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    Aon Risk Solutions

    Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources.

    Global Risk Management Survey

    2011

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    Copyright 2011 Aon Corporation.

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    Introduction 4

    Foreword 6

    ExecutiveSummary 10

    RespondentProfle 12

    Top10Risks 18

    Risk readiness for the Top 10 Risks 42

    Losses associated with the Top 10 Risks 45

    Identiying,Assessing,MeasuringandManagingRisk 50

    Measuring TCOR 51

    Identifying and assessing major risks 52

    Determining limits of insurance 55

    Benets of investing in risk management 57

    External drivers for risk management 58

    Aons Risk Maturity Index 59

    BoardOversightandInvolvement 60

    Policies on risk oversight and management 61

    Approach to risk management at the board level 64

    RiskManagementDepartmentandFunction 66

    Chief risk ocer 67

    Who is handling risk?

    Where does risk management report?

    The size of risk management department 73

    Claims and safety / risk control roles 74

    Third-party service providers 76

    InsuranceMarkets 78

    Priorities in choice of insurer 79

    Desired changes in the insurance market 80

    RiskFinancing 82

    Changes in premium rates 83

    Limits 84

    Satisfaction with limit levels 86

    Changes in retention level 88

    Changes in coverage 89

    GlobalPrograms 90

    Global insurance purchasing habits 91

    Global insurance buying patterns 92

    Types of global insurance coverage purchased 93

    Captives 94

    Organizations that use captives 95

    Key risks underwritten 97

    Methodology 99

    AonataGlance 100

    KeyContacts 101

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    Global Risk Management Survey Aon Risk Solutions

    We are pleased to present the results of the Aon Global Risk Management Survey,

    a revealing data-driven study designated to help businesses see a fuller picture of todays risks

    and risk management strategies.

    Conducted in Q, , the Aon Global Risk Management Survey has generated nearly ,

    responses from companies around the globe. The results are enlightening. For example, as the

    worlds economy shows signs of recovery from the nancial crisis, the threat of economic slowdown

    still weighs heavily on organizations that have responded to the survey. If the economy continues

    to improve and businesses grow steadily, organizations will have to plan accordingly to manage

    changing risk proles and capture new opportunities brought about by an economic recovery.

    The ndings from this survey allow organizations to benchmark their risk management and risk

    nancing practices and help them identify approaches that may improve the eectiveness of their

    own risk management strategies.

    As the worlds leading risk advisor and insurance broker, Aon is committed to using our unmatched

    global network and insights to provide businesses with industry-leading solutions.

    If you have any comments or questions about the survey, or wish to discuss the ndings further,

    please contact your Aon account manager or visit aon.com/globalrisksurvey

    Best regards,

    SteveMcGill

    Chairman and CEO

    Aon Risk Solutions

    Introduction

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    Global Risk Management Survey Aon Risk Solutions

    Foreword

    Aon is pleased to share with you the ndings of our Global Risk Management Survey. As you read

    through the multitude of interesting risk management facts and gures gleaned from nearly ,

    respondents, it is helpful to think about the events of the last few years that have inuenced, or not

    inuenced, the way organizations responded.

    For starters, consider the events that have occurred since the survey was conducted in Q, .

    On February , , New Zealand was struck by its second major earthquake in ve months, which

    caused more damage than an even stronger September quake, including fatalities. Eighteen days

    later on March , Japan was devastated by a . magnitude earthquake and the tsunami that followed.

    April brought tornadoes to the central and southern regions of the US on a scale unseen in decades,

    followed by massive ooding. In addition to these natural disasters, the risk events of the last two quarters

    have included the Middle East uprisings, a second major automobile recall, the WikiLeaks incident and

    the capture and death of Osama bin Laden. If these events had been current at the time of the survey,

    we expect that certain risks such as distribution or supply chain failure, business interruption, political risk, damage

    to reputation and terrorism may have been rated higher on the list of top risks impacting organizations.

    Now, think about the events the world has witnessed between this survey and our prior survey conducted

    in Q , several ongoing and increasing in intensity:

    HN (Swine) u

    Iceland volcano

    Explosion and oil spill in the Gulf

    Queensland Australia oods

    Piracy

    Social media explosion, including social

    media sites, ebooks, smart phones and tablets

    Ongoing global recession

    Ponzi schemes

    Unemployment and restructuring

    Government bailouts: Too Big to Fail

    Financial crises in Ireland, Greece,

    Portugal and Spain

    Pension devaluation

    European and U.S. foreign exchange movements

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    As you review the list of the top risks aecting organizations and compare the rankings between

    and , it is no surprise that these events have had an inuence on how organizations view risk and

    prioritize their resources to respond. The economic slowdown has maintained the top rank in our survey

    and the fallout of the credit crisis rst identied in mid- continues to impact organizations around theworld. Technological advances are posing challenges to organizations as they struggle to maintain the IT

    infrastructures necessary to support their business models, remain innovative and competitive in their

    industries, and adapt to the inltration of social media.

    The study ndings highlight the interdependency between the impact of the economy and various

    additional key risks. Throughout the economic recession, many organizations pulled in their oars, tabling

    research and development projects, decreasing spend on information technology and freezing hiring.

    Today, business leaders are realizing this strategy wont work in the long term. Showing up on the top

    list this year are failure to innovate/meet customer needs, technology/system failure and failure to attract or retain

    top talent. Organizations must begin reinvesting in fundamental areas such as these if they are to survive

    and thrive.

    This years survey also highlights that the ability to embrace and leverage technology is emerging as a

    dominant factor underlying many of the key risks facing organizations. The failure to innovate/meet customer

    needs and the risk oftechnology/system failure entered the top list for the rst time. With the heavy reliance

    on their technological infrastructure, businesses are becoming more vulnerable to system failures, data

    breaches and social media exposure, causing business interruptions, loss of customers and damage to

    reputation. This risk will only continue to grow as businesses are investing more heavily in technology and

    the use of technology as part of the global infrastructure continually advances.

    Of equal interest when reviewing the survey results are the events that didnt happen in the past two years:

    No major terrorist events on the scale of /

    Mild hurricane season

    Prolonged soft commercial insurance market for traditionally insurable risk

    With terrorism largely o the radar screen in the past two years, organizations have collectively lowered

    the priority ranking of this risk to . It is shocking to believe that after only a decade organizations

    have dramatically lowered the priority of one of the most impactful risk events in recent world history.

    The prolonged soft insurance market combined with limited resources due to economic conditions

    has impacted the focus companies are giving to measuring total cost of risk. Less than percent of

    respondents measure their total cost of risk, which is down from percent in .

    Global respondents should nd the regional comparisons enlightening, as they provide insights into the

    maturity level of risk management processes by geography. In Latin America, crime/theft/fraud/employee

    dishonesty is tied for # on the list, yet not included in the top risks at all in other geographies. Asia

    Pacic is challenged to attract or retain top talent, ranking this risk as #, as they compete with international

    companies located in more cosmopolitan global cities like New York, London or Washington D.C. to retain

    their best and brightest talent.

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    Particular insights can be drawn from the reported readiness for each of the top risks identied.

    Despite the signicant impact of the credit crisis on organizations, a factor underlying the # rank for the

    economic slowdown and the # rank for cash ow/liquidity risk, percent of respondents (the highest

    of any top ) felt ready to deal with this risk. The reality is that organizations had to manage this risk in order

    to survive: Credit lines are life lines for growing organizations and all resources were exhausted to restore

    liquidity to ensure long term viability. On the low end of readiness is the failure to attract or retain top talent,

    dropping to percent from percent in . Despite the concern about employee retention, most

    organizations beneted from a non-mobile workforce during the peak of the recession as employees hunkered

    down, happy to have any job at all. Now that the unemployment rate is start ing to decrease and companies

    are recording prots and beginning to hire again, the need to be ready for this risk is elevated and many

    organizations will be challenged if they do not engage employees.

    What is not in the main body of the report, but shown at the end of this foreword for your benet, is the list

    of all risks and their respective rankings. This list, when considered in the context of the multiple years of Aon

    survey results, demonstrates that until a risk is having a direct impact on an organization, it is not considered

    a key risk. Low on the priority ranking this year are counter party credit risk (), pandemic risk (), climate

    change () and terrorism (). Out of sightout of mind appears to be the mentality here. It is important

    for organizations to assess the likelihood and potential impact of all viable risk events in order to be

    prepared for the next black swan before it strikes. Failure to do so could have catastrophic consequences.

    We hope you nd the results of this survey insightful and useful to your risk management planning. As you

    reect on the inferences and how it may help your organization, we invite you to take the Aon Risk Maturity

    Index. The Aon Risk Maturity Index, developed in par tnership with The Wharton School of the University

    of Pennsylvania, is the rst-of-its-kind tool for leaders in nance and risk management to assess their

    organizations risk management capabilities and receive immediate feedback in a Risk Maturity Rating with

    comments for improvement. In addition to immediate feedback, all companies who participate in the Index

    will be provided with a summary report on Aons global ndings later this year. For more information,

    contact us at [email protected]

    Best regards,

    StephenCross

    Chairman

    Aon Centre for Innovation

    and Analytics

    [email protected]

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    GlobalRiskManagementSurveyRiskRanking

    Riskrank Riskdescription

    1 Economic slowdown

    2 Regulator y/legislative changes

    3 Increasing competition

    4 Damage to reputation/brand

    5 Business interruption6 Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    7 Failure to attrac t or retain top talent

    8 Commodity price risk

    9 Technology failure/system failure

    10 Cash ow/liquidity risk

    11 Capital availability/credit risk

    12 Distr ibut ion or supply chain failure

    13 Third party liability

    14 Political r isk/uncertainties

    15 Exchange rate uctuation

    16 Weather/natural disasters

    17 Injury to workers18 Computer crime/hacking/viruses/malicious codes

    19 Merger/acquisition/restructuring

    20 Failure of disaster recovery plan/business continuity plan

    21 Physical damage

    22 Inadequate succession planning

    23 Failure to implement or communicate strategy

    24 Lack of technology infrastructure to support business needs

    25 Crime/theft/fraud/employee dishonesty

    26 Environmental risk

    27 Professional indemnity/errors and omissions liability

    28 Loss of intellectual property/data

    29 Interest rate uctuation

    30 Growing burden of corporate governance

    31 Workforce shortage

    32 Counter party credit risk

    33 Globalization/emerging markets

    34 Product recall

    35 Corporate social responsibility/sustainability

    36 Pandemic risk/health crises

    37 Asset value volatility

    38 Directors and ocers personal liabi li ty

    39 Understang

    40 Natural resource scarcity/availability of raw materials

    41 Share price volatility

    42 Unethical behavior

    43 Pension scheme funding

    44 Climate change

    45 Terrorism/sabotage

    46 Outsourcing

    47 Harassment/discrimination

    48 Kidnap and ransom/extor tion

    49 Absenteeism

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    Executive Summary

    Aons Global R isk Management Survey was conducted in

    languages in Q, , encompassing companies from

    countries in all regions of the world. The third of its kind since

    , this online biennial sur vey aims to help companies s tay

    abreast of emerging issues and learn what their peers are doing

    to manage risks and capture opportunities.

    This survey, similar to prior years, covers the following topics:

    Top risk concerns facing companies today

    How companies identify and assess risk

    Approach to risk management and board involvement Risk management functions

    Insurance markets

    Risk nancing

    Global programs

    Captives

    Top Risks

    Even as economies show signs of recovery from the global

    nancial crisis, respondents still see economic slowdown as the

    top risk. For the rst time, two new risks enter the top list:

    failure to innovate/meet customer needs and technology failure/

    system failure.

    The highest percentage for risk readiness ( percent) is cited

    for cash ow/liquidity risk, up from percent in the prior survey.

    Respondents feel least ready for failure to attract or retain top

    talent percent cite this risk, down from percent.

    Toprisks

    . Economic slowdown

    . Regulatory/legislative changes

    . Increasing competition

    . Damage to reputation/brand

    . Business interruption

    . Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    . Failure to attract or retain top talent

    . Commodity price risk

    . Technology failure/system failure

    . Cash ow/liquidity risk

    Identiying, assessing,measuring and managing riskIn the post-recession period, companies are facing increasing

    pressure from stakeholders to better understand the risks that

    organizations are facing, optimize insurance programs and lowerTotal Cost of Risk, or TCOR. This is evident in the survey,

    where percent of respondents consider lowering TCOR as one

    of the top benets of investing in risk management. However,

    less than percent report having tracked and managed all

    components of their TCOR, down from percent in .

    It is dicult to manage what is not measured. We believe failure

    to manage all aspects of TCOR could be detrimental to an

    organization in the long run.

    Among reasons cited for not measuring any TCOR elements,

    percent of respondents mention lack of resources/expertise,

    percent cite lack of data/information and percent say

    they do not nd the process valuable.

    Senior managements intuition and experience remains the

    primary method used by survey respondents to identify and assess

    major risks facing their organizations, followed by business unit

    risk registers or key risk indicator worksheets and structured

    enterprise-wide approach.

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    Board oversight and involvement

    As is consistent with the prior two surveys, risk remains rmly on

    the boards agenda. Three out of four companies say in the

    survey that the board or a board committee has established or

    partially established policies on risk oversight and management.

    Risk managementdepartment and unction

    Despite the economic slowdown, the levels of risk management

    department stang appear, on an aggregate level, to have

    remained stable. The Chief Risk Ocers role is growing

    percent of respondents say they have a CRO. Companies

    in more regulated industries are more likely to have a CRO.

    Seventy percent of the respondents indicate that they havea formal risk management department. Among those,

    percent say their risk management department reports

    to the CFO/nance/treasury. In the case where no formal risk

    management department exists, percent say their CFO

    handles risk management.

    Insurance marketsThe message has been consistent and clear. For the third

    straight time, nancial stability is cited as the top criterion in an

    organizations choice of insurers, illustrating the fact that concerns

    for competitive pricing is still tempered by an interest in dealing

    with carriers who have the nancial capacity to pay claims. Promptsettlement of large claims sees the greatest increase in priority

    among all the surveyed factors, from number nine in

    to number ve. This could be driven by the higher than normal

    natural catastrophe losses that occurred in , in regions

    outside North America.

    Risk fnancing

    Commercial insurance has been in a soft pricing market since

    and every year the expectation for a harder pricing environment

    increases. The survey shows no indication of its arrival yet.

    Flat to single-digit rate change appears to be the norm among

    respondents. The majority of the organizations surveyed arecomfortable with their current limits purchased, and maintain

    their current deductible/retention levels. Coverage terms and

    conditions remain stable and in some cases, have broadened.

    Global programs

    When asked how companies operating in more than one country

    purchase/control their insurance programs, percent say they

    have a centralized operating structure, where corporate

    headquarters control procurement of all of their global and local

    insurance programs, while percent say their corporate

    headquarters control some lines and leave local oces to purchase

    other lines. Among the global policies that organizations have

    purchased, the most common types are general liability including

    public/product liability, as well as property damage/business

    interruption. Only three percent of surveyed companies allow

    each operation to buy their own insurance with no coordination

    from corporate headquarters.

    CaptivesAs an integral part of the organizations risk management

    program, captive insurance companies or captives continue to

    be used by organizations in virtually all industry groups and

    geographic regions. Twenty-six percent of survey respondents

    report having an active captive or Protected Cell Company (PCC).

    However, during the economic downturn, there were greater

    activities surrounding and interest in exit strategies. In the current

    survey, eight percent of respondents indicate an interest in closing

    their captive vehicle and six percent consider their captive vehicle

    to be dormant or in run-o. Over the next few years, while we are

    not expecting prolic growth in new captive formations on a

    global scale, we anticipate the vast majority of owners will remain

    committed to their captive strategy.

    ConclusionAs the world is slowly recovering from the recession, conditions

    remain challenging for many and risk retains a high position

    on every organizations agenda. While it is hard to predict which

    risk might emerge and demand our immediate attention, we

    can be certain that successful companies will not be the ones

    taking a wait and see approach. Instead, they will be the ones

    who prepare themselves thoroughly to anticipate future needs

    and undertake the dicult process of nding solutions to

    address them. They will not just x what is broken, but view

    their new circumstances as a por tal to the next generation ofbusiness opportunity.

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    Respondent Profle

    The number o respondents has nearly doubled in the survey, rom 55 to 96

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    Aons Global Risk Management Survey, a Web-based biennial

    research report, was conducted in Q, in languages.

    The number of respondents has nearly doubled, from

    in the last survey to , representing a broader range of

    industry sectors and encompassing countries from all regions

    of the world.

    About percent of the par ticipants are privately-owned

    companies and percent public-owned organizations.

    The rest are primarily government or not-for-prot entities.

    The wide geographical reach and broad coverage of industry

    sectors have enabled us to provide a global and balanced

    overview of the risk challenges facing organizations today.

    The robust representation across many industry groups has

    also provided the data to support the fact that many risksare common to all industries.

    Footnote: Restaurants included in Hotels and Hospitality; Beverages included inFood Processing and Distribution; Textiles included in Consumer Goods Manufacturing

    Agribusiness %

    Aviation %

    Banks %

    Chemicals %

    Consumer Goods Manufacturing %

    Construction %

    Educational and Nonprots %

    Food Processing and Distribution %

    Government %

    Health Care %

    Hotels and Hospitality %

    Insurance, Investment and Finance %

    Lumber, Furniture, Paper and Packaging %

    Machinery and Equipment Manufacturers %

    Metal Milling and Manufacturing %

    Natural Resources (Oil, Gas and Mining) %

    Non-Aviation Transportation Manufacturing %

    Non-Aviation Transportation Services %

    Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology %

    Printing and Publishing %

    Professional and Personal Services %

    Real Estate %

    Retail Trade %

    Rubber, Plastics, Stone and Cement %

    Technology %

    Telecommunications and Broadcasting %

    Utilities %

    Wholesale Trade

    Surveyrespondentsbyindustry

    Industry Percent Industry Percent

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    Respondent Prole

    < 1B

    5B9.9B

    15B24.9B

    25B+

    Survey respondents by revenue (in USD)

    50%

    27%

    4%

    5%

    8%

    3% 3%

    1B4.9B

    Cannot disclose

    10B14.9B

    North America

    Europe

    Asia Pacific

    Latin America

    Middle East & Africa

    Survey respondents by region

    60%

    29%

    7%

    2% 2%

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    0249

    250499

    5002,499

    2,5004,999

    5,00014,999

    15,00049,999

    50,000+

    Survey respondents by number of employees

    16%

    9%

    22%

    14%

    17%

    16%

    7%

    The Americas

    Europe

    Asia

    Australasia

    Africa

    Survey respondents revenue by area

    59%

    28%

    9%

    2% 2%

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    Respondent Prole

    1

    25

    610

    1115

    1625

    2650

    51+

    Survey respondents by number of countries in which they operate

    41%

    21%

    7%

    5%

    6%

    10% 9%

    Each category has a minimum of respondents.

    Surveyrespondentsbyrole

    Role Percentage

    Chief Executive/President %

    Chief Financial Ocer/Treasurer %

    Chief Operating Ocer/Chief Administrative Ocer %

    Chief Risk Ocer %

    Chief Counsel/Head of Legal/Company Secretary %

    Head of HR %

    Risk Manager %

    Risk Consultant %

    Other %

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    Survey ResultsBy Numbers

    $87,285,34,74 Total Limit purchased for Umbrella/Excess Liability

    $43,439,47,428 Total Limit purchased for Directors and Ocers Liability

    $,25,, Maximum limit purchased for Umbrella/Excess Liability

    $7,, Maximum limit purchased for Directors & Ocers Liability

    $38,989,396 Average limit purchased for Umbrella/Excess Liability

    $7,95,698 Average limit purchased for Umbrella/Excess Liability

    $,, Minimum limit purchased for Umbrella/Excess Liability

    $5, Minimum limit purchased for Directors & Ocers Liability

    9,566 Number of risk prioritization decisions for top ten risks

    96 Companies participated in the survey

    667 Companies with risk management department

    575 North American companies participated in the survey

    437 Companies with more than USD 1B in revenue

    42 Private companies participated in the survey

    387 Public companies participated in the survey

    279 European companies participated in the survey

    22 Companies with 15,000+ employees

    3 Financial industry companies

    89 Companies with operations in more than 50 countries

    62 Construction companies participated in the survey3 German companies

    2 Priority ranking of pricing in choice of insurer

    Ranking of economic slowdown on top ten risk list

    89% Average percentage of companies maintaining retention level

    69% Average reported readiness for the top ten risks

    63% Companies that want to see broader coverage/better terms and conditions

    59% Companies in more than one country that control procurement of all insurance centrally

    45% Companies USD 25+ revenue with 611 employees in Risk Management Department

    39% Companies measuring Total Cost of Insurable Risk

    3% Companies with a Chief Risk Ocer

    28% Average loss of income experienced from top ten risk in the last 12 months

    4% Latin American companies with a captive

    9% Asia Pacic companies that indicated more restricted property cover at renewal

    5% Middle East & African companies indicating initial/lacking based on Aon ERM Maturity Model

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    For two consecutive surveys, respondents rateeconomic slowdown as the top risk acing theirorganizations today. Failure to innovate/meetcustomer needs and technology ailure/systemailure have entered the top list or the frst

    time. The highest percentage or risk readinessis cited or cash ow/liquidity risk (77 percent).Respondents eel least ready or ailure to attractor retain top talent with 6 percent citing this risk.

    Top Risks

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    Economic slowdown

    Cash ow/liquidity risk

    Regulatory/legislative changes

    Increased competition

    Damage to reputation and brand

    Business interruption

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Failure to attract or retain top talent

    Commodity price risk

    Technology ailure/system ailure

    1

    10

    2

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    Economic slowdown

    While the economic crisis has abated in most parts of

    the world, organizations are still concerned about a

    double-dip recession. Fueling this concern are continued

    high unemployment rates and unease over the debt

    sustainability of many of the largest economies

    supported by monetary and scal policies that cannot

    be maintained into perpetuity.

    As the economic situation continues to improve, we

    anticipate that concerns for this risk may gradually recede

    in the next two years. According to recent estimates,

    only two out of the worlds top countries are

    predicted by consensus analysts on Bloomberg to

    experience negative GDP growth in . This compares

    very favorably to when countries suered

    negative growth.

    Highlights

    # risk in out of the surveyed industries

    # risk across all geographies

    Risk that has led to the greatest reported

    income loss last year

    # risk reported by CEO/President

    Top Risks

    1 10

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    Top Risks

    Regulatory/legislative changes

    Risks related to regulatory and legislative changes involve

    the inability of an organization to comply with current,

    changing or new regulations. Failure in compliance can

    result in severe consequences, including direct penalties

    in the short term and the loss of markets, reputation and

    customers in the long term.

    In the past, regulatory and legislative changes normally

    took shape in a gradual process, allowing companies

    some time to formulate responses or coping strategies.

    This is not always the case now. The regulatory changes

    in the United States following the credit crunch in

    has demonstrated the fast speed at which important

    regulation with far-reaching impacts can be enacted.

    In addition, regulatory changes, even small ones, can

    add tremendous cost to corporations. For example, the

    insurance industry in Europe planned to spend at least

    EUR billion in compliance with a new capital directive(Solvency II) which is to become eective by the end of

    . In a related Accenture survey, percent of the

    respondents said they would spend more than what had

    been initially budgeted in preparing changes to meet

    the requirements of this new regulation.

    Highlights

    Ranked , or by out of the surveyed industries

    # risk reported by CEO/President and CFO/Treasurer,

    suggesting that these positions may view it more as a cost

    than risk

    Banks have reported the greatest losses related to

    this risk last year

    2 10

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    Top Risks

    Increased competition

    Many variables can impact the competitive position of

    an organization in a certain industry sectoreconomic

    trends, regulatory changes, entry of new competitors,

    changes in consumer trends, advancements in

    technology, use of lower-cost resources from developing

    economies and aggressive strategies by competitors.

    In this rapidly changing marketplace, failure toadequately address these and other market changes

    could lead to irreversible loss of market share.

    Highlights

    # risk for Latin America

    # risk reported by CEO, CFO and Chief Legal Counsel

    # risk for the wholesale trade industry

    More than percent of respondents in the constructionand telecommunications and broadcasting industries

    have reported losses last year due to increased competition

    10

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    Damage toreputation and brand

    Corporate reputation is one of the most important

    corporate assets and also one of the most dicult to

    protect. The recent nancial crisis and several high-

    proled industrial accidents and recalls have made

    organizations realize the urgency of protecting their

    reputation, which can take years to build but can be

    destroyed overnight. Nowadays, complex global supplychains and an Internet-spawned -hour news cycle

    fueled by social media have posed additional challenges

    for companies to manage risks related to their reputation

    and brand. While some consider damage to reputation

    a risk in its own right, others may consider it as a

    consequence of other risks; either way, it is clear that all

    risks may impact or be impacted by damage to reputation.

    Highlights

    # risk in food processing and distribution industry;

    this could be driven by the proximity of its products

    to end users, stringent regulatory oversight and

    heightened public scrutiny

    # risk cited by companies in the United Kingdom

    Ranking increases when number of employees increases;

    bigger is more risky

    Top Risks

    10

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    Business interruption

    Business interruption refers to an anticipated or

    unanticipated disruption of an organizations normal

    operations. Losses can arise from many sources,

    some manmade, others natural. The factors that

    contribute to business interruption are often sudden

    and can change rapidly, making it a challenging risk

    to understand and manage. Some of these exposurescan be insured while others can only be mitigated.

    As companies expand overseas or components are

    acquired abroad, the interdependence of global business

    partners as well as outsourcing and oshoring, have

    increased their international exposures, which are more

    volatile and complicated. The recent events in Japan

    provide a clear example of this and further reinforce

    the importance of having risk mitigation strategies for

    business interruption exposure.

    Highlights

    Down from # in and # in

    # risk for pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries

    which could feel more vulnerable to disruptive events at their

    manufacturing or suppliers facilities; the highly specialized

    equipment and settings are not easily replaced in the event ofa loss; rebuilding or restarting the operations may be subject

    to strict regulatory approval

    Nearly in respondents have a plan for or have undertaken

    formal review of this risk

    percent indicate income loss due to this risk in the months

    Top Risks

    10

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    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs has, for the

    rst time, entered the top risk rank since the start of

    this survey in . Innovation plays a vital role in the

    development of new business concepts, processes and

    products. Innovation drives growth and opportunity

    in new markets and breathes life into a mature industry.

    In the tough battle to win the hearts and minds ofcustomers, who demand newer, better and faster

    delivery of services and products, innovation is a

    prerequisite for success, even for survival. Companies

    can rapidly lose market shares if they fail to invest in

    innovation. Competitive strategies should not only be

    based on conditions of the current market but also

    on where the industry is heading. The tried and true

    business model, which proved successful in the past,

    can no longer be the only model to meet customer

    needs. More than ever, innovation, speed, and exibility

    are essential to competing in the global economy.

    According to the World Intellectual Property

    Organization, the number of applications for global

    patents rose percent in , from , in ,

    when the economic crisis had induced a signicant

    drop. WIPO expects the number to grow steadily in the

    next two years. As businesses are gradually expanding,

    innovation will become a leading industry dierentiator.

    Highlights

    Jumped to #, from # in

    Ranked # or # by respondents in the machinery and

    equipment, non-aviation transportation, printing and publishing

    and technology industries

    percent have a plan for or have undertaken a formal

    review of this risk

    Top Risks

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    Failure to attractor retain top talent

    Highlights

    # risk in the government sector, which is losing its talents

    to the well-paying private sector

    # risk for surveyed Canadian companies

    # risk cited in the Asia Pacic region, where rapid economic

    growth may have used up the limited pool of available talents

    while education/training have been unable to keep up

    # risk in professional and personal services

    Ranked at the bottom of the top risks in , when

    companies were going through massive layos to stave

    o the impact of the nancial crisis, failure to attract

    and retain top talent has moved to number seven in the

    current survey.

    This seems to correspond with the changing business

    environments, which are straining the process of

    recruiting top industry talent, forcing organizations

    to develop strategic plans that address demographic

    shifts in the workforce, talent shortages, economic

    pressures and globalization. Securing, retaining and

    maximizing talent require a thoughtfully designed talent

    strategyone that includes rigorous and appropriate

    recruitment, assessment and development. As the global

    pool of available candidates becomes increasingly

    smaller, the ability to attract top talent has signicant

    bottom-line implications.

    Interestingly, while companies rank it as a top risk,

    only percent of respondents say they currently have

    a plan in place to address this risk and only four percent

    use third-party consultants for talent recruitment and

    retention strategies. With limited resources allocated,

    it is dicult to foresee how this risk will be mitigated

    in the future.

    Top Risks

    10

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    Commodity price risk

    A surge in commodity prices occurred toward the

    end of , after the survey had been conducted.

    For example, The Economist commodity index was

    up by an annualized seven percent in June but

    up over percent by December that year. Therefore,

    we believe that the stability of commodity price looms

    as a bigger concern for many organizations than thisranking might suggest. Of principal concern is the price

    of energy, hence the high ranking for the natural

    resources industry, inuenced by potential political

    conicts and natural disasters in the regions of major

    oil producers. It is hard to think of a corporation that is

    not aected either directly or indirectly by commodity

    prices in general, and specically, the price of energy.

    Unlike many of the other risks on the top list,

    commodity price risk has a direct and measurable cost

    to most organizations. For this reason, it is not surprising

    that percent of respondents have reported related

    income losses and over percent are prepared to

    deal with it.

    Highlights

    # risk rated by the natural resources (oil, gas and mining)

    and food processing and distribution industries. For these

    industries, it is an opportunity risk which is manageable and

    integrated into their overall business strategy

    # risk for German companies

    percent have reported related income losses as costs increase

    percent have a plan for or have undertaken a formal review

    of this risk

    Top Risks

    10

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    Technology ailure/system ailure

    Technology failure/system failure has showed up on

    the list of top risks for the rst time since the start

    of the survey in . This is no doubt due to its impact

    on other risks. With the heavy reliance on their

    technological infrastructure, businesses are becoming

    more vulnerable to system failures, which have led to

    business interruptions, damage to reputation and lossof customers. In Aons view this risk was further

    aggravated (and elevated in the rankings) by the impact

    of the economy as organizations temporarily delayed

    improvements and maintenance on existing systems

    to manage earnings during dicult times. With the

    recession abating and IT investments on the rise, the

    improvements to dated systems will help mitigate this

    risk. According to Gartner, Inc., the spending on servers

    by businesses worldwide increased by percent in

    . However, the need for ever advancing technology

    to support business processes will continue to keep this

    risk high on the concerns of organizations.

    Highlights

    st time on the top risk list, jumping from # in

    Rated a higher concern for aviation, non-aviation

    transportation services, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology

    and telecommunications and broadcasting industries

    Top risk in all regions except North America, where

    companies maybe relatively better prepared through heavy

    investment in technology upgrades and wider adoption

    of business continuity plans

    Latin America is the least prepared and has reported

    the most losses related to this risk last year

    Top Risks

    10

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    Cash ow/liquidity risk

    Cash ow/liquidity risk has dropped from number

    seven in to number in this survey. The current

    economic recovery has probably precipitated the drop.

    The prolonged period of low-interest rates globally,

    organizational planning, restructuring and a revival

    of investor condence have enabled corporations to

    access relatively cheap short-to-medium term fundingsources. According to Moodys global speculative grade

    corporate study, the corporate default rate dropped

    to . percent in November , from . percent a

    year before. Even so, the survey reveals that organizations

    still consider cash ow/liquidity a substantial risk in the

    aftermath of the nancial crisis.

    Highlights

    The highest level of preparedness among the

    top risks, at percent

    Jumped from # in to # in

    Higher concerns for companies with revenues under

    USD billion; smaller companies have fewer assets against

    which to borrow

    A greater concern for companies in Latin America than

    those in other regions

    Top Risks

    10 10

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    Top Risks

    Toprisks

    Riskrank

    Economic slowdown Economic slowdown Damage to reputation

    Regulatory/legislative changes Regulatory/legislative changes Business interruption

    Increasing competition Business interruption Third-party liability

    Damage to reputation/brand Increasing competition Distribution or supply chain failure

    Business interruption Commodity price risk Market environment

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs Damage to reputation Regulatory/legislative changes

    Failure to attract or retain top talent Cash ow/liquidity risk Failure to attract or retain sta

    Commodity price risk Distribution or supply chain failure Market risk (nancial)

    Technology failure/system failure Third-party liability Physical damage

    Cash ow/liquidity risk Failure to attract or retain top talent Merger/acquisition/restructuringFailure of disaster recovery plan

    Toprisksbyregion

    AsiaPacifc Europe LatinAmerica MiddleEast&Arica NorthAmerica

    Economic slowdown Economic slowdown Economic slowdown Economic slowdown Economic slowdown

    Failure to attractor retain top talent

    Increasing competition Increasing competitionRegulatory/legislativechanges

    Regulatory/legislative changes

    Increasing competitionRegulatory/legislativechanges

    Crime/Theft/Fraud/Employee Dishonesty

    Damage to reputation/brand

    Increasing competition

    Damage to reputation/brand

    Damage to reputation/brand

    Commodity price risk Increasing competitionDamage to reputation/brand

    Exchange rateuctuation

    Business interruptionWeather/naturaldisasters

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Failure to attract orretain top talent

    Regulatory/legislative changes

    Exchange rateuctuation

    Damage to reputation/brand

    Technology failure/system failure

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Business interruption Commodity price risk Cash ow/liquidity riskMerger/acquisition/restructuring

    Business interruption

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Technology failure/system failure

    Lack of technologyinfrastructure tosupport business needs

    Capital availability/credit risk

    Commodity price risk Technology failure/system failure

    Political risk/uncertainties

    Failure to attract orretain top talent

    Cash ow/liquidity risk

    Technology failure/system failure

    Failure to attract orretain top talent

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Capital availability/credit risk

    Third-party liability

    Note: In Europe risks and are tied for ninth. In Latin America risks are tied for rst and risks are tied for fourth. In the Middle East & Africa risks and are tied forrst, risk and are tied for fourth and risks are tied for seventh. In North America risks and are tied for ninth.

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    Top3risksbyindustry

    Industry KeyRisk KeyRisk KeyRisk3

    Agribusiness Regulatory/legislative changes Commodity price risk Product recall

    Aviation Economic slowdown Increasing competitionRegulatory/legislative changes,Third party liability

    Banks Economic slowdown Regulatory/legislative changes Capital availability/credit risk

    Chemicals Economic slowdown Regulatory/legislative changes*Commodity price risk,Business interruption

    Construction Economic slowdown Increasing competition Damage to reputation/brand

    Consumer Goods Manufacturing Economic slowdown Increasing competitionDistribution orsupply chain failure

    Educational and Nonprots Regulator y/legislative changes Economic slowdown Damage to reputation/brand**

    Food Processingand Distribution

    Commodity price risk Damage to reputation/brand* Product recall

    Government Economic slowdown Regulatory/legislative changes* Failure to attract or retain top talent*

    Health Care Regulatory/legislative changes Increasing competition Economic slowdown

    Hotels and Hospitality Economic slowdown Business interruption Regulatory/legislative changes

    Insurance, Investmentand Finance Regulator y/legislative changes Economic slowdown Damage to reputation/brand

    Lumber, Furniture,Paper and Packaging

    Economic slowdown Commodity price riskRegulatory/legislative changes,Exchange rate uctuation, Businessinterruption

    Machinery and EquipmentManufacturers

    Economic slowdownFailure to innovate/meetcustomer needs

    Regulatory/legislative changes,Distribution or supply chain failure

    Metal Milling andManufacturing

    Economic slowdown Commodity price risk Business interruption

    Natural Resources(Oil, Gas and Mining)

    Commodity price risk Political risk/uncertainties Regulatory/legislative changes**

    Non-Aviation Transportation

    Manufacturing Economic slowdown Commodity price risk

    Increasing competition, Failure

    to innovate/meet customer needs,Distribution or supply chain failure**

    Non-AviationTransportation Services

    Economic slowdown Regulator y/legislative changes* Increasing competition

    Pharmaceuticals andBiotechnology

    Regulatory/legislative changes Business inter ruption Distr ibution or supply chain failure**

    Professional andPersonal Services

    Economic slowdownProfessional indemnity/errorsand omissions liability

    Failure to attractor retain top talent

    Real Estate Economic slowdown Damage to reputation/brand Physical damage**

    Retail Trade Economic slowdown Damage to reputation/brand Increasing competition

    Rubber, Plastics,Stone and Cement

    Economic slowdown Commodity price riskFailure to innovate/meet customerneeds, Business interruption

    Technology Economic slowdownFailure to innovate/meetcustomer needs

    Increasing competition

    Telecommunicationsand Broadcasting

    Regulatory/legislative changes Increasing competitionEconomic slowdown, Businessinterruption, Computer Crime/Hacking/

    Viruses/Malicious Codes

    Utilities Regulatory/legislative changes Economic slowdown Commodity price risk

    Wholesale Trade Increasing competition Economic slowdown Regulatory/legislative changes

    *Tie for # risk**Tie for # risk

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    Risk readiness means a company has a comprehensive plan in

    place to address risks or has undertaken a formal review of thoserisks. Comparing with results in the survey, overall readiness

    for the top risks remains approximately the same percent

    of respondents indicate that they feel adequately prepared.

    For each individual risk on the top list, respondents register

    the highest percentage of readiness for cash flow/liquidity

    at percent, a slight uptick from percent in the prior survey.

    Sixty-four percent say their organizations are prepared to handle

    the impact of the economic slowdown, compared with percent

    in . Sixty-ve percent feel ready for regulatory/legislative

    changes, unchanged from , while percent for increased

    competition, the same as .

    Two risks that respondents have identied as the most dicult to

    manage and the least ready for are: failure to attract or retain top

    talent at percent and damage to reputation/brand at percent.

    These are typically more complex, dicult to control, carry a

    degree of unpredictability and are enterprise-wide. While dicult

    to manage and substantially uninsurable, these risks must still

    be addressed and require innovative forward-looking solutions.

    From an industry perspective, given the prolonged sluggishness

    in manufacturing and the real estate market, as well as thecorresponding impact on resource allocation, it is not surprising

    that the level of risk readiness in the metal milling and

    manufacturing and the real estate industries have dropped

    the most. Conversely, the chemical industry has increased

    its level of preparedness, reecting the fact that the industry

    has learned from the nancial crisis and realized the need to adjust

    their business strategies to better prepare for risks. Similarly,

    the retail trade industry has also increased its reported readiness

    as they have had to quickly adapt to changing consumer

    purchasing habits.

    If we compare a companys readiness for top risks with how

    organizations rank themselves on Aons Risk Maturity Index,we can see that the more advanced a company progresses on

    the Aon index, the more prepared it is for the top risks.

    As risk and risk management practices receive increased attention

    and scrutiny from key stakeholders, and with the economic

    expansion underway, we expect there will be an upward trend

    toward risk readiness in the next two years.

    Top Risks

    Risk readiness or the Top Risks

    Economic slowdown

    Reported readiness for top 10 risks

    0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

    Regulatory/legislative changes

    Increasing competition

    Commodity price risk

    Damage to reputation/brand

    Business interruption

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs

    Failure to attract orretain top talent

    Cash flow/liquidity risk

    Technology failure/system failure

    2011 200964%60%

    65%

    65%

    71%

    71%

    61%

    58%

    69%

    79%

    68%

    62%

    60%68%

    76%

    77%

    76%

    78%

    77%

    75%

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    Notable change compared to

    Averagereportedreadinessortoprisksbyindustry

    Industry Change

    Utilities % % -%

    Chemicals % % %

    Retail Trade % % %

    Banks % % %

    Telecommunications and Broadcasting % % -%

    Health Care % % %

    Real Estate % % -%

    Technology % % -%

    Hotels and Hospitality % % %

    Lumber, Furniture, Paper and Packaging % % -%

    Rubber, Plastics, Stone and Cement % % -%

    Non-Aviation Transportation Services % % -%

    Professional and Personal Services % % %

    Government % N/A N/A

    Natural Resources (Oil, Gas and Mining) % % -%

    Educational and Nonprots % % %

    Insurance, Investment and Finance % % -%

    Consumer Goods Manufacturing % % -%

    Construction % % %

    Food Processing and Distribution % % -%

    Wholesale Trade % % -%

    Aviation % N/A N/A

    Metal Milling and Manufacturing % % -%

    Machinery and Equipment Manufacturers % % -%

    Agribusiness % % -%

    Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology % % -%

    Non-Aviation Transportation Manufacturing % % %

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    Top Risks

    Averagereportedreadinessortoprisksbyregion

    Region

    Asia Pacic % %North America % %

    Europe % %

    Latin America % %

    Middle East & Africa % %

    Reported readiness from top 10 risks by Aons Risk Maturity Index

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    50%58%

    71% 71%

    85%

    Initial/Lacking Basic Defined Operational Advanced

    The Aon Risk Maturity Index, developed in partnership with The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania,is the rst-of-its-kind tool for leaders in nance and risk management to assess their organizations risk managementcapabilities and receive immediate feedback in a Risk Maturity Rating with comments for improvement.

    Please email [email protected] if you would like to learn more about how you can determine yourrisk maturity rating.

    Compared to that of , we have noticed a decline in average reported readiness for the top risks in each region. The decreasecould be attributed to the changes in the top risk makeup and respondent prole in the current survey.

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    Similar to , topping the list of income losses in the past

    months relating to the most cited risks are economic slowdownand commodity price, followed by increased competition.

    Sixty-seven percent of the respondents say they have experienced

    loss of income from the economic slowdown, up from percent

    in . Two attributable factors are:

    The survey was conducted at the end of , when the

    nancial crisis was at its peak. Depending on the industry,

    the losses from the crisis might not have thoroughly assessed the

    losses yet.

    The increase also reects the continued challenges companies

    are facing during the slow economic recovery.

    The percentage of companies reporting commodity price-related

    losses has dropped from percent in to percent in the

    current survey. The decrease corresponds with its drop in overall

    risk ranking from fth in to eighth this year (we discussed this

    earlier). It is also interesting that, similar to results in prior surveys,

    over percent of respondents mention that they have plans in

    place to address this risk or have undertaken a formal review

    of the risk, and yet percent are unable to avoid a loss.

    This is consistent with expectations for companies who arehighly exposed to the commodity price risk, where even

    with the r ight planning in place, companies will not always

    be able to prevent lossses.

    Economic slowdownand commodity price topthe list o losses arisingrom the top risks

    Losses associated with the Top Risks

    Lossesromtoprisks

    Riskrank Riskdescription

    :Lossoincome

    inlastmonths

    :Lossoincome

    inlastmonths

    Economic slowdown % %

    Regulatory/legislative changes % %

    Increasing competition % %

    Damage to reputation/brand % %

    Business interruption % %

    Failure to innovate/meet customer needs % %

    Failure to attract or retain top talent % %

    Commodity price risk % %

    Technology failure/system failure % %

    Cash ow/liquidity risk % %

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    On average, 7%have reported losso income rom thetop risks

    %

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    Top Risks

    Averagereportedlossoincomeromtoprisksbyindustry

    Industry

    :Averagelossoincome

    experiencedromtoprisk

    inthelastmonths

    :Averagelossoincome

    experiencedromtoprisk

    in thelas t mo nths Change

    Agribusiness % % -%

    Aviation % N/A N/A

    Banks % % %

    Chemicals % % %

    Construction % % -%

    Consumer Goods Manufacturing % % -%

    Educational and Nonprots % % -%

    Food Processing and Distribution % % -%

    Government % N/A N/A

    Health Care % % %

    Hotels and Hospitality % % -%

    Insurance, Investment and Finance % % -%

    Lumber, Furniture, Paper and Packaging % % %

    Machinery and Equipment Manufacturers % % -%

    Metal Milling and Manufacturing % % %

    Natural Resources (Oil, Gas and Mining) % % -%

    Non-Aviation Transportation Manufacturing % % -%

    Non-Aviation Transportation Services % % -%

    Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology % % -%

    Professional and Personal Services % % %

    Real Estate % % -%

    Retail Trade % % -%

    Rubber, Plastics, Stone and Cement % % -%

    Technology % % -%

    Telecommunications and Broadcasting % % %

    Utilities % % -%

    Wholesale Trade % % -%

    Notable change compared to

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    Averagereportedlossoincomeromtoprisksbyregion

    Region

    :Averagelossoincome

    experiencedromtoprisk

    inthelastmonths

    :Averagelossoincome

    experiencedromtoprisk

    inthelastmonths

    Latin America % %

    Europe % %

    Asia Pacic % %

    North America % %

    Middle East & Africa % %

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    The majority o respondents consider loweringtotal cost o risk as one o the top beneftso investing in risk management at 6 percent,

    yet less than 4 percent have tracked andmanaged all components o their TCOR, downrom 44 percent in 9. Senior managementsintuition and experience remains the primarymethod used by survey respondents to identiyand assess major risks acing their organizations.

    Identiying, Assessing, Measuring

    and Managing Risk

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    It is dicult to manage what is not measured. There is a continued

    downward trend in the measurement of TCOR and each of itscomponents. Less than percent of respondents in the

    survey report they have tracked and managed all components

    of their TCOR, down from percent in . This downward

    trend could be inuenced by the decreasing cost as a result of

    the continued soft pricing environment. With limited resources,

    organizations tend to monitor rising expenses, rather than

    decreasing ones. As the market hardens, we expect the percentage

    of organizations measuring their TCOR components will go

    up. Nonetheless, in the long run, failure to track and manage

    all aspects of TCOR could be detrimental to an organization.

    An organizations TCOR comprises risk transfer costs (insurance

    premiums) plus risk retention costs (retained losses and claimsadjustment costs) plus external (brokers, consultants and other

    vendors) and internal (sta and related) risk management costs.

    When asked about how they measure each element of TCOR,

    risk transfer costs is the element most measured, by percent of

    respondents, down from percent in . Risk retention costs

    are measured by percent, vs. percent in . Fifty-ve

    percent track external risk management costs, down from

    percent, while percent measure internal risk management

    costs, down from percent in the earlier survey.

    Among the reasons cited for failure to measure all TCOR

    components, percent attribute it to shrinking resources/expertise and percent say they lack data/information.

    Thirty percent of respondents do not nd the process valuable.

    The percentage of respondents measuring full TCOR is

    correlated to an organizations size. Forty-nine percent of

    companies with revenues of USD billion or more measure full

    TCOR, whereas only percent of companies under USD billion

    do. Organizations with formal risk management departments are

    more likely to measure their full TCOR ( percent), than those

    without one ( percent). This could suggest that companies with

    higher revenues and/or with risk management departments might

    have more resources to focus on measuring the full TCOR.

    ReasonsornotmeasuringalltheelementsoTCOR

    Category Percentage*

    Lack of resources/expertise %

    Lack of data/information %

    Dont nd the process valuable %

    Dont measure cost of risk %

    Measuring Total Cost o Risks

    Elements of TCOR measured

    0 20 40 60 80 100

    Internal riskmanagement costs

    External riskmanagement costs

    Riskretention costs

    Risktransfer costs

    58%

    44%

    39%

    74%

    60%

    55%

    97%

    92%

    86%

    82%

    74%

    66%

    2011

    2009

    2007

    Less than 4%

    measure TCOR

    *The percentage in this table does not add up to percent as respondents havethe option to select more than one answer.

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    Senior managements intuition and experience remains the

    primary method used by survey respondents to identify and assessmajor risks facing their organizations, followed by business unit

    risk registers or key risk indicator worksheets and structured

    enterprise-wide approach. In practice, respondents are probably

    using a combination of the above methods but may not yet use a

    formal risk assessment and prioritization approach to consistently

    focus management attention and resources on the core risks.

    Should organizations relying predominantly or exclusively on

    management experience and intuition for their major risk decisions

    be concerned?

    In todays fast evolving business environment, where the past may

    not always be the best predictor of the future, exclusive relianceon senior managements intuition and experience to identify and

    assess risks could result in a signicant loss to an organization.

    Some of the reasons include:

    risk identication based on experience tend to miss emerging

    or new risks;

    risk identication based on intuition may not be consistent

    across the organization or over time, and may not be given

    credence by others; and

    there may be a tendency toward risk aversion by managers

    with the viewbetter safe than sorry.

    On the other hand, the use of business unit risk registers and

    enterprise-wide approach to identify and assess risk is moredesirable than the use of senior management intuition and

    experience, adding depth to the process and enabling the

    organization to more eectively assess the potential impact of

    an identied risk on the organization so it can deploy appropriate

    resources for treatment.

    Organizations with revenues greater than USD billion are more

    than twice likely to utilize a structured enterprise-wide approach

    in the identication and assessment of risks than companies under

    USD billion.

    As risks increase in complexity, organizations must integrate

    intuition and experience with appropriate analytics to make themost informed objective and proactive decisions.

    Senior managementsintuition and experienceremains the primarymethod used by surveyrespondents to identiyand assess major risks acingtheir organizations

    Identiying and assessing major risks

    Identifying, Assessing, Measuring and Managing Risk

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    Identification by region

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100 Other

    Structured enterprise-wide approach

    External service provider/advisor

    Business unit risk registersor key risk indicator worksheets

    Senior management intuition and experience

    Board level discussion and analysis

    All Asia Pacific Europe LatinAmerica

    MiddleEast & Africa

    NorthAmerica

    2% 2%5% 4%

    30%

    29%

    52%

    23%

    52%

    12% 13%19%

    19% 9% 9%

    35%29%

    19%

    18%

    15%

    2%4%

    5%

    3%

    19% 19%

    10%

    41%

    17%

    3%

    18%

    3%

    21%

    43%

    Identification by revenue (in USD)

    Other

    Structured enterprise-wide approach

    External service provider/advisor

    Business unit risk registersor key risk indicator worksheets

    Senior management intuition and experience

    Board level discussion and analysis

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    < 1B 1B4.9B 5B9.9B 10B14.9B 15B24.9B 25B+

    53%

    15%

    3%

    10%

    3% 4% 3% 4%

    20% 30% 32% 34%

    46%

    3%

    2%

    4%

    4%

    26%

    28% 28%

    23%

    24%

    37%28%

    36%24%

    23%

    15%10%

    4%14%

    2%8%

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    Identifying, Assessing, Measuring and Managing Risk

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Assessment by revenue (in USD)

    Other

    Structured enterprise-wide approach

    External service provider/advisor

    Business unit risk registersor key risk indicator worksheets

    Senior management intuition and experience

    Board level discussion and analysis

    < 1B

    2%4%

    4%

    4%

    5%

    3% 4%

    4%

    47%

    42%

    21%

    32%

    28%

    10%

    33%

    27%28%36%

    38%

    25%

    23%

    8%

    6%

    4%

    4%

    4%

    3% 4%

    27%28%

    24%29%

    19%

    10%

    10%

    1B4.9B 5B9.9B 10B14.9B 15B24.9B 25B+

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Assessment by region

    Other

    Structured enterprise-wide approach

    External service provider/advisor

    Business unit risk registersor key risk indicator worksheets

    Senior management intuition and experience

    Board level discussion and analysis

    All Asia Pacific Europe LatinAmerica

    MiddleEast & Africa

    NorthAmerica

    7%

    3%2% 2%

    5% 3%

    8% 12%14%

    9%5%

    42%

    26%

    7%

    3%

    5%

    10%

    9%

    7%

    14%

    45%

    10%15%

    25%16%

    27%

    30% 33%

    14%

    24%

    35%

    35% 33%

    18%

    47%

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    More companies have started to rely on brokers or independent

    consultants as the primary source to assist them in determiningwhat limits of insurance to buy. In the survey, percent of

    respondents say they use brokers or independent consultants,

    up from percent in . This is a positive trend, as brokers or

    independent consultants typically would take a comprehensive

    approach, utilizing a combination of benchmarking and analytical

    tools and methods to advise their clients on the optimal limits

    to purchase. That probably explains why the percentage of

    organizations using benchmarking against peers has dropped

    from percent in to percent in .

    In relation to company size, approximately four in respondents

    with revenue less than USD billion relies primarily on their

    brokers or independent consultants to determine limit, whileorganizations over USD billion are evenly split among the various

    methods. A signicant number of large corporations, respondents

    with USD . billion or more in revenue, have begun augmenting

    their traditional approaches with a more analytical approach for

    determining limits.

    On a regional basis, reliance on a broker or independent

    consultant is the primary source to determine limits exceptin Latin America, where it is more common to use quantitative

    analysis or metrics, and in the Middle East & Africa, where

    a signicant number of companies depend on managements

    intuition and experience.

    Since organizations without a formal risk management department

    may not have the risk management expertise or in-house

    resources to assess the options and evaluate the implications of

    various choices, they rely most heavily on brokers or independent

    consultants ( percent). Companies with formal risk departments

    evenly use a combination of all of the top four methods.

    34% use brokers orindependent consultantsas the primary source todetermine limits o insurance

    Determining limits o insurance

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    Determination of insurance limits by revenue (in USD)

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100 Other

    11%

    5% 6% 8% 4% 7% 8%

    24%21%

    32%

    10%15%

    25%

    43%

    13%

    3%6% 4%

    8%4%

    18%23%

    16%

    41%

    46%

    29%23%

    12%

    17%

    15%18% 23%

    28%

    24% 13%

    Specific study or structured workshop

    Quantitative analysis or metrics

    Rely on broker or independent consultant

    Senior management intuition and experience

    Benchmark against peers

    < 1B 1B4.9B 5B9.9B 10B14.9B 15B24.9B 25B+

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Determination of insurance limits by region

    All

    2011

    All

    2009

    Asia

    Pacific

    Europe Latin

    America

    Middle

    East & Africa

    North

    America

    2%

    22%

    19%

    21%

    25%

    20%

    20%

    36%

    23%

    21%

    33%

    14%

    25%

    39%

    30%30%34%

    18%

    4% 4%

    5%

    13%

    13%16%

    6% 10%

    5%5%6% 6%4%

    14%

    9%

    9%8%

    21%

    14%23%

    40%18%

    15%

    Other

    Specific study or structured workshop

    Quantitative analysis or metrics

    Rely on broker or independent consultant

    Senior management intuition and experience

    Benchmark against peers

    Identifying, Assessing, Measuring and Managing Risk

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    Global Risk Management Survey Aon Risk Solutions

    Since the survey was conducted at the height of the world

    nancial crisis, a large majority of the respondents ( percent)cited lowering their TCOR as the top benet for investing in risk

    management. While lowering TCOR is still considered a top

    priority by respondents in the survey at percent, it has

    been outranked percent by another key component in risk

    managementmore informed decision-making on risk taking/risk

    retention. The success of a companys risk management function

    is determined by how well these two essential elements

    are managed.

    As expected, organizations without a formal risk management

    department place less value on all the listed benets except for

    increased return on investment, as opposed to organizations

    have a formal risk management department. In the categoriesof informed decision-making on risk taking/risk retention

    and lowering total cost of insurable risk, there is a large gap

    in perceived value between organizations with a formal risk

    management department and those without ( percent for

    informed decision-making and percent for lowering TCOR).

    These perception gaps might reect a lack of understandingon the part of organizations without a formal risk management

    department of the true value that professional risk management

    expertise could bring.

    6% cite lowering TCOR asa top beneft or investing inrisk management

    Benefts o investing in risk management

    Primarybeneftsoinvestinginriskmanagement

    Category :All :All

    :WithRisk

    Mgmt.Dept.

    :WithoutRisk

    Mgmt.Dept.

    :Dierence

    inPerceived

    Benefts

    More informed decisions on risk taking/risk retention

    % % % % %

    Lower total cost of insurable risk % % % % %

    Improved internal controls % % % % %

    Improved business strategy % % % % %

    Improved standards of governance % % % % %

    Improved business continuity planning % % % % %

    Increased shareholder value % % % % %

    Increased return on investment % % % % -%

    Reduced compliance costs % % % % %

    Other % % % % %

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    Economic volatility and increased scrutiny from regulators

    remain the most important external drivers strengthening riskmanagement. Following the nancial crisis, organizations have

    a greater awareness of the need to protect assets and the

    balance sheet from unexpected loss. They also have to assure

    full compliance with both new and existing regulations and

    disclosure practices.

    Survey respondents indicate that demand from investors for

    greater disclosure and accountability has decreased from

    percent in to percent in the current survey. Based on

    our experience, the drop mostly likely reects an increase in the

    number of respondents with revenues of USD billion or less in

    this years survey, rather than decreased investor scrutiny. New to

    the list is pressure from suppliers and vendors, cited by six percentof the respondents. Considering the r ising trend of supply-chain

    related risks today, we feel that the percentage for this r isk driver

    would increase over time.

    Economic volatility is citedas the most importantexternal driver strengtheningrisk management

    Identifying, Assessing, Measuring and Managing Risk

    External drivers or risk management

    External drivers strengthening risk management (past two years)

    Economic volatility

    0 10 20 30 40 50

    Increased focus fromregulators

    Demand from investors for greaterdisclosure and accountability

    Workforce issues

    Large third party liabilitylosses/litigation

    Pressure from customers

    Natural weather events

    Other

    50%

    43%

    38%

    35%

    22%

    27%

    19%

    18%

    17%

    14%

    20%

    14%

    18%

    13%

    16%

    11%6%

    6%Pressure from suppliers/vendors

    Political uncertainty

    20092011

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    Global Risk Management Survey Aon Risk Solutions

    Aons Risk Maturity Index helps organizations better understand

    their risk management capabilities relative to standards and bestpractices. When asked to identify their rankings among the model

    denitions, the majority of respondents in Aons Global Risk

    Management Survey indicate they are now past the basic stages

    of risk strategy and framework. The results are similar to those of

    Aons recently launched Risk Maturity Index. Even more promising,

    compared to the Global Enterprise Risk Management Survey,

    the number of respondents in this survey describing themselves

    as Operational or Advanced has increased by percent.

    The number o respondentsdescribing themselves asOperational or Advancedhas increased by 3%

    Aons Risk Maturity Index

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    AdvancedOperationalDefinedBasicInitial/Lacking

    Current stage of development of organizations risk strategy and framework

    2010 2011

    Component and associatedactivities are very limitedin scope and may beimplemented on anad-hoc basis to addressspecific risks

    Limited capabilities toidentify, assess, manageand monitor risks

    Sucient capabilitiesto identify, measure,manage, report andmonitor major risks;policies and techniquesare defined and utilized(perhaps independently)across the organization

    Consistent ability toidentify, measure, manage,report and monitor risks;consistent application ofpolicies and techniquesacross the organization

    Well-developed ability toidentify, measure, manageand monitor risks acrossthe organization; processis dynamic and able toadapt to changing risk andvarying business cycles;explicit consideration ofrisk and risk managementin management decisions

    11%

    7%

    22%

    23%

    39%

    34%

    16%

    24%

    7%

    12%

    * data is from Aons Global Enterprise Risk Management Survey. The information provided is an extract of Aons proprietary Risk Maturity Index and should not beconstrued as full assessment of risk maturity, but rather as an indicator. The ranking above represents a respondents self assessment of maturitybased upon their reviewof the maturity levels. Based on the ndings from Aons Global Enterprise Risk Management Survey Aon has developed, in conjunction with the Wharton School of theUniversit y of Pennsylvania, the Aon Risk Maturity Index. Please send an email to risk.maturi [email protected] if you would like to learn more about how to determine yourrisk maturity rating.

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    As is consistent with the prior two surveys,risk remains frmly on board agendas. Three outo our companies say their board or a boardcommittee has established or partially establishedpolicies on risk oversight and management.

    Board Oversight

    and Involvement

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    Over the past few years, boards of directors have been under

    increasing pressure from stakeholders and regulators to moreeectively maintain oversight and understanding of risk

    management frameworks within their organizations. They are now

    taking a leading role. The survey results show that risk remains

    rmly on the board agendas. Three out of four companies say

    their board or a board committee has established or part ially

    established policies on risk oversight and management.

    Board level commitment is critical to establishing, maintaining

    and funding a framework for risk oversight and management,

    and embedding this within the culture of the organization.

    As risks and risk management are gaining increasing attention

    and scrutiny, board or board committee oversight will continue

    to increase.

    If we compare a companys board involvement in risk oversight

    and management with how organizations rank themselves on

    Aons Risk Maturity Index, we can see that the more advanced

    a company progressed on Aons Risk Maturity Index, the higher

    the involvement of its board in establishing policies for oversight

    and management.

    Of all the regions surveyed, the Asia Pacic and the Middle East

    & Africa regions have the highest percentages of respondents

    with established or par tially established policies, at percent

    and percent respectively.

    Across industries, the following sectors indicate the highest rate

    of board involvementgreater than or equal to percent:

    Banking

    Chemicals

    Natural resources (oil, gas and mining)

    Telecommunications and broadcasting

    Organizations with a risk management department are more likely

    than those without one to have established or partially establishedboard policies on risk oversight and management.

    More than 8% ocompanies with USD billion or more haveboard policies on risk

    oversight and management

    Policies on risk oversight and management

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    3 out o 4 companies say their boards or boardcommittees have established or partially establishedpolicies on risk oversight and management

    Board Oversight and Involvement

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    Board of directors or a board committee has established policieson risk oversight and management by risk management department

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100 Dont know

    48% 47% 56%

    30%

    32%

    15%17%20%

    27% 29%

    25%

    33%

    5%5%7%5%

    Partially

    No

    Yes

    All-2011 All-2009 WithRisk Mgmt.Dept.-2011

    WithoutRisk Mgmt.Dept.-2009

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    Board of directors or a board committee has established policies on risk oversight and management by revenue (in USD)

    Dont knowPartially NoYes

    37% 34%

    58%

    39%

    54%53%

    68%

    62%66%

    57%

    69%

    29%

    4%9%

    5% 7% 8% 8% 12% 8%3% 3%

    25%

    25%

    35%

    30% 31%

    16%22%

    21%32%

    21%30%

    32%

    12%

    19%

    9% 7% 4%8%

    10% 8%10%

    < 1B2011

    < 1B2009

    1B4.9B2011

    1B4.9B2009

    5B9.9B2011

    5B9.9B2009

    10B14.9B2011

    10B14.9B2009

    15B24.9B2011

    15B24.9B2009

    25B+2011

    77%

    4%

    17%

    2%

    25B+2009

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    Global Risk Management Survey Aon Risk Solutions

    Nearly nine out of companies have some board-level

    involvement in their current approach to risk management.Of the approaches cited, annual board reviews and approvals

    are ranked the most common, followed by the board

    considering specic business risks.

    Regionally, the European boards continue to lead, with percent

    of the surveyed indicate dierent levels of board involvement as

    in risk-related decisions.

    For the third consecutive time, banking, which is one of the

    most regulated industries, has a percent board-level

    involvement in the current approach to risk management at

    some level, followed by the pharmaceutical and biotechnology

    industries. Agribusiness had the least board involvement.

    Nearly 9 out o companies have some board-levelinvolvement in their current approach to risk management

    Board Oversight and Involvement

    Approach to risk management at the board level

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    Current approach to risk management at board level by risk management department

    0

    25

    50

    75

    100

    Dont know

    Board systematically participates

    Board considers specific business risks

    Board reviews and approves annually (or periodically)

    No board involvement

    All-2011 All-2009 With RiskMgmt. Dept.

    2011

    WithoutRisk Mgmt.Dept.-2011

    8% 6% 7% 10