gbd 2010 press conference
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Post on 27-Jan-2015
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Rapid Health Transitions:
Dec. 13, 2012
Lessons from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors 2010
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GBD 2010 Team
486 authors from 302 institutions in 50 countries
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Amassing the best evidence on the state of the world’s health
• 291 diseases and injuries
• 1,160 disabling sequelae of these diseases and injuries
• 67 risk factors
• 20 age groups, two sexes
• 187 countries
• 1990-2010
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Enhanced scientific rigor for global descriptive epidemiology
• Statistical methods designed for the challenges of global health data developed and applied.
• All figures have 95% uncertainty intervals.
• Multiple efforts at validation, e.g., deaths by cause must add up to 100%; anemia by cause must add up to total anemia.
• Data visualization environments used as quality control tools.
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Five high-level observations and 650 million results
• GBD 2010 has 650 million different findings.
• Bird’s-eye view provides five main messages, but detailed findings are important for many diseases, injuries, risks and for different regions and countries.
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1) Outside of sub-Saharan Africa rapid demographic change
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2) Progressive disease transition from communicable to non-communicable causes
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1990 2010
3) The disability transition: progressive shift in burden from premature mortality to years lived with disability
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What ails you is not necessarily what kills you: global YLDs by cause and age, 2010
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4) The global risk factor transition
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5) The majority of burden in sub-Saharan Africa is still from MDGs 4, 5 and 6
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Leading causes of global DALYs shifting
Infectious, neonatal, maternal
Non-communicable
Injuries
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Interactive tools to explore GBD 2010