fx exchange[1]
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24-4-2016
* Exchange rate mechanism:time zones involved- settlement time- determining contractways of settlement- spot basis: T+2 , eg if on monday settlement date on wednesday
- ready/cash basis: same day
- Tom basis: T+1
- Forward : settlment takes place on futute date
* Exchange rates and forex businessFEDAI : foreign exchaneg dealers association of India-guidelines: underlying exposure, definite amt date specified,option period specified delivery not greater than month
- other restriction (banks)-allowed to open/close rupee a/c, foreing a/c, invest inmoney market/ debt instrument (less than one year), allowclient to book forward to hedge their risk
* Markets
- individuals (student persuing study abroad)- business enttites-commercial (accpeting deposti lending/invest) and investment banks(advisory services, exotic derivatvie products, merger & eval)
- central banks (rbi,- investor (fx denomited bonds, debentures, equit)- arbritators- price diferen in two market- speculaors:-forex brokers ( on behalf of bank purc/sale of fx currency)- hedge funds- electronic form- over the counter
- price discover- Majors: USD, EUR, JPY, CHF (swiss francs), AUD, GBP
* Sampling methodswhen these terms descirbe population - parametersdescirp sample - statistics
* when sd is high curver is short and widewhen sd is small curve is tall and narrow
- skewnessin sys distri - mean, median, mode are equalin positive skyew dis - mean mode
in negativ ske dis - mean< median < mode- 4 trillion daily turnover- highly liquid
* risks relating to forex operations-transaction - normal operations- translation - revaluation inhome currency, eg bank statement- operating - external factorssettlement risk : counterparty risk- receipts and payments on individual basis
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- pre settlement - bankruptcy,- call risk
* country risk:
* Non-resident accounts
* PIO other then banglades and pakistan
* Nro deposit rates can't be more than resident interest
* Export Decalaration forms:1. GR other than post2. PP by post parcel3. softex form4. necessary docs - sdf with shipping bills
Exemptions:regulation 4 : 23/2000 date 3.5.2000 fema- free samples, persoanl effe, deffective goods for repairsreturns
* Faciliteis for exporters and importers:- Agency commison : reduction in invoice value of exports -GR form
- reduction in invoice val:conditions to be met for redution by AD- reduction < 25%- not subject to export quota/ floor price restriction- the exporter is not on exporter's caution list of RBI
- Claims against export- refund of export proceeds- exetension of time limit: ext form- extension of time and self write-off
- Effective date of realization: date of credit in nostro ac
- Foreign currency accounts: overseas foreign currency a/csdiamon dollar account (track record of 2 year and 3 cr turnover)
* Export Finance- Preshipment finance- Postshipment finance
Preshipment finance- packing credit- advance against dutydrawback ( goverenment receviables)
Post-shipment finance- export bill purchased/negoticated/collection basis/
consignment basis/ undrawn balance/ duty drawbacks
- method of packing credt- Firm Order- lC:
Broad guidlinsPresanction: cutomer, IEC, rbi list, ECGC list (not), capacityexpected turnover, duration of packing credit 180/360
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Post sanction: No PC for same LC from any bank- Stock statement, regulattion, Inform ECGC, advise liquidatedincase exports do not take place after PCL advance traetedadvance treated as local, locat penalinterst rate charges
- Special CasesPacking credit advance exteded EOH and manufacture of goodsBanks autorhised to grant pre-shipment advance running acoutfacility
* Post- Shipment financeadvance against recivable in form of export doccuments-involves handling of export douccment and send to foriengbank/buyer
different types of post-shipment finance- Export bills - purchased/discounted- negotiated- collective bases- consignment basis- Undrawn balance- advance against claims of dutydrawback
bill collection - sending doccuemnts to buyer bankbill disocounting - get amt while submitting doccuments
Duty drawback: inhouse concession is given if cost ofprodcut> greater the international market price
* FactoringServices:Debt administration - managing sales ledger fo clietncredit protection : factors assess credit risk and advisefacotor financing : advacne about 75-80% outstandin debts
Facotroring mechanism : exporter- export factor - import factro
importerif non-payment of dues import facotr makes the payment
* systems in which factoring can be done:sigle/two factor/ dicre export/ direc import
* features of factoringdiscouting, fixed rate, debt in form of bill of exce, promissorynote, without recourse to seller
* Exchange trade guidelines for importers:- export-import code number
* Advance remmittance for import of goodspermitted to allow advance remmitance without any ceilingfor import of goods- amt upt usd 200000- exceeds usd 200000 a gurantee/irrovacable LC internatl reput bank- eceeds usd 100000 a gurantee/ standby Lc international/domestic- gurantee not insisste if BOD approves (2-3 lakh$)- above > 500000 sent to rbi- docc evidence indicating cost of goods and advance pay
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- Section: FERA 165/95-RB exemption on gifting of f exc held inindia/abrad
* Risk Management:risks in banking business:the banking book includes all advances,dep, borrwrisk - liquidity, interest, default, credit, operational risk
Trading book: profit or loss is the diffrerenc betweenthe market price and book valuerisk - market risk, market liquidity risk, default/ creditrisk, operational risk
-Market risk:equity risk: change in stokc priceinterest rate risk: currency risk, commodity rissk
-interest rate riskreasons:
*types of bonds- government bonds: issued by national govt denominated incountry's own currency; 5-30 years; (sovereing bonds);safe = (collect tax, create additional currency)
- Zero coupon bond: not provide coupon till maturity
- floating r bond: variable coupon + spread
- convertible bond : can be converted into shart
- callable: issuer has the rightnot obligation to buy back bond
- when the coupon rate is same as interest rate bonds sellsat face value
* when bond purchased at discount YTM > coupon rate
* risk in bond investment- interest rate risk- default risk - differenc in the yield of a govt bondand corporate bond) - defualt premioum/ risk premium
* If bonds' YTM increases the ROR during the period will beless than the yield and if the yield decreases, the ROR willbe greater than the yield
*sampling methods:the graph of normal distribution depends upon 2 facotors
- kurtosis:measure of deviation of distribution
High kurtosis - less data concen toward mean-low kurtosis - more data conenctrate towar mean
three major diist typesleptokurtic: kurtos > normal diplatykuric : kurtosis < norma diskmesokurtic: zero excess kurtosis
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*sampling methods-judgmental sampling:non-probablity method, based on exprience
- biased sampling: sample do not truly represent population
-radno: simple, systmatic, strait, culustersimple: with replacement: items saples placed picked again populationwithou replace: not placed bankc can't be picked
- systematicc: every nth element is selected from sample
- central imite theorem based on with replacement
- pdf curves of stock returns negatively skewed
- when sampling the sample mean gives expected mean of pouplulation
- correlation between 2 evetns not assure one event cause ofanother
- scattehr diagram usually shows one of the six possiblecorrelation between the variables
- scatter diagrambest fit line has min residual error,coeficitn of correlation dentoted by r
* variation in time series:Secular trend:cyclic fluctation:seasonal variation:Irregular variation:
secular trend: expect to sustain over long termeg- steady increase in cost of living - effective increase
Irregular variati: tsunami, earth quakee
coding: susbstracting mean value from each period in seriescal varry depedning uopon observation even/odd
- seasonal variatio: repetive trend in one year or lesseffect of periodic variation in time-series
- sesonalit used to study regular priod effe (within year)cyclity for longer irregular moves
* Credit management
nationazliaion: 1969 - priority sector
- aspects inclued in loan policyexposure limits, individual, sector, discretionary powers,
- credit appraisal-delivery- creating charge over security, method of delivery,and the procedure for disbursal of term loan
- credit monitoring: optimum utilization of banks funds
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reduce default
-rehablilit & recoverygenuie/wilful, genuine - rehablitation, wilful - recover process
- refinance: nabard, sidbi, rbi
* role of rbi in credit management
11-05-16*analysis of financial statementsincase of banking companies bala shee & pf format - br actschedule 6th of companies act
* sample questions 2015 by murgan60% of samll entereprise advance to micro entrprise for foreignbanks
- equilibrium price- market clearing price
- returns on bond which are at premium > current yield
- as standered error decreases, value of sample mean closerto value of population mean
- decreasing standare erro increasing prec sample meancan be used to estimate the population mean
- the conduct of LC business is governed by UCPDC 600
- regulated interest rates of rbi, applicable to creditlimit 2 lakh
- priorty sector target for foregin banks - 32%
- if Market price < face valuef , ytm > CR
- job enrichment means higher responsibility
- rbi purchases govt bond - money injected into economy
- when rbi sells govt bons money is sucked from market
* Computation of GDP- Expenditure methodGDP = conusmption + gross invest + govt spending + (Ex-IM)consumption: peronsal expediture food,householdgross invest: construction, purcha machin, equipnot investment in financial prodcuts
- Income methodassuem to equal aggregate of incomes generated throughgoods manufacuturing and service renderment
GDP = compensation of empl(wages + property income (rent fromgoods/service generation activiites) + product tax and depon capital
compensation of employees: rep wages, salr and other supplproperty income: corporate profit, propteri income and
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interest and rentsmarket price is the economic price goods/servi offered
cal can yeild 2 diff no:- GDP at market price: value of o/p at market prices- gdp at factor cost: measures o/p in terms of factors ofproduction
- Prodcut-Wise method:Nominal gDpreal gdp - does not take inflation/deflation - real growth
* bfM
Crystallization of contigent liabilities called call risk
- in bal sheet of bank = liabilite: sources of fundasets application of funds
* components of bank's liabilitescapital: sharholders/owner's stake in captialreserves: statutory requirement
depostts: cheap source, current, saving, term, recurringborrowing: rbi, IDBI, NABARD, eximprovision: bills payable, sal payable, tax payable,interest accru
- bank's asset
cash and bal with rbi:cash in hand, balances with rbi, bal with banks, moneyat call and short notice
- investments: gov sec, apprvoe sec, shardes, debent
-Advances: cash credit, term loans, bills purchase anddiscounted
- profit loss acc of bank: Incomefee based: advisory servies;interest based income:trading income; other income
Expenses:- intest expen: interst income > interst expens
NII, when expressed as %age of assets called net int margin
- asset default when not paid inteste in last 180 days
- factors negatively effecting liquiditydecline earning, decrease in quality of assets,uncertainity in cash flows, downgrading by rating agencies
- liquidity riskfunding risk: uanticipated - liability in foreign currenciestiming mismatch:
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- measuerment of liqudity risk ma- stock approah:
- liquidity risk mitigation:
* interest rate risk management:earning losses: less NIM, NIM + but opeartional expenses high
economic losses:
* soucres of intersat rate risk:
- conession ROI post-ship financ valid: 90 days