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September 4, 2012 Eutrophication impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea Yrjö Virtanen, Senior Research Scientist, MTT FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to awareness

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Page 1: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

September 4, 2012

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea

Yrjö Virtanen, Senior Research Scientist, MTT

FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to awareness

Page 2: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

2 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Ecological impacts of the food chain

• Resource appropriation (land, abiotic and biotic resources)

• Emissions to air and water, climate change, acidification,

tropospheric ozone formation, stratospheric ozone depletion,

eutrophication, human health impacts, ecotoxic impacts

• Genetic impacts

• Changes in eco-system balances, biodiversity effects, human

health and welfare effects, evolution effects

Page 3: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

3 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain - eutrophication

• A major problem in the Baltic Sea – expert evaluation of the

relative importance at about the same level as that of the

climate change impact (26%/30%) for Finland

• A state where high nutrient concentrations stimulate the growth

of algae, which leads to imbalanced functioning of the system.

• Algal blooms, slime formation, increase in water turbidity,

accelerated oxygen depletion

• Nitrogen and phosphorus loads are the main cause of the

eutrophication in the Baltic Sea

• Atmospheric deposition (NOx and NH3) contribute about 25%

Page 4: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

4 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Relative importances of different

environmental impact categories for Finland

Source: Nissinen, A., Grönroos, J., Heiskanen, E., Honkanen, A., Katajajuuri, J.-M., Kettunen, J., Kurppa, S., Mäkinen, T., Seppälä, J., Silvenius,

F., Timonen, P., Virtanen, Y., Voutilainen, P. 2005. Development of benchmarking for the environmental impacts of different products, services and

consumption patterns. In: Sustainable Consumption: The Contribution of Research, Workshop 10-12 February 2005, Gabels Hus, Oslo, p. 98-114.

Norwegian University for Science and Technology (NTNU), Industrial Ecology program, Report 1/2005, Trondheim, Norway. ISBN 82-7948-046-3.

Climate cahnge

30%

Eutrophication

26%

Primary energy

consumption

18%

Acidification

16%

Tropospheric ozone

formation

10%

Page 5: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

5 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain – Economic Input-Output Life Cycle Assessment (EIOLCA) model

• Belongs to the family of Materials Flow Analysis (MFA) models

• Is a systematic approach used to explore how materials appear in

economic systems, and how they affect the environment

• Constitutes of the internal relationships of the economic system and

its interrelations with the environment

Page 6: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

6 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Flow chart of the food chain model

Imports of

industries

End-use of

domestic

production

End-use of

imports

End-use

Imports of

end-use

Domestic

production

Food chain Boundary condition

Page 7: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

7 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain – Of

the domestic total of the national economy (Finland)

Impact Food chain Other economyFormation of troposhrecic ozone 24% 76%Acidification 20% 80%Climate cahnge 14% 86%Eutrophication 57% 43%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Formation of

tropospheric ozone

Acidification Climate change Eutrophication

Other economy

Food chain

Page 8: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

8 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Total, domestic and imported (Finland)

Environmental impacts of the food chain (Finland)

Impact Domestic Imports TotalTropospheric ozone formation 37 (68%) 17 (32%) 55 Milj. person ppm hour

Acidification 18 (61%) 12 (39%) 30 Milj. AEeq

Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj. kg CO2 eq

Eutrophication 23 (61%) 14 (39%) 37 Milj. kg PO4- eq

Per person and day

Tropospheric ozone formation 0.019 0.009 0.028 person ppm hour

Acidification 0.009 0.006 0.015 AEeq

Climate change 4.7 3.0 7.7 kg CO2 eq

Eutrophication 0.012 0.007 0.019 kg PO4- eq

Page 9: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

9 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– By loads (Finland)

NOx

1%NH3

4%

Ptot

31%

Ntot

64%

Load 1000 kg/year

NH3 23548

NOx 17912

Ntot 34679

Ptot 2321

Page 10: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

10 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– By product groups (Finland)

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

Gra

in

Cate

ring a

nd b

ar

serv

ices

Beer

and

bevera

ges

Milk

Meat

Vegeta

ble

s

Fis

h

Fru

its a

nd

berr

ies

Alc

ohol

Oth

er

1000 k

g P

O4-

eq

Import transports

Import manufacture

Domestic

Page 11: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

11 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Per kg of raw material (Finland, Estonia, Latvia)

Finland Estonia Latvia

Beef 51.5 61.9 60.5

Pork 15.4 17.5 12.7

Poultry 7.1 8.0 6.0

Eggs 16.1 18.3 13.3

Milk 3.3 3.9 3.9

Cereals 5.0 5.7 4.0

Potato 0.7 0.7 0.8

NOTE: Values are computed with the Finnish food chain model (KETJUVASTUU). Estonian and

Latvian values are thus rough estimates.

Page 12: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

12 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Options to reduce them?

1) Change the diet, choose foodstuffs of lower eutrophication

intensity

2) Reduce the eutrophication intensity of the food raw materials

3) Increase the consumption of the imported foodstuff

Page 13: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

13 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Change the diet

0.00

0.10

0.20

0.30

0.40

0.50

Vegetables

Protein foodsCarbihydrate foods

2006 average

Food plate model

Eutrophication

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2006 average Food plate model

1000 t

n P

O4 e

q

Climate change

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

2006 average Food plate model

1000 t

n C

O2 e

q

Page 14: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

14 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain – Reduce the eutrophication intensity of the raw materials

Average nitrogen run-off intensity

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

2006 2007 2008 2009

Year

g/k

g, g

rain

Average phosphorus run-off intensity

0.00

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

0.09

0.10

2006 2007 2008 2009

Year

g/k

g, g

rain

Page 15: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

15 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Increase the consumption of the imported foodstuff

• Would be an effective reduction measure for the food production

based eutrophication impacts on the Baltic Sea

• Imports should come from outside the Baltic Sea catchment region

• Would not reduce the impacts of food consumption

• Could introduce new sustainability risks in the long run through the

trade-off effects, for example those related to global food availability

Page 16: FOODWEB -Baltic environment, food and health: from habits to …foodweb.ut.ee/s2/109_106_25_Eutrophication_impacts_of_the_food_… · Climate change 9108 (61%) 5814 (39%) 14922 Milj

16 Ecological impacts of the food chain on the Baltic Sea – How much and and why ? September 4, 2012

© MTT Agrifood Research Finland

Eutrophication impacts of the food chain

– Global ecological footprint 1967-2010

Source: GLOBAL FOOTPRINT NETWORK. ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT ATLAS 2010