fukushima radiation estimates - rsmc - march 26th - 2200 - pages from ml12037a104 - foia...

8/2/2019 Fukushima Radiation Estimates - RSMC - March 26th - 2200 - Pages from ML12037A104 - FOIA PA-2011-0118, FOIA

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a3/27/2811 85:54Ta: 44312600729000 8681088487469FroI:IJAEA VIENNA FAX Fax:443 1 2600 7 PAGE 01/03KO(AXI at:26-MV-2011-22:57 Uo:576 Page:001

China Meteorological AdministrationNational Meteorological Center

Beijing, ChinaRSMC for Environmental Emergency Response

FAX- (86 10) 68407469, (86 10) 62172009 Tel: (S6 10)68408594, (86 10)5899329.5Email: _wC@-qMA ,qo.cnTO: Operational Contacts of National Meteorological Services in RAII,

IAEA, WM O Secretariat.RSMC Tokyo, andRSMC Obninsk

Fromn RSMC BeijingDate: Mar 2011 Time: CP, : 0 UTC

Dear Colleagues,Please find attached the Joint Statement of RA U for Environmental EmergencyResponse (EER) distributed by RSMC Tokyo, RSMC Obninsk, and RSMCBeijing.

Best regards,RSMC Beijing

- .-------- -- tTftal NO. Of PAgS" inClUding this sheet: 3


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33/27/2011 05:54 8681068407469 PAGE 02/0376: ,4312&OOfl972O From: 1AEAVIEH FAX Fax-+43 1 2600 7 KOFAV) at:26-W-20I-22:57 Dm-576 Page-:002

Draftof JOINT STATEMENTby : RSMC Tokyo(JPq,SMC Obrinsk(RU) and RSMC Beijing(CN)Emergency notfed by the IAEA (Emergency)issued: -2 0.gQjUTC, Mar.26,2011

C ALEVENT DETAILSFukushima Dalichi, Japan37.4206 degs Noith laiLci, 141.0329 degwes East bvildeRelemedate-time:From: 17:00UTC26 Mar 2011To: 17:00 UTC29 Mar2011EmergencyAcddent

Weather SituationItIs mostly fine or cloudy around Fukushima An upper transversal brough passes overJapan Island and it is weaken when movVng eastward in the future 72 hours an d itbrings northwest wind blowing over Japan. A ridge of high pressure covers JapanIsland and the south area of Japan at low level and will move eastwad. A mall lowprssure system may aeff the Island on the 29e and small. precidp ons will beexpected around the central pat of Japan.

TrajectodesRSMC Beijng and RSMC Tokyo predic that the tcers at 500m and 1500m aremoving to the southeast during the first 24 hours and will rotate dockwise during therest of the peri. The raoe at 500m of RSM C Obninsk is also sirdar with theother two RSMCs, while they forecast the tracer at 1500m is moving to east-northeastAt 3000m, RSMC Bjng predicts that the tracer ismoing to the southeast durkn thefirst 48hoursand will rotate dockwse during the rest of thepeod; RSMC oko'strectory shows it is moving to. the east-southeast in 72 hours; while RSMC Obninskpredict that it s moving to the ea*northeast during the period.

The simulalion results of three RSMCs show that the exposure areas will spread over

4,;


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03/2712611 85:54To: ,44312600729000 8681868487469Froa: IAEA VISIA FAX Fax -43 1 2600 7 PACE 03/83KOFAX') at: E-WiWA-201t-22:57 Dm-:576 P~tge: 003

eastern pat,of Japan and toward southeast during t first 48 hours and then Milluse tothe north western part of the Pacific Ocean.

DeposiconsFrom three RSIMCs' deposition charts, we could get that the depositon areas for thewhole period will cover the norhem, eastern and central parts of Japan and the northwestern pat of PacificOcean.

SummaryThere wvuld be a hazard around the northern, eastern and central.parts of Japan andthe north weftn part of he Pacific Ocean.

END


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RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONForward trajeclories starting at 17 UTC 26 Mar 1100 UTC 26 Mar CMAG Forecast Initialization

CmJN-.

0

0'A

"4

O)

00Kmr

2~--------------------------- ------- ---- -- - - --- 0150 -- -- --.- - -- - -- ---~18 00 00 12 18 00 00 12 18 00 00 12

03TT 0328 03"29R SMC ftWirg - China M4feorolobgf Adminsrif;lonLocalon: Fuktuhmu Iaiihi=npan 7.4208 141.0229)Trlajerio is: 5SM. 1600, 3000 (metar5 AGL)


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RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONOopnosion at Gcund-Lewv) (Bqtm2)intogratod from 12z 26 Mar to 12z 27 Ma r (UTC)1131 fleleaso Starned at I7Z26 Mar (UTC)

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4,7E-12 Maximum at squareI.CE-12 IE-I i 1.)E- 14 1.0E-15Lo ca in ; Fukluhinn (DmaikcNlapan (37.4206 1410329)Mduosrlobgy: G7213Eminkmp: 1.00 Uni 1131 over 72 hrOlrbUbion: Uniform betwon 0 -COO m ag I

ow: V-ttanti Ory 0tcn*tmNotes:~~~~olu nyoun1m rmop to nm~pRsu=bss on deul lm


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RSMC BEIJNG - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONOeposition at Gtound-Level (Bqfm2)Integrated from 12E 26 Mar to 12z 2a Mat CUTr)1131 Release Started at 17Z 2 Mar (UTC)

04

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I.OE-12 10E- S 10E- 4 1.05-1IsLocalbn: Fukuzhinin Daiict.Iapan (37.4206 141.0329DMadvofology


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RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONDeposition atGiound-Level (Bqtl2)Integrated from 12z 26 Mar to 12z 29 Mar (UTC')

1131 Release Started at 17Z Mar (UTC)

Ej;,0m

a*&

/k

CA

rnl:0,U)

z,r,- 6.OE-12 Maximum at square

Loczaior Fukusirhm IOikHcJapan (37.4206 141.0329)Medeorobty: 07213Emyizwbc: 1.00 Unit 1131 cmer 72 hr01rbU~ion; Unloim belvmenO0 - WOm agIDapowilion, Vftad Dry (.1cmt)Contours ":tc~r~ Itom rmap o ma pR='0t~base8y~d .ne01 valums


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RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONExosueoavneaoed betwen 0m and 7 r (Bq-stm3)Intogratod loom 12 26 Mar to 12z 27 Mar CUTM)1131 Releas. Started at 17Z 2 Mar (UTr-)

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5.OE-09 Maximum at square1CE-09 1EC tO.E-I I iE- 12Locadfn: Fukushirir Caiichlapan C37.4206 141-0329)Mfeowobor: G-7213Emsbnn 100 Uni 1131 over72 hrOsDibuLdn. Unilorm beutwenO -COO m agiDoposl0on Wei and Dry (a t1cimt)N Coontous ny tar iwm mrap to mapP=cuf. ba Y C tn de"l vl kau

z


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RSMG BEUING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONExposure averaged between 0 m and 500 m (Bq-sfmS)Integrated from 12z 27 Mar to 12z 28 Mar (UTT)1131 Roels. Started at 17Z 2 Mar CUTC)

F0=

04

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cm0

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I,2,.E-09 Maximum at square

105r-06 10510 t.OE-tI 10E- 2Localbn: Fukushinm tmiichiiapan (37.4208 141.02Melaroobgy: G73213Ernivn: 1.00 Unil 1131 over72 hiOD~bLion; Unflorm belvwn 0 - W500 aglD coi ion. Weatan Dry 0,1 crm.t)Nuosl Contour Wa y ctutge lbrn ff p to mzpRisUflltsbar on dti olalunff


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RSMC BEIJING - CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATIONExpxsuroavoraged bwr,,. 0m and SW m (Bq-lm!3)Intograted from 12z 28 Mar to 12z 29 Mar CUTC)1131 Rliaso Starued at 17Z 2 Mar (UTG)

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Locabn: Fukurhim~ 0aidia-hapzn (37.4208 141 0329)Mueoetologf: 01213Emuimbn: 1,00 Unil 1131 ove 72 hrOwslibuLion; UniformbelvwenO - 00 m gi~S=Iion; Yfttand Dry (.1 cmnt)R= buflsbfl .I Ind~ta uw

fukushima radiation estimates - rsmc - march 26th - 2200 - pages from ml12037a104 - foia...

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