future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in...
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Professor Johan StahreHead of Division Production SystemChalmers University of [email protected]
Future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in the age of digitalisation
Johan Stahre, Chalmers, 2017
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
5G
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Frey and Osborne (2013) The future of employment: how susceptible are jobs to computerisation?
• Transportation and Material Moving
• Production• Installation,
Maintenance, and Repair
• Construction and Extraction
• Farming, Fishing,and Forestry
• Office and Administrative Support
• Sales and Related• Technical Service• Healthcare
Practitioners• Education, Legal,
Community Service, Arts, and Media
• Computer, Engineering, and Science
• Management, Business, and Financial
Conclusion: 47% of the US jobs are at risk!
Which jobs could be automated?(Occupations-based analysis)
Oxford Prof. J.Stahre 2017
http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-34066941
Johan Stahre, Chalmers, 2017
OCCUPATIONS
JOBS TASKS
Arntz, M., T. Gregory and U. Zierahn (2016), “The Risk of Automation for Jobs in OECD Countries: A Comparative Analysis”, OECD Social, Employment and Migration Working Papers, No. 189, OECD Publishing, Paris.
Jobs in the OECD (Task-based analysis)
OECD
Oxford - Occupation-based analysis47% of the jobs automatable
OECD - Task-based analysis9% of the jobs automatable
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Automation potential based on demonstrated technology of occupation titles in the United States
SOURCE: US Bureau of Labor Statistics; McKinsey Global Institute analysis
[Mckinsey Global Institute (2017) A Future that Works: Automation, Employment, and Productivity ] Prof. J.Stahre 2017
HistoricFarming
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Modern Farming
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Demographics
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Demographics 2050
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Our old friend - Automation
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Autopilot 1947 (Getty Images)
Automation Paradox
[Bainbridge, L. (1983) Ironies of automation, IFAC]
The designer who tries to eliminate the operator still leaves the operator to do the tasks which the designer cannot think how to automate.
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
Fitts’ list1951
Human / Automation task allocation
PhysicalTask
Allocation
CognitiveTask
Allocation
Prof. J.Stahre 2017
www.sosmarteu.eu
SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734
• ChalmersUniversityof
Technology,Sweden(Coord)
• FondazionePolitecnicodiMilano,Italy
• LMSPatras,Greece
• Festo,Germany
• DeepWhite,Germany
• TampereUniversityof
Technology,Finland
SOSMART- SociallySustainableManufacturingfortheFactoriesoftheFuture
Prof.J.Stahre 2017
www.sosmarteu.eu
SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734
SOSMART- SociallySustainableManufacturingfortheFactoriesoftheFuture
Prof.J.Stahre 2017
www.sosmarteu.eu
SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734
SOSMART- SociallySustainableManufacturingfortheFactoriesoftheFuture
4maindimensionsofsociallysustainablecorporatecultureleadingtocorporatesuccess
Prof.J.Stahre 2017
www.sosmarteu.eu
SOSMARTproject- FP7/2007-2013– g.a.n° 608734
OnlineinventoryofGoodexamplesofstimulating
workplaces
Prof.J.Stahre 2017
[The Internet of things: Mapping the value beyond the hype (2015) MGI]
Global market for digitalisation (McKinsey)
Johan Stahre, Chalmers, 2017[Autor,D (2014) Polanyi’s Paradox and the Shape of Employment Growth]
Professor Johan StahreHead of Division Production SystemChalmers University of [email protected]
Future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in the age of digitalisation
Ø What will be the impact of digitalisation and automation on future manufacturing work?
Ø How can we handle the paradoxes of automation?Ø How can social sustainability of manufacturing be
achieved in future manufacturing?
Professor Johan StahreHead of Division Production SystemChalmers University of [email protected]
Future work and social sustainability of manufacturing in the age of digitalisation
Ø Noone can know how many jobs will be automatedØ Automation, robot collaboration and massive
skill development needed to handle demographicsØ Socially sustainable manufacturing is key to
attracting and retaining skilled personnel
Thank you for you interest