further saudi arabian assistance to egypt

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Thursday 17 th Dec. 2015 Issue # 48 THE WEEKLY www.alexbank.com The King of Saudi Arabia, Salman Bin Abdel Aziz, ordered the increase of Saudi Arabian investments in Egypt to exceed USD8 billion. The assistance might include buying Egypt’s local debt as opposed to depositing cash in the Central Bank. The King also ordered his government to meet Egypt’s needs of petroleum products throughout the next five years. The announcement came after a meeting between the Egyptian Prime Minister Sherif Ismaeil and the Saudi Deputy Crown, Prince Mohammed Bin Salman. ADB Approved USD1.5 Billion Loan To Egypt Oil Subsidies’ Cutting Plan Revised CBE Held Exceptional Dollar Auction The President Approved Takaful & Karama Project IN THIS ISSUE... A WORLD OF REAL POSSIBILITIES 1 The President Inaugurated Desert Reclamation Project ASSISTANCE TO EGYPT FURTHER SAUDI ARABIAN “We expect this support to be in the form of loans at favorable terms as an extension of deals that have been signed over the past 12-18 months” “An agreement will be reached during the coming period with the Saudi side on the mechanism to implement the announcement to fulfill Egypt’s needs from oil during the next five years” EFG Hermes Research MENA Morning Round Up 16 th December 2015 Tarek Al-Mola Petroleum Minister Al Araby Al Jaded 16 th December 2015

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Thursday17th Dec. 2015

Issue # 48

THE WEEKLY

www.alexbank.com

The King of Saudi Arabia, Salman Bin Abdel Aziz, ordered the increase of Saudi Arabian investments in Egypt to exceed USD8 billion. The assistance might include buying Egypt’s local debt as opposed to depositing cash in the Central Bank.

The King also ordered his government to meet Egypt’s needs of petroleum products throughout the next five years.

The announcement came after a meeting between the Egyptian Prime Minister Sherif Ismaeil and the Saudi Deputy Crown, Prince Mohammed Bin Salman.

ADB Approved USD1.5 Billion Loan To EgyptOil Subsidies’ Cutting Plan RevisedCBE Held Exceptional Dollar AuctionThe President Approved Takaful & Karama Project

IN THIS ISSUE...

A WORLD OF REAL POSSIBILITIES

1

The President Inaugurated Desert Reclamation Project

ASSISTANCE TO EGYPT

FURTHER SAUDI ARABIAN

“We expect this support to be in the form of loans at favorable terms as an extension of deals that have been signed over the past 12-18 months”

“An agreement will be reached during the coming period with the Saudi side on the mechanism to implement the announcement to fulfill Egypt’s needs from oil during the next five years”

EFG Hermes ResearchMENA Morning Round Up16th December 2015

Tarek Al-MolaPetroleum MinisterAl Araby Al Jaded16th December 2015

www.alexbank.com2

The Minister Of International Cooperation Sahar Nasr announced that the African Development Bank has approved a USD1.5 billion loan to Egypt to be granted over 3 years, where the first tranche worth USD500 million will be disbursed within days and directed to support government’s economic development program and national projects.

Prime Minister Sherif Ismaeil stated that the government is targeting decreasing oil and petroleum products subsidies by only 30% of its value in 2014 over a period of five years, instead of the previous government’s decision to fully eliminate this subsidy throughout the same period.

The Central Bank Of Egypt sold between USD750 million and USD1 billion in an exceptional dollar auction last Sunday. This move is the most recent in a series of measures aimed at ending a foreign exchange shortage.

“We respect the previous government’s decisions and are committed to them, but there are changes we need to adhere to in the case of oil product subsidies, such as global energy prices and new discoveries”

“The Dollars sold were directed to smaller importers with needs of less than USD750 thousand, and prioritized importers of foodstuffs, medicine and raw materials”

Moody’s StatementMubasher.Info8th December 2015

Mohamed El-Seweidy Head Of The Egyptian Federation Of Industries Egypt Independent15th December 2015

President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi issued a decree approving a loan worth USD400 million from the International Bank For Reconstruction And Development to support the Karama (dignity) and Takaful (solidarity) social schemes aiming at benefiting up to 1.5 million Egyptian families, where Takaful targets poor families with children younger than 18 years sending them to schools, while Karama targets the elderly and the disabled who can’t functionally work to earn a living.

President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi will inaugurate a desert reclamation project by the end of this month, aiming at expanding total farmland in Egypt by 20%. The project targets the reclamation of 1.5 million feddans, thus increasing total farmland to 9.5 million feddans, where the government will start by reclaiming around 10 thousand feddans in the Western Desert to plant crops such as Wheat and Corn.

“The project is a launching point for getting out of the narrow (Nile) Valley …closing the food gap and increasing habitable space in accordance with scientific studies is the main aim”Sherif IsmailPrime MinisterEFG Hermes Research 15th December 2015

World Bank Heaquarters, Washington DC

Central Bank Of Egypt Headquarters, Cairo

www.alexbank.com

EGYPT AT GLANCE

EXCHANGE RATES

TB’S AUCTION

EURO

17 Dec. 2015

13 Dec. 2015

13 Dec. 2015 17 Dec. 2015

USD

91 Days 11.186

273 Days 11.604

182 Days 11.401

357 Days 11.625

Sterling Pound

Auction Date

FX-AUCTION RATES

US $ 7.7301 7.7301

Auction Date 10th Dec. 2015

17th Dec. 2015

17th Dec. 2015

17th Dec. 2015

Average Yield %

YTD

Maturity

7.81 0% 0% 8.9%8.9%

11.68 -1.5% 6.2%-1.4% 3.7%

8.49 -1.3% 1.9% -1.5%-5.2%

W/W Y/YM/M

YTDW/W Y/YM/M

STOCK MARKET

EGX 30 6,669.80 4.1%0.5% -17.9%

INTEREST RATES

Overnight Lending Rate 10.25%9.75%

Overnight Deposit Rate 9.25%8.75%

Previous**Current*

* Since January 2015 ** Since July 2014

Corridor Rate -25 bp9.5%9.25%

-50 bp

-50 bp

3

-23.6%

5.006.007.008.009.00

10.0011.0012.0013.00

Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15

EGP per USD EGP per Euro EGP per Pound Sterling

400045005000550060006500700075008000850090009500

10000

Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15

EG

X

EGX 30 EGX 70 (Rel.) EGX 100 (Rel.)

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Senior Associate: Research:Sahar Ezz El Arab Omar Ismaeil

Research ManagerHemat El Masry

Head of ResearchEmil Eskander

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