feltham and heston poll

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2010 Vote Voting Intention SEG Age Gender LibDem Lab Con LibDem Lab Con DE C2 C1 AB 65+ 55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 18-24 Female Male Total 150 398 351 90 421 247 479 248 299 477 354 237 273 265 235 139 784 719 1503 Unweighted base 125 377 302 84 415 217 526 240 466 271 226 165 241 316 346 210 752 751 1503 Weighted base 53 186 149 30 190 113 207 83 152 105 128 87 103 96 107 27 249 299 548 Certain to vote (10) 42% 49% 49% 36% 46% 52% 39% 35% 33% 39% 57% 52% 43% 30% 31% 13% 33% 40% 36% 9 17 14 6 22 14 21 11 21 14 12 12 9 11 15 9 24 43 67 (9) 7% 4% 5% 7% 5% 7% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 6% 4% 17 50 34 15 44 21 48 21 44 25 20 16 21 25 34 23 85 53 138 (8) 14% 13% 11% 18% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 8% 10% 11% 11% 7% 9% 11 25 17 4 42 12 28 12 39 17 11 7 13 20 26 18 44 52 96 (7) 9% 7% 6% 5% 10% 5% 5% 5% 8% 6% 5% 4% 5% 6% 8% 9% 6% 7% 6% 4 16 10 4 16 11 14 10 25 9 7 3 13 8 16 12 30 28 59 (6) 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 5% 6% 4% 4% 4% 12 32 27 15 62 27 70 45 55 28 12 15 23 58 56 34 114 85 198 (5) 9% 9% 9% 18% 15% 13% 13% 19% 12% 11% 5% 9% 10% 18% 16% 16% 15% 11% 13% 2 9 12 2 17 5 9 2 21 6 * 1 7 9 16 6 21 18 39 (4) 2% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% * 1% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2 7 9 6 11 14 21 6 12 13 2 4 6 22 6 13 26 26 52 (3) 2% 2% 3% 7% 3% 6% 4% 2% 3% 5% 1% 3% 2% 7% 2% 6% 3% 3% 3% 2 1 1 2 12 1 7 8 8 4 2 4 4 4 3 9 13 14 27 (2) 1% * * 2% 3% * 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 13 27 28 - - - 95 38 86 47 28 16 42 59 63 59 139 128 266 Definitely would (1) 10% 7% 9% - - - 18% 16% 19% 17% 12% 10% 17% 19% 18% 28% 18% 17% 18% not vote * 6 1 - - - 6 3 2 3 4 2 1 3 3 - 7 6 13 Don't know * 2% * - - - 1% 1% * 1% 2% 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 7.49 7.89 7.64 7.55 7.88 8.14 6.68 6.55 6.44 6.77 7.96 7.80 6.89 6.11 6.39 4.97 6.41 6.79 6.60 Mean 3.01 2.78 3.02 2.46 2.41 2.36 3.47 3.35 3.38 3.44 3.12 3.08 3.45 3.40 3.32 3.24 3.39 3.43 3.42 Standard deviation 0.25 0.14 0.16 0.26 0.12 0.15 0.16 0.21 0.20 0.16 0.17 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.27 0.12 0.13 0.09 Standard error Page 1 Feltham & Heston Poll Fieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011 Absolutes/col percents Table 1 Q.1 Many local people are saying that they probably won't vote at all when the by-election happens, while others say they definitely would vote. Please say how likely you are to vote in the by-election, when it happens? Base: All respondents Lord Ashcroft

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Page 1: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

531861493019011320783152105128871039610727249299548Certain to vote (10)42%49%49%36%46%52%39%35%33%39%57%52%43%30%31%13%33%40%36%

9171462214211121141212911159244367(9)7%4%5%7%5%7%4%5%5%5%5%7%4%4%4%4%3%6%4%

175034154421482144252016212534238553138(8)14%13%11%18%11%10%9%9%9%9%9%10%9%8%10%11%11%7%9%

112517442122812391711713202618445296(7)9%7%6%5%10%5%5%5%8%6%5%4%5%6%8%9%6%7%6%

41610416111410259731381612302859(6)3%4%3%4%4%5%3%4%5%3%3%2%5%3%5%6%4%4%4%

1232271562277045552812152358563411485198(5)9%9%9%18%15%13%13%19%12%11%5%9%10%18%16%16%15%11%13%

2912217592216*179166211839(4)2%2%4%3%4%2%2%1%4%2%*1%3%3%4%3%3%2%3%

27961114216121324622613262652(3)2%2%3%7%3%6%4%2%3%5%1%3%2%7%2%6%3%3%3%

21121217884244439131427(2)1%**2%3%*1%3%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%4%2%2%2%

132728---95388647281642596359139128266Definitely would (1)10%7%9%---18%16%19%17%12%10%17%19%18%28%18%17%18%not vote

*61---632342133-7613Don't know*2%*---1%1%*1%2%1%*1%1%-1%1%1%

7.497.897.647.557.888.146.686.556.446.777.967.806.896.116.394.976.416.796.60Mean

3.012.783.022.462.412.363.473.353.383.443.123.083.453.403.323.243.393.433.42Standard deviation

0.250.140.160.260.120.150.160.210.200.160.170.200.210.210.220.270.120.130.09Standard error

Page 1

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 1

Q.1 Many local people are saying that they probably won't vote at all when the by-election happens, while others say they definitely would vote.Please say how likely you are to vote in the by-election, when it happens?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 2: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

3222221-415-1476812477584165839772208208415Seema Malhotra, the26%59%7%-100%-28%28%27%28%26%25%27%26%28%34%28%28%28%Labour candidate

513155--2178630574452343244371898119217Mark Bowen, the4%4%51%--100%16%12%12%16%23%21%13%14%11%9%13%16%14%Conservative candidate

3110684--359211913101026178394584Roger Crouch, the25%3%2%100%--7%4%4%7%6%6%4%8%5%4%5%6%6%Liberal Democrat

candidate

3513---10812579846-151934The UK Independence2%1%4%---2%3%3%2%3%5%3%1%2%-2%3%2%Party (UKIP)

--5---417213-2819614The British National--2%---1%1%2%1%*2%-1%2%1%1%1%1%Party (BNP)

521---423321342-6612The Green Party4%1%*---1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%1%-1%1%1%

11----21-1*112--224Some other party**----*1%-***1%1%--***

132728---95388647281642596359139128266Will not vote10%7%9%---18%16%19%17%12%10%17%19%18%28%18%17%18%

3148---25122113241314984284472Refused3%4%3%---5%5%4%5%10%8%6%3%2%2%4%6%5%

328265---11871135604039668410847208176384Don't know25%22%21%---22%29%29%22%18%23%27%27%31%22%28%23%26%

Page 2

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 2

Q.2 Which candidate will you vote for in the by-election?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 3: Feltham and Heston Poll

Page 3

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 3

Lord Ashcroft

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

932762369042124727112715127321314213813612271417405822Unweighted base

772542018441521728811922415013498119164167100376405781Weighted base

3222221-415-1476812477584165839772208208415Seema Malhotra, the42%88%11%-100%-51%57%55%51%43%42%54%51%58%72%55%51%53%Labour candidate

513155--2178630574452343244371898119217Mark Bowen, the7%5%77%--100%30%25%25%29%39%35%27%27%22%18%26%29%28%Conservative candidate

3110684--359211913101026178394584Roger Crouch, the41%4%3%100%--12%8%9%13%10%10%9%16%10%8%10%11%11%Liberal Democrat

candidate

3513---10812579846-151934The UK Independence4%2%6%---3%7%5%3%6%9%7%2%4%-4%5%4%Party (UKIP)

--5---417213-2819614The British National--2%---1%1%3%1%1%3%-1%5%1%2%1%2%Party (BNP)

521---423321342-6612The Green Party7%1%*---1%1%2%2%2%1%3%2%1%-2%1%2%

11----21-1*112--224Some other party1%*----1%1%-1%*1%1%1%--*1%1%

Base: All respondents expressing an intention to voteQ.2 Which candidate will you vote for in the by-election?

Page 4: Feltham and Heston Poll

Page 4

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 4

Q.2 Which candidate will you vote for in the by-election?

Lord Ashcroft

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

6119716750267166177779418016210290756931260268529Unweighted base

501751374624713817970132951027076909442222252475Weighted base

2015314-247-92376850463142485129121125247Seema Malhotra, the39%87%10%-100%-51%53%52%52%45%45%55%53%54%70%55%50%52%Labour candidate

49105--13856193627412220222495978138Mark Bowen, the9%5%77%--100%31%27%27%28%40%32%26%24%25%20%27%31%29%Conservative candidate

217546--204111186614113222546Roger Crouch, the41%4%3%100%--11%6%8%12%7%8%8%15%11%7%10%10%10%Liberal Democrat

candidate

249---579467642-91625The UK Independence4%2%6%---3%10%6%4%6%10%8%4%2%-4%6%5%Party (UKIP)

--3---315**2-*61649The British National--3%---2%2%4%**3%-*6%3%3%1%2%Party (BNP)

32*---213221221-448The Green Party6%1%*---1%1%2%2%2%1%3%3%1%-2%1%2%

*1----11-1***2--213Some other party1%1%----*2%-1%*1%*2%--1%*1%

Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout Weighted)

Page 5: Feltham and Heston Poll

Page 5

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 5

Q.2 Which candidate will you vote for in the by-election?Base: All respondents (Turnout Weighted)

Lord Ashcroft

Q.5 2010 General Election VoteThe BritishThe UK

Some otherNationalThe GreenIndependenceLiberalDon't knowRefusedDid not votepartyParty (BNP)PartyParty (UKIP)DemocratsLabourConservativeTotal

35491032871087255221777Unweighted base

334511631491272231180716Weighted base

8443-31-2015314247Seema Malhotra, the24%10%37%-22%15%-27%66%8%34%Labour candidate

1212-11249105138Mark Bowen, the3%4%10%-7%7%18%6%4%59%19%Conservative candidate

*-13--2-217546Roger Crouch, the1%-11%--17%-28%3%3%6%Liberal Democrat

candidate

*-2-2-524925The UK Independence1%-2%-14%-43%3%2%5%3%Party (UKIP)

1-*-5----39The British National2%-*-34%----2%1%Party (BNP)

--11-1-32*8The Green Party--1%37%-9%-4%1%*1%

--1---**1-3Some other party--*---4%1%*-*

3284---1211756Refused10%62%3%---9%3%5%4%8%

1911402353204537185Don't know58%24%35%63%22%52%26%28%19%20%26%

Page 6: Feltham and Heston Poll

Page 6

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 6

Lord Ashcroft

Adjusted Voting Intention (Turnout Weighted)

Total

532Total

160Conservative30%

275Labour52%

53Liberal Democrat10%

44Other8%

Page 7: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

932762369042124727112715127321314213813612271417405822Unweighted base

772542018441521728811922415013498119164167100376405781Weighted base

602111694933218221687186122115839512612766294317611Fairly sure I will78%83%84%59%80%84%75%73%83%81%86%84%80%77%76%66%78%78%78%vote...

173627337229612834271814203533287575149I may well change my22%14%14%39%17%13%21%23%15%18%14%15%17%22%20%28%20%18%19%mind

-7521261045211437671321Don't know-3%2%2%3%3%3%3%2%2%1%1%3%2%4%6%2%3%3%

Page 7

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 7

Q.3 Are you fairly sure that is what you'll do at the by-election, or do you think you may well change your mind between now and then?Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote

Lord Ashcroft

Page 8: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

174030307233562424463018273123218169150Unweighted base

173627337229612834271814203533287575149Weighted base

510101226-18108632512137142843Conservative28%28%36%35%36%-30%38%25%21%19%16%25%33%40%24%19%38%28%

6104-277124136425969161834Liberal Democrat35%27%13%-38%23%19%13%38%24%22%14%25%25%17%32%21%25%23%

38312-1010845221612518927Labour20%22%13%35%-35%16%28%12%20%11%12%4%16%35%18%24%13%18%

1131145-1*2211--426The UK Independence6%4%12%3%2%13%8%-4%1%12%12%7%3%--6%3%4%Party (UKIP)

-1-1211-111-*2--223The Green Party-3%-3%2%2%2%-3%4%6%-2%4%--2%2%2%

---1-----1--1---1-1The British National---2%-----2%--2%---1%-*Party (BNP)

*-2-133-1112*--2325Some other party3%-8%-2%9%4%-3%3%6%11%2%--6%4%2%3%

165715513657457636171331Don't know9%17%18%22%20%18%22%22%14%25%24%35%32%18%8%20%23%18%20%

Page 8

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 8

Q.4 If you change your mind, which party would you be most likely to switch to?Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote who may well change their mind

Lord Ashcroft

Page 9: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

--302621155111488262724250477417140162302Conservative--100%8%5%71%21%20%18%23%32%25%21%15%21%8%19%22%20%

-377-10222131346111072664570818233209168377Labour-100%-12%53%6%25%26%24%27%29%27%29%26%24%16%28%22%25%

125--31325371338371514183429155669125Liberal Democrats100%--37%8%2%7%5%8%14%7%8%8%11%8%7%7%9%8%

-----33-924443--7814The UK Independence-----1%1%-2%1%2%3%2%1%--1%1%1%Party (UKIP)

---22514543232775101726The Green Party---3%*2%3%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%

----516311334549-111324The British National----1%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%2%1%2%-1%2%2%Party (BNP)

------4-2-22-1--145Some other party------1%-*-1%1%-*--*1%*

---33113301689615468373269109115125247241487Did not vote---40%27%14%32%40%33%25%17%19%29%35%33%60%33%32%32%

----5222825131313138146274168Refused----1%1%4%3%5%5%6%8%6%3%4%3%4%5%5%

---1163276319117921169452874Don't know---1%4%1%5%3%7%3%5%4%4%7%5%4%6%4%5%

Page 9

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 9

Q.5 At the last general election, in May 2010, many people didn't vote. Can you remember, did you vote in that election, or did you not vote?Q.5b Could you tell me which party you voted for at the last general election in May 2010?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 10: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

1503983515830521329914717332725916617615513852481465946Unweighted base

1253773025028218230913025518016411414917720070433441874Weighted base

--302621155111488262724250477417140162302Conservative--100%13%8%85%36%37%32%34%44%37%34%27%37%24%32%37%35%

-377-10222131346111072664570818233209168377Labour-100%-20%79%7%43%47%43%40%40%40%47%46%41%47%48%38%43%

125--31325371338371514183429155669125Liberal Democrats100%--63%11%3%12%10%15%21%9%12%12%19%14%22%13%16%14%

-----33-924443--7814The UK Independence-----1%1%-4%1%2%4%3%1%--2%2%2%Party (UKIP)

---22514543232775101726The Green Party---4%1%3%5%4%1%2%1%3%2%4%3%7%2%4%3%

----516311334549-111324The British National----2%1%2%3%4%2%2%3%3%2%4%-3%3%3%Party (BNP)

------4-2-22-1--145Some other party------1%-1%-1%1%-1%--*1%1%

Page 10

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 10

Q.5 At the last general election, in May 2010, many people didn't vote. Can you remember, did you vote in that election, or did you not vote?Q.5b Could you tell me which party you voted for at the last general election in May 2010?Base: All respondents who voted (and were willing to disclose who they voted for)

Lord Ashcroft

Page 11: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

2766190276315813579156947260689210865208256464David Cameron, the21%18%63%32%15%73%26%33%33%35%32%36%28%29%31%31%28%34%31%Prime Minister.

3319629192591515581126686351608410665212218430Ed Miliband, the Labour26%52%10%22%62%7%30%34%27%25%28%31%25%27%31%31%28%29%29%leader.

3311152514840152721187112520225152103Nick Clegg, the Deputy26%3%5%30%3%4%8%6%6%8%8%5%4%8%6%10%7%7%7%Prime Minister.

33103681381361956615887724710211511159280226506Don't know/ none of26%27%23%16%19%17%37%27%34%32%32%28%42%36%32%28%37%30%34%them

Page 11

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 11

Q.7 Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 12: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

451101784211914019810718911496708511514993272337609NET: Well36%29%59%50%29%65%38%44%41%42%43%42%35%37%43%44%36%45%41%

17951010123996345122132033Very well (4)1%2%3%6%2%5%2%1%2%3%3%2%2%2%4%1%2%3%2%

441031693711013018710418010590678011013791259317576Quite well (3)35%27%56%44%26%60%35%43%39%39%40%40%33%35%40%43%34%42%38%

5016692291766420783186102675110113812992315263578Quite badly (2)40%44%30%35%42%29%39%34%40%38%30%31%42%44%37%44%42%35%38%

31101321312013120519054624455626726165151316Very badly (1)25%27%11%15%29%6%23%21%19%20%27%27%23%20%19%12%22%20%21%

80267124422967732813427715612995156200196117479415894NET: Badly64%71%41%50%71%35%62%56%59%58%57%58%65%63%57%56%64%55%59%

2.122.042.512.412.022.632.172.252.232.262.182.182.142.192.272.332.162.272.22Mean

0.780.780.730.820.800.670.800.800.780.820.870.850.790.760.810.700.780.810.80Standard deviation

0.060.040.040.090.040.040.040.050.050.040.050.060.050.050.050.060.030.030.02Standard error

Page 12

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 12

Q.8 Please say how well or badly you think the coalition government is doing so far overall?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 13: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

The Labour Party

6030376373594326813423313410267119156191134391379770True48%80%25%44%87%20%51%56%50%50%45%41%50%49%55%64%52%50%51%

657422647561752581072331371249812116015477361373733Not true52%20%75%56%13%80%49%44%50%50%55%59%50%51%45%36%48%50%49%

The Conservative Party

3172189256916415684140958756719410365221256476True24%19%63%30%17%75%30%35%30%35%38%34%29%30%30%31%29%34%32%

9430511359346533701563251751391091702222421455314961027Not true76%81%37%70%83%25%70%65%70%65%62%66%71%70%70%69%71%66%68%

The Liberal Democrats

798784551046814368132967043668510767228210438True63%23%28%65%25%31%27%28%28%35%31%26%27%27%31%32%30%28%29%

46290218293121493831723341751551221742312391435245411065Not true37%77%72%35%75%69%73%72%72%65%69%74%73%73%69%68%70%72%71%

Page 13

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 13

Q.9 I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, pleasesay in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...?(a) Shares my valuesBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 14: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

The Labour Party

68268111373396527412226413411375116159193138404390794True55%71%37%45%81%30%52%51%57%49%50%45%48%51%56%66%54%52%53%

5710919147771522521182021371139112415615372348362709Not true45%29%63%55%19%70%48%49%43%51%50%55%52%49%44%34%46%48%47%

The Conservative Party

601321983315216220096209144977792125149108291358649True48%35%65%39%37%74%38%40%45%53%43%46%38%40%43%51%39%48%43%

66245104512635632614525712712989148190197102460394854Not true52%65%35%61%63%26%62%60%55%47%57%54%62%60%57%49%61%52%57%

The Liberal Democrats

6080104461008116166137817946579210072239206446True48%21%34%55%24%37%31%27%30%30%35%28%24%29%29%34%32%27%30%

65297199383151363651743281891461191842242461385125451057Not true52%79%66%45%76%63%69%73%70%70%65%72%76%71%71%66%68%73%70%

Page 14

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 14

Q.9 I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, pleasesay in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...?(b) Clear about what they stand forBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 15: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

The Labour Party

612576934310452461172131238365101145181123362337699True49%68%23%40%75%21%47%49%46%45%37%39%42%46%53%59%48%45%47%

641202335010617228012325314814210013917116487390414804Not true51%32%77%60%25%79%53%51%54%55%63%61%58%54%47%41%52%55%53%

The Conservative Party

7919124246204184268130270172121106131159201123387454840True63%51%80%55%49%84%51%54%58%64%53%64%54%50%58%59%51%60%56%

46186603821234258111195981056011015614587365298663Not true37%49%20%45%51%16%49%46%42%36%47%36%46%50%42%41%49%40%44%

The Liberal Democrats

68101117551259718179168997460819912389259268527True55%27%39%66%30%45%34%33%36%37%33%36%34%31%36%42%34%36%35%

5727618529291120345162298171152106159217222121493484976Not true45%73%61%34%70%55%66%67%64%63%67%64%66%69%64%58%66%64%65%

Page 15

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 15

Q.9 I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, pleasesay in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...?(c) Willing to take tough decisions for the long termBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 16: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

The Labour Party

522737330329482411232341289570100139187135365361726True42%72%24%36%79%22%46%51%50%47%42%42%42%44%54%64%49%48%48%

7310423054861702851172321431319614117615975387390777Not true58%28%76%64%21%78%54%49%50%53%58%58%58%56%46%36%51%52%52%

The Conservative Party

5212820934129180206104200134101768212116996280365645True42%34%69%41%31%83%39%43%43%50%45%46%34%38%49%46%37%49%43%

7324993502863732013626613612590158194176115472387858Not true58%66%31%59%69%17%61%57%57%50%55%54%66%62%51%54%63%51%57%

The Liberal Democrats

57838649907415166121766239487811472211202414True45%22%28%59%22%34%29%27%26%28%27%24%20%25%33%34%28%27%28%

69294216353261443751753451941641261922372321385405491089Not true55%78%72%41%78%66%71%73%74%72%73%76%80%75%67%66%72%73%72%

Page 16

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 16

Q.9 I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, pleasesay in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...?(d) Competent and capableBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 17: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

The Labour Party

53248742730645231117195116836085135185111334325659True42%66%24%32%74%21%44%49%42%43%37%36%35%43%54%53%44%43%44%

721292285710917329512327115514310515618016099417427844Not true58%34%76%68%26%79%56%51%58%57%63%64%65%57%46%47%56%57%56%

The Conservative Party

4497163238614116483143957656738012673225260484True35%26%54%28%21%65%31%34%31%35%34%34%30%25%37%35%30%35%32%

8128013961330763621583231761491091682362191385274921019Not true65%74%46%72%79%35%69%66%69%65%66%66%70%75%63%65%70%65%68%

The Liberal Democrats

3664914170811376011166614049669662186188373True29%17%30%49%17%37%26%25%24%24%27%24%20%21%28%29%25%25%25%

89313211433461373891803552051651261912502501485665641130Not true71%83%70%51%83%63%74%75%76%76%73%76%80%79%72%71%75%75%75%

Page 17

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 17

Q.9 I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, pleasesay in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...?(e) Will do what they sayBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 18: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

The Labour Party

71326126423778431314729216812786141177238151463457920True57%87%42%51%91%39%59%61%63%62%56%52%59%56%69%72%62%61%61%

545117642391332139317410399799913910759289294583Not true43%13%58%49%9%61%41%39%37%38%44%48%41%44%31%28%38%39%39%

The Conservative Party

2263145186312612367134786843526910762167234401True17%17%48%21%15%58%23%28%29%29%30%26%22%22%31%29%22%31%27%

10331415766353924041743321921581221882472381495845181102Not true83%83%52%79%85%42%77%72%71%71%70%74%78%78%69%71%78%69%73%

The Liberal Democrats

68124127611421041888317912189627911113399279293572True55%33%42%73%34%48%36%35%38%45%39%37%33%35%38%47%37%39%38%

5725317523274114338157287150137104162205213112473459931Not true45%67%58%27%66%52%64%65%62%55%61%63%67%65%62%53%63%61%62%

Page 18

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 18

Q.9 I am going to read out some words and phrases that have been used about the political parties. Regardless of which party you would vote for, pleasesay in each case whether you think the word or phrase is true or is not true of...?(f) On the side of ordinary peopleBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 19: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

511757825192522029116910182639812011783260304563The government's41%46%26%30%46%24%38%38%36%37%36%38%41%38%34%40%35%40%37%spending cuts and tax

rises are hurting theeconomy. It should cuttaxes, and/or cutspending less fast,even if that means wego on borrowing morefor longer, becausegiven how much wealready owe, borrowingan extra few billionpounds cannot do muchmore harm

7420222459224166324149297170144102142196228127492448940Borrowing more at a59%54%74%70%54%76%62%62%64%63%64%62%59%62%66%60%65%60%63%time when we already

owe so much money willsimply make mattersworse, as the countrywill have to pay evenmore money back in thelonger term - we haveto bring the debt andthe deficit undercontrol even if it hassome painful effectsfor the economy in theshort term

Page 19

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 19

Q.10 Here are two arguments that have been made about the amount the UK government borrows and how quickly this should be reduced through spendingcuts and tax rises. Please say which of them is closer to your own view?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 20: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

43111155351291341629516811482589010812872225315539Although things are35%30%51%42%31%62%31%40%36%42%37%35%37%34%37%34%30%42%36%difficult now, the

right decisions arebeing made and thingswill improvesignificantly over thenext three or fouryears

822661474928684364145298157143107150208217138527437964In three or four years'65%70%49%58%69%38%69%60%64%58%63%65%63%66%63%66%70%58%64%time, the economy will

be no better, or evenworse than it is now

Page 20

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 20

Q.11 Thinking about Britain's economy, which of the following comes closest to your view?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 21: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

57117225531091822391112201411147711214516795338372710Cameron, Clegg &45%31%75%63%26%84%45%46%47%52%51%46%47%46%48%45%45%50%47%Osborne

50202481928224203871548875647110612888258274532Miliband & Balls40%54%16%22%68%11%39%36%33%33%33%39%30%34%37%42%34%36%35%

1326176139532546302416403726108470155Neither of these11%7%6%7%3%4%10%11%10%11%11%10%17%12%8%5%11%9%10%

53112712232174612129172724177135106Don't know4%8%4%8%3%1%6%7%10%4%5%5%7%9%7%8%9%5%7%

Page 21

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 21

Q.12 With our economy facing challenges in the months ahead, who do you most trust to manage the economy in the best interests of Britain - DavidCameron, Nick Clegg and the Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, or Ed Miliband and the Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 22: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

5017311337195811809920010696769911212973284300584Yes40%46%37%45%47%37%34%41%43%39%42%46%41%35%37%35%38%40%39%

752041894722113634614226616513090142204216137467451919No60%54%63%55%53%63%66%59%57%61%58%54%59%65%63%65%62%60%61%

The Conservatives

4914713928154109195101171106102781059811773274300574Yes39%39%46%33%37%50%37%42%37%39%45%47%44%31%34%35%36%40%38%

762301635626110933113929516412388136217228137478451929No61%61%54%67%63%50%63%58%63%61%55%53%56%69%66%65%64%60%62%

The Liberal Democrats

48958132113631417013363715372758551209199408Yes38%25%27%38%27%29%27%29%29%23%32%32%30%24%25%24%28%26%27%

77282221523031543851703332071541131682402601595425531095No62%75%73%62%73%71%73%71%71%77%68%68%70%76%75%76%72%74%73%

Page 22

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 22

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(a) Delivered leaflets or newspapers to your doorBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 23: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

13753415101246854644419243045605294137231Yes10%20%11%18%24%11%13%23%14%16%8%15%13%14%17%25%12%18%15%

112302268693141944581864022262071412102712851586586141272No90%80%89%82%76%89%87%77%86%84%92%85%87%86%83%75%88%82%85%

The Conservatives

1645351263255534513517211633454366108175Yes12%12%12%14%15%11%10%14%11%13%7%13%6%11%13%20%9%14%12%

110332267723521934712074152352091442252823001676856431328No88%88%88%86%85%89%90%86%89%87%93%87%94%89%87%80%91%86%88%

The Liberal Democrats

935258461745284123915173042255582138Yes7%9%8%9%11%8%9%12%9%9%4%9%7%9%12%12%7%11%9%

116342277763692014812124252472171512232863041856966691365No93%91%92%91%89%92%91%88%91%91%96%91%93%91%88%88%93%89%91%

Page 23

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 23

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(b) Put up posters or billboards in your areaBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 24: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

1779354922766468330322240406130103123226Yes14%21%12%5%22%13%13%19%18%11%14%13%17%13%18%14%14%16%15%

108298267803241904601943832401941442002752841806496291277No86%79%88%95%78%87%87%81%82%89%86%87%83%87%82%86%86%84%85%

The Conservatives

629313412043263024208212630185765122Yes5%8%10%3%10%9%8%11%6%9%9%5%9%8%9%8%8%9%8%

119348271813741974832154362472061572202893161936946861381No95%92%90%97%90%91%92%89%94%91%91%95%91%92%91%92%92%91%92%

The Liberal Democrats

815165141321202091189131811323970Yes6%4%5%5%3%6%4%9%4%3%5%5%4%4%5%5%4%5%5%

117362286794022055052204462622151572313033282007207131433No94%96%95%95%97%94%96%91%96%97%95%95%96%96%95%95%96%95%95%

Page 24

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 24

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(c) Knocked on your doorBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 25: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

1676311586198240563528223146503687126213Yes12%20%10%18%21%9%16%17%12%13%12%14%13%14%15%17%12%17%14%

110301271693291984442014102351981432102702951746646251290No88%80%90%82%79%91%84%83%88%87%88%86%87%86%85%83%88%83%86%

The Conservatives

125059951437734603842263329443590119209Yes10%13%20%10%12%20%15%14%13%14%19%16%14%9%13%16%12%16%14%

113327243753651744492074062331841402072873011766616331294No90%87%80%90%88%80%85%86%87%86%81%84%86%91%87%84%88%84%86%

The Liberal Democrats

172517142513382036192116172226115558113Yes14%7%6%17%6%6%7%8%8%7%9%9%7%7%8%5%7%8%8%

108352285703902044882204302522051502242933191996966941390No86%93%94%83%94%94%93%92%92%93%91%91%93%93%92%95%93%92%92%

Page 25

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 25

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(d) Written a personally addressed letter to youBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 26: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

221094918126311106110255443754579344152177329Yes17%29%16%21%30%14%21%26%22%20%20%22%22%18%27%21%20%24%22%

103268253662901874161793642161821291872592521666005751174No83%71%84%79%70%86%79%74%78%80%80%78%78%82%73%79%80%76%78%

The Conservatives

2164529794288456840392743376034100140240Yes17%17%17%11%19%19%17%19%15%15%17%17%18%12%17%16%13%19%16%

104313250753371754391963982311871381982782861776526111263No83%83%83%89%81%81%83%81%85%85%83%83%82%88%83%84%87%81%84%

The Liberal Democrats

204628106021513667272723283049238694180Yes16%12%9%12%15%9%10%15%14%10%12%14%12%10%14%11%11%13%12%

105331275743551974752053992441981432122862971876656571323No84%88%91%88%85%91%90%85%86%90%88%86%88%90%86%89%89%87%88%

Page 26

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 26

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(e) Set up stalls or handed out leaflets in your areaBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 27: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

8573056614602134213621191430176176137Yes7%15%10%6%16%7%11%9%7%8%16%13%8%5%9%8%8%10%9%

117320272793502034662194322491901442223013161936916751366No93%85%90%94%84%93%89%91%93%92%84%87%92%95%91%92%92%90%91%

The Conservatives

315178221228102191014941912224668Yes3%4%6%10%5%6%5%4%4%3%4%9%4%1%5%6%3%6%5%

122362285763942054982304452622161512323113271987297061435No97%96%94%90%95%94%95%96%96%97%96%91%96%99%95%94%97%94%95%

The Liberal Democrats

212661251771046763115102838Yes2%3%2%7%3%2%3%3%2%1%3%4%2%1%3%3%1%4%3%

123365296784042135092334562672201582353133352057427231465No98%97%98%93%97%98%97%97%98%99%97%96%98%99%97%97%99%96%97%

Page 27

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 27

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(f) Phoned youBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 28: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

Labour

5184326317611873561011132942Yes4%5%1%3%6%1%3%2%2%3%3%2%2%2%3%5%2%4%3%

120359298813902145092354552622181632353103352007397221461No96%95%99%97%94%99%97%98%98%97%97%98%98%98%97%95%98%96%97%

The Conservatives

171247101076553449381928Yes1%2%4%5%2%4%2%3%1%2%2%2%2%1%3%1%1%3%2%

124370290804082085162334602662211622373123372077437321475No99%98%96%95%98%96%98%97%99%98%98%98%98%99%97%99%99%97%98%

The Liberal Democrats

5534551142212156551519Yes4%1%1%5%1%2%2%2%1%1%*1%*2%2%2%1%2%1%

121372299804112135152374632692251632403113392067477371484No96%99%99%95%99%98%98%98%99%99%100%99%100%98%98%98%99%98%99%

Page 28

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 28

Q.13 I would like to ask whether you have heard from any of the parties in your local area. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservativesand the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following...?(g) Sent you an emailBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 29: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

93312205543551373541723361971601151842292381325175411057Labour74%83%68%64%86%63%67%71%72%73%71%69%76%72%69%63%69%72%70%

16488284771111448751443636636251151141292The Conservatives13%13%27%9%11%33%21%18%19%19%19%22%15%20%18%24%20%19%19%

13118221284413281110412193219593997The Liberal Democrats11%3%3%26%3%4%8%5%6%4%5%2%5%6%9%9%8%5%6%

26712217121612121195128263157Another party2%2%2%1%*1%3%5%3%4%5%7%4%2%4%4%3%4%4%

Page 29

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 29

Q.14 Regardless of which Party you might vote for, which Party do you think is most likely to win the by election in Feltham & Heston?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 30: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

367221624951711868717311288687611212490260298558Boris Johnson, the29%19%71%28%23%78%35%36%37%42%39%41%32%36%36%43%35%40%37%Conservative candidate

44230432226428200911689388588411812778268284552Ken Livingstone, the35%61%14%26%63%13%38%38%36%34%39%35%35%37%37%37%36%38%37%Labour candidate

19158251463313331015129171818484189Brian Paddick, the16%4%2%30%3%3%6%5%7%4%7%7%4%5%5%8%6%5%6%Liberal Democrat

candidate

5654363481911761622164422971Will not vote4%2%2%4%1%3%6%3%4%4%3%4%7%7%5%2%6%4%5%

14513-42822382-112416The UK Independence*1%2%1%1%-1%1%2%1%1%2%3%1%-*2%1%1%Party (UKIP)

--**--32812-444-11314The British National--*1%--1%1%2%*1%-2%1%1%-1%*1%Party (BNP)

-21*2-322131311-639Some other party-****-1%1%**1%*1%**-1%*1%

11-11-31621-524-5711The Green Party1%*-1%*-1%*1%1%*-2%1%1%-1%1%1%

19472473476036503821183638512010183184Don't know15%12%8%8%8%3%11%15%11%14%9%11%15%12%15%9%13%11%12%

Page 30

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 30

Q.15 Next May there will be a Mayoral election in London. Who do you think you will vote for to be Mayor of London?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 31: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

891642175816916532614427814418413416318214783487406893White71%43%72%70%41%76%62%60%60%53%82%81%68%58%43%39%65%54%59%

11055173137177423101215232245Mixed1%3%2%6%4%1%3%3%4%2%2%1%1%3%3%7%3%3%3%

28169701518638139781401042526619915199195266461NET: Asian23%45%23%17%45%18%27%32%30%39%11%16%25%32%44%47%26%35%31%

1610659912627715099771820415810456120177297Indian13%28%20%10%30%12%14%21%21%28%8%12%17%18%30%27%16%24%20%

6312327325161910339202016353671Pakistani4%8%1%4%7%1%5%7%4%4%1%2%4%6%6%7%5%5%5%

-51-526133--13638513Bangladeshi-1%*-1%1%1%1%1%1%--*1%2%1%1%1%1%

7288328637101914449182024324880Other Asian background5%7%3%4%7%3%7%4%4%5%2%2%4%6%6%12%4%6%5%

5212228329718651816219312860NET: Black4%5%1%3%7%2%5%3%4%2%2%1%3%5%6%4%4%4%4%

24--6161222*23217411Black Caribbean1%1%--2%*1%1%*1%1%*1%1%1%1%1%1%1%

2132119315512421510117172037Black African1%3%1%1%5%1%3%2%3%1%1%1%2%3%3%3%2%3%2%

13-13-8-3*---3817511Other Black background1%1%-1%1%-2%-1%*---1%2%1%1%1%1%

*43*526-2241*122549Chinese*1%1%*1%1%1%-*1%2%1%***1%1%1%1%

29531051341174269132112436Other2%2%2%4%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%3%4%1%2%3%2%

Page 31

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 31

To which of these ethnic groups do you consider you belong?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 32: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

14221682512---8881213182612385088A11%6%5%9%6%5%---33%3%7%5%6%7%6%5%7%6%

235046125232---1821318294557208399182B19%13%15%14%13%15%---67%6%11%12%14%16%10%11%13%12%

38110822112457--466-43488210111082239227466C130%29%27%25%30%26%--100%-19%29%34%32%32%39%32%30%31%

13614896830-240--142250525449109132240C210%16%16%11%16%14%-100%--6%13%21%16%16%23%14%18%16%

175846196143239---182747615827125113239D14%15%15%22%15%20%45%---8%17%20%19%17%13%17%15%16%

207665168643287---1293919384121156131287E16%20%22%19%21%20%55%---57%23%8%12%12%10%21%17%19%

Page 32

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 32

SEGBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 33: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

1533178721847498232-----2108212821018 to 2412%9%6%10%17%8%9%20%18%12%-----100%11%17%14%

298274179737995411082----346-16418234625-3423%22%25%20%23%17%19%22%24%30%----100%-22%24%23%

3481472683441005210164---316--17014631635-4427%21%16%30%20%20%19%21%22%23%---100%--23%19%21%

18705010653266508242--241---1439724145-5415%19%17%12%16%15%13%21%18%16%--100%---19%13%16%

14454210413466224829-165----848216555-6411%12%14%12%10%16%13%9%10%11%-100%----11%11%11%

156672135852148144321226-----10911722665 or older12%18%24%15%14%24%28%6%9%8%100%-----15%16%15%

Page 33

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 33

Into which of the following age groups do you fall?Base: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 34: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

69168162452081192451322271491178297146182128-751751Male56%45%54%53%50%55%47%55%49%55%52%49%40%46%53%61%-100%50%

5620914039208982811092391221098414317016482752-752Female44%55%46%47%50%45%53%45%51%45%48%51%60%54%47%39%100%-50%

Page 34

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 34

GenderBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft

Page 35: Feltham and Heston Poll

2010 VoteVoting IntentionSEGAgeGenderLibDemLabConLibDemLabConDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal

150398351904212474792482994773542372732652351397847191503Unweighted base

125377302844152175262404662712261652413163462107527511503Weighted base

172833124821662463212730223737218886174Bedfont14%8%11%14%12%10%13%10%13%8%12%18%9%12%11%10%12%11%12%

1036224351945122921171182227204858106Cranford8%10%7%4%9%9%8%5%6%8%8%7%3%7%8%10%6%8%7%

103344133040572764312816343546209881179Feltham North8%9%15%15%7%19%11%11%14%11%13%10%14%11%13%10%13%11%12%

13394084323583741372116384337179380172Feltham West10%10%13%9%10%11%11%16%9%14%9%10%16%14%11%8%12%11%11%

273135183726592350282618314422198179160Hanworth21%8%11%21%9%12%11%9%11%10%11%11%13%14%7%9%11%11%11%

11323793624413162263022252738188674160Hanworth Park8%9%12%11%9%11%8%13%13%10%13%13%10%9%11%8%11%10%11%

93519442946162628179123024245660116Heston Central8%9%6%5%10%4%9%7%6%10%8%6%5%9%7%12%7%8%8%

8582575316452758271318252741317978156Heston East6%16%8%8%13%7%9%11%12%10%6%11%10%9%12%15%10%10%10%

10372434418552228291814272535166075135Heston West8%10%8%3%10%8%11%9%6%11%8%8%11%8%10%7%8%10%9%

12482384720552245232812182537256382145Hounslow West10%13%7%9%11%9%10%9%10%9%12%7%8%8%11%12%8%11%10%

Page 35

Feltham & Heston PollFieldwork : December 1st-6th 2011

Absolutes/col percents

Table 35

WardBase: All respondents

Lord Ashcroft