figure 1. px prices and total iso load (may 15 - august 31, 2000)

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Figure 1. PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 MW $/MWh

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800. 700. 600. 500. $/MWh. 400. 300. 200. 100. 0. 20000. 25000. 30000. 35000. 40000. 45000. MW. Figure 1. PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000). Figure 2. The Market Connected Demand Response in Steep Portion of Supply Curve Yields Lower Wholesale Prices. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Figure 1. PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000MW

$/M

Wh

Page 2: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Figure 2. The Market Connected Demand Response in Steep Portion of Supply Curve

Yields Lower Wholesale Prices$/MWh

GWh

Qnormal Qhot

Dhot

Dnormal

PhotRetail Price

Pnormal

>>

>

>>

>>

Qspike

BC

Lnormal

DA

E

>>

>

Pspike

Lhot

Page 3: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Figure 3. RTP Load Response -- Moderate and High Prices (30% to 60% load reductions for most flexible customers)

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24Hour

Nor

mal

ized

load

0

4

8

12

16

20

Log

arit

hm

of

P (

in $

/MW

h)

Load on highest price day

Highest prices

Page 4: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Figure 4. Characterizing Hourly Price Responsiveness -- Flexibility Parameters

• Ability to shift load within and between days

• E.g., % shift in load within a day in response to given % change in relative price

• Source of information--EPRI StatsBank

kW

h

Effect of Within-Day Flexibility Parameter -- One High-Price Hour

0

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400

600

800

1000

1200

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Hour

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

$/k

WhReference load

FP = .10

FP = .25

RTP Price

Page 5: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Table 1. Effect of Demand ResponseOne hour at $750/MWh

Low Medium High

Demand response (MW) 484 1,065 1,935(Percent of total ISO load) 1.2% 2.5% 4.6%

Price reduction ($/MWh) 80$ 160$ 256$ (Percent) 11% 24% 42%

Cost reduction ($million) 3.3$ 6.7$ 10.8$

Market share and demand responsiveness scenarios

Page 6: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Table 2. Total Effect of Demand Response May - August 2000 (Alternative Scenarios)

Low Medium HighAverage price reduction, summer peak ($/MWh) 12.1$ 24.5$ 40.2$ (Percent) 5.7% 11.6% 19.1%

Total cost reduction, high-price days ($million) 344$ 701$ 1,158$ (Percent) 4.7% 9.5% 15.7%

Page 7: Figure 1.  PX Prices and Total ISO Load (May 15 - August 31, 2000)

Figure 4. Sensitivity AnalysisTradeoff between Market Share and Price Responsiveness to achieve

given price reduction (from $750/MWh)

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3Average price elasticity

Mar

ket

sha

re o

f h

ou

rly

pri

cin

g

24% price drop 42% price drop