Futures Studies and Breakthrough Thinking

KITAMORI kazutaka

Hokkaido University of Science, JAPAN

AOYAMA Yuko

Hokkaido University, JAPAN

WFSF Word Conference11-12 June 2015, Turke, Finland

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1.Between Philosophy and [Break] Through

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1a.From Philosophy to [Break] Through

Philosophy

[Break] Through

Mind is Pain

Complex Systems

Philosophy itself breaks through by itself ??3

Complex Systems : by sand pile

The pile retains its shape because occasionally a new grain of sand will trigger an avalanche which causes some number of grains to slide down the side of the cone into new positions. -From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia-

Structured criticality is a property of complex systems.

Stress Propagation and Arching in Static SandpilesJournal de Physique I, 7 (1997) 39-80; cond-mat/9607097. Sketch: Definition of the normal construction

J. Marks II, Payman Arabshahi, Andrew Gray, "Adaptive-SDR: Adaptive Swarm-based Distributed Routing ," Proceedings of the 2002 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks

1a.From Philosophy to [Break] Through

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Mind is Pain

Mind

Pain

collapse/breaking:Pain

(Heart)

(invisible hand )

Physical

Pain

Thinking Actions

“I think, [therefore] I am”

Mental

1a.From Philosophy to [Break] Through

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collapse/breaking : Pain

It becomes to collapse.

action nothing

vivacious action

Metaphor: the sand pile is what/how the mind is to be.

Complex Systems expresses what/how the nature should be.

We [break] it through.

1a.From Philosophy to [Break] Through

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1b.From [Break] Through to Philosophy

Metaphor: the sand pile is what/how the mind is to be.

Automatic selves-independence: our mind grows

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1b.From [Break] Through to Philosophy

IT cells become cancerous. IT will begin to collapse after 10 years.

what/how the mind should be?

what/how the mind is to be? interdisciplinary

This philosophy can give a clue of comprehension on myth , metaphor layer

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‘Causal Layered Analysis’Explore possibilities of futures with four layers

Litany

Social Cause

Discourse / Worldview

Myth and Metaphor

The first level is usually presented by the news media.It is visible and obvious, requiring little analytic capability. It is believed , rarely questioned.

The second level is concerned with social causes, including economic, cultural, political and historical factors.

This level is concerned with structure and the discourse/worldview that supports and legitimates it.

Myth and Metaphor are the deep stories, the collective archetypes, the unconscious, of often emotive, dimensions of the problem or the paradox. This level provides a gut/emotional level experiences to the worldview under inquiry.

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‘Causal Layered Analysis’Benefit of CLA

Expand a range and richness of scenario

Encourage to create various ideas from the participants in the workshop

Create alternative futures

recognize the cause of cause

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Causal Layered Analysis (CLA)

Litany

Social Cause

Discourse / Worldview

Myth and Metaphor

Explore the possibility of futures

with four layers

Horizontal level

Vertical level

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Work Design

IE(Industrial Engineering), Problem Solving ApproachCreated by G.Nadler in 1959

‘Breakthrough Thinking’

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Breakthrough Thinking

Analytical Thinking

From parts to wholeFrom whole to parts

Design Thinking

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7 Principles of BTT

Uniqueness principle

Purposes principle

Solution-after-next principle

System principleLimited information collection principle

People design principle

Betterment timelineprinciple

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Pythagorean Communication

Ｈｏ－

Ｈｏ－

Ｈｅ－

Ｈｅー Ｈｏ－

ＨｅーCommunication Design

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