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FINDING STABLE GROUPS OF CROSS-CORRELATED FEATURES IN MULTI-VIEW DATA By Miheer Dewaskar 1 , John Palowitch 4 , Mark He 1 , Michael I. Love 2,3 , and Andrew Nobel 1,2 1 Department of Statistics and Operations Research, UNC Chapel Hill. 2 Department of Biostatistics, UNC Chapel Hill. 3 Department of Genetics, UNC Chapel Hill. 4 Google Research. Multi-view data, in which data of different types are obtained from a common set of samples, is now common in many applied sci- entific problems. An important problem in the analysis of multi-view data is identifying interactions between groups of features from dif- ferent data types. A bimodule is a pair (A, B) of feature sets from two different data types such that the aggregate cross-correlation between the features in A and those in B is large. A bimodule (A, B) is stable if A coincides with the set of features having significant aggregate correlation with the features in B, and vice-versa. At the population level, stable bimodules correspond to connected components of the cross-correlation network, which is the bipartite graph whose edges are pairs of features with non-zero cross-correlations. We develop and investigate an iterative, testing-based procedure, called BSP, to identify stable bimodules in two moderate- to high- dimensional data sets. BSP relies on permutation-based p-values for test statistics equal to sums of squared cross-correlations. These p- values are approximated using tail probabilities of gamma distribu- tions that are fit using estimates of the permutation moments of the test statistic. Our moment estimates depend on the eigenvalues of the intra-correlation matrices of A and B, and as a result the sig- nificance of observed cross-correlations accounts for the correlations within each data type. We carry out a thorough simulation study to assess the perfor- mance of BSP, and present an extended application of BSP to the problem of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analysis using recent data from the GTEx project. In addition, we apply BSP to climatology data in order to identify regions in North America where annual temperature variation affects precipitation. The method is available as an R package at https://github.com/ miheerdew/cbce. 1. Introduction. With the ongoing development and application of moderate- to high- throughput measurement technologies in fields such as genomics, neuroscience, ecology, and atmospheric science, researchers are often faced with the task of analyzing and comparing two or more data sets derived from a common set of samples. In most cases, different tech- nologies measure different features, and capture different information about the samples at hand. While one may analyze the data arising from different technologies separately, addi- tional and potentially important insights can often be gained from the joint (or integrated) analysis of the data sets. Joint analysis, also called multi-view or multi-modal analysis, has MSC 2010 subject classifications: Primary 62-04, 62H20; secondary 62J15, 62P10 Keywords and phrases: Bipartite correlation networks, eQTL-analysis, Multi-modal, Multi-view, Bipartite clustering, Nash equilibrium, Permutation distribution 1 arXiv:2009.05079v1 [stat.ME] 10 Sep 2020

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  • FINDING STABLE GROUPS OF CROSS-CORRELATED FEATURESIN MULTI-VIEW DATA

    By Miheer Dewaskar 1, John Palowitch4, Mark He1, Michael I.Love2,3, and Andrew Nobel1,2

    1Department of Statistics and Operations Research, UNC Chapel Hill.2Department of Biostatistics, UNC Chapel Hill.

    3Department of Genetics, UNC Chapel Hill.4Google Research.

    Multi-view data, in which data of different types are obtainedfrom a common set of samples, is now common in many applied sci-entific problems. An important problem in the analysis of multi-viewdata is identifying interactions between groups of features from dif-ferent data types. A bimodule is a pair (A,B) of feature sets from twodifferent data types such that the aggregate cross-correlation betweenthe features in A and those in B is large. A bimodule (A,B) is stableif A coincides with the set of features having significant aggregatecorrelation with the features in B, and vice-versa. At the populationlevel, stable bimodules correspond to connected components of thecross-correlation network, which is the bipartite graph whose edgesare pairs of features with non-zero cross-correlations.

    We develop and investigate an iterative, testing-based procedure,called BSP, to identify stable bimodules in two moderate- to high-dimensional data sets. BSP relies on permutation-based p-values fortest statistics equal to sums of squared cross-correlations. These p-values are approximated using tail probabilities of gamma distribu-tions that are fit using estimates of the permutation moments of thetest statistic. Our moment estimates depend on the eigenvalues ofthe intra-correlation matrices of A and B, and as a result the sig-nificance of observed cross-correlations accounts for the correlationswithin each data type.

    We carry out a thorough simulation study to assess the perfor-mance of BSP, and present an extended application of BSP to theproblem of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analysis usingrecent data from the GTEx project. In addition, we apply BSP toclimatology data in order to identify regions in North America whereannual temperature variation affects precipitation.

    The method is available as an R package at https://github.com/miheerdew/cbce.

    1. Introduction. With the ongoing development and application of moderate- to high-throughput measurement technologies in fields such as genomics, neuroscience, ecology, andatmospheric science, researchers are often faced with the task of analyzing and comparingtwo or more data sets derived from a common set of samples. In most cases, different tech-nologies measure different features, and capture different information about the samples athand. While one may analyze the data arising from different technologies separately, addi-tional and potentially important insights can often be gained from the joint (or integrated)analysis of the data sets. Joint analysis, also called multi-view or multi-modal analysis, has

    MSC 2010 subject classifications: Primary 62-04, 62H20; secondary 62J15, 62P10Keywords and phrases: Bipartite correlation networks, eQTL-analysis, Multi-modal, Multi-view, Bipartite

    clustering, Nash equilibrium, Permutation distribution

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  • 2 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    received considerable attention in the literature, see Lahat, Adali and Jutten (2015); Menget al. (2016); Tini et al. (2019); Pucher, Zeleznik and Thallinger (2019); McCabe, Lin andLove (2019); Sankaran and Holmes (2019) and the references therein for more details.

    In what follows we will refer to the measurements arising from a particular technology asa data type, and will restrict our attention to problems in which two data types, referredto as Type 1 and Type 2, are under study. Our primary interest is in exploring associationsbetween the measured features of the two data types. In particular, we wish to identify pairs(A,B), where A is a set of features of Type 1 and B is a set of features of Type 2, such thatthe aggregate correlation between the features in A and those in B is large. Throughout weconsider the unsupervised setting, in which the analysis does not make use of an externalresponse. The problem of identifying sets of highly correlated features within a single datatype has been widely studied, typically through clustering and related methods. Borrowingfrom the use in genomics of the term “module” to refer to a set of correlated genes, werefer to the feature set pairs (A,B) of interest to us as bimodules. The term bimodule hasalso appeared, with somewhat different meaning, in Wu, Liu and Jiang (2009), Patel et al.(2010), and Pan et al. (2019).

    We will refer to the correlations between features from different data types as cross-correlations, and note that this usage differs from that in time-series analysis. Correla-tions among features of the same data type will be referred to as intra-correlations. Cross-correlations provide information about interactions between features from the two datatypes. These interactions are of interest in many applications, for example, in studying therelationship between the characteristics of species and those of their environment (see, e.g.,Dolédec and Chessel, 1994) in ecology, identifying brain regions associated with differentbehaviors (McIntosh et al., 1996) in neuroscience, and studying the relationship betweentemperature and precipitation in climate science (discussed in Section 6 below). A bimod-ule provides evidence for the coordinated activity of features from different data types.Coordination may arise, for example, from common function or functional relationships, orcausal interactions. Bimodules can identify potentially informative downstream analyses,or suggest the more targeted acquisition and analysis of new data. Importantly, bimodulescan capture aggregate behavior, which may be significant even when no individual pair offeatures has high cross-correlation. As such, the search for bimodules can effectively leveragelow-level signals across multiple features.

    1.1. Bimodule Search Procedure. In this paper we propose and analyze a method calledthe Bimodule Search Procedure (BSP) for identifying bimodules in moderate to high dimen-sional data sets. Importantly, BSP is not based on formulating or fitting a statistical model,or on detailed distributional assumptions. Instead, the method relies on general multipletesting principles.

    A key feature of BSP is that it seeks stable bimodules. A bimodule (A,B) is stable if Acoincides with the features that are significantly associated in aggregate with the featuresin B, and vice versa. We examine stable bimodules in the population and sample settings.In the population setting, stability has connections with Nash equilibria (Nash, 1950) in asimple two-player game, and with the connectivity of the bipartite graph representing thecross-correlations of the Type 1 and Type 2 variables. The latter connection with bipartitenetworks is pursued throughout the paper, and in particular, provides a principled way toextract an association network from a bimodule.

    BSP is based on an iterative testing framework that has found application in otherexploratory problems, see Palowitch, Bhamidi and Nobel (2016); Bodwin et al. (2017, 2018).

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 3

    In the present setting, we employ fast, moment-based approximations to permutation p-values for sums of squared correlations. We emphasize that these p-values explicitly accountfor the intra-correlations of the features in A and B, attenuating significance when theseintra-correlations are high..

    1.2. Expression Quantitative Trait Loci Analysis. Much of the existing work on bimod-ule discovery is focused on the integrated analysis of genomic data. To motivate and providecontext for this work, and the methods introduced here, we briefly discuss the problem ofexpression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analysis in genomics. An application of BSP toeQTL analysis is given in Section 5.

    Genetic variation within a population is commonly studied by considering single nu-cleotide polymorphisms, called SNPs. A SNP is a single base pair site in the genome wherethere is allelic variation in the population. The dosage of the SNP for an individual in termsof one of the alleles can be considered taking values 0, 1, or 2, which we will refer to as the“value” at the SNP. After normalization and covariate correction, the value of a SNP mayno longer be discrete.

    eQTL analysis seeks to identify SNPs that affect the expression of one or more genes; aSNP-gene pair for which the expression of the gene is correlated with the value of the SNPis referred to as an eQTL. Identification of eQTLs is an important first step in the studyof genomic pathways and networks that underlie disease and development in human andother populations (see Nica and Dermitzakis, 2013; Albert and Kruglyak, 2015).

    In modern eQTL studies it is common to have measurements of 10-20 thousand genesand 2-5 million SNPs on hundreds (or in some cases thousands) of samples. Identificationof putative eQTLs or genomic “hot spots” is carried out by evaluating the correlation ofnumerous SNP-gene pairs, and identifying those meeting an appropriate multiple testingbased threshold. In studies with larger sample sizes it may be feasible to carry out trans-eQTL analyses, which consider all SNP-gene pairs regardless of genomic location. However,it is more common to carry out cis-eQTL analyses, in which one restricts attention toSNP-gene pairs for which the SNP is within some fixed genomic distance (often 1 millionbase pairs) of the gene’s transcription start site, and in particular, on the same chromosome(c.f. Westra and Franke, 2014; GTEx Consortium, 2017). We use the prefixes cis- andtrans- to refer to the type of eQTL analysis, while using adjectives local and distal todenote the proximity of the discovered SNP-gene pairs. In particular, although cis-eQTLanalysis focuses of finding local eQTLs, trans-eQTL analysis can discover both local anddistal eQTLs.

    As a result of multiple testing correction needed to address the large number of SNP-genepairs under study, both trans- and cis-eQTL analyses can suffer from low power. Severalmethods have been proposed to improve the power of standard eQTL analysis, includingpenalized regression schemes that try to account for intra-gene or intra-SNP interactionnetworks (Tian et al., 2014, and references therin) and methods that consider gene modulesas high-level phenotypes to reduce the burden of multiple-testing (Kolberg et al., 2020).Alternatively, one may also shift attention from individual SNP-gene pairs to SNP-gene bi-modules, that is, to sets of SNPs and sets of genes having large aggregate cross-correlation.A number of bimodule search methods have been proposed and developed in the context ofeQTL analysis. These include methods based on Gaussian graphical models (Cheng et al.,2012, 2015), bipartite community detection (Platig et al., 2016; Fagny et al., 2017), pe-nalized regression (Chen et al., 2012), and sparse canonical correlation analysis (sCCA)(Parkhomenko, Tritchler and Beyene, 2007, 2009). These methods have the potential to

  • 4 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    enhance and improve standard eQTL approaches that focus primarily on identifying signif-icant SNP-gene pairs. As SNPs and genes often act in concert with one another, bimodulediscovery methods can gain statistical power from group-wise interactions by borrowingstrength across individual SNP-gene pairs.

    1.3. Bipartite-network based approach to find bimodules. Since bimodules are defined interms of cross-correlations, it is natural to investigate them in the context of the bipartitecross-correlation network, which is formed by connecting pairs of features from differentdata types with a weighted edge, where the weight is equal to the square of the (sample orpopulation) cross-correlation between the features. CONDOR (Platig et al., 2016) identifiesbimodules by applying a community detection method to an unweighted bipartite graphobtained by thresholding the sample cross-correlations. One could, in principle, extend thisapproach by leveraging other community detected methods (Beckett, 2016; Barber, 2007;Liu and Murata, 2010; Costa and Hansen, 2014; Pesantez-Cabrera and Kalyanaraman, 2016)for weighted and unweighted bipartite networks. In Huang et al. (2009), the authors findgene-SNP bimodules by searching for bipartite cliques in a network having nodes derivedfrom progeny strain data in addition to genes and SNPs.

    The approach taken here is network based, but differs from community-detection basedapproaches such as CONDOR. While stable population bimodules can be defined in termsof the population cross-correlation network, the sample cross-correlation network is not asufficient statistic for stable sample bimodules, which also account for the intra-correlationsbetween features of the same type.

    1.4. Other approaches to discover bimodules. One might search for bimodules by ap-plying a standard clustering method such as k-means to a joint data matrix containingstandardized features from the two data types, and treating any cluster with features fromboth data types as a bimodule. While appropriate as a “first look”, this approach requiresspecifying the number of clusters, imposes the constraint that every feature be part of one,and only one, bimodule, and, most importantly, does not distinguish between cross- andintra-correlations.

    Bimodules can also be found using sCCA methods (Waaijenborg, de Witt Hamer andZwinderman, 2008; Witten, Tibshirani and Hastie, 2009; Parkhomenko, Tritchler and Beyene,2009), which find pairs of correlated sparse linear combinations of features from the two datatypes. Each such canonical covariate pair can then be regarded as a bimodule consisting ofthe features appearing in the linear combination.

    Finally, in the context of eQTL analysis, methods based on Gaussian graphical modelsCheng et al. (2012, 2015, 2016) and penalized multi-task regression Chen et al. (2012) havealso been used to find bimodules. In the former work, the authors fit a sparse graphicalmodel with a hidden variables that model interactions between sets of genes and sets ofSNPs. In Chen et al. (2012), the gene and SNP networks derived from the respective intra-correlations matrices are used in a penalized regression setup to find a network-to-networkmapping in the same spirit as bimodules.

    1.5. Overview of the Paper. The next section introduces basic notation and presentsthe definition and properties of stable bimodules at the population level. In particular,we establish connections between stable population bimodules, Nash equilibria in a simpletwo-player game, and the connected components of the bipartite network of populationcross-correlations. Section 3 is devoted to the testing-based definition of stable bimodules

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 5

    in the sample setting, and a description of the Bimodule Search Procedure. In addition,we outline the computation of p-values for BSP and discuss the network interpretation ofsample bimodules. Section 4 is devoted to a simulation study that makes use of a complexmodel to capture some of the features observed in real multi-view data. We compare theperformance of BSP with CONDOR and sCCA. Section 5 describes and evaluates theresults of BSP and CONDOR applied to an eQTL dataset from the GTEx consortium. Inparticular, we examine the bimodules produced by BSP using a variety of descriptive andbiological metrics, including comparisons with, and potential extensions of, standard eQTLanalysis. In Section 6, we present the results of BSP applied to inter-annual temperatureand precipitation measurements in North America.

    2. Stable Population Bimodules. In this section we define and study stable bimod-ules at the population level. We begin with notation and basic assumptions.

    2.1. Notation and stochastic setting. Suppose that we have acquired data sets of twodifferent types from a common set of n samples. Let X be an n × p matrix containing thedata of Type 1, and let Y be an n× q matrix containing the data of Type 2. The ith row ofX and Y contain the measurements of Type 1 and Type 2, respectively, on the ith sample.The columns of X and Y correspond to the measured features of each type. Denote featuresof Type 1 by S = {s1, s2, . . . , sp}, and those of Type 2 by T = {t1, t2, . . . , tq}. We assumethat the rows of the joint matrix [X,Y] are independent copies of a random (row) vector

    (X,Y) = (Xs1 , . . . , Xsp , Yt1 , . . . Ytq).

    For each s ∈ S let Xs be the column of X corresponding to feature s; for each t ∈ T letYt be the column of Y corresponding to feature t. For s ∈ S and t ∈ T let ρ(s, t) be thepopulation correlation between the random variables Xs and Yt, and let r(s, t) denote thesample correlation between Xs and Yt. For A ⊆ S and B ⊆ T we define the aggregatesquared (population and sample) correlation between A and B by

    ρ2(A,B).=

    ∑s∈A,t∈B

    ρ2(s, t), and(1)

    r2(A,B).=

    ∑s∈A,t∈B

    r2(s, t).(2)

    For singleton sets we will omit brackets, writing ρ2(s,B) and ρ2(A, t) instead of ρ2({s}, B)and ρ2(A, {t}).

    2.2. Stable population bimodules. Recall that our goal is to identify pairs (A,B) withA ⊆ S and B ⊆ T such that the aggregate cross-correlation between features in A and Bis large. We begin our analysis of this problem at the population level, where the aggregatecross-correlation between A and B can be measured by the quantity ρ2(A,B) defined in(1). One might rank pairs (A,B) using a score based on ρ2(A,B), but it is not immediatelyclear how such a score should be defined. For example, ρ2(A,B) itself favors larger featuresets, while the average ρ2(A,B)/|A| |B| might favor smaller feature sets. More importantly,it is not immediately clear how a score based on ρ2(A,B) can be effectively translated to,and evaluated in, the sample setting.

    To address these issues, we shift our assessment of pairs (A,B) from global numericalperformance measures to internal stability criteria that are based on the structure of thepopulation cross-correlations. The basic idea is contained in the following definition.

  • 6 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    Definition 2.1. A pair (A,B) of non-empty sets A ⊆ S and B ⊆ T is a stable popula-tion bimodule if

    1. A = {s ∈ S | ρ2(s,B) > 0} and2. B = {t ∈ T | ρ2(A, t) > 0}.

    In words, the definition says that A is exactly the set of features in S that are correlatedin aggregate with the features in B, while B is exactly the set of features in T that arecorrelated in aggregate with the features in A. It is useful to consider stable bimodules inthe context of the population network of cross-correlations.

    Definition 2.2. The population cross-correlation network Gp is the weighted bipartitenetwork with vertex set S ∪ T , edge set Ep = {(s, t) ∈ S × T | ρ(s, t) 6= 0}, and weightfunction wp : E → [−1, 1] given by wp(s, t) = ρ(s, t).

    The following elementary lemma shows that stable bimodules are closely related to theconnected components of Gp.

    Lemma 1. A pair (A,B) of non empty sets with A ⊆ S and B ⊆ T is a populationbimodule if and only if A ∪B is a union of non-trivial connected components of Gp.

    Proof. For any subsets F ⊆ S and G ⊆ T note that ρ2(F,G) > 0 if and only if(F ×G) ∩Ep 6= ∅. Let Nb(s)

    .= {t′ | (s, t′) ∈ Ep} and Nb(t)

    .= {s′ | (s′, t) ∈ Ep} and denote

    the neighborhoods of s and t in the graph Gp. The two conditions in Definition 2.1 areequivalent to saying A = ∪t∈B Nb(t) and B = ∪s∈A Nb(s), respectively. Equivalently, sinceGp is a bipartite graph, the set of nodes H = A ∪B satisfies the property

    (3) H = Nb(H)

    where Nb(C).= ∪v∈C Nb(v) for any subset of vertices C ⊆ S ∪ T .

    Using (3), let us show that H is a union of non-trivial connected components. For anyr ∈ S ∪ T , note that the connected component containing r is defined by C(r) .= ∪∞i=0Ciwhere C0 = {r} and Ci = Nb(Ci−1) for each i ≥ 1. For r ∈ H, repeatedly applying (3)shows that r ∈ C(r) ⊆ H and hence

    (4) H = ∪r∈HC(r).

    Since (3) holds and Gp is a simple graph, each r ∈ H has at least one other neighbor. Hence|C(r)| > 1 for all r ∈ H.

    Finally, since Nb(C(r)) ⊆ C(r) for any r, if H satisfies (4) then Nb(H) ⊆ H. Moreover ifall the connected components in (4) are non-trivial then Nb(H) ⊇ H and (3) is satisfied.

    As the lemma shows, stable population bimodules depend only on the edges of Gp; theydo not depend on the edge weights, or on correlations between features of the same type.As we will see below, the situation for sample bimodules is substantially different.

    2.2.1. Bimodules are Nash Equilibria. The notion of stability in Definition 2.1 has closeconnections with Nash equilibrium (Nash, 1950) in game theory. To make this precise, fixan � > 0, and consider the reward function Φ� that for any A ⊆ S and B ⊆ T takes thevalue

    (5) Φ�(A,B).=∑s∈A

    ∑t∈B

    ρ2(s, t)− � |A| |B| .

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 7

    Consider a two player game in which player 1 chooses a subset A ⊆ S, player 2 choosesa subset B ⊆ T , and the payoff to both the players is Φ�(A,B). In this setting, a pair ofsubsets (A∗, B∗) is called a Nash equilibrium if

    maxA⊆S

    Φ�(A,B∗) = Φ�(A

    ∗, B∗) = maxB⊆T

    Φ�(A∗, B).

    The following elementary lemma shows that bimodules are the just Nash equilibria in thisgame. The proof appears in Appendix A.

    Lemma 2. Let δ = min{ρ2(s, t) | s ∈ S, t ∈ T, ρ(s, t) 6= 0

    }and �0 = δ(max(|S| , |T |))−1.

    If � ∈ (0, �0) then the non-empty Nash equilibria of the game with reward function Φ�coincides with the family of stable population bimodules.

    The connection between stable bimodules and two player games in the population set-ting suggests a simple iterative scheme to find stable bimodules when the cross-correlations(ρ(s, t))s∈S,t∈T are known. Begin by fixing a non-empty subset B0 ⊆ T and any � ∈ (0, �0),where �0 is chosen as in Lemma 2. Then repeatedly update Ak+1 = arg maxA Φ�(A,Bk)and Bk+1 = arg maxB Φ�(Ak+1, B) for k ≥ 0. As the value of the objective function strictlyincreases at every update, the sets (Ak, Bk) are guaranteed to convergence to a Nash equi-librium after finitely many steps. If B0 is such that that Φ�(A1, B0) > 0, then the Nashequilibrium will be non-empty and hence a population bimodule.

    It is illustrative to view this iterative update procedure in terms of the cross-correlationgraph Gp. The proof of Lemma 2 shows that the update steps are equivalent to

    (6) Ak+1 = {s ∈ S | ρ2(s,Bk) > 0} and Bk+1 = {t ∈ T | ρ2(Ak+1, t) > 0}.

    In other words Ak+1 is set of neighbors of Bk, and Bk+1 is the set of neighbors of Ak+1. Ifthe iterative update procedure begins from a singleton set B0 = {t} for some t ∈ T , then itcorresponds to the breadth first search algorithm for finding the connected component of tin Gp (see, e.g., Cormen et al., 2009). This connection shows that consideration of singletonsets B0 = {t} for t ∈ T finds all the connected components of Gp, which by Lemma 1, arethe minimal stable population bimodules.

    3. Stable Sample Bimodules and the Bimodule Search Procedure. We nowextend the notion of a stable bimodule and the iterative search procedure described aboveto the sample (empirical) setting using ideas and methods from multiple testing. Whilethe empirical setting involves a number of additional complications, the motivation behindstability is essentially the same.

    In practice, the population cross-correlations ρ(s, t) are unknown, and the search forbimodules is based on the observed data matrices [X,Y]. One may simply replace the popu-lation correlations with their sample counterparts r(s, t) in Definition 2.1, but when workingwith continuous data r(s, t) 6= 0 (even if ρ(s, t) = 0), and in this case the only stable bi-module is the full index set (S, T ). To address this, we replace the conditions ρ2(s,B) > 0by r2(s,B) > γ̂(s,B), where the threshold γ̂(s,B) is derived from the application of anFDR-controlling multiple testing procedure to approximate permutation p-values for thestatistics {r2(s,B) : s ∈ S}. An analogous approach is taken for the conditions ρ2(A, t) > 0.

    3.1. Permutation null distribution and p-values.

  • 8 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    Definition 3.1. Let [X,Y] be given, and let P1, P2 ∈ {0, 1}n×n be chosen indepen-dently and uniformly from the set of all n× n permutation matrices. The permutation nulldistribution of [X,Y] is the distribution of the data matrix

    [X̃, Ỹ] .= [P1X, P2Y].

    Let Pπ and Eπ denote probability and expectation, respectively, under the permutation null.For s ∈ S and t ∈ T let R(s, t) be the (random) sample-correlation of X̃s and Ỹt.

    The permutation null distribution is obtained by randomly reordering the rows of Xand independently doing the same for the rows of Y. Permutation preserves the samplecorrelation between features in S, and between features in T , but it nullifies the cross-correlations between features in S and T . Indeed, as shown in Zhou, Barry and Wright(2013), Eπ[R(s, t)] = 0 for each s ∈ S and t ∈ T .

    Definition 3.2. For A ⊆ S and B ⊆ T define the permutation p-value

    (7) p(A,B).= Pπ(R2(A,B) ≥ r2(A,B) )

    where R2(A,B).=∑

    s∈A,t∈B R2(s, t) and the observed sum of squares r2(A,B) is fixed.

    The permutation p-value p(A,B) is the probability under the permutation null distri-bution that the aggregate cross-correlation between the features in A and B exceeds itsobserved value in the data. Small values of p(A,B) provide evidence in favor of the hypoth-esis that ρ2(A,B) > 0. As the permutation distribution preserves the correlations betweenfeatures from A and between features from B, p(A,B) accounts for the presence of thesecorrelations while assessing the significance of r2(A,B).

    3.2. Stable sample bimodules. Let p = (p1, . . . , pm) be a sequence of p-values and letα ∈ (0, 1) be a target false discovery rate. Recall that the Benjamini and Yekutieli (2001)rejection threshold at level α is defined by

    (8) τα(p).= max

    {p(j) :

    mp(j)

    j≤ α∑m

    i=1 i−1

    }where p(1) ≤ p(2) . . . ≤ p(m) are the ordered values of p.

    Definition 3.3. (Stable Sample Bimodule) Let [X,Y] and α ∈ (0, 1) be given. A pair(A,B) of non-empty sets A ⊆ S and B ⊆ T is a stable sample bimodule at level α if

    1. A = {s ∈ S | p(s,B) ≤ τα(p·,B)} and2. B = {t ∈ T | p(A, t) ≤ τα(pA,·)}

    where p·,B = {p(s,B)}s∈S and pA,· = {p(A, t)}t∈T .

    Thus (A,B) is a sample stable bimodule if A is exactly the set of features in S that aresignificantly correlated in aggregate with the features in B, and at the same time B is exactlythe set of features in T that are significantly correlated in aggregate with the features inA. When no ambiguity will arise, we will refer to stable sample bimodules simply as stablebimodules.

    Although the definition above parallels that of Definition 2.1, critical differences emergein the sample setting. One key difference is the aggregation of small effects. As noted above

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 9

    that the condition p(s,B) ≤ τα(p·,B) is equivalent to requiring r2(s,B) ≥ γ̂(s,B) whereγ̂(s,B) depending on τα(p·,B). The latter condition may be satisfied even if the feature sis not significantly correlated with any individual feature in B. Similar remarks apply top(A, t)

    Another, more important, difference between the population and sample settings is therole of intra-correlations. A likely side-effect of any empirical search for pairs (A,B) withhigh cross-correlations is that the intra-correlations of the features in A and B will alsobe large, often significantly larger than the intra-correlations of a randomly selected setof features with the same cardinality. Failure to account for inflated intra-correlations canlead to anti-conservative (optimistic) assessments of significance, false discoveries, and over-sized feature sets. As noted above, the permutation distribution leaves intra-correlationsunchanged, while ensuring that cross-correlations are equal to zero. In this way the permu-tation p-values p(s,B) and p(A, t) directly account for the intra-correlations among featuresin A and B.

    3.3. The Bimodule Search Procedure (BSP). We adapt the iterative search procedurefor population bimodules described at the end of Section 2 using the p-value based char-acterization of sample bimodules in Definition 3.3. The result is an iterative, testing-basedsearch procedure for stable bimodules. Iterative-testing based procedures have been usedin single data-type settings for community detection Palowitch, Bhamidi and Nobel (2016),differential correlation mining Bodwin et al. (2018), and association mining Bodwin et al.(2017). The definition and approximation of the permutation based p-values used here dif-fers substantially from this existing work.

    Input : Data matrices X and Y and parameter α ∈ (0, 1).Result: A stable bimodule (A,B) at level α, if found.

    1 Initialize A′ = {s} ⊆ S and B′ = ∅;2 do3 (A,B)← (A′, B′);4 Compute p(A, t) for each t ∈ T and let pT ← (p(A, t))t∈T ;5 B′ ← {t ∈ T | p(A, t) ≤ τα(pT )}; // The indices rejected by the B.Y. procedure6 Compute p(s,B′) for each s ∈ S and let pS ← (p(s,B′))s∈S ;7 A′ ← {s ∈ S | p(s,B′) ≤ τα(pS)}; // The indices rejected by the B.Y. procedure8 while (A′, B′) 6= (A,B);9 if |A||B| > 0 then

    10 return (A,B);11 end

    Algorithm 1: Bimodule Search Procedure (BSP)

    An overview of BSP is given in Algorithm 1. If BSP terminates at a non-empty fixedpoint, then its output is a stable bimodule at level α. Unlike its population counterpart,BSP is not guaranteed to terminate in a finite number of steps: as the procedure operates ina deterministic manner, and the number of feature set pairs is finite, BSP will terminate ata (possibly empty) fixed point or enter a limiting cycle. To limit computation time, the loopat Line 2 is stopped after 20 iterations. In our simulations and real-data analyses (describedbelow) the 20 iteration limit was enforced in only a handful of cases. Further details on howBSP deals with cycles and limits large sets can be found in Appendix B.1.

    In practice, BSP is initialized with each singleton pair (s, ∅) for s ∈ S, and each singletonpair (∅, t) for t ∈ T . While this initialization guarantees the recovery of all minimal stablebimodules in the population setting, no such guarantees are available in the sample setting.

  • 10 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    Nevertheless, we have found this initialization strategy to be effective in practice. Wheneither of the sets S or T is large, we use additional strategies to speed up computation, likerandomly selecting a smaller subset of features for initialization (Appendix B.2).

    The constant α ∈ (0, 1) is the only free parameter of BSP. We will refer to α as thefalse discovery parameter. While α controls the false discovery rate at each step of thesearch procedure, this does not guarantee control on the false associations (i.e. (s, t) suchthat ρ(s, t) = 0) within the stable bimodules. In general, BSP will find fewer and smallerbimodules when α is small, and find more numerous and larger bimodules when α is large.In practice, we employ a permutation based procedure to select α from a fixed grid of valuesbased on the notion of edge-error introduced in Section 4.2.1. See Appendix B.3 for details.

    Simulations and theoretical calculations suggest that singleton bimodules ({s}, {t}) at agiven level α ∈ (0, 1) can occur even in completely random data if |S| and |T | are largeenough. To minimize the detection of spurious singleton bimodules, we discard bimodules(A,B) with p(A,B) > α|S||T | , where the threshold is the Bonferroni correction at level αfor singleton bimodules. Alternatively, one can simply discard singleton bimodules withp-values exceeding the Bonferroni threshold.

    The BSP search procedure often finds the same bimodule starting from multiple initial-izations, and in some cases there are numerous bimodules having substantial overlap. In thelatter case, we assess the effective number of distinct bimodules and select an equal numberof representative bimodules for subsequent analysis. Details can be found in Appendix B.4.

    3.3.1. Approximation of p-values. Recall that BSP is not based on an underlying gen-erative or distributional model. The method relies on the assumption that the samples areindependent and identically distributed and on Definition 3.1, the permutation based p-values p(s,B) and p(A, t). A total of |S| + |T | p-values are calculated in each iteration ofthe loop at Line 2 in Algorithm 1. Accounting for multiple initializations, several billionp-value calculations are required for typical genomic data sets. Moreover, the resolution ofthese p-values must be small enough to account for multiple-testing correction.

    When |S| or |T | is large, calculating the p-values p(s,B) and p(A, t) using a standardMonte Carlo permutation scheme is not feasible.As an alternative, we make of use ideasfrom Zhou, Barry and Wright (2013) and Zhou, Gallins and Wright (2019) to approximatethe permutation p-values p(A, t) and p(s,B) using the tails of a location-shifted Gammadistribution having same first three moments as the sampling distribution of R2(A, t) underthe permutation null.

    Although the first three moments of R2(A, t) can be computed exactly (Zhou, Barryand Wright, 2013), to further speed computation we use instead the eigenvalue conditionalmoments of R2(A, t) (see Zhou, Gallins and Wright, 2019), which depend only on the eigen-values of the intra-correlation matrix of the features in A, and not on t. The analyticalformula for the eigenvalue conditional moments is based on a normality assumption forthe data generating distribution, but one may show that the weaker assumption of spher-ical symmetry is sufficient. In practice, the additional assumptions used in the momentapproximation do not appear to limit the applicability of BSP. Accuracy of the p-valueapproximations is briefly discussed Appendix B.6.

    3.4. Network interpretation of sample stable bimodules. As discussed in Section 2.2,stable population bimodules can be studied in terms of the correlation network Gp, and itis useful to study sample bimodules in a similar manner. To this end, we define the samplecross-correlation network Gs to be the weighted bipartite network with vertex set S ∪ T ,

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 11

    full edge set E = S × T , and weight function w(s, t) = r(s, t).

    Definition 3.4. For each τ > 0 define the (unweighted) network Gτs = (S ∪ T,E(τ))where E(τ) = {(s, t) ∈ S × T | |w(s, t)| ≥ τ}. For each feature set pair (A,B) we define theconnectivity-threshold

    (9) τ∗(A,B) = max{τ ∈ [0, 1] : A ∪B is connected in Gτs}.

    It follows from Lemma 1 that minimal population bimodules (those obtained when start-ing the iterative search from singletons) correspond to connected components of Gp. Ac-cordingly, we define the essential-edges of a bimodule (A,B) to be those that are presentat the connectivity threshold

    (10) essential-edges(A,B) = (A×B) ∩ E(τ∗(A,B)).

    Note that E(τ) ∩ (A × B) is a set-estimate of the edges (s, t) ∈ A × B with ρ(s, t) 6= 0,and that the choice of τ > 0 affects the fraction of false discoveries in this estimate. Thevalue τ = τ∗(A,B) is the most conservative threshold subject to the constraint that A ∪Bis connected in Gτs , and the essential edges are those of the resulting graph. Assuming thatthe bimodule (A,B) is connected in the population network, we expect the essential-edgesto be a conservative estimate of the true edges in the population network.

    4. Simulation Study. To assess the effectiveness of BSP, we carried out a simulationstudy in which a variety of true bimodules of different strengths and sizes were present inthe underlying distribution of the samples. In this section, we provide an overview of thestudy, and an assessment of the results from BSP and competing methods CONDOR andsCCA (which were described in sections 1.3 and 1.4).

    Simulation studies incorporating fewer than ten embedded bimodules have been con-ducted for methods based on sCCA (Waaijenborg, de Witt Hamer and Zwinderman, 2008;Parkhomenko, Tritchler and Beyene, 2009; Witten, Tibshirani and Hastie, 2009) and graph-ical models (Cheng et al., 2016, 2015). Existing studies are relatively simple, and do notemphasize the network structure of many applications. In order to emulate the complex-ity of eQTL analysis and similar applications, we designed a simulation study in whichK = 500 bimodules of various strengths, sizes, network structures, and intra-correlationswere planted in a single large dataset. The planted bimodules were then connected by con-founding edges to make their recovery more challenging. We emphasize that BSP is notbased on an underlying generative model: the model used in the simulation study is forassessment purposes only.

    4.1. Details of the simulated data. We generated a single large dataset having n =200 samples and two measurement types, with p = 100, 000 and q = 20, 000 features,respectively. The number of features is of the same order of magnitude as in the eQTLdataset considered in Section 5. Following the notation at the beginning of Section 2, wedenote the two types of features by index sets S = {s1, s2 . . . sp} and T = {t1, t2 . . . tq}. Foreach individual, the joint p + q dimensional measurement vector is independently drawnfrom a multivariate normal distribution with mean 0 ∈ Rp+q and (p+q)×(p+q) covariancematrix Σ. The covariance matrix Σ is designed so that it has K = 500 true bimodules ofvarious sizes, network structures, signal strengths and intra-correlations. As it is difficultto generate structured covariance matrices while maintaining non-negative definiteness, we

  • 12 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    instead specify a generative model for the p + q dimensional random row vector (X,Y ) ∼Np+q(0,Σ).

    We now describe how we generated the block cross-correlation signal between the twofeature types, representing observed bimodules. To begin, we partitioned the first-half of theS-indices {s1, . . . , sdp/2e} into K disjoint subsets A1, A2, . . . , AK with sizes chosen accordingto a Dirichlet distribution with parameter (1, 1, . . . , 1) ∈ RK . In the same way, we generateda Dirichlet partition B1, B2, . . . , BK of the first-half of T indices {t1, . . . , tdq/2e} independentof the previous partition. The feature-set pairs (Ai, Bi) constitute the true bimodules, whilethe features in second-half of the S- and T -indices are not part of true bimodules. Next,the random sub-vectors (XAi , YBi) corresponding to the true bimodules were generatedindependently for each i ∈ [K] using a graph based regression model described below.

    Let (A,B) be a feature set pair, and suppose that ρ ∈ [0, 1) and σ2 > 0 are given.Let D ∈ {0, 1}|A|×|B| be a binary matrix, which we regard as the adjacency matrix of aconnected bipartite network with vertex set A ∪B. Then the random row-vector (XA, YB)is generated as follows:

    (11) XA ∼ N|A|(0, (1− ρ)I + ρU) and YB = XAD + �,

    where � ∼ N|B|(0, σ2I) and U is a matrix of all ones. To understand the bimodule signalproduced by this model, note that ρ governs the intra-correlation between features in Aand that for any t ∈ B, the variable Yt is influenced by features Xs such that (s, t) is anedge in adjacency matrix D. For each of the true bimodules (Ai, Bi) in the simulation,we independently chose parameters ρi, σ

    2i , and Di to produce a variety of behaviors while

    maintaining the inherent constraints between them (see Appendix C.1).Among features that are not part of bimodules, features Xsj with j > dp/2e are inde-

    pendent N (0, 1) noise variables and features Ytr with r > dq/2e are either noise variables(generated independently as N (0, 1)) or they are bridge variables that connect two truebimodules. In more detail, for every pair of distinct bimodules (Ak, Bk) and (Al, Bl) with1 ≤ k < l ≤ K, with probability q = 1.5K , we connect the two bimodules by selecting atrandom (and without replacement) an index r > dq/2e and making it a bridge variable bydefining

    (12) Ytr = Xs +Xs′ + � with � ∼ N(0, σ2r ),

    for a randomly chosen s ∈ Ak and s′ ∈ Al. The noise variance σ2r in (12) is chosen so thatthe correlation strength between Ytr and Xs (and Xs′) is equal to the average strength ofthe bimodules that are being connected. If Ytr is not a bridge variable, it is taken to benoise.

    Prior to the addition of bridge variables, the connected components of the populationcross-correlation network are just the bimodules (Ak, Bk). Once bridge variables have beenadded, the population cross-correlation network will have a so-called giant connected compo-nent comprising a substantial portion of the underlying index space S×T . While theoreticalsupport for the presence of giant component in our simulation model comes from the studyof Erdös-Renyi random graphs (Bollobás, 2001), such components have also been observedin empirical eQTL networks (Fagny et al., 2017; Platig et al., 2016). Although the giantcomponent is itself a stable population bimodule, since we only add a small number (348) ofbridge variables, the majority of the cross-correlation signal is in the more densely connectedsets (Ak, Bk), which we continue to refer to as the true bimodules.

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 13

    4.2. Running BSP and related methods. We applied BSP to the simulated data usingthe false discovery parameter α = 0.01, which was selected to keep the edge-error estimatesunder 0.05 (Appendix B.3). The search was initialized from singletons consisting of all thefeatures in T and 1% of the features in S, chosen at random. In what follows, feature-setpairs identified by BSP (or some other method, when clear from context) will be referredto as detected bimodules. BSP detected 319 unique bimodules while the effective number(Appendix B.4) of detected bimodules was 301.5.

    To obtain bimodules via CONDOR (Platig et al., 2016), we applied Matrix-eQTL (Sha-balin, 2012) to the simulated dataset with S considered as the set of SNPs and T consideredas the set of genes, to extract feature pairs (s, t) ∈ S × T with q-value less than α = 0.05.Next, we formed a bipartite graph on the vertex set S ∪ T with edges given by the sig-nificant feature pairs found in the previous step. The largest connected component of thisgraph, made up of 28,876 features from S and 6,455 features from T , was passed througha bipartite community detection software (Platig, 2016) which partitioned the nodes of thesub-graph into 112 bimodules.

    We applied the sCCA method of Witten, Tibshirani and Hastie (2009) to the simulateddata to find 100 bimodules. More precisely, for various penalty parameters λ ∈ [0, 1], we ransCCA (Witten and Tibshirani, 2020) to find 100 canonical covariate pairs with the `1 normconstraint of λ

    √p and λ

    √q on the coefficients of the linear combinations corresponding

    to S and T respectively. Initially, we considered λ = 0.233, chosen by the permutationbased procedure provided with the software. However the resulting bimodules were largeand had high edge-error (see Appendix C.2). Based on a rough grid search, we then ran theprocedure with each value λ ∈ {.01, .02, .03, .04, .06} to obtain smaller bimodules.

    4.2.1. Comparing performance of the methods. In the simulation study described above,we measure the recovery of a true bimodule (At, Bt) by a detected bimodule (Ad, Bd) usingthe two metrics:

    recall =|At ∩Ad||Bt ∩Bd|

    |At||Bt|and Jaccard =

    |At ∩Ad||Bt ∩Bd||At ×Bt ∪Ad ×Bd|

    .

    Recall captures how well the true bimodule is contained inside the detected bimodule, whileJaccard measures how well the two bimodules match. When assessing the recovery of a truebimodule under a collection of detected bimodules (like the output of BSP), we choosethe detected bimodule with the best recall or Jaccard, depending on the metric underconsideration.

    As shown in Figure 1, the BSP Jaccard for true bimodules was influenced primarily by

    the cross-correlation strength√

    r2(A,B)|A||B| of the true bimodule, though the intra-correlation

    parameter ρ used in the simulation (11) was also seen to have an effect (Figure 1, left). Mostbimodules with cross-correlation strength above 0.4 were completely recovered, while thosewith strength below 0.2 were not recovered. For strengths between 0.2 to 0.4, there was avariation in Jaccard, with smaller Jaccard for bimodules having larger values of ρ (Figure 1,left). The effect of ρ on Jaccard was expected since BSP accounts for the intra-correlationamong features of the same type.

    The intra-correlation parameter ρ did not have significant effect on CONDOR Jaccard,since the method does not account for intra-correlations. Hence, here we only consider theeffects of the cross-correlation strength of true bimodules on CONDOR Jaccard (Figure 1,green curve on the right). Regardless of the cross-correlation strength, CONDOR Jaccard

  • 14 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    Fig 1: Recovery of true bimodules. Left: dependence of cross-correlation strength and intra-correlation parameter of true bimodules on BSP Jaccard. Right: the averaged recoverycurves (recall and Jaccard) for true bimodules under CONDOR and BSP.

    remained low. This was because CONDOR bimodules often overlapped multiple true bi-modules; indeed, 102 of the 112 CONDOR bimodules overlapped with two or more (up to19) true bimodules, compared with only 21 of the 319 BSP bimodules. However, the resultsfor CONDOR recall (Figure 1, purple curve on the right) show that most true bimoduleswith significant cross-correlation strengths were contained inside some CONDOR bimodule.

    To assess the false discoveries in detected bimodules, we measured the edge-error ofdetected bimodules. The edge-error is the fraction of the essential-edges (10) of a detectedbimodule that are not part of the simulation model, that is, edges not contained in anytrue bimodule and not in the set of bridge edges. The average edge-error for BSP bimoduleswas 0.03, and 90% of the detected bimodules had edge-error under 0.05. In contrast, theaverage edge-error for CONDOR bimodules was 0.08, and 90% of the detected bimoduleshad edge-error under 0.14. The larger edge-error among CONDOR bimodules may havearisen because the method does not account for intra-correlations.

    Concerning sCCA, the sizes of the detected bimodules were at least an order of magnitudelarger than sizes of the true bimodules when λ exceeded 0.04 (Figure 7, Appendix C.2).Thus we only considered λ ≤ 0.04. For λ = 0.03 and 0.04, the detected bimodules hadlarge edge-error (average error 0.47 and 0.65, respectively), while for λ = 0.01 and 0.02the true bimodules had poor recall (95% of the true bimodules had recall below 0.02 and0.23, respectively). Further details of the results are given in Appendix C.2. A potentialshortcoming of our application of sCCA was that we chose the same penalty parameter λfor each of the 100 bimodules. We expect that the results of sCCA would improve if onechose a different penalty parameter for each bimodule. However Witten, Tibshirani andHastie (2009) do not provide explicit guidelines to chose different penalty parameters foreach component (bimodule), and directly doing a permutation-based grid search each timewould be exceedingly slow.

    We also studied the performance of BSP and CONDOR on a simulation study withlarger sample size n = 600. As expected, both methods were able to recall bimodules withlower cross-correlation strengths than earlier. However, both BSP and CONDOR had lowerJaccard than in the n = 200 simulation (see Appendix C.3). We discuss this behavior in

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 15

    Section 7.

    5. Application of BSP to eQTL Analysis. Here we describe the application ofbimodules to the problem of expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) analysis discussed inSection 1. The NIH funded GTEx Project has collected and created a large eQTL databasecontaining genotype and expression data from postmortem tissues of human donors. Aunique feature of this database is that it contains expression data from many tissues. Weapplied BSP, CONDOR and standard eQTL-analysis to p = 556, 304 SNPs and q = 26, 054thyroid expression measurements from n = 574 individuals. A detailed account of dataacquisition, preprocessing, and covariate correction can be found in Appendix D.1.

    The 556K SNPs considered were a representative subset chosen from 4.9 million (directlyobserved and imputed) autosomal SNPs with minor allele frequency greater than 0.1. Usinga representative set decreased computation time and reduced the multiple testing burdenin each iteration of BSP. As SNPs exhibit local correlation due to linkage disequilibrium(LD), the selection process should not reduce the statistical power of BSP. We used an LDpruning software SNPRelate (Zheng, 2015) to select the representative subset of SNPs (seeAppendix D.1 for details).

    5.1. Results of BSP. We applied BSP to the thyroid eQTL data with false discoveryparameter α = 0.03 selected to keep the edge-error under 0.05 (details in Appendix D.2).The search was initialized from singleton sets of all genes and half of the available SNPs,chosen at random. Thus the search procedure in Section 3.3 was run p/2 + q ∼ 304Ktimes. BSP took 4.7 hours to run on a computer with a 20-core 2.4 GHz processor (furtherdetails are provided in Appendix D.3). The search identified 3744 unique bimodules with p-values below the significance threshold of αpq = 3.45× 10

    −12 (see Section 3.3). The majority(277K) of the searches terminated in the empty set after the first step; of the remaining27K searches, the great majority identified a non-empty fixed point within 20 steps. Only 20searches cycled and did not terminate in a fixed point. Among the searches taking more thanone iteration, 94% terminated by the fifth step. Among searches that found a non-emptyfixed point, 92.3% of the fixed points contained the seed singleton set of the search.

    Among the unique bimodules discovered by BSP, some bimodules were similar to others;hence the effective number (Appendix B.4) of bimodules was 3304, slightly smaller than thenumber of unique bimodules. We then applied the filtering procedure described in SectionB.4 to select a sub-collection of 3304 bimodules that were roughly disjoint. The selectedbimodules had SNP sets ranging in size from 1 to 1000, and gene sets ranging in size from1 to 100 (Figure 2); the median size of the gene and SNP sets was 1 and 7, respectively.

    If required, BSP can be run in a faster (less exhaustive) or slower (more exhaustive)fashion by selecting a smaller or larger fraction of SNPs from which to initialize the searchprocedure. The effective number of discovered bimodules was only slightly smaller (3258)when initializing with 10% of the SNPs.

    5.2. Running other methods. Standard eQTL analysis was performed by applying Matrix-eQTL (Shabalin, 2012) twice to the data, first to perform a cis-eQTL analysis within a dis-tance of 1MB and next to perform a trans-eQTL analysis. In each case, SNP-gene pairs withBH (Benjamini and Hochberg, 1995) q-value less than 0.05 were identified as significant.Matrix-eQTL identified 186K cis-eQTLs and 73K trans-eQTLs.

    To obtain CONDOR bimodules (Platig et al., 2016), we applied Matrix-eQTL to identifyboth cis- and trans-eQTLs with BH q-value under the threshold .2, chosen as in Fagny et al.

  • 16 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    (2017). The resulting gene-SNP bipartite graph formed by these eQTLs was passed throughCONDOR’s bipartite community detection pipeline (Platig et al., 2016), which partitionedthe nodes of largest connected component of this graph into 6 bimodules.

    We also applied the sCCA method of Witten, Tibshirani and Hastie (2009) using thepermutation based parameter selection procedure (Witten and Tibshirani, 2020) on thecovariate-corrected genotype and expression matrices to identify 50 bimodules. The identi-fied bimodules were large, containing roughly 100K SNPs and 4K-8K genes (Fig. 2), makingthem difficult to analyze and interpret. The identified bimodules also exhibited moderateoverlap: the effective number was 25. As such, we excluded the sCCA bimodules from sub-sequent comparisons. Analysis of sCCA on the simulated data (Section 4.2.1) suggests thatthe method may be able to recover smaller bimodules with a more tailored choice of itsparameters. While this is an interesting topic for future research, it is beyond the scope ofthe present paper.

    5.3. Quantitative validation. In this subsection, we apply several objective measures tovalidate and understand the bimodules found by BSP and CONDOR.

    5.3.1. Permuted data. In order to assess the propensity of each method to detect spu-rious bimodules, we applied BSP and CONDOR to five data sets obtained by jointly per-muting the sample labels for the expression measurements and most covariates (all exceptthe five genotype PCs), while keeping the labels for genotype measurements and genotypecovariates unchanged. Each data set obtained in this way is a realization of the permuta-tion null defined in Definition 3.1. BSP found very few (5-12) bimodules in the permuteddatasets compared to the real data (3344). CONDOR found no bimodules in any of thepermuted datasets.

    5.3.2. Bimodule sizes. Most (89%) bimodules found by BSP have fewer than 4 genesand 50 SNPs, but BSP also identified moderately sized bimodules having 10-100 genes and30-1000 SNPs (see Figure 2). The bimodules found by CONDOR were moderately sized,with 10-100 genes and several hundred SNPs, except for a smaller bimodule with 5 genesand 43 SNPs. On the permuted data, most bimodules found by BSP have fewer than 2genes and 2 SNPs.

    As a one dimensional measure, we define the geometric size of a bimodule (A,B) to bethe geometric mean

    √|A||B| of its gene and counts, or equivalently, the square root of the

    number of gene-SNP pairs in the bimodule.

    5.3.3. Connectivity threshold and network sparsity. Stable bimodules capture aggregateassociation between groups of SNPs and genes, however it is unclear how to recover individ-ual SNP-gene associations within these bimodules. Motivated by the network perspective,in Section 3.4 we proposed evaluating for each bimodule (A,B), the connectivity threshold(9) and the corresponding network of essential edges (10) between A and B. To understandthe structure of the network of essential edges, we further calculated the tree-multiplicity

    (13) TreeMul(A,B).=|essential-edges(A,B)|

    |A|+ |B| − 1,

    which measures the number of essential edges relative to the number of edges in a tree onthe same node set. TreeMul(A,B) is never less than 1, and takes the value 1 exactly whenthe essential edges form a tree.

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 17

    Fig 2: The sizes of bimodules detected by BSP,CONDOR and sCCA, and sizes of bimodules de-tected by BSP under the 5 permuted datasets.

    Fig 3: Correlations corresponding to SNP-genepairs that appear as essential-edges (Section 3.4)in one or more BSP bimodules with geometricsize above 10. Local pairs to the left of the blueline (cis-analysis threshold) and distal pairs tothe left red line (trans-analysis threshold) showimportance at the network level but were not dis-covered by standard eQTL analysis.

    For bimodules found by BSP, the connectivity thresholds ranged from 0.14 to 0.59 andtree-multiplicities ranged from 1 to 10; the smaller values of the former and larger valuesof latter were associated with bimodules of larger geometric size (Fig. 9, Appendix D.4).Smaller bimodules had large connectivity thresholds and a tree-like essential edge network;in other words, such bimodules were connected under a small number of strong and local(see Section 5.4.2) SNP-gene associations. On the other hand larger bimodules had lowerconnectivity thresholds, meaning that we had to include weaker and often distal (see Sec-tion 5.4.2) SNP-gene associations to connect such bimodules. After including the weakerSNP-gene edges, although the association network for large bimodules had tree-multiplicityaround 10 (Fig. 9, Appendix D.4), these networks were still sparsely connected comparedto the complete bipartite graph on the same nodes.

    5.4. Biological Validation. In order to assess potential biological utility of bimodulesfound by BSP, we compared the SNP-gene pairs in bimodules to those found by standardcis- and trans-eQTL analysis, studied the locations of the SNPs, and examined the genesets for enrichment of known functional categories.

    5.4.1. Comparison with standard eQTL analysis. As described earlier, the bimodulesproduced by CONDOR are derived directly from SNP-gene pairs identified by cis- andtrans-eQTL analysis. Table 1 compares these eQTL pairs with those found in bimodulesidentified by BSP. Recall that cis-eQTL analysis considers only local SNP-gene pairs (im-proving detection power by reducing multiple testing), while trans-eQTL analysis and BSPdo not use any information about locations of the SNPs and genes. We find that half ofthe pairs identified by cis-eQTL analysis and most of the pairs identified by trans-eQTLanalysis appear in at least one bimodule.

    Bimodules capture sub-networks of SNP-gene associations rather than individual eQTLs,and as such individual SNP-gene pairs in a bimodule need not be eQTLs. In fact, the resultsof Section 5.3.3 suggest that the association networks underlying large bimodules may besparse. Define a bimodule (A,B) to be connected by a set of eQTLs if the bipartite graphwith vertex set A ∪ B and edges corresponding to the eQTLs is connected. As shown in

  • 18 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    Analysis type % eQTLs found among bimodules % bimodules connected by eQTLs

    trans-eQTL analysis 84% 70%cis-eQTL analysis 51% 88%

    Table 1Comparison of BSP and standard eQTL analysis. A gene-SNP pair is said to be found among a collectionbimodules if the gene and SNP are both part of some common bimodule. On the other hand, we say that a

    bimodule is connected by a collection of eQTLs if under the gene-SNP pairs from the collection, thebimodule forms a connected graph.

    Table 1, a significant fraction of BSP bimodules are not connected by either cis- or trans-eQTLs. The discovery of such bimodules suggests that the sub-networks identified by BSPcannot be found by standard eQTL analysis, and that these sub-networks can provide newinsights and hypotheses for further study.

    To identify potentially new eQTLs using BSP, we examine bimodule connectivity underthe combined set of cis- and trans-eQTLs. All of the bimodules with one SNP or one geneare connected by the combined set of eQTLs (Appendix D.5), and therefore all edges inthese bimodules are discovered by standard analyses. On the other hand, 224 out of the 358bimodules with geometric size larger than 10 were not connected by the combined set ofeQTLs. In Figure 3, we plot the correlations corresponding to SNP-gene pairs that appearas essential-edges (Section 3.4) in one or more bimodules with geometric size above 10, alongwith the correlation thresholds for cis-eQTL (blue line) and trans-eQTL (red line) analysis.Around 300 local edges (i.e. the SNP is located within 1MB of the gene transcription startsite) and 8.8K distal edges do not meet the correlation thresholds for cis- and trans-eQTLanalysis, respectively, but show evidence of importance at the network level, and may beworthy of further study.

    5.4.2. Genomic locations. We studied the chromosomal location and proximity of SNPsand genes from bimodules found by BSP and CONDOR. While CONDOR uses genomiclocations as part of the cis-eQTL analysis in its first stage, BSP does not make use oflocation information. Genetic control of expression is often enriched in a region local tothe gene (GTEx Consortium, 2017). All CONDOR bimodules, and almost all (99.3%) BSPbimodules, have at least one local SNP-gene pair (the SNP is located within 1MB of thegene transcription start site). In 93.5% of the smaller BSP bimodules (geometric size 10 orsmaller) and 54.8% of the medium to large BSP bimodules (geometric size above 10) eachgene and each SNP had a local counterpart SNP or gene within the bimodule.

    For each bimodule, we examined the chromosomal locations of its SNPs and genes. AllSNPs and many of the genes from the six CONDOR bimodules were located on Chromosome6; two CONDOR bimodules also had genes located on Chromosome 8 and Chromosome 9.The SNPs and genes from the BSP bimodules were distributed across all 23 chromosomes:170 of the 2947 small bimodules spanned 2 to 5 chromosomes and 152 of the 358 mediumto large bimodules spanned 2 to 11 chromosomes; however the remaining bimodules werelocalized to a chromosome each.

    Figure 4 illustrates the genomic locations of two bimodules found by BSP, with SNPlocation on the left and gene location on the right (only active chromosomes are shown).In addition, the figure illustrates the essential edges (Section 3.4) of each bimodule. Theresulting bipartite graph provides insight into the underlying associations between SNPsand genes that constitute the bimodule. See Appendix D.6 for more such illustrations.

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 19

    Fig 4: The gene-SNP association network for two BSP bimodules mapped onto the genome.The network of essential edges was formed by thresholding the cross-correlation matrix forthe bimodule at the connectivity threshold (Section 3.4).

    5.4.3. Gene Ontology enrichment for bimodules. The Gene Ontology (GO) databasecontains a curated collection of gene sets that are known to be associated with differentbiological functions (c.f. Gene Ontology Consortium, 2014; Botstein et al., 2000; Rhee et al.,2008). The topGO (Alexa and Rahnenfuhrer, 2018) package assesses whether sets in theGO database are enriched for a given gene set using Fisher’s test. For each of the 145BSP bimodules having a gene set B with 8 or more elements, we used topGO to assess theenrichment of B in 6463 GO gene sets of size more than 10, representing biological processes;however these significant sets were not apparently related to thyroid-specific function. Weretained results with significant BH q-values (α = .05). Of the 145 gene sets considered,18 had significant overlap with one or more biological process. Repeating with randomlychosen gene sets of the same size yielded no results. The significant GO terms for BSP andCONDOR can be found in Appendix D.7.

    6. Application of BSP to North American Temperature-Precipitation Data.

    6.1. Introduction. The relationship between temperature and precipitation over NorthAmerica has been well documented (Madden and Williams, 1978; Berg et al., 2015; Adleret al., 2008; Livneh and Hoerling, 2016; Hao et al., 2018) and is of agricultural impor-tance. For example, Berg et al. (2015) noted widespread correlation between summertimemean temperature and precipitation at the same location over various land regions. Weexplore these relationships using the Bimodule Search Procedure. In particular, the methodallows us to search for clusters of distal temperature-precipitation relationships, known asteleconnections, whereas previous work has mostly focused on analyzing spatially proximalcorrelations.

    We applied BSP to find pairs of geographic regions such that summer temperature in thefirst region is significantly correlated in aggregate with summer precipitation in the secondregion one year later. We will refer to such region pairs as T-P (temperature-precipitation)

  • 20 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    bimodules. T-P bimodules reflect mesoscale analysis of region-specific climatic patterns,which can be useful for predicting impact of climatic changes on practical outcomes likeagricultural output.

    6.2. Data Description and Processing. The Climatic Research Unit (CRU TS version4.01) data (Harris et al., 2014) contains daily global measurements of temperature (T) andprecipitation (P) levels on land over a .5o × .5o (360 pixels by 720 pixels) resolution gridfrom 1901 to 2016. We reduced the resolution of the data to 2.5o×2.5o (72 by 144 pixels) byaveraging over neighboring pixels and restricted to 427 pixels corresponding to the latitude-longitude pairs within North America. For each available year and each pixel/location weaveraged temperature (T) and precipitation (P) over the summer months of June, July, andAugust. Each feature of the resulting time series was centered and scaled to have zero meanand unit variance. The data matrix X, reflecting temperature, had 115 rows containing theannual summer-aggregated temperatures from 1901 to 2015 for each of the 427 locations.The data matrix Y, reflecting precipitation, had 115 rows containing the annual summer-aggregated precipitation from 1902 to 2016 (lagged by one year from temperature) for eachof the 427 locations.

    Analysis of summer precipitation versus summer temperatures lagged by 2 years, andtemperatures from different seasons (winter T; summer P of the same year) in the sameyear did not yield any bimodules.

    6.3. Bimodules Search Procedure and Diagnostics. We ran BSP on the processed datawith the false discovery parameter α = 0.045, selected from the grid {0.01, 0.015, 0.02, . . . 0.05}to keep edge-error under 0.1 (see Figure 12, Appendix E). BSP searches for groups of temper-ature and precipitation pixels that have significant aggregate cross-correlation. Temperatureand precipitation are known to be spatial and temporally auto-correlated. Although BSPdoes not use spatial locations of the pixels, it directly accounts for spatial-correlations. Thepermutation null (Definition 3.1) used in BSP imposes an exchangeablilty assumption onsamples which may fail under temporal auto-correlation. The temporal auto-correlation inour data was moderate, ranging from 0.10 to 0.30 for various features.

    BSP found five distinct bimodules, while the effective number (Appendix B.4) of bimod-ules was three. After the filtering step (Appendix B.4), the two bimodules illustrated inFigure 5 and another bimodule with 80 temperature pixels and 5 precipitation pixels re-mained. We omitted a further analysis of the last bimodule since its precipitation pixelswere same as those of bimodule B in Figure 5 and its temperature pixels were geographicallyscattered.

    Temperature pixels in the two bimodules are situated distally from the precipitationpixels, but the temperature and precipitation pixels within a bimodule form blocks of con-tiguous geographical regions. Since BSP did not use any location information while searchingfor these bimodules, these effects might have a common spatial origin.

    The locations from the bimodules occupy large geographical areas on the map. Theprecipitation pixels from the bimodule on the left in Fig. 5 form a vertical stretch aroundthe eastern edge of the Great Plains and are correlated with temperature pixels in large areasof land in the Pacific Northwest, Alaska, and Mexico. In the second bimodule Fig. 5 (right)precipitation pixels in the southern Great Plains around Oklahoma are strongly correlatedwith temperature pixels in the Northwestern Great Plains. An anomalously hot summerOregon in one year in the Northwest suggests an anomalously rainy growing season in thefollowing year in the Southern Great Plains. Pixel-wise positive correlations are confirmed

  • BIMODULE SEARCH PROCEDURE 21

    CRU: T(JJA)-P(JJA, offset), 1901-2016, α = .045

    Fig 5: Bimodules of summer temperature and precipitation in North America from CRU observations from1901-2016. The left bimodule (A) contains 149 temperature locations (pixels) and 6 precipitation locations.The right bimodule (B) contains 53 temperature and 5 precipitation locations.

    in Appendix E.The coastal proximity in all the temperature clusters suggest influences of oscillations in

    sea surface temperatures. Aforementioned patterns from both bimodules map to locationsof agricultural productivity, such as in Oklahoma and Missouri (figure 5).

    The bimodules found by BSP only consider the magnitudes of correlations between thetemperature and precipitation pixels. Upon further analysis of these bimodules we see thatthe significantly correlated temperature and precipitation pixels are positively correlated inthe Great Plains region. These results agree with findings on concurrent T-P correlations inthe Great Plains (Zhao and Khalil, 1993; Berg et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2019), which notedwidespread correlations between summertime mean temperatures and precipitation at thesame location over land in various parts of North America, notably the Great plains. Ourfindings show strong correlations between northwestern (coastal) temperatures and GreatPlains precipitation and generally agree with findings in the literature. For example, Livnehand Hoerling (2016) considered the relationship between hot temperatures and droughts inthe Great Plains, noting that hot temperatures in the summer are related to droughts inthe following year on the overall global scale. The results of Livneh and Hoerling (2016)preface the results contained within the bimodules, but BSP is able to find regions wherethis effect is significant.

    Our findings demonstrate the utility of BSP in finding insights into remote correlationsbetween precipitation and temperature in North America. Further research may build onthese exploratory findings and create a model that can forecast precipitation in agricultur-ally productive regions around the world.

    7. Discussion. The Bimodule Search Procedure (BSP) is an exploratory tool thatsearches for groups of features with significant aggregate cross-correlation, which we referto as bimodules. Rather than relying on an underlying generative model, BSP makes useof iterative hypothesis-testing to identify stable bimodules, which satisfy a natural stabilitycondition. The false discovery threshold α ∈ (0, 1) is the only free parameter of the proce-dure. Efficient approximation of the p-values used for iterative testing allow BSP to run onlarge datasets.

    At the population level, stable bimodules can be characterized in terms of the connected

  • 22 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    components of the population cross-correlation network. At the sample level, stable bimod-ules depend on both cross-correlations and intra-correlations, which are not part of thecross-correlation network. Nevertheless, the network perspective provides insights in boththe simulation study and the real data analysis.

    Using a complex, network-based simulation study, we found that BSP was able to recovermost true bimodules with significant cross-correlation strength, while simultaneously con-trolling the false discovery of edges having network-level importance. Among true bimoduleswith similar cross-correlation strengths, those with lower intra-correlations were more likelyto be recovered than those with higher intra-correlations, reflecting the incorporation ofintra-correlations in the calculation of p-values; the effects of intra-correlations were mostpronounced when the cross-correlation strength was moderate.

    When applied to eQTL data, BSP bimodules identified both local and distal effects,capturing half of the eQTLs found by standard cis-analysis and most of the eQTLs found bystandard trans-analysis. Further, a substantial proportion of bimodules contained SNP-genepairs that were important at the network level but not deemed significant under pairwisetrans-analysis.

    At root, the discovery of bimodules by BSP and CONDOR is driven by the presenceor absence of correlations between features of different types. A key issue for these, andrelated, methods is how they behave with increasing sample size. In general, increasingsample size will yield greater power to detect cross-correlations, and therefore one expectsthe sizes of bimodule to increase. While this is often a desirable outcome, in applicationswhere non-zero cross-correlations (possibly of small size) are the norm, this increased powermay yield very large bimodules with little interpretive value. Evidence of this phenomenais found in the simulation study where, due to the presence of cross-edges, increasing thesample size from n = 200 to n = 600 yields larger BSP bimodules, which often containmultiple true bimodules (Appendix C.3). This may well reflect the underlying biology ofgenetic regulation: the omni-genic hypothesis of Boyle, Li and Pritchard (2017) suggeststhat a substantial portion of the gene-SNP cross-correlation network might be connectedat the population level.

    An obvious way to address “super connectivity” of the cross-correlation network is tochange the definition of bimodule to account for the magnitude of cross-correlations, ratherthan their mere presence or absence. Incorporating a more stringent definition of connec-tivity in BSP would require modifying the permutation null distribution and addressingthe theory and computation behind such a modification, both of which are areas of futureresearch.

    Acknowledgment. M.D., J.P., and A.B.N. were supported by NIH grant R01 HG009125-01 and NSF grant DMS-1613072. M.H. was awarded the Department of Defense, Air ForceOffice of Scientific Research, National Defense Science and Engineering Graduate (NDSEG)Fellowship, 32 CFR 168a and funded by government support under contract FA9550-11-C-0028. M.I.L. was supported by NIH grants R01 HG009125-01 and R01-HG009937. Theauthors wish to acknowledge numerous helpful conversations with Fred Wright and RichardSmith.

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    APPENDIX A: PROOF OF LEMMA 2

    Proof of Lemma 2. Suppose 0 < � < �0. Fix A ⊆ S and observe that for any B ⊆ T

    Φ�(A,B) =∑t∈B

    ∑s∈A

    (ρ2(s, t)− �

    )=∑t∈B

    (ρ2(A, t)− � |A|).(14)

    Since � |A| < �0 |A| ≤ δ, for any t ∈ T , if ρ2(A, t) > 0 then ρ2(A, t) − � |A| > 0. Hence themaximum over subsets B ⊆ T will be uniquely attained at

    (15) arg maxB⊆T

    Φ�(A,B) ={t ∈ T | ρ2(A, t)− � |A| > 0

    }={t ∈ T | ρ2(A, t) > 0

    }Similarly, if we fix A ⊆ T , we can show

    (16) arg maxA⊆S

    Φ�(A,B) ={s ∈ S | ρ2(s,B) > 0

    }Hence the pair of non-empty sets (A∗, B∗) is a Nash equilibrium if and only if

    A∗ ={s ∈ S | ρ2(s,B∗) > 0

    }and B∗ =

    {t ∈ T | ρ2(A∗, t) > 0

    }.

    These conditions are the same as those required for (A∗, B∗) to be a population bimodule(Definition 2.1).

    APPENDIX B: BSP IMPLEMENTATION DETAILS

    B.1. Dealing with cycles and large sets. In practice, we do not want the sizes ofthe sets (Ak, Bk) in the iteration to grow too large as this slows computation, and largebimodules are difficult to interpret. Therefore the search procedure is terminated when thegeometric size of (Ak, Bk) exceeds 5000. In some cases, the sequence of iterates (Ak, Bk)for k ∈ {1, . . . , kmax} will form a cycle of length greater than 1, and will therefore fail toreach a fixed point. To search for a nearby fixed point instead, when we encounter the cycle(Ak, Bk) = (Al, Bl) for some l < k − 1, we set (Al+1, Bl+1) to (Ak ∩ Ak−1, Bk ∩ Bk−1) andcontinue the iteration.

  • 26 M. DEWASKAR, J. PALOWITCH, M. HE, M.I. LOVE, AND A.B. NOBEL

    B.2. Initialization heuristics for large datasets. When S is large, we initializeBSP from all the features in T , but initialize only from a subset of randomly chosen fea-tures in S. We also note that identical resultant bimodules are repeatedly discovered byBSP starting from different initializations, often from features within said bimodule. Thisproblem is particularly prominent for large bimodules which may be rediscovered by uptoseveral thousand initializations. Hence, to avoid some of this redundant computation, wemay skip initializing BSP from features in the bimodules that have already been discovered.

    B.3. Choice of α using half-permutation based edge-error estimates. To selectthe false discovery parameter α for BSP, we estimate the edge-error for each value of α froma pre-specified grid. The edge-error is an edge-based false discovery notion for bimodules,defined as the average fraction of erroneous essential-edges (defined in Section 3.4) amongbimodules. Since we do not know the ground truth, we estimate the edge-error for BSP byrunning it on instances o