geology, uncertainty and performance assesment€¦ · sp3 – co2 storage processes, methods and...
TRANSCRIPT
Geology, Uncertainty and Performance Assesment
• CO2SINK• CO2ReMoVe• CO2GeoNet Association• BIGCCS
Presenter:Peter Frykman (GEUS)
EU
N
CO2GeoNet Association
CO2REMOVE – Research, monitoring, verification
CO2GeoNet Association
Ketzin pilot site
Norway-DK-UK storage research
Geology, Uncertainty and Performance Assesment
GEUS engaged in:• Consequences of the site geology for:
– Capacity, injectivity, migration pattern– Containment & Risk– Long-term processes and safety– Regional pressure propagation
• Site specific modelling– Depositional model and sequence stratigraphy as
prediction tools– Flow simulation (migration path, filling efficiency,
capacity)
Triassic geology:Regional conceptual model
Floodplain with incised valleyswith fluvial deposits
Fluvial system type unknown:Meandering/anastomosing?
Scandinavian highlandssource area for clastic material
Berlin
Marine influence
From Nietsch (1995)
Geology:Ketzin: How to build a
version-1 model?
CO2SINK Project
CO2SINK Project
UncertaintyReflected by geostatistical modelling
Porosity variability and internal heterogeneity in the channel belts assuming patchy point-bar systems
Channel belt model
5x5 km model, 76 m thick
Performance assessmentFlow simulation of plume migration
CO2REMOVE Project
Regional pressure propagation - performance100 x 100 km regional model – site model 12x16 km20 years injection 3 Mt/year, Overpressure above hydrostatic shown
SP3 – CO2 StorageProcesses, methods and resolution
GEUS interests:• Case-studies and simulations of pressure evolution in regional models
• Preparation of guidelines for new CCS databases
• Test case building– Model scenarios from different geological settings and at different scales– Heterogeneity effects on injection filling efficiency
• Geomechanical issues– analyses and tests on caprock material– access to core material and outcrop material
• Basic mechanisms for CO2 behaviour– Halite precipitation experiments, permeability development
• Thin-layered reservoirs and their seismic response– geological structure and depositional patterns for thin-layered reservoirs– Sensitivity studies of seismic recognition
Host Instituition: SINTEF Energy Research ASSP3 Partners:BGS - Natural Environment Research CouncilGEUS - Geological Survey of Denmark and GreenlandGeological Survey of Norway (NGU) Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) University of Oslo
Funding:
The ”Benson-plot”How to make it site-specific?
IPCC 2005
Claim:“Convection will never happen in
most real storage sites”
The amount of solubility trapping is closely linked to brine convection stripping of the free CO2
Dissolution of CO2 in the Utsira Brine
Year 2021 Year 2412
Year 2621 Year 5019
Year 7018
Source: Gemini No. 1, 2004 (NTNU and Sintef)
The convection-added “safety”
• CO2 dissolution into the underlying brine leads to a local density increase that results in a gravitational instability that causes convective vertical current to form
• However, the instability depends on permeability and bed thickness
Will convection start?
• Penetration depth at onset of instability
• And we must haveH= bed thickness
= mixing zone thickness
• (Riaz et al. 2006)
Riaz et al. (2006) fig. 15
2.5 m
100 mD effective vertical permeability
Will convection start?• Penetration depth at onset of instability
• And we must have
(Riaz et al. 2006)
• So, is that << equal to a factor 10?• If so, bed thickness must be > 25 m for
instability to arise and start convection in a 100 mD formation
Case study of 320 m thick reservoir with multiple sandlayers separated by intraformational sealing layersVery common form for reservoir
Top_Gassum_A
Top_Gassum_B
Top_Gassum_C
Bot_Gassum_C
1750
1800
1850
1900
1950
2000
2050
(2089)
MD-0.03 0.50lay_PHIE_lim34 [U] (From property)-0.03 0.50PHIE_lim34
Top_Gassum_A
Top_Gassum_B
Top_Gassum_C
Bot_Gassum_C
VEDSTED-1 [MD]
Top_Gassum_A
Top_Gassum_B
Top_Gassum_C
Bot_Gassum_C
Top_Gassum_C
Bot_Gassum_C
1900
1920
1940
1960
1980
2000
2020
2040
2060
2076
MD-0.03 0.50lay_PHIE_lim34 [U] (From property)-0.03 0.50PHIE_lim34
Top_Gassum_C
Bot_Gassum_C
VEDSTED-1 [MD]
Top_Gassum_C
Bot_Gassum_C
25 m
• Bed thickness rarely reaches more than 25 m
• So, convection will probably never start in this type of sequence
• This reservoir geometry with intraformational sealing layers might be the most common type of reservoir
Lower part of reservoir only
Welcome to reality!The ”Benson-plot”IPCC and numerous references
Could this be the new viewLots of mobile CO2!
Mineral
Dissolution
Residual
Structural & stratigraphic trapping