geoffrey-moore-core-vs-context.pdf

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1 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 4/6/98 Living on the Fault Line Managing for Shareholder Value in the New Economy Geoffrey Moore Chairman, The Chasm Group Ventur e Par tner, Mohr Davidow Ventur es

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Page 1: Geoffrey-Moore-Core-vs-Context.pdf

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1© 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 4/6/98

Living on the Fault LineManaging for Shareholder Value

in the New Economy

Geoffrey MooreChairman, The Chasm GroupVenture Partner, Mohr Davidow Ventures

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2 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Agenda

• Managing forShareholder Value

• Core versus Context

• Rethinking Outsourcing

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3 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Managing for Shareholder Value

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4 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Valuing a Company

• A share of stock entitles you to a share ofthe future profits of a company

• If you own all the shares, you are entitled toall the future profits of the company

• What would that be worth?

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5 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

The Formula

• The total value of a company is equal to

• The present value of

• All its future profits

• Discounted for risk

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6 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Visualizing Market Valuation

Time

R e

t u r n s

Discounted forpresent value

Discounted forIncreasing risk

Forecast offuture profits

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7 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Visualizing Shareholder Value

Time

R e

t u r n s

Market

Capitalization

Investors: Mak e the green area big g er!

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8 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

What Makes the Area Bigger?

Time

Competitive Advantage Gap

• Better offers than competition’s• More sales, higher profits

Competitive Advantage Period• Strategic advantages over competition• GAP with a future

R e

t u r n s

GAP

CAP

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9 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

GAP versus CAP

• Examples of GAP – New product introduction – Lower priced offering – Superior customer service

• Examples of CAP – Proprietary technology

– Market share leadership – Brand popularity

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10 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

It’s All About

Competitive Advantage

• GAP = Execution Advantage

– Did you meet or beat your revenue forecast? – Did you meet or beat your profit forecast?

• CAP = Strategy Advantage – How much life is left in your category? – How strong is your position within it?

Valuation is about power The more power, the higher the stock price

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11 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Sector Valuation

The Limits of

Managerial Control

Category Valuation

Company Valuation*

* * * *

* **

* **

**

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12 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Managing for Shareholder Value

• Managers canno t control sector valuationor category valuation

– Function of macro-economic factors

– Set by the bid/ask mechanisms of the market

• Managers c an control company valuation

– By choice of categories – By performance within category

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13 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Choice of Categories

• Texas Instruments sold off half its

company and raised its market cap 7X – Exited computers, defense, consumer – Focused on DSP chip business

• Corning did the same for a 20X gain – Exited consumer, lab testing – Focused on fiber-optic business

Investors want to put their money intocompetitively advantaged categories

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14 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Performance within Category

• Measured in relation to

– Expectations set by management – Performance of direct competitors

• Valuation changes when – Your performance is unexpected – Your competitors’ is unexpected

• Two critical success factors – Set expectations – Set up your competitors

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15 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Key Takeaway:

Managing

forshareholdervalue Engineering

thequarterlyreport

not

Focusing

oncompetitiveadvantage

=

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16 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Core versus Context

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17 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Definitions

• Core: – Any process that contributes directly to

competitive advantage (GAP or CAP)

• Context: – All other processes required to fulfill

commitments made to one or more

stakeholders in the enterprise

Only core can raise stock price

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18 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Prioritizing Resources

• Core – Goal is competitive advantage – Invest to differentiate – Spend scarce resources here

• Context – Goal is to meet market standards – Differentiation adds no value

– Extract scarce resources to redeploy above

Over time most processes become contextHere’s why

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19 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Core Becomes Context

Raw material production

Build-to-order

AssemblyJust-in-time delivery

Supply-chain visibility C o r e

Manufacturing

Component traceability

C o n t

e x t

Scarce resources get trapped in low-value processes

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20 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

ContextCore

Context Build-up

CoreContext

Youth Age

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21 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Consequences

• Wastes scarce resources

• Alienates investors

• Demotivates talent

• Creates inertia that blocks change

• Company misses next wave• Stock price decays

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22 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Prescription

Outsource the Context

Insource the Core

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23 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Core/Context Relationship

Core ContextHamburger

Actors

Gift

Ideas

Bun

Stage

Wrapping

PowerPoint

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24 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Three Lessons

1. Core and context interact to create

quality—both are necessary.

2. Whatever your context, it can be

someone else’s core.

3. Context is just core in the wrong

location.

Outsourcing is the key enabler

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25 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

This is the New Economy

• Network of cooperating companies

creating end-to-end solutions – Each company contributes best-of-breed core – No company does context work

• Advantages over old economy model – Capital not tied up in low-value work – Maximum returns to investors

– Attracts additional capital at favorable terms

So why aren’t we seeing more of it?

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26 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Rethinking Outsourcing

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27 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

The Big Challenge

• Outsourcing doesn’t work! – Ask anybody – (Except Cisco, Dell, Enron, Solectron, ADP,

SABRE, . . .)

• OK, outsourcing does not work reliably – Lack of best practices

– Internal anxiety over dislocation, job loss – Loss of control over mission-critical processes

Needs a better model

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28 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Outsourcing Model

Core Context

MissionCritical

Supporting

User InterfaceDesign

ManufacturingLine

FacilitiesSecurity

AdvertisingCampaign

Four different relationships withThird-party service providers

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29 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Theseare

easy

Theseare

hard

Management Strategies for

Third-Party RelationshipCore

EngageContextDisengage

MissionCriticalControl

Supporting

Entrust

Engage &Control

Control &Disengage

Entrust &Disengage

Engage &Entrust

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30 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Mission-Critical Core:

Engage & Control

!!! !

User interface design

Customer Manages the project

Staffs the team

Service Provider Provides scarce expertise

Supplements the team

Biggest challenge

Integrating the expertise

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31 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Supporting Context:

Entrust & Disengage !!! !

Customer Selects the provider

Inspects work periodically

Service Provider Manages the process

Staffs the work

Biggest challenge

Ensuring day-to-day quality

Facilities security

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32 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Supporting Core:

Engage & Entrust !!! !

Ad campaign

Customer Provides key inputs

Supplements the team

Service Provider Manages the projectProvides expertise

Biggest challenge

Work product acceptance

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33 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Mission-Critical Context:

Control & Disengage

!!! !

Manufacturing line

Customer Selects the provider

Sets the service level

Service Provider

Biggest challenge

Keeping in control

Manages the processStaffs the work

""" "

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34 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Mission-Critical Context:

•Current practice is not stable – Entrust and disengage – Creates unacceptable risk – Culminates in lose/lose antagonism

• Best practice – Build controls before outsourcing – Retain visibility after outsourcing – Constantly monitor risk position

""" "Control & Disengage

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35 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Focus on Control Systems

• Current practice – IT oriented toward p r o d u c tiv it y i m p r o v em en t

– Issue is qu al ity con t ro l

– Must refocus (outside-in instead of inside-out)

• Best practice – Build and debug the controls before going live – Outsourcers must lead (investment leverage) – Customers must fund a project (customization)

before transferring the process (outsourcing)

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36 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Gaining Goal Alignment

• Customer 1. Reclaim scarce resources2. Retain continuous control3. Cut costs

• Third Party1. Speed adoption of outsourcing

2. Retain customer base (avoid churn)3. Increase revenues and profits

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37 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Recap

• Managing for shareholder value

– Migrate to advantaged categories – Perform vs forecast and competition

• Core versus context

– Core becomes context – Outsource context to make room for core

• Rethinking outsourcing

– Focus on mission-critical context – Control, then disengage

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38 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Thank YouFor a copy of these slides go towww.chasmgroup.com/stanford

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39 © 1998, The Chasm Group Update: 5/6/98

Notice

! Copyright ©2000 The Chasm Group LLC. All rights reserved .! This presentation is provided to you solely for informational purposes and does not

constitute conveyance of any intellectual property rights.! Chasm Group LLC has created materials, methodologies and practices that are

proprietary. All intellectual property associated with these works and any derivativeworks that come as a result of any Client engagement shall remain the property ofThe Chasm Group LLC.

! This presentation may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, withoutthe prior consent of The Chasm Group LLC.