getting to know your community …what the numbers say!

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Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

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Page 1: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Getting to Know Your Community

…What the Numbers Say!

Page 2: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

By:Suzette Barta, Assistant Extension Economist

OSU, Stillwater

Susan Trzebiatowski, Student Assistant OSU, Stillwater

Stan Ralstin, Community Development SpecialistOSU, Enid

Dirk Webb, County Extension DirectorOSU, Cordell

Mike Woods, Extension EconomistOSU, Stillwater

Joe Williams, IFRO DirectorOSU, Stillwater

- Department of Agricultural Economics -- Division of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources -

- Oklahoma State University -

Page 3: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Contents

I. Getting to Know Oklahoma

II. Getting to Know Washita County

III. Getting to Know Your Retail Markets

Washita Co

Page 4: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Washita County Pop Quiz

a. The original location had been set aside as tribal lands.

b. The water supply was unsatisfactory.

c. The courthouse building was built on the new site, so the town moved.

Washita Co

What forced the relocation of Cordell one mile to the southwest (its present location)?

Answer: b. The water supply was unsatisfactory.

Page 5: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Part I

Getting to Know Oklahoma!

Page 6: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population Loss

•Oklahoma’s population increased by 9.7% from 1990-2000, according to the Census Bureau.

•The US population increased by about 13.2%.

•As a result, Oklahoma’s number of Representatives to the House decreased from 6 to 5.

Page 7: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Employment Opportunities

If I could change one thing about my community, it would be:

“…better paying jobs and more of them.”

Pushmataha County Community Survey, AE-02024, March 2002

Old Frisco Depot in Antlers

Page 8: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Low Income

Why does Per Capita Income in Oklahoma lag the rest of the nation? Some possibilities:

•Low Educational Attainment

•Cost of Living

•Cultural Attitudes

•Different Occupational Mix than U.S.

•Inadequate Transportation Systems

Oklahoma League of Economists, Spring 1999 Policy Survey of Members

Page 9: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population Trends... • Across the United States, population growth in the

“bread basket” states is slow relative to the rest of the country.

• In Oklahoma, the fastest growing counties are those in the central and eastern portions of the state--often bordering Tulsa and Oklahoma Counties.

• Western counties in Oklahoma are losing population.• In general, non-metro counties are losing population

relative to metro counties.

...In Oklahoma and Nationwide

Page 10: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

20.0 to 66.3

10.0 to 19.9

5.0 to 9.9

0 to 4.9

Percent Change in Population by State: 1990 to 200014.0

20.140.0

8.9

30.6

29.666.3

28.5

12.9

20.4

13.8

21.1

26.4

23.5

22.8

21.4

17.6

12.4

13.7

16.7

14.4

10.5 10.1

15.1

11.4

10.8

6.9

9.6

9.3

5.4

5.9

9.7

8.5

8.4

8.5

0.5

8.6 9.7

9.7

8.9

8.2

5.55.5

4.7

3.8

3.4

0.8

3.64.5

9.3

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 11: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Percent Change in Population by County: 1990-2000

U.S. = 13.2

50.0 - 191.025.0 - 49.9

0.0 - 13.1-9.9 - -0.1

-42.3 - -10.0

13.2 - 24.9

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 12: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population Change 1990-2000

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CIMARRON

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREER

HA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

More than 9% decrease

-9% to 0

0 to 4%

4% to 12%

12% to 20%

Percent Decrease

Percent Increase

More than 20%

SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 13: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

3.3%

7.1%5

Percent of Population Living in Non-Metropolitan Areas for Each State

0%-14% Non-metro Population

51% or more Non-metro Population

26%-50% Non-metro Population

15%-25% Non-metro Population

0%

1.5%

7.3%

7.9%

8.2%8.6%

11.7%

13.4%

15.1%

15.1%

15.4%

16.1%

16.9%

17.8%

20%

18.8%

21.8%

23.5%

24.6%

27.8%

26.8%

27.8%

29.5%

30%

30.1%30.7%

32.2%

32.1%

32.1%

32.4%

37.6%

39.2%43%

43.3%

47.3%

51%

51.2%

54.6%

55.7%

57.6%

58.5%

59.7%

60.6%

63.9%

65.3%

66.1%67.3%

70%

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis for 1999.

Page 14: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population: Metro vs. Non-Metro

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

100%

1980 1990 2000

Metro Non-Metro

57% 59% 61%

3,025,487 3,145,576 3,450,654

Page 15: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Over 930

Average for the state of Oklahoma = 50.2

100-388

50-99

Population Density for Oklahoma Counties Population per Square Mile (2000)

10-49

Less than 10

Page 16: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGANCREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

Equal to State Average

Below State Average

CIMARRON

State Average: 25.9%

Above State Average

Percent of Total Population Under 18 Years

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 17: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGANCREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

Above State Average

Below State Average

CIMARRON

State Average: 13.2%

Percent of Total Population Over 65 Years

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 18: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Employment Trends...

• Employment growth has been greatest in the eastern half of the state.

• Western counties are losing jobs relative to eastern counties.

• Unemployment rates are higher in non-metropolitan counties.

...In Oklahoma

Page 19: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Percentage Employment Growth 1990-2000

Over 22% Growth

10%-22% Growth

0 to 10% Growth

Negative Growth

Shades of purple indicate growth that is slower than the state’s growth of 22%.

Page 20: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Oklahoma Unemployment Rates, 1990-2001, State, Metro & Non-Metro Areas

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001

NonMetro State Metro

Page 21: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Employment Growth in Metro and Non-metro Oklahoma, 1995-2000

-15.00%

-10.00%

-5.00%

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

Ag

Serv

Con

st

FIR

E

Mfc

g

Ret

ail

Serv

ices

Tra

nsp

Who

lesa

le

Gov

t

Far

m

Min

ing

Metro Non-Metro

Source: Regional Economic Information System, BEA

Page 22: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Manufacturing Employment for Non-metropolitan Areas in Oklahoma, 1980-2000

50000

55000

60000

65000

70000

75000

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 23: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Manufacturing Employment as a Percent of Total Employment for Oklahoma Counties, 1999

Greater than 20%

15.1% to 20%

9.63% to +15%

Less than 9.63%

State percent is 9.63%.

U.S. percent is 11.76%

Page 24: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Greater than 1.0

0.75 - 0.99

0.50 – 0.74

1999 County Trade Pull Factors

0.25 – 0.49

Less than 0.25

Source: Oklahoma Business Bulletin, October 2000

Page 25: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Income Trends...

• Oklahoma per capita income falls behind most of our surrounding states.

• Non-metro PCI in Oklahoma lags metro PCI.• Although all counties show some growth in

income, Central Oklahoma and the far eastern counties show the fastest growth in total personal income.

...In Oklahoma

Page 26: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Total Personal Income Percentage Growth,1990-2000.

Greater than 60%

41%-60%

21%-40%

0-20%

Shades of green indicate growth that is slower than the state’s rate of growth of 60%.

Page 27: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Per Capita Income for Oklahoma and Surrounding States: 1990-2000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Arkansas 

Colorado 

Kansas 

Missouri 

New Mexico 

Oklahoma 

Texas 

Ok Metro

Ok Non-metro

Source: Regional Economic Information System, BEA

OK-Metro

OK-Nonmetro

OK

Page 28: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Average Wage per Job, 1999

$21,276

$27,132$25,336

$32,711

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

U.S. OK Total OK Metro OK Non-Metro

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 29: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Housing Cost Index

00.1

0.2

0.3

0.40.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.91

US OK Tulsa OKC

Page 30: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Top Ten Counties with Greatest Percent of Total Personal Income from Farm Earnings, 2000

Page 31: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

ADAIR

ALFALFA

ATOKA

BECKHAM

BLAINE

BRYAN

CANADIAN

CARTER

CH

ER

OK

EE

CHOCTAW

CLEVELAND

COMANCHE

COTTON

CRAIG

CUSTER

DE

LA

WA

RE

DEWEY

ELLISGARFIELD

GRADY

GRANT

GREERHA

RM

ON

HARPER

JACKSON

JEFFERSON

KAY

KIOWA LATIMER

LOVE

MAYES

MURRAY

MUSKOGEE

NOBLE

NOWATA

OKLAHOMA

OK

MU

LG

EE

OSAGE

OTTAWA

PAWNEE

PAYNE

PUSHMATAHA

ROGER MILLS

ROGERS

SEQUOYAH

STEPHENSTILLMAN

TULSA

WAGONER

WASHITA

WOODS

WOODWARD

WA

SHIN

GT

ON

SHALLMAR-

MAJOR

KINGFISHER

BEAVERTEXAS

LOGAN

CREEK

LINCOLN

OKFUSKEE

McINTOSH

CADDO

MCCLAIN

GARVIN

SEM

INO

LE

PO

TT

A-

WA

TO

MIE

HUGHES

PITTSBURG

HASKELL

LE FLORE

COAL

JOHNSTON

PONTOTOC

MCCURTAIN

CIMARRON

Employment growth and per capita income growth greater than US average.

PCI Average Annual Growth Rate for the US =5.06%

Employment Average Annual Growth Rate for the US= 2.01%

Employment growth greater than US average. Per capita income growth less than US average.

Employment growth less than US average. Per capita income growth greater than US average.

Employment growth and per capita income growth less than US average.

Average Annual Employment and Per Capita Income Growth by County 1990-2000: Relative to U.S. Average.

Page 32: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Part II. Getting to Know Washita County

Page 33: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Washita County Pop Quiz

a. Johnson and Harrel

b. Johnson and Johnson

c. Rogers and Hammerstein

Washita Co

Who donated the land for the courthouse, which straddles the highway and a section line?

Answer: a. A.J. Johnson and J.C. Harrel each donated half the land needed for a courthouse on either side of the section line, later used to demark the highway.

Page 34: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population for Washita County

1980 1990 2000 % Change

1990-2000

Bessie 245 242 190 -21.49%Burns Flat 2,431 1,022 1,782 74.36%Canute 676 542 524 -3.32%Colony 185 163 147 -9.82%Cordell 3,301 2,968 2,867 -3.40%Corn 542 548 591 7.85%Dill City 649 628 526 -16.24%Foss 188 143 127 -11.19%Rocky 242 189 174 -7.94%Sentinel 1,016 982 859 -12.53%Remainder 4,323 4,014 3,721 -7.87%Washita County 13,798 11,441 11,508 0.58%

Page 35: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population of Washita County, Oklahoma, 1990-2000

11,000

11,100

11,200

11,300

11,400

11,500

11,600

11,700

11,800

11,900

12,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Washita County

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 36: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population, Housing Units, and Average Household Size for Washita County, Oklahoma 2000

Avg. Household Size for Oklahoma: 2.49 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Population Total Housing Units

Avg HH Size

Washita Co. 11,508 5,452 2.50Burns Flat 1,782 903 2.86Canute 524 242 2.45Cordell 2,867 1,427 2.39Corn 591 226 2.52Dill City 526 253 2.52Sentinel 859 411 2.48Other towns 638 328 2.26

Page 37: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Percent of Total Housing Units in Washita County, 2000

Dill City6.7%

Sentinel10.8%

Others8.7%

Corn6.0%

Burns Flat23.8%

Canute6.4%

Cordell37.7%

Total Housing Units in Washita County – 5,452 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 38: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Washita County Population for Age Groups 65 & Over and Under Age 19, 1990-2000

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000

Tho

usan

ds

Under 19 Over 65

Source: Woods and Poole, 2002

Page 39: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Percent of Total Enrollment in Washita County, Oklahoma, 2000

High school28%

College or graduate school

12%

Kindergarten8%

Elem school (1-8)52%

Total Enrollment for Washita County – 775 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 40: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Percent of Education Attained in Washita County for Persons Age 25 and Over, 2000

Graduate or Prof Degree

5%

No High School Diploma

24%

High School Graduate

60%

Bachelors Degree11%

Total persons 25 years and over in Washita County – 1,848 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 41: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Percent of Education Attained in Oklahoma for Persons Age 25 and Over, 2000

No High School Diploma

19%Bachelor's

degree13%

High School Graduates

61%

Grad or Prof degree

7%

Total persons 25 years and over in Oklahoma – 2,203,173 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Page 42: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Total Employment for Washita County, OK, 1990-2002

4,0004,200

4,4004,600

4,8005,000

5,2005,400

5,6005,800

6,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Source: Oklahoma Employment Security Commission

Page 43: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Unemployment Rates for Washita County and Oklahoma, 1990-2002

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Washita OK

Source: Oklahoma Employment Security Commission

Page 44: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Location Quotients for Washita County, 1995-2000

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

Farm

Ag Ser

v.

Min

ing

Const

Man

uf

Trans P

ub Util

Whol

esal

e

Retai

l Tra

de

F.I.R.E

.

Servic

es

Fed. G

ovt

Mili

tary

St & L

oc G

ovt.

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Page 45: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Per Capita Income for Washita County and Oklahoma

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Washita County Oklahoma

Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 46: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Transfer Payments by Type for Washita County, Oklahoma, 1990-2000

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000

Retirement Medical Pymts Income MaintenanceUnemployment Veterans Pymts

=

Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 47: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Sales Subject to Sales Tax for Washita County Fiscal Years 1992-2002

$20,000,000

$22,000,000

$24,000,000

$26,000,000

$28,000,000

$30,000,000

$32,000,000

$34,000,000

$36,000,000

$38,000,000

$40,000,000

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Washita Co

Source: ORIGINS http://origins.ou.edu

Page 48: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Total Farm Labor and Proprietors’ Income for Washita County, Oklahoma

$0

$5,000

$10,000

$15,000

$20,000

$25,000

$30,000

1980

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

Not available for 1996Source: Regional Economic Information System, Bureau of Economic Analysis

Page 49: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Selected Farm Characteristics of Washita County, Oklahoma, 1997

Number of Farms 994

Avg. Farm Size (acres) 589

% Land Area in Farms 91.2%

Avg. Age of Operator 55.8

Avg. Mkt. Value of Ag. Products Sold per Farm

$69,161

Source: 1997 Census of Agriculture

Page 50: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Part III. Getting to Know Your Retail Markets!

Page 51: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Washita County Pop Quiz

a. Cordell

b. Foss

c. Cloud Chief

Washita Co

What town was the first county seat for Washita County?

Answer: c. Cloud Chief. After a county vote that moved the county seat to Cordell, people in Cloud Chief refused to move. A bill signed to law by President Theodore Roosevelt moved the county seat to Cordell and settled the argument.

Page 52: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Population for Cordell and Washita County, 1980-2000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

Washita Co.

Cordell

Page 53: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Sales Tax Collectionsfor Cordell, OK, 1980-2002

$300,000.00

$350,000.00

$400,000.00

$450,000.00

$500,000.00

$550,000.00

$600,000.00

$650,000.00

$700,000.0019

80

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2%-3%4%-3%

3%-4%

Page 54: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Sales Tax Collectionsfor Burns Flat, OK, 1980-2002

$0.00

$50,000.00

$100,000.00

$150,000.00

$200,000.00

$250,000.0019

80

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2%-3%

3%-4%

Page 55: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Sales Tax Collectionsfor Sentinel, OK, 1980-2002

$0.00

$20,000.00

$40,000.00

$60,000.00

$80,000.00

$100,000.00

$120,000.0019

80

1981

1982

1983

1984

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2%-3%

Page 56: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Estimated Taxable Sales for Cordell and Washita County, FY 1992-2002

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

County Sales Cordell Cordell Inflation-Adjusted

County estimate source: ORIGINS http://origins.ou.edu

Page 57: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

What isTrade Area Capture?

• Trade Area Capture estimates the number people that shop in your town annually.

• TAC is estimated from your town’s estimated taxable sales figures obtained from the Oklahoma Tax Commission.

Page 58: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Trade Area Capture for Cordell, OK 1980-2002

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

Page 59: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

What is a Pull Factor?• A Pull Factor is an index calculated so that trade

areas can be compared across different cities and towns.

• A Pull Factor is the town’s Trade Area Capture Divided by the town’s Population.

• A PF > 1.0 implies that a town is drawing in shoppers over and above its own population.

• A PF < 1.0 implies that a town is not capturing the retail dollars of its own residents.

Page 60: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Pull Factors for 5 Towns in Washita County, OK, 1980-2002

0.000.20

0.400.600.80

1.001.201.401.60

1.802.00

CordellFossCanuteSentinelBurnsFlat

Page 61: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Pull Factors for Remaining Townsin Washita County, 1980-2002

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Rocky

Bessie

Corn

Dill City

Page 62: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Pull Factors By Average City Size

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

Less 1000 1000-5000 5000-1000010000-25000 25000-50000 Greater than 50000

Page 63: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Pull Factors for Cordell & for Cities with Population 1,000-5,000: 1980-2002

0.5

0.7

0.9

1.1

1.3

1.5

1.7

1.9

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

Cordell 1,000-5,000

Page 64: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

•Sales gap coefficients are interpreted in exactly the same way as pull factors.

•The only difference is that 8 distinct retail categories are analyzed--based on SIC codes.

Page 65: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

SIC Codes for Gap Analysis

Description SIC CodeBuilding, Gardening & Merchandise 52General Merchandise 53Food Stores 54Automobile Dealers & Gas Stations 55Apparel & Accessory Stores 56Furniture & Home Furnishings 57Eating & Drinking Places 58Miscellaneous Retail 59

Page 66: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Gap Analysis for Cordell:1998-2002

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

52-Bldg 53-Gen 54-Food 55-Auto 56-Cloth 57-Furn 58-Rest 59-Misc

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 67: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Gap Analysis for Burns Flat:1998-2002

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

52-Bldg 53-Gen 54-Food 55-Auto 56-Cloth 57-Furn 58-Rest 59-Misc

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Page 68: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Washita County Pop Quiz

a. True

b. False

Washita Co

The Carnegie Library was constructed with the assistance of funds provided by the steel magnate Andrew Carnegie.

Answer: a. True. Today the building is home to the Washita County Historical Museum and is on the National Register of Historic Places.

Page 69: Getting to Know Your Community …What the Numbers Say!

Questions?