forecast rainfall (mm/day)

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1 भारतसरकार वीवानमंाऱय भारतमौसमववानवभाग मौसमववानक भुवनेवर, ओडिशा -751020 GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF EARTH SCIENCES INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE BHUBANESWAR, ODISHA-751020 DATED: 28 th April, 2022 Current weather status & outlook for next two weeks (29 th April, 2022 to 12 th May, 2022) Significant features as on date 28 th April, 2022:- A cyclonic circulation lies over East Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level. A trough runs from the above cyclonic circulation over East Uttar Pradesh to south Assam across Bihar & West Bengal at 0.9 km above mean sea level. Past week (21 st April, 2022 to 27 th April, 2022) significant weather:- As per media reports hailstorm has occurred Malkangiri of Malkangiri District and thunderstorm with gusty wind (breaking trees) have occurred at one or two places over the districts of Keonjhar, Bolangir, Nawarangpur, Malkangiri in past 24 hours as reported at 0830 hrs IST of 22 nd April, 2022. Isolated Heat wave condition prevailed over the districts of North Interior Odisha on 26 th & 27 th April. Past week (21 st April, 2022 to 27 th April, 2022) maximum temperature:- Maximum temperatures were above normal by 3-4⁰C at a few places over the districts of Odisha and near normal over the rest parts of Odisha throughout the week. During the week highest maximum temperature was observed as 44.5⁰C over Boudh on 26 th April & over Sonepur on 27 th April, 2022 in the plains of Odisha. Weekly temperature distribution is depicted in map below. Past week (21 st April, 2022 to 27 th April, 2022) rainfall distribution:- Light to moderate rain / thundershower has occurred at one or two places over the districts of Mayurbhanj, Keonjhargarh, Balasore, Kandhamal, Rayagada, Dhenkanal & Gajapati and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 21 st April, at a few places over the districts of Interior Odisha and at one or two places over the rest districts of Odisha on 22 nd April, 2022. Light rain / thunderstorm has occurred at one or two place over the districts of Rayagada, Sambalpur & Balasore and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 23 rd April, at one or two place over the district of Koraput of South Interior Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 24 th April, at one or two places over the districts of Balasore, Bhadrak, Keonjhar & Sundergarh of north Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 25 th April, at one or two places over the districts of Malkangiri, Rayagada & Gajapati of South Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 26 th April. Light to moderate rain / thunderstorm has occurred at one or two places over the districts of Rayagada, Gajapati & Ganjam of South Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 27 th April, 2022. N.B: Spatial rainfall distribution: ISOL(one or two places): ≤ 25%;SCT(a few places): 26-50%, FWS(Many places): 51-75%, WS(Most places): 76-100% (Percentage is based on number of stations reported rainfall against total number of stations) . 24 hours Rainfall reported at 0830 hours IST on mentioned date. Weekly and Seasonal Rainfall scenario of Odisha:- Odisha state Actual mm) Normal (mm) % Departure Rainfall (mm)for the week from 21 st April, 2022 to 27 th April, 2022 4.4 8.6 -49 Rainfall (mm)for the season from 01 st March, 2022 to 27 th April, 2022 12.7 52.5 -76 N.B: District wise weekly and seasonal rainfall pattern depicted in map below. Forecast for next two weeks (29 th April, 2022 to 12 th May, 2022):- Isolated rain/thunderstorm activity is very likely in 1 st half of 1 st week and isolated to scattered rain/thunderstorm activity very likely in 2 nd of 1 st week (29 th April to 5 th May) over districts of Odisha and overall rainfall likely to be slightly below normal. Maximum temperature (Day temperature) is very likely to be above normal by 3 -4⁰ C at many places over the districts of interior Odisha and above normal by 2-3⁰ C over coastal Odisha in 1 st week. Isolated heat wave condition is very likely to prevail in the beginning of 1 st week over the districts of interior Odisha. Isolated to Scattered rain/thunderstorm activity is likely over the districts Odisha during 2 nd week (6 th to 12 th May) and overall rainfall likely to be near normal. Maximum temperature (Day temperature) is very likely to be slightly above normal by about

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Page 1: FORECAST RAINFALL (MM/DAY)

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भारतसरकार पथृ्वीववज्ञानमतं्राऱय

भारतमौसमववज्ञानववभाग

मौसमववज्ञानकें द्र

भवुनेश्वर, ओडिशा -751020

GOVERNMENT OF INDIA MINISTRY OF EARTH SCIENCES

INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT METEOROLOGICAL CENTRE

BHUBANESWAR, ODISHA-751020

DATED: 28th

April, 2022

Current weather status & outlook for next two weeks (29th

April, 2022 to 12th

May, 2022)

Significant features as on date 28th

April, 2022:-

A cyclonic circulation lies over East Uttar Pradesh & neighbourhood and extends upto 0.9 km above mean sea level.

A trough runs from the above cyclonic circulation over East Uttar Pradesh to south Assam across Bihar & West Bengal at 0.9 km

above mean sea level.

Past week (21st April, 2022 to 27

th April, 2022) significant weather:-

As per media reports hailstorm has occurred Malkangiri of Malkangiri District and thunderstorm with gusty wind (breaking

trees) have occurred at one or two places over the districts of Keonjhar, Bolangir, Nawarangpur, Malkangiri in past 24 hours as

reported at 0830 hrs IST of 22nd

April, 2022.

Isolated Heat wave condition prevailed over the districts of North Interior Odisha on 26th

& 27th

April.

Past week (21st April, 2022 to 27

th April, 2022) maximum temperature:-

Maximum temperatures were above normal by 3-4⁰C at a few places over the districts of Odisha and near normal over the rest

parts of Odisha throughout the week.

During the week highest maximum temperature was observed as 44.5⁰C over Boudh on 26th

April & over Sonepur on 27th

April, 2022 in the plains of Odisha. Weekly temperature distribution is depicted in map below.

Past week (21st April, 2022 to 27

th April, 2022) rainfall distribution:-

Light to moderate rain / thundershower has occurred at one or two places over the districts of Mayurbhanj, Keonjhargarh,

Balasore, Kandhamal, Rayagada, Dhenkanal & Gajapati and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 21st April,

at a few places over the districts of Interior Odisha and at one or two places over the rest districts of Odisha on 22nd

April, 2022. Light

rain / thunderstorm has occurred at one or two place over the districts of Rayagada, Sambalpur & Balasore and dry weather

prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 23rd

April, at one or two place over the district of Koraput of South Interior Odisha and

dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 24th

April, at one or two places over the districts of Balasore, Bhadrak,

Keonjhar & Sundergarh of north Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 25th

April, at one or two

places over the districts of Malkangiri, Rayagada & Gajapati of South Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of

Odisha on 26th

April. Light to moderate rain / thunderstorm has occurred at one or two places over the districts of Rayagada,

Gajapati & Ganjam of South Odisha and dry weather prevailed over the rest districts of Odisha on 27th

April, 2022.

N.B: Spatial rainfall distribution: ISOL(one or two places): ≤ 25%;SCT(a few places): 26-50%, FWS(Many places): 51-75%, WS(Most places): 76-100% (Percentage is based on number of stations reported rainfall against total number of stations) . 24 hours Rainfall reported at 0830 hours IST on mentioned date.

Weekly and Seasonal Rainfall scenario of Odisha:-

Odisha state Actual mm) Normal (mm) % Departure

Rainfall (mm)for the week from

21st April, 2022 to 27

th April, 2022

4.4 8.6 -49

Rainfall (mm)for the season from

01st

March, 2022 to 27th

April, 2022 12.7 52.5 -76

N.B: District wise weekly and seasonal rainfall pattern depicted in map below.

Forecast for next two weeks (29th

April, 2022 to 12th

May, 2022):- Isolated rain/thunderstorm activity is very likely in 1

st half of 1

st week and isolated to scattered rain/thunderstorm activity very

likely in 2nd

of 1st week (29

th April to 5

th May) over districts of Odisha and overall rainfall likely to be slightly below normal.

Maximum temperature (Day temperature) is very likely to be above normal by 3 -4⁰ C at many places over the districts of

interior Odisha and above normal by 2-3⁰ C over coastal Odisha in 1st week. Isolated heat wave condition is very likely to

prevail in the beginning of 1st week over the districts of interior Odisha.

Isolated to Scattered rain/thunderstorm activity is likely over the districts Odisha during 2nd

week (6th

to 12th

May) and overall

rainfall likely to be near normal. Maximum temperature (Day temperature) is very likely to be slightly above normal by about

Page 2: FORECAST RAINFALL (MM/DAY)

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2⁰C during 2nd

week over districts of Odisha.

Outlook for low pressure system formation probability over Bay of Bengal during next two weeks:

Guidance from numerical models and current meteorological analysis suggests that there is moderate probability of

formation of a depression over south Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal (BoB) areas with gradual

northeastwards movement during first half of 2nd

week and enhanced convective activity over south Andaman Sea &

adjoining areas of southeast & eastcentral BoB, Andaman & Nicobar Islands, Myanmar and Thailand.

Page 3: FORECAST RAINFALL (MM/DAY)

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Page 4: FORECAST RAINFALL (MM/DAY)

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FORECAST RAINFALL (MM/DAY)

FORECAST RAINFALL ANOMALY (MM/DAY)

Page 5: FORECAST RAINFALL (MM/DAY)

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FORECAST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (°C)

FORECAST MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE ANOMALY (°C)