full year pre-close trading update & european action plans · 2020. 7. 7. · • full year...
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Full Year Pre-CloseTrading Update & European Action PlansThursday 27 September 2012
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Presentation Structure
1. Update on Trading – Richard Cousins
2. European Strategy – Richard Cousins
3. European Financials – Dominic Blakemore
4. Summary & Outlook – Richard Cousins
5. Q&A
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Update on Trading
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Group
• Good performance in the fourth quarter; organic revenue growth expected to be c.6%
• Full year organic growth of around 5.5%; operating profit up c.8%; margin slightly ahead
• £95m expected annual cost savings by 2014 to protect profitability and improve efficiency
• European exceptional cash charge of £150m over 2 years, £195m non-cash exceptional
• Expectations for 2012 and 2013 maintained
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2011/12
• Another excellent year
• Full year organic growth of over 8%
• Steady 10 bps margin progression
• Excellent MAP 1 performance
• Ascension Health contract successfully mobilised
North America
Looking forward
• Exciting pipeline of new business
• Healthy outsourcing culture
• Huge market opportunity
• Strong management team
• We are optimistic about the future
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Fast Growing & Emerging
Latin America,£1.1bn
Pacific & South / East Asia,
£1.1bn
Africa, Central Asia & Middle East, £0.6m
Note: revenue figures taken from FY 2011 results
Fast Growing & Emerging revenue by sub-region
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2011/12
• Double digit organic growth of c.12%
• Good progress in building management teams and processes
• Steady margin in line with last year
Fast Growing & Emerging
Looking forward
• Excellent growth prospects
• Outsourcing accelerating ggggggggggggg
• Great revenue and margin opportunities
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2011/12
• Revenue decline of c.1%
• Increasingly negative like for like volume trends, particularly in Southern Europe
• Pressure on margin from difficult economic conditions
Europe & Japan
Looking forward
• Short-term economic pressures
• Actions to drive efficiency and competitiveness
• Healthy medium term opportunities
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European Strategy
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European Economic Backdrop
Eurozone quarterly GDP growth 2005-12• Declining GDP growth & downward
revisions to forecasts
• Modest recovery post 2008/9 but temporary
• Good new business; pressure on like for like volume
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Different Trends Across European Sub-Regions
“Southern Europe” comprises Italy, Spain and Portugal. Compass has no operations in Greece
Challenging economic conditions
Moderately negative like for like volume
France & UK
Very difficult economic conditions
Strongly negative like for like volume
Southern Europe
Some modest growth
Stable like for like volume
North East Europe
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Breakdown of Organic Revenue Growth
Europe & Japan 2012% H1 H2 (est.) FY (est.)
Net new business(0.8)% (1.0)% (0.9)%
Like for like revenue0.4% 0.0% 0.2%
Organic growth(0.4)% (1.0)% (0.7)%
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Breakdown of Like for Like Revenue
Europe & Japan 2012% H1 H2 (est.) FY (est.)
Like for like 0.4% 0.0% 0.2%- Price 1.5% 1.5% 1.5%- Volume (1.1)% (1.5)% (1.3)%
- Volume ex. Japan (1.5)% (2.5)% (1.8)%
Region TrendNorth East Europe 0%France & UK (2.5)%Southern Europe (5)%
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Revenue and Profit Impact of Declining Volumes
LfL volume decline (%) Europe only
(2)% (3)% (4)%
Est. FY revenue for Europe (£m) 5,500 5,500 5,500
Revenue impact (£m) (110) (165) (220)Profit drop through (%) 35% 35% 35%Profit impact (£m) (39) (58) (77)
Fixed labour agreements in Europe result in higher drop through than in other parts of the world
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• New management structure bringing greater focus
• Detailed bottom up review carried out
• Fundamentals of the business are solid, good strategy in place
• Good outsourcing potential; re-engineering cost base to drive growth
European Strategy / Operations
Two key actionsRestructure MediterraneanReduce European costs
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Driving Operational Efficiency
Decisive action to reduce fixed cost element of labour
Food
• Good progress; still many opportunitiesOverheads
• Improved performance but more to do
• Much more to doIn-unit costs
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European Financials
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Accelerated Cost Efficiencies – MAP 4 Labour
• £150m restructuring charge in 2012 and 2013
• £75m annual savings by 2014
• Cash payback of 2 years
2012 2013 Total100 50 150
2013 2014Saving from 2012 investment 35 50Savings from 2013 investment 15 25Total savings 50 75
Exceptional cash charge (£m)
Annual savings (£m)
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Non-Cash Restructuring Costs
Contract provisions
Ring fence all loss-making contractsFocus on profitable core
Receivables Full review of debtorsProvision made where required
Disposals Sell / exit all non-core operationsSimplify & re-focus the business
Property /assets
Consolidation of office space & asset write downs
2012 charge: £195m
£20m benefit in 2013
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Short Term Expectations Unchanged
• Expectations for 2012 remain positive and unchanged
• Laying foundations for improved performance
• Actions underpin market expectations for 2013, despite economic headwinds
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Group Summary & Outlook
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Group Summary & Outlook
• Compass is performing well
• Solid fundamentals in Europe but economic conditions expected to remain challenging; decisive action being taken
• Positive on global opportunities to drive further revenue, cash flow & margin progression
• Expectations for 2012 and 2013 maintained
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