feedlotting adapting with confidence your farm your future dookie greg ferrier farm services...
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Feedlotting Adapting with confidence
Your Farm Your FutureDookie
Greg Ferrier
Farm Services Victoria
Feedlotting … outline
• ‘Pictures’ of feedlotting• Drivers behind feedlotting• The Victorian/Australian industries• Adapting with confidence
Feedlotting … a ‘picture’
‘Pictures’ of a feedlot?…… your words ………to describe a feedlot/feedlotting
(images/perceptions/experiences)
Feedlotting … outline
• ‘Pictures’ of feedlotting• Drivers behind feedlotting• The Victorian/Australian industries• Adapting with confidence
Beef and Veal Channel Share
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Rolling quarters
shar
e (v
ol %
)
Butcher
Woolworths
Coles
Bi-Lo
IGA/Foodland
Aldi
Market/Deli
2006Fresh Beef and Veal LY TY LY TY
All butchers 30.3 29.9 29.7 29.1 26.8 28.0 29.9
All Supermarkets 63.3 64.1 63.6 64.7 67.6 66.6 63.1
Woolworths 28.4 29.7 29.4 31.9 33.7 33.2 28.0
Coles 18.4 20.1 18.8 19.7 18.2 19.1 21.6
Bi-Lo 6.0 2.5 4.5 1.3 3.5 1.5 1.5
IGA/Foodland 5.4 7.8 7.2 8.1 7.8 9.4 8.5
Aldi 1.6 2.7 1.8 2.9 1.8 3.0 3.1
Market/Deli/Other 6.4 6.0 6.7 6.2 5.6 5.4 7.1
Nov Dec
Source: Roy Morgan LY = Last Year TY = This Year
Jan - Dec Oct - DecDec
12 Months 3 Months 2007
Sha
re (
Vol
%)
Butchers (29.9%) managed to close the year with a slightly higher average share of beef and veal than Woolworths (29.7%), although the Woolworths’ share appeared higher for the last 4 months. The main movers were the same as in total fresh meat, with Coles/Bilo losing share, IGA and Aldi gaining share.
25-30% Domestic
65-70% Export
Climate impacts
Corryong (Vic)
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Te
mp
era
ture
(oC
)
1971-2000 Tmax
2030 Tmax low
2030 Tmax mid
2030 Tmax high
Corryong (Vic)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar
Te
mp
era
ture
(oC
)
1971-2000 Tmin
2030 Tmin low
2030 Tmin mid
2030 Tmin high
Local climate impacts
CSIRO modelling
Other drivers
Grain suppliesDiversificationBusiness structureOther …. ?
Feedlotting … outline
• ‘Pictures’ of feedlotting• Drivers behind feedlotting• The Victorian/Australian industries• Adapting with confidence
National
ALFA/MLA survey
Aus. Feedlot capacity and numbers on feed
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
On feed Capacity
National - Victoria
No. on feed(March 2009)
44,816 (6.9%)
(Vic)
650,026(Total)
Capacity 79,532 (6.4%)
1,244,069
Utilisation 56% 52%
Victoria
ALFA/MLA survey
Vic. Feedlot capacity and numbers on feed
10,000
20,000
30,00040,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
On feed Capacity
Victoria (as at MAR 2009)
ALFA/MLA survey
Size Capacity No. on feed
<500 head 1,538 1,118(73% utilised)
500-1,000 3,995 1,996 (50% utilised)
1,000-10,000 18,533 9,385(51% utilised)
>10,000 55,466 32,317 (58% utilised)
Total 79,532 44,816
Planning considerations
PlanningPlanning permit required – Code complianceBroilers – Meat ChickensBeef (and Dairy) Feedlots – greater than 1000 headNo Planning permit required – Code compliance requiredBeef (and Dairy) feedlots less than 1000 head.
Planning permit required – No CodeEggs – Cage, Barn, Free RangeSheep Feedlots – Lamb finishing systemsIntensive poultry – turkeys, squab, quail
No Planning permit required Stock Containment Areas – emergency or supplementary feeding systems.
Planning permit required – regard to the CodePigs – Intensive, Eco-shelters
Victoria Code
Cattle feedlots - Code
Code has eight key elements:1. Location and size2. Design and construction3. Odour4. Noise5. Waste storage, treatment and use6. Traffic and parking7. Landscaping8. Operations and management
Cattle feedlots - auditing
• Pre-operational audit
• Annual audit
• Additional audit(s)
• Other audits … NFAS, e.g. ‘Woolies’
Feedlotting
• ‘Pictures’ of feedlotting• Drivers behind feedlotting• The Victorian/Australian industries• Adapting with confidence
Feedlots … plan, plan, planChanging/diversifying business strategy or
direction:• Does it fit the (whole) farm plan?• Are there capabilities (infrastructure, people
etc) to do this?• Is the supply chain solid?• Will the new business provide enough profit?• How are the products to be marketed?
With confidence?
A range of adaptation options is available, adapting with confidence reduces vulnerability
• Managerial e.g. farm practices• Technological e.g. heat/drought tolerant• Behavioural e.g. purchasing decisions
With confidence?A wide array of adaptation options is available, adapting with confidence reduces vulnerability• Managerial, e.g. farm practices• Technological, e.g. heat/drought tolerant• Behavioural, e.g. purchasing decisions
Though, there are economic, social, informational and attitudinal components in adapting with confidence
With confidence?
‘Local’