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Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D. , MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez, MA Paula Fleisher, MA June 2013

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Page 1: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Frameworks for program planning and evaluation:

Problem Analysisand

Logic ModelsGeraldine Oliva M.D. , MPHRoberto Ariel Vargas, MPHJames Rouse-Iñiguez, MA

Paula Fleisher, MA

June 2013

Page 2: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Today’s Agenda

Why Evaluation?! Using a socio-ecological problem

analysis framework to identify “causal pathways”

Developing strategies to address a problem based on upstream causes and risks

Developing a logic model for program planning and evaluation

Page 3: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Why Evaluation?!

Root word: valueWhose values? Funders, clients, organization, etc. It helps us tell our story It helps us understand what we are

doing well and what we can improve…

Page 4: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

“Traditional” Program Planning Cycle“Traditional” Program Planning CycleConvene

Public Health/ Community Coalition

Assess Community /MCAHResources &

Strengths/Capacity

Analyze Problem & Select

Interventions

Evaluate/ Measure

Performance

Plan & Implement Programs

DevelopObjective

s

Assess & Prioritize Health

Status/Problems

Page 5: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

New Paradigms for Understanding Persistent Disparities

Emerging evidence: traditional clinical and public health efforts targeting individuals have not impacted health disparities

Multi-level analysis has demonstrated the significance of social determinants of health in explaining many of these disparities

Re-emergence of “life course model”, importance of prevention and intervention along age spectrum

Page 6: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Socio-Ecological Models

Page 7: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Lifecourse Model

Page 8: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

UCSF Family Health Outcomes Project

Mother overweight/diabetic

Working Mom-Infant Fed

Formula

Family Culture - high fat, high

sugar diet- child overweight

Adolescent with increased # fat cells/abnormal GT

School with no PE, unsafe parks

latch key child watches TV /gets more overweight

Lifecourse Model as a Cycle

Poverty/fast food/food habits in young woman

Infant born LGA/Abnormal

GT

Page 9: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

How do we Incorporate these New Paradigms into a Community/Public Health

Planning Framework ?

Page 10: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

African-American, Latino Children Drink More Sugary Fruit Juice Than Their White PeersShare this story:Share PrintBy Juliana Bunim on May 30, 2013Email

While there has been a steep decline in kids’ consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages in California, African-American and Latino children may be replacing soda with 100 percent fruit juice while their white peers are not, according to a new study from UC San Francisco.The study was the first to compare trends of sugar-sweetened beverages and 100 percent juice consumption in California.  “The decrease in the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages among kids is a promising public health trend,” said Amy Beck, MD, MPH, lead author and pediatrician at UCSF Benioff Children’s Hospital and San Francisco General

Hospital and Trauma Center. “But it is concerning that minority children are increasing their consumption of 100 percent fruit juice, which often has just as much sugar as soda.”…Fruit juice is available in schools through the National School Lunch Program, which provided low-cost or free lunches to more than 31 million children nationally each school day in 2011. Juice also is distributed to parents through the Women, Infants and Children (WIC) program, a federal grant program for low-income, nutritionally at-risk women and children up to age 5 and through the Child Care Food Program.

Page 11: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Seeing solutions with “Ecological Lenses”

• At the individual level: Nutrition information (for parent or child)

• At the family level: Nutrition education for parent and child

• At the community level: a media campaign targeting families

• At the organizational level: commit to soda AND juice free zones in community centers, provide access to fruit and clean water

• At the policy level: change WIC policy to provide whole fruit and water filters, eliminate Juice vouchers for WIC

OREliminate fruit juice from subsidized school lunches; increase fruit and provide filling stations and water bottles in schools

Page 12: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Rationale for Doing a Formal Problem Analysis?

In order to identify effective intervention strategies it is necessary to understand the complex array of underlying factors that can impact a health outcome and how they relate to one another

Using a multilevel socio-ecological framework ensures that upstream factors are included

Relating upstream precursors to downstream outcomes forces us to explore the pathways by which upstream factors operate in a specific situation

Page 13: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Steps in a Problem Analysis

1. Examine epidemiologic data

2. Examine literature and consult experts (community and science)

3. Determine extent to which these factors are active in the community

Page 14: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Steps in a Problem Analysis

4. Determine relative contribution of each identified factor

5. Identify the interrelationships among factors – causal pathways

6. Determine the most effective points in the causal pathways for intervention

Page 15: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

SES

Social/Economic/Policy Level

Environment

Safety

A Generic Framework for Health Problem Analysis

Education

Economy Health Care Policies

Family/Community/Institutions Level

Family/Household

Community

School/Workplace

Health Care/Providers

Individual Level

Genetic/Biological Psychological Factors Health Status/Medical Conditions

Cognitive Factors Health Behaviors

Identified Problem

Culture

Page 16: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,
Page 17: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

PROBLEM:

Family/community

SES/Policy

Individual

Unavailability of healthy food choices in local stores , schools and restaurants

Parental knowledge and behavior ( time with kids, food prep, own eating and exercise habits)

Families limited income

Unhealthy diet

Inadequate subsidized healthInsurance for the poor

Poverty City planning Policies that limit green space in some cities and neighborhoods

Childhood Obesity

Health serviceslack of knowledge of nutritionHigh costs for treatment

No opportunities for exercise in school or recreation areas

Insufficiency of physical activity

Unsafe neighborhood/streetsMarketing by fast food industry

Family lack of health Insurance

Lack of funding for education

Too much screen time (TV computer)

Page 18: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Linkages

Definition:

The association betweenprecursors and problem

Review the literature Consult experts

Community Science

Consult stakeholders Analyze your data

Page 19: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

PROBLEM:

Family/community

SES/Policy

Individual

Unavailability of healthy food choices in local stores , schools and restaurants

Parental knowledge and behavior ( time with kids, food prep, own eating and exercise habits)

Families limited income

Unhealthy diet

Inadequate subsidized healthInsurance for the poor

Poverty City planning Policies that limit green space in some cities and neighborhoods

Childhood Obesity

Health serviceslack of knowledge of nutritionHigh costs for treatment

No opportunities for exercise in school or recreation areas

Insufficient physical activity

Unsafe neighborhood/streetsMarketing by fast food industry

Family lack of health Insurance

Lack of funding for education

Too much screen time (TV computer)

Page 20: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Diagramming Causal Pathways to Identify Strategic Interventions

Unsafe neighborhood

streets

No opportunities for exercise in school or recreation areas

Too much screen time (TV computer)

Inadequate physical activity

Overweight

Intervention

Page 21: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,
Page 22: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

PROBLEM:

Family/Community/Local Institutions

Social Determinants

Individuals

Schools push kids out/racism in staff/poor quality/lack of cultural affinity

Barriers to accessing services:

Language/Cultural/ $Transportation/Legal

Mental illness/PTSD/ self esteem/ resiliency/ trust/ sense of belonging

Racism/Destruction of indigenous culture

Economic policy Poverty / no jobs or bias in hiring

crime/gun policies/ prevention $

Gang Membership/Incarceration

Community-lack of social capital/ cohesion/pride/trust

Alcohol/drug useUnsafe sex/ bad food/no exercise

$ for schools/low standards/legacy of colonialism

Problem Analysis – Homey Clients

Family disintegrationParents don’t care/use drug/don’t supervise/not educated/poor/lack cultural pride

FAS/ADD/ADHD/other drug exposure Learning difficulties/brain

trauma/school failure/no college prep

Jobs/lack of training opportunities

Police racial profiling

Page 23: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

HOMEY- Kapuli Causal Pathway: Program Intervention Points

Society:RacismLack of respect for indigenous cultures

Communities:Racism in schoolsRacism by policeLack of cultural

identity in family/community

family disintegration

Kids: Mental health problemsSchool failureLow self esteem lack resiliencyNo sense of true cultural identity No sense of trust or belonging

Gangs/Jail

School failure

Self- Destructive Behaviors

Kapuli Interventions

Page 24: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Learning about history of social justice movements will give them tools for change

Learning about impact of racism/colonialism will give kids an undestanding of their own history

Episodes of tragedy due to racism in their community

Media/movie about examples of racism/harassment by police

ENVIRONMENTAL FACTORS

Street outreach

Educate about history of social justice movements for people of color/indigenous

10 strategies for change

Teach about racism/colonialism

Positive response during recap activity

Active participation in group

Successful school/CBO outreach

Schools

CBO’s

Kids from streets

Come back

Join political campaigns

Attend ceremonies

Express value of social action

Increase self esteem/resiliency/capacity for action

Kids return to school

Kids get jobs

Kids stay out of gangs

Kids stay out of jail

StaffCameronSpaceCore MembersFunds

INPUTS OUTPUTS OUTCOMES – IMPACTActivities Participatio

nShort Medium Long-Term

ASSUMPTIONS:

Adapted from

MOMEY-Kapuli Logic Model

Page 25: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Another Example: Obesity prevention/ intervention in the Bayview Hunters Point of SF

Designed in 2011, in partnership between:• UCSF • San Francisco Department of Public health• BVHP residents• other stakeholders

See handouts for problem analysis and logic models

As of 2013, focus is on:• Reducing consumption of sugar sweetened beverages• Activating community park space

Page 26: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Benefits

Clearly documents the decision making process for the group and for others

Can use simplified problem analysis or causal pathway diagram to communicate rationale for intervention strategy to policy makers and the public

Page 27: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Logic Model - Defined

Logic models are a common tool used by evaluators and program planners

Logic models are graphic depictions of the relationship between a program’s activities and its intended outcomes.

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Office of the Director, Office of Strategy and Innovation. Introduction to program evaluation for public health programs: A self-study guide. Atlanta, GA: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2005, p. 25.

Page 28: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Logic Model – Terms Relationship

• Logic models describe activities that comprise the program, the inter-relationship of those activities, and the link between these and outcomes.

Intended• Logic models depict “intended” outcomes of a program’s

activities, rather than reality at any point in time. As the starting point for evaluation and planning, the model serves as an “outcomes roadmap” that shows the logic behind the program (describing why it will work). Of all the activities that might address this issue, these were chosen because they will work, and we have (or know) the resources needed . Over time, evaluation, research, and experience will help us learn what works, and the model will evolve.

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Office of the Director, Office of Strategy and Innovation. Introduction to program evaluation for public health programs: A self-study guide. Atlanta, GA: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2005, p. 25.

Page 29: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Logic Model - Components

Inputs • Resources that go into the program and are required to

make it happen Activities

• events or actions done by the program and its staff Outputs

• Direct products of program activities, often measured in countable terms (e.g., #of zumba classes; # of participants).

Outcomes • The changes that result from the program’s activities

and outputs, often expressed as short-term, intermediate, and long-term outcomes.

Page 30: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Basic Program Logic Model

U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Office of the Director, Office of Strategy and Innovation. Introduction to program evaluation for public health programs: A self-study guide. Atlanta, GA: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2005, p. 25.

Page 31: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Let’s build a logic model!

Using the problem you’ve identified, begin by identifying the change you want to make (outcome of interest)

What is your “theory of change”? Or, what do you think it would take to make change? This will be the underlying logic that guides what activities your program does

What resources do you need (inputs)?

Page 32: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Q and A

What was clarified for you; any “aha!” moments?

What still concerns or challenges you?

Page 33: Frameworks for program planning and evaluation: Problem Analysis and Logic Models Geraldine Oliva M.D., MPH Roberto Ariel Vargas, MPH James Rouse-Iñiguez,

Contact Information

Community Engagement and Health Policy Program, CTSI/UCSF

415-206-4048

[email protected]

[email protected]

[email protected]

www.sfhip.org