federal railroad administration southeast regional rail planning...

Southeast Regional Rail Planning Study Federal Railroad Administration

Stakeholder Group Workshop 2 – Arlington, Virginia

D e c e m b e r 1 5 t h , 2 0 1 6

Baseline Conditions and Market AssessmentScott Richman, CH2M

Workshop 1 – September 20, 2016

Baseline Conditions and Market Assessment

• Megaregions and Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs)

• Population and Growth• Major Travel Patterns and Demand

Potential• State Plans and Policies• Potential CBSA Connections

Baseline Conditions and Market Assessment

PresentationHigh Performance Rail (HPR) Service TiersMegaregions and Economic Interdependencies

Travel Modes and Demand – Opportunities & ChallengesState Trends and Key Projects from Lead Stakeholders

Passenger Rail ContextPolicy Direction and Key Projects

Potential CBSA Connections for Consideration• Baseline input data from the CONNECT tool• Preliminary list of recommended CBSA connections• Next steps to inform future HPR network development

Definitions of High Performance Rail (HPR) Service Tiers

Top Speeds (mph)

Other CommonCharacteristics Primary Markets Served

Minimum ReliabilityTarget (On-time Performance)

Core Express corridors

Over 125 Frequent service; dedicated tracks, except in terminal areas; electric-powered

Serving major metropolitan centers

99%

Regional corridors

90-125 Frequent service; dedicated and shared tracks, electric- and diesel-powered

Connecting mid-sized urban areas with each other or with larger metropolitan areas

95%

Emerging/ Feedercorridors

Up to 90 Shared tracks Connecting mid-sized and smaller urban areas with each other or with larger metropolitan areas

85%

Source: FRA, High-Speed Rail in America, High-Speed Rail Strategic Plan, April 2009

http://www.fra.dot.gov/eLib/Details/L02833

Megaregions and Economic Interdependencies

• Large markets, significant economic capacity, innovation, and highly skilled talent

• Business clusters characterized by complex networks/synergies among knowledge-based industries and institutions

• Improved travel times could potentially link and strengthen major-knowledge-based industries and institutions

• DC-Virginia, Piedmont, Florida

Economic Interdependencies at a Megaregional Scale

Top Most Populated CBSAs in the Study AreaM

illio

ns

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Challenges - Growing population, increased traffic congestion, dispersed development, and inadequate infrastructure

• Washington, D.C. o Political and administrative center

• Richmond o Government, education, health services

• The Dulles Technology Corridoro High concentration of internet, communication

technology and software engineering

• Hampton Roadso Ports, marine manufacturing, military, health/social

services

DC - Virginia Megaregion: Key Economies

DC – Virginia Megaregion

• Knowledge workerso Washington, DC region helps drive demand

for business travel

• Virginia’s Rail Plan identifies key linkages (including SE HSR Virginia supported regional service):o Washington D.C – Richmond - Norfolk

o Bristol – Lynchburg – Charlottesville –Washington DC

o Bristol – Lynchburg – Richmond

DC - Virginia Megaregion: Opportunities

Washington D.C.

Newport News/ Norfolk/ VA Beach

Richmond

Lynchburg

Charlottesville223,063

255,440

1,234,058

5,863,608

1,740,391

1,793,128*

21,606,349**

407,058

160,292

4,971,128

84,975

1,697,898

Population Enplanement Ridership

2015 Key Market Data

274,767 134,485* Newport News/Williamsburg International and Norfolk International** Washington Dulles International and Ronald Reagan Washington National

75,824

Finance: Atlanta, Charlotte

Automotive• Atlanta (Ford, Porsche)• Greenville-Spartanburg (BMW, Volvo)• Montgomery (Kia, Hyundai)

Transportation• Atlanta Hartsfield• Charlotte Douglas• CS/NS Freight

Education• Raleigh-Durham (UNC, NC State, Duke)• Atlanta-Athens (UGA, GA Tech, Emory)

Research & Technology: Research Triangle Park

Piedmont Megaregion: Key Economies

Challenges - Growing population, increased traffic congestion, dispersed development, and inadequate infrastructure

Piedmont Megaregion

Source: FHWA 2013

• Population centers have been low density and fast growing

• Charlotte o New light rail system that serves small

portion of metropolitan region

o Planned commuter rail in Charlotte and Raleigh

• North Carolina’s rail plan identifies linkages:o Wilmington - Charlotte

o Southeast High Speed Rail• Richmond-Raleigh-Durham-Greensboro –

Charlotte

Piedmont Megaregion: North Carolina Opportunities

Charlotte

Raleigh

Greensboro

Durham 525,050

735,777

2,298,915

4,954,735

828,249

21,913,166 184,911

80,013

1,189,579 159,784

123,080



South Carolina’s rail plan identifies: • Intercity passenger rail corridor to

connect Columbia – Charlotte, NC • Eight potential Commuter

Corridors:o Three from Columbia

o Two from Charleston

o Three others connecting smaller communities

• Charlotte-Greenville/Spartanburg-Atlanta also a priority

Piedmont Megaregion: South Carolina Opportunities

Greenville

Columbia

Charleston1,669,988

33,543



533,575

71,190697,281

955,09711,913842,817

784,698

• Atlanta – largest rail transit system in megaregiono 13% of population and 34% of jobs within transit

accessible zone

• Atlanta Hartsfield – nation’s largest airporto Most flights have destinations outside megaregion

• Rail plan identifies the following linkages:o Charlotte - Atlanta

o Chattanooga - Atlanta

o Birmingham - Atlanta

o Atlanta - Columbus

o Macon - Savannah

o Savannah - Jacksonville

Piedmont Megaregion: Georgia Opportunities

Atlanta

Augusta

Savannah

Columbus



980,53159,801361,161

575,669 271,915

308,363 51,790

5,455,053 49,340,732 85,252

• Miami core city of region • Region spans from Jacksonville in the north, to

Miami in the south, Tampa and Orlando in Central Florida

• Orlando – Tourism and Businesso Airport, Disney World, Orange County Convention Center

• Tampa - Economic Hub of West Central Florida o Tourism, healthcare, finance, insurance, technology,

construction, maritime industry

• Florida’s High Tech Corridoro Technology rich region supporting industries in

aerospace and other high tech clusters of innovation

o Modeling and Simulation, Optics and Photonics, Digital Media and Medical Technologies

Florida Megaregion: Key economies

Source: FHWA 2013

Florida Megaregion

• Miami, Orlando, Tampa, Jacksonville, expected to grow at least 30% over next 30 yearso Orlando projected to grow 60%o Lack of dominant city to act as magnet for trips

• Tourist destinations connected by high performance rail (e.g. Brightline) could generate ridershipo Such as Disney World, Universal, Orange

County Convention Center

• Florida’s multimodal plan identifies following linkages:o Tampa-Orlandoo Miami - Orlandoo Jacksonville-Savanaho Orlando-Jacksonville

Florida Megaregion: Opportunities

Miami/FLL/WPB

Tampa

Orlando

Jacksonville

Pensacola



787,916462,339

2,226,835 19,969,320**

145,839

2,716,4731,380,99571,084

37,161,572*5,775,20470,560

2,851,235 9,150,458

120,565

*Miami International, Fort Lauderdale/Hollywood International, and Palm Beach International**Orlando International and Orlando Sanford International

State Trends and Key Projects

Washington D.C. – Passenger Rail Trends

• Served by two commuter railroads, Metrorail, and frequent Amtrak passenger rail

• Two rail stations oUnion Station is second busiest

Amtrak station with 5 million yearly riders and is expected to double over next 20 years

o L’Enfant Station is VRE’s busiest station and expected to increases train service by almost 50% in 2040

Source: http://www.dcrailplan.com/ (2016)

Washington D.C. – Issues

• Served by high boarding rolling stock from the north and low boarding rolling stock from the south

• Limited station size and tracks

• Lack of storage facilities

• Services from the south are limited by freight operations and infrastructure size Source: DDOT Virginia Avenue Tunnel EIS

Washington D.C. – Policy Direction and Key Projects

• Draft District Rail Plan submitted to FRA• Goals: Enhance Safety and Security,

Increase Operational Flexibility, Provide Added Rail Capacity, Grow Economic Opportunity, and Improve Quality of Life

• Key projects include: ‒ Virginia Avenue Tunnel‒ Union Station‒ Long Bridge

Source: http://www.dcrailplan.com/ (2016)

Washington D.C. – Virginia Avenue Tunnel

• Virginia Avenue Tunnel is considered one of the major freight bottlenecks on the East Coast

• Single track, single stack nearly mile long urban tunnel

• DDOT working with CSX completed an environmental process to expand the facility

• Will rebuild the tunnel with double tracks for double stack loads

Source: DDOT Virginia Avenue Tunnel EIS

Washington D.C. – Union Station

• Increase train capacity by widening and lengthening platforms

• Major expansion of passenger facilities

• Planning for travel demand for access and egress

• Considering land development opportunities above the rail yard

• Integrating bus and streetcar facilities

Source: Amtrak

Virginia – Passenger Rail Trends and Issues• VRE and Amtrak serve Virginia

• VRE ridership tripled since 1993

• Amtrak ridership in Virginia has grown over 75% since 2004

• Freight railroads own rail infrastructure

• Insufficient track Infrastructure, train interference, track, and signal problems cause delays

• Advanced Planning, Infrastructure improvements, and Better Coordination for Future Growth in Passenger Rail

• Approach: add capacity for additional passenger rail service

• Investing in track infrastructureo DC2RVA examining adding 3rd mainline to

Richmondo Constructing VRE platforms on east and west side

of track

Source: Virginia Statewide Rail Plan (2013)

Virginia – Policy Direction

• Part of overall transportation planning framework

• Supports the VTrans goals for mobility, connectivity, and accessibility

• Offers options to corridors with highest density and growth potential

• Freight/Passenger correlation policy for infrastructure improvement priority

• REF, IPROC, and RPF funding mechanisms providing up to $40M/year


Virginia – Policy Direction and Key Projects


• Enhance passenger rail service along the corridors

• Add new passenger rail service to Roanoke with connections to Richmond and D.C.

• Increase capacity through new track infrastructure

• Reduce travel time by improving infrastructure for higher speeds

• Performing station studies at Bedford, New River Valley, and Bristol

US 29, US 460, I-81 Passenger Service

Virginia – Policy Direction and Key ProjectsI-95 & I-64 Passenger Service • Most-congested route on I-95

corridor is between DC and Richmond

• Enhance passenger and freight rail operations o More frequent service, capacity, and

travel time savings o Service between Hampton Roads,

Richmond, and D.C., including service to Northeast Corridor

• DC2RVA study and Atlantic Gateway areas

• Serviced by both intercity passenger (Amtrak) and commuter (VRE) rail


• Rail infrastructure improvements and service upgrades o Improves travel time, service frequency, and on-

time performance

o Between Richmond, VA and Raleigh, NC – Tier II FEIS completed Sept 2015, ROD expected in 2017

• Improve safety, mobility and connectivity for rail passengers and freight o Alternatives to congestion on I-85 and I-95

• Richmond/Hampton Roads travel corridor rated one of the worst highway traffic bottlenecks in country

SE High Speed Rail – Richmond to Raleigh and Richmond to Hampton Roads

Source: NCDOT, September, 2014

Tennessee – Passenger Rail Trends and Issues• Passenger rail along western

edge of state o Amtrak's City of New Orleans route

(Chicago to New Orleans)

o Stations in Memphis and Newbern-Dyersburg

o Interest in adding a second daily trip

• ~3,000 miles of active rail lineso Only 4% used by passenger trains

• 2016 Draft State Rail Plan about to go out for commento HSGT Atlanta-Chattanoogao Potential rail transit corridors in

Nashville & Chattanoogao Potential new Roanoke-Bristol service

• Studies that have explored potential passenger rail:o Atlanta to Chattanooga High Speed Ground Transportation Project

Tier 1 Draft EIS (October 2016)

o Chattanooga Rail Implementation Study (in progress)

o Northwest Corridor (Nashville to Clarksville) Initial Feasibility Study

o Potential Intercity Passenger Rail Corridors Evaluation (2011)

o Chattanooga to Nashville Maglev Feasibility Study (May 2008)

Source: Amtrak State of Tennessee Fact Sheet, Fiscal Year 2016

Rail Lines in Appalachia Impacted by Coal

Tennessee – Freight Rail Trends and Issues

Tennessee – Policy Direction• Goals:

o Preserve and Manage the Existing Systemo Provide for the Efficient Movement of People and Freighto Support the State’s Economyo Maximize Safety and Securityo Build Partnerships for Sustainable and Livable Communitieso Protect Natural, Cultural and Environmental Resourceso Emphasize Financial Responsibility

• Framework of Long Range Transportation Plan Policy Papers • Guiding principle:

“Provide for the Efficient Movement of People and Freight: Optimize the movement of people and goods by providing greater access to transportation services for all people and by building better connections among different modes of transportation.”

• TDOT is about to release 2016 State Rail Plan for comments

North Carolina – Passenger Rail Trends and Issues

• Amtrak currently serves 16 cities in stateo Boardings up 93% from 2001 to 2013

• Charlotte is busiest station• Piedmont Crescent I-40/I-85 corridor

most congested and most frequent passenger train serviceo Two-thirds of Amtrak stations located within

Piedmont Crescent

• Plans to add up to two round trips along Charlotte-Raleigh corridor in next 5 years

• NCDOT evaluating connector bus services to Western and Eastern NCo Currently without passenger rail service

Source: the Governor’s 25-Year Vision (2014)

North Carolina – Policy Direction and Key Projects• Connecting metro areas – Piedmont

Crescent and Eastern Seaboard; enhancing movement of freight

• Improve service along RGH-CLT Piedmont Corridor

• Improve On-Time Performance • Pursue next steps on RGH-RVR: Corridor

Acquisition and Incremental Safety Projects• Initially provide connector bus service from

Piedmont Corridor to other metro areaso Specifically Western and Eastern North Carolina

• Expand rail service by working with communities o Multimodal connections to intercity stations

o Supporting local efforts on commuter rail

Source: North Carolina Comprehensive State Rail Plan (2015)

North Carolina – Policy Direction and Key Projects

Investment Program – Highest Priority• Corridors 09 and 06 served by Piedmont

and Carolinian, part of SEHSR Corridor• Corridor 08 served by CATS Blue Line

light rail, seeing record ridership

• Corridors 04, 05, 07 evaluated for future commuter rail

• Corridor 03 on NCDOT Long-Range Plan • Corridor 12 evaluated for commuter/

light rail; critical link for SEHSR Corridor

• Portions of Corridor 02 parallel Piedmont and Northern railroad

• Corridor 15 carries Amtrak trains, including Carolinian

• Amtrak also operates Silver Star service over Corridor 13

Source: North Carolina Comprehensive Rail Plan (2014)

• Piedmont Improvement Program –RGH-CLT to be complete in 2017o Will increase train frequencies to four

per day

• RGH-RVR Tier II EIS ROD – 2017*• Charlotte to Atlanta portion of

SEHSR Corridor Tier I EIS – 2018; would travel southeast through portions of South Carolina and into Atlanta

SE High Speed Rail Project - Piedmont Improvement Program, Charlotte to Atlanta and Raleigh to Columbia

*Completion date source from SE Regional Rail Study North Carolina Lead Stakeholder

South Carolina – Passenger Rail Trends and Issues

• Amtrak serves 11 cities in state o only long-distance service available

o Amtrak has full fiscal responsibility, no state-supported service

• Commuter rail can partially reduce highway congestion and other impacts in urban areaso No projects advanced to financing stage

• Exception of Charlotte-Atlanta High Speed project, no intercity service proposals have been advanced in stateo High speed service will provide alternative

means of intercity travelo Potential to provide improved access to

airports along the line and at its terminus stations

Source: Amtrak State of South Carolina Fact Sheet, Fiscal Year 2016

South Carolina – Policy Direction and Key Projects

• Improved intercity service linking Charlotte to Atlanta and Charlotte-Columbia

• Map represents Existing, 2030, and 2050 Intercity Passenger Rail Network (Amtrak) network routes

• Anticipate no change to the 2050 network routes, except operations of 79-110 mph passenger trains along Amtrak Upstate route

• Advance passenger rail service from Charlotte to Atlanta through S. Carolina

• Explore intercity passenger rail feasibility studies for identified corridors in the state

• Ensure that no railroad right-of-way is abandoned/lost for future public useo Identify funding to purchase abandoned rail right-of-

way with future for passenger rail

Source: South Carolina’s Multimodal Transportation Plan (2012)

Georgia – Passenger Rail Trends and Issues

• Currently, Amtrak experiences key challengeso Service is limitedo On-time performance and customer service fall shorto Passenger capacity and fleet age o Amtrak stations/platforms fall short of standardso Atlanta station has limited operational flexibility o Atlanta passenger train occupies a freight main line track

during stop, consuming freight rail capacity

• Freight railroads’ traffic and capacity needs must be key element in developing passenger rail expansion

• Georgia has no dedicated funding for rail improvements, either freight or passenger

Source: Amtrak State of Georgia Fact Sheet, Fiscal Year 2016

Georgia – Policy Direction and Key Projects• Atlanta – Charlotte southern leg of SEHSR Corridor

o Begins at Hartsfield Airport (H-JAIA) - Atlanta to Charlotte Gateway Stationo Development of Draft Tier 1 EIS underway – complete late 2017, early 2018

• Atlanta – Birmingham eastern leg of Gulf Coast Corridoro Extends from at H-JAIA through Central Atlanta, terminating at Birmingham

Transit Center• Atlanta – Jacksonville segment begins at Atlanta Passenger Terminal,

terminating at Jacksonville Center• Atlanta – Chattanooga – Nashville – Louisville proposed intercity

passenger rail corridoro Begins at H-JAIA, major stops at Atlanta Passenger Terminal, Chattanooga,

Nashville, terminating in Louisville (Tier I EIS )o Atlanta-Chattanooga – Draft Tier 1 EIS advertised for comments in Federal

Register• Columbus to Atlanta High-Speed Rail - feasibility of intercity passenger

rail• Proposed Amtrak Corridor Service Macon, GA to Atlanta and

Chattanooga to Atlanta

Existing Services• Amtrak Intercity Passenger Rail• Tri-Rail Commuter Rail (South Florida)• SunRail Commuter Rail (Central Florida)

Amtrak operates three services• Auto Train, Silver Meteor, Silver Star• Sunset Limited service from Orlando to New

Orleans discontinued, but under study• Network stretches across state and serves

major population centerso No direct route from Jacksonville to Miami along

Florida’s East Coast cities

o Travel time not competitive with auto/air

Florida – Passenger Rail Trends and Issues

Source: Amtrak State of Florida Fact Sheet, Fiscal Year 2016

Florida – Policy Direction

Source: Florida’s Multimodal Unfunded Needs Plan (2011)

• Objectives: Interregional and intermodal connectivity, economic development

• Rail investment policy goals• Projects in state:

o Brightline/Florida East Coast Railway Corridoro Tri-Rail Station improvementso Passenger and freight rail upgrades

• Currently preparing 2045 Multi-Modal Unfunded Needs Plan

• Updating Statewide Rail Plan to reflect these ongoing projects

• Central Florida's first commuter rail systemo Ultimate 61.5 mile commuter rail connecting four counties and

Orlando o Phase 1 Opened in 2014 in Orange, Seminole and Volusia Counties

o 32 miles and 12 stationso Initial segment of larger passenger rail network in region

• Phase 2 South expansiono Four new stations now under construction

• Phase 2 North o Will link DeBary to DeLand in Volusia County.o Entire project is 12-mile segment o Will add one station to the existing rail systemo Still seeking funding

• Phase 3 from south of Sand Lake Road Station to Orlando International Airport's new Intermodal Station

• Locals take over operations after 7 years• CSX serves freight in the area during off-hour windows

SunRail

Source: SunRail Program Management Team (2016)

Phase 3

Phase 2 North

Phase 2 South

Tri-Rail• Links Miami, Fort Lauderdale, and West Palm Beach‒ Operates on South Florida Rail Corridor (SFRC) – shared service with CSX

Transportation• 70.9-mile-long with 18 stations includes shuttle buses

• Connects directly to Amtrak, Metrorail at Metrorail Transfer Station and Miami Airport Station (Miami Intermodal Center)

o Miami River Miami Intermodal Center Capacity project underway

Downtown Miami Link• Expands Tri-Rail service 14 miles from Metrorail Transfer Station to Miami

Central Station (intermodal station with Brightline/Metrorail)

Tri-Rail Coastal Link• Proposed commuter rail service (environmental study in progress)

• FEC Corridor between downtown Miami and Jupiter, integrated with existing Tri-Rail service

o Connecting 28 coastal communities between Miami and Jupiter

o Proposes passenger stations spaced 2 to 5 miles apart

Tri-Rail and Expanded Service

Source: South Florida Regional Transportation Authority

Brightline Florida• Private initiative by All Aboard Florida to provide

express, intercity passenger service (Brightline) between Miami and Orlando

• Miami to West Palm Beach segment anticipated opening in Summer 2017o Three stations (Miami, Fort Lauderdale and West Palm

Beach)o Ongoing coordination to co-locate planned Tri-Rail Coastal

Link stations at the proposed Brightline stations

• Phase 2 from Orlando to Miami study ongoing• Operates on FEC Railway to Cocoa, then adds

track adjacent to the Beachline to Orlando International Airport

• Competitive with air and auto between Miami and Orlando

Brightline

Source: Railway Gazette (11/10/15)

Potential CBSA Connections for Consideration

Identifying Baseline CBSA Connections

Regional Study Area:Florida Georgia

South CarolinaNorth Carolina

Wash., D.C./VirginiaTennessee

FRA Planning Studies/EIS

State Rail Planning Documents

Overlay major CBSAs, Amtrak

stations, airports, highways

Identify potential CBSA connections

Data pull from CONNECT Tool

Review data

Stakeholder Input Identify list of CBSA connections to model

Existing and Planned Passenger Rail Service plus Potential Connection Map displays:• Existing/committed passenger rail lines

‒ Including under construction

• Planned passenger rail ‒ Including NEPA Tier 1 and 2, and states’ planned rail

• Suggestions from Stakeholders at Workshop 1 ‒ Shown in detail in the following slides

• Other potential CBSA connections‒ Derived from 2015 CONNECT input data

CBSA Network Connections

Workshop 1 Pairing Ideas

*Local air trips are those trips that are made between any CBSA pairs in which the origins and destinations are the true ends of the trips. *Connect air trips are those that are made as the first or last legs of any air journeys between the CBSA pair under consideration, where rail is in competition with air, with subsequent or preceding connections made at the origin or destination airports, respectively. * Bus data only collected for CBSA pairs with more than 150 daily bus riders

Atlanta, GA to Orlando, FL2015 Total Travel Demand: 2,502,252 trips (End-point CBSA pair)Existing Project: • Evaluation of High Speed Rail Options in the Atlanta-Macon-

Savannah-Jacksonville

Atlanta, GA – Orlando, FL 35.7% 32.3% 32.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Workshop 1 Pairing ideas


Raleigh, NC to Atlanta, GA 2015 Total Travel Demand: 732,074 (End-point CBSA pair)Existing Project• Raleigh to Charlotte: ARRA incremental

improvements to be completed by 2017 • Charlotte to Atlanta, Tier 1 EIS began 2012

Raleigh, NC – Atlanta, GA 32.6% 46.6% 20.8% 0.0% 0.0%



Charlotte, NC to Charleston, SC 2015 Total Travel Demand: 218,704 (End-point CBSA pair)

Existing Project• Atlanta- Charlotte Corridor Investment Plan• Piedmont Improvement Program• SE High Speed Rail Tier 1 EIS

Charlotte, NC – Charleston, SC 96.8% 3.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%


Birmingham, AL to Memphis, TN2015 Total Travel Demand: 197,056 (End-point CBSA pair)

Existing Project• Crescent Corridor - Birmingham Regional

Intermodal Facility, Memphis Intermodal Facility

Birmingham, AL – Memphis, TN 99.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%



*Local air trips are those trips that are made between any CBSA pairs in which the origins and destinations are the true ends of the trips. *Connect air trips are those that are made as the first or last legs of any air journeys between the CBSA pair under consideration, where rail is in competition with air, with subsequent or preceding connections made at the origin or destination airports, respectively.

Atlanta, GA to Columbus, GA to Montgomery, AL to Pensacola, FL2015 Total Travel Demand: 390,044 (End-point CBSA pair)

Existing Projects• Columbus to Atlanta High Speed Rail• GDOT Rail Plan

Atlanta, GA – Pensacola, FL 84.3% 0.01% 15.6% 0.0% 0.0%



Atlanta, GA to Mobile, AL; Valdosta, GA; Savannah GA2015 Total Travel Demand: 203,330; 115,927; 539,495 (End-point CBSA pair)

Existing Projects• GDOT Rail Plan• Columbus to Atlanta High Speed Rail Feasibility Study

Atlanta, GA – Mobile, AL 49.5% 10.3% 40.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Atlanta, GA – Valdosta, GA 69.1% 2.5% 28.4% 0.0% 0.0%

Atlanta, GA – Savannah, GA 43.9% 6.8% 49.2% 0.0% 0.0%


Charlotte, NC to Charleston, WV2015 Total Travel Demand: 109,352 Trips (End-point CBSA pair)

No Existing Project

Charlotte, NC – Charleston, WV 60.4% 5.3% 34.4% 0.0% 0.0%


• Stakeholder input on other potential connections for consideration

• More stakeholder discussion on travel demand and CBSA connections later today


Corridor Route2015 Total

CBSA Population

2015 Total Travel Demand

Atlanta – Greenville – Charlotte 8,596,785 35,988,516

Atlanta-Athens-Augusta-Columbia-Charlotte

9,310,622 31,678,790

Washington DC-Richmond-Wilson-Raleigh-Durham-Greensboro-Charlotte

11,928,486 30,160,369

Orlando-Tampa-Sarasota 5,800,854 25,914,796

Orlando-Miami 8,002,039 10,060,979

Atlanta-Chattanooga-Nashville-Memphis

9,059,979 8,539,342

SE Region: Travel Demand between Representative CBSAs

Initial Baseline and Market Conditions for RepresentativeCBSA Connections Based on Highest Total Travel Demand

Washington DC – Richmond – Lynchburg –Roanoke – Bristol 5.1m 94.9% 5.0% 0.1% 0% 0%

Washington DC – Charlottesville – Lynchburg –Roanoke – Bristol 4.7m 94.9% 5.0% 0.1% 0% 0%

Jacksonville – Daytona Beach – Miami 2.8m 48.7% 26.2% 15.0% 1.4% 8.7%

Columbia – Charleston, SC 0.8m 100% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Charlotte – Wilmington 0.6m 43.8% 3.3% 52.9% 0% 0%

Charlotte – Charleston, WV 0.2m 60.4% 5.3% 34.4% 0% 0%

Travel Market information for Representative CBSAs Connections

Sample Baseline Connections and SourcesPrimary CBSAConnections State Plans Piedmont Improvement

Program HSR Study Tier I/II EIS Stakeholder Suggestion

Charlotte, NC to Atlanta, GA Atlanta-Charlotte Corridor Investment Plan SE High Speed Rail Tier 1 EIS

Washington D.C. to Charlotte, NC

NCDOT Intercity Passenger Rail Congestion Mitigation, , Arkendale to Powell's Creek Third Track

NCDOT Piedmont Third and Fourth Frequency Program, NCDOT Piedmont Improvement Program Sugar Creek Road Grade Separation,

SE High Speed Rail Corridor PE/NEPA -Richmond, VA to Raleigh, NC, SE High Speed Rail I-95 Corridor PE/NEPA - Washington, DC to Richmond, VA

Atlanta, GA to Orlando, FL

Evaluation of High Speed Rail Options in the Atlanta-Macon-Savannah-Jacksonville

X

Richmond, VA to Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News,

VA-NC

Richmond-Hampton Roads Passenger Rail Project, SE High Speed Rail Tier 1 EIS

Charlotte, NC to Atlanta, GA Atlanta-Charlotte Corridor Investment Plan SE High Speed Rail Tier I EIS X

Atlanta, GA to Chattanooga, TN GDOT State Rail Plan

Evaluation of High Speed Rail Options in the Atlanta-Nashville-Louisville Corridor

SE High Speed Rail Tier I EIS

Washington D.C. to Richmond, VA

NCDOT Intercity Passenger Rail Congestion Mitigation, , Arkendale to Powell's Creek Third Track,

NCDOT Piedmont Third and Fourth Frequency Program, NCDOT Piedmont Improvement Program Sugar Creek Road Grade Separation,

SE High Speed Rail Corridor PE/NEPA -Richmond, VA to Raleigh, NC, SE High Speed Rail I-95 Corridor PE/NEPA - Washington, DC to Richmond, VA

Raleigh, NC to Charlotte, NC

NC DOT Intercity Passenger Rail Congestion Mitigation, NC, Arkendale to Powell's Creek Third Track, ARRA Incremental Improvements to be completed in 2017

NCDOT Piedmont Improvement Program, NCDOT Piedmont Third and Fourth Frequency Program,

Southeast High Speed Rail Corridor PE/NEPA -Richmond, VA to Raleigh, SE High Speed Rail I-95 Corridor PE/NEPA - Washington, DC to Richmond, VA,

Identify Baseline Initial CBSA Connections

• Informed by travel demand trends and economic activity

• Stakeholders began process with the initial identification of potential HPR market connections

• Promising connections also identified in other previous studies

• Stakeholders review of Draft Baseline Conditions and Market Assessment Report – February 2017

Narrowed Set of CBSA Connections Tested With

CONNECT

• Initial results presented at Workshop #3

• Analyses refined based on stakeholder input

Develop Future HPR Network

• Develop refined network analysis

• Present network refinements to stakeholders at Workshop #4

• Collaborate on HPR network performance and vision

Next Steps: Identifying Future HPR Network

• Stakeholder input on any other baseline conditions that would inform an initial list of potential CBSA connections
