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NorEdge Interanational Dr Norman A Naaman [(BA (Hons), MA (Econ), Doctor of Finance, CPA, CIA, CISA)] FLY LIGHT LTD Strategic Plan

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Page 1: FLY LIGHT LTD - noredgegroup.orgnoredgegroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Complete-Airline-Stra… · NorEdge Interanational Dr Norman A Naaman [(BA (Hons), MA (Econ), Doctor of

NorEdge Interanational Dr Norman A Naaman [(BA (Hons), MA (Econ), Doctor of Finance, CPA, CIA, CISA)]

FLY LIGHT LTD Strategic Plan

Page 2: FLY LIGHT LTD - noredgegroup.orgnoredgegroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/Complete-Airline-Stra… · NorEdge Interanational Dr Norman A Naaman [(BA (Hons), MA (Econ), Doctor of

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1.0 Executive Summary .................................................................................................................... 3

Introduction ........................................................................................................................................... 3

Growth industry aviation .................................................................................................................. 3

The Lufthansa Aviation Group ........................................................................................................ 3

The Company- Fly Light .................................................................................................................... 4

Services ................................................................................................................................................... 4

The Market ............................................................................................................................................. 5

Financial Considerations ................................................................................................................... 5

1.1 Objectives ....................................................................................................................................... 7

1.2 Vision ................................................................................................................................................ 7

1.3 Mission ............................................................................................................................................. 7

1.4 Our Values ...................................................................................................................................... 7

2.0 Environmental Scan of the Airline Industry ....................................................................... 8

2.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................... 8

2.2 Regulatory Environment ........................................................................................................... 9

2.3 Market Analysis ............................................................................................................................ 9

2.3.1 Global Airline Industry ........................................................................................................... 9

2.3.2 The Transformation of Air Transport .............................................................................. 13

2.3.3 A new market outlook .......................................................................................................... 16

Transformation of the market....................................................................................................... 16

2.3.4 The changing face of air transport .................................................................................. 16

2.3.5 The environment .................................................................................................................... 20

2.4 The Airline Industry Analysis by Region ........................................................................... 20

2.5 The Airline Industry Environmental Scan Summary .................................................... 30

2.5.1 Pest, Porter’s Five Forces, and stakeholder Analysis ............................................... 34

2.6 Conclusion .................................................................................................................................... 38

3.0 Strategic Management Plan ................................................................................................... 39

3.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 39

Management and Culture ............................................................................................................... 39

More than just an airline, a lifestyle ............................................ Error! Bookmark not defined.

Superior Product and Service ....................................................................................................... 39

Strong Sales team............................................................................................................................. 39

Low Cost Operation .......................................................................................................................... 40

Low Break-Even Point ...................................................................................................................... 40

The Internet ........................................................................................................................................ 40

3.2 Strategy ........................................................................................................................................ 40

Operating Strategy: One type of aircraft, one class of service ........................................ 40

3.2.1 Pricing Strategy ...................................................................................................................... 40

Simple and Transparent Fare Structure .................................................................................... 40

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3.2.2 Sales, Marketing, and Distribution Strategy ............................................................... 41

Marketing and Sales Strategy ...................................................................................... 41 Sales and Distribution ...................................................................................................... 42 Large Volume Companies (1000+ sectors per annum) ...................................................... 42

Medium Volume Companies (50-1000 sectors) ..................................................................... 42

Small and Medium Enterprises (up to 50 sectors) ................................................................ 42

Electronic Ticketing ........................................................................................................................... 42

Distribution and Revenue Management .................................................................................... 43

Travel Agency ..................................................................................................................................... 43

Call Centres ......................................................................................................................................... 43

Direct Sales through the Internet ............................................................................................... 43

Advertising and Communication .................................................................................................. 43

3.2.3 Growth Strategy ..................................................................................................................... 43

Phase I: Market Penetration in high density routes ............................................................. 44

Phase II: Extend service to medium/low density long haul routes ................................ 44

Other Opportunities .......................................................................................................................... 44

3.2.4 Operations ................................................................................................................................ 44

Air Operator's Certificate and Operating License .................................................................. 44

Slots and Airports .............................................................................................................................. 44

Maintenance and Training .............................................................................................................. 45

Management ........................................................................................................................ 45 Convenience ........................................................................................................................................ 45

Frequent Flyer Program .................................................................................................................. 45

3.2.5 Organizational Structure ..................................................................................................... 45

3.2.6 Values and Culture ................................................................................................................ 47

3.2.7 Financial Plan .......................................................................................................................... 48

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1.0 Executive Summary

Introduction

Lufthansa has attuned to the changing markets with a clear strategy. The focus is

on core competences and profitable growth. It has further improved efficiency

and increased competitiveness. Currently it has taken further steps to occupy a

good position compared with international competition – as the most attractive

and profitable European network carrier with a global offer. Fly Light is one of the

innovations within the group that has been formed to cater for a specific niche

market with a mission to deliver ‘positively outrageous service at unbelievably low fares.’

Growth industry aviation

The aviation market is a growth industry par excellence: it is growing twice as

fast as the gross national product. Globalisation, which would not be conceivable

without transport services for people and goods, is one of the most significant

driving forces.

For an airline, especially, it is essential to have a tight network.

LH’s flight network – the densest in Europe – represents an excellent base from

which it can develop continued profitable growth. Together with its partners in

Star Alliance it also offers the largest global network.

Opportunity to participate in the forecast increase in air traffic and to grow with it

is certainly available: economic relations between countries are becoming even

closer. Asia, notably China, and India are opening up to world trade more and

more. The growth rates in air traffic in the Far East are correspondingly high:

Eight to ten per cent for China and India, around three per cent forecast for

Japan, while an increase of five to six per cent is expected worldwide.

The Lufthansa Aviation Group

As an Aviation Group, Lufthansa pursues activities in five business areas:

Passenger Business, Logistics, MRO, Catering and IT Services. The basis for our

activities is the management of international passenger and cargo flights,

independently and with partner airlines. Europe is our home market. In addition

to air transport, we provide our customers with integrated solutions along the

entire service chain by consistently harnessing synergy potential. We also offer

our skills in aircraft maintenance and overhaul, airline catering and IT services to

external customers, worldwide.

All our business areas make a significant contribution to sustainable value

creation in the Group by focusing consistently on their core business. They all

target on market leadership in their business segment. Our corporate and

business area portfolio is stable but not static. We judiciously anticipate changes

in the business environment, in which we operate, and adapt our portfolio to

accommodate them. We operate in the market under the core Lufthansa brand

and other brands. All those brands manifest our commitment to providing

customers with a service noted for safety, reliability, punctuality, technical

competence, quality, flexibility and innovation.

Lufthansa is committed to creating sustainable value for its investors with aim at

a performance level that stands as a benchmark for the European airline industry.

Business success does not rule out a corporate policy geared to sustainable

development and care for the environment. Lufthansa is fully committed to

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keeping a balance between them. Protecting the environment is therefore a prime

corporate objective, to which we subscribe with total conviction.

The Company- Fly Light

Fly Light, a Low Cost Carrier Division of the Lufthansa group has been created

and will be organized as a Limited Liability Company based in Germany. The

principle investors and operators will be responsible for all airplane acquisitions

and company decisions.

Fly Light will operate its flights in major Europe’s Airports. The flight records,

scheduling, and office will be located within the LH group’s offices.

Services Passenger Transportation is the central business segment of the Group in terms

of size and core competencies. LH gains a wider access to markets and exploits

expansion possibilities for example by being part of the Star Alliance. This applies

in particular to Asia and Eastern Europe, but also in the Americas. Cooperation

with Air China is an important milestone in opening up the Asian market. To this

extent it is an important task of Lufthansa to expand airline partnerships in

Germany, Europe and worldwide.

Following EU policies of aviation liberalization, Fly Light’s ‘no-frills’ airline will start

with the Southwest model: low fares, no on-board meals, no allocated seats,

often using regional airports and lower staffing costs. Initially expected to attract

mainly leisure travellers, much of the demand could turn out to be from business

travellers who resent paying premium fares to travel within Europe. Estimates

suggest that almost half the customers for the low-cost carriers are price

conscious business travellers. The ‘no-frills’ operations undercut the big carriers

by as much as 50 per cent and focus mainly on high volume, short-haul, point-to-

point trips. Low fares will be achieved by exploiting several important levers to

achieve low cost (the alternative of low fares with high costs is clearly

unattractive). A report by the Civil Aviation Authority of the UK notes that the

‘no-frills’ operators can get costs per seat down to half those of the major

network carriers. Savings come from:

- Distribution costs – it has been estimated that as much as 25 per cent of

the cost of conventional air tickets comes from distribution, e.g. travel

agent commissions and promotion, the computerized reservation system

shared by major airlines and the coupon exchanges to reconcile passenger

switches. Direct selling and ticketless travel avoid most of these costs.

- In-flight catering and staffing – conventional airlines provide ‘free’ meals

and drinks in their ticket prices. Removing these services saves money

(and a lot of waste when passengers turn down the food because they

want to sleep).

- Fleet uniformity – a fleet standardized on a single aircraft type drastically

reduces maintenance and spares costs and crew training.

- Regional airports – using regional airports instead of the major hubs has

several important implications. It gives access to the underserved regional

population in the regional airport’s catchment area; fees are lower; less

congestion allows the operator to be more efficient and to get better utilization from the aircraft (because they stay on the ground for less time).

The Fly Light service will adopt the ‘no-frills’ offer Southwest makes to its

customers. The essential elements are:

- very low fares – with the effect of filling the aircraft with people who might

not otherwise have flown at all

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- cattle-car boarding with no assigned seating or classes of seat

- no in-flight service apart from a soft drink and a bag of nuts

The Market

In order to achieve our goals we will primarily expand in markets which have the

highest potential. For intercontinental traffic this means, for example, that we

want to extent and build up our business in China and India, the most important

Asian growth markets.

Europe is growing in the metropolis and locally. A significant component of our

strategy in continental travel is therefore to be present, ourselves or with strong

partnerships, wherever Europe is growing, such as Eastern Europe.

We gain a wider access to markets and exploit expansion possibilities for example

by being part of the Star Alliance. This applies in particular to Asia and Eastern

Europe, but also in the Americas. Our cooperation with Air China is an important

milestone in opening up the Asian market. To this extent it is an important task of

Lufthansa to expand airline partnerships in Germany, Europe and worldwide.

Our customers benefit from Star Alliance through the global network and high

frequency of flights. Together we are striving to enlarge the group of airlines.

Since 1997, the number of partners has increased from five to 16 members. They

also want to intensify their cooperation. This includes, for example, creating a

common IT platform. Apart from Star Alliance, Lufthansa Regional is an important

part of the partnership concept. Our passengers benefit from a comprehensive

and high quality range of direct flights and transfer possibilities in the regional

segment.

Bilateral cooperations also add to the routes on offer from Lufthansa. The number

of bilateral partners has increased from six to 15 airlines. The cooperation

involves, among other things, code sharing and mutual recognition of frequent

flyer programmes. Our partner airlines in this segment include Air China,

Shanghai Airlines and Air India.

Lufthansa and its partners offer direct flights between cities in Germany and

Europe as well as via the hubs connecting flights to around 800 destinations in

140 countries. Our “multi hubbing” concept serves to expand our market access

as well as improving the connection quality for our customers. With SWISS, the

previous hubs in Frankfurt and Munich are augmented by the addition of Zurich,

where SWISS already has a strong direct offer to Africa.

Financial Considerations

Financial flexibility gives room for strategic development and will make us more

independent of external influences. Lufthansa's growth plans are, therefore,

supported by a solid financial profile. Demanding minimum liquidity requirements,

a solid capital structure, investment-grade ratings and a host of bilateral banking

relationships are key elements of our financial set-up. By systematically analysing

and limiting financial risks, such as those from currently extremely volatile fuel

prices and exchange rates, we will also provide support for, and safeguard, the

Company’s operational and strategic development. Lufthansa also benefits, in

many cases, from flexible cost structures, which come into play during seasonal

or cyclical variations or in the event of unforeseen external occurrences.

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The Group's fleet is not only by far the largest asset in the balance sheet, but also

is a resource which makes a key contribution to value creation. The Lufthansa

fleet consists of both Airbus and Boeing planes in addition to various regional

aircraft. This structure gives us the greatest flexibility in negotiations for new

aircraft, as the Group has the training and technical resources necessary for flight

operations for models of both suppliers. The different seating capacities and

ranges of the individual models ensure that they can be closely adapted to the

demands of various markets.

A modern, well-structured fleet is an important cornerstone for Lufthansa's future

competitiveness. This means that a number of factors must be taken into

consideration when renewing and expanding the existing fleet. The number and

size of aircraft must match expected traffic flows. At the same time, the aircraft

must be set up to meet the customers' wishes and to be as economical and

environmentally friendly as possible, particularly regarding fuel consumption. The

current fleet order programme takes these aspects into account and also makes

sure that sufficient capacity is available when needed.

The Airbus A380 is going to be the future backbone of our long-haul fleet for

routes with high passenger traffic. In order to fill the gap in capacity caused by

delivery delays, five Airbus A330s and seven Airbus A340-600s were ordered at

the end of 2006, which will be put into service successively from summer 2008.

To provide support for profitable growth at SWISS, its A330 fleet is also to be

modernised and extended from 2009 onwards. With the order for the Boeing 747-

8 Lufthansa will replace existing aircraft from 2010, and create additional

capacities for planned growth in intercontinental traffic in line with the market.

Lufthansa has the route network in Europe. As a result of expanding the

intercontinental routes this position also needs to be secured and developed. At

the same time, we want to make the network more attractive for business

travellers. This means that the European and regional fleets are systematically

modernised and expanded. The successive delivery of the Airbus A320 sub-fleet

ordered started in October 2007. From 2009 onwards, the regional fleet will be

modernised with more efficient aircraft.

A key competitive success factor is the ability to adjust capacities to market

developments. Lufthansa enjoys this flexibility in several respects. An anticipatory

order policy with staggered orders for new aircraft covers our requirements under

various growth scenarios. A high level of standardisation in the cockpit equipment

of sub-fleets (e. g. the Airbus A320 family), means that they can be deployed

flexibly across the different airlines in the Group. Furthermore, as the Group fleet

is largely unencumbered, the growth path can be adjusted by optimising the

share of new orders required for replacement and growth at short notice. In our

current fleet programme, therefore, we attach great importance to this flexibility

to adjust to different growth scenarios. If demand grows as expected, we will

successively rejuvenate older sub-fleets with ordered aircraft as planned. If

demand is brisker than forecast, however, we have the option of flying existing

aircraft for longer. We have also secured options with flexible draw-downs for all

sub-fleets in order to respond to higher demand at short notice. Equally, if the

market should enter a longer downturn, we are in a position to withdraw aircraft

from operations by bringing maintenance work forward or putting them out of

service earlier. The fleet being mostly owned by the Group and the estimated

useful life of twelve years provide this flexibility at only minimal ongoing financial

expense.

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1.1 Objectives

1. Form the Fly Light Limited Liability Corporation (LLC) for liability protection

of personal and company assets. 2. Operate the flights for at least 50 revenue flight hours per month. 3. Fly Light revenue to exceed hangar, insurance, fuel, maintenance upkeep

and loan expenses resulting in a net income/profit. 4. Generate added value for the customers, to exploit market opportunities

and thus to contribute to the profitable growth of the Group.

1.2 Vision

To be the best low cost carrier airline in the European region.

1.3 Mission

Fly Light aims to become the most attractive and most profitable European low

cost network carrier with a global offer. The company also wishes to remain a

trusted low cost airline. Our most important commercial motto is “more cash“. By

this we mean sustained cash flow growth that creates value.

To achieve this we will offer low fares to eliminate most traditional passenger

services. Our practices will include:

1. a single passenger class

2. a single type of airplane, the Boeing 737 ( thus reduce training and

servicing costs)

3. a simple fare scheme (fares will increase as the plane fills up, which

rewards early reservations, known as "yield management")

4. unreserved seating (encouraging passengers to board early and quickly)

5. flying to cheaper, less congested secondary airports (avoiding air traffic

delays and taking advantage of lower landing fees)

6. short flights and fast turnaround times (allowing maximum utilization of

planes)

7. simplified routes, emphasizing point-to-point transit instead of transfers at

hubs (again enhancing aircraft utilization)

8. emphasis on direct sales of tickets, especially over the Internet (avoiding

fees and commissions paid to travel agents and corporate booking

systems)

9. employees working in multiple roles, for instance flight attendants also

cleaning the aircraft or working as gate agents (limiting personnel costs)

10. "Free" in-flight catering and other "complimentary" services will be eliminated, and replaced by optional paid-for in-flight food and drink.

1.4 Our Values

1. Focus on customer benefits The customer is central to our business

activities. We address customer requirements and offer commit to meeting

the customer fast travel needs.

2. Accent on core skills Our core skills determine our activities. Those skills

encompass management of flight networks, nurturing partnerships,

operating processes on the ground and in the air.

3. System integration sets the pace We will develop our system

integration in order to extend our competitive lead over other locations,

airlines and alliances. We will cooperate closely with major partners,

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suppliers and infrastructure providers in order to integrate and optimise

our core processes.

4. Attractive working environment We will offer staff good working

conditions, commensurate incentives for personal development and an

energising, international corporate culture as they are integral to our

success.

5. Social responsibility We commit to keeping a balance between business

and social prerogatives. Environmental protection and sustainable development are prime objectives of corporate policy.

2.0 Environmental Scan of the Airline Industry

2.1 Introduction

The commercial aviation industry is unique as a production “factory”, with the

perishable nature of its primary product flowing out of each airport as its

factories. The product, available seats to a number of locations at a particular

time of day, is the perishable commodity. There is no way to recapture that

product and value once the plane departs if a seat is empty. The seat cannot go

on a shelf waiting to be purchased the next day (Lucio Petroccione Jr. 2007).

The airport-factory is dependent on receiving the inventory of seats, i.e. the

arriving aircraft, which produces available seats to leave the airport. The steady,

reliable delivery of inventory is highly dependent upon an independent vendor

and upon meteorological factors. Both variables may appear to be beyond the

airline’s control. For instance, the Federal Aviation Air Traffic Control System

(ATC) is responsible for the delivery channels and capacity of aircraft to the

airport factories on schedule. Airlines can sometimes influence ATC outcomes,

but they cannot directly control them. Weather, a constant and unpredictable

component, further contributes to the complexity of delivering inventory where

and when needed. The airlines themselves have limited control on the impact

and timely delivery of inventory in conformance to their production schedule (the

flight schedule). An area where airlines have some influence on this capacity is

through their network design and schedule. All of these elements are directly

linked, subjecting the process to a high degree of variation, which in industrial

terms creates a defect rate impacting the timely availability of capacity compared

to the planned schedule.

Once the inventory, the airplane, is on the ground, the factory strives for

optimum throughput levels in order to ship the newly available seats back out of

the factory. The cycle repeats itself over and over, and success is dependent

upon a steady, predictable throughput rate of production. In order for the airline

to survive and thrive, it must reliably deliver the inventory, profitably fill and

deliver the seats in a highly variable economic and operational environment, and

keep the costs well below the market price.

Pricing power has steadily diminished over the past decade with widely available

pricing information for consumers to compare and the overcapacity of available

flights in many markets. Due to steadily rising capacity (adding ever more seats

and airplanes to markets and hubs), the tolerable margins of error for achieving

operating profitability has decreased for the industry overall. In such conditions,

dependence on the productivity of a major outside vendor like ATC is quite

amplified. The success or failure of current airline business models depends more

than ever on the uncontrollable variables of ATC capacity control and on the

weather. Optimizing network design is no longer sufficient; survival in today’s

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airline industry literally depends on excellence in network design and consistent

rigor in day-to-day execution (Lucio Petroccione Jr, 2007).

This section summarises the airline industry’s past, present and future outlook in

order to grasp the following key concepts:

The Key Success Factors

Successful airlines must do many things well. Not doing well in any one area may

not result in failure as we define it. However, performing very poorly in any one

area, or poorly in two or more areas, appears to make success elusive.

Airlines are in part service businesses. To be successful, an airline must be

effective in four general areas: 1) attracting customers; 2) managing its fleet; 3)

managing its people, and 4) managing its finances.

2.2 Regulatory Environment

Bilateral Agreement between U.S. and U.K.

Flights from major international airports in the U.K. to the U.S. are regulated by a

Bilateral Agreement between the two countries. The government negotiates

routes for its country and then distributes these to the airline of its choice.

Usually airlines have to submit an application detailing why its proposed service is

in the best national interest. This creates a barrier to entry which is difficult to

overcome. In addition, landing and takeoff slots at London Heathrow and London

Gatwick are difficult to obtain creating another barrier to entry. These barriers to

entry give a strong advantage to existing airlines. However, U.S. and U.K.

government have been negotiating possible liberalization of skies. If this

happens, we expect to see additional capacity out of Heathrow to the USA which

may have an impact on yields.

Open Skies for Regional Airports (Bermuda II Agreement)

International flights from all the regional airports in the U.K. (Stansted,

Birmingham, Manchester, etc.) are regulated by this Agreement with the U.S.

which enables all national airlines of each country to operate an unlimited number

of flights between these airports and any U.S. international airport. Fly Light will

therefore be able to benefit from this Agreement by operating out of Stansted. Fly

Light will still have to apply for the routes but these will be automatically granted.

2.3 Market Analysis

2.3.1 Global Airline Industry

Major Airlines Characteristics:

Focus on hubs

In order to increase load factors, major airlines have adopted a hub and spoke

strategy which consists of centralising flights at an airport therefore benefiting

from connecting passengers in addition to origination and destination passengers.

As a result of this strategy, many passengers are forced to make stopovers,

increasing their travelling time.

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Fly Light will offer point to point services which offer significant time savings for

premium passengers.

High fixed costs

Major airlines have large overhead costs and many are tied in to labour contracts

which prevent them from reducing these costs significantly.

Fly Light will maintain a lower cost base and therefore maintain a competitive

advantage.

Lack of customer focus

Overall, airlines tend to lack customer focus. By focusing on hubs and alliances,

airlines gain efficiencies but these strategies are of limited benefit to the

customers.

Fly Light will offer an individual service and its success will be built on customer

focus.

Consolidation with major alliances: Star Alliance, One World

While most industries have consolidated in the past few years through mergers

and acquisitions, the airline industry's consolidation is based predominantly on

alliances and minority equity stakes. Starting with code-share agreements and

extending these to full alliances have been the common pattern followed by

airlines around the world. These alliances enable airlines to benefit from each

others network and distribution capability. While very beneficial to the airlines, it

is arguable whether the consumer really benefits from these alliances as they

tend to reduce competition. Customer satisfaction usually suffers as a result of

this consolidation, creating an opportunity for Fly Light.

The most successful alliance to date is the Star Alliance which is comprised of

Lufthansa, United, SAS, Thai, Varig, Air New Zealand, Ansett Australia, All Nippon

Airways, and recently Singapore Airlines. Its main competitor, One World, is

comprised of British Airways, American Airlines, Cathay Pacific Airways, Qantas,

Finnair, and Iberia. Another important combination is Virgin-Singapore Airlines.

Singapore now owns 49 percent of Virgin Atlantic and the two airlines will be a

strong competitor on the transatlantic market.

Following Swissair's acquisition of 85 percent of Sabena, other European airlines

have started to talk about possible mergers and acquisition. On the U.S. side,

United and U.S. Airways have announced a merger which has prompted other

talks within the major airlines. This consolidation will be closely monitored by the

regulatory bodies and it is uncertain how many will be approved.

Fly Light is an off shoot of these alliances and will remain committed to its niche

strategy. The larger the alliances become, the more opportunities there are for

niche airlines to prosper.

Low Cost Airlines are gaining market share

Following the continued success of Southwest Airlines, many start-up airlines

have emerged in the past ten years, both in Europe and in the U.S. The low cost

airlines focus on short-haul traffic and have been key in stimulating demand by

offering extremely low fares. These airlines initially targeted the leisure traveller

but in recent years they have attracted a growing amount of business travellers

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who were not satisfied with the high prices charged by the major airlines. The

main challenge faced by these young companies is that of safety. After the

ValueJet accident in Florida, customers were concerned that low cost airlines did

not maintain their aircraft correctly and were more dangerous to fly than the

majors.

While low cost airlines continue to thrive in the U.S., the more recent European

additions such as Easyjet, Virgin Express, Go Fly, Ryanair, and others are

experiencing tremendous growth and are presenting a serious challenge to the

major airlines short-haul strategies.

Fly Light will benefit from this trend as passengers are now used to flying with

newer airlines which do not have the history of State-Owned carriers.

Regional Airlines are increasing point-to-point travel

The Regional Airlines are by far the most profitable segment of the market with

net margins as high as 15 percent. They benefit from very fuel efficient modern

aircraft (Regional Jets) and are able to focus on high yield passengers by

providing point-to-point services and more frequencies. By using smaller jets,

boarding and disembarking times are reduced which enables fast turnaround of

the aircraft. Companies such as Comair and Atlantic Coast in the U.S. and

Crossair, Air Littoral, and British Regional Airlines in Europe have grown

tremendously in the past few years.

Fly Light is in effect an extension of the Regional Airlines by offering point to point

services on a short-haul basis first with possibility of long-haul flights later on.

Focus on Point to Point Traffic

The majority of the business traffic between London and New York is point to

point as business travellers from other European capitals tend to fly direct.

Connecting Traffic U.S and Europe

While Fly Light will focus primarily on point to point within Europe, it will benefit

from connecting traffic originating in secondary cities in the U.K., Europe, and the

U.S in the longrun. Premium travellers in those cities have to connect in a hub in

order to travel to the U.S. and they could easily combine a low-cost European

flight into Stansted with a Fly Light flight to the U.S. The following table highlights

the various secondary cities that are served by a low-cost airline operating at

Stansted and with arrival and departure times within 2 hours of a Fly Light flight:

Airline Secondary European City

Go Fly Bologna, Copenhagen, Edinburgh, Faro, Malaga, Palma

Ryanair Cork, Kerry, Knock, Nimes, Biarritz, Carcassone (Toulouse), Perpignan, St. Etienne (Lyon), Venice, Pisa, Glasgow, Anconna, Malmo, Brescia, Dinard

Buzz Dusseldorf, Bordeaux, Berlin, Marseilles

Airline Secondary American City

American Albany, Baltimore, Boston, Buffalo, Cleveland, Hartford, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Raleigh/Durham, Rochester, San Juan (P.R.), Syracuse, Washington

American West

Las Vegas

Delta Albany, Atlanta, Baltimore, Boston, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh,

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Airline Secondary American City

Richmond, Rochester, Washington

National Airlines

Los Angeles, Las Vegas

Northwest Detroit

TWA Las Vegas, Los Angeles, San Francisco, St. Louis

United Boston, Los Angeles, Washington, D.C.

“No-Frills” Flying In Europe

Following EU policies of aviation liberalization, several European “no-frills” airlines

started with the SWA model:

• Low fares.

• No on-board meals.

• No allocated seats.

• Often using regional airports, and

• Lower staffing costs.

Initially expected to attract mainly leisure travellers, much of the demand has

turned out to be from business travellers who resent paying premium fares to

travel within Europe. Piercy N stated that estimates suggest that almost half the

customers for the low-cost carriers are price conscious business travellers. The

low cost flight market from the UK to Europe grew from zero to 5 per cent in just

two years. The “no-frills” operators undercut the big carriers by as much as 50

per cent and focus mainly on high volume, short-haul, point-to-point trips. Low

fares are achieved by exploiting several important levers to achieve low cost (the

alternative of low fares with high costs is clearly unattractive).

Piercy N stated that a recent report by the UK CAA noted that the “no-frills”

operators can get costs per seat down to half those of the major network carriers.

In his assessment savings come from:

• Distribution costs

It has been estimated that as much as 25 per cent of the cost of conventional air

tickets comes from distribution, e.g. travel agent commissions and promotion, the

CRS shared by major airlines and the coupon exchanges to reconcile passenger

switches. Direct selling and ticketless travel avoid most of these costs.

• In-flight catering and staffing

Conventional airlines provide “free” meals and drinks in their ticket prices.

Removing these services saves money (and a lot of waste when passengers turn

down the food because they want to sleep). However, easyJet estimates that

while it has three cabin crew on a short-haul flight, the equivalent BA flight will

have six cabin crew, because that is the only way to distribute and collect hot

towels and serve all passengers with drinks and food and another round of drinks

on a short flight.

• Fleet uniformity

A fleet standardized on a single aircraft type drastically reduces maintenance and

spares costs and crew training.

• Regional airports

Using regional airports instead of the major hubs has several important

implications. It gives access to the underserved regional population in the

regional airport’s catchment area; fees are lower; less congestion allows the

operator to be more efficient and to get better utilization from the aircraft

(because they stay on the ground for less time).The major players in establishing

and growing the low cost market in Europe are the following companies EasyJet,

Debonair, Ryanair and Virgin Express.

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2.3.2 The Transformation of Air Transport

Air transport is in a highly dynamic period. Challenges include a slowing world

economy, high oil prices, and in some markets, slowing traffic growth according

to the ‘Current Market Outlook 2008-2027’ report by Boeing today's realities

show how air transport will be transformed over the next 20 years. The next

sections derive much of the content from this report.

Resilience

Over the past 20 years, air travel grew by an average of 4.8 percent each year.

This was despite two major world recessions, terrorist acts, the Asian financial

crisis of 1997, the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in 2003

and two Gulf wars. The resilience of air transport growth comes from its intrinsic

importance to the livelihood of people around the world.

On average over the next 20 years, passenger travel will grow at 5.0 percent and

cargo at 5.8 percent. The fastest growing economies will lead the transformation

into a more geographically balanced market. More productive, new airplanes will

play a greater role, and there will be relentless pursuit of further environmental

progress.

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Source: Boeing market outlook 2008-2027

Balanced Growth

Airplanes in 2027 will be more productive. Each will carry about 40 percent more

traffic (RPKs) than the average airplane today. Fewer airplanes will be needed to

accommodate the same volume of travel. So the fleet needs to grow by only 3.2

percent each year, although travel will grow at 5.0 percent.

Longer Distances

The average growth in airline passenger numbers will be around 4.0 percent each

year. More people will be travelling by air as economies grow. Markets will open

up through reduced regulation and increased competition. As markets expand,

new travel opportunities will mostly be on longer distance flights.

The air transport fleet plays a fundamental role in stimulating and sustaining

economic activity. This tie-in is clear, with the 3.2 percent annual fleet growth in

line with expected long-term economic growth of 3.2 percent.

Using the Right Airplanes-Technology

As airlines seek better financial returns, they match the airplanes used more

closely to the precise economics of the routes they fly. This means that airlines

will in general use larger regional jets and single-aisle airplanes, and more small-

and medium-sized twin-aisle airplanes.

A natural product of this improved operational efficiency is that the average

airplane has a lower environmental impact. In the year 2027, 82 percent of the

fleet will be airplanes that do not exist today. They all will have been delivered

new and will be better than today's fleet in every respect. More environmentally

progressive, better for passengers and better for airlines.

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Source: Boeing market outlook 2008-2027

Reshaping the Fleet

Today's record high fuel prices are forcing many airlines, particularly in the United

States, to take urgent action in cutting back capacity or reducing planned growth.

They are invariably doing so by reducing use of their oldest and least efficient

airplanes, while retaining their investment in new airplanes.

Dynamic Markets

Air transport markets are dynamic: they are always changing. New competitors

drive changes to ongoing operations. The development of new markets shifts

emphasis into new territories. Although the largest markets will remain, emerging

markets will become big enough to bring new influences to the world order in

aviation.

Shifting Emphasis

Asia is now expected to need the most new airplanes as well as representing the

largest market by value of deliveries. For first time, the value of the European

airplane market will be equivalent to that in North America. As the airplane

market expands, welcome competition is anticipated from manufacturers in Asia

and CIS.

New trade routes and global sourcing will stimulate air cargo markets, for

example, with strong growth in Southwest Asia. One-stop-to-anywhere airlines in

the Middle East have a highly expansive vision. Investment in infrastructure and

airplanes is on a scale to match.

U.S. network carriers are already seeing contraction in domestic operations as

they shift emphasis toward more rewarding international routes. Stronger growth

in U.S. markets will come back in time. Meanwhile, the current fast pace of

growth in Europe is expected to moderate a little.

A Better Balance

Dynamic markets combine to transform the future market toward more balance.

In 2027, Asia Pacific and North America will both have around 30 percent of the

fleet in service, with a further 25 percent in Europe and CIS. There also will be

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more balance between different types of airlines and between replacement and

growth demand for airplanes.

Source: Boeing market outlook 2008-2027

Efficient Freighters

A shift toward larger freighters and new, more efficient airplanes will help keep

air cargo transport affordable. Sustained growth of world trade and global GDP

will drive a 5.8 percent average annual increase in air cargo traffic, consistent

with past trends. New air trade routes will reach out to under-served places.

2.3.3 A new market outlook

Transformation of the market

• Airline business priorities are being transformed as a result of high fuel costs.

• Competition between airlines is being transformed through the growing

presence of low-cost airlines, and through continuing liberalization of domestic

and international market regulations.

• Global airplane markets are being transformed toward a better geographical

balance in demand.

• The fleet is being transformed to become more efficient, in terms of lower fuel

use and higher unit productivity.

• Newer airplanes, the development of new fuels, and improved operating

procedures are transforming environmental performance.

2.3.4 The changing face of air transport

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As airlines around the world face individual challenges and opportunities,

fundamental changes in the market are taking place.

Short term becomes long term

Markets evolve as near-term actions combine with underlying strategic shifts in

the business environment, leading to long-term changes in the industry.

Airline business conditions are very different around the world. After a number of

years of strong growth and improving financial results, the near-term business

outlook is weakening in North America, Europe, and Japan. In contrast, the

outlook in much of Asia, the Middle East, Russia, Africa, and Latin America is for

continued near-term growth.

Fuel prices and airline finances

In pursuit of the best possible financial returns in difficult trading conditions,

airlines around the world have consistently restructured their operations. Fleets

have been renewed and simplified. Routes and networks have been realigned to

focus on profitable markets, and airlines have pushed cost reduction measures

wherever possible.

As a result of these efforts, in 2007 airlines achieved their first year of global

profitability on a net basis since 2000. This achievement occurred despite the

doubling of oil prices between 2003 and 2007, increasing the industry’s fuel

expense by $90 billion. The surge in fuel prices through July 2008 means that on

an operating basis, the world’s airlines are expected to come close to breaking

even or possibly make a small profit.

On a net basis, airlines are now expected to lose money again in 2008. U.S.

airlines are generally considered to be facing the most severe challenges to

profitability as both their fuel costs and their revenues are dollar-denominated.

They do not fully benefit from currency exchange-rate protection from the impact

of high fuel prices. Even in the United States, some airlines have been profitable

by focusing on maintaining low costs of production, using fuel hedges, and

adjusting capacity to local market conditions.

Underlying long-term demand

As has been the case over previous decades, long-term demand growth in air

travel is expected to remain, regardless of current market pressures. Robust

underlying demand reflects the intrinsic value of air transport to society.

Price sensitivity of air travel

In the recent period of generally strong economic conditions, airlines have been

able to pass on a measure of their increased costs from higher fuel prices in the

form of fare increases and fuel surcharges. Passenger demand sensitivity to the

increased cost of air travel is relatively low when all airlines respond to the same

cost pressures by increasing overall ticket prices. Passengers become more

sensitive to price when airlines compete in the same markets or there are other

travel options available. In the increasing number of short- or medium-haul

markets that are liberalized, airline business models that focus on value for

money will be most competitive. Passengers also have increasing latitude to

adjust total trip expenditure by focusing on areas other than air fares. The chart

shows how the proportion of passenger trip costs accounted for by air fares is

decreasing over time in the United States and European Union.

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Overall trends

As economic growth slows in the near term, airlines will tend toward lowering

fares in competitive markets. They will concentrate capacity in their stronger

markets. Airlines with the highest costs will restrict growth in short haul markets

and focus on longer routes and premium traffic. Low-cost specialists will continue

to grow in local markets, with some taking advantage of international market

liberalization by developing longer range, mainly leisure oriented services.

Strengthening revenues

Airlines employ a number of strategies to seek continuous improvement in

revenues. These include developing higher value services in business and leisure

markets. New premium services, from economy plus to improved business and

first class products, can draw traffic from competing airlines or improve fare mix.

Airline alliance membership and partner network coordination make services

available to a wider selection of customers and might strengthen brand appeal.

Airlines are also actively switching capacity to higher yielding markets, which tend

to be medium to long haul and international services.

Ancillary revenues: a source of additional income

In addition to raising ticket prices or applying fuel surcharges, airlines are

generating income in many other ways. Charges such as booking fees, baggage

fees, and income from the sale of food and goods on board the airplane are

providing 5 to 7 percent additional income, with some airlines raising as much as

20 percent of their income through such ancillary revenues. Airlines such as

Allegiant, Ryanair, and easyJet source more than 15 percent of their revenues

from ancillary charges.

Taking a retail rather than travel-oriented approach to marketing, the millions of

visitors to airline web sites represent a potential distribution channel for all kinds

of goods and services. Although currently generating a small proportion of

revenue, any income generated comes at little cost to the airline. Over time, a

more significant shift in the direction of a retail-oriented approach to web sales is

likely. For example, the Ryanair web site receives over 200 million visitors a year

and provides access to services as unrelated to air travel as competitive quotes

for domestic electricity and gas supplies. Contribution to profit

A powerful example of ancillary revenue contribution to profit, Allegiant receives

nearly $28 per passenger1 over and above fares paid, accounting for over 20

percent of total revenues. Promotional activities generate ancillary revenue, such

as advertising on board the airplane or activities such as Allegiant’s agreement

with Blue Man Group in Las Vegas, a key destination for the airline. One of its

aircraft carries an image of Blue Man Group, who refers to Allegiant during their

show. The airline sells tickets to the show on its web site and receives a fee for

each booking.

On-board sales through IFE systems

As in-flight entertainment (IFE) systems become more sophisticated, additional

revenues will be generated through an expanded range of on-board activities and

sales of communication services (e.g., cell phone, text messaging, and Internet

connections).

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Revenue from cargo services

Cargo services, including carrying freight in the lower holds of passenger

airplanes, continue to contribute positively to airline income, accounting for a

typical 10 to 12 percent of airline revenues. Some airlines gain as much as 35

percent or more of total revenues from their cargo business. Cargo markets have

expanded, and cargo yields have been reasonably strong.

The revenue-cost equation

Sustained improvement in financial results is a matter of simultaneously

addressing revenues and costs, regardless of airline region or business model.

Airlines are implementing far-reaching cost management programs and

generating revenue by raising fares and charging for services that formerly were

free. Such cost management can also bring benefits. For example, charging

baggage fees encourages passengers to bring fewer bags, which reduces handling

and fuel costs.

Tackling costs

Over the last 3 years, fuel costs rose from around 15 percent to 30 to 40 percent

of operating costs and as much as 60 percent for some airlines. Cost

management is of vital importance. Fuel hedging has been a key instrument for

some airlines in managing volatile fuel prices.

Although hedging levels and strategies vary, many airlines have successfully

hedged to allow certainty in planning for specific business periods, while also

taking some of the risk out of changing fuel costs. Capacity discipline has been

important in bringing down unit costs. While traffic has grown, airlines have taken

capacity out of slow-growing domestic or short-haul markets and parked those

airplanes or flown them in stronger, international markets instead.

New airplanes are part of the answer

Under past difficult business conditions, airlines refrained from ordering new

airplanes until their finances improved. Their existing fleets, being to some

degree written down, held lower capital costs than new airplanes. Delivery of new

airplanes might have been delayed or these airplanes were temporarily parked to

avoid adding unwanted capacity. Under current conditions, new airplanes are an

important component of recovery strategies because they hold the key to

lowering airline costs. New airplanes are more fuel efficient than older airplanes in

the fleet, and their higher productivity enables airlines to maximize utilization of

their assets, which leads to lower production costs.

Forecast trends

Airline strategies to address the revenue cost equation have led to five specific

trends that are reflected in our forecast:

• Many of the oldest passenger airplanes are being parked and are unlikely to

return to service.

• Meaningful quantities of 15- to 20-year-old airplanes will be available for

conversion to freighters. FedEx, for example, cites fuel savings of up to 36

percent and increased capacity of 20 percent by using its newly converted 757-

200Fs in place of its existing 727-200Fs.

• Demand for new airplanes is holding steady; new airplanes offer better fuel

efficiency and better productivity than airplanes in the current fleet.

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• Regional airlines are maintaining profitability by moving to larger regional jets.

The overall requirement for smaller regional jets is significantly lower than was

expected in a lower fuel-price environment.

• Many single-aisle airplanes and small twin aisle airplanes will be replaced with

airplanes slightly larger than those in the existing fleet.

Growth opportunities

After cost management, one of the most important elements of the revenue-cost

equation is appropriate matching of capacity to demand. With costs actively

managed, airlines focus on best meeting the needs of specific market segments.

Passenger requirements vary between regions and between short- or long-haul

services. Different types of service or airline business models will be successful in

different markets.

The specific requirements of passengers on short-haul routes means that low-cost

airline growth will be rapid and that the growth of network airlines will generally

be focused on longer haul or international markets.

2.3.5 The environment

Improving on an already impressive record

Environmental progress in aviation is a continuous theme and one that is

receiving more attention than ever before. At Boeing, more than 75 percent of

our research and development efforts concentrate on advancing environmentally

progressive innovations, from pioneering sustainable biofuels and other

renewable energy sources to designing new noise reducing technologies and

optimizing air traffic system efficiency.

Boeing is continuously working to make commercial air transport cleaner, quieter,

and more efficient. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

(IPCC), the contribution of air transport is just about 2 percent of human

produced CO2 emissions, although this could reach 3 percent by 2050. As such,

the industry is working toward carbon-neutral growth (no increase in carbon

emissions in spite of traffic growth) as a first step toward a carbon-free future.

2.4 The Airline Industry Analysis by Region

New influences

Air transport markets are dynamic: they are always changing. The largest

markets will remain, and emerging regions will bring new influences.

Shifting emphasis

Asia is expected to need the most new airplanes and will represent the largest

market by value of deliveries. For the first time, the value of the European

airplane market will be equivalent to that in North America. As the airplane

market expands, welcome competition is anticipated from manufacturers around

the world. New trade routes and global sourcing will stimulate air cargo markets,

for example, with strong growth in Southwest Asia.

Airlines in the Middle East have a highly expansive vision of the market for

onnections etween any two major world centers with only one top. Investment in

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iddle Eastern infrastructure and airplanes is on a scale to match. Network airlines

in the United States are already seeing contraction in domestic operations as they

shift emphasis toward more rewarding international routes. Stronger growth in

North American markets will return in time. Meanwhile, the current fast pace of

growth in Europe is expected to moderate a little.

A better balance

Dynamic markets combine to create a more balanced future. In 2027, Asia-Pacific

and North America will each have approximately 30 percent of the fleet in

service, with another 25 percent in Europe, Russia, and Central Asia. More

balance will exist between different types of airlines and between replacement

and growth demand for airplanes.

Each region has unique requirements shaping the market

Airlines of each region and business model have unique requirements for their

future fleet. An immediate need at many airlines is to replace large numbers of

older airplanes. Elsewhere, growth into opportunities generated by market

liberalization is the priority. In every region except the Middle East, fleet changes

will lead to a reduced share in the largest and smallest airplane categories.

Benefiting people worldwide

The number of people who can afford to travel by air is growing every day. In the

world’s most populous nations and fastest growing economies, people are joining

the middle classes at an unprecedented rate, gaining the income, leisure time,

and desire to travel.

The large, rapidly growing economies of China and India will demand a larger

share of the world’s air transport and of the global aircraft fleet. Although North

America and Europe will account for about half the market, demand will stabilize

across the global market as emerging regions follow their own economic cycles.

Affordable long-range air services are key to spanning the vast distances that

separate markets such as Oceania, Russia, and Central Asia, where ground

transport infrastructure is lacking.

The Middle East is transforming itself into a global crossroads for air transport. Air

traffic in prosperous Northeast Asia will continue to match the average global

growth rate, spurred on by the success of low-cost carriers and growing demand

for affordable long-distance service.

Key to regional growth and development

Air transport is the prime mover in Southeast Asian economies. Bringing tourist

revenues and fostering business opportunities among the region’s commercial

centres, air transport is recognized by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations

(ASEAN) as key to the region’s development and integration into the global

economy.

CHINA

Plans are in place to expand China’s aviation infrastructure, which will be a

continual challenge as the region continues to grow strongly.

China is the world’s second largest commercial aviation market, after the United

States. Since 2000, the number of air passengers has more than doubled, with an

average annual growth rate of 13.5 percent. Over the next 20 years, the demand

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for air travel will grow at an annual rate of 7.9 percent. After a period of rapid

expansion, the passenger market is expected to moderate to a period of

sustained long-term growth. Domestic traffic alone will grow at an average

annual rate of 8.9 percent due to rising income levels and improved services

offered by the airlines. Air traffic was adversely affected following an 8.0

magnitude earthquake that hit China’s Sichuan Province on May 12, 2008. It was

one of the nation’s worst natural disasters in modern history. An estimated

70,000 people lost their lives and thousands more were injured or missing.

Commercial air transportation played an important role in bringing medical

supplies and other emergency cargo to the region.

Rapid increase in air cargo volumes

The number of freight operators in China has rapidly increased. The volume of

cargo transported by air is steadily rising. Over the next two decades, cargo

traffic carried by Chinese airlines will grow at an annual rate of 7.1 percent—well

above the world average. Trade growth is being strengthened by a relaxation of

regulations on ownership of air cargo operations and their market penetration.

SOUTHWEST ASIA

High-growth markets

Air transport demand is being fuelled by robust economic growth, combined with

expanded air service agreements. Intense economic development in Southwest

Asia is driving a need for imported goods and materials, while exports of textiles

and equipment continue to escalate. Annually, international air cargo moving

into, within, and out of Southwest Asia now exceeds

Despite major challenges, the region’s air transportation system is poised for

dramatic growth. India’s airports handled close to 120 million domestic and

international passengers for the 1-year period ending March 2007, representing a

21 percent increase over the previous year. This is the fastest rate of expansion

of any market in the world. Looking ahead, the region’s air traffic is expected to

grow at an annual rate of 8 percent.

Investment in airports

To keep pace with this growth, public and private interests are investing $9 billion

in India’s airports over 3 years. Critical improvements to India’s 10 largest

airports will include new passenger terminals, cargo facilities, and runways. New

airports are also being built to meet demand. In addition, more than $1 billion is

being invested at 35 nonmetropolitan airports in less developed parts of India.

Young population spurs growth

With a population of approximately 1.1 billion people, half of all Indians are under

the age of 25. This vibrant group represents an increasingly prosperous segment

from which airlines can attract new customers. They are finding air travel to be a

cost-competitive alternative to the once dominant railways.

International service growth

According to a report from McKinsey Global Institute (MGI), India’s middle class

will grow to nearly 600 million people by 2025. MGI estimates consumer

consumption within this segment of the population will increase nearly fourfold,

reaching $1.5 trillion (U.S.) over the next 20 years. A recent CLSA Asia-Pacific

Markets survey found that 41 percent of Indian households had not taken a

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vacation over a 12-month period. With only 0.02 annual air trips per capita in

India, there is a clear opportunity to attract travellers away from railroads onto

airlines. Of those who had taken a vacation, an overwhelming majority chose to

take ground transportation, with a similar situation in Bangladesh and Pakistan.

The influx of new capacity in India has stimulated new demand due to price

competition. The combination of competitive air fares and rising consumer

spending power could result in the Southwest Asia domestic market sustaining an 8.5 percent annual air traffic growth rate over the next 20 years.

Liberalization strengthens markets

Rapid growth has been stimulated by new airlines, driving down fares, improving

efficiency, and increasing the frequency of service on many routes. Liberalization

is an important factor. A recently improved bilateral agreement between China

and India is just one example of work under way to open new opportunities in

high-growth markets. Air service has rapidly expanded between Southwest Asia

and other major regions. Traffic to and from the Middle East, for example, has

increased by nearly 70 percent over the past 5 years. India’s open skies

agreement with the United States, which effectively removes all restrictions on

new nonstop service, will lead to further traffic growth.

NORTHEAST ASIA

Airport expansion and further liberalization in Japan and Korea will stimulate air

travel and contribute to economic growth.

Airport expansion and liberalization

Overall, air travel growth in Northeast Asia is expected to match the world

average. Regional traffic between Northeast Asia and other Asia-Pacific regions is

projected to grow more rapidly, at 6.2 percent. Orders for twin-aisle jets have

increased as demand for economic long-haul service continues to grow. Capacity

at both Tokyo’s Haneda and Narita airports will expand in 2010. The opening of

the international terminal and fourth runway at Haneda airport will provide a 40

percent increase in capacity for both domestic and international flights. The

extended second runway at Tokyo Narita airport will also enable growth in

international services. Traffic will increase substantially, with both airports looking

at extended hours of operation. Korea’s Incheon airport (Seoul) is also expanding

with additional gates and a third runway. Air cargo service in Northeast Asia

remains strong, with growth forecast at 7 percent. In the intra-Asia cargo market,

the top 10 country pairs include China to Japan and Korea, and Japan to Korea,

Taiwan, Singapore, and Malaysia.

Low-cost carrier opportunities

Operating restrictions are gradually easing between countries in the region and to

other nations in Asia-Pacific, including China. Low-cost carriers—both domestic

airlines and LCCs from outside the region—are showing a strong interest in

serving this market as regulations ease and airport capacity expands. This is

stimulating a demand for single aisle airplanes.

SOUTHEAST ASIA International tourist destinations

The top 10 sources of visitors to Southeast Asia are ASEAN countries, Europe,

China, Japan, Korea, the United States, Australia, India, Taiwan, and Hong Kong

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ASEAN members liberalize air services

The region’s 10 countries have worked through ASEAN to strengthen their

economic community and encourage collaboration. In November 2007, ASEAN

members signed an agreement to achieve liberalization of scheduled passenger

routes between capital cities and full liberalization of air freight services by

December 2008. ASEAN envisions establishing a single aviation market by 2015.

Substantial orders for new airplanes, including twin-aisle jetliners, reflect

confidence in continued economic growth. The Southeast Asia market is favorable

for low-cost carrier expansion, which helps stimulate air travel growth. AirAsia,

Jetstar Asia, Lion Air, and Tiger Airways have increased services to more

countries.

Aviation key to economic success

Commercial aviation plays an essential role in the economic development of

Southeast Asia. Low-cost carriers allow tourists to visit multiple locations in the

region, driving the development of hotels and other guest facilities. Air

transportation also supports business activity in major cities and centers of

commerce. The region has experienced strong economic growth above world

average, which is expected to continue for the next 20 years. Air passenger traffic

is projected to flourish at 6.8 percent, and air cargo will also be strong. The

growing strength of the passenger market is due, in part, to liberalization.

OCEANIA (AUSTRALASIA)

Australia and New Zealand are gearing up for growth while taking on cost

challenges with sophisticated strategies.

Strategies set stage for future growth

Commercial airlines in Australia and New Zealand are facing tough competition,

along with high fuel prices and rising operating costs. Despite these challenges,

the industry is looking ahead to a period of significant growth in both passenger

and cargo traffic. New aircraft are on order to meet the anticipated demand.

Sophisticated business strategies are being implemented to stay competitive and

set the stage for future growth. This includes the rapid expansion of low-cost

operations.

In March 2008, Australia and the United States officially signed an open skies

agreement, which allows designated carriers unlimited operations between the

two countries. Virgin Blue’s new long-haul carrier, V-Australia, is planning to take

immediate advantage of the agreement by launching service between Sydney and

Los Angeles. The agreement also provides opportunities for cooperative

marketing arrangements, including code sharing, between Australian and U.S.

carriers. Potential new routes could include such destinations as Chicago,

Houston, Dallas, Seattle, and Las Vegas. Competition driven by tourism

Tourism is an important industry in Australia; domestic and international airlines

compete to serve this market. A variety of international franchise LCCs have

seized opportunities to carry travellers to and from Australia through both short-

haul and long-haul routes. Freight traffic through Oceania is projected to grow at

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a substantial rate of 7 percent. Australia has the highest volume of air cargo

traffic in the region.

LATIN AMERICA

Growth of Latin American airlines will be among the strongest in the world,

featuring newer, more efficient airplane fleets and more comprehensive airline

networks.

Strong focus on customer service

An increasingly strong focus on customer service is providing Latin American

carriers the ability to stimulate traffic domestically and compete internationally.

Traffic growth within Latin America is among the highest in the world

Annual traffic growth within Latin America will be 6.7 percent, making it the

highest growth region outside Asia-Pacific. Economic growth, increased stability,

and liberalization in trade and air transport are contributing to above-average

traffic growth rates projected for the region. Air transport liberalization has driven

down fares by providing an environment for emergence of low-cost carriers in the

region, particularly in Mexico and Brazil. Low-cost flights have stimulated demand

by increasing tourist traffic and attracting first-time fliers, who might otherwise

have traveled by alternative means such as bus—or not traveled at all. The

strong business focus of the LCCs has enhanced service and offered passengers a

wider and more cost-competitive variety of choices.

Robust growth in long-range traffic

Network carriers have opened up new longrange routes such as Mexico City to

Shanghai (Aeroméxico) and Santiago to Toronto (LAN). Success in expanding

point-to-point service and improved access to capital have led to growth in

demand for long-range airplanes. Continued investment in infrastructure will

facilitate the high growth rates expected in Latin America.

NORTH AMERICA

Improvements offered by newer generation airplanes, including greater fuel

efficiency, make a compelling case for fleet renewal.

Higher performance fleets

U.S. airlines are looking to transform their fleets to more efficient, higher

performance airplanes that carry more passengers. Financial challenges in recent

years have slowed fleet turnover below historical levels. Improvements offered by

newer generation airplanes, including significantly greater fuel efficiency, make a

compelling case for fleet renewal. There is also demand for the most

environmentally progressive airplanes.

The difficult road to profitability

After several years of multi-billion-dollar losses, the North American airline

industry returned to profitability in 2007. Network airline restructuring focused on

restoring financial health, largely through continual cost reduction. Resurgence of

U.S. and Canadian airline profitability has been short-lived, however, due to

record high fuel costs. Fuel expense now accounts for over 40 percent of airline

operating expenses, up from a quarter of all expenses just a few years ago. The

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move to more fuel-efficient airplanes will play an important role in sustained

financial viability. At the same time, it will make older airplanes available for

conversion to meet a growing global need for more fuel-efficient freighters.

Domestic and international markets

Low-cost carriers have gained 10 points of domestic market share since 2000,

resulting in a significant shift in the North American competitive market. The

LCCs, many of which are new domestic airlines, have a business model focused

on high utilization, discount pricing, and efficient business practices.

LCC domestic market share will climb over the next 10 years as network carriers

focus on international services. Higher LCC growth rates will push network carrier

domestic share down to 65 percent over the coming decade. Despite the

domestic service reductions by network airlines, these carriers have not given up

on plans for overall expansion. They have realized the profitability of services to

increasingly liberalized, higher yield and perhaps less competitive international

operations. Intercontinental flights now account for more than 40 percent of U.S.

network carrier mainline flying, with all indications pointing to continuing

expansion.

Flights between the United States and Canada have increased significantly. Both

countries are expanding business ties under the North American Free Trade

Agreement and further liberalization of the Canada-U.S. Air Transport Agreement.

Over the last 10 years more than 1,400 new weekly transborder flights have been

added, with an additional 41 new airport pairs receiving nonstop flights.

Airline consolidation and cooperation

News headlines of proposed mergers and joint ventures have led many industry

observers to conclude that a major round of industry consolidation may be under

way. The successful completion of one or more of these transactions would have

a dramatic effect on the competitive landscape of the U.S. airline market.

Advantages would include eliminating duplicate services and combining

complementary route networks. Consolidation creates long-term challenges,

including the integration of disparate fleets, corporate cultures, information

technology systems, and labor contracts.

Domestic market drives strong single-aisle sales

North American lifestyles in large part depend on rapid coast-to-coast and

interregional transportation, with a broad choice of frequencies across many city

pairings. Seventy-one percent of new deliveries will be single-aisle airplanes,

driven by the need to provide the most comprehensive and economic market

coverage.

Twin-aisle fleets will evolve as airlines continue to expand their international

services to a continually wider range of airport pairs and frequencies. Small- and

mid-sized twin-aisle airplanes will represent 16 percent of the North American

fleet in 2027, with large airplanes representing 4 percent. Over the next two

decades, the total fleet size in North America is expected to grow approximately

50 percent to nearly 11,000 airplanes.

EUROPE

Airlines in Europe will continue to benefit from large domestic markets, global

vision, and new opportunities through international market liberalization.

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Strategies developing with the market

The European airline market is constantly changing. Long-term traffic growth is

expected to slow over the next 20 years from recent rates of 6 to 7 percent each

year, to an average of 4.1 percent. Airlines are adjusting their strategies in line

with the changing competitive environment on routes within Europe and to make

the most of emerging opportunities to countries outside Europe.

The European Union is working to bring about its vision of an extended area of

open market regulation encompassing its neighbors (the European Common

Aviation Area). With an aim of including 35 countries and 500 million people

by 2010, this area could eventually extend to 58 countries and 1 billion people.

Expansion of the free market will continue to stimulate air travel demand on

short- to medium-range routes.

Long-range markets to the Middle East and North America recently have opened

up. Open skies agreements with countries in these regions have perhaps brought

more new competition than opportunities for European airlines in the near term.

However, in the long term European airlines should benefit from greater global

market access and the freedom to invest in overseas airlines and markets. As

such, they will be pivotal in shaping future global airline groupings and perhaps in

establishing single airline entities that operate throughout the largest domestic

and international markets.

Shifting domestic markets

Many of the short European city pairs are already well served by air service or are

the future target of expanded high-speed train networks. The average length of

scheduled routes flown using airplanes with 100 seats or more within Europe

increased from 850 km (530 miles) in 2000 to 995 in 2007. Eighty-four percent

of routes added over these 7 years were longer than 800 km (500 miles). We

expect that by 2027 the average flight length within Europe will be 1,255 km

(780 miles). As low-cost airlines succeeded in profitably satisfying local demand

for flights on these shortrange routes, network airlines shifted capacity to key

business-oriented markets. They concentrated their own short-range capacity on

routes where they can generate higher yields—such as routes with a business or

premium leisure orientation. 41 Network airlines typically divested themselves of

short-haul capacity (e.g., the sale by British Airways of its regional operation to

Flybe) or established distinct lower cost operations.

Markets to Eastern Europe and Central Asia are expanding a little more rapidly

than those in Western Europe, but considerable opportunities remain in western

markets where low-cost penetration is relatively low, such as the French and

Italian domestic markets.

Environmental focus

European policymakers plan to introduce market pricing schemes governing

emissions, including EU airlines and those from other countries operating in

European markets, although ICAO has jurisdiction in this area. Airlines share

concern over escalation in these relatively uncontrollable costs and possible caps

on future growth. In the meantime, they are minimizing fuel use through fleet

strategy and operational procedures, simultaneously minimizing their

environmental impact and improving their financial performance.

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In 20 years’ time, 93 percent of the European fleet will be new, having been

delivered from 2008 onward. The airplanes from today’s fleet remaining in service

at that time will mostly be used as freighters where their utilization and

contribution to emissions are considerably lower. Freight markets make an

important contribution to European airline finances, and European airlines are

pioneers in air freight developments, including launch customers for the 747-8F

(Cargolux) and 777F (Air France).

MIDDLE EAST

The Middle East vision is to fully exploit its potential as a travel destination and an

international hub for commercial aviation. Major investments are being made in

both transportation and visitor facilities. Oil revenue and international business

operations are drawing a significant number of business travellers to the area just

as new hotels and visitor attractions are drawing tourists. Sustained investment

in commercial aviation infrastructure continues, including $36.8 billion being

spent on expanding capacity at 10 airports by 2012.

Location is a strategic advantage

Its central world location means that the Middle East is an ideal connecting point

for one stop airline service between virtually any two cities of the world. Carriers

in the region have been taking advantage of this, carrying passengers between

Europe, Africa, and Asia through the Gulf. Approximately one third of all traffic

carried by Middle Eastern airlines goes to Europe.

Dynamic economic development and ambitious growth plans continue to

sustain an unprecedented rate of expansion.

Air traffic growth for Middle Eastern carriers has significantly outpaced worldwide

averages. In 2007, air traffic grew at a rate of 16.9 percent. At a time of high fuel

prices, Middle Eastern airlines are in a strong competitive position with large cash

balances and investment in highly efficient new airplanes. Most of the more than

800 airplanes on order are for long-haul service. The new Al Maktoum

International Airport in Dubai (JXB) promises to be one of the largest in the

world.

Young residents are potential fliers

The Middle East has a young population with rising incomes. The average annual

median age is less than 25 years, compared with 41 years in Western Europe and

36 years in North America. Even the youth-dominated population of China has a

median age of 33 years. This young population in the Middle East is likely to bring

a strong increase in air travel in the years ahead.

Around 85 percent of the 4.4 million UAE residents are not citizens, with India

and Pakistan representing the largest expatriate groups. The large population of

migrant workers uses air transportation to travel to and from their home

countries. This is particularly prevalent throughout the Gulf nations of Bahrain,

Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, where the guest worker

population is above 36 million.

Region serves as a cargo traffic hub

The region serves as an important cargo traffic hub. Much of the air cargo

travelling through Middle Eastern airports is en route from one neighbouring

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region to another. The Middle East is also a significant sea-air market. For

example, goods from south Asia arrive in the Middle East on ships and continue

on to Europe by air.

The Dubai Flower Centre is helping to open new markets for flowers grown in East

Africa. Europe is the largest air cargo partner to the Middle East. The continued

high price of oil, along with economic diversification, will have a significant

positive effect on personal incomes and increase the region’s demand for

products imported from Europe.

Open skies policies key to growth

With relatively small domestic markets, securing agreement for liberal market

access (or open skies agreements) with as many countries around the world as

possible is central to executing the region’s airline growth plans. Many major

carriers in the Middle East are planning regional expansion and studying low-cost

subsidiaries. Growth of independent low-cost airlines has also been strong to

date. FlyDubai is among other future startup airlines, beginning service in 2009

and having on order 54 737NGs. Other LCCs will follow, to create a growing

demand for single-aisle airplanes.

AFRICA

Some of the world’s most profitable airlines are in Africa. Future challenges

include modernization and competition from abroad.

Drive toward fleet renewal

Africa has the second oldest fleet, behind those of Russia and Central Asia, and it

is in need of renewal. Three quarters of the fleet consists of single-aisle airplanes,

which serve markets within the region and on many routes between northern

Africa and Europe, Africa’s largest intercontinental passenger market. Fleet

renewal would help satisfy environmental regulations at European airports. Renewal, infrastructure needed

Four of the world’s top 20 oil-producing countries are in Africa. Economic growth

is forecast at 5.1 percent. Even so, the continent’s limited transportation system

is slowing the spread of economic vitality. Air transportation is a highly effective

alternative to ground transportation over difficult terrain. Access to landlocked

areas of Africa is limited by a lack of roads and railways. The spread of air

transportation will require expansion and modernization of the continent’s

airports.

Market liberalization

Liberalization in markets across Africa is needed in the form of regional

intergovernmental agreements, because bilateral aviation agreements are

predominant. The Yamoussoukro Declaration, an attempt to spread liberalization

throughout the region, has not been widely adopted. Europe is Africa’s most

active trading partner. Principal exports from Africa by air to Europe include

perishables and apparel. Imports flown in include machinery, telecommunication

equipment, pharmaceuticals, and manufactured products.

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RUSSIA AND CENTRAL ASIA

Airline consolidations and alliances are contributing to more efficient operations.

Fleet renewal is gathering pace.

Domestic air travel

The ICAO1 reports that air travel in the region increased by 20 percent in the last

year alone. Airlines are responding to this surge in traffic by renewing their fleets.

Russian and Central Asian airlines have more than 300 airplanes on order. By the

year 2027, 63 percent of the fleet will be replaced. Nearly 50 percent of all new

deliveries will be single-aisle airplanes, and 36 percent will be regional jets with

up to 90 seats. Over a 10-year period, the number of city pairs served by air has

increased by more than 70 percent, from 880 to more than 1,500. Strong

potential for transfer from rail services exists because more than 80 percent of all

domestic travel in Russia is carried by Russian Railways.

Foreign airlines growing

The majority of flying to, from, and within Russia and Central Asia is on the

regions’ airlines. Foreign carriers operating in the region jumped from 50 in 1997

to 67 in 2007. New entrants with scheduled service include Air Berlin, bmi, Niki,

Hainan Airlines, Meridiana, Travel Servis, Carpatair, Clickair, and Montenegro

Airlines.

Strong economic growth emanates largely from a wealth of natural resources. Air

cargo in markets to or from Asia and Europe is particularly strong, especially

shipments originating in China, Japan, Korea, and Thailand. Imports include

consumer electronics, apparel, pharmaceutical and medical goods, industrial

machinery, and oil and gas extraction equipment.

2.5 The Airline Industry Environmental Scan Summary

Competition

Case Study of an LCC: The rise of easyJet Fly Light’s primary competitor

Founded in 1995, easyJet is a front running European low cost airline along with

Ryanair. It has over 100 routes to almost 40 key business and leisure airports in

Europe. The phenomenal growth of easyJet, since its first flight in November

1995, was boosted by its merger with Go-fly in August 2002. EasyJet has a very

strong business model which is the backbone of its success. It uses the Internet

to reduce distribution costs. It maximises use of each of its aircrafts. The easy Jet

decision makers believe in trend-setting ideas like serving no lunch on board for

faster turnaround time in airports which reduces its airport charges as well. They

have also taken the help of IT systems for e-ticketing and legacy systems which

are accessible through servers located worldwide and thus have transformed their

operations into a paperless environment. In this context, they have developed a

data warehouse which helps to migrate data from the various operational

systems automatically. They have also implemented reporting tools which include

OLAP (On Line Analytical Processing) tools for data mining.

Economic Forecasts

IATA, AEA and other leading organizations like ATI predict a steady growth for

LCC’s in the coming years which would also proportionately increase the entire

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European air traffic volume. However, the growth rate of the larger airlines is not

very promising and airlines have to come up with newer strategies to cope up

with this immense upsurge of the low-cost sector. In this event, the European

airlines can take a cue from Delta Airlines in US who in Jan 2005 have declared to

reduce their fare prices by 50% for travel within the continent.

Globalisation: The Open Skies Agreement

After the creation of a Single Market in air transport in 1992, which enabled free

access to the market for all airlines from the community, the European

Commission expressed the view that the Member States should no longer enter

into bilateral agreements with third countries on an individual basis. USA started

offering "open skies" agreements to other countries from 1992. The ‘open skies’

policy is the basis for accomplishment of a single market free of discriminations

and enhances a coherent European policy for international aviation.

Recently, in the context of the presidential elections, Vagn Sorensen, Chairman

of AEA (Association of European Airlines), has stated the negotiations regarding

the Open Sky Agreement to be remarkable. According to him, the key is the

change in global travel patterns and airlines must be able to exploit new

opportunities quickly within the globalised marketplace. He expected the EU and

the US to demonstrate their willingness to assume leadership in this matter.

Market Structure and Share Prices

There has been a considerable rise in the volume of air passengers in the

European Transportation Industry, from about 167 in 1996 to above 280 in 2004.

This growth has been accelerated by the entry of low-cost airlines in the market

that has definitely given a major fraction of people to travel by air who would

have travelled by other means normally. It is very evident that the majority

market for no-frills airlines are leisure travellers. Budget airlines have played a

significant role in the growing consumer interest in flexible, self-packaged

vacations and weekend city breaks markets.

The LCC growth is amply reflected by the share prices over the last ten years.

There has been a steady increase in the share prices of low-costs after the entry

of Ryanair and easyJet reflecting a shift in preference from the European Majors

towards the LCC’s. When the Low-cost market was going strong, many airlines

entered into the scene and tried to fragment the market. But increase in

competition and reduction of prices took heavy toll on many airlines like, GetJet,

Flyeco and Sabena and they got bankrupt or had to enter into mergers.

The 9/11 impact hit strongly across the entire market like a stroke but the

recovery of Ryanair as compared to flag carriers like British Airways or Air France

has been outstanding. Such pioneer low-cost carriers, which had initially entered

the market to take a chunk of the shares of the majors, now individually

dominate over a segment of the market.

According to the IATA Annual Report of 2004, the industry was hit by four

horsemen of the apocalypse – SARS, war in Iraq, terrorism, and a poor economy.

In 2005, the price of oil threatened to be another barrier. However, Ryanair with

an extremely economical operating cost model, which is responsible for its high

operating profit margin, is ideally seated to lead the recovery.

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Case Study of an Alliance: Air France – KLM

Air France, since its merger with the Dutch company KLM, led to the creation of

Europe's leading airline group: Air France-KLM. Its credo of quality service,

punctuality and now services like electronic ticketing means that travelling is

easier than ever before. The new group ‘Air France-KLM’ relies on its strength and

the complementary nature of their brands and also on the hub and networks of

both the airlines.

The Survival Strategies

Alliances, Spin-offs and Cross-Holdings

Global alliances have greater scope and are the most significant strategic

alliances in terms of network expansion. The prime purpose is to achieve all the

marketing benefits by linking two or more large airlines operating in

geographically distinct markets, ideally in different continents. Global alliances

normally involve code sharing on a large number of routes. They may, however,

extend to include schedule co-ordination, joint sales offices, ground handling,

combined frequent flyer programmes, joint maintenance activities as well as

some equity stake transfer. The individual members may have other route or

region specific alliances.

Major Global Alliance Networks

Europeans took a leaf out of their US counterparts and found that increase in the

size of an alliance would give rise to greater scope of penetrating the market. To

achieve the desired horizon of scope, alliances and mergers were a useful

solution, as these would generate extra traffic volumes between the partner

airlines. The new trend in the European airline market set by the entry of low-

cost airlines like Ryanair forced some traditional airlines to launch their low-cost

versions to capture the new segment of passenger revenues and stay in the

competition.

The formation of bmi baby from British Midlands is a classic example of this kind

of spin-off. Following the change in the market trends in the European aviation

sector, some of the more profitable airlines entered into the game of acquiring or

holding shares in other relatively smaller airlines to boost their profits. This

strategy paid off in many cases and Ryanair set up an ideal example of such

cross holdings.

Ryanair outsources all its check-in and airport services to Servis air in all its

locations including its main base at Stanstead. EasyJet on the other hand, makes

sure that its fleet is on air for about 12hours per day on an average in

comparison to 9 hours for most of the larger airlines.

Some low-costs operate from secondary airports that are far from cities to

minimize the ground handling costs at the major airports. All these factors add up

to a cost advantage of 40-65% per ASK over traditional airlines on intra-

European international routes.

The airline industry is always up against the combined forces of volatile revenues

and high fixed costs. Around 60% of the total cost incurred by the airlines is

virtually invariable in the short run. This section of costs is incurred by aircraft

ownership, fuel costs, ground handling charges, maintenance and airport charges.

Thus, the management has few alternatives while facing the challenges of cutting

cost. It can only optimize in areas like crew costs, sales, marketing and

distribution, passenger services and administrative costs.

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Although the factors constituting the fixed and variable costs of leisure and no-

frills carriers are similar, the different strategies involved gives rise to a

significant difference in the total running costs. The low-cost model ideally looks

to outsource as many of the non-core business functions as possible. They do not

boast of complicated networks or eye-catching frills. On the other side of the coin,

the leisure carrier operating model aims at maximizing its own assets and

resources to optimize the return on capital expenditure.

Industry research shows that the airport charges, staff costs and price of

distribution for the larger network carriers are much more than their low-cost

counterparts. This is mainly due to the maintenance of a large infrastructure,

usage of primary airports and fees to be paid to the different GDS for bookings.

As the competition in the market becomes fiercer with the success of the low

costs, many larger airlines are tempted to change their operating model.

A Look across the Atlantic – The Southwest Model

Booz-Allen-Hamilton analysis demonstrates the advantage of the operating model

of Southwest Airlines, who pioneered the low-cost model in the US. Out of the

total cost differential from an average network carrier, 70% is due to its

operating model. However, only a small fraction of difference is caused by the no-

frills factor, while the greater part of the influence comes from the complex

business processes and distribution costs.

But here lies the catch! Any production model in an airline strategy has specific

assets, costs and process logic, and thus cost structures. However, all production

models have two things in common:

- They are capital-intensive

- Their fixed costs are high

Thus, it can be seen that the operating models of airlines are very rigid and re-

defining it totally is not at all a cost-effective solution. Airlines should accept the

fact that however troubled the water is, still there will be enough room for both

full time and low-cost carriers to co-exist. Their survival strategies should focus to

re-position themselves in the variable costs segments that are independent of the

operating model. The three pillars for operational restructuring are boosting

revenues, cutting costs and restructuring the balance sheet that makes profits up

by 10-18%.

Options IT System

The modern IT systems are just the ideal tools to optimize the airlines processes

and restructure their existing operating models economically. IT systems can help

in boosting revenues as well as cutting costs and thus enable the airlines to stay

ahead in the competition.

The IT Systems for Airline Restructuring – A Brief Overview

Revenue Accounting Systems are required totally the billing discrepancies of

the CRS and to keep a track on the exact number of passengers flown by

connecting airlines for network carriers. Billing Information Data Tapes (BIDT),

available from all GDS, provides airlines with extensive transactional data on all

their bookings made through the respective GDS. Revenue Accounting Systems

also deliver important information for the airline management and other strategic

departments like marketing, key account co-operations, network or sales

management.

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Airlines like Lufthansa and United have implemented such systems and have

gained considerable amount of advantage from them.

Pricing Systems are thoroughly driven from extensive operations research

techniques that deal with pricing analytics, pricing execution, and pricing decision

optimization. These systems take into consideration the elasticity of demands and

try to provide pricing strategies dynamically to maximize profits for an airline.

They also provide decision support in critical situations. Leading pricing systems

along with revenue optimization techniques cause an overall revenue

enhancement of 6-8%.

Crew Scheduling Systems are essential for airline operations control as

managing crews is one of the most complex functions of an airline. Crew cost can

be controlled and it provides one of the greatest opportunities to boost revenues.

2.5.1 Pest, Porter’s Five Forces, and stakeholder Analysis

The airline industry has always been and continues to be the most fiercely

competitive business sector in all facets of its operations. Operating on paper thin

margins the drop in passenger traffic brought on by the events of September

11th, 2001 affected domestic United States airlines as well as all global carriers.

The events of that day have caused governmental intervention in the form of loan

guarantees, compensation for terrorist attack losses, as well as insurance related

to war risk (Shane, 2003). The majors refer to airlines earning revenues in excess

of $1 billion USD annually and generally they provide national as well as

international service. These airlines cater to the business class customer and

passengers who either expect or desire full in flight services such as meals and

related amenities The discount air carriers have changed the face of the airline

industry with their no frills, low-cost airfares and have put pressure on the majors

in terms of eroding their market share.

The preceding battle between discount carriers has further exacerbated the

majors thin operating margins and has resulted in Delta, Continental, Northwest,

United and US Airways (Beck, 2005) filing for protection under Chapter 11 of the

United States bankruptcy laws while they restructure and renegotiate union

contracts and creditor agreements.

PEST Analysis

The utilization of a PEST analysis with regard to Airlines takes into account the

political, economic, social and technological environment the industry is

embroiled in and how this has, is and will threaten to impact its operations and

profitability. The number of possibilities concerning macro-environmental aspects

is almost limitless, thus concentration will be paid to those areas perceived to

have the highest impact.

Political

The political stability of the United States and other Western countries was

severely shaken by the terrorist events of September 11, 2001, and this directly

resulted in a catastrophic drop in business as well as personal air travel (Ito et al,

2003). The preceding along with the following areas have impacted negatively on

earnings as well as profitability among the majors:

- Pricing regulations

- Wage legislation and union requirements

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- Deregulation policies of 1978 - Increased emphasis on national and airport security

Economic

The overall economic climate prior to the events of September 11, 2001 called for

a mild recession and the airline industry was wrestling with discount carriers. The

pre 9-11 airline climate forecast a slight contraction as a result of the

reversionary climate which was dramatically impacted by the events of 9-11 and

the resulting economic aftermath (Ito et al, 2003):

- Dramatic slowdown of the economic growth rate

- Increase in fuel costs

- Balance of trade accounts - Inflationary and fluctuations of the dollars against the Euro, and Yen

Social

The emphasis on September 11th throughout these varied analysis is due to the

sweeping impact that event had on global events in all theatres. The social

implications thus shaped or amplified are as follows (Mayer, 2002):

- Increased layoffs impacting all income groups

- Sharp decrease in lower and middle class travel

- Decline in airline related vacations destinations

- Negative impact of air travel safety brought on by the events of 9-11

- Decrease in general airline related travel plans by consumers

- Low-fare travel stigma attitude shift to an acceptable alternative

Technological

The Internet’s impact on business and consumer purchasing habits heralded in a

new age of information exchange which changed the manner in which airline

tickets are sold.

- Airline SABRE system

- Decrease in airline travel agencies

- Introduction of Internet airline ticket reservations and ticketing

- Entry of Travelocity, Orbitz, Cheaptickets, Expedia and other best price

shopping services

- The availability of the Internet as a consumer and business fare and flight shopping tool

PEST Analysis table

• Increased Trade-union

Pressure

• Pilot Trade Union

• EU Expansion

• EU Abolishment of Duty-

free Sales

• Allegations of Misleading

Advertising

• “Climate Protection Charge”

• Fuel Price Increases

• Depreciation of US dollars

• EU Commission Rulings:

• Illegal Subsidies from

Airports

• Overbooked Passenger

Compensation

• Cancelled Flight

Compensation

• Reimbursement of Delayed

Passengers

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Political - legal Economic

Sociocultural Technological

• Grey Market Increase

• Europe: Cars & High-speed

Trains

• Increasing travelling

lifestyles

• Increasing business

travelling

• Wireless Technology Expansion

• Internet sales/gambling

• Satellite television

• Increased internet competition

Porter’s Five Forces

Michael Porter’s ‘Five Forces” model provides a framework to view the airline

industry from the perspective of five forces that influence it:

Rivalry

American airline ranks as the world’s largest airline in terms of passengers

carried, however is rated number 11th in terms of overall airline quality

(Holderbach, 2004).

- Low-fare airlines garnered three of the top four spots in airline quality

ratings, 1. Jet Blue, 2. Alaska, 3. Southwest, 4. America West. All but Alaska

Airlines are low fare carriers. The remaining airlines are 5. US Airways, 6.

Northwest, 7. Continental, 8. AirTran, 9. United, 10. ATA, 11. American, 12.

Delta, 13. American Eagle and 14 Atlantic Southeast (Holderbach, 2004).

- Some of the more important facets within this category of the Five Forces model are:

slow market growth since 9-11

high fixed operating costs

low relative levels of product differentiation among the

majors

inroads of the low-fare carriers in the changing perception of

air travel

shake out of the industry since 9-11 in terms of

bankruptcies and failures

Threat of Substitutes

Within Porter’s model substitute services come into play when demand exceeds

supply, or vice versa. In the airline industry the excess supply has been attacked by low-fare carriers who have continually gained market share.

Buyer Power

The airline industry suffers from oversupply as well as fixed costs which served as

the foundation for low fare carriers who offer no frill flights in return for

discounted fares. This approach effectively pulled the casual traveller and spread

to frequent travellers and some classes of business travel for companies seeking

to cut costs. Buyer demand is re-shaping the airline industry as a result of these

options.

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Supplier Power

In terms of this category, fuel is the single largest airline cost expenditure item

which affects all firms equally. Low Fare carriers by eliminating frills lower their

per flight operating costs which have and is attracting scores of travelers to their

fold.

Barriers to Entry / Threat of Entry

Traditionally, the high cost of entry in the airline industry reduced the threat of

entry by competitive companies. However the business model offered by low fare

carriers exploited the lower end segment of the market via price and provided a

foundation for the entry of Southwest, Jet Blue, America West and others (Ito et

al, 2003).

Stakeholders Analysis

By definition stakeholders are “…individuals or organizations who stand to gain or

lose from the…” (Nuseibeh et al, 2000) success as well as failure of an enterprise,

system or industry. A stakeholder analysis identifies the key stakeholders and

how their interests affect the industry as well as specified firms within said

industry in terms of their interests and how such impact viability as well as risk.

In terms of American Airlines as well as the industry, the key stakeholders in today’s terms are:

The varied unions that comprise the industry

Ticketing systems, which include those representing the airlines in code

sharing agreements as well as internet ticketing operations such as

Expedia, Orbitz and others.

Oil industry, as fuel suppliers

America’s business community Consumers

All of the preceding groups and institutions have an interest in seeing the

American Airlines succeed as competition is the driving force behind innovation, pricing controls, convenience and choice.

There are still many challenges ahead for the industry. Fuel costs continue to be

a huge cost component and barrier to profitability. Bankrupt carriers starved for

cash will continue to dilute fares, but will be able to use Chapter 11 provisions to

emerge fundamentally and structurally stronger. New low cost carriers (LCC)

continue to appear worldwide. In this economic evolution, cost structure is the

new battlefield in the airline industry. The design and implementation of a

continuous hub schedule model will enhance throughput in a capacity-constrained

network at no additional cost, achieving in the process the simultaneous goals of

reducing cost per unit of production and improving product quality. The business

models must change or move aside. Ultimately, the ability to maintain the lowest

cost while sustaining service and quality will determine the winners and losers.

The airlines must continue to evolve to create a strong, viable and profitable

industry. Consolidation is one mechanism that may allow the airline industry to

achieve its next phase. It creates capacity rationalization – for a short time. It

helps take out weak performing airlines. It resets the playing board. Also,

consolidation provides opportunities for innovation. Whether from new entrant

carriers that develop innovative ways of driving value to the consumer; or by

creating global airlines that transcend international borders, the airline industry

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will evolve. If managed properly, it can create stronger airlines with magnificent network depth and breadth for serving customers.

2.6 Conclusion

The airline industry in Europe has undergone a total paradigm shift after the

entry of low-cost carriers pioneered by Ryanair and easyJet. They initially entered

the market to generate more passenger demand in those segments that were shy

of flying due to the airfares of the full service carriers. However, with their overall

success, they started to take a chunk off the market shares of the larger airlines.

The 9/11 impact, coupled with issues like fuel prices, poor economy and other

factors caused the detriment of some of the larger airlines like Sabena who could

not endure this challenge. Low-costs, with their economical operating model,

survived the troubled times pretty well and are all set to lead the recovery, Thus

this is the time for Fly Light to enter the market.

All these entice some full service air carriers to change their operating model to

the low-cost one. But this does not mean the end of the road for the historically

predominant airlines. Even though IATA, AEA, ATI and other leading

organizations predict a very steady growth for LCC’s in years to come, they do

not write off the major airlines but say that both these types of airlines would

mutually co-exist. Flag carriers like Lufthansa, British Airways, Alitalia, Iberia and

others are still responsible for a large segment of the aviation market shares

individually. Air France - KLM, after their merger has proved to be one of the

most successful airlines worldwide.

As mentioned earlier, it is not economical to change the operating model of an

airline struggling to survive; rather the strategies should be oriented towards

optimizing their existing models so that they become more cost-effective. And

with the power of the modern IT systems airlines can look to restructure

themselves in an optimized way and stay ahead in the struggle for survival. Fly

Light therefore complements the LH Group Businesses.

The airline industry exists in an intensely competitive market. In recent years,

there has been an industry-wide shakedown, which will have far-reaching effects

on the industry's trend towards expanding domestic and international services. In

the past, the airline industry was at least partly government owned. This is still

true in many countries, but in the U.S. all major airlines have come to be

privately held.

Airport capacity, route structures, technology and costs to lease or buy the

physical aircraft are significant in the airline industry. Other large issues are:

Weather - Weather is variable and unpredictable. Extreme heat, cold, fog and

snow can shut down airports and cancel flights, which costs airline money.

Fuel Cost - According to the Air Transportation Association (ATA), fuel is an

airline's second largest expense. Fuel makes up a significant portion of an airline's

total costs, although efficiency among different carriers can vary widely. Short

haul airlines typically get lower fuel efficiency because take-offs and landings

consume high amounts of jet fuel.

Labor - According to the ATA, labor is the an airline's No.1 cost; airlines must

pay pilots, flight attendants, baggage handlers, dispatchers, customer service and

others.

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Industry Implications: Winners and Losers

The addition of smaller aircraft to low cost carrier fleets will have significant

impacts on the aviation industry. They will enable LCCs to continue aggressive

expansion to additional markets. Legacy carriers will face additional competitive

pressures in smaller markets they may have previously considered to be “safe”.

Airports of all sizes will enjoy additional LCC service, both in terms of new

markets and additional frequencies. However, legacy carrier hubs may be

negatively affected as LCC non-stops divert connecting traffic from network

feeder markets. In addition, congested airports and air traffic regions will face

even greater capacity pressures as new regional jets are deployed.

3.0 Strategic Management Plan

3.1 Introduction Fly Light Airline plans to establish itself as a niche player in the low cost market of

air travel. By continuously focusing on the needs of the fast paced traveller, Fly

light will provide the best value proposition in the markets it serves. It will offer

customers a compelling value proposition: a fast level of service where “Free" in-

flight catering and other "complimentary" services will be eliminated, and

replaced by optional paid-for in-flight food and drink.

The Key Success Factors

Fly Light believes that the following factors will be key to the company's success:

Management and Culture

Fly Light has hired experienced airline professionals in order to ensure the

operations are well managed. Blending experienced airline professionals with a

young creative management team will be a successful combination which will

continuously look for innovation while maintaining a high level of professionalism.

Getting the right combination will be key in executing this venture successfully.

The company will also focus on building a strong corporate culture that will help

to differentiate itself from the competition and sustain a high level of motivation while maintaining cost control.

Superior Product and Service

Boarding and disembarking will be much faster given the low number of luggage.

Fly Light will reduce the overall travelling time for passengers flying to and from

the operating airports. Providing a fast flight and light experience is key in

retaining customers and getting repeat business. A strong emphasis will be

placed on this aspect of the business: particular attention will be paid to the

design of the cabin, the technology available, efficiency of processes, and quality

of service offered by the cabin crew. Fly Light will continuously innovate and have

the ability to introduce new products to market in a shorter timeframe than its

competitors.

Strong Sales team

Fly Light will market its services to companies directly. Its ability to acquire

corporate clients will be extremely important to the success of the venture. Fly

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Light will offer discounts for volume travel and will also partner with select hotels in order to offer all-in packages.

Low Cost Operation

As a new airline, Fly Light will have a significant cost advantage over the existing

airlines that have large overhead expenses. By focusing on a single type of

aircraft, a single class of travel, and initially a single route, systems will be simple

and costs will be kept to a minimum. Fly Light will continuously focus on maintaining a low cost base in order to keep this advantage.

Low Break-Even Point

By operating the B737, Fly Light will have lower operating costs and a low break-

even point (40 passengers/50 percent load factor) significantly reducing the risks

associated with traditional airlines. With such a low break-even point, Fly Light

will be able to make it through economic downturns with less pain than its

competitors. It will also enable Fly Light to consider medium and low density

routes on a long-haul basis offering more point to point services.

The Internet

Maximizing the potential of the Internet will be key in keeping low distribution

and administrative costs. Fly Light will have a strong Internet presence and will use the Internet for customer interaction as well as internal functions.

3.2 Strategy

Operating Strategy: One type of aircraft, one class of service

Fly Light will operate a single type of aircraft: The Boeing 737. By operating this

aircraft type on the transatlantic route, Fly Light will have significantly lower

operating costs per trip. The trip cost for the B737 will be approximately £25,000

one way as opposed to £75,000 for a B747 operated by existing carriers. This

demonstrates the lower risk associated with this operation. It will also enable the

company to offer direct services where others offer indirect services. Moreover, it

will be able to offer greater frequency than competitors operating larger aircraft.

Focusing on a single aircraft type enables the company to minimize the costs of

training and maintenance. Fly Light will offer only one class of travel which

facilitates processes (marketing, purchasing, training, systems, etc.). In order to

provide a high quality service to its customers, Fly Light will implement

productivity and profit-based incentives for personnel.

3.2.1 Pricing Strategy

This pricing structure will be very attractive for the small and medium enterprises

(SME) who do not have access to large volume corporate discounts with the

major carriers.

Simple and Transparent Fare Structure

Fly Light will not need sophisticated yield management systems to determine the

price of each ticket. However, Fly Light will hire an experienced yield analyst in order to maximize revenues.

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Fly Light will use a simple yield management system to determine the best price

for each single seat in the aircraft. Fly Light will have a simple fare structure with

three different fares. Fly Light will monitor the purchasing patterns and will be able to restrict the amount of discounted fares on certain flights.

Fare

Type Restrictions

One way

Fare Round-trip Fare

Flexible

This fare is designed for business travellers who make travel plans at

the last minute and who often have to change their travelling plans. It

is fully changeable and refundable without any fees nor restrictions.

This fare is 50 percent cheaper than current published business class

fares.

Advance

This fare is designed for the business traveller who has fixed

engagements and is price conscious. This ticket is equivalent to a

premium economy fare on Virgin.

One

month

This fare will be used to stimulate leisure travellers to travel on

Saturdays or to book one month in advance. It will be very difficult for

business travellers to get access to these fares because of their

booking and flying patterns.

Flexible Changeable and Refundable

No Fee £900 £1,800

Advance

2 weeks advance booking

Nonrefundable

Changeable with Fee

£700 £1,400

One

month

advance

For travel booked 1 month in

advance

Nonrefundable

Nonchangeable

£500 £1,000

In order to attract large corporations, Fly Light will offer one way fully flexible

tickets between £1,400 and £1,700 depending on the volumes involved. While

large corporations already get deals at around £1,000 one way, small and

medium enterprises (SME) have no means to achieve any significant discount

from the full fare business class (£3,580 rtn) Fly Light will offer very attractive

alternatives for the SME market.

Fly Light will use special promotions in the first months of operations in order to

attract as many customers as possible and get them to experience the service.

The initial objective is to focus on load factors rather than yields in order to penetrate the market and stimulate product trial.

3.2.2 Sales, Marketing, and Distribution Strategy

Marketing and Sales Strategy

In order to be successful in the market of business travel, Fly Light needs to

convince two decision makers: 1.) the travel manager or person who makes the

travel policy for a company and 2.) the traveller himself. The travel manager and

the traveller make decisions based on different criteria and it is important to satisfy both decision makers in order to ensure success.

The travel manager is mainly driven by price and his objective is to negotiate the

best deal for his company. On the other hand, the traveller is driven by frequent

flyer programs, comfort, convenience, and lifestyle. Fly Light will have a sales

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team that will focus on travel managers of large and small companies and will

have a conceptual and lifestyle driven communication strategy that will appeal to

the traveller.

Sales and Distribution

Large Volume Companies (1000+ sectors per annum)

Fly Light will target the large financial institutions and other companies with a

major presence Europe. In the city of London and in Canary Wharf there is great

concentration of London-New York premium class traffic. The Top 20 London-New

York spending companies account for close to 100,000 premium sectors per

annum (sectors: one-way ticket). These companies are able to negotiate

discounts of up to 50 percent off published fares and are often tied in to global

deals with the major airlines. While Fly Light can still offer more attractive deals

to these large corporates, it does not anticipate obtaining primary carrier status.

Fly Light will most certainly get secondary or tertiary status therefore capturing

up to 20 percent of these companies' volumes. It will sign commercial agreements with these companies.

Medium Volume Companies (50-1000 sectors)

Fly Light has already identified over 200 companies in this category. These

companies are the most attractive for Fly Light because they have a weaker

purchasing power than the large volume companies and therefore do not get discounts in excess of 30 percent off published fares.

Small and Medium Enterprises (up to 50 sectors)

Fly Light will also target the small and medium enterprises (SMEs) market. The

Stansted catchment area of London, North London, Essex, Cambridgeshire,

Hertfordshire, Essex, East Anglia, and the Southern Midlands has a proliferation

of SMEs. Fly Light will offer a compelling value proposition to these SMEs based

on corporate discounts from an already competitive pricing structure. British

Airways and other major transatlantic airlines do not offer corporate discounts in

the SME market.

Fly Light will hire a strong sales team that will target companies directly. Fly Light

will also team up with a major credit card company and large business travel

agencies that will give Fly Light access to a large number of SMEs. Fly Light

believes that getting companies enrolled will be a critical success factor and will

ensure that its value proposition is well communicated to the businesses likely to use the service.

Electronic Ticketing

Fly Light will offer customers quicker, easier, more convenient ways to arrange

travel through the use of e-ticketing or "ticketless travel." An e-ticket entitles a

passenger to all the same conditions of a conventional paper ticket, however

instead of being printed, the e-ticket is stored in the Fly Light e-ticket database.

The customer simply receives a paper itinerary/receipt for Customs and Immigration.

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Distribution and Revenue Management

Fly Light will use an integrated ticketless software (Open Skies by HP) which

offers an online booking engine as an alternative to traditional airline distribution

through Computer Reservation System (CRS). Open Skies also offers streamlined

revenue accounting, airport functionality, and a customer database function. The

Open Skies system is currently used by Go, Easyjet, JetBlue, Buzz, CityBird, and many others.

Travel Agency

Fly Light will form relationships with the key European business travel agents

giving them an opportunity to increase their commission by taking some of the

risk. Travel agents will be able to buy in bulk in advance and get higher commissions than if they simply book tickets on an ad hoc basis.

Travel agents' commissions in the U.K. have declined from 9 percent to 7 percent

in recent years and are set to reduce further in 2009. Fly Light will offer attractive

returns for agency partners—well above U.K. industry standards.

Call Centres

Fly Light will operate an efficient, customer oriented call centre open 24 hours a

day in order to serve individuals, corporate clients, or travel agents. Fully trained staff will also be able to handle website enquiries.

Direct Sales through the Internet

Harnessing the power of the Internet will be key to the success of Fly Light. It is

the most cost effective distribution method and Fly Light will heavily promote its

website to attract direct passengers. A user friendly website will be set up to sell

tickets, select seats, choose meals, check punctuality, etc. In addition, the

website will enable passengers to choose connecting flights with European low

cost airlines (Ryanair, Go Fly, Virgin Express, Easyjet, Buzz) and also with U.S.

low cost airlines. This will enable Fly Light to expand its target market by capturing connecting passengers as well as point-to-point passengers.

An extranet corporate booking tool will be developed for use by corporate clients.

Fly Light will form strategic partnerships with leading travel, luxury goods, and financial websites targeting similar audiences with hyperlinks between websites.

Advertising and Communication

Fly Light‘s customer base is well defined which will enable Fly Light to focus its

advertising efforts to specific locations and specific newspapers and magazines.

3.2.3 Growth Strategy

Fly Light will initially target the high volume routes in which it will only be a small

player and not be perceived a real threat to the larger airlines. However, the

medium term objective is not to increase capacity on the large routes but rather

to focus on medium to low density routes where competitors flying wide-body

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equipment will not be able to operate profitably. London to Bradley Airport (Hartford, Connecticut) is a perfect example of such a route.

Phase I: Market Penetration in high density routes

Fly Light will initially target the densest transatlantic market. By targeting very

dense markets, Fly Light will only need a small portion of the overall market in

order to be profitable.

Phase II: Extend service to medium/low density long haul routes

We see much larger potential in medium to low density long haul routes where

the traditional airlines are not present today. These destinations include Stewart

Airport or Whiteplains Airport which are located in New York state but within easy

reach of Greenwich and Stamford (Connecticut) which are key business centres.

Passengers will be able to bypass the large hubs for long haul flights in the same way the regional jet is able to bypass hubs on short haul flights.

Other Opportunities

Fly light will take advantage of opportunities in the high-end segment of the

leisure market where we are seeing strong growth. Such opportunities could fit in

nicely with the business travel which tends to be low at weekends and during the

summer season.

Fly light will also consider ad hoc charters and corporate charters on a case by case basis.

3.2.4 Operations

Air Operator's Certificate and Operating License

In order to conduct commercial flights, Fly Light will need an Air Operator's

Certificate (AOC) and an Operating Licence which are granted by the U.K. Civil

Aviation Authority. In order to get an AOC and an Operating Licence, the

company has to comply with safety, financial, and other requirements laid down

by the CAA/JAA. The application process can take over 12 months to complete. In

order to avoid relying on this process to start operations, Fly Light will use the

AOC and operating license of LH in the first year of operations. By using an

existing airline, Fly Light significantly reduces the risk of delays in the start-up

phase. Fly Light will in effect outsource the operations to this existing airline for

the first 12 months which will enable Fly Light to focus on the commercial aspects

of the business. From the passenger's perspective, LH will be invisible. The crew

will have Fly Light uniforms and the aircraft will have Fly Light livery. LH has

tremendous experience with B737 ETOPS (Extended Twin Operations) operations and is viewed by many as the best quality charter airline in Europe.

Slots and Airports

Through LH, Fly Light has obtained landing and takeoff slots at all airports in

which LH operates.

In order to maintain a high level of customer service, Fly Light will either employ

its own staff or ensure the ground handling agent has dedicated staff for all

aspects of airport handling involving contact with customers. For other aspects of

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ground handling, Fly Light will initially outsource its needs until critical mass has been established. Fly Light will lease space in each airport for lounges and offices.

Maintenance and Training

Heavy maintenance and training will be outsourced, initially to LH.

Management

The management of LH group is highly experienced. There is no one on the

management team who has not already performed his or her function for another

airline. We are not in the business of training key people. We intend to hit the ground running with a highly qualified and experienced management team.

During the start-up phase, the operations side of the business will be outsourced to LH reducing management needs and ensuring a timely launch.

Our aim is to achieve a good balance between senior airline professionals and creative young managers.

Convenience

Fly Light will focus on offering a high quality service from the time of booking

right to the time at which the passenger arrives at hotel/home in the destination

city. Passengers will have the choice of booking a seat through the Internet, a call centre, or a travel agency.

e-tickets: Tickets will be 100 percent electronic and the passenger will only need

their passport and confirmation number in order to access the aircraft. They will

be able to print a copy of their itinerary from the website or will get confirmation

numbers from the call centre.

Frequent Flyer Program

Major airlines have been successful at retaining customers by giving them

frequent flyer miles each time they travel. As customers get more miles, they

gain privileges which include access to airport lounges, upgrades, free flights, and

other benefits. In addition, major airlines, through global partnerships are able to offer these programs on many different airlines.

Fly Light will introduce a frequent flyer program of its own which will be very

simple and easy to understand. Most airlines have very complicated programs

which often make it difficult for customers to redeem their miles. Fly Light will

offer frequent flyer Internet cash/points that customers will be able to spend on

specific websites. Fly Light will partner with selected ecommerce sites in order to

provide this service. Fly Light believes that its value proposition combined with

good service and a simple and innovative frequent flyer program will be sufficient

to retain customers.

3.2.5 Organizational Structure

The company will be organized into the following major operational areas as

derived from the LH Group and Fly Light will rely on the member(s) of the LH

Group for decision making and financial investing when needed:

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Business Development and Strategy

The organization is responsible for the company's Corporate Development

function, which includes responsibility for directing M&A activities within the

company, including acquisitions, divestitures, mergers, equity investments and

joint ventures

Communications

Communications plans and executes the strategic deployment of Fly Light

messages with its stakeholders -- employees, shareholders, governments,

partners, customers and communities -- on a global basis. It strives to be the

first source of credible, timely news and information for employees about the

company, its business plans, and the important work employees are doing to ensure a healthy, competitive future.

Engineering, Operations & Technology

EO&T is responsible for defining and implementing corporate strategies for

attaining and maintaining functional and technical excellence, including enhancing

the yield of Fly Light's technology investments across the enterprise. The

organization comprises the Engineering, Operations, Supplier Management and

Quality Assurance functions as well as the Information Technology, Phantom

Works, Intellectual Property Management, and Environment, Health and Safety

operating units.

Finance

The Finance organization is responsible for developing and maintaining the

financial management systems and processes the company uses to conduct

business. Led by the Chief Financial Officer, the organization is composed of the

Office of the Controller, Contracts and Pricing, Financial Planning and Analysis,

Investor Relations, Treasury Operations, and the Tax and Corporate Audit

departments. Finance also oversees the Shared Services organization, which is

responsible for providing common infrastructure and services to Boeing businesses.

Human Resources and Administration

Labor relations, leadership development, executive protection and security

investigations, diversity, corporate contributions, global corporate citizenship, and executive flight operations are part of Human Resources and Administration.

Internal Governance

Internal Governance has responsibility for Internal Audit, Ethics, Import-Export

Compliance, Foreign Sales Consultants, and Sarbanes-Oxley governance requirements.

Law Department

The Law department is responsible for the delivery of all legal services for Boeing

throughout the world. In addition to the Corporate Offices group, the General

Counsel's office includes the legal staffs at each of Boeing's operating segments.

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3.2.6 Values and Culture

We exist to provide a valuable service to our customers, a rewarding opportunity

for our employees, and profitability to our shareholders. We believe that success

in this endeavor depends on our employees. Satisfied employees lead to satisfied

customers, which lead to satisfied shareholders. To achieve this, we enable our

employees to act with an entrepreneurial spirit, and we value those willing to take

responsibility for their actions and the consequences of those actions. We treat

employees as family, which fosters intimacy, informality, strong relationships,

caring attitudes, and it makes work more fun. We give employees the opportunity

to become shareholders and to participate in the financial benefits of ownership.

People take better care of things they own. We treat employees with respect,

which encourages them to treat each other and every customer with respect. We

want our customers to experience legendary service that makes a lasting

impression. Providing exceptional value to customers requires hard work and

concentration. Hard work is most effective when processes are simple. Simplicity

reduces costs and speeds processes. We do not cut corners. We believe in doing

things right the first time. We take pride in our efforts as well as the rewards. Throughout this endeavor, safety will be the overriding force behind any decision.

Culture

At Fly Light we'll constantly re-examine our strengths and processes to build a

company as strong and vital as its heritage.

Our future success is based on a three-pronged strategy:

Run healthy core businesses

Leverage our strengths into new products and services

Open new frontiers

In order to put this strategy into action, we consider where we are today, and

where we would like to be tomorrow.

Fly Light's core competencies are:

Detailed customer knowledge and focus

We will seek to understand, anticipate and be responsive to our

customers' needs.

Lean enterprise

Our entire enterprise will be a lean operation, characterized by the

efficient use of assets, high inventory turns, excellent supplier management, short cycle times, high quality and low transaction costs.

Values

At Fly Light, we are committed to a set of core values that not only define who we

are as the LH group, but serve as guideposts to help us become the company

we'd like to be. We’ll truly live these values every day:

Leadership

We will be a world-class leader in every aspect of our business -- in developing

our team leadership skills at every level; in our management performance; in the way we design, build and support our products; and in our financial results.

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Integrity

We will always take the high road by practicing the highest ethical standards and

by honoring our commitments. We will take personal responsibility for our actions and treat everyone fairly and with trust and respect.

Quality

We will strive for continuous quality improvement in all that we do, so that we will

rank among the world’s premier airlines in customer, employee and community satisfaction.

Customer satisfaction

Satisfied customers are essential to our success. We will achieve total customer

satisfaction by understanding what the customer wants and delivering it flawlessly.

People working together

We recognize that our strength and our competitive advantage is - and always

will be -people. We will continually learn, and share ideas and knowledge. We will

encourage cooperative efforts at every level and across all activities in our company.

A diverse and involved team

We value the skills, strengths and perspectives of our diverse team. We will foster

a participatory workplace that enables people to get involved in making decisions

about their work that advance our common business objectives.

Good corporate citizenship

We will provide a safe workplace and protect the environment. We will promote

the health and well-being of Boeing people and their families. We will work with

our communities by volunteering and financially supporting education and other worthy causes.

Enhancing shareholder value

Our business must produce a profit, and we must generate superior returns on

the assets entrusted to us by our shareholders. We will ensure our success by

satisfying our customers and increasing shareholder value.

Fly Light is a company of great people in one of the most exciting industries in

the world. We will position to be the best in the world. Together, working according to the principles we believe in, we will be the best in the world.

3.2.7 Financial Plan We want to finance our operations through cash flow from our flight routes. Important Assumptions

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The financial plan depends on the number of revenue hours flown each month on our routes.

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