TonySimons,WorldAgroforestryCentre(ICRAF)IGNITESession,FC14,Washington,Nov2015

FromBigDatatoBigEvidencetoBigImpactatLandscapeScale

BigData,EvidenceandImpact

1.   CocoaLandscapes(PPP)

2.   GreeningIndia(Policy)

3.   DatatoDecisions(LandUse)

Land Equivalent Ra/os (LERs)

Forestry

Agroforestry

+ForestryAgriculture

Agriculture

Valueofenterpriseandecosystemservicesfromtreeand

shrubcomponent

Valueofenterprise

and

ecosystem

servicesfrom

crop,grassand

livestock

compo

nents

Source:C.Dupraz,F.Liagre,AGROOF

1.CocoaLandscapes

Cocoa Yields are too low

Source:Etudesurlesrevenusetlesinves?ssementsdesproducteursdecaféetdecacaoenCôted’Ivoire,AgrisystemsConsor=um,2008

010203040506070

0-100

100-200

200-300

300-400

400-500

500-600

600-700

700-800

800-900

900-1000

1000-1100

1100-1200

1200-1300

1300-1400

1400-1500

1500-1600

1600-1700

1700-1800

1800-1900

1900-2000

YieldclassificaRon(kg/ha)

Num

bero

fplotssu

rveyed

0.5MT/haOnsta=on2500kgs

ResearcherManagedOnfarm1500kgs

Newfarmerthreshold

MARS-ICRAF-CDIGovernmentPublicPrivatePartnership

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2cir1840.0

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cir143cir15928.9

cir10239.4WRKY-1445.0cir2946.5cf97288551.0cir24953.3shrs354.7cir24460.4shrs2361.1cir24662.7cir27365.8cir28668.4shrs3469.0

Tce57480.1

cir27587.7cir26489.9cir2293.5RGH11cir19497.0

1cir2420.0cir2341.5cir2413.8cir2335.1Tce1959.4cir11711.2cir3314.5cir23714.8cir9520.6shrs3323.3cir3226.2cir4332.0cir1234.2

cir213cir20648.6

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4cir120cir1500.0cir1532.1cir1983.8TIR25.4cir1469.6cir2110.7cir19210.9cir6211.6cir4012.3cir24713.9cir20417.0Tce380A19.5cir18021.6cir17531.4cir28039.6cir28940.6cir7842.0cir26345.4cir21948.0cir25463.6cir13563.9cir12864.1cir14066.4shrs770.1shrs5cir22670.4cir13170.8cir20271.4cir14472.1ca79801873.0cir8179.5ca79546991.6

3WRKY-100.0cir1110.3cir2321.3cir1192.1shrs375.2shrs127.4shrs117.6cir14813.5shrs2218.2cir1021.5Tce03026.1cir196cir12326.8cir4227.7cir16931.5cir149cir25639.8cir17040.7shrs1947.7cir24548.8cir69WRKY-1149.1TIR452.3TIR352.6shrs463.7cir8767.6cir8073.0

cir109cir10184.9cir27485.3

5

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Tce48713.5cir2616.8

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8ca9728460.0cir1861.7cir277cir1163.2cir1794.4cir1775.7cir1478.0cir5510.2cir5612.4cir46cir18116.6RGH422.8RGH526.1cir1333.1RGH137.4cir19043.7cir14144.1

7

cir790.0cir853.4

cir64cir9824.0cir28324.8

cir21232.8RGH2cir5836.4

cir845.0cir17847.5

cir16055.2cir15758.0cir3560.5cf97290967.0cir2468.5cir25173.3cir3074.1cir16679.5cir25083.2cir12686.0cir10888.1cir26688.6cir72cir28794.6cir24395.4

9

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5.4cir5310.5

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6

cir370.0cir2234.7RGH711.2RGH813.4

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10

PodNumber

TrunkCircumference

PodNumber&WetBeanWeight

Witches’BroomResistance

PodWeight

FrostyPodResistance&WetBeanWeight

BeanLength

Jorque]eHeight

FrostyPodResistance

BeanLength,SeedWeight,OvuleNumber,&TrunkCircumference

BlackPod

BeanWeight,BeanThickness,PodWeight&PodLength

~40idenRfiedQTLsincacao

RobustEvidencefortargeRngincocoalandscapes

V4C project implementa/on area with the 16 Cocoa Development Centres and 47 Cocoa Village Centres

Newlygra_edseedlingsfortheestablishmentofclonalgardens

SeedlingsofimprovedcocoavarieResproducedinV4CnurseryatSoubre

Useofclonesandhybridseeds

22monthsa_ersidegra_ing,from4-5podsto20-30podspertree

2. Why an Agroforestry Policy Initiative? Evidence of strong policy effects with respect to the adoption of agroforestry, the policy arena for agroforestry is complex, and collaboration and coordination would seem to enhance likelihood of success

Some key policy areas for agroforestry include:

•  unintended adverse effects of forestry regulations

•  property rights laws or arrangements that may discourage agroforestry

•  fragmentation of agroforestry related mandates across ministries

•  incentives favoring short term over long term investment •  Inadequate recognition, valuation, and reward of environmental services

•  poor information and germplasm systems in agroforestry

•  9EUCountrieswithNaRonalAgroforestryPolicy

•  2013AFincludedinnewCAPinEC

•  Nov2014,AFaddedaseligibleinCDMforLULUCF

•  AFisoneoftwoeligiblemiRgaRonacRonsin

EC2020ClimatePolicy

PrivilegedtobeinvitedbyIndiatoworkwiththemonanAgroforestryPolicyRelatedtoseveralotherGOIprocesses

Indiasetagoalofmovingfrom24%treecoverto33%treecoverby2030

NowpartofIndiaINDC

ICRAFistheonlyNon-StateActorincluded

42%ofallGovernmentTaxRevenuetoStates

$85billionp.a.total

7.5%($6billion)weightedbytreecover

OneoflargestPESinworld($120perhap.a.)

SupportedbyanAgroforestryMission($160m)

Review&of&the&Evidence&on&Indicators,&Metrics(and(Monitoring(Systems!

Commissioned by the UK Department for International Development (DFID)

Conducted by the CGIAR Program on Water, Land & Ecosystems

Coordinated by the World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF)

Authors: Keith D Shepherd1, Andrew Farrow2, Claudia Ringler3, Anja Gassner1, Devra Jarvis4

1 World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) 2 Consultant for World Agroforestry Centre (ICRAF) 3 International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) 4 Bioversity International

Surveillance science! Land health metrics

Consistentfieldprotocol

SoilspectroscopyCouplingwithremotesensingPrevalence,Riskfactors,Digitalmapping

Sen=nelsitesRandomizedsamplingschemes

SoilCarbon(30mx30m)Canguidebe]erdecisions

Over1800Datasets

StakeholderApproachtoRiskInformedandEvidenceBaseDecisionMaking

Turkana County Revised Decision Cycle

Resilience Mapping

IUCNMobilePhoneApp

www.vegetaRonmap4africa.org

ThepoliRcalProcessversusScienceWithCOP21andSDGsrolloutupwehavehighaspiraRons,butitisapoliRcalprocess.WhilstwelookuptoourpoliRcians….whodotheylookupto?

TheCGIAR