insurance: Targeted improvements to the accounting for long-duration contracts
Activities Involved Parties
— Integrate the reporting and disclosure output structure into the production process
— Results defined in new ways will require additional analysis time for actuarial teams to gain comfort – more expertise will be required to solve the complex issues, and more reconciliation will be needed between different metrics
— Design and implement a control framework around updated reporting processes
— Automate model output and disclosure component generation— Document the reporting and disclosure processes
Embed — Valuation and financial reporting— Data and IT— Investment/asset team— Assumption management— Modeling team— Senior management
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Sample Implementation PlanGAAP Targeted Improvements Implementation
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Agenda 72
1
2
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4
OBJECTIVES
SAMPLE TARGETED IMPROVEMENTS SOLUTION AND TIMELINE
PROJECT DISCUSSION
QUESTIONS
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OBJECTIVES1
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Meeting Objectives
When you have your initial meeting, here are the types of issues you should consider for the agenda:
• Understand the client’s GAAP TI objectives and planning to date• Discuss model vendor solution• Review release schedule for your software vendor• Determine potential next steps and road map• Sample deliverables
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SAMPLE TARGETED IMPROVEMENTS SOLUTION AND TIMELINE2
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Targeted Improvements (TI) will have a significant impact on actuarial reserving and reporting processes across long-duration products 76
Liability Model for Future Policy Benefits
Cashflow Assumptions: Updated to current estimate: unlocking with catch-up adjustments Discount Rate: Upper Medium Grade, two discount rates (locked in, current)Net Premium Ratio: Capped at 100%Products: FAS60 products, e.g, traditional life, health, life-contingent payout annuities
Market Risk Benefits
New Classification: Market Risk Benefits (MRBs), includes all types of GMXB benefits Methodology: All MRBs measured at fair valueOwn Credit Risk: Change in reserve due to change inown credit risk reported through other comprehensive incomeProducts: Variable annuities, fixed indexed annuities, fixed annuities
Deferred Acquisition Costs
Simplified Model: Amortization on a constant basis over the anticipated life of the contractOne-way write down: Adjust DAC balance actual terminations for the period in excess of expectedProducts: All long-duration products
Disclosure Requirements
Enhanced Reporting: Reserve and DAC rollforwards, details about assumption and changes to assumptionsProducts: All long-duration products
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Updates to calculation engine and reporting software development to support the TI requirements include 77
Liability model for future policy benefits
Market Risk Benefits
Deferred Acquisition Costs
A new layer of software
Pairs cohort level history files and projection files to create a retrospective calculation at the cohort level
Stores net-to-gross ratios calculated at the cohort level and policy level present values to create policy level reserve for detailed analysis
Computes reserve balances at a locked-in discount rate as well as at a current discount rate in a single run
Multiple enhanced and detailed reports thatinclu