february 21 st 2013 strengthening public services social dialogue in an era of austerity stephen...
TRANSCRIPT
February 21st 2013
Strengthening Public Services Social Dialogue in an era of
austerity Stephen Bach
Department of Management
King’s College, London [email protected]
Presentation structure
• Aims of EC funded research project
• Research approach and model
• Social dialogue
• Themes:- restriction, resilience & reconfiguration - UK, Czech Republic, Netherlands
Research Questions 1. What have been the main drivers and
measures of austerity adopted in each country?
2. How have these changes been implemented and to what extent has social dialogue contributed to the change process at national, sectoral and decentralised level?
3. How have institutions of social dialogue influenced industrial relations processes and outcomes in the public services?
Research Approach
• Czech Republic; Denmark, France, Italy, Netherlands, UK
• Phase 1: meeting with social partners
• Phase 2: analysis of national experience - drivers, measures,
outcomes
• Phase 3: case studies of local government
Austerity Outcomes•Employment reductions•Wage cuts•Pay freezes•Pension reform•Work intensification
Austerity Measures• Budgetary cuts • Staffing policies (e.g. replacement ratios)• Alterations in wage fixing
Drivers of Austerity • External/ Internal•High/ Low pressure
Social Dialogue• Tripartism
• Collective bargaining•Joint consultation
•Cross-border
Social Dialogue• Tripartism
• Collective bargaining•Joint consultation
•Cross-border
ReconfigurationResilience Restriction
EU 27 CZ DK FR IT NL UK25.0
35.0
45.0
55.0
65.0
75.0
85.0
95.0
105.0
115.0
Drivers: General Government Consol-idated Gross Debt
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
% GDP
Source: Eurostat
EU27 CZ DK FR IT NL UK-11.5
-9.5
-7.5
-5.5
-3.5
-1.5
0.5
2.5
4.5
Drivers: General Government Deficit/ Surplus
20072008200920102011
% GDP
Source: Eurostat
Market Reaction
Italy
Market Reaction
Italy
Coalition for change
Czech Republic Netherlands
UK
Coalition for change
Czech Republic Netherlands
UK
Lagged Response
France
Lagged Response
France
Robust Health
Denmark
Robust Health
Denmark
Source of pressure
Degree of pressure
Low High
External
Internal
Drivers of Austerity : retrenchment pressures
Outcomes
Pay Freeze
France (2010-2012 index point value)
Netherlands (2011-13 central govt; education)
UK (2011-2013)
Pay Cuts
Czech Republic 10%Italy 5-10% (linked
to earnings)
Pension Reform
Czech Republic DenmarkFrance
ItalyNetherlands
UK
Employment reductions
Czech Republic (5.5% 2009-12)
Denmark (2%: 2010-12)France (5% state
administration 2008-10)Italy (10% 2008-14)Netherlands (cuts
planned up to 2014)UK (12% 2008-12)
Social dialogue
‘All types of negotiation, consultation or simply exchange of information between or among, representatives of governments, employers and workers, on issues of common interest relating to economic and social policy’ ILO
Tripartism Collective bargaining Joint consultation Cross-border – sectoral social dialogue
committees
Social Dialogue: 3 scenarios
• Restriction – interruption & shift to unilateralism
• Resilience – institutional maintenance of dialogue - process often more closed/conflictual
• Reconfiguration – reform of institutional practice - renewal or erosion
• Variation: between and within national cases
Restriction
• National level: austerity programmes and pay - central government
- ‘hollowing out’ of national IR
• Czech Republic• Italy • UK
• Severity of cuts: less willingness to engage in social dialogue
UK Restriction
• Austerity measures 2010- - 2010-15/16 £95 billion expenditure reductions - sectoral variation: local government 27% cut
• Coalition government policy:- 2 year wage freeze (2011-13); 1% (2013-14) - restrictions on trade union facility time- marketisation/fragmentation
• Outcomes – main adjustment employment
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q2
2340
2440
2540
2640
2740
2840
2940
Hea
dcou
nt, s
easo
nally
adj
uste
d
Central Govt (includes NHS)
Local Gov
UK Public Sector Employment – Central & Local Government
Source: Office for Na-tional Statistics
Consequences: Disputes
2000 AVERAGE
2001 AVERAGE
2002 AVERAGE
2003 AVERAGE
2004 AVERAGE
2005 AVERAGE
2006 AVERAGE
2007 AVERAGE
2008 AVERAGE
2009 AVERAGE
2010 AVERAGE
2011 AVERAGE
2012 AVERAGE0
20
40
60
80
100
Working days lost in the Public Sector Working days lost in the Private Sector Number of stop-pages in the Public SectorNumber of stop-pages in the Private Sector
thou
sand
s
Source: ONS
Resilience and Reconfiguration
• Denmark • France • Netherlands
• Influences on findings: - employer and union strategy- differences model employer (joint regulation) v. sovereign employer (legal regulation) traditions
Main Findings – Czech Republic
Zuzana Dvorakova
Alexandra Stroleny
Introduction
• Extensive reform since the 1990
• 2010: fiscal consolidation & austerity VS. structural reforms
• Social dialogue = fragile
Social Dialogue• National:
- 2006-9 govt :Topolánek- 2009-10 ‘caretaker govt’: Fischer- 2010 - current govt: Necas
• Sectoral-level: no collective agreements(CA) • Enterprise-level: CA possible
Scope same as before crisis (law almost unchanged)
Main Measures
• Pension Reform: Public Pillar
• 10 percent cut in the budget for public-sector wages – excluding teachers
• public sector pay frozen until 2014 shift from automatic progression to pay system based on merit/ performance appraisal
Agreed level of wage increases (%)
Conclusion
• Austerity –Cuts: Employment & wages
• Social Dialogue –Restriction – small size of municipalities
Public services in the aftermath of the economic crisis: how social dialogue influences changes in public sector employment relations in the Netherlands
Peter LeisinkUlrike WeskeEva Knies
Overview of austerity measures
Year Cabinet Cuts* Cuts on public sector organization
2010 Balkenende 3.2 • 600 million public sector wage restraint• 231 million efficiency cuts on government
2010 Rutte I 18 • 870 million public sector wage restraint• 1.5 billion cut back on government
2012 Rutte I + other parties
12 • 1.6 billion cut back on government, including public sector wage restraint
• rise in the pension age (67 in 2024)
2012 Rutte II 16 • 1 billion efficiency cuts on government• rise in the pension age (67 in 2021)
* Budget cuts in billion of Euro’s
Consequences of quantitative and structural measures
Quantitative measures: • wage restraint/freeze: central government, primary education• employment cuts through efficiency targets instead of nr. of jobs
– estimated effect: 26.000 jobs until 2015 (almost 10% of total government jobs)
Mix of structural and quantitative measures• decentralization of responsibility for specific public services
(provision of sheltered workplaces, youthcare) to local government but with less budget (10-20% efficiency cut)
Structural reform of employment relations:• From traditional employment security to “from job to job” support• measures supporting employees’ employability
Differences between sectorsDifferences between sectors in the degree of direct influence by central government• Central government: Minister of the Interior is also employer• Primary Education: Minister of Education determines wages and
primary employment conditions• Hospitals: employers and unions are relatively autonomous• Local government: employers and unions are formally
autonomous; but interference from central government
Differences in consequences: • wage freeze in central government and primary education but not
in local government and healthcare
Differences in leeway for social dialogue
Role of central government (2)
Central government
Primaryeducation
Localgovernment
Hospitals
Very strong central government influence
Very weak central government
influence
Role of social dialogueOverall: resilience of social dialogue institutions and practices•Industrial relations actors: no efforts to marginalize the social dialogue; ‘normal’ employment relationships
Restriction tendencies in central government and education•Unilaterally imposed wage restraint/freeze
Reconfiguration tendencies in local government•Sectoral level: collective labour agreement of the future; new substantive arrangements, ideas about rearranging negotiation authority between sectoral and local level•Local level: works council Zwolle pro-active participation in plans for job mobility platforms, public-private partnerships
Questions
• Are challenges to social dialogue by shift to unilateralism temporary or more long-term?
• To what extent is restriction, resilience or reconfiguration dominant....at national, sectoral, enterprise level?
• How can social dialogue be reformed and strengthened to meet new challenges?