game theory explains perplexing evolutionary stable strategy erin n. bodine math 188: social choice...

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Game Theory Explains Perplexing Evolutionary Stable Strategy Erin N. Bodine Math 188: Social Choice & Decision Making 22 – April - 2003 Side Blotch Lizards (Uta stanburiana)

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Page 1: Game Theory Explains Perplexing Evolutionary Stable Strategy Erin N. Bodine Math 188: Social Choice & Decision Making 22 – April - 2003 Side Blotch Lizards

Game Theory Explains Perplexing Evolutionary

Stable Strategy

Erin N. Bodine

Math 188: Social Choice & Decision Making 22 – April - 2003

Side Blotch Lizards (Uta stanburiana)

Page 2: Game Theory Explains Perplexing Evolutionary Stable Strategy Erin N. Bodine Math 188: Social Choice & Decision Making 22 – April - 2003 Side Blotch Lizards

Observations of Morph Frequency and Fitness

Male Type Years of Highest Frequency

blue/less aggressive 1991, 1995

orange/aggressive 1992

yellow/sneaker 1993-94

YearFitness

Orange Blue Yellow

1991 4.73 1.00 1.61

1992 1.28 1.00 1.45

1994 0.90 1.26 1.00

Morph FrequencySinervo and Lively find a cycle in which

morph has the highest frequency.

Morph FitnessSinervo and Lively find that the cycle of

morph frequency relates to the fitness of each male type.

Page 3: Game Theory Explains Perplexing Evolutionary Stable Strategy Erin N. Bodine Math 188: Social Choice & Decision Making 22 – April - 2003 Side Blotch Lizards

Relative Morph Fitness

Page 4: Game Theory Explains Perplexing Evolutionary Stable Strategy Erin N. Bodine Math 188: Social Choice & Decision Making 22 – April - 2003 Side Blotch Lizards

Rock-Paper-Scissors

R S P

r 0 1 -1

s -1 0 1

p 1 -1 0

Game Matrix for Rock-Paper-Scissors

Payoffs shown are for player I

The model of rock-paper-scissors typically used by game theorists.

1 = win

0 = draw

-1 = loss

for player I

Let nature randomly pick two side-blotched lizards to inhabit the same territory for mating. Depending on what male morph they are, the lizard with the greater fitness in that territory will play out like a game of rock-paper-scissors.