from policy to implementation the path towards a 100% renewable energy barbados · 2019-02-15 ·...
TRANSCRIPT
Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
From Policy to Implementation
The Path Towards a
100% Renewable Energy BarbadosProf. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer
Director
Global Sustainable Energy Consultants, Barbados
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Structure of the Presentation
• 100% RE Barbados - From idea to political decision
• Three phases of the transition to 100% RE
• Where are we today?
• How do we get to 100% RE in 2030?
• Key questions to be answered
• Key steps to be taken
• The critical next steps to get the ball rolling
• Can we do it in eleven years
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
100% RE Barbados
From idea to political decision
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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2014 2018
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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100% RE
Time
% RE
First 100% RE calculations presented 2014
BREA workshop on target scenarios 2015
BREA Conference on the way forward 2016
Study on RE support policy 2017
New government puts 100% RE target year to 2030
2030
2018
First idea presented in November 2013
How did the idea develop?
BLP Manifesto May 2018
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Structure of the Presentation
Three phases of
the transition to 100% RE
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Three phases to 100% renewable energyGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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2030
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 1: PreparationGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 1a: AnalyseGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 1b: Set and define targetGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 1c: Lay foundationsGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 2a: Enable market diffusion for RE electricityGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 2b: Enable market diffusion for green
mobility, heat and other energy usesGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Phases 3: Set framework to reach full 100% RE GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Summary of action required for the transitionGSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Normal power system:• Build up RE capacity
• Strengthen grid
• Extend grid
• Phase in storage
E-mobility:• Build up infrastructure
• Build more RE power
• Introduce e-mobility
All other energy :• Find RE substitutes
• Incentivise substitution
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Where are we today?
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
We are almost at the very start!GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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20302018
100% RE electricity 202x?
4% RE electricity 2018
2020? 2028?
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Analyse:• Present system
• 100% target system
• Transition pathway
Set target:• Stakeholder dialog
• Policy targets:
• Target system
• Target year
Lay foundations:• Detailed resource
assessment
• Set policy framework
• Build capacities
• Secure climate funding
Normal power system:• Build up RE capacity
• Strengthen grid
• Extend grid
• Phase in storage
E-mobility:• Build up infrastructure
• Build more RE power
• Introduce e-mobility
All other energy :• Find RE substitutes
• Incentivise substitution
The missing pieces of the puzzle
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
How do we get to 100% RE
in 2030?
Key questions to be answered
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
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Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
21
Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
22
Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
23
Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
24
Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
25
Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
26
Time
2030
Key questions to be answered
1. Why does Barbados want or need to change?
2. What is the target system of the transition?
3. What is the transition pathway to the target?
4. How do we get the process moving?
5. How do we finance the transition?
6. How do we achieve the right speed?
7. How do we keep the process on track?
8. When do we need to do what? (Roadmap)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
How do we get to 100% RE
in 2030?
Key steps to be taken
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
27
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
28
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken I
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Develop realistic scenarios for the target system
and the transition process
• Widely discuss target scenarios and reach
agreement of the most favourable one
• Conduct detailed wind and biomass resource
assessment
• Conduct detailed assessment of different storage
options
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
29
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken I
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Develop realistic scenarios for the target system
and the transition process
• Widely discuss target scenarios and reach
agreement of the most favourable one
• Conduct detailed wind and biomass resource
assessment
• Conduct detailed assessment of different storage
options
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
30
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken I
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Develop realistic scenarios for the target system
and the transition process
• Widely discuss target scenarios and reach
agreement of the most favourable one
• Conduct detailed wind and biomass resource
assessment
• Conduct detailed assessment of different storage
options
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
31
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken I
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Develop realistic scenarios for the target system
and the transition process
• Widely discuss target scenarios and reach
agreement of the most favourable one
• Conduct detailed wind and biomass resource
assessment
• Conduct detailed assessment of different storage
options
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
32
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken I
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Develop realistic scenarios for the target system
and the transition process
• Widely discuss target scenarios and reach
agreement of the most favourable one
• Conduct detailed wind and biomass resource
assessment
• Conduct detailed assessment of different storage
options
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
33
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken II
• Enact the suggested Feed-in Tariffs
• Finalise the new license for BL&P
• Finalise the new IRP for BL&P
• Set up a new information system on the present
and future grid development for RE
• Earmark wind energy priority areas
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
34
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken II
• Enact the suggested Feed-in Tariffs
• Finalise the new license for BL&P
• Finalise the new IRP for BL&P
• Set up a new information system on the present
and future grid development for RE
• Earmark wind energy priority areas
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
35
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken II
• Enact the suggested Feed-in Tariffs
• Finalise the new license for BL&P
• Finalise the new IRP for BL&P
• Set up a new information system on the present
and future grid development for RE
• Earmark wind energy priority areas
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
36
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken II
• Enact the suggested Feed-in Tariffs
• Finalise the new license for BL&P
• Finalise the new IRP for BL&P
• Set up a new information system on the present
and future grid development for RE
• Earmark wind energy priority areas
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
37
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken II
• Enact the suggested Feed-in Tariffs
• Finalise the new license for BL&P
• Finalise the new IRP for BL&P
• Set up a new information system on the present
and future grid development for RE
• Earmark wind energy priority areas
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
38
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken III
• Revise distance rules for wind energy
• Conduct detailed transport demand assessment
• Conduct detailed energy demand analysis
• Conduct public information and participation
campaign
• Build up capacities to manage the process
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
39
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken III
• Revise distance rules for wind energy
• Conduct detailed transport demand assessment
• Conduct detailed energy demand analysis
• Conduct public information and participation
campaign
• Build up capacities to manage the process
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
40
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken III
• Revise distance rules for wind energy
• Conduct detailed transport demand assessment
• Conduct detailed energy demand analysis
• Conduct public information and participation
campaign
• Build up capacities to manage the process
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
41
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken III
• Revise distance rules for wind energy
• Conduct detailed transport demand assessment
• Conduct detailed energy demand analysis
• Conduct public information and participation
campaign
• Build up capacities to manage the process
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
42
Time
2030
Key steps to be taken III
• Revise distance rules for wind energy
• Conduct detailed transport demand assessment
• Conduct detailed energy demand analysis
• Conduct public information and participation
campaign
• Build up capacities to manage the process
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
The critical next steps to
get the ball rolling
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
43
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
44
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Systematically develop scenarios for target
year and transition process
• Reach broad consensus on most favourable
target scenario and plan for achieving it
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
45
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Systematically develop scenarios for target
year and transition process
• Reach broad consensus on most favourable
target scenario and plan for achieving it
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
46
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Develop a clear roadmap for the transition
• Systematically develop scenarios for target
year and transition process
• Reach broad consensus on most favourable
target scenario and plan for achieving it
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
47
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Set framework for successful transition
• Enact clear support framework for RE
(FITs)
• Finalise new BL&P license and IRP
• Earmark wind priority areas
• Revise wind distance rules
• Apply for climate funding (GCF)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
48
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Set framework for successful transition
• Enact clear support framework for RE
(FITs)
• Finalise new BL&P license and IRP
• Earmark wind priority areas
• Revise wind distance rules
• Apply for climate funding (GCF)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
49
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Set framework for successful transition
• Enact clear support framework for RE
(FITs)
• Finalise new BL&P license and IRP
• Earmark wind priority areas
• Revise wind distance rules
• Apply for climate funding (GCF)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
50
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Set framework for successful transition
• Enact clear support framework for RE
(FITs)
• Finalise new BL&P license and IRP
• Earmark wind priority areas
• Revise wind distance rules
• Apply for climate funding (GCF)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
51
Time
2030
Critical next steps for 2019
• Set framework for successful transition
• Enact clear support framework for RE
(FITs)
• Finalise new BL&P license and IRP
• Earmark wind priority areas
• Revise wind distance rules
• Apply for climate funding (GCF)
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
Can we do it in 11 years?
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
52
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
53
% RE
2030
Can we make it in 11 years?
Yes - We can do it in 11 years!
But:
• We need to have a solid plan
• We need to act fast
• We can not make mistakes
Time
Prof. Dr. Olav Hohmeyer Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
54
% RE
2030
Can we make it in 11 years?
Time
BREA has been
the prime mover
and
BREA will be needed
more than ever!
Global Sustainable Energy Consultants Ltd. (GSEC), Barbados - Working towards a sustainable world
GSEC Ltd.
Barbados
Thank you very much for your
attention