fidelity’s high income division€¦ · recent market performance volatility in march has...

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All information as of 3/31/20 unless otherwise noted. © 2020 FMR LLC. All rights reserved. Scott Mensi Institutional Portfolio Manager Brian Drainville Institutional Portfolio Manager. High Income Division, Emerging Market Debt April 7, 2020 Fidelity’s High Income Division Market Update and Investment Opportunities

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Page 1: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

All information as of 3/31/20 unless otherwise noted.

© 2020 FMR LLC. All rights reserved.

Scott Mensi

Institutional Portfolio Manager

Brian Drainville

Institutional Portfolio Manager. High

Income Division, Emerging Market Debt

April 7, 2020

Fidelity’s High Income DivisionMarket Update and Investment Opportunities

Page 2: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

High Income Group Overview

Page 3: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Asset ManagementOver 40 years of experience serving institutional high-income clients worldwide

3

Source: Fidelity Investments. Fidelity assets under management are as of 12/31/19. High Income assets noted are as of 03/31/2020.

Data is unaudited. These figures reflect the resources of Fidelity Investments, a U.S. company, and its relevant affiliates.

Research professionals include research analysts and associates and reflect the combined resources of FIAM and Fidelity Investments.

Global investment professionals and high income investment professionals as of 12/31/19.

Fidelity assets include the combined resources of FIAM and Fidelity Investments.

History

Fidelity founded in 1946

Fidelity has been

managing

High Income since 1977

Global multi-asset class

solutions provider

People

Global Investment

Professionals:777

High-Income

Professionals:

Research:

Trading:

Special Situations:

Portfolio

Management:

60

34

7

1

18

Assets

Fidelity Assets Under

Management:$3.0T

High Income:

Leveraged Loans:

High Yield Debt:

High Yield Equities:

Emerging Markets:

Real Estate Debt:

$88B

$16B

$44B

$6B

$14B

$8B

Large asset base facilitates significant resources and improved market access.

Page 4: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Recent Market PerformanceVolatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes

4

Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year

U.S. Equities S&P 500 -12.35 -19.60 -6.98

Bonds BBgBarc U.S. Aggregate Bond -0.59 3.15 8.93

High Yield ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Constrained -11.77 -13.13 -7.46

Leveraged Loans S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan -12.37 -13.05 -9.13

Emerging Market Debt JPM EMBI Global -12.55 -11.76 -5.28

As of 3/31/20

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Not intended to represent the performance of any Fidelity fund.

Indexes are unmanaged. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.

Page 5: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Market Update

Page 6: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

High Yield Bond Market Update

6

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

YT

D 2

020

To

tal R

etu

rn

High Yield Bond Market Performance

Income Return Price Return Total Return

877

556

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

De

c-9

6

Jun-9

7

De

c-9

7

Jun-9

8

De

c-9

8

Jun-9

9

De

c-9

9

Jun-0

0

De

c-0

0

Jun-0

1

De

c-0

1

Jun-0

2

De

c-0

2

Jun-0

3

De

c-0

3

Jun-0

4

De

c-0

4

Jun-0

5

De

c-0

5

Jun-0

6

De

c-0

6

Jun-0

7

De

c-0

7

Jun-0

8

De

c-0

8

Jun-0

9

De

c-0

9

Jun-1

0

De

c-1

0

Jun-1

1

De

c-1

1

Jun-1

2

De

c-1

2

Jun-1

3

De

c-1

3

Jun-1

4

De

c-1

4

Jun-1

5

De

c-1

5

Jun-1

6

De

c-1

6

Jun-1

7

De

c-1

7

Jun-1

8

De

c-1

8

Jun-1

9

De

c-1

9

Op

tio

n A

dju

ste

d S

pre

ad

(b

ps) High Yield Bond Spreads

Option Adjusted Spread Average

Source: ICE Data Services as of 03/31/20

Income Return represents the portion of total return derived from the asset class’s income (coupon) and price return represents the portion of total return

from price (market value) fluctuations.

Option Adjusted Spread (OAS) is a measurement of the spread of a fixed-income security rate and the risk-free rate of return, which is adjusted to take

into account an embedded option. Typically, an analyst would use the Treasury securities yield for the risk-free rate. The spread is added to the fixed-

income security price to make the risk-free bond price the same as the bond.

Total return represented by ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Index through 2006 and ICE BofAML U.S. High Yield Constrained Index thereafter. It is not

possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Page 7: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Leveraged Loans Vs. High Yield BondsTwo Ways to Invest in Non-Investment Grade Debt

7

Leveraged Loans High Yield Bonds

Ranking Senior Secured Senior/Subordinated

SecurityMay Be Secured by Collateral

(e.g. assets or company stock)Unsecured

Coupon Floating Fixed

Call Protection None or Limited Typically 3 to 5 Years

Principal Covenants

Maintenance tests (if “covenant-heavy”

loans)—maintain predetermined

financial ratios

Incurrence tests—limits additional

leverage

or dividends

Page 8: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Leveraged Loan Market Update

L+910

L+465

L+0

L+200

L+400

L+600

L+800

L+1,000

L+1,200

L+1,400

L+1,600

L+1,800

L+2,000

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

20

20

Dis

co

un

ted

Sp

read

s(A

bo

ve L

IBO

R -

“L

+”)

Loan Market Spreads

Discounted Spread-All Loans Average

Source: S&P Capital IQ LCD as of 3/31/20.

Income Return represents the portion of total return derived from the asset class’s income (coupon) and price return represents the portion of total return

from price (market value) fluctuations.

Discounted spreads represents the amount over LIBOR (“L+“) that the loan pays as interest. Discounted spread calculation above assume a 4-year life

and includes any LIBOR floor benefit.

Total return represented by S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged. Past

performance is no guarantee of future results.8

-40%-30%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

30%40%

50%

60%

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

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20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

20

18

20

19

YT

D 2

020

To

tal R

etu

rn

Loan Market Performance

Income Return Price Return Total Return

Page 9: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Emerging-Market Debt MarketSovereign spread vs. credit quality

Source: JPMorgan as of 3/31/20

It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

9

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

Dec

-93

Dec

-94

Dec

-95

Dec

-96

Dec

-97

Dec

-98

Dec

-99

Dec

-00

Dec

-01

Dec

-02

Dec

-03

Dec

-04

Dec

-05

Dec

-06

Dec

-07

Dec

-08

Dec

-09

Dec

-10

Dec

-11

Dec

-12

Dec

-13

Dec

-14

Dec

-15

Dec

-16

Dec

-17

Dec

-18

Dec

-19

. EM

BIG

Ind

ex %

Inve

stmen

t Gra

de

EM

BIG

Yie

ld S

pre

ad

Ove

r U

S T

reasu

ry .

JP Morgan EMBI Global IndexJanuary 1, 1994 to March 31, 2020

Yield Spread EMBIG % I-Grade

0

200

400

600

800

Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20

Yie

ld S

pre

ad

Page 10: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

High Income Opportunities

Page 11: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Relative Value of High Yield and Equities

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

Se

p-8

6

Se

p-8

7

Se

p-8

8

Se

p-8

9

Se

p-9

0

Se

p-9

1

Se

p-9

2

Se

p-9

3

Se

p-9

4

Se

p-9

5

Se

p-9

6

Se

p-9

7

Se

p-9

8

Se

p-9

9

Se

p-0

0

Se

p-0

1

Se

p-0

2

Se

p-0

3

Se

p-0

4

Se

p-0

5

Se

p-0

6

Se

p-0

7

Se

p-0

8

Se

p-0

9

Se

p-1

0

Se

p-1

1

Se

p-1

2

Se

p-1

3

Se

p-1

4

Se

p-1

5

Se

p-1

6

Se

p-1

7

Se

p-1

8

Se

p-1

9

Yie

ld D

elta (

%)

Source: Bloomberg as of 03/31/20.

High Yield Bond yields represented by the yield to maturity through September 1986 and the yield to worst thereafter using the ICE BofAML High Yield Index

through 12/31/2006 and the ICE BofAML High Yield Constrained Index thereafter. Earnings Yield of the S&P 500 Index calculated as the inverse of the trailing 12

month P/E Ratio. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Average 4.42

Max: 13.57

11/08

HIGH YIELD BOND YIELD RELATIVE TO

EARNINGS YIELD OF S&P 500 INDEX

3.38

3/31/20

Min: -1.14

4/13

11

Page 12: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Index Prices and Spreads

YE

2018

YE

20192/29/20 3/31/2020

Avg

Bid

Avg

Bid

Avg

Bid

Libor

Spread

Spread

to 4Yr

Call

Avg

Bid

Libor

Spread

Spread to

4Yr Call

Performing Loans 94.16 96.79 95.43 345 472 82.59 345 910

Leveraged Loan 100 Index 93.27 98.38 95.90 296 390 87.43 297 660

BB Index 95.29 99.65 97.83 259 320 88.57 254 609

B Index 94.62 97.70 96.25 376 489 82.95 372 963

CCC Index 85.32 82.60 81.36 562 1,264 64.09 546 2,253

Source: S&P LCD, 3/31/2020

12

Page 13: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Emerging-Market Debt MarketReturns By Benchmark, Quality and Country as of March 31, 2020

Credit Quality (%) Weight 2019 Return YTD Return

Investment Grade 67.2 16.9 -6.3

Non-Investment Grade 32.8 10.8 -21.1

Top 10 Index Countries

by Weight (%)Weight 2019 Return YTD Return

Mexico 10.1 20.8 -18.3

China 9.4 9.6 2.0

Indonesia 9.1 18.5 -6.7

Saudi Arabia 6.3 15.5* -4.5

Turkey 5.9 14.5 -10.3

Russia 4.7 21.8 -3.3

United Arab Emirates 4.1 11.9* -4.8

Qatar 4.0 16.6* -3.3

Brazil 3.5 16.4 -4.1

Philippines 2.8 15.5 -3.0

Source: Fidelity Investments.

*Not in index full for year. Return represents market return calculated by JPMorgan outside of the EMBI Global.

For relative comparisons, index used is the JPMorgan EMBI Global Index.

Investment grade refers to debt securities with a credit rating of BBB or higher by S&P or Baa or higher by Moody’s; Non-investment grade refers to debt securities with a rating of BB

or lower by S&P or Ba or lower by Moody’s.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged. Not intended to represent the performance of any Fidelity fund.

13

Top 5/Bottom 5 Countries

by YTD ReturnYTD Return

Lithuania 2.3

Slovakia 2.1

China 2.0

Poland 1.9

Serbia -2.1

Sri Lanka -39.5

Zambia -40.2

Lebanon -61.5

Angola -62.6

Ecuador -67.0

Page 14: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Portfolio ManagersFor More Information, Visit Fidelity.com

14

Fidelity Floating Rate High Income Fund

Ticker: FFRHX

Portfolio

Managers:

Kevin Nielsen

Eric Mollenhauer

Fidelity New Markets Income Fund

Ticker: FNMIX

Portfolio

Managers:

Jonathan Kelly

Timothy Gill

Fidelity Capital & Income Fund

Ticker: FAGIX

Portfolio

Managers:

Mark Notkin

Brian Chang

Page 15: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Index DefinitionsTERM DEFINITION

Standard & Poor’s 500 Index

(S&P 500)

An index of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity and industry grouping, among other factors.

The S&P 500 is designed to be a leading indicator of U.S. equities and is meant to reflect the risk/return characteristics of the large cap universe.

Bloomberg Barclays U.S.

Aggregate Bond Index

The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is the most common index used to track the performance of investment grade bonds in the U.S.

The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is weighted according to market capitalization, which means the securities represented in the

index are weighted according to the market size of the bond category. Treasury securities, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) foreign bonds,

government agency bonds and corporate bonds are some of the categories included in the index.

Intercontinental Exchange Bank

of America Merrill Lynch U.S.

High Yield Constrained Index

(ICE® BofAML® U.S. HY

Constrained Index)

The Intercontinental Exchange Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Constrained Index is a modified market capitalization–weighted index of

US dollar-denominated below-investment-grade corporate debt publicly issued in the U.S. domestic market. Qualifying securities must have a below-

investment-grade rating (based on an average of Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch). The country of risk of qualifying issuers must be an FX-G10 member, a

Western European nation, or a territory of the U.S. or a Western European nation. The FX-G10 includes all Euro members, the U.S., Japan, the UK,

Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland, Norway, and Sweden. In addition, qualifying securities must have at least one year remaining to final

maturity, a fixed coupon schedule, and at least $100 million in outstanding face value. Defaulted securities are excluded. The index contains all

securities of the Intercontinental Exchange Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Index but caps issuer exposure at 2%.

Intercontinental Exchange Bank

of America Merrill Lynch U.S.

High Yield Index (ICE® BofAML®

U.S. HY Index)

The Intercontinental Exchange Bank of America Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Index is a modified market capitalization–weighted index of US dollar-

denominated below-investment-grade corporate debt publicly issued in the U.S. domestic market. Qualifying securities must have a below-investment-

grade rating (based on an average of Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch). The country of risk of qualifying issuers must be an FX-G10 member, a Western

European nation, or a territory of the U.S. or a Western European nation. The FX-G10 includes all Euro members, the U.S., Japan, the UK, Canada,

Australia, New Zealand, Switzerland, Norway, and Sweden. In addition, qualifying securities must have at least one year remaining to final maturity, a

fixed coupon schedule, and at least $100 million in outstanding face value. Defaulted securities are excluded.

S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan

Index

The index tracks the current outstanding balance and spread over LIBOR for fully funded term loans. The facilities included represent a broad cross

section of leveraged loans syndicated in the U.S., including dollar-denominated loans to overseas issuers.

S&P/LSTA Performing Loan

Index

The index tracks the current outstanding balance and spread over LIBOR for fully funded term loans. The facilities included represent a broad cross

section of performing leveraged loans syndicated in the U.S., including dollar-denominated loans to overseas issuers.

S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan 100

Index

The index is a market value-weighted index designed to measure the performance of the U.S. leveraged loan market. The index consists of 100 loan

facilities drawn from a larger benchmark - the S&P/LSTA (Loan Syndications and Trading Association) Leveraged Loan Index (LLI).

S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan BB

Index

The index tracks the current outstanding balance and spread over LIBOR for fully funded term loans. The index consists loan facilities rated BB by

S&P and is drawn from a larger benchmark - the S&P/LSTA (Loan Syndications and Trading Association) Leveraged Loan Index (LLI).

S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan B

Index

The index tracks the current outstanding balance and spread over LIBOR for fully funded term loans. The index consists loan facilities rated B by S&P

and is drawn from a larger benchmark - the S&P/LSTA (Loan Syndications and Trading Association) Leveraged Loan Index (LLI).

S&P/LSTA Leveraged Loan CCC

Index

The index tracks the current outstanding balance and spread over LIBOR for fully funded term loans. The index consists loan facilities rated CCC by

S&P and is drawn from a larger benchmark - the S&P/LSTA (Loan Syndications and Trading Association) Leveraged Loan Index (LLI).

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets

Bond Index Global

J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global tracks total returns for the U.S. dollar-denominated debt instruments issued by Emerging Market

sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities, such as Brady bonds, loans, and Eurobonds.

15

Page 16: Fidelity’s High Income Division€¦ · Recent Market Performance Volatility in March Has Impacted Most Asset Classes 4 Asset Class Index 1 Month YTD 1 Year U.S. Equities S&P 500

Important Information

In general, the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall,

and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation risk, liquidity

risk, call risk, and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a

maturity date, so holding them until maturity to avoid losses caused by price volatility is not possible.

Lower-quality fixed income securities involve greater risk of default or price changes due to potential changes in the credit quality of the

issuer. Floating rate loans may not be fully collateralized and therefore may decline significantly in value.

Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory,

market, or economic developments. Foreign securities are subject to interest rate, currency exchange rate, economic, and political risks,

all of which are magnified in emerging markets.

All indexes are unmanaged, and performance of the indexes includes reinvestment of dividends and interest income, unless otherwise

noted. Indexes are not illustrative of any particular investment, and it is not possible to invest directly in an index.

Third-party trademarks and service marks are the property of their respective owners. All other trademarks and service marks are the

property of FMR LLC or an affiliated company.

The Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation is offered by the CFA Institute. To obtain the CFA charter, candidates must pass three

exams demonstrating their competence, integrity, and extensive knowledge in accounting, ethical and professional standards, economics,

portfolio management, and security analysis, and must also have at least four years of qualifying work experience, among other

requirements. CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.

Before investing, consider the funds' investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Contact

Fidelity for a prospectus or, if available, a summary prospectus containing this information. Read it

carefully.

Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC, 900 Salem Street, Smithfield, RI 02917

923207.1.0

16