for personal use only - asx · this presentation should be read in conjunction with the annual...
TRANSCRIPT
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Investor Briefing 2016
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Important Notice
The purpose of this presentation is to provide general information about
Fortescue Metals Group Limited ("Fortescue"). It is not recommended that
any person makes any investment decision in relation to Fortescue based
on this presentation. This presentation contains certain statements which may
constitute "forward-looking statements". Such statements are only predictions
and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties which could cause actual
values, results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those
expressed, implied or projected in any forward-looking statements.
No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by Fortescue that
the material contained in this presentation will be achieved or prove to be
correct. Except for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, each of
Fortescue, its officers, employees and advisers expressly disclaims any
responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of the material contained in
this presentation and excludes all liability whatsoever (including in
negligence) for any loss or damage which may be suffered by any person
as a consequence of any information in this presentation or any error or
omission therefrom.
Fortescue accepts no responsibility to update any person regarding any
inaccuracy, omission or change in information in this presentation or any
other information made available to a person nor any obligation to furnish
the person with any further information.
Additional InformationThis presentation should be read in conjunction with the Annual Report at 30
June 2016 together with any announcements made by Fortescue in
accordance with its continuous disclosure obligations arising under the
Corporations Act 2001.
Any references to reserve and resources estimations should be read in
conjunction with Fortescue’s Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources statement
for its Hematite and Magnetite projects at 30 June 2016 as released to the
Australian Securities Exchange on 19 August 2016, and ASX releases dated
20 May 2014 and 8 January 2015 as they relate to Hematite Mineral
Resources Development Properties. Fortescue confirms in the subsequent
public report that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially
affects the information included in the relevant market announcement and, in
the case of estimates of mineral resources or ore reserves, that all material
assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the
relevant market announcement continue to apply and have not materially
changed.
All amounts within this presentation are stated in United States Dollars
consistent with the functional currency of Fortescue Metals Group Limited,
unless otherwise stated. Tables contained within this presentation may
contain immaterial rounding differences.
Forward looking statements
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Building a world class company
Core supplier to China’s growth
Safety focus
Shipped over
760mt
First ore
in 2008
Unique culture
165-170mtProduction rate
Low cost
producerEngagement
Empowerment
Leadership
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Delivering on targets
Focus on safety, productivity and efficiency
Safety
165-170mt shipped
Productivity + efficiency
Debt repayments
Consistent dividend policy
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Sept ’16 quarter US$13.55/t – productivity and efficiency delivering cost savings
Continuous + sustainable cost improvements
Solomon operations
Blending strategy 58% Fe
Processing, wet plants + de-sands
Operational efficiencies
Fx and fuel decreases
1
2
3
4
5
US$/wmt
4844
34
27
15
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17Guidance
$12 - $1312-13
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FY17 continuing to lower all in breakeven price on Platts 62% CFR basis
Breakeven price
US$/t
7
Fx:0.75
18.1
22.6
28.3
12-13
4.51.3
0.31.9
2.5
3.1
2.6
-
10
20
30
40
C1 Shipping Royalty Admin Deliveredcost to China
Moisture Dmtuadjustments
Total dmtcost
Interest Capex Breakevenprice
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Price and iron ore port stocks remaining stable
Iron ore supply in balance
Source: Bloomberg and Umetal 8
$30
$50
$70
$90
$110
$130
$150
$170
$190
$210
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
Ju
l-1
0
Sep
-10
No
v-1
0
Ja
n-1
1
Ma
r-11
Ma
y-1
1
Ju
l-1
1
Sep
-11
No
v-1
1
Ja
n-1
2
Ma
r-12
Ma
y-1
2
Ju
l-1
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Sep
-12
No
v-1
2
Ja
n-1
3
Ma
r-13
Ma
y-1
3
Ju
l-1
3
Sep
-13
No
v-1
3
Ja
n-1
4
Ma
r-14
Ma
y-1
4
Ju
l-1
4
Sep
-14
No
v-1
4
Ja
n-1
5
Ma
r-15
Ma
y-1
5
Ju
l-1
5
Sep
-15
No
v-1
5
Ja
n-1
6
Ma
r-16
Ma
y-1
6
Ju
l-1
6
Sep
-16
No
v-1
6
US
$
Mt
IO Inventory Levels (mt)
62% Fe CFR (RHS)
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China's Iron Ore Supply CFR Costs (including royalties & ocean freight)
Moving down the global cost curve
Source: Metalytics 26 May 2016
2012
2016
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Alignment of marketing and operations to deliver ongoing productivity and efficiency
Fortescue’s strategy
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Operations - Nick Cernotta
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Safety performance improves year on year
Significant improvement since FY11
14.4
9.2
7.6
6.05.1
4.33.4
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Q1 FY17
TR
IFR
Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate
Rolling 12 month
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14
Underpinned by our core values
People and cultureF
or p
erso
nal u
se o
nly
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Significant resource supports reserves and mine life
Reserve portfolio supports asset base
1,518 1,4701,609
1,444
827 903791
728
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
Ore
Reserv
es (
Mt)
Chichester Solomon
3,222 3,328 3,280 3,159
695 303 491 491
3,504 4,877 4,793 4,755
624
740 740 740 2,463
2,463 2,463 2,463
5,205 4,676
5,504
6,706
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
Chichester Hub Chichester Other Solomon Hub
Western Hub Nyidinghu Magnetite
Ore
Re
so
urc
e (
Mt)
Based on Fortescue’s Ore Reserves and Mineral Resources statement for its Hematite and Magnetite projects at 30 June 2016 and other applicable ASX releases as identified in the forward looking statements disclosure to this document 16
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Typical section
Chichester Hub
Vertical exaggeration = 10 timesS NKilometres
0 1
Unconsolidated gravels, silts, claysHardcapMineralised dehydrated and hydrated zonesMineralised Primary zoneMicroplaty hematite ore zoneMarra Mamba Iron Formation - unmineralised BIFRoy Hill Shale Member, Jeerinah Formation, carbonaceous shale, unmineralised
• Bedded mineralisation in the Marra
Mamba iron formation
• Typically 10-20m thick
• Bedding dips to the South at an
average angle of 4⁰
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18
Solomon Kings Valley iron mineralisation
CID – Channel Iron Deposit DID – Detrital Iron Deposit
Brockman Iron Formation (un-mineralised)
Brockman Iron Formation (mineralised)
Lateritised bedrock
Basal CID (clay and conglomerates)
Lower CID (dominant ochreous goethite matrix)
Upper CID (dominant hard brown goethite matrix)
Marginal CID (clay dominant material)
Oakover Formation (calcrete and silcrete)
Detrital Iron Formation (iron rich alluvium)
Recent alluvium (gravels and silts)
Section not to scale, vertical exaggeration approximately 4 times
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Typical BID Section
Solomon
• Mineralisation predominantly within
the Dales Gorge, Whaleback Shale
and Joffre Members of the
Brockman Iron Formation
• Outcropping mineralisation on the
flanks of major hills, with some
buried by alluvium along the valley
edges
Joffre
Whaleback Shale
Dales Gorge
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5 year average strip ratio increases costs ~$1/wmt on current assumptions
Strip ratios – FY17 1.1
20
Strip Ratios 5 year average
FY17 - FY21LOM
Chichester 1.5 2.3
Solomon 1.3 1.8
Combined 1.4 2.1
OPF beneficiation
Ore body modelling
Infill drilling
Mining hygiene
BlendingOptimisation
improving
strip ratios
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Fortescue’s innovation and technology strategy
Early adopters and future opportunities for strategic focus areas
8
Autonomous Drilling
Autonomous
HaulageDewatering
telemetry OPF optimisation
Early
adopter
Future
options
Solomon Cloudbreak
Dewatering
telemetry
Autonomous
Haulage
Christmas Creek
Integrated
Operations CentreAutonomous Drilling
Integrated
Operations Centre
Autonomous
Haulage
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Optimising assets
To optimise return on capital that is invested in Assets
Operating Philosophy
Maintenance Strategy
Work Management Reliability Standardisation Technology & Innovation
Shutdown Strategy Root Cause Analysis Equipment Perth Operating Centre
Contractor Engagement Shared Learnings Components Automation
Scope Bundling OEM Engagement Spares
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Cloudbreak
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Cloudbreak
Snapshot
Annual production 40mtpa
1,700
2008
2011
Approximate total workforce;
1,200 Fortescue, 500 contractors
Wet front end – improving
beneficiation
25
First ore
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Blending with Firetail + wet processing, product grade 57.5%
Blending + beneficiation
New pit
limit
Strip ratio
2.3
Production inventory at cut off grade of 54%+ + =26
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Solomon
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Solomon
Snapshot
28
2 x OPF’s
27mtpa Firetail – dry plant
46mtpa Kings – wet plant 73mtpa
1,570
2013
Firetail
Approximate workforce
840 Fortescue, 730 contractors
Commenced operations in 2013
Fortescue’s youngest mine
Bedded/detrital product with high Fe
and phos blended with low phos from Chichesters
Kings CID Fines, a low alumina
channel iron product; and
Western Fines, a bedded/detrital productKings
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World class autonomous haulage operation
First to deploy CAT autonomous technology on a commercial scale
> 200 Assets
Autonomously moved
240mt
2013First AHS Truck
54 Autonomous trucks
Safety and
productivity
29
Interacting on one system
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Autonomous haulage
AHS are 20 per cent more productive than regular fleet of trucks of the same type
• Fully integrated
• Overburden and ore
• Blended stockpiles
• Primary crusher feed
• Flexibility
• Older trucks converted to
autonomy
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Haul truck performance
AHS are 20 per cent more productive than regular fleet of trucks of the same type
Fleet productivity
31
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16
Manned truck AHS truck
T.K
mE
FH
/calh
r
T.KmEFH, tonnes per kilometer effective flat haul
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Autonomous drilling
• First autonomous drill to be operating in
December 2016
• Forecasting 23% improvement
- 9% increased operating time
- 14% increased productivity
• Safety improvement
32
Leveraging proven technology
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Christmas Creek
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Christmas Creek
Snapshot
Average annual production;
2 x Ore Processing Facilities60mtpa
1,830
2010
Approximate total workforce
1,170 Fortescue, 660 contractors
CC1 commenced 2010
CC2 commenced 2012
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OPF initiatives
Blended stockpiles; cyclone efficiency
scavenger cyclone recovery
Wet plant density and volume control
Secondary and tertiary cycloning
Belt filter optimisation
Debottlenecking
• Chutes, gearboxes
• Conveyor modifications
Wet Yield to 90%
Plant throughput 3,400 to 5,000tph
Reduce mining costs
Reducing cut-off grades
Lowering strip ratios
Improving rail & shipping
performance
Lower costs
Maximising asset output
Silica upgrade -78%
Alumina upgrade -77%
Iron upgrade +103%
Moisture to 7.5%
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Christmas Creek Operations Centre
Initiatives
• All mining, maintenance and fixed plant
operations control
• Engineering, planning and quality
resource support
• Remote crusher rock breakers
• Autonomous drilling
• Centralised Integrated Control Centre for
all site based operations
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Overview and outcomes
Christmas Creek plant automation
Increasing plant run-time Minimise Operator Interface
Improving upgrades and yields
Maximising throughput
Optimise train weight and load times
Reduce operator intervention
1
Wet Plant Automation2
Dry Plant Automation3
Train Load Out4
Constraint Control and whole
of plant sequence5
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Rail
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Rail
Shaping our great railway for long-term success
39
620km
470
36kt/train
Longer
Approximate total workforce
380 FMG, 90 contractors
2 loco, 250 ore cars trains
3kms with average cycle time 22hrs
80km/hr speeds
42t axle loads
Faster
Heavier
Track connecting four mine sites
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Virtual train control centre
First company in WA to control a railway from outside the region of operation
40
• Virtual control system, no per way signals or transponders
• Communications based system with fibre optic backbone
• In cab signalling and positive enforcement
• Benefits include:
– Increased safety
– Reduced cycle times, higher capacity
– Platform for future productivity
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41
• Wheel and brake shoe measurement at
optimal speed
• Measuring on train 2,000 wheels and
2,000 brake shoes in 3 minutes
• Measuring on train 55,000 wheels and
55,000 brake shoes a day
• Benefits include:
– High speed, lower cycle time
– Better management of wheels and track
– Reduced opex and capex
Condition monitoring management system
A postage stamp of space connects the wheel to the track
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42
• Tendering on cruise control
• Application of throttle and brake
• Operator remains on the Train
• Implementation of 18 to 24 months
• Benefits include:
– Reduced cycle times
– Improved fuel consumption
– Reduced wear and tear
Driver assist technology
Increase in safety, productivity and efficiency
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Port
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Herb Elliot Port
Part of the worlds largest bulk port by annual throughput
3 reclaimers, 3 shiploaders
and 5 berths load vessels at a
combined rate
44
390Approximate total workforce
250 Fortescue, 140 contractors
Australia’s most efficient bulk Port
36,000tph3 train loops, 3 TUL’s
and 3 stackers unload
at a combined rate
36,000tph
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Shiploader automation
Automation project to improve efficiencies
• Radar System detects ore levels in
hatch and informs operator to position
shiploader
• Benefits include
– Improved anti-collision
protection– Stage 1: Operator Assistance and diminish
positioning error
– Stage 2: Remote operation
45
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Shiploader operator assistance
Phased approach
46
2. Loading assistance
1. Anti Collision
3. Remote Control
4. Hatch Automation
5. Ship Automation10
0%
au
tom
ati
on
Bas
ic a
uto
ma
tio
n
Current
Developments
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47
• Radar System detect reclaimer
position in the stockpile
• Benefits include
– Live cutting area measurement
• Slew Speed Control
• Reduction of Over Torques
• Improved Mass Flow
– Distance / depth measurements
• Improved Face Up Procedure
– Edge height detection
• Improved Turn Around
Reclaimer Radar systemF
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Shipping – Mark Davidson
48
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Shipping market remains weak but showing signs of having bottomed
Market update
Baltic Capesize Index Route C5 49
$0.00
$4.00
$8.00
$12.00
$16.00
Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16
Port Hedland to Qingdao
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Consolidation in ship building and ship owning markets
Fleet development
Simpson Spence Young: Bulk Carrier Net Fleet Changes 50
0
100
200
300
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 YTD
Capesize Fleet Development
Delivered Scrapped
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Target efficient vessels with large deadweight and low draft
Performance update
51
45%
52%
54%
56%56%
55%
48%
46%
44%44%
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 YTD FY17
Vessel Segment Distribution
>200k DWT Capesize
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Target of zero demurrage days
Sustained improvement of turnaround time
52
6.39
4.62
2.49
1.31
0.21 -0.36
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 YTD FY17
Demurrage Days Per Vessel
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Very Large Ore Carriers (VLOC) update
Investment in ships to deliver operational benefits
• 8 VLOCs being constructed at two
shipyards in China
• Efficient loading at Port Hedland
– 261,000 deadweight tonne
– 327m in length, 57m beam
53
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First vessel delivers to Fortescue end November
• 8 VLOCs 21M tonnes p.a. or 12% of
total volume
• Contracted at bottom of market - low
cost shipping option
• Provide exposure to the wider shipping
industry
54
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Market – David Liu
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56
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57
Four key areas of engagement
Fortescue values relationship with China
Four key areas of engagement
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13th Five Year Plan
Generating domestic demand for steel for the next five years
152,000km Roads in rural
areas
58Source: China Daily
3,000kmNew urban rail lines
Over 50 civilian
airports
High speed
rail network
to cover 80%
of cities
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Steel demand – driven by policy decisions
Steel consumption to build economy
Source: Wood Mackenzie 59
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60
Generating regional demand for steel and opportunities for Northern Australia
China’s One Belt One RoadF
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Iron ore market in balance
• Steel demand driven by property and
infrastructure sectors in China
• Demand for Fortescue ore remains strong
• Iron ore market in balance with low cost
seaborne ore displacing domestic
• Price realisations have been under
pressure but expected to improve
61
Market demand for Fortescue ore remains strong
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Well established 18% market share of imported iron ore to China
Core supplier to Asia
• Low impurity 58% Fe average
• High value in use
• Large diverse customer base
• Reliable consistent delivery
• Proximity to high growth region
62
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Chinese government stimulus and credit expansion pillar of economic support
Property and infrastructure driving steel demand
Home sales and prices have increased in 2016
63
-10
0
10
20
30
40
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
01-S
ep
-10
01-M
ar-
11
01-S
ep
-11
01-M
ar-
12
01-S
ep
-12
01-M
ar-
13
01-S
ep
-13
01-M
ar-
14
01-S
ep
-14
01-M
ar-
15
01-S
ep
-15
01-M
ar-
16
01-S
ep
-16
% c
han
ge y
-o-y
% c
ha
ng
e y
-o-y
Sales (left) Prices (right)
Based on a three month moving average. Source: China NBS, Bloomberg
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Iron ore demand robust
• Seaborne supply slowed over
2015-2016
• Steel fundamentals and iron ore
price has seen high cost supply
return
• Domestic mine utilisation in
China has increased
• Supply additions in 2017/18
will be offset by exit of higher cost
seaborne and China domestic
China iron ore imports
64
Chinese 2016 imports forecast to exceed 1.0 billion tonnes
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Millio
n w
mt
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
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Fortescue Realised 88% in June 2016 quarter and 82.5% in September 2016 quarter
Resulting in lower price realisation in Sept 2016 quarter
65
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
29/0
7/2
014
29/0
8/2
014
29/0
9/2
014
29/1
0/2
014
29/1
1/2
014
29/1
2/2
014
29/0
1/2
015
28/0
2/2
015
31/0
3/2
015
30/0
4/2
015
31/0
5/2
015
30/0
6/2
015
31/0
7/2
015
31/0
8/2
015
30/0
9/2
015
31/1
0/2
015
30/1
1/2
015
31/1
2/2
015
31/0
1/2
016
29/0
2/2
016
31/0
3/2
016
30/0
4/2
016
31/0
5/2
016
30/0
6/2
016
31/0
7/2
016
31/0
8/2
016
30/0
9/2
016
31/1
0/2
016
Platts 62 CFR MBIO58 [P] CFR 62% v 58% [P] price realisation (RHS)
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Finance
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September quarterly
Operational performance delivering financial results and cashflows
67
Prioritise cash
for debt
repayment
Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
US$4.2bnNet debt
33% gearing
C1 Cost
$13.55/wmt
US$700mDebt repaid
Sustaining
CapexUS$2/t 0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
Sept cash Liquidity
Base liquidity
Available
for debt
repayment
US
$ b
n
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Momentum continuing towards FY17 guidance
Quarterly C1 cost performance
44
3432.08
28.48
25.90
22.16
16.90 15.80
14.79 14.31 13.55
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
FY
13
FY
14
Ju
l-14
Au
g-1
4
Sep
-14
Q1
15
Oc
t-14
No
v-1
4
De
c-1
4
Q2
15
Ja
n-1
5
Feb
-15
Mar-
15
Q3
15
Ap
r-15
May
-15
Ju
n-1
5
Q4
15
Ju
l-15
Au
g-1
5
Sep
-15
Q1
16
Oc
t-15
No
v-1
5
De
c-1
5
Q2
16
Ja
n-1
6
Feb
-16
Mar-
16
Q3
16
Ap
r-16
May
-16
Ju
n-1
6
Q4
16
Ju
l-16
Au
g-1
6
Sep
-16
Q1
17
US$/wmt
$12-13/wmtFY17 guidance
68
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Continued realisation from efficiency and productivity improvements
Path to US$12-13/wmt for FY17
Productivity and efficiency initiatives including:US$
/wmt
Mining
• Equipment productivity
• Haul route, pit design, mining hygiene, in-pit waste
dumping
• Insourcing of mining operations at Christmas Creek
• Autonomy
~ 1.70
OPF and
beneficiation
• Continued improvements in upgrades and yield
• Shutdown strategy and effectiveness
• Enhanced plant reliability/maintenance practices
• Automated OPF controls (remote operation)
~ 0.70
Procurement
• Vendor renegotiation – rates/consolidation/insource
• Use of non-OEM components
• China sourcing
~ 0.60
TOTAL SAVINGS ~ 3.00
1.7
0.70.6
15.43
12-13
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
FY16 Act Mining OPF Procurement FY17Guidance
US$/wmt
69
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US$3.5bn in operating cost savings delivered since achieving full operational capacity
Cost savings delivered
70
0.8
0.8
1.9
3.5
0.5
4.0
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY14 - FY16 delivered FY17 fcst FY14 - FY17 forecastdelivered savings
US$bn
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Flexibility to continue early repayments prior to first maturity in June 2019
Debt maturity
71Refer to attached glossary for definition of non-IFRS terms
2,976
0
0 478
2,160
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
CY2016 CY2017 CY2018 CY2019 CY2020 CY2021 CY2022
US
$m
Senior Secured Credit Facility Senior Unsecured Notes Senior Secured Notes
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Free cash prioritised to debt with capex sustainable at current levels
Capital expenditure
304 340
-
100
200
300
400
500
FY16 FY17 Guidance
US$m Sustaining capital expenditure • Current low levels of sustaining capex
US$2/wmt
• Exploration US$40m
• Funding nearing completion
– VLOCs US$270m
– Tugs US$90m
• D&A US$7.10/wmt
FY17 Guidance
72
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Firetail replacement
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Options for replacement being developed
Firetail replacement - 2021
74
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Western Hub
75
• Eliwana and Flying Fish
• 740mt of resources
• Prospective areas
• Future replacement
• Potential other usersFor
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Nyidinghu
76
• 2.5bnt resource
• Iron ore central
• ~100km to Cloudbreak
• 57.4% FeFor
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Supporting our community
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78
Creating opportunities through training, employment and business development
Building strong communities
32
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Championing diversity
79
Workplace culture fundamental
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• Fortescue is refreshing its
approach in FY17
• Enhanced strategy builds
on the highly developed
sustainability and community
development initiatives in place
• Operational sites will develop
local CSR plans to implement
the whole of business strategy
Integrate sustainable development considerations into corporate decision making process
Corporate Social Responsibility
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Focussed strategy
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China's Iron Ore Supply CFR Costs (including royalties & ocean freight)
Moving down the global cost curve
Source: Metalytics 26 May 2016
2012
2016
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Strategic delivery
Culture, continuous improvement, speed and flexibility
Consistent 165-170mtpa
Lowering costs to US$12-13/wmt
Maximising resource value
Debt repayment
Ongoing improvements
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The new force in iron ore
Continuous improvement
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Customer focus
Reliable
Competitive
Sustainable
low cost
producer
World classassets & people
Unique culturedrives performanceF
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Questions
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