from seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......from seafloor geomorphology to...

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From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management. Peter Harris Geoscience Australia, Canberra ACT, Australia Currently seconded to: UNEP/GRID Arendal, Norway Habitat mapping workshop, Trondheim, Oct 2012

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Page 1: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

From seafloor geomorphology to

predictive habitat mapping:

progress in applications of biophysical

data to ocean management.

Peter Harris

Geoscience Australia, Canberra ACT, Australia

Currently seconded to: UNEP/GRID Arendal, Norway

Habitat mapping workshop, Trondheim, Oct 2012

Page 2: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Outline of talk:

• Purpose of habitat mapping (sectors and clients)

• Review of progress in habitat mapping (science)

• Review of progress in applications to decision-

making (Australia case study)

• Communication

• Best practices for habitat mapping

Page 3: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

GeoHab Atlas of

seafloor

geomorphic

features and

benthic habitats –

www.geohab.org

Page 4: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

57 Case Studies; 220 authors; 16 countries

Page 5: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

What is a habitat map?

Benthic Habitat = Physically distinct areas of seabed

associated with suites of species (communities or

assemblages) that consistently occur together.

Habitat maps are:

1. Communication devices

2. Syntheses of multiple spatial data layers

3. Integration of biological and physical

attributes

Page 6: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

What was the main purpose of your habitat

mapping project?

Note most responses relevant mainly

to government management and

planning (rather than to industry).

Page 7: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Who are the main clients for your project?

Note: grouping all industry clients together shows this is the largest single

client group.

Page 8: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Fishing is the greatest threat. Note relative immediate threat of climate

change is not rated as high as other anthropogenic threats.

What are the most immediate anthropogenic threats to habitats?

Coast and shelf shaded

Page 9: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Who funds habitat mapping?

• Government or government funded agencies/institutions

(n=49)

• Private industry (n=7)

• Non-government organisations (n=4)

Page 10: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Progress in habitat mapping

Seabed mapping technology Acoustics

Video systems

AUV

Data reduction technology Data analysis (algorithms for acoustics, video

classification, etc.)

Statistical methods

Page 11: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Predictive Habitat Modelling Techniques (Huang

et al., Ecological Informatics, 2011)

BIOCLIMatic (BIOCLIM) (Nix, 1986)

DOMAIN (Carpenter et al., 1993)

Logistic Regression (LoR) (Peeters and Gardeniers, 1998; Ozesmi and

Ozesmi, 1999; Felicisimo et al., 2002)

Decision Trees (DT) (Zacharias et al., 1999; Pitcher et al., 2007)

Genetic Algorithm for Rule-set Production (GARP) (Stockwell and

Peters, 1999)

Ecological Niche Factor Analysis (ENFA) (Hirzel et al., 2002)

Generalised Additive Model (GAM) (Zaniewski et al., 2002)

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) (Joy and Death, 2004)

Generalised Linear Model (GLM) (Brotons et al., 2004; Hirzel et al.,

2006)

Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline (MARS) (Leathwick et al.,

2005)

Maximum Entropy (MAXENT) (Phillips et al., 2006)

Support Vector Machine (SVM) (Drake et al., 2006; Guo et al., 2005,)

Generalised Dissimilar Model (GDM) (Ferrier et al., 2007)

Limiting Variable and Environmental Suitability (LIVES) (Li and Hilbert,

2008)

Page 12: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Type of habitat map How generated? Advantages

Disadvantages

Direct interpretation (eg.

geomorphology, benthic

community)

interpreted from simple

observations (eg

bathymetric data) – apply

classification scheme

+ simple to communicate,

technically easy to

generate

- limited predictive power

Biophysical interpolations

(eg. seascapes)

multivariate analysis to

spatially combine several

biophysical data layers

+ simple to generate with

spatial data

- limited predictive power,

difficult to communicate

Predictive habitat maps

(maximum entropy,

decision-trees, etc.)

include direct

observations of marine life

with biophysical data to

predict the potential

distribution of species and

benthic communities.

+ good predictive power,

performance indicators

- Difficult to generate

(data hungry), relate to

single species or group

Different approaches to habitat mapping

Page 13: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Add data layers

in GIS

Roff and Taylor

(2000)

Multivariate

seascapes

analysis

Include models

of ecological

processes

Kostylev and

Hannah (2007)

Include

biological data

Classified versus

raster grid

Fuzzy boundaries

(Lucieer and

Lucieer, 2009)

Scale

dependency

(Huang et al,

2010)

Physical

disturbance

regime index

(Harris and

Hughes, 2012)

Predictive Habitat Map

Which surrogates

are best to use?

Page 14: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Which physical surrogates are the most useful?

Determined using ARC GIS (22 out of 39 studies) plus multivariate analysis

methods (15 studies). PRIMER most commonly used to find relationships

between physical and biological data.

Page 15: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

How do the surrogates that were measured in each study compare

with those found to be most useful?

Note “success rate”: substrate type (100% success rate) ; wave-current speed

(81% success rate)

✔ ✔

✔ ✔

Related issues:

Direct -vs- Indirect variables

Temporal variation

Biological Processes

Physical Processes

Easy to measure -vs-

ecological relevance

Page 16: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Adriatic Sea

Gibralter Bristol Channel

Norwegian Shelf

Page 17: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Review of progress in

applications to decision-making

(Australia case study)

Page 18: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Heap and Harris (2008)

Biophysical model - Geomorphology

Page 19: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Marine management based on IMCRA 2006

41 provincial bioregions

Many boundaries based on

geomorphology

IMCRA = Integrated Marine

and Coastal Regionalisation of

Australia

Page 20: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Petroleum titles cover an area of about 620,000 km2 or about 8.7%

of Australia’s EEZ (excluding offshore territories)

Example of application of geomorphic features to assessment of industrial use

Page 21: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management
Page 22: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Harris et al. (2007)

APPEA Journal,

48:327-343

Page 23: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

How to deal with many

useful surrogates

simultaneously:

Multivariate analysis

Page 24: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Integration of ecologically-significant biophysical variables to create a single map (Seascapes)

Not scale dependant

(e.g., slope)

(e.g., bathymetry)

(e.g., tidal currents)

(Seascapes)

(e.g., %Sand)

Input physical

data

Integrated

product

+

+

+

=

Page 25: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Seven variables derived from interpolation of

bathymetry, samples & modelled data

• Water Depth

• Slope

• %Gravel

• %Mud

• Effective Disturbance

• Seafloor Temperature

• Primary Productivity

Completed using ERMapper ISOClass facility (Iterative Self Organising Classification)

Page 26: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Depth

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

Slope

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

%Gravel

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

%Mud

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

Effective Disturbance

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

Seafloor Temperature

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

Primary Productivity

Grid resolution 0.01o, ~5 km

Page 27: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Australia Shelf Seascapes

13 Seascapes

1. Moderate depth, flat, slightly gravelly, cold,

low disturbance, moderate primary productivity

Page 28: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Seascape heterogeneity based on Focal Variety

Analysis

• Used to identify ‘hotspots’ of seascape

heterogeneity (surrogate for biodiversity)

• 20 x 20 cell analysis area

Page 29: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Australian Shelf Seascapes - Heterogeneity

Harris et al. (2008) Ocean Coastal

Management, 51:701-711.

Page 30: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

SEWPaC Proposal June 2012, 60 reserves covering 3.1 million

square kilometres, largest system of marine reserves in the world.

Some MPAs suggested by seascape analysis, others by geomorphology

Page 31: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Lessons for habitat mappers:

Science input at start of process (2006/07) – no new

data introduced mid-way through

Geomorphology and seascapes influenced location

of proposed MPAs

Geomorphic features easily understood and

accepted by decision-makers

Seascapes not as clear, not easily accepted

Page 32: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Communication:

Who are YOUR mapping products for?

Senior government bureaucrats?

Politicians?

Marine Industry Reps?

KISS (Keep it simple…)

Easily recognisable terms

Nobody (especially politicians) appreciates complicated explanations

Clear graphics

Maps with obvious colours and labels

Before and after imagery

Underwater pictures and movies

3D bathymetry fly-thrus

Computer animations (current transport paths)

Page 33: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Best practice for habitat mapping surveys

Page 34: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Concluding remarks

• Most habitat mapping is to support government

decision-making

• Uptake for government decision-making lags behind

developments in science and technology

• Disconnect between rate of progress in habitat

mapping science -vs- uptake by decision-makers

• Predictive habitat modelling – the future

• Communication (clear and simple)

• GeoHab 2013 will be held in Rome, Italy (early May)

Page 35: From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping ......From seafloor geomorphology to predictive habitat mapping: progress in applications of biophysical data to ocean management

Thank You!