full title: “quantification understanding and prediction of c-cycle and other ghgs in sub-saharan...

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Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme Priority 1.1.6.3: Global Change and Ecosystems STREP (Specific Targeted Research Project) Proposal no. 037132 Duration: 3 years (01/10/06 – 30/09/09) Funds: 2.8 M€ Coordinator: Prof. Riccardo Valentini, University of Tuscia (Italy) CARBOAFRICA

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Page 1: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of

C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa”

European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Priority 1.1.6.3: Global Change and Ecosystems

STREP (Specific Targeted Research Project)

Proposal no. 037132

Duration: 3 years (01/10/06 – 30/09/09)

Funds: 2.8 M€

Coordinator: Prof. Riccardo Valentini, University of Tuscia (Italy)

Participant: currently 15 Institutions (11 European, 3 African, + FAO)

CARBOAFRICA

Page 2: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CARBOAFRICA

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

                                 

Partnership

+

Page 3: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Participant Organizations Acronym Country

Università degli Studi della Tuscia UNITUS Italy

Max-Planck-Institute of Biogeochemistry MPI-BGC Germany

Lunds universitet ULUND Sweden

Global Terrestrial Observing System, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations FAO-GTOS Int.

Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement CIRAD France

Natural Environment Research Council, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology NERC UK

Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche CNR-IBIMET Italy

Istituto Agronomico per l'Oltremare IAO Italy

Seconda Università di Napoli DSA-SUN Italy

Council for Scientific and Industrial Research CSIR South Africa

Unité de Recherche sur la Productivité des Plantations Industrielles UR2PI Congo

Agricultural Research & Technology Corporation ARC Sudan

Commissariat a l'Energie Atomique CEA France

King's College London KCL UK

University of Leicester ULEICS UK

Participants organizations currently 15 Institutions

(11 European, 3 African, + FAO)soon CESBIO (Fr) will join the consortium

CARBOAFRICA

Page 4: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CARBOAFRICA

Why CarboAfrica?

Africa is a region highly vulnerable to climate change due to both ecological and socio-economic factors; however it is the least well-covered region by studies on climate change.

High uncertainty in the understanding of the Africa role in the global C-cycle.

Page 5: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

AFRICA CARBON EMISSION

Africa's CO2 emissions from use of fossil fuels are low in relation to the rest of the world (3%), however total Africa’s emissions have been significantly increased (about 10 times in the last 60 years).Few nations account for the bulk of the region's fossil fuels emissions:35 % Algeria, Egypt and Nigeria (combined)42 % South Africa

responsible for about 1.2% of the total global warming effect in 1990: which placed it in the top ten contributing countries in the world.

SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA:low but increasing role!

Page 6: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

0

500

1000

1500

Mt CO2

UNFCCC 2000-2004 data

North Africa 244.922 260.6 163.7 129.6 553.9 174.7 379.2

Sub-Saharian Africa 326.829 270.9 203.5 884.8 1359.2 1054.2 305.0

South Africa 43.1 309 41.6 0 350.6 16.9 333.7

Population Fossil fuel Agriculture Land Use Emissions Removals Net

Land use change (fires, deforestation and degradation, conversion to crops) is Africa’s primary net source of carbon.

Page 7: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Land Use Change Emissions

Africa: 20% of global land use emission.

Page 8: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

FIRE EMISSIONS

Annual global fire carbon emissions: basically unknown, c.1.5 – 5.0 GtC a-1 Africa: 1 GtC a-1 (around 40% of world’s emission)

Page 9: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Sub-Saharan Africa and C-cycle:1- dominated by biogenic processes (linked to climate fluctuations)2- low anthropic influence

With low fossil fuel emissions, Africa’s continental scale carbon fluxes are dominated by biogenic uptake and release from terrestrial ecosystems, as well as fires and deforestation (Williams et al., 2007).

Page 10: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

To set up and coordinate a first GHGs monitoring network of Sub-Saharan Africa, in order to:

- better quantify GHGs emissions in Sub-Saharan Africa (considering also fires and deforestation) - better understand the role of fire emissions on the African GHGs balance and its global implications- better understand the Africa's role in the global climate system- improve the assessment of the land use change and evaluate the potential for carbon sequestration (CDM)- promote the integration of the environmental dimension in the African socio-economic context.

CARBOAFRICAMain Objectives

Page 11: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

WorkPlanThe work is organized in a multi-disciplinary integrated research approach through the division of main tasks in seven complementary work-packages.

WP1: Observation system & data integration & consolidation

WP2: Ecosystems processes understanding of carbon fluxes

WP3: Modelling for up-scaling to region and continent

WP4: Fire-Climate-Carbon cycle interactions

WP5: Communications and Capacity Development

WP6: Evaluation of a sustainable carbon sequestration

WP7: Project Management

CARBOAFRICA

Page 12: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Eddy covariance sites alreadyavailable in Africa

Eddy covariance sites that willbe established by CARBOAFRICA

stations for atmospheric measurements

THE NETWORK

Carbon Flux network:18 stations, of which2 new (including the 1st in an African tropical forest, in Ghana)

+2 Atmospheric CO2 stations

+Airborne campaigns(CARE experiment)

CARBOAFRICA

Page 13: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Complexity of landscape

Page 14: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CARBOAFRICA

1st Flux Tower in a African Tropical Forest

Height: 72 m (around 30 m over the forest canopy!)

The information provided by this flux station will give an important contribute to the understanding of the Africa’s role in the global carbon cycle.

Page 15: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Ecosystems Process UnderstandingCarboAfrica provides basic sites characterization through intense field campaigns (e.g. Sudan, Ghana, Congo, Zambia, South Africa) that are focusing on:- soil carbon properties- water relations- plant phenology- plant eco-physiology- exchanges of GHGs between soil and atmosphere.

CARBOAFRICA

Page 16: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Roots exclusion technique (soil carbon)

Soil samples are taken to the laboratory: all the soil was sieved and roots were removed from the soil cores

Half of the sampled soil are placed to the nylon meshes with 1 mc openings and returned to the study site (Bulk Soil Respiration Rb).

Another half of the samples are placed back without any barriers for the roots growing (Bulk Soil Respiration + Root Respiration Rbr).

Page 17: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Standard type of technique to measure N2O and CH4 soil-atmosphere gas exchange

Closed chamber – Gas Chromatographic analysis

VIALS

GC analysis

ECD, FID detectors

Gas storage

Gas accumulation over time

Technique is simple

Can be handled by with short training

Needs many samples

Sample shipping within few days

Main costs associated to shipping

Page 18: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Aerial Optical Video Aerial Thermal Video

Pre-Fire Post-Fire

CarboAfrica and Fire1- process satellite data and develop new algorithms to map dynamically the African burned areas2- quantify the African the C emissions and the burnt biomass from fires (FRP) and the related GHG emissions and their regional and interannual variation3- The fire experiment

CARBOAFRICA

Page 19: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

IR & Optical Video

The Fire Experiment

The trace gases emitted, the fire spread, the Fire Radiative Energy (FRE), the smoke and fine particles production and the fuel consumption were measured on August 2007 in the Kruger National Park (South Africa).

The fires were observed thought different techniques from remote platforms (helicopter and satellite) and at ground level (with instruments arranged along the perimeter of the plot and oriented downwind).

This experiment will improve our understanding of: 1- the general fire process, 2- the fires role in the climate system, 3- the carbon and other GHGs emission form fires, 4- the biomass consumption in fires, 5- the relation between FRE and fuel consumption, 6- the fire spread prediction by models, 7- the satellite imagery interpretation.

CARBOAFRICA

Page 20: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CARBOAFRICAModelling activities are foreseen to generalize and up-scale the ecosystem level observations, estimating carbon balance, and its temporal variability, from local, to regional and continental scales.

Modelling

Page 21: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CARBOAFRICADaily model output expected from four models

Bottom-up simulation by models indicate large intra-annual and inter-annual variation in Africa's ecosystem productivity.

Both intra-annual (seasonal cycle) and inter-annual variability are strongly controlled by climate fluctuations and water availability.

Page 22: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CarboAfrica and Kyoto Protocol(CDM and REDD)

1- Specific regional studies in key areas are being conducted, considering both carbon sources and sinks, in order to evaluate the potential for carbon sequestration in Sub-Saharan Africa. Training on CDM opportunities will be provided to African stakeholders.

2- Specific researches to evaluate the potential for reducing emissions from avoided deforestation and forest degradation (post Kyoto 2012) in sub-Saharan Africa will be considered.

CARBOAFRICA

Page 23: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Deforestation and Kyoto Protocol

Santilli et al. 2003

Tropical Land Use Change: 0.8±0.2 to 2.2±0.8 PgC yr-1

Kyoto Target: 0.5 PgC yr-1

AFRICA contribute about to 30% of totaltropical land clearing from deforestation

Page 24: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Communication and capacity development

FAO (through the GTOS programme) leads the communication and capacity development activities, dedicated to African institutions and stakeholders, to maximise the exploitation of the project’s achievements, and promote the integration of the environmental dimension in the social and economic context.

For the 1st year of the project FAO and GTOS have already implemented: the project webpage www.carboafrica.net, the list of server, the for-monthly newsletters, and the project brochure in English and French. Other activities are: support to African students and organization of workshops and training courses.

CARBOAFRICA

Page 25: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CarboAfrica and GEO

CARBOAFRICA contributes to the task EC-06-01 (Integrated Global Carbon Observation, IGCO) of the GEO 2007-2009 Work Plan, by improving the current global carbon observing network in an underrepresented region such as Africa. CARBOAFRICA will expand and coordinate the African observation system of old, current and future carbon data that will be harmonized and standardised through a common quality check and data processing. The data produced by CARBOAFRICA will be made freely available on the web.

&

CARBOAFRICA

Page 26: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

Looking forward: CarboAfrica 2?

• 1. Expand atmospheric and “in situ” network to increase representativeness

• 2. Expand remote sensing capabilities

(i.e. deforestation and forest degradation)• 3. Improve water nitrogen and carbon integration• 4. Improve socio-economic analysis of land-use

changes• 5. Consider also and fossil fuel maps of mega-

cities

Page 27: Full title: “Quantification understanding and prediction of C-cycle and other GHGs in Sub-Saharan Africa” European Commission, 6th Framework Programme

CARBOAFRICA WEB

www.carboafrica.net

Info: [email protected]

THANK YOU!