fermilab and the epp2010 fermilab and the epp2010 users meeting 6/1/06 pier oddone
DESCRIPTION
3 How do we line up? At the energy Frontier Tevatron: essential to show success now – it is how the field gets measured – not really addressed by EPP2010 LHC: unprecedented opportunity and expected revolution! Will have to be successful before we can ask for the ILC ILC: our main goal - the machine will be needed soon to explore the terascale While ILC is the first priority for a new facility wherever it is built, we want to host the machine at FNALTRANSCRIPT
Fermilab and the EPP2010Fermilab and the EPP2010
Users Meeting 6/1/06
Pier Oddone
22
The reportThe report
Above all: enormously supportive of the science of particle physics
Clearly enunciated principles, with the central role of Fermilab elevated to a principle!
Clearly stated set of scientific priorities: The energy frontier: LHC and ILC The connection between particle physics and astrophysics The understanding of the neutrino sector The understanding of the quark flavor sector
Overwhelming support to host the ILC in the US
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How do we line up?How do we line up?
At the energy Frontier
Tevatron: essential to show success now – it is how the field gets measured – not really addressed by EPP2010
LHC: unprecedented opportunity and expected revolution! Will have to be successful before we can ask for the ILC
ILC: our main goal - the machine will be needed soon to explore the terascale
While ILC is the first priority for a new facility wherever it is built, we want to host the machine at FNAL
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Tevatron PerformanceTevatron Performance
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BBss Flavor Oscillation Flavor OscillationWorld average ms > 14.4 ps-1 (Summer 2005)
CDF (1 fb-1) April 2006
ms = 17.33 +0.42-0.21 ± 0.07 ps-1
DØ (1 fb-1) March 2006
17 < ms < 21 ps-1 at 90% CL
hep-ex/0603029
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Other Results since September 2005Other Results since September 2005
DØ Preliminary: 1 fb-1
Many of these are world’s best or first measurements!
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Making LHC successfulMaking LHC successful
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LHC: delivering on the promiseLHC: delivering on the promise
Huge increase in physics reach: 7 times the energy, 100 times the luminosity of the Tevatron
With increase in energy and luminosity come special challenges (e.g., 300 Megajoules of stored energy in the beam!)
Fermilab: principal US support for the commissioning – have operated the only hadron collider in the last decade
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CMS: Compact Muon DetectorCMS: Compact Muon DetectorComing together: aimed at completion by end of 2007
Muon detectors Magnet cold mass
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US CMS: and Fermilab’s roleUS CMS: and Fermilab’s role
Only major US lab associated with CMS: a central support role for the US community in construction, commissioning and physics
Attention now to huge data and physics discovery challenge: the LHC Physics Center (LPC)
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Remote operation centerRemote operation center In support of
accelerator operations and CMS operations, we are creating remote operation center. Shared for CMS and accelerator
Aim: as good as being there for US institutions!
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ILC StrategyILC Strategy Deliver on the present program: more than $3B in the next four years (a must).
Make the LHC a success (a must).
Make early decision with the agency that ILC path will be supported (RDR).
Be ready by the end of the decade with site specific
design/cost/international arrangements, completed component R&D, industrialization plans.
CoveredAbove
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Third element: Support for RDRThird element: Support for RDR
Secretary Bodman: How much …….?
The RDR is now key element: it determines whether DOE leadership states intent to bid-to-host and makes necessary investment.
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Fermilab’s Role in the RDRFermilab’s Role in the RDR
GDE goal = complete the Reference Design Report (RDR) and a cost estimate by the end 2006 established RDR organization
Design & Cost Board (coordinates machine design) Responsible for producing the RDR and the cost estimate 9 members ( 3/region) + Chairman P Garbincius ( FNAL) = chair, R. Kephart (FNAL) member
Change Control Board (ILC baseline configuration control) 9 member board (3/region), N Toge = Chairman S. Mishra (FNAL) is one of 3 U.S. Members
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Fermilab’s Role in the RDRFermilab’s Role in the RDR
ILC Machine “Area Leaders” (typically 3 Ldrs 1/region) Civil and Site: Vic Kuchler (FNAL) = Americas Ldr Main Linac Design: N. Solyak (FNAL) = 1 of 2 Americas Ldrs Cryomodule: H. Carter (FNAL) = Americas Ldr Cryogenics system: T. Peterson (FNAL) = Americas Ldr Magnet systems: J. Tompkins (FNAL) = Americas Ldr Communications: E. Clements (FNAL) = Americas Ldr
FNAL is playing a major role in the GDE & ILC machine design
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What do we want with the RDR?What do we want with the RDR? Cost will not be precise: no known time scale, no real
engineering design, no detailed site design; R&D not finished; no industrialization; done outside DOE costing rules ……
So what good is it?
Hopefully it allows the DOE to decide we really want to do this and to make the large investment necessary in the next few years to do real design and industrialization.
We hope it will allow DOE to initiate international discussions on process for a bid-to-host
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Fourth element: ready for decision by Fourth element: ready for decision by the end of the decadethe end of the decade
After the RDR, will need site specific designs
Agreement on a site? How many? 0,1,2,3…. All regions will contribute to generic elements of the design but individual regions to their site-specific designs
Decision at the end of the decade will be based on success of R&D, full site specific design, credible cost estimate.
No engineering test facility (2-3% of ILC) will be possible outside the project – if we want an early start of the ILC
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Getting ready for decisionGetting ready for decision Fermilab ILC R&D activities following GDE:
ILC Machine Design Development of SCRF technology & infrastructure Conventional Facility & Site Studies for a US ILC site Industrialization & Cost Reduction ILC Physics, Detector Design, and Detector R&D
Support activities of and build partnerships with laboratories and universities
Support GDE and transition to follow-on organization
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ILC Machine Design ILC Machine Design Fermilab has focused its R&D
efforts on the ILC Main Linacs. Broad collaboration.
Main Linac activities: Accelerator physics design Demonstrate feasibility of all
Main Linac technical components. RF Cavities
Engineering design of ML technical systems
Estimates of the ML cost & methods for cost reduction
U.S. Industrialization of high volume ML components
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Civil and Site DevelopmentCivil and Site Development"The U.S. Department of Energy has expressed its interest in the possibility of hosting a linear collider, at Fermilab, subject to the machine being affordable and scientifically validated by physics discoveries at the LHC.“
Our goal is to determine the best possible host site for a prospective ILC bid in northern Illinois
With the GDE we are developing the ILC Civil Design Tunnel Design Geological and environmental studies
Build up community support
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How do we line up ?How do we line up ?
Neutrino program: for us higher priority because we provide the accelerator facilities:
Present neutrino program: most powerful through 2010: MINOS, MiniBoone; SciBooNE; MINERVA
Near term program: proposed NOvA program, complementary to T2K; does this qualify as a “phased” approach and part of a coherent international effort as recommended by EPP2010? Can we get the support above the ILC R&D?
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Present Neutrino Program: MINOSPresent Neutrino Program: MINOS
Minos Far detector: 5.4 ktonMinos near detector: 1 kton
735 km
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Producing the neutrino beamProducing the neutrino beam
Moveable target relative to horn 1 – continuously variable neutrino spectrum
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Best-fit spectrumBest-fit spectrum
Measurement errors are 1 sigma, 1 d.o.f.
nbins
iiiiii eoooem
1
222 )/ln(2)(2)2sin,(
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Projected sensitivity of MINOSProjected sensitivity of MINOS
m2 = 0.003 eV2
disappearance e
•With increased statistics, we should be able to make a very precise measurement of m223 and
also search for sub-dominant e oscillations well-below the current exclusion limit
•In addition, by making a precise measurement of the CC spectrum, we should be able to test/rule out alternate models such as neutrino decay.
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Present Neutrino ProgramPresent Neutrino ProgramMiniBooNE
- 1 GeV neutrinos (Booster)
- 800 ton oil cerenkov
- Operating since 2003
- e appearance
- Results in a few months
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What next in neutrinos?What next in neutrinos?
Understanding the Neutrino matrix:
What is sin22
What is the Mass Hierarchy What is the CP violation parameter
Fermilab is in the best position to make vital contributions to answer these questions with complementary program to T2K facility in Japan
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Construction of NOConstruction of NOA A “Totally Active”
25 kT Dtector: 32 cells/extrusion12 extrusions/plane
132 m
15.7m
15.7m
32-planeblock
Admirer
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Proton Development PlanProton Development Plan
Run II era (“Proton Plan”; in process) 5.4x1013 ppp @ 120 GeV @ 2.2 sec
1.0x1013 to antiproton target; 4.4x1013 to NuMI target (380 kW)
Post Run II: Utilization of the Recycler for proton accumulation
5.4x1013 ppp @ 120 GeV @ 1.5 sec No antiproton target; 5.4x1013 to NuMI target (700 kW);
Post Run II: Utilization of the Accumulator for momentum stacking
7.2x1014 ppp @ 120 GeV @ 1.3 sec 7.2x1014 to NuMI target (1000 kW)
Goal: 1 MW beam power onto the neutrino production target, utilizing accelerator assets available after Run II.
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Neutrino ProgramNeutrino Program
2005 2010 2015
dete
ctor
sac
cele
rato
rs
Minos run
MiniBoone run
NOvA R&D and Construction NOvA run
Detector construction International Planning for Long Term Neutrino Program
Proton plan first stage0.2 MW moving to 0.4 MW
Proton plan 2nd stage(If no proton driver)
1 MW at 120 GeVDepending on investment
ILC RDR
ILC RDR ILC TDR Decision Construction
Test Facility/injector
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Neutrinos and EPP2010Neutrinos and EPP2010
Carry out a “phased neutrino program…. internationally” NOvA as first step?
Nothing to negotiate now other than giving up on the domestic program. Loss to world’s program.
Decision largely up to the US since the Japanese will not consider coming here to do the neutrino program in the initial phases
The elephant in the room is the ILC – EPP2010’s clear hope is that we can help the Japanese in exchange for their help on the ILC. This is a fine approach, but is the timing right?
The key question is for P5: is the complementary reach of NOvA a compelling physics program.
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P5 and neutrinosP5 and neutrinos
P5 has two scenarios: 1) out year scenarios given by DOE to Congress: FY07=+7%;
FY08=+1.5%; FY09=+3.0% and 10% increases per year for the next administration
2) 7% increases per year (approximately 3.5% real growth) In the first scenario: no room to do anything except
continue ILC R&D unless we shut down facilities almost immediately.
The second scenario is very tight but allows for initiatives to get started and supported to conclusion when we shut down facilities after FY08 and FY09.
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How do we line up?How do we line up?
Astrophysics-Particle Physics Connection key opportunities identified by EPP2010:
direct detection of dark matter CMB polarization towards physics of inflation properties of dark energy
We are attacking 2 of these three areas with modest, feasible, high impact facilities that do not affect significantly the rate of ILC development.
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Dark Matter: CDMS Dark Matter: CDMS
Measured background rejection: 99.995% for EM backgrounds using charge/heat 99.4% for ’s using pulse risetime as well Much better than expected in CDMS II proposal!
Detectors with excellent event-by-event background rejection
Tower of 6 ZIPs
Tower 14 Ge2 SiTower 22 Ge4 Si
gammas
betas
neutrons
neutronsbetas
gammas
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What next ? : 5 Tower operation is almost ready
30 detectors (5 towers x 6 detectors) – 4.75 kg of Ge, 1.1 kg of Si detectors – Run through 2006--2007 – Improve sensitivity further 10x
Now commisioningNow commisioning
Result today
CDMS II projected
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SuperCDMS and Accelerator reach
Result today
SuperCDMS-A: 25kg
CurrentAcc bound LHC ILC
LCC1
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Sloan Digital Sky SurveySloan Digital Sky Survey
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The Dark Energy Survey (DES)The Dark Energy Survey (DES) Proposal:
Perform a 5000 sq. deg. survey of the southern galactic cap
constrain the Dark Energy parameter w to ~ 5% with 4
complementary techniques begin to constrain dw/dz
New Equipment: Replace the PF cage on the CTIO
Blanco 4m telescope with a new 2.2 deg. FOV optical CCD camera
Time scale: Instrument Construction 2005-2009
Survey: 30% of the telescope time from 2009-
2013
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SNAP Instrument ConceptSNAP Instrument ConceptBaffled Sun Shade
Solar Array, ‘Sun Side’
3-mirror anastigmat2-meter Telescope
Spacecraft Bus
Solar Array, ‘Dark Side’
Instrument Radiator
Instrument Suite
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Strategic context: U.S. contributionStrategic context: U.S. contribution
2005
2015
2010
= secondary= leading Neutrino
FrontierFlavorfrontier
EnergyFrontier
Domestic accelerator program with new and redirected investment
X
First Priority
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Summary of Main IssuesSummary of Main Issues
Transition Tevatron LHC program: how to complete the Tevatron program successfully
Neutrino program: solve tritium issue, cost of NOvA and how (and if) it fits in the US roadmap
ILC: need to ramp up the effort – not possible with present out-year budget plans (HEP part of ACI?) until closure of facilities. Situation might be much better.
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Many reasons to be optimisticMany reasons to be optimistic
Extraordinary level of support for the field
Extraordinary level of support for an ambitious next stage: the ILC
The laboratory is aligned with EPP2010.
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Thank You!Thank You!
Thank you UEC and Sacha Kopp – great meeting!
Thanks to all the speakers: great talks!
Thank you! audience