for personal use only - asx2016/03/01 · templeton global growth fund ltd 4 • net tangible...
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Templeton Global Growth Fund LtdShareholder Briefing
March 2016
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Agenda
Templeton Global Growth Fund Ltd
2
• Key Results
• TGG Director commentary
• Investment Manager presentation
• Q & A
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KEY RESULTS
Templeton Global Growth Fund Ltd
3
• Profit from Ordinary Activities after tax for the period ended 31 Dec:
2015: $1,054,749
2014: $1,004,291
• Final dividend of 4.1 cents per share paid 25 September 2015:
0.7 cents per share fully franked
3.4 cents per share unfranked
No interim dividend was declared by the DirectorsFor
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Templeton Global Growth Fund Ltd
4
• Net tangible assets per share (before tax) of $1.39 at 31 Dec 2015
(2014: $1.42) and after payment of 4.1 cents per share dividend in
September 2015.
KEY RESULTS
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Director Commentary
Templeton Global Growth Fund Ltd
5
5
• Share Price Performance
Investment Performance
Capital Raising
Discount to NTA
Share Buy-Back
Weekly Estimated NTA
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Director Commentary
Templeton Global Growth Fund Ltd
6
• Shareholder Communications
• Expense Management
• Dividend Policy
• Remuneration Report
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Templeton Global Growth FundShareholder Briefing – March 2016
All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Special risks are associated with foreign investing, including currency fluctuations, economic
instability and political developments; investments in emerging markets involve heightened risks related to the same factors. To the extent a strategy focuses on
particular countries, regions, industries, sectors or types of investment from time to time, it may be subject to greater risks of adverse developments in such areas of
focus than a strategy that invests in a wider variety of countries, regions, industries, sectors or investments.
PETER WILMSHURST, CFA®
EVP/Portfolio Manager/Research Analyst
Templeton Global Equity Group
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Agenda
What ails the market? 4 Cs and a D.
A Time for Value? The Best of Times, The Worst of Times.
TGG’s Portfolio
• European recovery
• Still a focus on Financials, Energy and Health Care
8
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4 Cs of Concern
9
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10
China: Why China is Devaluing
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
'94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16
Chinese Real Effective Exchange RateJanuary, 1994 to January 2016
Real Effective Exchange Rates (REERs) are inflation-adjusted, trade-weighted currency indices. 2010=100.
Source: Bank for International Settlements (BIS).
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11
Chinese Terms of TradeJanuary, 2005 to November, 2015
China: It’s Not A Trade Problem
Source: CLSA, Datastream, CEIC Data, National Bureau of Statistics.
Chinese Trade Balance1 vs.
Change In Forex Reserves2
January, 2005 to January, 2016
1 12 month moving total.2 Annual change.
Source: BCA.
YoY
Foreign Exchange
Reserves (rhs)
Trade Balance
(lhs)
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China: Non-Manufacturing Still Growing
China Caixin PMIJanuary, 2012 to January, 2016
Source: BCA Research, Markit Economics.
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13
Credit: Rising Spreads in High Yield Bonds; Dealers are Holding Less Inventory
US High Yield Option
Adjusted SpreadsJanuary, 2001 to January, 2016
Shown smoothed except for latest data point.
Source: BCA Research, Barclays.
US Primary Dealers’ Net
Holdings of Corporate DebtJuly, 2001 to December 2015
Data is split into two periods (July 2001 to March 2013, and April
2013 to now) due to changes in data structure. Includes commercial
paper.
Source: CLSA, New York Federal Reserve.
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14
Nassim “Black Swan” Taleb on the Real Financial Risks of 2016Wall Street Journal – 31st December, 2015
Credit: Father Of The “Black Swan” Feeling Fine About Banks
“First, worry less about the banking system. Financial institutions today are
less fragile than they were a few years ago.”
“… since 2009, banks have been shedding their exposures to extreme
events.”
“… another Lehman Brothers isn’t likely to happen with banks…”For
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15
Credit: Leveraged Players Are Not The Key Holders of Corporate Bonds
US Corporate and Foreign Bonds HeldMarch, 1970 to September 2015
Source: BCA Research.
, LHS)
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16
Credit: Financial Conditions Tightening On Rising Spreads And USD
Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index1996 to 2016
Source: Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs.
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17
Credit: Emerging Market Private Debt Up; Advanced Economies Down
Private Credit in Emerging and Advanced Economies, % nominal GDP2006 to 2015
Weighted average by nominal GDP.
Source: BIS, IMF.
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1 Source: BIS. 2 Source: BIS, national data.
122
107
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
'64 '69 '74 '79 '84 '89 '94 '99 '04 '09 '14
USD REER 20 Year Moving Average
USD Debt to EM Non-Banks2
2000 to 2015
US Real Effective Exchange Rate1
January, 1994 to January, 2016
Currency: Combination of Greater USD Debt and a Strengthening Dollar
%
Am
ou
nts O
utstan
din
g (U
S$, t)
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19
Commodities: Trillions Transferred From Producers to Consumers
CommodityEst. 2016
ProductionAvg price 2011-
2013 (USD)Spot Price
(24th Feb 16)2016 Revenue @ '11 -'13 avg price (US$, b)
2016 Revenue @ spot (US$, b)
Difference (US$, b)
WTI Oil 35.4b bbls 96/bbl 32/bbl 3,389 1,140 -2,249
Thermal Coal 6.1b t 101/t 53/t 615 326 -289
Iron Ore 1.4b t 144/t 46/t 202 64 -138
Coking Coal 1.1b t 198/t 73/t 210 80 -130
Copper 22.8m t 8,033/t 4,664/t 183 106 -77
Aluminum 59.6m t 2,119/t 1,576/t 126 94 -32
Nickel 1.9m t 18,487/t 8,675/t 36 16 -20
Total -2,935
Estimated Fall in 2016 Commodity Revenues Due to PriceSpot Prices as at 24th February, 2016
Source: GMFS, CLSA, World Coal Association.
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Commodities: Trade Deceivingly Worrying
Change in Trade Balance, % of GDP2014
Source: IMF Spillover Report, BCA Research.
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Commodities: Empty Port, Full Airport
Hong Kong Container Traffic vs. Hong Kong Passenger TrafficJanuary, 2010 to September, 2015
Source: CHA-AM Advisors, HKIA, HK Port and Maritime Statistics
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22
Oil Price vs. US 10 Year
Inflation SwapJanuary, 2014 to January, 2016
Deflation: Inflation Has Tracked Oil;And NIRP, the New ZIRP
Source: Thomson Reuters, Credit Suisse.
Google Trends: Negative
RatesJanuary, 2004 to February, 2016
Partial data for February 2016.
Source: Google Trends.
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23
Deflation: Global Growth Surprisingly Stable; Core Inflation On The Rise
1Source: IMF.2Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Eurostat, Statistics Bureau (Japan)
Global GDP Growth (% PPP)1
1983 to 2020E
G3 Core Inflation (% YoY)2
January, 2008 to November 2015
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24
Deflation: US Wage Growth
Nominal Income Annual GrowthMarch, 2007 to October, 2015
Source: Global Macro Shifts, US Bureau of Economic Analysis, US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
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1 Source: Factset. Data as of 31/08/15. Rolling 10yr annualised excess returns of MSCI World Value Index vs. MSCI World Growth Index. 2 Source: Fama & French, Kempen Capital Management. US stocks only.
-3%
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
'84 '87 '90 '93 '95 '98 '01 '04 '06 '09 '12 '150
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
1999 1933 1977 1989 1937 1927 1955 Current
MAGNITUDE
DURATION
An Unprecedented Dry Spell for Value
25
Length of Previous Periods: Value
Underperforming Growth2
Relative Performance Global Value
vs. Global Growth1
To August, 2015
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0.20
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
1997 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2013 2015
Price/TBV of Value/Growth Average+1 Standard Deviation +2 Standard Deviation-1 Standard Deviation -2 Standard Deviation
1 Source: Bloomberg. Data as of 12/31/15. 2 Source: Datastream, J.P. Morgan, December 2015
Valuation Gap is Extreme
26
Price to Book Value: Quality Stocks
vs. Value Stocks2
To December, 2015
Price to Tangible Book Value: MSCI
World Value vs. MSCI World Growth1
To December, 2015
Over 3x more
expensive
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1 Source: Barclays.2 Source: Calculations by Franklin Templeton Investments using data sourced from FactSet.
27
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Average Cumulative 3-Year Total
Return After Fed Liftoff2
Six Periods From 1974 to 2007
Global Value vs. Growth Has Closely
Tracked US 10 Year Yields1
To 2015
When the Economy Strengthens, Value Stocks Perform Better
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-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
1936 1941 1946 1951 1956 1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011
Value Outperforms
Growth Outperforms
Ex. 1: 1942
Next 5 Yrs:
Value +329%
Growth +148%
Ex. 2: 2000
Next 5 Yrs:
Value +89%
Growth -27%
Ex. 3: 2015
Next 5 Yrs: ???
Value has outperformed 87% of the time
Source: Eugene Fama & Kenneth French. Templeton Global Research Library. October 2015.
Long Term Value Performs
28
Value vs. Growth: Excess Return, 10 Year CAGRTo October, 2015
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As of 31st January, 2016
35%North
America
23%Eurozone
19%Asia
21%Non-Euro
Europe 2%Other
Weightings as percent of equity. Percentage may not equal 100% due to rounding.
29
29
Templeton Global Growth Fund – Weights
CD, 7%
CS, 3%
Energy, 15%
Financials, 27% Health Care,
19%
Industrials, 14%
IT, 2%
M, 6%
TS, 8%
EUROPE SECTOR SPLIT
0.0
1.3
2.2
1.3
7.1
3.8
4.5
7.1
7.4
2.5
1.2
3.9
0.8
3.2
0.7
4.2
6.6
0.3
1.2
2.3
2.1
3.4
2.3
4.3
5.4
0.6
1.3
3.4
1.3
2.5
1.0
5.4
3.4
0.1
1.6
0.3
0 5 10 15 20 25
Utilities
Materials
Consumer Staples
Telecom. Services
Industrials
Info. Tech.
Energy
Consumer Disc.
Health Care
Financials
PORTFOLIO GEOGRAPHIC-SECTOR WEIGHTINGSAs At 31st January, 2016
North America
Eurozone
Non-Euro Europe
Asia
Other
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Current
(December 31, 2015)
Long Term Average
(Since Apr. 1998)
P/TE 12.1x 17.9x
P/B 1.6x 2.0x
Earning Trend Poised to Rise
Opportunities Many
U.S. Earnings at All Time HighsMSCI USA Index
31st January, 2001 to 31st December, 2015
Eurozone Earnings Poised to RiseMSCI EMU Index
31st January, 2001 to 31st December, 2015
Regional Differences in Earnings Cycles and Valuations
Source: FactSet, MSCI. MSCI makes no warranties and shall have no liability with respect to any MSCI data reproduced herein. No further redistribution or use is permitted. This
report is not prepared or endorsed by MSCI. See www.franklintempletondatasources.com for additional data provider information.
Current
(December 31, 2015)
Long Term Average
(Since Jan. 1980)
P/TE 19.3x 18.1x
P/B 2.8x 2.6x
Earning Trend Rising
Opportunities Some
30
Earnings per share, last 12-month (rhs)
Price
Pri
ce
Earn
ing
s per sh
are
Pri
ce
Earn
ing
s per sh
are
Earnings per share, last 12-month (rhs)
Price
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31
European Earnings Appear to Have Sizable Catch-up Potential
1st January,1999 to 04th January, 201631st January,1973 to 04th January, 2016
Source: BCA Research. Note: expressed in common currency terms.
European Companies Are Still Under-Earning
250
200
150
100
50
25
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
250
200
150
100
50
25
EARNINGS PER SHARE:
EURO AREA
U.S.
© BCA Research 2016
200
180
160
140
120
100
US EPS at all
time high
Euro area EPS
80
60
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
200
180
160
140
120
100
80
60
© BCA Research 2016
EARNINGS PER SHARE:
EURO AREA
U.S.
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1 Source: Barclays Research, MSCI.2 Source: Thomson Reuters, Credit Suisse Research. Latest data as of December 02, 2015.
The European Economy is Gaining Traction
Europe
Japan
US
32
European Bank Loans1
1999 to 2015
European Domestic Demand2
2008 to 2015
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Europe Has Outperformed During US Interest-Rate Liftoffs
Average Regional Total Return Following Fed LiftoffFive Periods through to 2007
Source: Thomson Datastream, UBS Equity Strategy.
Europe
US
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0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
1893 1913 1933 1953 1973 1993 2013
34
European Banks Price-to-Book Value2
31st January, 1995 to 31st December, 2015
U.S. Banks are Near Long-Term Average Valuations While Euro Banks are Still Discounted
1 Source: Anthony Saunders & Berry Wilson, Impact of consolidation and safety net support on Canadian, US and UK banks, 1892-1992 (1999). Michael Keeley, Deposit Insurance, Risk
and Market Power in Banking (1990). FDIC – History of the 1980s. Datastream, SNL. Autonomous Research. * ignores war years, and one-off years at below 1xBV. 2 Source: FactSet, MSCI. Data from January 31, 1995 to December 31, 2015. See www.franklintempletondatasources.com for additional data provider information.
Long-Term
Average = 1.6
(Pri
ce-t
o-B
oo
k V
alu
e)
95% Upside
Potential
if P/B Mean
Reverts
71% Upside
Potential
if P/B
Matches
US LT Avg1.0x
1.4x
U.S. Banks Price-to-Book Value1
As of 04th January, 2016
Long-Term
Average = 1.4
(Pri
ce-t
o-B
oo
k V
alu
e)
1.0x
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35
This Is Not 2007 All Over Again
US Exposure to Energy & EM Debt1
Q3 2015
2007 vs. Now: Aggregate of Citi, BofA
& JP Morgan2
1 Source: SIFMA, IMF, Treasury Bulletin, FDIC, BEA, BIS, Empirical Research Partners. 2 Source: Company reports, Autonomous. 3 Subprime loans/TCE. 4 Energy loans/TCE.
Key Items Metrics 2007 2015
Capital Buffer𝑇𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦
𝑇𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐴𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑡𝑠3.4% 8.5%
Sub-Prime (’07)
Energy (’15)
𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑛𝑠
𝑇𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐶𝑜𝑚𝑚𝑜𝑛 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑖𝑡𝑦167%3 11%4
Refinancing Risk𝑆𝑇 𝐵𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠
𝐿𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠10% 2%
Liquidity Check𝐶𝑎𝑠ℎ & 𝑇𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑒𝑠
𝑆𝑇 𝐵𝑜𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑤𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠0.5x 7.1x
Valuation𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
𝑇𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝐵𝑜𝑜𝑘 𝑉𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒2.6x 0.9x
2007: Fall in House Prices 2015: Fall in Energy Prices
• Mortgage re-draw no longer a source of consumer
firepower
• Fall in value of consumers’ biggest asset
• Direct impact on economic activity through housing
construction and consumer durables
• Huge consumer disposable income boost
• Significant increase in global fiscal stimulus as
biggest savers move into fiscal deficit
• Cuts to oil capex/employment to hit selective parts
of US, but almost none of Europe (Norway, N. Sea)
vs.
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0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
36
Tangible Equity and Returns Are
Higher2003 to 2017 Estimates
Capital Much Higher, Dividends To Flow?
1 Source: Autonomous, STOXX, FactSet, Bloomberg. Data as at 23rd February, 2016. 36
European Dividend Yields & Payout
Ratios1
Next 12 Months Consensus
107%
Div
iden
d Y
ield
s (%
)
52%
53%73%
88%
79% 55% 67%
66% 53%
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37
Energy: Full of Opportunity
Average
Source: FactSet, MSCI.
MSCI All Country World Energy Index Relative Price-to-Book29th September, 1995 to 31st December, 2015
Pri
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1990 1991 1993 1995 1996 1998 2000 2001 2003 2005 2006 2008 2010 2011 2013 2015
US
$/b
bl
Brent Price Marginal Cost of Supply
Estimated Price of Demand Destruction Estimated Marginal Cash Cost
38
At Current Prices, Investment Will Continue to
Decline and Marginal Production to Close
Source: Bernstein, as of 11/27/15.
Operating at
Cash Costs is
Not Sustainable
• Marginal full cost for oil (~$75) is a reasonable
medium-term price expectation as new
investment will be needed to meet demand
• Today’s price is bumping along marginal cash
cost
Brent Price vs. Marginal Cost vs. Demand DestructionThrough to November, 2015
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39
Oil Intensity Has Been Falling For 40 Years
Oil Intensity vs. Demand1965 to 2015
Source: Thomson Reuters, Credit Suisse.
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
1,000 bb
l/d
World Oil Demand
Ton
ne
of
Eo
il E
qu
ival
ent
per
US
$m o
f G
DP
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Pharmaceuticals On Their Way Back to Growth?
Source: 1FactSet Market Aggregates, 2Berenberg, 3Consumer Expenditure Survey, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS data from mid 2013 to mid 2014.
June 2009
MSCI ACW Pharmaceuticals: Forward P/E1
January, 1997 to February, 2016
US FDA Approvals2
1974 to 2015
US Mean Annual Health Care Expenditure Per
Person by Age Group3
Back To The Future: Pharma Style
40
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
< 25 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 > 75
Generic
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Source: © 2015 Morgan Stanley Capital Index (MSCI). All MSCI data is provided “as is.” The Fund described herein is not sponsored or endorsed by MSCI. In no event shall MSCI,
its affiliates or any MSCI data provider have any liability of any kind in connection with the MSCI data or the Fund described herein. Copying or redistributing the MSCI data is strictly
prohibited. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index.
Weightings as percent of equity. Percentage may not equal 100% due to rounding. Information is historical and may not reflect current or future portfolio characteristics. All portfolio
holdings are subject to change.
41
Templeton Global Growth FundSector Allocation
41
Templeton Global Growth Fund vs. MSCI All Country World IndexAs at 31st January, 2016
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Utilities
Materials
Consumer Staples
Telecommunication Services
Industrials
Information Technology
Energy
Consumer Discretionary
Health Care
Financials
Templeton Global Growth Fund MSCI All Country WorldFor
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Source: © 2015 Morgan Stanley Capital Index (MSCI). All MSCI data is provided “as is.” The Fund described herein is not sponsored or endorsed by MSCI.
In no event shall MSCI, its affiliates or any MSCI data provider have any liability of any kind in connection with the MSCI data or the Fund described herein. Copying or redistributing
the MSCI data is strictly prohibited. Indexes are unmanaged and one cannot invest directly in an index.
Weightings as percent of equity. Percentage may not equal 100% due to rounding. Information is historical and may not reflect current or future portfolio characteristics. All portfolio
holdings are subject to change.
42
Templeton Global Growth FundGeographic Allocation
42
Templeton Global Growth Fund vs. MSCI All Country World IndexAs at 31st January, 2016
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Australia/NZ
L. America/Caribbean
Mid-East/Africa
Asia
North America
Europe
Templeton Global Growth Fund MSCI All Country WorldFor
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For the Fund, the Price to Earnings, Price to Cash Flow, and Price to Book Value calculations for the weighted average use harmonic means. Values less than 0.01 (i.e., negative values) are excluded and values in excess of 200x are capped at 200x. Yields above 100% are also excluded. For the benchmark, no limits are applied to these ratios in keeping with MSCI’s calculation methodology. Due to data limitations, all equity holdings are assumed to be the primary equity issue (usually the ordinary or common shares) of each security’s issuing company. This methodology may cause small differences between the Fund’s reported characteristics and the Fund’s actual characteristics. In practice, Franklin Templeton’s portfolio managers invest in the class or type of security which they feel is most appropriate at the time of purchase. Please note: The dividend yield quoted here should not be used as an indication of the income to be received from this fund.Index statistics calculated by FactSet Research Systems, Inc.Source: Franklin Templeton Investments.
Portfolio Benchmark
Price to Earnings 13.3x 17.3x
Price to Cash Flow 5.1x 10.0x
Price to Book Value 1.2x 1.9x
Dividend Yield 3.0% 2.7%
43
Templeton Global Growth Fund vs. MSCI All Country World IndexAs at 31st January, 2016
Templeton Global Growth FundPortfolio Characteristics
43
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The benchmark is the MSCI All Country World ex Australia Index Net Dividends Reinvested (AUD) Index.
The portfolio characteristics listed are based on the Fund’s underlying holdings, and do not necessarily reflect the Fund’s characteristics. Due to data limitations all equity holdings are assumed to be the primary equity issue (usually the ordinary or common
shares) of each security’s issuing company. This methodology may cause small differences between the portfolio’s reported characteristics and the portfolio’s actual characteristics. In practice, Franklin Templeton’s portfolio managers invest in the class or
type of security which they believe is most appropriate at the time of purchase. Information is historical and may not reflect current or future portfolio characteristics. All portfolio holdings are subject to change.
Source: FactSet. For the portfolio, the Price to Book Value calculations use harmonic means for the weighted average. Values less than 0.01 (i.e., negative values) are excluded and values in excess of 200x are capped at 200x. For the benchmark, no
limits are applied to these ratios in keeping with the benchmark’s calculation methodology.
44
Templeton Global Growth FundPortfolio Characteristics
44
Templeton Global Growth Fund vs. MSCI All Country World Index
Price to Book Ratio30th June, 2009 to 31st January, 2016
1.4
1.2
1.7
1.9
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
Jun'09 Jun'10 Jun'11 Jun'12 Jun'13 Jun'14 Jun'15
Templeton Global Growth Fund MSCI AC WorldFor
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The Ten Largest Holdings represent the ten largest holdings of the fund as of the date indicated. These securities do not represent all of the securities purchased, sold or
recommended for advisory clients, and the reader should not assume that investment in the securities listed was or will be profitable. All portfolio holdings are subject to change.
Holdings of the same issuer have been combined.The portfolio manager for the fund reserves the right to withhold release of information with respect to holdings that would otherwise be included in the top 10 holdings list.
Name of Issuer Country Industry % of Total
MICROSOFT CORP United States Software & Services 2.9
SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS CO South Korea Technology Hardware & Equipment 2.1
HYUNDAI MOBIS CO LTD South Korea Automobiles & Components 1.9
COMCAST CORP United States Media 1.8
NISSAN MOTOR CO Japan Automobiles & Components 1.7
AMGEN INC United States Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 1.7
JPMORGAN CHASE & CO United States Banks 1.7
TEVA PHARMACEUTICAL
INDUSTRIESIsrael Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 1.6
CRH Ireland Materials 1.6
ALLERGAN PLC United States Pharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences 1.5
TOTAL 18.5
45
As at 31st January, 2016
Templeton Global Growth FundTop Ten Holdings
45
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Periods of more than one year are annualised. Benchmark is presented net dividends.
Past performance does not guarantee future results and results may differ over future time periods.
Per
form
ance
Ret
urn
s (%
)
46
-0.2 -3.9
5.5
19.4
13.7
1.40.5
9.8
21.3
13.6
-5
5
15
25
3 Months 6 Months 1 Year 3 Years 5 YearsTempleton Global Growth Fund - Net of Fees & Expenses MSCI AC World Index (Net Dividends) AUD
Templeton Global Growth Fund vs. MSCI All Country World Index As at 31st December, 2015
Templeton Global Growth FundPerformance
46
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47
Templeton Global Growth FundPerformance vs. Peers
Templeton Global Growth Fund vs. Morningstar Global Equity Large Value
31st Dec, 15 6 Months 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year
Perf (%, pa) (3.9%) 5.5% 19.4% 13.7% 4.0%
Rank 47/53 45/53 29/46 13/45 8/29
Percentile 12% 15% 38% 73% 75%
Returns are post fees & expenses.47
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48
Summary
• China’s economy remains resilient despite its moderation in growth
• Credit - it’s not 2007 all over again
• Global growth stable and core inflation on the rise
• Looking at opportunities:
• we remain positive on Europe
• abundant value among energy producers and their services partners
• favour lowly valued biotech firms with innovative pipelines
• European financials (and those in the Rest of the World) continue to
look attractive
• Eventual normalisation of economic and policy trends to be supportive of
value-oriented equities after this pronounced period of underperformance
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Important Legal Information
49
All investments involve risks including loss of principal. Special risks are associated with foreign investing, including currency
fluctuations, economic instability and political developments. Investments in developing markets involve heightened risks related to the
same factors, in addition to those associated with their smaller size and lesser liquidity. While stocks have historically outperformed other
asset classes over the long term, they tend to fluctuate more dramatically over the short term. The use of derivatives and foreign
currency techniques involve special risks, as such techniques may not achieve the anticipated benefits and/or may result in losses.
Templeton Global Growth Fund Ltd. (ABN 44 006 558 149) issues this document with the intention to provide general information only
and not investment or financial product advice. It does not take into account the individual objectives, financial situation or needs of any
recipient. Nothing in this update should be construed as investment advice. Franklin Templeton Investments have exercised professional
care and diligence in the collection of information in this recording. However, data from third party sources may have been used in its
preparation and Franklin Templeton Investments has not independently verified, validated or audited such data.
Past performance does not guarantee future results and results may differ over future time periods.
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