fyp-equity research for india infoline

Upload: pranay-daga

Post on 02-Apr-2018

221 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    1/70

    - 1 -

    A

    PROJECT REPORT

    ON

    EQUITY RESEARCH (FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS)

    FOR

    INDIA INFOLINE LTD.

    SUBMITTED TO UNIVERSITY OF PUNEIN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF 2 YEARS FULL TIME COURSE

    MASTERS IN BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION (M.B.A.)

    SUBMITTED BYCHOTHANI HITESH HASMUKH

    ( BATCH - 2006-08 )

    BRACTsVISHWAKARMA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT,

    KODHAWA PUNE- 411014.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    2/70

    - 2 -

    ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

    This project bears imprint of all those who have directly or

    indirectly helped and extended their kind support in completing this

    project.

    At the time of making this report I express my sincere gratitude to

    all of them.

    I must first express my gratitude to Ms. Reena Singh, Branch

    Manager (Sohrab Hall Branch) and the staff members for havingaccorded me the permission to undertake a project in India Infoline Ltd.

    I also must show my deepest gratitude to Director Dr. Sharad

    Joshi and Prof. Smita Sovani for their valuable suggestions, guidance

    and advice in bringing out this project.

    - Chothani Hitesh H.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    3/70

    - 3 -

    INDEX

    Sr. No. Title Page No.

    1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1

    2. COMPANY PROFILE 4

    3. OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY 9

    4. THEREOTICAL BACKGROUND 10

    5. RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 18

    6. DATA ANAYLSIS/FINDINGS 20

    7. LIMITATIONS 55

    8. CONCLUSION 57

    9. RECOMMANDATION 60

    10. BIBLIOGRAPHY62

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    4/70

    - 4 -

    INTRODUCTION

    The stock markets are the most volatile markets and are difficult to understand

    as the weather. Though this does not mean that the markets cannot be predicted but

    it only means that trends may change without warning, as with weather.

    The stock markets are characterized by almost all factors, again starting right

    from weather and ending at the political environment. Effects of one market also

    causes a spillover into the other and an external cause in one market can lead to the

    reaction in another market. For instance, its been proved that a delayed monsoon in

    India will create the problems of flooding in the European countries, effecting

    adversely economies of both the regions.

    The pulse of the market also depends upon timely exit and entry. For arriving

    at a correct conclusion reasonable data is required to understand the mechanics of

    the stock and the industry vis--vis global and local in which the company

    operates. While a practical long-term view will help reduce risks, marrying the stock

    on the other hand may totally increase risks.

    By going through the Industry Reports, Financials the investor can arm

    himself with reasonable information about the stocks, which are being tracked by the

    investor. However, for consistent monitoring of stocks, it is imperative that the

    investor has limited exposure to the stocks, which are being capable of being tracked

    by him a too big a portfolio will divert attention and ultimately harm investor

    interests.

    In the present project an attempt is made to study the importance of fundamental

    analysis for investors.

    Shares: -

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    5/70

    - 5 -

    The companies Act 1956 defines Shares as a share in the capital of a company and

    includes stock except where distinction between stock and share is expressed or

    implied. A share is regarded as property, which can be bought and sold like any other

    property. It also consists other rights given by Articles of Association of company.

    Equity or ordinary shares: -

    These are those shares, which do not enjoy any special rights in respect of payment of

    dividend or repayment of capital. The return of capital to equity shareholders is not

    guaranteed. Also when the company is wound up, capital of equity shareholders is

    lastly paid, only after all other claims have been paid in full. That is why equity is also

    called as The Risk Bearing or Venture Capital.

    There are two sources ofreturn on equity shares: -

    1. Dividend: -When companies earn sufficient profit, then Board of Directorsdeclares for all shares.

    2. CapitalGain: -Which arises from an increase in the market price of shares,which is generally associated with growth in per share earning.

    Benefits of Investments in Equity shares: -

    1. You can earn good rate of dividend or can make better profit on marketfluctuation.

    2. Bonus issue: -These are given as free gift to existing shareholders either fullyor partly paid up out of accumulated profits.

    3. Existing shareholders can get Right issue in case of further issue of capitalby company.

    4. Equity shareholders have Right to vote in annual general meeting and otherrights like call meeting, winding up of the company.

    5. Shareholders get free copy of Annual Report in which details of all businessconducted in last year is mentioned.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    6/70

    - 6 -

    6. A share is Transferable Property. It can be transferred or transmitted byshareholder to any other person.

    7. Tax Exemption: -As per Income Tax Act, Dividend is not taxable in thehands of shareholders similarly Long Term Capital Gain on shares is

    exempted up to March 2007.

    8. Liquidity: -Because of large market for share investor can convert hisinvestments into liquid money easily.

    What is Fundamental analysis?

    Fundamental analysis is the examination of the underlying forces that affect

    the well being of the economy, industry groups, and companies. As with mostanalysis, the goal is to derive a forecast and profit from future price movements. At

    the company level, fundamental analysis may involve examination of financial data,

    management, business concept and competition. At the industry level, there might be

    an examination of supply and demand forces for the products offered. For the national

    economy, fundamental analysis might focus on economic data to assess the present

    and future growth of the economy. To forecast future stock prices, fundamental

    analysis combines economic, industry, and company analysis to derive a stock's

    current fair value and forecast future value. If fair value is not equal to the currentstock price, fundamental analysts believe that the stock is either over or under valued

    and the market price will ultimately gravitate towards fair value. Fundamentalists do

    not heed the advice of the random walkers and believe that markets are weak-form

    efficient. By believing that prices do not accurately reflect all available information,

    fundamental analysts look to capitalize on perceived price discrepancies.

    Fundamental analysis is a method used to determine the value of a stock by

    analyzing the financial data that is 'fundamental' to the company. That means that

    fundamental analysis takes into consideration only those variables that are directly

    related to the company itself, such as its earnings, its dividends, and its sales.

    Fundamental analysis does not look at the overall state of the market nor does it

    include behavioral variables in its methodology. It focuses exclusively on the

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    7/70

    - 7 -

    company's business in order to determine whether or not the stock should be bought

    or sold.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    8/70

    - 8 -

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    9/70

    - 9 -

    In India many traditional people are very risk averse. They are not aware of

    the investment opportunities in the stock market. They consider stock market as a

    game of gambling. But the original scenario is quite different. There is no doubt that

    there are speculators who try to hike the price of a stock artificially. Investing in

    equities involves high risk and the return on it totally depends on the companies

    performance. But investing in the right stock at the right price and holding for a

    longer time horizon would surely be a better investment.

    The strategy of selecting stocks that trade for less than their intrinsic value is

    called value investing. Value investors actively seek stocks of companies that they

    believe the market has undervalued. They believe the market overreacts to good and

    bad news, causing stock price movements that do not correspond with the company's

    long-term fundamentals. The result is an opportunity for value investors to profit by

    buying when the price is deflated. The very definition of value investing is subjective.

    Some value investors only look at present assets/earnings and don't place any value on

    future growth. Other value investors base strategies completely around the estimation

    of future growth and cash flows. Despite the different methodologies, it all comes

    back to trying to buy something for less than its worth. The purpose behind this

    project was to learn the mannerisms of the stock market trading and analyzing a stock

    for a good investment opportunity.

    The reason behind choosing this project is that it provides hands on experience

    with what goes on in the stock market on a day to day basis. The field of equity

    research is very vast and one has to look into various aspects of the functioning of the

    company to get to any conclusion about the possible performance of the company in

    the market. Investors like warren buffet made a fortune out of investments in the stock

    market, which is quiet impossible without proper research about the companies. The

    field of equity research is full of challenges.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    10/70

    - 10 -

    The project is done with India Infoline Securities Limited a very well known

    company in the field of stock broking and capital market services sector. This project

    gave me a chance to get valuable insights from a hoard of vastly experienced people

    in this field and to get various approaches each one adopts to evaluate various

    companies. The duration of the project was two months. These two months were not

    only limited to learning and devoting time towards equity research but it also

    provided an insight on what various services such broking houses provide and what

    efforts are required to manage such organizations.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    11/70

    - 11 -

    COMPANY PROFILE

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    12/70

    - 12 -

    INDIA INFOLINE LTD

    India Infoline limited is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in India,

    i.e. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE). It is

    engaged in the business of Equities broking, Wealth Advisory Services and Portfolio

    Management Services. It offers broking services in the Cash and Derivatives

    segments of the NSE as well as the Cash segment of the BSE. It is registered with the

    National Securities Depository Ltd. (NSDL) as well as Central Depository Services

    Ltd. (CDSL) as a depository participant, providing a one-stop solution for client

    trading in the equities market. A SEBI authorized Portfolio Manager; it offers

    Portfolio Management Services to clients.

    COMPANY VISION:

    The companies Vision is to be the most respected company in the financial

    services space.

    The box below elaborates how the company proposes to attain the vision of being the

    most respected company in the space.

    SHAREHOLDERS

    Growth at above industry rate

    with derisking

    High ROCE, ROE

    GENERAL PUBLIC

    Corporate Governance

    Transparency

    CUSTOMERS

    Cutting edge technology

    High service standards

    EMPLOYEES

    Skill development by investments

    in training

    Empowerment and conducive

    work environment

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    13/70

    - 13 -

    SLOGAN:

    ITS ALL ABOUT MONEY, HONEY!

    PRODUCT AND SERVICES:

    We are a one-stop financial services shop, most respected for quality of its advice,

    personalised service and cutting-edge technology.

    Equities Broking:

    India Infoline provided the prospect of researched investing to its clients, which

    was hitherto restricted only to the institutions. Research for the retail investor did not

    exist prior to India Infoline. India Infoline leveraged technology to bring the

    convenience of trading to the investors location of preference (residence or office)

    through computerized access. India Infoline made it possible for clients to view

    transaction costs and ledger updates in real time.

    Portfolio Management Services:Our Portfolio Management Service is a product wherein an equity investment

    portfolio is created to suit the investment objectives of a client. We at Indiainfoline

    invest your resources into stocks from different sectors, depending on your risk-return

    profile. This service is particularly advisable for investors who cannot afford to give

    time or don't have that expertise for day-to-day management of their equity portfolio.

    Research:

    Sound investment decisions depend upon reliable fundamental data and stock

    selection techniques. India Infoline Equity Research is proud of its reputation for, and

    we want you to find the facts that you need. Equity investment professionals routinely

    use our research and models as integral tools in their work. They choose Ford Equity

    Research when they can clear your doubts.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    14/70

    - 14 -

    Commodities:

    India Infolines extension into commodities trading reconciles its strategic intent

    to emerge as a one-stop solutions financial intermediary. Its experience in securities

    broking has empowered it with requisite skills and technologies. The Companys

    commodities business provides a contra-cyclical alternative to equities broking. The

    Company was among the first to offer the facility of commodities trading in Indias

    young commodities market (the MCX commenced operations only in 2003). Average

    monthly turnover on the commodity exchanges increased from Rs 0.34 bn to Rs 20.02

    bn. The commodities market has several products with different and non-correlated

    cycles. On the whole, the business is fairly insulated against cyclical gyrations in the

    business.

    Insurance:

    An entry into this segment helped complete the clients product basket;

    concurrently, it graduated the Company into a one-stop retail financial solutions

    provider. To ensure maximum reach to customers across India, we have employed a

    multi pronged approach and reach out to customers via our Network, Direct and

    Affiliate channels. Following the opening of the sector in 1999-2000, a number of

    private sector insurance service providers commenced operations aggressively and

    helped grow the market.

    The Companys entry into the insurance sector derisked the Company from a

    predominant dependence on broking and equity-linked revenues. The annuity based

    income generated from insurance intermediation result in solid core revenues across

    the tenure of the policy.

    Invest In Mutual Fund

    India Infoline offers you a host of mutual fund choices under one roof, backed by

    in-depth research and advice from research house and tools configured as investor

    friendly.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    15/70

    - 15 -

    Wealth Management Services:

    Imagine a financial firm with the heart and soul of a two-person organization. A

    world-leading wealth management company that sits down with you to understand

    your needs and goals. We offer you a dedicated group for giving you the most

    personal attention at every level.

    Mortgages:

    During the year under review, Indiainfoline acquired a 75% stake in Moneytree

    Consultancy Services to mark its foray into the business of mortgages and other loan

    products distribution. The business is still in the investing phase and at the time of the

    acquisition was present only in the cities of Mumbai and Pune. The Company brings

    on board expertise in the loans business coupled with existing relationships across a

    number of principals in the mortgage and personal loans businesses. Indiainfoline

    now has plans to roll the business out across its pan-Indian network to provide it with

    a truly national scale in operations.

    HEAD OFFICE:

    India Infoline Ltd.,

    75, Nirlon Complex,

    Off. Western Express Highway,

    Goregaon (East),

    Mumbai 400063.

    WEB ADDRESS:

    www.indiainfoline.com

    www.5paise.com

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    16/70

    - 16 -

    OBJECTIVE OF THE PROJECT

    TO UNDERSTAND THE CONCEPT AND TECHNIQUES

    OF FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS.

    TO STUDY THE PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS AND KEY

    PLAYERS IN THE INDIAN STOCK MARKET.

    TO RECOMMEND THE BEST AS A VALUE INVESTMENT

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    17/70

    - 17 -

    THEREOTICAL BACKGROUND

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    18/70

    - 18 -

    ABOUT PUBLIC SECTOR BANKS.

    The shares undertaken here for the analysis belongs to the banking industry.

    All the firms herein mention are from the public sector. This means that all the banks

    are Public Sector Undertaking (PSUs).

    A Public sector undertaking is a wherein the majority of the stake is with

    either the state or the central government. A better word instead of stake can be

    control, i.e. either the control is in the hands of the state government or the central

    government. We can see in each of the bank that the majority of the shares are held by

    the promoters that is the government.

    Nationalization of the banks took place on 19th July, 1969. Initially fourteen

    banks were nationalized. Later on six more banks were added to the list. At present

    nineteen banks are under the public sector.

    The government had contributed an aggregate of Rs. 20,446.12 crore towards

    recapitalization of the nationalized banks by the end of March 1999. The government

    of India decided to allow some of the public sector banks to tap directly the domestic

    capital markets. In order to enable the nationalized banks to access the capital markets

    to strengthen their capital base and meet the capital adequacy norms. The authorized

    capital of each of the public sector banks was been set at Rs. 1500, crore divided into

    150 crore fully paid up share of Rs. 10 each.

    Oriental Bank of Commerce was the first nationalized bank to have access to

    the capital markets. It raised a sum of Rs. 387.24 crore in October 1994, reducing the

    government shareholding to 66.5%. In these way all the the public sector banks came

    down to the capital market as and when required. The government share holding is

    still the highest in all the public sector banks though all the banks have bought their

    IPOs to the market.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    19/70

    - 19 -

    Why Public Sector Banks?

    A Public sector undertaking is a wherein the majority of the stake is with

    either the state or the central government. A better word instead of stake can be

    control, i.e. either the control is in the hands of the state government or the central

    government. We can see in each of the bank that the majority of the shares are held by

    the promoters that is the government.

    The public sector banks are one of the major sources of finance for small,

    medium as well as large firms. These banks are very important from the point of

    deposit mobilization. The public sector banks are those which have a strong network

    of branches and they have reached the remote areas of the country. For e.g. the state

    bank of India has a great network of branches and ATMs. SBI is the largest bank of

    the country and is an agent of the Reserve bank Of India.

    The public sector is a great source for fund mobilization and asset allocation.

    The banks considered herein are the banks that have highest market capitalization

    among the Public Sector Banks of the banking industry.

    The banks if ranked according to their market capitalization:

    State Bank of India.

    Punjab National Bank.

    Bank of Baroda.

    Bank of India.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    20/70

    - 20 -

    BANKING STRUCTURE OF INDIAN BANK

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    21/70

    - 21 -

    KEY POINTS ABOUT THE BANKS

    Demand

    Indian economy is growing at an impressive rate. The Industrial production

    remained robust during April-May 2007, recording a year-on-year expansion of 11.7

    per cent. The manufacturing sector remained the key driver of industrial activity, with

    growth of 12.7 per cent. While growth of the mining sector remained subdued, that of

    the electricity sector was higher than that during April-May 2006. The manufacturing

    sectors robust performance was largely contributed by machinery and equipment,

    food products, basic metal and alloy industries and chemicals and chemical

    products. The higher growth in food products and wood and wood products could

    be partly attributed to the base effect.

    Robust growth in bank deposits and nonfood credit off take and exports of

    business process outsourcing and information technology-enabled services helped in

    sustaining the growth of the sub-sector financing, insurance, real estate and business

    services. All these sectors are directly or indirectly connected to the bank or are

    dependent on the banks for the growth.

    Barriers to entry

    Getting license for opening a bank is a rigorous process. The Reserve Bank of

    India has laid down many criteria for getting a license for any organization to run a

    banking business. It requires a specific amount of capital as prescribed by the RBI.

    There is a huge investment in technology. Now days the business houses are in

    requirement of speed banking so investment in technology is very important. For

    growth of the bank it is very important for a bank to build a strong branch network.

    Again there are rules laid out by the RBI for opening of the branches. Banks have to

    open branches in the rural area to get a license to open a branch in the urban area.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    22/70

    - 22 -

    Bargaining power of suppliers:

    The bargaining power of the supplier is high during periods of tight liquidity.

    Trade unions in public sector banks can be anti reforms. Depositors may invest

    elsewhere if interest rates fall.

    Competition:

    There is high competition in the banking sector because of various kinds of

    banks working in India. There are public sector banks, private sector and foreign

    banks. The private sector banks are the banks which attracts the business house and

    the high income class people. They normally are providing better service than the

    public sector bank. The foreign banks operating in India are doing their business quite

    efficiently. They have shown higher return on asset than the domestic banks, higher

    non interest income, attained higher capital adequacy ratio and lower NPAs. The

    public sector banks are facing a good competition from the scheduled co-operative

    bank like The Cosmos Co operative bank. The non banking financial companies

    (NBFC) are also giving a good competition being in similar business lines.

    Supply:

    Liquidity is controlled by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). This may be done

    by the RBI by the means of CRR or SLR.

    CRR, BANKS AND SHARE PRICE

    One of the major factors affecting profitability of the bank and thus the share

    price of the banks is the CRR. Lets understand how.CRR stands for the cash reserve ratio. This is the specified proportion of

    deposits that a bank has to maintain with the RBI. At present the cash reserve ratio is

    7.00%. When there is a change in the CRR, the first impact is seen on the banks. For

    banks, the rise in CRR would mean that a larger proportion of funds will be with RBI,

    while a fall in rate will mean a lower proportion will be with the apex bank.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    23/70

    - 23 -

    There are specific angles that one has to consider while evaluating the impact

    of CRR on banks. In time of boom, like is the currently, lending will give a higher

    rate of return to banks. Hence, if they have to keep a large proportion of their funds

    away from lending and in the form of deposits, it is a loss of opportunity for them.

    This will bring down their earnings.

    An increase in CRR would also mean that money is sucked out of the system.

    This would mean that funds are hard to come by and hence banks will have to pay

    more to depositors in order to induce them to keep their funds banks. This will push

    up the cost of funds for banks. Due to this banks will also have to raise lending rates

    in order to meet the increased cost while maintaining their margins.

    The market will analyze banks on the basis of their margins, and whether they

    will be able to maintain this going forward. A CRR rise in it self means tougher

    condition for banks but what is important is that they should also be able to keep pace

    with this entire situation. That is the key to the way in which the bank stocks will

    perform in the market.

    RBIs moves on the CRR.

    Effective Since Cash Reserve Ratio

    March 31, 2004 4.50

    September 18, 2004 4.75 (+0.25)

    October 2, 2004 5.00 (+0.25)

    January 24, 2006 5.00

    October 31, 2006 5.00

    December 23, 2006 5.25 (+0.25)

    January 6, 2007 5.50 (+0.25)

    January 31, 2007 5.50

    February 17, 2007 5.75 (+0.25)March 3, 2007 6.00 (+0.25)

    April 14, 2007 6.25 (+0.25)

    April 28, 2007 6.50 (+0.25)

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    24/70

    - 24 -

    There may also be an over all impact on companies in terms of scarcity of

    funds along with an increase in costs due to which the overall interest charges for

    capital intensive companies will increase. There is also the worry that a lower lending

    could lead to a contraction in activities, which might slow down demand in various

    sector. This in turn could act as a dampener for several companies. It also affects

    share prices of companies that operate in the affected sector over the medium term.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    25/70

    - 25 -

    RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    26/70

    - 26 -

    The present study is the outcome of systematic procedures adopted by the

    researcher, which includes primary data collection as well as secondary data

    collection. They are explained below:

    1.

    PRIMARY DATA COLLECTION:

    Primary data is originally gathered specifically on project hand. One can

    obtain information from dealers, salesmen, etc. It offers much greater accuracy

    and reliability.

    In this study, the facts and figures are raw material with which researcher works.

    Thus, in primary data collection researcher come across many methods as follows:

    Observation method

    2. SECONDARY DATA COLLECTION:

    Secondary data is the data already collected by someone else. This data is not

    especially collected to solve present or specific problem. The information is relevant

    and can be used for our purpose.

    After doing the data collection in primary method, the researcher did the collection

    through the secondary data. In this there are several types such as:

    General library

    Trade-Books

    Internet etc.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    27/70

    - 27 -

    DATA ANALYSIS AND FINDINGS

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    28/70

    - 28 -

    THE CURRENT ECONOMIC SCENARIO

    The status of the economy has a major impact on the overall stock prices.

    Economic analysis is the study of the economic trends in the economy. The major

    factors contributing to the economy analysis are as follows.

    THE GROWTH OF THE GDP.

    The Indian economy continued to record robust growth in 2006-07 for the

    fourth successive year, buoyed by the sustained momentum in the services and

    manufacturing sectors. The latest estimates released by the Central Statistical

    Organisation (CSO) in May 2007 revised real GDP growth upwards to 9.4 percent

    during 2006-07 from 9.2 per cent in the advance estimates.

    The upward revision was mainly due to manufacturing (12.3 per cent from the

    earlier estimate of 11.3 per cent) and construction (10.7 per cent from 9.4 per cent),

    partly offset by downward revision in financing, insurance, real estate and business

    services (10.6 per cent from 11.1 per cent). Real GDP growth averaged 8.6 per cent

    per annum during 2003-04 to 2006-07 and 7.6 per cent per annum for the Tenth Plan

    period (2002-03 to 2006-07)

    Indian economy grew 9.3% in April-June 2007 fuelled by industrial and

    services sectors. The real GDP growth during the same quarter of last year was at

    9.6%. While the agricultural sector grew at 3.6%, industrial and services grew 10.6%

    each on Y-o-Y basis.

    Despite the higher than expected growth during the first quarter, economists

    expect growth momentum to slow down in the coming quarters due to high level of

    interest rates and rupee appreciation.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    29/70

    - 29 -

    The Growth of the GDP:

    7.5

    99.4

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    GDP Growth %

    2004-05 2005-06 2006-07

    Year

    GDP Trend

    THE TREND OF INFLATION.

    Simply put, inflation is a rise in prices items over a period of time. It is

    measured through various indices & each provides specific information about the

    prices of items that it represents. The index could be the Wholesale Price Index (WPI)

    or the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for specified categories of people like agricultural

    workers or urban non - manual employees. Each of the indices created in the specific

    manner with the certain year as the base year and they consider the price change over

    the year. The rate of inflation declared every week has an impression on the stock

    market. In the graph you can see the trend followed by the inflation.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    30/70

    - 30 -

    The Trend of Inflation

    Inflation Trend

    6

    4.54.9

    5.3

    6.46.7

    66.5 6.5 6.3

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    29/04/05 26/10/06 9/6/2006 31/10/06 6/1/2007 31/01/07 17/02/07 3/3/2007 30/03/07 14/04/07

    Date

    Inflation(%)

    INFLATION AND THE MARKETS?

    To tame inflation, the government usually hikes interest rates. This tends to

    make debt instrument attractive relative to equities as the former carry a lower

    risk(small saving instruments are risk free as they are guaranteed by the government).

    This result in some amount investment shifting from equity to debt. However, high

    inflation is not always bad and low inflation need not always be good for equity

    markets, as the impact will differ for companies and sector across different time

    horizons. The first thing to consider is the items where prices are rising. For e.g. a rise

    in oil prices will impact a wide range of items from food products to those that require

    transportation.

    BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

    Indias balance of payments in 2006-07 reflected a number of positive

    features, merchandise trade continue to exhibit robust growth during 2006-07,although there was some loss of pace from a strong growth of 2005-06. The higher

    growth of imports vis--vis experts lead to a persistent rise in trade deficit, on the

    balance of payments basis. Nonetheless the current account deficits as per cent of

    GDP remain unchanged (1.1% of GDP) from the previous year since the widening of

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    31/70

    - 31 -

    the merchandise trade deficit was offset to a large extent by the continuing buoyancy

    in net invisibles surplus.

    Net capital inflows to India remained buoyant (4.9% of GDP), fart exceeding

    the current account deficit. Higher capital flows could be attributed to the

    strengthening of micro economic fundamentals, greater investor confidence and

    ample global liquidity. Net FDI inflows from abroad US$ 19.4 billion exceeded FII

    inflows (net) during 2006-07 aggregating US$ 3.2 billion the debt flows (net) at US$

    25.0 billion were led by external commercial borrowings reflecting strong investment

    demand. Net capital flows, after financing the current account deficit, led to accretion

    of US$ 36.6 billion, excluding valuation changes, to foreign exchange reserves during

    2006-07.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    32/70

    - 32 -

    THE CURRENT BANKING SCENARIO

    Currently (2007), overall, banking in India is considered as fairly mature in

    terms of supply, product range and reach-even though reach in rural India stillremains a challenge for the private sector and foreign banks. Even in terms of quality

    of assets and capital adequacy, Indian banks are considered to have clean, strong and

    transparent balance sheets-as compared to other banks in comparable economies in its

    region. The Reserve Bank of India is an autonomous body, with minimal pressure

    from the government. The stated policy of the Bank on the Indian Rupee is to manage

    volatility-without any stated exchange rate-and this has mostly been true.

    With the growth in the Indian economy expected to be strong for quite some

    time-especially in its services sector, the demand for banking services-especially retail

    banking, mortgages and investment services are expected to be strong. M&As,

    takeovers, asset sales and much more action (as it is unravelling in China) will happen

    on this front in India.

    This is the first time an investor has been allowed to hold more than 5% in a

    private sector bank since the RBI announced norms in 2005 that any stake exceeding

    5% in the private sector banks would need to be vetted by them.

    Currently, India has 88 scheduled commercial banks (SCBs) - 28 public sector

    banks (that is with the Government of India holding a stake), 29 private banks (these

    do not have government stake; they may be publicly listed and traded on stock

    exchanges) and 31 foreign banks. They have a combined network of over 53,000

    branches and 17,000 ATMs. According to a report by ICRA Limited, a rating agency,

    the public sector banks hold over 75 percent of total assets of the banking industry,

    with the private and foreign banks holding 18.2% and 6.5% respectively.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    33/70

    - 33 -

    STATE BANK OF INDIA

    BSE: 500112 NSE: SBININDUSTRY: Banking PSU.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    34/70

    - 34 -

    BANK PROFILE:

    State Bank of India was established on the 1st July, 1955, by acquiring the total

    asset and the liabilities of the Imperial Bank of India. The State Bank of India has a

    paid up capital of Rs. 526.30 crore.

    Reserve Bank of India is the single largest shareholder of the bank. SBIs shares and

    bonds are listed for trading on all the major Indian stock exchanges viz., Bombay,

    New Delhi, Kolkata, Chennai and Ahemdabad; and at the National Stock exchange.

    SBI has one of the largest market capitalization of all the companies traded on the

    exchanges. The banks GDRs are listed on the London Stock Exchange.

    State Bank of India (SBI), formed in 1955 is the largest public sector bank in India.

    The Government of India holds 59.73 percent of the total equity shares of the bank;

    institutional investors hold 23.48 percent shares, while the Public holds 6.36 percent.

    Mr. T. S. Bhattacharya is the chairman of the bank.

    Core sectors to which services of the bank extends are Personal banking, NRI's,

    Agricultural and Rural sectors, International banking, Corporate banking, Small and

    Medium Sized Enterprises (SME), Government banking, etc. Some of the primary

    services provided are working capital finance, project finance, deferred paymentguarantees, capex loans, corporate term loans, structured finance, dealer financing,

    channel financing, equipment leasing, loan syndication, financing Indian overseas

    firms, packing credit, external commercial borrowings, foreign currency loans, Letter

    of Credits, guarantees, etc. Facilities provided by the bank are ATM services, Internet

    banking, e-payments, e-rail booking, safe deposit locker, gift cheques, foreign inward

    remittance, foreign travel card etc. The bank also provides non-banking services in

    areas like capital markets, mutual funds, security trading, insurance, factoring services

    and credit card business etc., through its subsidiaries.

    The registered office of SBI is in Mumbai. The bank operates through a network of

    14 Local Head Offices, 57 Zonal Offices and 5217 ATMs all over India. It also has 52

    foreign offices in 34 countries across the globe. It has 3 training institutes located at

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    35/70

    - 35 -

    Hyderabad and an academy at Gurgaon. The bank has also acquired two new

    branches at Sydney and Muscat.

    Shareholding Pattern

    Indian Promoters 59.7%

    Foreign collaborators 0.01%

    Indian inst/Mutual Fund 11.0%

    FIIs 11.9%

    ADR/GDR 0.0%

    Free float 17.3%

    Shareholders 526,782

    Market related data as on 18/06/07

    Market Capital 69387 (Rs Crore)

    Face ValueRs. 10

    52 Wks High/Low1455/684

    Market Price1318

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    36/70

    - 36 -

    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    BALANCE SHEET OF STATE BANK OF INDIA FOR THE LAST THREE

    YEARS.

    Rs in Crore MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    Capital and

    Liabilities

    Equity Share Capital 526.30 526.30 526.30

    Preference ShareCapital

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Reserves 23,545.84 27,117.79 30,772.26

    Revaluation Reserves 0.00 0.00 0.00

    Deposits 367,047.52 380,046.06 435,521.09

    Borrowings 19,184.31 30,641.24 39,703.33

    Other Liabilities &Provisions

    49,767.97 55,829.23 60,283.15

    Total Liabilities 460,071.94 494,160.62 566,806.13

    ASSETS

    Cash & Balance withRBI

    16,810.33 21,652.70 29,076.43

    Balance with Banks,Money at Call

    22,511.77 22,907.30 22,892.26

    Advances 202,374.45 261,800.94 337,336.49

    Investments 197,097.91 162,534.24 149,148.88

    Net Block 2,576.42 2,673.11 2,676.92

    Capital Work inProgress

    121.27 79.82 141.95

    Other Assets 18,579.79 22,512.51 25,533.20

    Total Assets 460,071.94 494,160.62 566,806.13

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    37/70

    - 37 -

    PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT OF STATE BANK OF INDIA FOR THE

    LAST THREE YEARS.

    Rs in Crore MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007INCOME

    Interest Earned 32,428.00 35,979.57 39,491.03

    Other Income 7,121.73 7,528.16 7,498.94

    Total Income 39,549.73 43,507.73 46,989.97

    EXPENDITURE

    Interest expended 18,483.37 20,390.45 23,436.82

    Employee Cost 6,907.35 8,123.05 7,932.58

    Selling and AdminExpenses

    2,414.61 2,872.92 3,288.55

    Depreciation 752.21 763.68 631.51

    MiscellaneousExpenses 6,687.67 6,950.96 7,159.20

    Preoperative ExpCapitalised

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Operating Expenses 10,076.00 11,759.65 13,530.15

    Provisions &Contingencies

    6,685.84 6,950.96 5,481.69

    Total Expenditure 35,245.21 39,101.06 42,448.66

    Net Profit for the

    Year4,304.52 4,406.67 4,541.31

    Profit broughtforward

    0.34 0.34 0.34

    Total Profit 4,304.86 4,407.01 4,541.65Equity Dividend (%) 125.00 140.00 140.00

    No of Share 526300000 526300000 526300000

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    38/70

    - 38 -

    NET PROFIT GROWTH

    4,304.86

    4407.01

    4541.65

    4,150.00

    4,200.00

    4,250.00

    4,300.00

    4,350.00

    4,400.00

    4,450.00

    4,500.00

    4,550.00

    Net Profit (Rs in

    Crores)

    2005 2006 2007

    Year

    SBI

    STOCK PRICE

    SBI

    654.8 681.9

    938 908.15 968.5

    727.75

    1028.65

    1245.6

    994.45

    1525

    0

    200

    400600

    800

    10001200

    1400

    1600

    1800

    Date

    31/03/05

    30/06/05

    30/09/05

    31/12/05

    31/03/06

    30/06/06

    30/09/06

    31/12/06

    31/03/07

    Date

    Price

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    39/70

    - 39 -

    MARKET PRICE AS ON BALANCE SHEET DATE:

    (in Rs ) MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007Market price per

    share

    654.8 968 994

    KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS

    Particulars MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    ROE 17.88 16.25 14.51

    EPS 81.79 83.73 86.29

    Dividend Payout

    Ratio

    15.28 16.72 16.22

    Book Value Per Share 457.38 525.63 594.69

    P/E Ratio % 8.05 11.56 11.51

    INTERPRATATION:

    The profit of the bank is not increasing much, which can be the reason which

    has bought the return on equity down. The other reason for ROE decreasing may be

    high distribution of dividend. Slow growth of the EPS must not be the reason for the

    shareholder to worry because the bank is being giving more than 100% dividend

    which brings the profit down and therefore the EPS.

    As against this the P/E is on an increase. The increasing book value shows that

    the bank has collected a good sum for the shareholders as reserves. The dividend

    payout ratio is growing which is good for the holders who like to have some kind of

    cash flow from their investments. The market price of the share shows a substantial

    capital appreciation in the year 2005-60, but shows volatility.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    40/70

    - 40 -

    BANK OF INDIA

    BSE 532149 NSE - BANKINDIAINDUSTRY Banking PSU.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    41/70

    - 41 -

    BANK PROFILE

    Bank of India was founded on 7th September, 1906 by a group of eminent

    businessmen from Mumbai. The Bank was under private ownership and control till

    July 1969 when it was nationalized along with 13 other banks.

    Beginning with one office in Mumbai, with a paid-up capital of Rs.50 lakh and 50

    employees, the Bank has made a rapid growth over the years and blossomed into a

    mighty institution with a strong national presence and sizable international operations.

    In business volume, the Bank occupies a premier position among the nationalized

    banks.

    The Bank has 2644 branches in India spread over all states/ union territories including

    93 specialized branches. These branches are controlled through 48 Zonal Offices.

    There are 24 branches/ offices (including three representative offices) abroad.

    The Bank came out with its maiden public issue in 1997. Total number of

    shareholders as on 30/09/2006 is 2, 25,704.

    While firmly adhering to a policy of prudence and caution, the Bank has been in the

    forefront of introducing various innovative services and systems. Business has been

    conducted with the successful blend of traditional values and ethics and the most

    modern infrastructure. The Bank has been the first among the nationalized banks to

    establish a fully computerized branch and ATM facility at the Mahalaxmi Branch at

    Mumbai way back in 1989. The Bank is also a Founder Member of SWIFT in India. It

    pioneered the introduction of the Health Code System in 1982, for evaluating/ rating

    its credit portfolio.

    The Bank's association with the capital market goes back to 1921 when it entered intoan agreement with the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) to manage the BSE Clearing

    House. It is an association that has blossomed into a joint venture with BSE, called

    the BOI Shareholding Ltd. to extend depository services to the stock broking

    community. Bank of India was the first Indian Bank to open a branch outside the

    country, at London, in 1946, and also the first to open a branch in Europe, Paris in

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    42/70

    - 42 -

    1974. The Bank has sizable presence abroad, with a network of 23 branches

    (including three representative offices) at key banking and financial centers viz.

    London, New York, Paris, Tokyo, Hong-Kong, and Singapore. The international

    business accounts for around 20.10% of Bank's total business.

    Shareholding Pattern

    Indian Promoters 69.5%

    Foreign collaborators 0.0%

    Indian inst/Mutual Fund 5.7%

    FIIs 16.1%

    ADR/GDR 0.0%

    Free float 8.8%

    Shareholders 211,473

    Market related data as on 18/06/07

    Market Capital 9338 (Rs Crore)

    Face ValueRs. 10

    52 Wks High/Low217/80

    Market Price 191

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    43/70

    - 43 -

    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    BALANCE SHEET OF BANK OF INDIA FOR THE LAST THREE YEARS.

    Rs in Crore MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    Capital and

    Liabilities

    Equity Share Capital 488.14 488.14 488.14

    Preference ShareCapital

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Reserves 3811.12 4338.40 5257.75

    Revaluation Reserves 165.61 157.35 149.48

    Deposits 78,821.44 93,932.03 119,881.74

    Borrowings 5,961.95 5,893.91 6,620.83

    Other Liabilities &Provisions

    5,756.16 7,476.39 9,269.07

    Total Liabilities 95,004.42 112,286.22 141,667.01

    ASSETS

    Cash & Balance withRBI

    3,904.73 5,588.41 7,196.89

    Balance with Banks,Money at Call

    3,621.52 5,857.57 10,208.65

    Advances 55,528.89 65,173.75 84,935.89

    Investments 28,686.32 31,781.75 35,492.76Net Block 791.58 799.29 777.89

    Capital Work inProgress

    22.59 10.68 11.41

    Other Assets 2,448.79 3,074.77 3,043.52

    Total Assets 95,004.42 112,286.22 141,667.01

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    44/70

    - 44 -

    PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT OF BANK OF INDIA FOR THE LAST

    THREE YEARS.

    Rs in Crore MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    INCOME

    Interest Earned 6,031.53 7,028.70 9,180.33

    Other Income 1,155.79 1,184.38 1,562.95

    Total Income 7,187.32 8,213.08 10,743.28

    EXPENDITURE

    Interest expended 3,794.64 4,396.72 5,739.86

    Employee Cost 1,263.21 1,328.13 1,614.00

    Selling and AdminExpenses 570.27 690.28 897.69

    Depreciation 98.84 96.73 96.73

    MiscellaneousExpenses

    1,120.31 999.78 1,271.83

    Preoperative ExpCapitalized

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Operating Expenses 1,932.32 2,115.14 2,608.42

    Provisions &Contingencies

    1,120.31 999.78 1,271.83

    Total Expenditure 6,847.27 7,511.64 9,620.11

    Net Profit for the

    Year340.05 701.44 1,123.17

    Profit broughtforward

    0.00 220.00 541.76

    Total Profit 340.05 921.44 1,664.93

    Equity Dividend (%) 20.00 30.00 35.00

    No of Share 488140000 488140000 488140000

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    45/70

    - 45 -

    NET PROFIT GROWTH

    340.05

    921.44

    1664.93

    0

    500

    1000

    1500

    2000

    Net Profit (Rs in

    Crores)

    2005 2006 2007

    Year

    BOI

    STOCK PRICE

    BOI Price

    103.65 103.5122.9 126.9

    133.45

    100.3

    162

    207.4

    168

    231.7

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    31/03/05

    30/06/05

    30/09/05

    31/12/05

    31/03/06

    30/06/06

    30/09/06

    31/12/06

    31/03/07

    31/06/07

    Date

    Price

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    46/70

    - 46 -

    MARKET PRICE OF THE SHARE AS ON 31ST

    MARCH:

    (in Rs ) MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    Market price pershare

    103.65 133.45 167.8

    KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS:

    Particulars MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    ROE (%) 7.62 18.49 28.24

    EPS (Rs) 6.96 18.89 34.10

    Dividend Payout Ratio 28.73 15.88 10.26

    P/E Ratio 14.89 7.07 4.92

    Book Value Per Share(Rs)

    91.47 102.09 120.77

    INTERPRETATION:

    Percentage wise the net profit of the bank is very favorable. The growth in

    return on equity is also showing that the bank is earning sufficiently for the

    shareholders. The growing profits are leading towards the growth of the EPS. Theprice trend also shows that the share is not much volatile and also shows an upward

    trend. Holders for long term are benefited from the capital appreciation.

    The P/E ratio showing a down trend may be because of the price not

    increasing to the proportion of the profit. A lower P/E ratio is considered one of the

    most important criteria for investment purpose. The growing book value indicates that

    the bank has huge reserves and can be a potential for bonus.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    47/70

    - 47 -

    PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK

    BSE: 532461 NSE: PNB

    INDUSTRY: Banking PSU

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    48/70

    - 48 -

    BANK PROFILE:

    Established in 1895 at Lahore, undivided India, Punjab National Bank (PNB)

    has the distinction of being the first Indian bank to have been started solely with

    Indian capital.The bank was nationalised in July 1969 along with 13 other banks.

    From its modest beginning, the bank has grown in size and stature to become a front-

    line banking institution in India at present.

    Punjab National Bank is the fourth largest banking entity in the country (in

    terms of asset size) with 4.2% share of the total credit disbursals at the end of FY07.

    Given its geographic concentration in the northern regions, the bank was a laggard in

    terms of credit growth until FY04, which led to it barely sustaining its share of non-

    food credit at 4.5%. However, not able to keep up with its private sector peers in

    incremental credit disbursements and low retail credit exposure resulted in a loss of

    market share (from 4.5% in FY04 to 4% in FY06). Nevertheless, an operating

    overhaul in terms of asset quality and retention of high margins has helped the bank

    position itself favourably amongst its peers and marginally enhance its share in FY07.

    Adequate capital, high NPA coverage and interest rate insulation pegs the bank

    amongst the frontrunners in the public sector banking space.

    A professionally managed bank with a successful track record of over 110

    years. Largest branch network in India 4525 offices including 432 Extension

    counters spread throughout the country. Strategic business area covers the large Indo

    Gangetic belt and the metropolitan centers. Rupee drawing arrangements with M/s

    UAE Exchange Centre, UAE, M/s Al Fardan Exchange Co. Doha, Qatar,M/s

    Bahrain Exchange Co, Kuwait, M/s Bahrain Finance Co, Bahrain,M/s Thomas Cook

    Al Rostamani Exchange Co. Dubai,UAE, and M/s Musandam Exchange, Ruwi,

    Sultanate of Oman.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    49/70

    - 49 -

    Share Holding Pattern

    Indian Promoters 57.8%

    Foreign collaborators 0.0%

    Indian inst/Mut Fund 16.2%

    FIIs 20.1%

    ADR/GDR 0.0%

    Free float 6.0%

    Shareholders 240,135

    Market related data as on 18/06/07

    Market Capital 15434 (Rs Crore)

    Face ValueRs. 10

    52 Wks High/Low585/300

    Market Price490

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    50/70

    - 50 -

    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    BALANCE SHEET OF PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK FOR THE LAST THREE

    YEARS.

    (Rs in Crore) MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    Capital and

    Liabilities

    Equity ShareCapital

    315.30 315.30 315.30

    Preference ShareCapital

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Reserves 7,533.51 8,758.68 9,826.31

    RevaluationReserves

    312.49 302.38 293.85

    Deposits 103,166.89 119,684.92 139,859.67Borrowings 2,718.29 6,664.87 1,948.86

    Other Liabilities &Provisions

    12,222.24 9,623.64 10,285.14

    Total Liabilities 126,268.72 145,349.79 162,529.13

    ASSETS

    Cash & Balancewith RBI

    9,460.20 23,394.55 12,372.03

    Balance withBanks, Money atCall

    1,628.83 1,397.14 3,273.49

    Advances 60,412.75 74,627.37 96,596.52

    Investments 50,672.83 41,055.31 45,189.84Net Block 965.23 1,030.23 1,009.82

    Capital Work inProgress

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Other Assets 3,128.88 3,845.19 4,087.43

    Total Assets 126,268.72 145,349.79 162,529.13

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    51/70

    - 51 -

    PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT OF PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK FOR THE

    LAST THREE YEARS.

    Rs in Crore MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    INCOMEInterest Earned 8,459.85 9,584.15 11,537.48

    Other Income 2,186.36 1,901.00 1,932.71

    Total Income 10,646.21 11,485.15 13,470.19

    EXPENDITURE

    Interest expended 4,453.11 4,917.39 6,022.91

    Employee Cost 2,121.23 2,114.98 2,352.45

    Selling and AdminExpenses

    670.70 721.53 778.97

    Depreciation 183.28 186.64 194.80

    Miscellaneous

    Expenses

    1,807.77 2,105.30 2,580.98

    Preoperative ExpCapitalised

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    OperatingExpenses

    3,437.48 3,300.70 4,216.64

    Provisions &Contingencies

    1,345.50 1,827.75 1,690.56

    Total Expenditure 9,236.09 10,045.84 11,930.11

    Net Profit for the

    Year

    1,410.12 1,439.31 1,540.08

    ExtraordionaryItems

    0.00 0.00 -13.27

    Profit broughtforward

    0.00 0.00 183.49

    Total Profit 1,410.12 1,439.31 1,710.30

    Equity Dividend(%)

    60.00 90.00 100.00

    No of Share 315300000 315300000 315300000

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    52/70

    - 52 -

    NET PROFIT GROWTH

    1410.12 1439.311710.3

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    14001600

    1800

    Net Profit (Rs in

    crore)

    2005 2006 2007

    Year

    PNB

    STOCK PRICE

    PNB Price

    393.35 379.5

    450.6 466.25470.4

    369.5

    507474.4

    541.25

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    31/03/05 30/06/05 30/09/05 31/12/05 31/03/06 30/06/06 30/09/06 31/12/06 31/03/07

    Date

    Price

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    53/70

    - 53 -

    MARKET PRICE OF THE SHARE AS ON 31ST

    MARCH:

    (in Rs ) MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007Market price pershare

    393.35 470.4 474.4

    KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS:

    MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    ROE (%) 17.28 15.35 16.40

    EPS (Rs) 44.72 45.64 54.24

    Dividend Payout Ratio 13.42 19.72 18.44

    Price Earning Ratio 8.80 10.30 8.30

    Book Value Per Share(Rs)

    258.84 297.40 330.97

    INTERPRETATION:

    The trends of profits are leading the EPS; i. e. the profit has shown a small

    growth in the year 2005 06 and shows an increase in the year 2006 07, similarly

    the EPS follows the trend. The dividend payout ratio is increasing and the share

    holders are enjoying the current inflow of cash.

    The P/E ratio is volatile because of the price volatility. The company with thehelp of the growing profit is retaining the profit which in turn is supporting to the

    book value of the share.

    The investor must look over the return on equity and the deviations of the

    share price that is depicted in the price graph. Investor with low risk profile must be

    careful if they have this stock in their portfolio.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    54/70

    - 54 -

    BANK OF BARODA

    BSE: 532134 NSE: BANKBARODA

    INDUSTRY: Banking PSU

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    55/70

    - 55 -

    BANK PROFILE:

    Bank of Baroda is the fifth largest banking entity in the country (in terms of

    asset size) with 4% share of the total credit disbursals at the end of FY06. Given its

    geographic concentration in the northern regions, the bank was a laggard in terms of

    credit growth in the initial years of this decade, which resulted in a loss of market

    share. However, brand and operating overhaul led to accelerated growth in the last

    two fiscals, thus helping the bank stabilise its share and position itself favourably

    amongst its peers.

    Bank of Baroda (BSE: 532134) is a bank in India established on July 20, 1908

    by Maharaja of Baroda Sir Sayajirao Gaekwad III in the princely state of Baroda, in

    Gujarat. The bank, along with 13 other major commercial banks of India, was

    nationalisd on 19th July, 1969, by the Government of India.

    Bank of Baroda is the fifth largest bank in India. It has total assets in excess of

    Rs. 1.78 lakh crores, or Rs. 1,780 bn., a network of over 2800 branches and offices,

    and about 700 ATMs. Bank of Baroda offers a wide range of banking products and

    financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery

    channels and through its specialised subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of

    investment banking, credit cards and asset management. In its international expansion

    Bank of Baroda followed the Indian diaspora, and especially that of the Gujaratis. The

    bank has received Reserve Bank of India approval to open offices in Australia, the

    Maldives, and New Zealand. It is seeking approval for operatons in Bahrain,

    Johannesburg, Kuwait, Mozambique, and Qatar, and is seeking to establish a joint

    venture or subsidiary in Ghana and Trinidad and Tobago.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    56/70

    - 56 -

    Shareholding Pattern

    Indian Promoters 53.8%Foreign collaborators 0.0%

    Indian inst/Mutual Fund 14.7%

    FIIs 20.1%

    ADR/GDR 0.0%

    Free float 11.4%

    Shareholders 224, 161

    Market related data as on 18/06/07

    Market Capital 9480 (Rs Crore)

    Face ValueRs. 10

    52 Wks High/Low296/176

    Market Price260

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    57/70

    - 57 -

    FINANCIAL ANALYSIS

    BALANCE SHEET OF BANK OF BARODA FOR THE LAST THREE

    YEARS.

    (Rs in Crore) MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    Capital and

    Liabilities

    Equity ShareCapital

    294.53 365.53 365.53

    Preference ShareCapital

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Reserves 5,333.23 7,478.91 8,284.41

    RevaluationReserves

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Deposits 81,333.46 93,661.99 124,915.98Borrowings 1,640.83 4,802.20 1,142.56

    Other Liabilities &Provisions

    6,062.18 7,083.90 8,437.70

    Total Liabilities 94,664.23 113,392.53 143,146.18

    ASSETS

    Cash & Balancewith RBI

    2,712.32 3,333.43 6,413.52

    Balance withBanks, Money atCall

    6,541.88 10,121.21 11,866.85

    Advances 43,400.38 59,911.78 83,620.87

    Investments 37,074.44 35,114.22 34,943.63Net Block 860.80 920.73 1,088.81

    Capital Work inProgress

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Other Assets 4,074.41 3,991.16 5,212.50

    Total Assets 94,664.23 113,392.53 143,146.18

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    58/70

    - 58 -

    PROFIT AND LOSS ACCOUNT OF BANK OF BARODA FOR THE LAST

    THREE YEARS.

    Rs in Crore MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    INCOME

    Interest Earned 6,431.42 7,049.95 9,212.64

    Other Income 1,344.39 1,394.05 1,434.03

    Total Income 7,775.81 8,444.00 10,646.67

    EXPENDITURE

    Interest expended 3,452.15 3,875.09 5,426.56

    Employee Cost 1,381.05 1,523.79 1,644.07

    Selling and AdminExpenses

    516.87 749.83 705.97

    Depreciation 81.88 111.13 194.28MiscellaneousExpenses

    1,667.02 1,357.20 1,649.33

    Preoperative ExpCapitalised

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    OperatingExpenses

    2,010.81 2,547.14 2,797.04

    Provisions &Contingencies

    1,636.01 1,194.81 1,396.61

    Total Expenditure 7,098.97 7,617.04 9,620.21

    Net Profit for the

    Year676.84 826.96 1,026.46

    ExtraordionaryItems

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Profit broughtforward

    0.00 0.00 0.00

    Total Profit 676.84 826.96 1,026.46

    Equity Dividend(%)

    50.00 50.00 60.00

    No of Share 264530000 365530000 365530000

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    59/70

    - 59 -

    NET PROFIT GROWTH

    676.84826.96

    1026.46

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    Net Profit (Rs in

    Crores)

    2005 2006 2007

    Year

    BOB

    STOCK PRICE

    BOB Price

    217.75196.65

    249 241.05 230.55

    196.25

    288.45

    240215.05

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    31/03/05 30/06/05 30/09/05 31/12/05 31/03/06 30/06/06 30/09/06 31/12/06 31/03/07

    Date

    Price

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    60/70

    - 60 -

    MARKET PRICE OF THE SHARE AS ON 31ST

    MARCH:

    (in Rs ) MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007Market price per

    share

    217.75 230.15 215.05

    KEY FINANCIAL RATIOS:

    MARCH 2005 MARCH 2006 MARCH 2007

    ROE (%) 12.02 10.54 11.87

    EPS (Rs) 25.59 22.62 28.03

    Dividend Payout Ratio 19.54 22.10 21.37

    Price Earning Ratio 8.51 10.17 7.67

    Book Value Per Share(Rs)

    212.75 214.60 236.64

    INTERPRETATION:

    The profit for the bank has increase but the return on equity is showing a

    downward trend in the earlier year and then again rising. The issue of additional

    equity share may be the reason for such a trend. The bank is also giving good

    dividend to the shareholder.

    The volatility of the share price can be the reason for displaying such a P/E

    trend. The dividend payout ratio shows a minor downtrend. The share is quit volatile.

    We can say this because the price has almost not shown any movement over the

    period.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    61/70

    - 61 -

    FINDINGS

    COMPERATIVE ANANLYSIS OF THE BANKS

    Bank

    Name

    ROE EPS (Rs.) P/E Price as

    on

    30/06/07

    Mar-05 Mar-07 Change Mar-05 Mar-07 ChangeMar-

    07

    SBI 17.88 14.51 -3.37 81.79 86.29 4.5 11.51 1525.8

    BOI 7.62 28.24 20.62 6.96 34.1 27.14 4.92 231.7

    PNB 17.28 16.4 -0.88 44.72 54.24 9.52 8.3 541.25

    BOB 12.02 11.87 -0.15 25.59 28.03 2.44 7.67 270.25

    INTERPRATION

    On comparing the major players of the public sector banking, we can see that

    bank of India is being greater increase in the return of equity and EPS than the other

    players. The return on equity is the highest for Bank of India. The profit of the bank is

    also growing at quicker rate. The P/E is considered one of the important factor that

    attract the buyer. The P/E ratio is the lowest indicating that a multiple of 5 of price to

    earnings exhibits some potential for capital appreciation in the case of Bank of India.

    The price of the share is also low so small investors are also attracted for investment.

    The ratios considered above thus show that Bank of India has generated good

    profit over the years. The lower P/E multiple shows that the stock is undervalued and

    has a great potential to grow.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    62/70

    - 62 -

    LIMITATIONS

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    63/70

    - 63 -

    Fundamental analysis has some limitation involved in it. This limitation can be

    explained as under:

    Time Constrain:

    Fundamental analysis may offer excellent insights, but it can be

    extraordinarily time-consuming. Time-consuming models often produce valuations

    that are contradictory to the current price prevailing on the exchange. This is not to

    say that there are not misunderstood companies out there

    Industry/Company Specific:

    Valuation techniques vary depending on the industry group and specifics of

    each company. For this reason, a different technique and model is required for

    different industries and different companies. This can get quite time-consuming,

    which can limit the amount of research that can be performed.

    The sales and inventory ratio may be very important for the cement sector

    company but these ratios are not very useful for the banking sector.

    Vastness Of Fundamental Analysis

    Fundamental analysis is a very vast concept. It was difficult to analyse each and

    every component involved in it. Here an attempt is made to learn the basic of

    Fundamental Analysis because it is difficult to carry out the whole process of

    fundamental analysis with in two months because of the vastness.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    64/70

    - 64 -

    CONCLUSION

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    65/70

    - 65 -

    Fundamental analysis holds that no investment decision should bewithout processing and analyzing all relevant information. It strength lies in the fact

    the information analyzed is real as opposed to hunches or assumptions. On the other

    hand, while fundamental analysis deals with tangible fact, it does not tend to ignore

    the fact that human beings do not always act rationally. Market prices do sometimes

    deviate from fundamentals. Prices rise or fall due to insider trading, speculation,

    rumour, and a host of other factors.

    This is true to an extent but strength of fundamental analysis is that an

    investment decision is arrived at after analyzing information and making logical

    assumptions and deductions. Furthermore, fundamental analysis ensures that one does

    not recklessly buy or sell shares- especially buy.

    Fundamental analysis can be valuable, but it should be approached with

    caution. If you are reading research written by a sell-side analyst, it is important to be

    familiar with the analyst behind the report. We all have personal biases, and everyanalyst has some sort of bias. There is nothing wrong with this, and the research can

    still be of great value. Learn what the ratings mean and the track record of an analyst

    before jumping off the deep end. Corporate statements and press releases offer good

    information, but they should be read with a healthy degree of skepticism to separate

    the facts from the spin. Press releases don't happen by accident; they are an important

    PR tool for companies. Investors should become skilled readers to weed out the

    important information and ignore the hype.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    66/70

    - 66 -

    To conclude we can say that:

    Fundamentals of any company are the most important information that any

    investor must collect and analyse.

    The public sector banks will see an upswing in the near future because there is

    a huge requirement of the funds from both the sector goods as well as services.

    The banking industry sees a bright future ahead. This industry has huge

    growth prospects.

    On comparing various Public sector banks with each other on the basis of the

    financials Bank of India was found to be the best for a value investment.

    Fundamental analysis helps an investor to take rational decisions on buying or

    selling of a specific stock especially buying.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    67/70

    - 67 -

    RECOMMANDATION

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    68/70

    - 68 -

    The analysis carried out at India Infoline of the public sector banks, their profit

    and loss account, balance sheet and ratios I shall suggests the investors to give priority

    to BANK OF INDIA than other banks as a value investment. The reason is obvious

    that the bank is fundamentally very strong.

    The return that the bank has given on the shareholders investment is substantially

    good. The profit growth of a company is a true indicator of a companys true

    performance and due weight age must be given to it. The price of the stock is low

    which attracts small investors. The kind of profit the bank is generating over the

    period is quit appreciable. The capital appreciation of the share is also good for the

    investor. The fundamental of the economy are also strong and looks that the market

    would be touching new highs.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    69/70

    - 69 -

    BIBLIOGRAPHY:

    Websites:

    www.moneycontrol.com

    www.bankofbaroda.com

    www.bankofindia.com

    www.nseindia.com

    www.indiainfoline.com

    www.equitymaster.comwww.rbi.org.in

    www.wikipedia.com

    Magazines:

    Dalal Street.

    Financial Daily:

    Economic Times.

    Books:Security Analysis and Portfolio Management Prasana Chandra

    Banking Law and Practice. H. C. Agarwal

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/

  • 7/27/2019 Fyp-equity Research for India Infoline

    70/70

    ANNEXURE

    Formulae for Investment Ratios:

    Return on Equity:

    Equity Earnings (Profit) / Equity (Net worth) * 100.

    Earning Per Share:

    Equity Earnings (Profit) / No. of Outstanding Shares.

    Dividend Payout Ratio:

    Equity Dividends / Equity Earnings (Profit).

    Price/Earning Ratio:Market Price Per Share/ Earning Per Share

    Book Value Per Share:Paid up Equity Capital + Reserves and Surplus / No. of Outstanding Shares.

    www.final-yearproject.com | www.troubleshoot4free.com/fyp/