February 2021 National Survey

Part B – Federal Vote

Part A - Federal Vote & Canadian Travel

Embargoed till Feb. 22 2021 6a

EST

Methodology

The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted over two days including February 23rd and 24th 2021, among a sample of 1476 adults, 18 years of age or older Canadians. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR). Respondents were interviewed on landlines and cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population in Canada according to Census 2016.

The margin of error for the poll is +/- 2.55% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample.

The frame consisted of Mainstreet Research’s commercial directory which includes both current landlines and past directories ported to cellular lines. It also includes an RDD component. The Directory components are 30% cellular lines and 70% landlines. The RDD component was 80% cellular lines and 20% landlines.

The results are weighted for age, gender and region. The poll was commissioned by Ipolitics.

* Note that Mainstreet Research removed the prompoted option for the People’s Party starting in this survey and added “other” to the gender options to reflect non binary gender opinions

Methodology*

If the federal election were held

today, which party would you vote for?

If the federal election were held

today, which party would you vote for?

Do you believe that Canadians who

are vaccinated should be able to

travel freely?

Do you believe that Canada should develop a vaccine passport?

And how soon after the pandemic

do you plan on travelling outside

Canada?

[Responses in each question were randomized]

Q1: If the federal election were held today, which party would you vote for?Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin Trudeau (ROUTE TO Q3)Conservative Party of Canada led by Erin O’Toole (ROUTE TO Q3)Bloc Quebecois led by Yves-Francois Blanchet (ROUTE TO Q3 – QUEBEC ONLY)New Democratic Party of Canada led by Jagmeet Singh (ROUTE TO Q3)Green Party of Canada led by Annamie Paul (ROUTE TO Q3)another Party (ROUTE TO Q3)undecided (ROUTE TO Q2)

Q2: And which party are you leaning towards?Liberal Party of Canada led by Justin TrudeauConservative Party of Canada led by Erin O’TooleBloc Quebecois led by Yves-Francois Blanchet (Quebec only)New Democratic Party of Canada led by Jagmeet SinghGreen Party of Canada led by Annamie Paulanother PartyUndecided

Q3: Do you believe that Canadians who are vaccinated should be able to travel freely? yes, but only to destinations that have vaccination levels at or above Canada’s ownyes, to any and all destinationsno, not until all Canadians are vaccinated and vaccines prove effective against variantsunsure

Q4: Do you believe that Canada should develop a vaccine passport, to ensure that Canadians who travel and are vaccinated do not face unnecessary isolation and quarantine regulations while travelling abroad or when returning home?strongly agreesomewhat agreesomewhat disagreestrongly disagreenot sure

Q5: And how soon after the pandemic do you plan on travelling outside Canada? within the first 3 monthsbetween 3 and 6 monthsbetween 6 months and a yearover a yeardon’t know or won’t travel outside Canada

Continued, Part B

Questionnaire