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    FM II FINANCIALANALYSISRatio Analysis

    References

    CFA Notes

    Financial Management I M Pandey

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    Financial statement analysis applies analytical toolsto financial statements & related data for makingbusiness decisions

    Horizontal analysis

    BASICS OFANALYSIS

    Vertical analysis

    Ratio analysis

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    Comparison of a companys financial position & performance across time

    Comparative statements - shows financial amounts in side by side

    columns on a single statement (comparative format)

    HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS

    ompar ng nanc a s a emen s over a re a ve y s or per o o me -

    years) is often done by analyzing change in line items

    A change analysis usually includes analyzing absolute dollar amount

    changes & percent changes. Both analyses are relevant because dollar

    changes can yield large percent changes inconsistent with their

    importance

    It is common when using horizontal analysis to compare amounts to either

    average or median values from prior periods (smooth out erratic or

    unusual fluctuations)

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    HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS

    Trend analysis

    A form of horizontal analysis that can reveal patterns in data acrosssuccessive periods

    It involves computing trend percents for a series of financial numbers &is a variation on the use of percent changes

    The difference is that trend analysis does not subtract the base periodamount in the numerator

    Graphical depictions often aid analysis of trend percents

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    A tool to evaluate individual financial statement items or a group of

    items in terms of a specific base amount

    You define a key aggregate figure as the base:

    Total revenue for the income statement amounts

    Total assets for balance sheet amounts

    VERTICAL ANALYSIS

    Common size statements

    Reveals changes in the relative importance of each financial

    statement item

    All individual amounts in common size statements are redefinedin terms of common size percents

    A common size percent is measured by dividing each individual

    financial statement amount under analysis by its base amount

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    Common size statements ExampleVERTICAL ANALYSIS

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    VERTICAL ANALYSIS

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    Ratios allow analysts to compare a various aspect of a company's financial

    statements against others in its industry, to determine a company's ability

    to pay dividends, and more

    The selected ratios are organized into the four building blocks of financialstatement analysis:

    RATIO ANALYSIS

    Liquidity ratios

    Activity ratios

    Leverage ratios

    Profitability ratios

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    LIQUIDITY RATIOS Liquidity ratios measure a firms ability to meet its current

    obligations

    Current Ratio - indicates the ability of a company to meet its

    current liabilities. A minimum ratio of 1:33 is recommended by theTandon Committee and the same is followed by commercial banks.

    Quick Ratio (QR) / Acid-Test Ratio - shows the actual liquidity

    position of the company since its deducts inventory which is not so

    easily convertible into cash and hence, not that liquid

    Cash Ratio considers only cash and marketable securities.

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    LIQUIDITY RATIOS

    Current assetsCurrent ratio =

    Current liabilities

    Current assets Inventories =

    Current liabilities

    Cash + Marketable securitiesCash ratio =

    Current liabilities

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    ACTIVITY RATIOS Activity ratios are employed to evaluate the efficiency with which the firm

    manages and utilizes its assets.

    These ratios are also called turnover ratios because they indicate the speed

    with which assets are being converted or turned over into sales. Activity

    ratios measure the quality of a business' receivables and how efficiently ituses and controls its assets

    Inventory Turnover Ratio - shows how many times inventory has turned

    over to achieve the sales. A higher ratio shows the efficiency in inventory

    management. However, it could also indicate over trading.

    Debtors Turnover Ratio - indicates the number of times the debtors are

    converted into cash in a year. It measures the efficiency of debtors or credit

    management.

    Creditors Turnover Ratio - indicates the number of times the creditors are

    turned over in a year. It measures the extent of credit allowed by the

    suppliers. A low ratio indicates that a generous credit period is allowed by

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    ACTIVITY RATIOS

    =( )

    =

    =

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    ACTIVITY RATIOS Fixed asset turnover ratio - quantifies how efficiently a firm employs its

    fixed assets. Predictably, this financial ratio is most useful when a firm has a

    lot of fixed assets: real estate, equipment, and so forth

    Total assets turnover ratio - measures how efficiently you're employing

    your assets. It indicates the sales generated per rupee of investment in total

    .

    Working Capital Turnover Ratio - indicates the number of times the

    working capital is converted to sales. It measures the efficiency of working

    capital management

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    ACTIVITY RATIOS

    =

    =

    =

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    LEVERAGE RATIOS Leverage ratios measure a companys ability to meet its obligations and how

    much of the companys assets are financed with debt. They reveal the equity

    cushion that is available to absorb any losses that may occur.

    Debt to Equity (D/E) Ratio - measure the long term solvency of the firm. A

    high ratio indicates a high financial leverage and low margin of safety.

    Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) - shows the firms capacity to repay

    its debt along with interest. Financial institutions look for 1.3 - 2.0

    Interest Coverage Ratio - shows the firms capacity to pay interest on its

    debt obligations. Graham suggest this to be around 4 for equity investors.

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    LEVERAGE RATIOS

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    PROFITABILITY RATIOS Profitability ratios measure the operating efficiency of the company

    Generally two major types of profitability ratios are calculated

    Profitability in relation to sales

    Profitability in relation to investments

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    PROFITABILITY RATIOS Profitability in relation to sales

    =

    =

    =

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    PROFITABILITY RATIOS Profitability in relation to investments

    ( ) =

    ( )=

    ( ) =

    Capital Employed = Total Debt + Networth

    Capital Employed = Total Assets Interest free liabilities

    Capital Employed = Net Fixed Assets + Investments + Net current

    Assets

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    PROFITABILITY RATIOSAdjustment to CE

    CWIP Deduct CWIP to get true capital employed in the business

    Intangible assets except goodwill Should be part of CE

    Goodwill depends upon the components of goodwill

    Adjustment for ROE

    ( ) = (1 )

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    GROWTH RATIOS

    Historical growth ratios are required for projections and determining

    future growth of the company

    Sales CAGR analysts typically go for 5-yrs CAGR for sales

    Cal. CAGR for Nestle with sales being 7,200 crs, 6,300 crs and 5,200 crs

    for CY11, CY10 and CY09

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    Sustainable Growth Rate

    G = RR * ROE

    RR = retention rate = 1 - (dividend declared / net income)

    ROE = return on equity = net income / total equity

    GROWTH POTENTIAL

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    Segment analysis requires conducting ratio analysis on any operating segment that

    accounts for more than 10% of a companys revenues or total assets, or that is easily

    distinguishable from the other company business in terms of products provided or

    the risk/return profile of the segment. Lines of business are often broken down into

    geographical segments, when the size or type of business differentiates them from

    other business lines.

    SEGMENT ANALYSIS

    nce many segmen s ave eren r s pro es, ey s ou e ana yze an

    valued separately from other parts of the business. Conducting ratio analysis,

    specifically profit margins, return on assets and other profitability measures can give

    analysts insight into how the segment affects overall financial performance.

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    A system of analysis has been developed that focuses the attention on all three

    critical elements of the financial condition of a company: the operating

    management, management of assets and the capital structure. This analysis

    technique is called the "DuPont Formula". The DuPont Formula shows the

    interrelationship between key financial ratios

    Return on equity (ROE) = net income / total equity

    DUPONT ANALYSIS

    ROE = (net income / sales) * (sales / assets) * (assets / equity)

    ROE = net profit margin * asset turnover * equity multiplier

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    USES & LIMITATIONS OF FINANCIAL RATIOS

    Benchmarking Financial RatiosFinancial ratios are not very useful on a stand-alone basis; they must be

    benchmarked against something. Analysts compare ratios against the

    following

    The Industry norm

    Aggregate economy - It is sometimes important to analyze a company's ratio over

    a full economic cycle. This will help the analyst understand and estimate a

    company's performance in changing economic conditions, such as a recession The com an 's ast erformance

    Limitations of Financial Ratios

    Many large firms operate different divisions in different industries. For these companies

    it is difficult to find a meaningful set of industry-average ratios.

    Inflation may have badly distorted a company's balance sheet. In this case, profits will

    also be affected. Thus a ratio analysis of one company over time or a comparativeanalysis of companies of different ages must be interpreted with judgment.

    Seasonal factors can also distort ratio analysis. Understanding seasonal factors that

    affect a business can reduce the chance of misinterpretation

    Different accounting practices can distort comparisons even within the same company

    (leasing versus buying equipment, LIFO versus FIFO, etc.).

    It is difficult to generalize about whether a ratio is good or not. A high cash ratio in a

    historically classified growth company may be interpreted as a good sign, but could also

    be seen as a sign that the company is no longer a growth company and should command