gfk corporate presentation march 2009
TRANSCRIPT
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No future w ithout a pastGfK. Growth from Knowledge
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Key fact s about t he market research industr y2
1 GfK at a glance
The next years: 5 Star I n i t iat ive3
GfK shares and shareholder str ucture4
Sectors5
Agenda
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
GfK at a glance1
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Mission Statement
Companies need to make decisions.Knowledge is the basis for decision-making.
Our business information services provide the essentialknowledge that industry, retail, healthcare and service sectorsand the media need in order to make their decisions.
As a knowledge provider, we aim to be at the top in all the globalmarkets in which we operate in the interest of our clients, ouremployees, our company, our shareholders and the generalpublic.
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
A strong heritage in market research
1925Founded as Institut frWirtschaftsbeobachtung
der deutschen Fertigware
1934Founded asGfK-Nrnberg e.V. (theGfK Association)
1984Operations hived off into alimited company;
GfK-Nrnberg e.V. toretain status as a non-profit organization
1990Re-structured asprivately held Inc.corporation (stockcorporation)
Focus oninternationalization
September 1999GfK shares start tradingon the Frankfurt stock
exchangeGlobally active puremarket research player
May 2005Acquisition ofNOP WorldGrowth from Knowledgehas a new dimension
February 2009Change toa European
joint stock companySocietas Europaea (SE)Represents internationalcorporate culture
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
GfK Group: key features (I)
Sales
EUR 1,220 million (prior year +5.0%)
Organic growth: 5.5%
Employees
December 31, 2008: 9,692 full-time staff82% of which outside Germany
Services
Comprehensive information services on consumer goods,healthcare, media and services markets
Research know-how
Marketing consultancy
Network155 companies cover 114 countries
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
GfK Group: key features (II)
Core business
Pure market research, delivering information services to majorglobal players in the services, media, consumer goods andhealthcare industries
Market position
Largest market research company in Germany,4th largest in Europe and in the world
USP
Full service worldwide: more than half of our top 50 clients consult GfK inat least two of our three sectors and in at least five of our six regions
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Professor Dr.Klaus L.Wbbenhorst
Management Board
Christian Wellervon Ahlefeld
PetraHeinlein
COO
Dr. GrardHermetCOO
Wilhelm R.WesselsCOO
Debra A.Pruent
COOCEO
CFO
28 year career17 years GfK
27 year career4 years GfK
31 year career25 years GfK
25 year career24 years GfK
31 year career31 years GfK
21 year career3 years GfK
SectorRetail andTechnology
SectorCustomResearch
All regionsexcept NorthAmerica
North America
SectorCustomResearch
ConsumerTracking,HealthCare
SectorCustomResearch
SectorMedia
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
1) Figures before 2001 are provided according to HGB,figures for 2001 to 2004 are provided according to US GAAP,figures since 2005 are provided according to IFRS
GfK development 1991-2008
Sales in EUR million1)
TotalGermany
Employees
TotalGermany
126 140192
236 254270 290
160
244
506
669
937
11121162
1991 1996 2001 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
1220
316
1300 13731443 1502
1587 16281714
23292773
4750
5539
75157903
9070
1991 1996 2001 2004 2005 2006 2007
9692
2008
1746
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
GfK Groups worldwide coverage: more than 110 countries
AlbaniaAlgeriaArgentinaAustralia
AustriaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBarbadosBelgiumBelizeBoliviaBosnia-HerzegovinaBotswanaBrazil
BulgariaCambodiaCanadaChile
ChinaColombiaCosta RicaCroatia
CyprusCzech RepublicDenmarkDominican RepublicEcuadorEgyptEl SalvadorEstoniaFinlandFranceGermany
GreeceGuatemalaHondurasHong Kong
HungaryIndiaIndonesiaIran
IrelandIsraelItalyIvory CoastJamaicaJapanJordanKazakhstanKenyaKoreaKuwait
KyrgyzstanLatviaLebanonLibya
LithuaniaMacedoniaMalaysiaMalta
MexicoMontenegroMoroccoMozambiqueNetherlandsNew ZealandNicaraguaNigeriaNorwayOmanPakistan
PanamaParaguayPeruPhilippines
PolandPortugalPuerto RicoQatar
RomaniaRussiaSaudi-ArabiaSenegalSerbiaSingaporeSlovakiaSloveniaSouth AfricaSpainSudan
SwedenSwitzerlandSyriaTadzhikistan
TaiwanTanzaniaThailandTrinidad and Tobago
TunisiaTurkeyTurkmenistanUgandaUkraineUnited Arab EmiratesUnited KingdomUruguayUSAUzbekistanVenezuela
VietnamYemen
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Sales by region 2008
3%
26%
40%
7%
18%
6%
Germany
Western Europe/Middle East/Africa
Central and Eastern Europe
North America
Latin America
Asia and Pacific
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Market research indust ry2
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Market research industry: growth market
1) Exchange rate: EUR 1 = USD 1.372, USD 1 = EUR 0.729 (IMF)Source: Esomar 2008 (data as of 2007, next publication September 2009 )
Total volumeUSD 28.2 billion(EUR 20.6 billion)1)
33.631.0
4.7
14.4
5.4
2.5
Growth in %(local currency)
Sharein %
North AmericaUSA
Asia and the Pacific
Japan
China
Europe
UK
Germany
France
Latin America
Middle East/Africa
45.6
9.8
9.4
9.4
1.7
+6.2+6.0
+6.5
+8.4
+5.8
+15.1
+5.6
+2.3
+5.1
+4.1
+23.8
Total 100 +6.5
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Top 6 players in market research
1) Conversion based on average exchange rate 01-12 20081 Euro = 0.8026 GBP = 1.4695 USD
Sales 2008 in EUR million1)
1. The Nielsen Company, USA 3,410.7
3. IMS Health, USA 1,585.2
2. Kantar Group & Taylor Nelson Sofres, GB 1,593.1
4. GfK Group, Germany 1,220.4
6. Synovate, GB 645.6
5. Ipsos, France 979.3
Company
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
The next years: 5 Star I n it iat ive3
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
5 Star Initiative: overview
Fact-based
Consultancy
Top 3 Global
Reach
Full
Service
Excellent
Financials
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Star 1: Fact-based Consultancy
With the first initiative, Fact-based Consultancy, we aim to consistentlyexpand our service offering to produce high quality, information-basedongoing advisory services for the top-level management of our clients. Inaddition to providing precise and up-to-date information, we intend tofurther strengthen our position as the essential partner for our clientsmarket decisions.
> Innovationleadership
>Focus oncustomer
relationship
>Competencethrough added
value andconsultancy
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Star 2: TOP 3
With the Top 3 initiative, we have set ourselves the ambitious target ofbecoming the number 3 in the market research industry. In order to achievethis aim, we will work intensively to occupy at least the number 3 spot in theindustry for the sectors and in the key countries.
> Top 3 inkey countries
Target achieved in10 out of the 20biggest marketresearch countries
> Top 3 for the individualsectors
Aim achieved in 1 out of3 sectors
> Top 3 globalplayer
Currentlynumber 4
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Star 3: Global Reach
Our third aim under the Global Reach initiative is to further expandour network from the present level of 114 countries and to establish a
presence in other countries, which are important both economicallyand in terms of market research, and where we do not yet have ourown subsidiaries.
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Star 5: Excellent Financials
The fifth initiative, Excellent Financials, defines our medium-term financialexpectations. We are working to drive our sales quickly up to the EUR 1.5 billionmark and in the next few years will generate a margin of between 13% and15%. We have set specific targets for reducing our indebtedness. This alsoapplies to the tax ratio for the Group.
Net indebtedness/EBITDA ~ 2
~ 2.5
>Sales EUR1,500 million
EUR 1,220million
Margin13-15%
13.0%
Tax ratio ofapprox. 30%
27.4%2008:
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Key indicators for GfK shares
Unit
High EUR
Low EUR
Closing price EUR
Average daily volume traded No.
2007
Dividend1)
EURTotal dividend1) EUR m
Earnings per share EUR
Free cash flow per share EUR
Stock market capitalization as of Dec. 31 EUR m
No. of no-par shares as of Dec. 31 No.
Ranking in SDAX
by sales
by market capitalization
Index weighting by market capitalization
39.58
25.29
27.50
48,128
0.4516.1
2.33
3.56
986.2
35,863,031
26
13
2.5in %
1) For 2008: Proposal to the Annual General Meeting on May 20, 2009
No. of no-par shares (weighted) No. 35,682,085
31.27
13.00
22.02
31,668
2008
0.46
16.5
2.04
2.64
791.6
35,947,363
30
5
3.4
35.884.308
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Shareholder structure of GfK SE
Breakdown of free float by country ( % )Shareholder st ructure (% )
GfK-Nrnberg e.V.
57.0
Free Float1)
43.0
USA
25.9
UK7.4
France7.6
Others2.8
Germany56.3
1) including Management and Supervisory Board of GfK SE (1.1%)as at February 26, 2009
M h 2009GfK G th f K l dGfK G
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
GfK share price performance: March 2008 to March 20091)
M A M J J A S O N D J F M10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
GfK DAX SDAX Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Media
1) All values are indexed to the GfK share price, close price, in Euro, Source: Thomson Datastream
M h 2009GfK G o th f om Kno ledgeGfK G o p
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
GfK-Nrnberg e.V. (the GfK Association): revised Articles of
Association establish a new structure
New Articles of Association and new personnel determined
election of Peter Zhlsdorff as the new President of the GfK Association
Professor Hubert Weiler elected Vice-President
the new Articles of Association strengthen checks and balances within the Associationscorporate governance
the GfK Association will in future be represented externally by two of the five members ofthe Executive Board
resolutions of the General Assembly passed by simple majority of the vote. A 75% majorityvote is necessary in order to pass resolutions on amendments to the Articles of Association
a new Members Council is supporting the Executive Board of the Association, with regardto the Associations role as majority shareholder of GfK SE
following the Annual General Meeting, the managerial bodies of GfK-Nrnberg e.V.
(the GfK Association) and GfK SE will be separate in terms of personnel
March 2009GfK Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Sectors5
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
3 sectors provide knowledge from 3 sources
Custom Research
Specific target groups,e.g. consumers,doctors etc.
Tailor-made surveysand continuous datacollection in
Custom ResearchConsumer TrackingHealthCare
~43%
EUR 783 million
7.2%
Retail and Technology
Retail
Retail informationthrough continuousdata collection
100%
EUR 304 million
27.2%
Media
Media
Tailor-made surveysand continuous datacollection regarding
media consumption
~95%
EUR 130 million
18.3%
Data
source
Services
Share of
continuousresearch
Sales1)
Margin1)
1) Preliminary figures for 2008
March 2009GfK Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Custom Research
MarketsAutomotive, business and technology, financial, media, fast moving consumer goods(FMCG); in the HealthCare segment, drugs, materials and products for dentists and
laboratories
Marketing solutionsMarket structure, brand/communication, customer satisfaction, pricing, concept/product tests, market positioning
PresenceIn more than 90 countries across the globe
Customer benefitMinimize risks of business decisions and ensure sustained growth in profit potential
March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
Example 1: usage of web 2.0 applications in Germany
55.2 million Internetusers in Germany
Source: GfK Online Research, March 2009 & internetworldstats.com
*at least weekly usage
Retail/online shopping portals
67%*
43% Opinion forums
Weblogs 18%*
Consumer portals 32%*
i.e. Facebook, Myspace
i.e. Ciao.de, dooyoo.de
i.e. Ebay, Amazon,
40% Online communities *
March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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gp
Example 2: household expenditures for FMCG
Growth rates 2007 to 2008 in %
Source: Europanel based on 4-weekly/monthly trends in hundreds of FMCG categories in each country
2.2%2.7%
4.0% 4.2% 4.3%5.0%
5.6%6.4% 6.8%
7.6%
17.0%
France
Netherlands
Portugal
Austria
Germany
Italy
Spain
Sweden
Poland
UK
Belgium
March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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Example 3: the German veterinary market over the past 10 years
Development of the market as a whole in EUR m
+2.6%
+7.8%
+4.7%
-3.5%
+5.5%
+5.3%
+10.2%
+10.3%
+5.5%
Absolute increase from the 1st to the 10th period: +59%
Absolut e: 738.0
Absolut e: 463.8
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Source: GfK HealthCare, Germany
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Retail and Technology
MarketsConsumer electronics, entertainment media, office communications, photographic andoptical equipment, domestic appliances, IT and telecommunications, DIY, tourism,
sports equipment and entertainment
Marketing solutionsProduct and pricing policies, advertising, distribution, sales and logistics
PresenceIn more than 80 countries
Customer benefitAccess to databases and/or transfer of standardized analysis of information abouttrends, volume, sales, sales channels and segments in our clients markets
March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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+USD 54 billion additional revenue 2007-2008
Example: sales growth for technical consumer equipment
+24.1+20.6
+10.4
+2.4
-0.7+1.5 +0.5
+0.4 +0.3-0.1 -0.9 -2.3 -5.4 -7.3
LCD TV
MOBILE&SMARTPHONES LAPTOP
GPS(PND ONLY)
DIGITALCAMERA
GAMECONSOLES
PLASMATV MONITORS
DVDTOTAL CAMCODER PRINTER
MP3/MP4PORTABLEDESKTOP OTHER TV
USD bil lion
Source: GfK Retail and Technology
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Media
MarketsTV, radio, newspapers, magazines, billboards, online
Marketing solutionsViewer, reader and listener reach and qualitative studies on consumption, acceptance,preferences and recall of media content
PresenceIn more than 30 countries across Europe and North America
Customer benefitMedia reach as the basis of pricing in advertising and media planning
March 2009GfK. Growth from KnowledgeGfK Group
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207
Austria
Germany
Viewing time in minutes
148
207Ukraine1)
250Romania1)
181The Netherlands
Example: Average TV viewing time of different countries 2008
Viewers age 3 upwards, Monday-Sunday, 03:00-03:00 oclock
Source: GfK companies; TV panels of different countries1) Viewers age 4 upwards
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No future w ithout a pastGfK. Growth from Knowledge